UPDATED Apr. 12, 2021, at 10:14 AM

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Who’s ahead in New York’s 1st District?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 13, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-1NY-1
Oct 5-8, 2020
402 LV
Oct 5-8, 2020
402LVGoroff
48%

Goroff

48%

Zeldin

49%
49%
ZeldinZeldin+1

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Aug. 20, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-1NY-1
Aug 5-10, 2020
400 LV
Aug 5-10, 2020
400LVGoroff
48%

Goroff

48%

Zeldin

46%
46%
ZeldinGoroff+2

Aug. 18, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-1NY-1
Aug 3-5, 2020
400 LV
Aug 3-5, 2020
400LVGoroff
42%

Goroff

42%

Zeldin

47%
47%
ZeldinZeldin+5

July 23, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-1NY-1
Jul 14-15, 2020
1,100 V
Jul 14-15, 2020
1,100VGoroff
40%

Goroff

40%

Zeldin

47%
47%
ZeldinZeldin+7

Oct. 30, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-1NY-1
Oct 27-29, 2018
838 LV
Oct 27-29, 2018
838LVGershon
37%

Gershon

37%

Zeldin

52%
52%
ZeldinZeldin+15
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