UPDATED Oct. 3, 2022, at 5:00 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Minnesota governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 25, 2022

Governor, Minnesota, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

600LV
Sep.24-26
600LV
Walz
48%
Walz
48%

Walz

48%

Jensen

44%

McCaskel

1%

Prosser

1%

Patterson

1%

McTavish

0%
44%
JensenWalz+3

Sept. 13, 2022

Governor, Minnesota, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,079LV
Sep.14
1,079LV
Walz
48%
Walz
48%

Walz

48%

Jensen

45%

McCaskel

1%

McTavish

1%

Patterson

0%

Prosser

0%
45%
JensenWalz+3
800LV
Sep.12-14
800LV
Walz
48%
Walz
48%

Walz

48%

Jensen

41%
41%
Jensen  Walz+7

Sept. 3, 2022

Aug. 18, 2022

Governor, Minnesota, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

510LV
Aug.17-19
510LV
Walz
53%
Walz
53%

Walz

53%

Jensen

36%

McTavish

6%
36%
JensenWalz+17

July 18, 2022

Governor, Minnesota, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

500LV
Jul.18-19
500LV
Walz
50%
Walz
50%

Walz

50%

Jensen

46%
46%
Jensen  Walz+4
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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