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Who’s ahead in the Minnesota governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 29, 2022

Governor, Minnesota, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

836LV
Oct.26-30
836LV
Walz
51%
Walz
51%

Walz

51%

Jensen

43%
43%
Jensen  Walz+8
219LV
Oct.10-30
219LV
Walz
52%
Walz
52%

Walz

52%

Jensen

31%
31%
Jensen  Walz+21

Oct. 18, 2022

Governor, Minnesota, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,091LV
Oct.17-19
1,091LV
Walz
46%
Walz
46%

Walz

46%

Jensen

46%

McTavish

1%

McCaskel

1%

Patterson

1%

Prosser

0%
46%
JensenJensen+1

Oct. 13, 2022

Governor, Minnesota, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,585LV
Oct.10-14
1,585LV
Walz
47%
Walz
47%

Walz

47%

Jensen

42%

McCaskel

1%

McTavish

1%

Prosser

1%

Patterson

1%
42%
JensenWalz+5

Oct. 2, 2022

Sept. 25, 2022

Governor, Minnesota, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

600LV
Sep.24-26
600LV
Walz
48%
Walz
48%

Walz

48%

Jensen

44%

McCaskel

1%

Prosser

1%

Patterson

1%

McTavish

0%
44%
JensenWalz+3
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