See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Sep. 26, 2020, at 3:01 PM

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Who’s ahead in North Carolina?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Aug. 12, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
NC-11NC-11
Aug 5-6, 2020
500 LV
Aug 5-6, 2020
500LVDavis
41%

Davis

41%

Cawthorn

46%
46%
CawthornCawthorn+5
U.S. House
NC-11NC-11
Jul 9-12, 2020
402 LV
Jul 9-12, 2020
402LVDavis
40%

Davis

40%

Cawthorn

42%
42%
CawthornCawthorn+2

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Aug. 5, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
NC-8NC-8
Jul 23-30, 2020
800 LV
Jul 23-30, 2020
800LVTimmons-Goodson
41%

Timmons-Goodson

41%

Hudson

43%
43%
HudsonHudson+2

Sept. 7, 2019

U.S. House
U.S. House
NC-9NC-9
Sep 5-6, 2019
1,175 LV
Sep 5-6, 2019
1,175LVMcCready
48%

McCready

48%

Bishop

45%
45%
BishopMcCready+3
U.S. House
NC-9NC-9
Sep 5-6, 2019
1,175 LV
Sep 5-6, 2019
1,175LVMcCready
44%
Tie

McCready

44%

Bishop

44%

Scott

3%

Smith

2%
MoreEven

Sept. 3, 2019

U.S. House
U.S. House
NC-9NC-9
Aug 26-28, 2019
500 LV
Aug 26-28, 2019
500LVMcCready
45%

McCready

45%

Bishop

46%

Scott

2%

Smith

1%
MoreBishop+1
U.S. House
NC-3NC-3
Aug 26-28, 2019
500 LV
Aug 26-28, 2019
500LVThomas
40%

Thomas

40%

Murphy

51%

Harris

2%

Holt

1%
MoreMurphy+11

Aug. 30, 2019

U.S. House
U.S. House
NC-9NC-9
Aug 26-28, 2019
551 LV
Aug 26-28, 2019
551LVMcCready
51%

McCready

51%

Bishop

46%
46%
BishopMcCready+5
U.S. House
NC-9NC-9
Aug 26-28, 2019
551 LV
Aug 26-28, 2019
551LVMcCready
49%

McCready

49%

Bishop

44%

Scott

3%

Smith

1%
MoreMcCready+5
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