Updated Aug. 16, 2018 at 2:18 AM

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The White Sox have a <1% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1435, down 1 point from last week.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
IndiansIndians69-51>99%>99%
TwinsTwins56-6312.5<1%<1%
TigersTigers50-7119.5<1%<1%
White SoxWhite Sox44-7625.0<1%<1%
RoyalsRoyals36-8433.0<1%<1%

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/17Friday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1410+82=141643%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1435+2+24=146157%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1410+15+0=142549%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
143525+24=143451%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 192:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
1410+4+0=141444%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
14352+24=145756%
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
143552=142835%
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1495+15+24=153465%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 218:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Santana, Ervin
Santana
1495+22=149549%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1435+43+22=150051%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 222:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1495+15+0=151057%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1435+2+24=146143%
8/23Thursday, Aug. 231:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
1435252=140839%
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1444+15+24=148361%
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
14352+0=143345%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14443+24=146555%
8/25Saturday, Aug. 256:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14355+0=143044%
DETDETTigers
Hardy, Blaine
Hardy
1444+2+24=147056%
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1435+43+0=147853%
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
144411+24=145747%
8/27Monday, Aug. 277 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1435+22=143527%
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1572+11+22=160573%
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
143525+0=141027%
NYYNYYYankees
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
157212+24=158473%
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
14352+0=143328%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1572+3+24=159972%
8/30Thursday, Aug. 308:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1603+573=165777%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14355+21=145123%
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1603+2+0=160570%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+24=146130%
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1603+2+0=160570%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+24=146130%
9/2Sunday, Sept. 22:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1603+2+0=160570%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+24=146130%
9/3Monday, Sept. 32:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
144433=143847%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+24=146153%
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14443+0=144147%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+24=146153%
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14443+0=144147%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+24=146153%
9/7Friday, Sept. 78:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
151721=151457%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+26=146343%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
15172+0=151558%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+24=146142%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 92:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
15172+0=151558%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+24=146142%
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+22=143550%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1410+6+22=143850%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+0=143750%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1410+6+24=144050%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 128:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+0=143750%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1410+6+24=144050%
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+21=143649%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1422+0+24=144651%
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+0=143749%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1422+0+24=144651%
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+0=143749%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1422+0+24=144651%
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+0=143730%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15658+26=158370%
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+0=143730%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15658+24=158170%
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+0=143730%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15658+24=158170%
9/21Friday, Sept. 214:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1544+32=154562%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+22=145938%
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1544+3+0=154762%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+24=146138%
9/23Sunday, Sept. 232:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1544+3+0=154762%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+24=146138%
9/24Monday, Sept. 248:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
156582=155563%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+24=146137%
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15658+0=155763%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+24=146137%
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 268:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15658+0=155763%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+24=146137%
9/28Friday, Sept. 282:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+0=143738%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1495+2+24=152162%
9/28Friday, Sept. 288:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+0=143738%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1495+2+24=152162%
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+0=143738%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1495+2+24=152162%
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+0=143738%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1495+2+24=152162%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 151:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1434+42+0=147652%6
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14457+24=146248%5
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14315+0=142643%6
DETDETTigers
Hardy, Blaine
Hardy
1447+5+24=147657%3
8/13Monday, Aug. 137:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1434+12=143347%5
DETDETTigers
Lewicki, Artie
Lewicki
144516+24=145353%9
8/12Sunday, Aug. 122:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1558+3+0=156167%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
143521+24=143833%7
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1557+21+0=157866%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1436+0+24=146034%1
8/10Friday, Aug. 108:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1558342=152254%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1434+37+26=149746%1
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1575+15+0=159068%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14362+24=145832%3
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15756+0=156966%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
14363+24=145734%3
8/6Monday, Aug. 68 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1572203=154966%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
143921+21=143934%0
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1437+3+0=144038%8
TBTBRays
Wood, Hunter
Wood
150910+24=152362%7
8/4Saturday, Aug. 46:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1435+38+0=147337%2
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1511+30+24=156563%1
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
143353=142536%3
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
15139+24=152864%2
8/2Thursday, Aug. 22:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1419+6+0=142546%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
14314+24=145154%6
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 18:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
14161+0=141546%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
143517+24=144254%5
7/31Tuesday, July 318:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1414+181=143145%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1437+4+26=146755%2
7/29Sunday, July 292:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Borucki, Ryan
Borucki
14832+0=148147%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1439+37+24=150053%4
7/28Saturday, July 287:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Axford, John
Axford
148510+0=147552%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14361+24=145948%9
7/27Friday, July 278:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1483+6+0=148954%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1439+3+20=146246%5
7/26Thursday, July 264:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
144014+0=142636%8
LAALAAAngels
Tropeano, Nick
Tropeano
15139+24=152864%12
7/25Wednesday, July 2510:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1443+7+0=145036%3
LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1511+14+24=154964%11
7/24Tuesday, July 2410:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1441+28+0=146941%4
LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
15132+24=153559%2
7/23Monday, July 2310:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
143843=143136%5
LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
15155+24=153464%3
7/22Sunday, July 224:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1440+5+0=144536%2
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1519+4+24=154764%8
7/21Saturday, July 2110:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
143622+0=141434%5
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
152316+24=153166%0
7/20Friday, July 2010 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1437+7+3=144737%1
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
152210+28=154063%3
7/15Sunday, July 152:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Smith, Burch
Smith
14113+0=140844%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14348+24=145056%10
7/14Saturday, July 142:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1408+17+0=142544%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1437+9+24=147056%0
7/13Friday, July 138:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1410+18+0=142844%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1435+6+26=146756%9
7/11Wednesday, July 118:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
151812+0=150653%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1433+26+24=148347%4
7/10Tuesday, July 108:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1515+192=153263%14
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
143618+23=144137%2
7/8Sunday, July 82:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
143610+0=142625%1
HOUHOUAstros
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
160919+24=161475%2
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1438+13+0=145126%6
HOUHOUAstros
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1607+0+24=163174%12
7/6Friday, July 68:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1439+12+0=145128%4
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
160611+24=161972%11
7/5Thursday, July 58:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1440+263=146325%3
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1605+30+22=165775%4
7/4Wednesday, July 47 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
144118+0=142340%4
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14741+24=149760%7
7/3Tuesday, July 37:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14386+0=143237%12
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1477+21+24=152263%8
7/2Monday, July 27:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1439+93=144541%3
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1476+10+24=151059%5
7/1Sunday, July 13:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1436+10+0=144636%10
TEXTEXRangers
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1493+25+24=154264%5
6/30Saturday, June 309:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1439+28+0=146745%4
TEXTEXRangers
Colon, Bartolo
Colon
149013+24=150155%13
6/29Friday, June 298:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
144293=143042%3
TEXTEXRangers
Gallardo, Yovani
Gallardo
148726+26=148758%11
6/28Thursday, June 282:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
149413+0=148153%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
144310+24=145747%1
6/27Wednesday, June 278:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1498+11+0=150956%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1440+3+24=146744%6
6/26Tuesday, June 268:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
15003+0=149754%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1437+9+26=147246%8
6/24Sunday, June 242:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
15079+0=149852%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1434+25+24=148348%10
6/23Saturday, June 232:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
1506+4+0=151058%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
14355+24=145442%6
6/22Friday, June 228 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
15082+0=150658%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
143310+24=144742%6
6/22Friday, June 224:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1504+132=151557%11
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1436+7+24=146743%2
6/20Wednesday, June 201:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1438+11+0=144928%0
CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1553+35+24=161272%12
6/19Tuesday, June 197:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1440+23+0=146334%3
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
15522+24=157466%6
6/18Monday, June 187:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
144132=143630%2
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1551+10+24=158570%6
6/17Sunday, June 172:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Hardy, Blaine
Hardy
1462+9+0=147150%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1443+7+24=147450%1
6/16Saturday, June 162:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
146017+0=144348%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
144410+24=145852%5
6/15Friday, June 158:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
145972=145045%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1446+12+24=148255%3
6/14Thursday, June 142:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
15555+0=155058%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1448+21+24=149342%2
6/13Wednesday, June 138:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1557+6+0=156364%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
14467+24=146336%3
6/12Tuesday, June 128:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
156037+0=152358%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1443+3+24=147042%5
6/11Monday, June 118:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1558+22=155864%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14448+21=145736%0
6/10Sunday, June 101:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1441+12+0=145331%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15739+24=158869%2
6/9Saturday, June 94:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1442+25+0=146732%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1572+3+24=159968%4
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
1440133=142423%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1575+32+24=163177%0
6/7Thursday, June 71:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1442+8+0=145038%2
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1499+14+24=153762%7
6/6Wednesday, June 68:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Santiago, Hector
Santiago
143915+0=142436%5
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
15024+24=152264%2
6/5Tuesday, June 57:30 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14369+0=142738%6
MINMINTwins
Littell, Zack
Littell
150515+24=151462%3
6/5Tuesday, June 54:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1437+8+0=144540%2
MINMINTwins
Romero, Fernando
Romero
150412+26=151860%4
6/3Sunday, June 32:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Suter, Brent
Suter
15297+0=152261%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
143316+24=144139%6
6/2Saturday, June 22:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1527+4+0=153159%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1436+11+24=147141%0
6/1Friday, June 18:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1530+5+1=153663%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Santiago, Hector
Santiago
143210+24=144637%8
5/30Wednesday, May 301:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1433+12+0=144527%1
CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1559+36+24=161973%9
5/29Tuesday, May 296:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14357+0=142830%3
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
15584+24=157870%7
5/28Monday, May 284 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
1436181=141731%6
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
155730+24=155169%9
5/27Sunday, May 271:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1437+7+0=144447%2
DETDETTigers
Hardy, Blaine
Hardy
14463+24=146753%3
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Santiago, Hector
Santiago
143410+0=142442%8
DETDETTigers
Liriano, Francisco
Liriano
1449+7+24=148058%4
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1435+102=144348%4
DETDETTigers
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
144812+23=145952%5
5/24Thursday, May 242:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1447+12+0=145949%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1439+1+24=146451%3
5/23Wednesday, May 238:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1452+3+0=145554%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
143428+24=143046%11
5/22Tuesday, May 228:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1453+25+0=147853%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1432+4+24=146047%3
5/21Monday, May 218:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1452+63=145551%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Santiago, Hector
Santiago
143410+24=144849%2
5/20Sunday, May 202:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
14822+0=148053%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1431+3+24=145847%3
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
14843+0=148154%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1429+3+24=145646%5
5/18Friday, May 188:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Moore, Matt
Moore
148025+0=145552%12
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Fulmer, Carson
Fulmer
143313+24=144448%5
5/17Thursday, May 178:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Fister, Doug
Fister
1482+34=148154%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1431+0+22=145346%4
5/16Wednesday, May 1612:35 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Santiago, Hector
Santiago
143210+0=142234%2
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1501+9+24=153466%3
5/15Tuesday, May 157:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1434+11+0=144536%0
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1499+17+26=154264%7
5/13Sunday, May 132:20 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1431+1+0=143227%5
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1561+19+24=160473%3
5/12Saturday, May 122:20 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1432+0+0=143230%4
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15603+24=158170%8
5/11Friday, May 112:20 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Fulmer, Carson
Fulmer
14346+1=142930%2
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
15584+26=158070%11
5/9Wednesday, May 92:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1496+21+0=151757%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1435+7+24=146643%5
5/8Tuesday, May 88:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14941+1=149454%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1438+3+26=146746%6
5/6Sunday, May 62:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1496+6+0=150256%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
14395+24=145844%3
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
149312+0=148153%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Santiago, Hector
Santiago
14416+24=145947%4
5/4Friday, May 48:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1492+11+0=150355%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Fulmer, Carson
Fulmer
1443+3+24=147045%4
5/3Thursday, May 38:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1493+12=149253%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1442+6+22=147047%6
5/2Wednesday, May 21:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14421+0=144131%2
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
1529+26+24=157969%3
5/1Tuesday, May 18:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
144312+0=143134%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15292+23=155066%3
4/29Sunday, April 292:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Santiago, Hector
Santiago
14446+0=143849%4
KCKCRoyals
Kennedy, Ian
Kennedy
143112+24=144351%5
4/28Saturday, April 288:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
144731+0=141649%2
KCKCRoyals
Skoglund, Eric
Skoglund
142933+24=142051%5
4/28Saturday, April 282:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Fulmer, Carson
Fulmer
14433+0=144049%8
KCKCRoyals
Oaks, Trevor
Oaks
143310+24=144751%0
4/27Friday, April 278:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1440+9+0=144947%7
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1435+11+24=147053%4
4/26Thursday, April 268:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1438+02=143644%6
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1438+18+24=148056%3
4/25Wednesday, April 252:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1505+1+0=150658%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
143911+24=145242%3
4/24Tuesday, April 245:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
150425+0=147953%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Volstad, Chris
Volstad
14405+24=145947%0
4/23Monday, April 238:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1508+13=150657%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Fulmer, Carson
Fulmer
14368+24=145243%10
4/22Sunday, April 222:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
158620+0=156663%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1439+9+24=147237%1
4/21Saturday, April 217:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
15837+0=157664%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1441+14+24=147936%1
4/20Friday, April 208:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1581+354=161271%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
14439+22=145629%0
4/18Wednesday, April 183:35 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Fulmer, Carson
Fulmer
14441+0=144339%11
OAKOAKAthletics
Triggs, Andrew
Triggs
1492+5+24=152161%12
4/17Tuesday, April 1710:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Gonzalez, Miguel
Gonzalez
14482+0=144643%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
148815+24=149757%10
4/16Monday, April 1610:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1450+2+3=145542%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
1485+5+21=151158%8
4/12Thursday, April 128:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1452+112=146138%0
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1516+4+24=154462%4
4/11Wednesday, April 112:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
14871+0=148654%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
145114+24=146146%2
4/10Tuesday, April 102:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1486+11+0=149753%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Fulmer, Carson
Fulmer
1452+3+24=147947%5
4/9Monday, April 92:30 p.m.TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
1485+83=149051%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Gonzalez, Miguel
Gonzalez
1453+2+24=147949%4
4/8Sunday, April 82:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
145010+0=144045%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
14554+24=147555%0
4/7Saturday, April 72:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
1447+33+2=148248%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1458+13+26=149752%1
4/5Thursday, April 54:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
144514+0=143145%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
146015+22=146755%7
4/4Wednesday, April 47:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Fulmer, Carson
Fulmer
1458+1+0=145939%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1512+3+24=153961%3
4/3Tuesday, April 37:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Gonzalez, Miguel
Gonzalez
1461+8+0=146938%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1509+17+24=155062%14
4/2Monday, April 27:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1462101=145141%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
150716+24=151559%4
3/31Saturday, March 317:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1461+13+2=147651%4
KCKCRoyals
Kennedy, Ian
Kennedy
145412+26=146849%3
3/29Thursday, March 294:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1457152=144041%14
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1459+19+24=150259%7

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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