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Who’s ahead in the Arkansas 2nd District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 1, 2020

U.S. House, AR-2, 2020

586LV
Oct.29-Nov.2
586LV
Elliott
48%
Elliott
48%

Elliott

48%

Hill

48%
48%
Hill  Even

Oct. 20, 2020

U.S. House, AR-2, 2020

500LV
Oct.16-21
500LV
Elliott
47%
Elliott
47%

Elliott

47%

Hill

47%
47%
Hill  Even

Oct. 12, 2020

U.S. House, AR-2, 2020

644LV
Oct.11-13
644LV
Elliott
46%
Elliott
46%

Elliott

46%

Hill

46%
46%
Hill  Hill+1

Sept. 28, 2020

U.S. House, AR-2, 2020

511LV
Sep.27-29
511LV
Elliott
48%
Elliott
48%

Elliott

48%

Hill

48%
48%
Hill  Even

Sept. 15, 2020

U.S. House, AR-2, 2020

605LV
Sep.10-16
605LV
Elliott
48%
Elliott
48%

Elliott

48%

Hill

46%
46%
Hill  Elliott+2
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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