Updated Aug. 16, 2018 at 2:18 AM

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Mariners have a 20% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1513, up 9 points from last week.

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros74-4798%77%
AthleticsAthletics72-492.082%21%
MarinersMariners70-524.520%2%
AngelsAngels62-6012.5<1%<1%
RangersRangers53-6921.5<1%<1%

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/17Friday, Aug. 1710:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1553+61=155853%
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
15132+23=153447%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 1810:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1553+3+0=155654%
SEASEAMariners
Ramirez, Erasmo
Ramirez
15138+24=152946%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 194:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1553+23+0=157656%
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15133+24=153444%
8/20Monday, Aug. 2010:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1587+113=159562%
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
151330+24=150738%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 2110:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+0=158756%
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1513+5+24=154244%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 224 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Morton, Charlie
Morton
15871+0=158657%
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
15132+24=153543%
8/24Friday, Aug. 249:40 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Ramirez, Erasmo
Ramirez
151381=150443%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
15295+26=155057%
8/25Saturday, Aug. 258:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15133+0=151044%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
15293+24=155056%
8/26Sunday, Aug. 264:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+0=150741%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1529+21+24=157459%
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 2810:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1513+5+0=151854%
SDSDPadres
Nix, Jacob
Nix
1448+16+25=148946%
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 293:40 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
15132+0=151153%
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1448+19+24=149147%
8/30Thursday, Aug. 3010:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Ramirez, Erasmo
Ramirez
151382=150340%
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1546+6+20=157260%
8/31Friday, Aug. 3110:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+0=150741%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15462+24=156859%
9/1Saturday, Sept. 19:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+0=150741%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15462+24=156859%
9/2Sunday, Sept. 24:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+0=150741%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15462+24=156859%
9/3Monday, Sept. 39:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1422+04=141835%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+21=152865%
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 410:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1422+0+0=142235%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+24=153165%
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 510:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1422+0+0=142235%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+24=153165%
9/7Friday, Sept. 710:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1572+31=157456%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+26=153344%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 89:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1572+3+0=157556%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+24=153144%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 94:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1572+3+0=157556%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+24=153144%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 1110:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1448+62=145238%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+26=153362%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 126:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1448+6+0=145439%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+24=153161%
9/13Thursday, Sept. 1310:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
151363=150445%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
15172+24=153955%
9/14Friday, Sept. 1410:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+0=150746%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
15172+24=153954%
9/15Saturday, Sept. 159:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+0=150746%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
15172+24=153954%
9/16Sunday, Sept. 164:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+0=150746%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
15172+24=153954%
9/17Monday, Sept. 178:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
151363=150435%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161165%
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 188:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+0=150736%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161164%
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 198:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+0=150736%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161164%
9/21Friday, Sept. 218:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+0=150749%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14922+26=151651%
9/22Saturday, Sept. 228:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+0=150749%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14922+24=151451%
9/23Sunday, Sept. 233:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+0=150749%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14922+24=151451%
9/24Monday, Sept. 2410:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
154623=154152%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+20=152748%
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 2510:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15462+0=154452%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+24=153148%
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 2610:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15462+0=154452%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+24=153148%
9/27Thursday, Sept. 2710:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
149223=148744%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+24=153156%
9/28Friday, Sept. 2810:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14922+0=149044%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+24=153156%
9/29Saturday, Sept. 299:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14922+0=149044%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+24=153156%
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14922+0=149044%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15136+24=153156%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 153:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15112+0=150944%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
154821+24=155156%0
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 1410:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1512+30+0=154245%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1547+7+24=157855%3
8/13Monday, Aug. 1310:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1513+04=150941%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1546+9+22=157759%7
8/12Sunday, Aug. 122:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Ramirez, Erasmo
Ramirez
151211+0=150136%4
HOUHOUAstros
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
158911+24=160264%3
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
15102+0=150835%3
HOUHOUAstros
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1591+1+24=161665%2
8/10Friday, Aug. 108:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15063+0=150333%5
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1594+9+24=162767%2
8/9Thursday, Aug. 98:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1504+332=153535%8
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1597+26+22=164565%6
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 82:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1506+7+0=151352%7
TEXTEXRangers
Gallardo, Yovani
Gallardo
148914+24=149948%11
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
151023+0=148748%4
TEXTEXRangers
Colon, Bartolo
Colon
148612+24=149852%11
8/6Monday, Aug. 68:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1508104=149449%4
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
148712+24=149951%3
8/5Sunday, Aug. 54:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Gaviglio, Sam
Gaviglio
148817+0=147142%3
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15075+24=152658%6
8/4Saturday, Aug. 410 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
1484+1+0=148539%5
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1510+32+24=156661%1
8/3Friday, Aug. 310:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Borucki, Ryan
Borucki
1481+5+0=148642%7
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1514+7+24=154558%2
8/2Thursday, Aug. 210:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Clippard, Tyler
Clippard
147883=146743%7
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
151723+24=151857%3
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 14:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
158613+0=157355%8
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
15194+24=153945%3
7/31Tuesday, July 3110:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Morton, Charlie
Morton
15842+0=158256%5
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15216+24=153944%2
7/30Monday, July 3010:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1586+94=159154%0
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1519+26+21=156646%2
7/29Sunday, July 294 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1517+6+0=152347%8
LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
15191+24=154253%5
7/28Saturday, July 289:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
152018+0=150246%5
LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
15169+24=153154%11
7/27Friday, July 2710:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
152151=151546%3
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1515+3+24=154254%4
7/25Wednesday, July 254:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
150411+0=149344%2
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15208+24=153656%3
7/24Tuesday, July 2410:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
1503+121=151448%4
SEASEAMariners
Elias, Roenis
Elias
152119+26=152852%3
7/22Sunday, July 224:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1440+5+0=144536%2
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1519+4+24=154764%8
7/21Saturday, July 2110:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
143622+0=141434%5
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
152316+24=153166%0
7/20Friday, July 2010 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1437+7+3=144737%1
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
152210+28=154063%3
7/15Sunday, July 153:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
152311+0=151245%3
COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1508+16+24=154855%4
7/14Saturday, July 149:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
15259+0=151648%1
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15071+24=153052%4
7/13Friday, July 138:40 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Bergman, Christian
Bergman
1527243=150048%7
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
150516+24=151352%10
7/12Thursday, July 1210:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1532+31+0=156352%2
LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1510+13+24=154748%11
7/11Wednesday, July 1110:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15292+0=152749%3
LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
15125+24=153151%0
7/10Tuesday, July 1010:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
153351=152748%3
LAALAAAngels
Richards, Garrett
Richards
1509+8+26=154352%9
7/8Sunday, July 84:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
149912+0=148742%4
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
15319+24=154658%6
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1496+10+0=150638%5
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1535+31+24=159062%1
7/6Friday, July 610:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1492101=148141%7
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
153917+24=154659%1
7/5Thursday, July 510 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
15103+0=150743%1
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15377+24=155457%4
7/4Wednesday, July 44:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Richards, Garrett
Richards
1507+11+0=151844%7
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15392+24=156156%4
7/3Tuesday, July 310:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
150962=150143%1
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
153813+26=155157%4
7/1Sunday, July 14:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1417+12+0=142929%0
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1537+27+24=158871%1
6/30Saturday, June 3010:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Hammel, Jason
Hammel
141811+0=140731%4
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
153614+24=154669%6
6/29Friday, June 2910:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Kennedy, Ian
Kennedy
141962=141132%1
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
153511+20=154468%4
6/28Thursday, June 283:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15331+0=153261%4
BALBALOrioles
Yacabonis, Jimmy
Yacabonis
14342+24=145639%2
6/27Wednesday, June 277:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
153210+0=152259%8
BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
14353+24=145641%7
6/26Tuesday, June 267:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1531+26+0=155762%3
BALBALOrioles
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1436+15+24=147538%2
6/25Monday, June 257:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1530132=151558%5
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1437+0+21=145842%3
6/24Sunday, June 241:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
153211+0=152134%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1571+39+24=163466%5
6/23Saturday, June 237:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15287+0=152139%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1575+2+24=160161%2
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
153052=152342%10
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wright, Steven
Wright
157316+21=157858%14
6/21Thursday, June 211:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1531+30+0=156138%3
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1591+35+24=165062%4
6/20Wednesday, June 207:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
153215+0=151740%5
NYYNYYYankees
Loaisiga, Jonathan
Loaisiga
158927+24=158660%7
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
153582=152542%2
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
158726+22=158358%7
6/17Sunday, June 174:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1572+1+0=157353%9
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15386+24=155647%3
6/16Saturday, June 168:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Wright, Steven
Wright
157416+0=155852%0
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
153614+24=154648%1
6/15Friday, June 1510:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
157510+0=156545%6
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1535+38+24=159755%7
6/14Thursday, June 1410:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1574+24=157254%2
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
153617+24=154346%1
6/13Wednesday, June 134:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Richards, Garrett
Richards
1519+11+0=153047%6
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15357+24=155253%8
6/12Tuesday, June 1210:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1521+6+0=152747%3
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15327+24=154953%6
6/11Monday, June 1110:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
152323=151847%3
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
153114+20=153753%5
6/10Sunday, June 101:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1530+37+0=156757%5
TBTBRays
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1495+2+24=152143%4
6/9Saturday, June 94:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
153213+0=151946%3
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1493+30+24=154754%7
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
153111+0=152052%4
TBTBRays
Font, Wilmer
Font
149415+24=150348%3
6/7Thursday, June 77:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
152993=151752%5
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
149515+21=150148%4
6/6Wednesday, June 68:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
153112+0=151938%5
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
159316+24=160162%7
6/5Tuesday, June 58:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1527+352=156043%7
HOUHOUAstros
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
159714+26=160957%1
6/3Sunday, June 34:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1501+24+0=152549%1
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
152517+24=153251%2
6/2Saturday, June 210:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
1503+7+0=151046%1
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
152412+24=153654%3
6/1Friday, June 110:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Romo, Sergio
Romo
1504213=148042%3
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15239+24=153858%4
5/31Thursday, May 3110:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1482+1+0=148343%1
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
152010+24=153457%6
5/30Wednesday, May 3010:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Moore, Matt
Moore
148024+0=145632%7
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1522+39+24=158568%6
5/29Tuesday, May 2910:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Bibens-Dirkx, Austin
Bibens-Dirkx
14771+0=147641%9
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
152514+24=153559%5
5/28Monday, May 284:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Fister, Doug
Fister
1478+14=147542%1
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
152415+24=153358%2
5/27Sunday, May 274:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1501+11+0=151247%1
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
152314+24=153353%3
5/26Saturday, May 2610:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1502+4+0=150646%3
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
152111+24=153454%4
5/25Friday, May 2510:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Romero, Fernando
Romero
1503+11=150339%1
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1520+38+21=157961%2
5/24Thursday, May 243:35 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
152212+0=151048%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Lucas, Josh
Lucas
15056+24=152352%4
5/23Wednesday, May 2310:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
152019+0=150151%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Gossett, Daniel
Gossett
150734+24=149749%0
5/22Tuesday, May 2210:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1519141=150447%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
15083+22=152753%2
5/20Sunday, May 204:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Liriano, Francisco
Liriano
1450+2+0=145238%2
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
15188+24=153462%3
5/19Saturday, May 199:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
14518+0=144332%2
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1516+36+24=157668%7
5/18Friday, May 1810:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
1452+20+0=147242%4
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
15159+24=153058%5
5/17Thursday, May 1710:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1451+104=145741%3
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
151721+24=152059%2
5/16Wednesday, May 163:40 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Colon, Bartolo
Colon
14797+0=147243%5
SEASEAMariners
Bergman, Christian
Bergman
152024+24=152057%1
5/15Tuesday, May 1510:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1480+92=148744%8
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15199+21=153156%9
5/14Monday, May 147:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1517123=150247%1
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1506+0+20=152653%0
5/13Sunday, May 131:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1519+39+0=155863%4
DETDETTigers
Hardy, Blaine
Hardy
14473+24=146837%5
5/12Saturday, May 127:40 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
15175+0=151252%9
DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
1449+24+24=149748%5
5/12Saturday, May 124:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
151817+0=150153%3
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1448+7+26=148147%4
5/10Thursday, May 107:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
151411+0=150341%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1512+27+24=156359%3
5/9Wednesday, May 97:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
151615+0=150148%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
151017+24=151752%5
5/8Tuesday, May 87:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1513+332=154451%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1513+3+23=153949%0
5/6Sunday, May 64:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
15214+0=151746%8
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1517+1+24=154254%2
5/5Saturday, May 59:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1522+8+0=153051%8
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
151615+24=152549%9
5/4Friday, May 410:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Richards, Garrett
Richards
1519+133=152949%5
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15199+24=153451%0
5/3Thursday, May 310:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1499+28+0=152751%1
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
151617+24=152349%4
5/2Wednesday, May 210:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
149722+0=147537%3
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1518+27+24=156963%2
5/1Tuesday, May 110:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Triggs, Andrew
Triggs
149912=149644%3
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1516+1+22=153956%6
4/29Sunday, April 291:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
151216+0=149643%10
CLECLEIndians
Tomlin, Josh
Tomlin
156542+24=154757%4
4/28Saturday, April 284:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15078+0=149934%12
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1571+19+24=161466%4
4/27Friday, April 277:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Ramirez, Erasmo
Ramirez
1508+1+0=150933%5
CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1570+38+24=163267%6
4/26Thursday, April 266:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1506+262=153041%5
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
15725+24=159159%4
4/25Wednesday, April 252:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1505+1+0=150658%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
143911+24=145242%3
4/24Tuesday, April 245:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
150425+0=147953%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Volstad, Chris
Volstad
14405+24=145947%0
4/23Monday, April 238:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1508+13=150657%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Fulmer, Carson
Fulmer
14368+24=145243%10
4/22Sunday, April 223:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Ramirez, Erasmo
Ramirez
1510+3+0=151354%4
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
148118+24=148746%7
4/21Saturday, April 218:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1508+27+0=153556%9
TEXTEXRangers
Colon, Bartolo
Colon
148312+24=149544%7
4/20Friday, April 208:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
150634=149948%6
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1486+8+23=151752%2
4/19Thursday, April 193:40 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Morton, Charlie
Morton
15796+0=157360%9
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
150833+24=149940%2
4/18Wednesday, April 1810:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
15765+0=157155%7
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1511+1+24=153645%1
4/17Tuesday, April 1710:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
157423+0=155153%4
SEASEAMariners
Miranda, Ariel
Miranda
15139+24=152847%1
4/16Monday, April 1610:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
157564=156550%1
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1512+27+24=156350%2
4/15Sunday, April 154:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1484+16+0=150045%2
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
15145+24=153355%1
4/14Saturday, April 149:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Graveman, Kendall
Graveman
14869+0=147746%8
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
151232+24=150454%10
4/13Friday, April 1310:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Triggs, Andrew
Triggs
1487+61=149244%4
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1510+3+22=153556%7
4/11Wednesday, April 112:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1509+26+0=153557%4
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1454+10+24=148843%2
4/10Tuesday, April 108:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
15065+0=150158%8
KCKCRoyals
Skoglund, Eric
Skoglund
145734+24=144742%3
4/9Monday, April 98:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
151127+0=148450%0
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1452+11+21=148450%10
4/7Saturday, April 72:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1507+2+2=151144%11
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1518+6+26=155056%4
4/5Thursday, April 54:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1508+244=152849%2
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15161+21=153651%4
4/4Wednesday, April 47:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1512+4+0=151649%1
SFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1492+10+24=152651%10
4/3Tuesday, April 34:35 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1510291=148047%6
SFSFGiants
Blach, Ty
Blach
149415+24=150353%4
4/1Sunday, April 14:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
15769+0=156755%4
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15091+24=153245%5
3/31Saturday, March 314:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1574+16+2=159254%6
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1510+28+26=156446%5
3/29Thursday, March 2910 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1576+374=160961%1
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
15081+24=153139%2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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