UPDATED Apr. 12, 2021, at 10:14 AM

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Who’s ahead in New York’s 24th District?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 2, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-24NY-24
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
738 LV
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
738LVBalter
46%

Balter

46%

Katko

44%

Williams

4%
MoreBalter+2

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 25, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-24NY-24
Oct 20-22, 2020
558 LV
Oct 20-22, 2020
558LVBalter
45%
Tie

Balter

45%

Katko

45%

Williams

5%
MoreEven

Oct. 22, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-24NY-24
Oct 15-18, 2020
400 LV
Oct 15-18, 2020
400LVBalter
39%

Balter

39%

Katko

47%

Williams

3%
MoreKatko+8

Oct. 15, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-24NY-24
Oct 13-14, 2020
789 RV
Oct 13-14, 2020
789RVBalter
45%

Balter

45%

Katko

43%
43%
KatkoBalter+2

Oct. 4, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-24NY-24
Sep 27-29, 2020
414 LV
Sep 27-29, 2020
414LVBalter
45%

Balter

45%

Katko

42%
42%
KatkoBalter+3
U.S. House
NY-24NY-24
Sep 27-29, 2020
414 LV
Sep 27-29, 2020
414LVBalter
42%

Balter

42%

Katko

40%

Williams

6%
MoreBalter+2
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