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Who’s ahead in the Oregon House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 1, 2022

U.S. House, OR-4, 2022

529LV
Oct.30-Nov.2
529LV
Hoyle
45%
Hoyle
45%

Hoyle

45%

Skarlatos

45%

Leatherberry

3%

Howard

1%

Beilstein

1%
45%
SkarlatosEven

Oct. 4, 2022

U.S. House, OR-6, 2022

500LV
Oct.3-5
500LV
Salinas
45%
Salinas
45%

Salinas

45%

Erickson

44%

McFarland

2%
44%
EricksonSalinas+1

Sept. 29, 2022

U.S. House, OR-6, 2022

400LV
Sep.29-30
400LV
Salinas
39%
Salinas
39%

Salinas

39%

Erickson

44%
44%
Erickson  Erickson+5

Sept. 7, 2022

U.S. House, OR-5, 2022

400LV
Sep.1-8
400LV
McLeod-Skinner
41%
McLeod-Skinner
41%

McLeod-Skinner

41%

Chavez-DeRemer

38%
38%
Chavez-DeRemer  McLeod-Skinner+3

Aug. 18, 2022

U.S. House, OR-6, 2022

409LV
Aug.14-19
409LV
Salinas
34%
Salinas
34%

Salinas

34%

Erickson

43%
43%
Erickson  Erickson+9
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