UPDATED Apr. 12, 2021, at 10:14 AM

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Who’s ahead in New York’s 23rd District?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 6, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-23NY-23
Sep 28-29, 2020
1,228 V
Sep 28-29, 2020
1,228VMitrano
40%

Mitrano

40%

Reed

47%
47%
ReedReed+7

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Aug. 25, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-23NY-23
Jul 23-26, 2020
502 LV
Jul 23-26, 2020
502LVMitrano
38%

Mitrano

38%

Reed

50%
50%
ReedReed+12

Oct. 25, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-23NY-23
Oct 23-24, 2018
510 LV
Oct 23-24, 2018
510LVMitrano
47%

Mitrano

47%

Reed

49%
49%
ReedReed+2

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