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Who’s ahead in the New York 23rd District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 28, 2020

U.S. House, NY-23, 2020

1,228V
Sep.28-29
1,228V
Mitrano
40%
Mitrano
40%

Mitrano

40%

Reed

47%
47%
Reed  Reed+7

July 25, 2020

U.S. House, NY-23, 2020

502LV
Jul.23-26
502LV
Mitrano
38%
Mitrano
38%

Mitrano

38%

Reed

50%
50%
Reed  Reed+12

Oct. 23, 2018

U.S. House, NY-23, 2018

510LV
Oct.23-24
510LV
Mitrano
47%
Mitrano
47%

Mitrano

47%

Reed

49%
49%
Reed  Reed+2
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Candidate is an incumbent

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