Updated Jun. 23, 2018 at 1:19 AM

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Mariners have a 63% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1528, down 8 points from last week.

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros50-27>99%92%
MarinersMariners46-303.563%6%
AngelsAngels41-358.520%1%
AthleticsAthletics39-3710.59%<1%
RangersRangers33-4417.0<1%<1%

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/23Saturday, June 237:15 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15287+0=152139%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1575+2+24=160161%
6/24Sunday, June 241:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15289+0=151934%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1575+38+24=163766%
6/25Monday, June 257:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1528112=151558%
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14361+21=145642%
6/26Tuesday, June 267:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1528+28+0=155661%
BALBALOrioles
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1436+15+24=147539%
6/27Wednesday, June 277:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
15288+0=152059%
BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
14362+24=145841%
6/28Thursday, June 283:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15287+0=152155%
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1436+24+24=148445%
6/29Friday, June 2910:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Kennedy, Ian
Kennedy
1418102=140632%
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15289+20=153968%
6/30Saturday, June 3010:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Hammel, Jason
Hammel
14184+0=141433%
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
152811+24=154167%
7/1Sunday, July 14:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1418+10+0=142829%
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1528+28+24=158071%
7/3Tuesday, July 310:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
151912=151646%
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
15288+26=154654%
7/4Wednesday, July 44:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
15198+0=151145%
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15287+24=154555%
7/5Thursday, July 510:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
151913+0=150645%
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15289+24=154355%
7/6Friday, July 610:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
148761=148041%
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
152811+24=154159%
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Bettis, Chad
Bettis
148710+0=147736%
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1528+28+24=158064%
7/8Sunday, July 84:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1487+7+0=149443%
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
15288+24=154457%
7/10Tuesday, July 1010:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
152811=152647%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+26=154553%
7/11Wednesday, July 1110:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152748%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+24=154352%
7/12Thursday, July 1210:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152748%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+24=154352%
7/13Friday, July 138:40 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
152813=152452%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1487+1+24=151248%
7/14Saturday, July 149:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152752%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1487+1+24=151248%
7/15Sunday, July 153:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152752%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1487+1+24=151248%
7/20Friday, July 2010:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+3=144034%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+28=155566%
7/21Saturday, July 2110:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+0=143734%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155166%
7/22Sunday, July 224:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+0=143734%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155166%
7/24Tuesday, July 2410:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1501+11=150143%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+26=155357%
7/25Wednesday, July 254:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1501+1+0=150243%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155157%
7/27Friday, July 2710:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
152811=152648%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+24=154352%
7/28Saturday, July 289:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152748%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+24=154352%
7/29Sunday, July 294:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152748%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+24=154352%
7/30Monday, July 3010:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1608+04=160458%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+21=154842%
7/31Tuesday, July 3110:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1608+0+0=160858%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155142%
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 14:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1608+0+0=160858%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155142%
8/2Thursday, Aug. 210:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1487+23=148641%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155159%
8/3Friday, Aug. 310:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+0=148941%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155159%
8/4Saturday, Aug. 410:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+0=148941%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155159%
8/5Sunday, Aug. 54:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+0=148941%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155159%
8/6Monday, Aug. 68:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
152814=152352%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150948%
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152753%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150947%
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 82:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152753%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150947%
8/9Thursday, Aug. 98:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
152812=152535%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1608+0+22=163065%
8/10Friday, Aug. 108:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152735%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1608+0+24=163265%
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152735%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1608+0+24=163265%
8/12Sunday, Aug. 122:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152735%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1608+0+24=163265%
8/13Monday, Aug. 1310:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
152814=152349%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+22=152951%
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 1410:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152750%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153150%
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 153:35 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152750%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153150%
8/17Friday, Aug. 1710:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1557+21=155851%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+23=155049%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 1810:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1557+2+0=155951%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155149%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 194:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1557+2+0=155951%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155149%
8/20Monday, Aug. 2010:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1608+03=160558%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155142%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 2110:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1608+0+0=160858%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155142%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 224:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1608+0+0=160858%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155142%
8/24Friday, Aug. 249:40 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
152811=152645%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+26=156255%
8/25Saturday, Aug. 258:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152745%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156055%
8/26Sunday, Aug. 264:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152745%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156055%
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 2810:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152756%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+25=148644%
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 293:40 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152756%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148544%
8/30Thursday, Aug. 3010:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
152812=152550%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+20=152750%
8/31Friday, Aug. 3110:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152750%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153150%
9/1Saturday, Sept. 19:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152750%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153150%
9/2Sunday, Sept. 24:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152750%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153150%
9/3Monday, Sept. 39:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1436+34=143534%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+21=154866%
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 410:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1436+3+0=143934%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155166%
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 510:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1436+3+0=143934%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155166%
9/7Friday, Sept. 710:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
159031=158655%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+26=155345%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 89:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15903+0=158755%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155145%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 94:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15903+0=158755%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155145%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 1110:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1461+02=145937%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+26=155363%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 126:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146137%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155163%
9/13Thursday, Sept. 1310:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
152813=152447%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+24=154353%
9/14Friday, Sept. 1410:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152748%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+24=154352%
9/15Saturday, Sept. 159:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152748%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+24=154352%
9/16Sunday, Sept. 164:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152748%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+24=154352%
9/17Monday, Sept. 178:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
152813=152435%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1608+0+24=163265%
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 188:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152735%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1608+0+24=163265%
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 198:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152735%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1608+0+24=163265%
9/21Friday, Sept. 218:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152752%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+26=151148%
9/22Saturday, Sept. 228:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152753%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150947%
9/23Sunday, Sept. 233:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152753%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150947%
9/24Monday, Sept. 2410:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1506+13=150444%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+20=154756%
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 2510:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+0=150744%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155156%
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 2610:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+0=150744%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155156%
9/27Thursday, Sept. 2710:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1484+13=148240%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155160%
9/28Friday, Sept. 2810:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148541%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155159%
9/29Saturday, Sept. 299:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148541%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155159%
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148541%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155159%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
153052=152342%10
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wright, Steven
Wright
157316+21=157858%14
6/21Thursday, June 211:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1531+30+0=156138%3
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1591+35+24=165062%4
6/20Wednesday, June 207:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
153215+0=151740%5
NYYNYYYankees
Loaisiga, Jonathan
Loaisiga
158927+24=158660%7
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
153582=152542%2
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
158726+22=158358%7
6/17Sunday, June 174:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1572+1+0=157353%9
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15386+24=155647%3
6/16Saturday, June 168:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Wright, Steven
Wright
157416+0=155852%0
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
153614+24=154648%1
6/15Friday, June 1510:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
157510+0=156545%6
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1535+38+24=159755%7
6/14Thursday, June 1410:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1574+24=157254%2
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
153617+24=154346%1
6/13Wednesday, June 134:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Richards, Garrett
Richards
1519+11+0=153047%6
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15357+24=155253%8
6/12Tuesday, June 1210:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1521+6+0=152747%3
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15327+24=154953%6
6/11Monday, June 1110:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
152323=151847%3
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
153114+20=153753%5
6/10Sunday, June 101:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1530+37+0=156757%5
TBTBRays
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1495+2+24=152143%4
6/9Saturday, June 94:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
153213+0=151946%3
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1493+30+24=154754%7
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
153111+0=152052%4
TBTBRays
Font, Wilmer
Font
149415+24=150348%3
6/7Thursday, June 77:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
152993=151752%5
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
149515+21=150148%4
6/6Wednesday, June 68:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
153112+0=151938%5
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
159316+24=160162%7
6/5Tuesday, June 58:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1527+352=156043%7
HOUHOUAstros
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
159714+26=160957%1
6/3Sunday, June 34:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1501+24+0=152549%1
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
152517+24=153251%2
6/2Saturday, June 210:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
1503+7+0=151046%1
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
152412+24=153654%3
6/1Friday, June 110:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Romo, Sergio
Romo
1504213=148042%3
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15239+24=153858%4
5/31Thursday, May 3110:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1482+1+0=148343%1
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
152010+24=153457%6
5/30Wednesday, May 3010:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Moore, Matt
Moore
148024+0=145632%7
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1522+39+24=158568%6
5/29Tuesday, May 2910:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Bibens-Dirkx, Austin
Bibens-Dirkx
14771+0=147641%9
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
152514+24=153559%5
5/28Monday, May 284:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Fister, Doug
Fister
1478+14=147542%1
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
152415+24=153358%2
5/27Sunday, May 274:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1501+11+0=151247%1
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
152314+24=153353%3
5/26Saturday, May 2610:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1502+4+0=150646%3
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
152111+24=153454%4
5/25Friday, May 2510:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Romero, Fernando
Romero
1503+11=150339%1
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1520+38+21=157961%2
5/24Thursday, May 243:35 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
152212+0=151048%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Lucas, Josh
Lucas
15056+24=152352%4
5/23Wednesday, May 2310:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
152019+0=150151%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Gossett, Daniel
Gossett
150734+24=149749%0
5/22Tuesday, May 2210:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1519141=150447%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
15083+22=152753%2
5/20Sunday, May 204:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Liriano, Francisco
Liriano
1450+2+0=145238%2
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
15188+24=153462%3
5/19Saturday, May 199:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
14518+0=144332%2
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1516+36+24=157668%7
5/18Friday, May 1810:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
1452+20+0=147242%4
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
15159+24=153058%5
5/17Thursday, May 1710:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1451+104=145741%3
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
151721+24=152059%2
5/16Wednesday, May 163:40 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Colon, Bartolo
Colon
14797+0=147243%5
SEASEAMariners
Bergman, Christian
Bergman
152024+24=152057%1
5/15Tuesday, May 1510:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1480+92=148744%8
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15199+21=153156%9
5/14Monday, May 147:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1517123=150247%1
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1506+0+20=152653%0
5/13Sunday, May 131:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1519+39+0=155863%4
DETDETTigers
Hardy, Blaine
Hardy
14473+24=146837%5
5/12Saturday, May 127:40 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
15175+0=151252%9
DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
1449+24+24=149748%5
5/12Saturday, May 124:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
151817+0=150153%3
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1448+7+26=148147%4
5/10Thursday, May 107:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
151411+0=150341%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1512+27+24=156359%3
5/9Wednesday, May 97:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
151615+0=150148%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
151017+24=151752%5
5/8Tuesday, May 87:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1513+332=154451%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1513+3+23=153949%0
5/6Sunday, May 64:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
15214+0=151746%8
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1517+1+24=154254%2
5/5Saturday, May 59:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1522+8+0=153051%8
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
151615+24=152549%9
5/4Friday, May 410:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Richards, Garrett
Richards
1519+133=152949%5
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15199+24=153451%0
5/3Thursday, May 310:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1499+28+0=152751%1
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
151617+24=152349%4
5/2Wednesday, May 210:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
149722+0=147537%3
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1518+27+24=156963%2
5/1Tuesday, May 110:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Triggs, Andrew
Triggs
149912=149644%3
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1516+1+22=153956%6
4/29Sunday, April 291:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
151216+0=149643%10
CLECLEIndians
Tomlin, Josh
Tomlin
156542+24=154757%4
4/28Saturday, April 284:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15078+0=149934%12
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1571+19+24=161466%4
4/27Friday, April 277:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Ramirez, Erasmo
Ramirez
1508+1+0=150933%5
CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1570+38+24=163267%6
4/26Thursday, April 266:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1506+262=153041%5
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
15725+24=159159%4
4/25Wednesday, April 252:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1505+1+0=150658%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
143911+24=145242%3
4/24Tuesday, April 245:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
150425+0=147953%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Volstad, Chris
Volstad
14405+24=145947%0
4/23Monday, April 238:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1508+13=150657%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Fulmer, Carson
Fulmer
14368+24=145243%10
4/22Sunday, April 223:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Ramirez, Erasmo
Ramirez
1510+3+0=151354%4
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
148118+24=148746%7
4/21Saturday, April 218:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1508+27+0=153556%9
TEXTEXRangers
Colon, Bartolo
Colon
148312+24=149544%7
4/20Friday, April 208:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
150634=149948%6
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1486+8+23=151752%2
4/19Thursday, April 193:40 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Morton, Charlie
Morton
15796+0=157360%9
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
150833+24=149940%2
4/18Wednesday, April 1810:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
15765+0=157155%7
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1511+1+24=153645%1
4/17Tuesday, April 1710:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
157423+0=155153%4
SEASEAMariners
Miranda, Ariel
Miranda
15139+24=152847%1
4/16Monday, April 1610:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
157564=156550%1
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1512+27+24=156350%2
4/15Sunday, April 154:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1484+16+0=150045%2
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
15145+24=153355%1
4/14Saturday, April 149:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Graveman, Kendall
Graveman
14869+0=147746%8
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
151232+24=150454%10
4/13Friday, April 1310:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Triggs, Andrew
Triggs
1487+61=149244%4
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1510+3+22=153556%7
4/11Wednesday, April 112:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1509+26+0=153557%4
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1454+10+24=148843%2
4/10Tuesday, April 108:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
15065+0=150158%8
KCKCRoyals
Skoglund, Eric
Skoglund
145734+24=144742%3
4/9Monday, April 98:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
151127+0=148450%0
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1452+11+21=148450%10
4/7Saturday, April 72:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1507+2+2=151144%11
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1518+6+26=155056%4
4/5Thursday, April 54:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1508+244=152849%2
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15161+21=153651%4
4/4Wednesday, April 47:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1512+4+0=151649%1
SFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1492+10+24=152651%10
4/3Tuesday, April 34:35 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1510291=148047%6
SFSFGiants
Blach, Ty
Blach
149415+24=150353%4
4/1Sunday, April 14:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
15769+0=156755%4
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15091+24=153245%5
3/31Saturday, March 314:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1574+16+2=159254%6
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1510+28+26=156446%5
3/29Thursday, March 2910 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1576+374=160961%1
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
15081+24=153139%2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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