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Who’s ahead in the North Carolina House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending May 19, 2022

U.S. House, NC-11, 2022

308LV
May 18-20
308LV
Beach-Ferrara
40%
Beach-Ferrara
40%

Beach-Ferrara

40%

Edwards

46%

Coatney

6%
46%
EdwardsEdwards+6

May 18, 2022

Oct. 28, 2020

U.S. House, NC-9, 2020

750V
Oct.28-29
750V
Wallace
43%
Wallace
43%

Wallace

43%

Bishop

45%
45%
Bishop  Bishop+2

Oct. 17, 2020

U.S. House, NC-11, 2020

400LV
Oct.15-18
400LV
Davis
45%
Davis
45%

Davis

45%

Cawthorn

42%
42%
Cawthorn  Davis+3

Oct. 5, 2020

U.S. House, NC-8, 2020

433LV
Oct.5-6
433LV
Timmons-Goodson
45%
Timmons-Goodson
45%

Timmons-Goodson

45%

Hudson

42%
42%
Hudson  Timmons-Goodson+3
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Candidate is an incumbent

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