UPDATED Nov. 15, 2021, at 9:45 AM

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Who’s ahead in Montana?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 27, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
MT-1 MT-1
Oct 19-24, 2020
546 LV
Oct 19-24, 2020
546LVWilliams
46%

Williams

46%

Rosendale

47%
47%
RosendaleRosendale+1

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 24, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
MT-1 MT-1
Oct 15-18, 2020
800 LV
Oct 15-18, 2020
800LVWilliams
47%

Williams

47%

Rosendale

47%
47%
RosendaleEven

Oct. 22, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
MT-1 MT-1
Oct 18-20, 2020
758 LV
Oct 18-20, 2020
758LVWilliams
46%

Williams

46%

Rosendale

50%
50%
RosendaleRosendale+4

Oct. 21, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
MT-1 MT-1
Oct 15-20, 2020
500 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
500LVWilliams
46%

Williams

46%

Rosendale

46%
46%
RosendaleEven

Oct. 13, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
MT-1 MT-1
Sep 14-Oct 2, 2020
1,615 LV
Sep 14-Oct 2, 2020
1,615LVWilliams
46%

Williams

46%

Rosendale

48%
48%
RosendaleRosendale+2
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