UPDATED Mar. 2, 2021, at 10:54 AM

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Who’s ahead in Florida’s 18th District?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 13, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-18FL-18
Oct 7-9, 2020
301 LV
Oct 7-9, 2020
301LVKeith
45%

Keith

45%

Mast

43%

Miller

4%
MoreKeith+2

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Sept. 20, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-18FL-18
Sep 18, 2020
1,149 LV
Sep 18, 2020
1,149LVKeith
42%

Keith

42%

Mast

50%

Miller

2%
MoreMast+8

Oct. 30, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-18FL-18
Oct 27-29, 2018
475 LV
Oct 27-29, 2018
475LVBaer
44%

Baer

44%

Mast

53%
53%
MastMast+9

Oct. 4, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-18FL-18
Sep 11-16, 2018
600 LV
Sep 11-16, 2018
600LVBaer
44%

Baer

44%

Mast

50%
50%
MastMast+6

Oct. 3, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-18FL-18
Sep 26-30, 2018
400 LV
Sep 26-30, 2018
400LVBaer
45%

Baer

45%

Mast

48%
48%
MastMast+3
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