Our 2021-22 redistricting tracker is no longer updating, but please check out our 2022 midterm election forecast to see how competitive the House map is.

UPDATED Jul. 19, 2022, at 3:50 PM

What Redistricting Looks Like In Every State

An updating tracker of proposed congressional maps — and whether they might benefit Democrats or Republicans in the 2022 midterms and beyond. How this works »

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The partisan breakdown of this proposed map in Arizona
Status:Tabled
partisan lean of districts:
Old map
9 districts
majority
This map
9 districts
There are 2 Democratic-leaning seats, 4 Republican-leaning seats and 3 highly competitive seats in this proposed map.Change from old map: -1 Democratic-leaning seat, -1 Republican-leaning seat, +2 highly competitive seats.
The competitiveness and fairness of Arizona's maps
Efficiency gap
Difference between each party’s share of “wasted votes” — those that don’t contribute to a candidate winning.
Second preliminary commission planD+11.4
Commission draft 7.0D+3.0
Commission draft 7.1D+3.0
Commission draft 8.3D+2.7
Commission draft 8.1D+2.5
Preliminary commission planD+2.4
Commission draft 13.8D+2.3
New mapD+2.3
Commission draft 13.9D+2.3
Commission draft 7.2D+2.3
Fourth preliminary commission planD+2.3
Third preliminary commission planD+2.2
Commission draft 12.0D+1.6
Commission draft 11.2D+1.5
Commission draft 8.2D+0.7
Commission draft 9.1.1D+0.6
Old mapR+2.0
Commission draft 12.1R+10.1
Commission draft 11.1R+10.3
Commission draft 9.2.1R+11.2
Commission draft 8.4R+11.6
The demographic and partisan breakdown of this proposed map in Arizona
White
Black
Hispanic
Asian
Other
DistrictIncumbentPartisan leanRacial makeup
1st
David SchweikertR
R+3
2nd
Tom O'HalleranD
Paul A. GosarR
R+15
3rd
Ruben GallegoD
D+39
4th
Greg StantonD
D+1
5th
Andy BiggsR
R+27
6th
Ann KirkpatrickD
R+3
7th
Raúl GrijalvaD
D+16
8th
OPEN
R+13
9th
Debbie LeskoR
R+34

The racial makeup of each district is of the voting-age population.

The latest in Arizona

Jan. 20, 2022

At the request of seven counties, Arizona’s independent citizen redistricting commission made several small amendments to the state’s final redistricting plan. However, the last-minute tweaks — which were apparently made to correct for inconsistencies between precinct boundaries or to eliminate awkward divisions — didn’t change the partisan lean of any of Arizona’s districts.

The proposed changes come weeks after the commission voted on Dec. 22 to move forward with a map with lines that drew four solid Republican-leaning seats and two solid Democratic-leaning seats with three competitive districts, two of which are Republican-leaning and one that is more of a “toss-up” per our analysis.

Ensuring that there were competitive districts under Arizona’s new map was a requisite for getting the commission’s two Democratic members to vote in favor. And at the heart of the dispute was how to split the 6th and 7th Districts in Tucson. Notably, under this map, the Republican-leaning 6th District will become more competitive than it was in previous versions while the 7th District is a heavily Hispanic district so as to comply with the Voting Rights Act.

But despite commissioners hashing out an agreement, this map still contains a number of big shake-ups for Democratic incumbents. Outgoing Democratic Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick’s district goes from D+2 to R+7, which means in a Republican-leaning midterm environment this could end up in Republicans’ column. The situation has improved for Democratic Rep. Greg Stanton’s district, as it doesn’t swing quite as far to the right as it had in previous versions, but it still goes from D+15 to D+1, making it very competitive moving forward. Democratic Rep. Tom O’Halleran’s district also gets a lot redder under this map, going from R+6 to R+15. To be sure, Republican Reps. Paul Gosar and David Schweikert’s districts did get less safe in this map, but they still largely favor the GOP.

Overall, though, this map actually has a slight bias toward Democrats per our fairness metrics, so it’s one of the better versions of this map Democrats could have hoped for as neither party’s dominance is guaranteed in elections to come.

Latest updates
Icon of the Arizona state boundaries
Dec. 22, 2021
Arizona's Independent Redistricting Commission unanimously adopted new congressional map (Map 13.9).
Icon of the Arizona state boundaries
Nov. 26, 2021
Arizona's Independent Redistricting Committee will complete public comment meetings on Dec. 4th. The committee has also released schedule for final-decision making meetings which will begin on Dec. 6th.
Icon of the Arizona state boundaries
Nov. 5, 2021
The Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission announced a third round of public meetings to provide feedback on proposed congressional and legislative maps.

Latest changes 🤖

Our latest coverage

Who controls redistricting in Arizona right now?
Neither party fully controls the congressional redistricting process. New maps are drawn and enacted by an independent commission made up of citizens.