2018 MLB Predictions

The White Sox are done for the season.

AL Central standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Indians Indians91-71	—	✓	✓
Twins Twins78-84	13.0	—	—
Tigers Tigers64-98	27.0	—	—
White Sox White Sox62-100	29.0	—	—
Royals Royals58-104	33.0	—	—

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1435	–13	+0	=1422	39%	4
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Littell	1492	–18	+24	=1498	61%	5
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1437	+22	+0	=1459	41%	3
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1490	+11	+24	=1525	59%	8
9/28Friday, Sept. 288:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1441	–7	+0	=1434	42%	4
9/28Friday, Sept. 288:10 p.m.	MINTwins	De Jong	1487	–22	+24	=1489	58%	12
9/28Friday, Sept. 282:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1442	+16	+0	=1458	40%	1
9/28Friday, Sept. 282:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1486	+19	+24	=1529	60%	2
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 268:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bieber	1555	–23	+0	=1532	60%	10
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 268:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Fry	1444	–5	+24	=1463	40%	2
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1557	+22	+0	=1579	66%	4
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1442	–4	+24	=1462	34%	5
9/24Monday, Sept. 248:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1555	+16	–2	=1569	67%	4
9/24Monday, Sept. 248:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1444	–21	+24	=1447	33%	0
9/23Sunday, Sept. 232:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1546	+17	+0	=1563	59%	6
9/23Sunday, Sept. 232:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1446	+28	+24	=1498	41%	1
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1544	–3	+0	=1541	61%	8
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1448	–6	+24	=1466	39%	3
9/21Friday, Sept. 214:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1548	+5	–2	=1551	60%	4
9/21Friday, Sept. 214:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1444	+12	+22	=1478	40%	10
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1442	–4	+0	=1438	37%	5
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Tomlin	1556	–51	+24	=1529	63%	4
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1443	–27	+0	=1416	27%	1
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1555	+11	+24	=1590	73%	4
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1444	+33	+0	=1477	34%	3
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1554	+16	+26	=1596	66%	5
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1447	–1	+0	=1446	52%	4
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1405	+1	+24	=1430	48%	8
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1445	+8	+0	=1453	54%	2
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ramirez	1407	–5	+24	=1426	46%	0
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1444	–3	–1	=1440	50%	8
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ortiz	1409	+7	+24	=1440	50%	6
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 128:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1442	+34	+0	=1476	57%	4
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 128:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1429	–25	+24	=1428	43%	2
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1444	–25	+0	=1419	43%	3
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1427	+15	+24	=1466	57%	6
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1445	+0	–2	=1443	47%	3
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1426	+15	+22	=1463	53%	4
9/9Sunday, Sept. 92:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1517	+5	+0	=1522	57%	1
9/9Sunday, Sept. 92:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1446	+2	+24	=1472	43%	0
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Shoemaker	1513	+13	+0	=1526	57%	12
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1450	+2	+24	=1476	43%	3
9/7Friday, Sept. 78:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Pena	1511	+6	–1	=1516	50%	5
9/7Friday, Sept. 78:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1452	+38	+26	=1516	50%	2
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1436	–6	+0	=1430	42%	10
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1457	+5	+24	=1486	58%	2
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1432	–20	+0	=1412	40%	8
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1460	+1	+24	=1485	60%	3
9/3Monday, Sept. 32:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1434	+12	–3	=1443	45%	2
9/3Monday, Sept. 32:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1459	–6	+24	=1477	55%	4
9/2Sunday, Sept. 22:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1595	–19	+0	=1576	64%	0
9/2Sunday, Sept. 22:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1453	–5	+24	=1472	36%	8
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1593	+6	+0	=1599	61%	6
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1456	+40	+24	=1520	39%	1
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1597	–16	+0	=1581	64%	1
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1452	+2	+24	=1478	36%	6
8/30Thursday, Aug. 308:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1595	–9	–3	=1583	65%	9
8/30Thursday, Aug. 308:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1453	–2	+21	=1472	35%	4
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1450	–9	+0	=1441	29%	4
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1573	+3	+24	=1600	71%	1
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1451	–3	+0	=1448	32%	4
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Lynn	1572	–18	+24	=1578	68%	5
8/27Monday, Aug. 277 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1447	+42	–2	=1487	33%	6
8/27Monday, Aug. 277 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1576	+11	+22	=1609	67%	2
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1444	+1	+0	=1445	49%	7
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1438	–7	+24	=1455	51%	2
8/25Saturday, Aug. 256:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1441	–3	+0	=1438	48%	6
8/25Saturday, Aug. 256:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Carpenter	1441	–16	+24	=1449	52%	1
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1438	–8	+0	=1430	42%	6
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1444	+15	+24	=1483	58%	3
8/23Thursday, Aug. 231:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1441	+4	–2	=1443	44%	2
8/23Thursday, Aug. 231:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1441	+18	+24	=1483	56%	7
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 222:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1496	+18	+0	=1514	51%	3
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 222:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1438	+44	+24	=1506	49%	7
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 218:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1494	+18	–2	=1510	57%	5
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 218:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1440	+0	+22	=1462	43%	2
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1437	–4	–2	=1431	39%	8
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gonsalves	1497	–11	+24	=1510	61%	5
8/19Sunday, Aug. 192:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1411	+4	+0	=1415	44%	6
8/19Sunday, Aug. 192:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1436	–2	+24	=1458	56%	7
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1410	+15	+0	=1425	48%	3
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1438	–25	+24	=1437	52%	1
8/17Friday, Aug. 178:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1412	+8	–2	=1418	44%	3
8/17Friday, Aug. 178:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1435	+2	+24	=1461	56%	9
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 151:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1434	+42	+0	=1476	52%	6
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 151:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1445	–7	+24	=1462	48%	5
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1431	–5	+0	=1426	43%	6
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Hardy	1447	+5	+24	=1476	57%	3
8/13Monday, Aug. 137:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1434	+1	–2	=1433	47%	5
8/13Monday, Aug. 137:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Lewicki	1445	–16	+24	=1453	53%	9
8/12Sunday, Aug. 122:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1558	+3	+0	=1561	67%	9
8/12Sunday, Aug. 122:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1435	–21	+24	=1438	33%	7
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1557	+21	+0	=1578	66%	3
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1436	+0	+24	=1460	34%	1
8/10Friday, Aug. 108:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bieber	1558	–34	–2	=1522	54%	0
8/10Friday, Aug. 108:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1434	+37	+26	=1497	46%	1
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1575	+15	+0	=1590	68%	7
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1436	–2	+24	=1458	32%	3
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1575	–6	+0	=1569	66%	4
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1436	–3	+24	=1457	34%	3
8/6Monday, Aug. 68 p.m.	NYYYankees	Lynn	1572	–20	–3	=1549	66%	7
8/6Monday, Aug. 68 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1439	–21	+21	=1439	34%	0
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1437	+3	+0	=1440	38%	8
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:10 p.m.	TBRays	Wood	1509	–10	+24	=1523	62%	7
8/4Saturday, Aug. 46:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1435	+38	+0	=1473	37%	2
8/4Saturday, Aug. 46:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1511	+30	+24	=1565	63%	1
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1433	–5	–3	=1425	36%	3
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1513	–9	+24	=1528	64%	2
8/2Thursday, Aug. 22:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1419	+6	+0	=1425	46%	4
8/2Thursday, Aug. 22:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1431	–4	+24	=1451	54%	6
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 18:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1416	–1	+0	=1415	46%	10
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 18:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1435	–17	+24	=1442	54%	5
7/31Tuesday, July 318:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1414	+18	–1	=1431	45%	4
7/31Tuesday, July 318:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1437	+4	+26	=1467	55%	2
7/29Sunday, July 292:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1483	–2	+0	=1481	47%	7
7/29Sunday, July 292:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1439	+37	+24	=1500	53%	4
7/28Saturday, July 287:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Axford	1485	–10	+0	=1475	52%	5
7/28Saturday, July 287:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1436	–1	+24	=1459	48%	9
7/27Friday, July 278:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1483	+6	+0	=1489	54%	10
7/27Friday, July 278:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1439	+3	+20	=1462	46%	5
7/26Thursday, July 264:07 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1440	–14	+0	=1426	36%	8
7/26Thursday, July 264:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Tropeano	1513	–9	+24	=1528	64%	12
7/25Wednesday, July 2510:07 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1443	+7	+0	=1450	36%	3
7/25Wednesday, July 2510:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Skaggs	1511	+14	+24	=1549	64%	11
7/24Tuesday, July 2410:07 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1441	+28	+0	=1469	41%	4
7/24Tuesday, July 2410:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Pena	1513	–2	+24	=1535	59%	2
7/23Monday, July 2310:07 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1438	–4	–3	=1431	36%	5
7/23Monday, July 2310:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Barria	1515	–5	+24	=1534	64%	3
7/22Sunday, July 224:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1440	+5	+0	=1445	36%	2
7/22Sunday, July 224:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1519	+4	+24	=1547	64%	8
7/21Saturday, July 2110:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1436	–22	+0	=1414	34%	5
7/21Saturday, July 2110:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1523	–16	+24	=1531	66%	0
7/20Friday, July 2010 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1437	+7	+3	=1447	37%	1
7/20Friday, July 2010 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1522	–10	+28	=1540	63%	3
7/15Sunday, July 152:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Smith	1411	–3	+0	=1408	44%	1
7/15Sunday, July 152:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1434	–8	+24	=1450	56%	10
7/14Saturday, July 142:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1408	+17	+0	=1425	44%	5
7/14Saturday, July 142:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1437	+9	+24	=1470	56%	0
7/13Friday, July 138:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1410	+18	+0	=1428	44%	6
7/13Friday, July 138:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1435	+6	+26	=1467	56%	9
7/11Wednesday, July 118:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1518	–12	+0	=1506	53%	0
7/11Wednesday, July 118:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1433	+26	+24	=1483	47%	4
7/10Tuesday, July 108:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1515	+19	–2	=1532	63%	14
7/10Tuesday, July 108:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1436	–18	+23	=1441	37%	2
7/8Sunday, July 82:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1436	–10	+0	=1426	25%	1
7/8Sunday, July 82:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1609	–19	+24	=1614	75%	2
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1438	+13	+0	=1451	26%	6
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1607	+0	+24	=1631	74%	12
7/6Friday, July 68:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1439	+12	+0	=1451	28%	4
7/6Friday, July 68:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1606	–11	+24	=1619	72%	11
7/5Thursday, July 58:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1440	+26	–3	=1463	25%	3
7/5Thursday, July 58:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1605	+30	+22	=1657	75%	4
7/4Wednesday, July 47 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1441	–18	+0	=1423	40%	4
7/4Wednesday, July 47 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1474	–1	+24	=1497	60%	7
7/3Tuesday, July 37:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1438	–6	+0	=1432	37%	12
7/3Tuesday, July 37:10 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1477	+21	+24	=1522	63%	8
7/2Monday, July 27:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1439	+9	–3	=1445	41%	3
7/2Monday, July 27:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1476	+10	+24	=1510	59%	5
7/1Sunday, July 13:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1436	+10	+0	=1446	36%	10
7/1Sunday, July 13:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Hamels	1493	+25	+24	=1542	64%	5
6/30Saturday, June 309:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1439	+28	+0	=1467	45%	4
6/30Saturday, June 309:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Colon	1490	–13	+24	=1501	55%	13
6/29Friday, June 298:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1442	–9	–3	=1430	42%	3
6/29Friday, June 298:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Gallardo	1487	–26	+26	=1487	58%	11
6/28Thursday, June 282:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1494	–13	+0	=1481	53%	2
6/28Thursday, June 282:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1443	–10	+24	=1457	47%	1
6/27Wednesday, June 278:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1498	+11	+0	=1509	56%	1
6/27Wednesday, June 278:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1440	+3	+24	=1467	44%	6
6/26Tuesday, June 268:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1500	–3	+0	=1497	54%	4
6/26Tuesday, June 268:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1437	+9	+26	=1472	46%	8
6/24Sunday, June 242:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1507	–9	+0	=1498	52%	3
6/24Sunday, June 242:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1434	+25	+24	=1483	48%	10
6/23Saturday, June 232:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Mengden	1506	+4	+0	=1510	58%	7
6/23Saturday, June 232:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1435	–5	+24	=1454	42%	6
6/22Friday, June 228 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1508	–2	+0	=1506	58%	4
6/22Friday, June 228 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1433	–10	+24	=1447	42%	6
6/22Friday, June 224:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1504	+13	–2	=1515	57%	11
6/22Friday, June 224:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1436	+7	+24	=1467	43%	2
6/20Wednesday, June 201:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1438	+11	+0	=1449	28%	0
6/20Wednesday, June 201:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1553	+35	+24	=1612	72%	12
6/19Tuesday, June 197:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1440	+23	+0	=1463	34%	3
6/19Tuesday, June 197:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1552	–2	+24	=1574	66%	6
6/18Monday, June 187:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1441	–3	–2	=1436	30%	2
6/18Monday, June 187:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1551	+10	+24	=1585	70%	6
6/17Sunday, June 172:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Hardy	1462	+9	+0	=1471	50%	3
6/17Sunday, June 172:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1443	+7	+24	=1474	50%	1
6/16Saturday, June 162:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1460	–17	+0	=1443	48%	7
6/16Saturday, June 162:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1444	–10	+24	=1458	52%	5
6/15Friday, June 158:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1459	–7	–2	=1450	45%	4
6/15Friday, June 158:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1446	+12	+24	=1482	55%	3
6/14Thursday, June 142:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1555	–5	+0	=1550	58%	5
6/14Thursday, June 142:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1448	+21	+24	=1493	42%	2
6/13Wednesday, June 138:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1557	+6	+0	=1563	64%	2
6/13Wednesday, June 138:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1446	–7	+24	=1463	36%	3
6/12Tuesday, June 128:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Plutko	1560	–37	+0	=1523	58%	1
6/12Tuesday, June 128:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1443	+3	+24	=1470	42%	5
6/11Monday, June 118:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1558	+2	–2	=1558	64%	4
6/11Monday, June 118:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1444	–8	+21	=1457	36%	0
6/10Sunday, June 101:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1441	+12	+0	=1453	31%	5
6/10Sunday, June 101:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1573	–9	+24	=1588	69%	2
6/9Saturday, June 94:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1442	+25	+0	=1467	32%	2
6/9Saturday, June 94:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1572	+3	+24	=1599	68%	4
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1440	–13	–3	=1424	23%	1
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1575	+32	+24	=1631	77%	0
6/7Thursday, June 71:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1442	+8	+0	=1450	38%	2
6/7Thursday, June 71:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1499	+14	+24	=1537	62%	7
6/6Wednesday, June 68:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Santiago	1439	–15	+0	=1424	36%	5
6/6Wednesday, June 68:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1502	–4	+24	=1522	64%	2
6/5Tuesday, June 57:30 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1436	–9	+0	=1427	38%	6
6/5Tuesday, June 57:30 p.m.	MINTwins	Littell	1505	–15	+24	=1514	62%	3
6/5Tuesday, June 54:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1437	+8	+0	=1445	40%	2
6/5Tuesday, June 54:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Romero	1504	–12	+26	=1518	60%	4
6/3Sunday, June 32:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1529	–7	+0	=1522	61%	1
6/3Sunday, June 32:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1433	–16	+24	=1441	39%	6
6/2Saturday, June 22:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1527	+4	+0	=1531	59%	5
6/2Saturday, June 22:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1436	+11	+24	=1471	41%	0
6/1Friday, June 18:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1530	+5	+1	=1536	63%	3
6/1Friday, June 18:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Santiago	1432	–10	+24	=1446	37%	8
5/30Wednesday, May 301:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1433	+12	+0	=1445	27%	1
5/30Wednesday, May 301:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1559	+36	+24	=1619	73%	9
5/29Tuesday, May 296:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1435	–7	+0	=1428	30%	3
5/29Tuesday, May 296:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1558	–4	+24	=1578	70%	7
5/28Monday, May 284 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1436	–18	–1	=1417	31%	6
5/28Monday, May 284 p.m.	CLEIndians	Plutko	1557	–30	+24	=1551	69%	9
5/27Sunday, May 271:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1437	+7	+0	=1444	47%	2
5/27Sunday, May 271:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Hardy	1446	–3	+24	=1467	53%	3
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Santiago	1434	–10	+0	=1424	42%	8
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1449	+7	+24	=1480	58%	4
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1435	+10	–2	=1443	48%	4
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1448	–12	+23	=1459	52%	5
5/24Thursday, May 242:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1447	+12	+0	=1459	49%	9
5/24Thursday, May 242:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1439	+1	+24	=1464	51%	3
5/23Wednesday, May 238:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1452	+3	+0	=1455	54%	1
5/23Wednesday, May 238:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1434	–28	+24	=1430	46%	11
5/22Tuesday, May 228:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1453	+25	+0	=1478	53%	2
5/22Tuesday, May 228:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1432	+4	+24	=1460	47%	3
5/21Monday, May 218:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1452	+6	–3	=1455	51%	3
5/21Monday, May 218:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Santiago	1434	–10	+24	=1448	49%	2
5/20Sunday, May 202:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1482	–2	+0	=1480	53%	0
5/20Sunday, May 202:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1431	+3	+24	=1458	47%	3
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Jurado	1484	–3	+0	=1481	54%	3
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1429	+3	+24	=1456	46%	5
5/18Friday, May 188:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Moore	1480	–25	+0	=1455	52%	12
5/18Friday, May 188:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Fulmer	1433	–13	+24	=1444	48%	5
5/17Thursday, May 178:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Fister	1482	+3	–4	=1481	54%	2
5/17Thursday, May 178:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1431	+0	+22	=1453	46%	4
5/16Wednesday, May 1612:35 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Santiago	1432	–10	+0	=1422	34%	2
5/16Wednesday, May 1612:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1501	+9	+24	=1534	66%	3
5/15Tuesday, May 157:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1434	+11	+0	=1445	36%	0
5/15Tuesday, May 157:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1499	+17	+26	=1542	64%	7
5/13Sunday, May 132:20 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1431	+1	+0	=1432	27%	5
5/13Sunday, May 132:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1561	+19	+24	=1604	73%	3
5/12Saturday, May 122:20 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1432	+0	+0	=1432	30%	4
5/12Saturday, May 122:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1560	–3	+24	=1581	70%	8
5/11Friday, May 112:20 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Fulmer	1434	–6	+1	=1429	30%	2
5/11Friday, May 112:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1558	–4	+26	=1580	70%	11
5/9Wednesday, May 92:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1496	+21	+0	=1517	57%	6
5/9Wednesday, May 92:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1435	+7	+24	=1466	43%	5
5/8Tuesday, May 88:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1494	–1	+1	=1494	54%	10
5/8Tuesday, May 88:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1438	+3	+26	=1467	46%	6
5/6Sunday, May 62:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1496	+6	+0	=1502	56%	5
5/6Sunday, May 62:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1439	–5	+24	=1458	44%	3
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1493	–12	+0	=1481	53%	8
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Santiago	1441	–6	+24	=1459	47%	4
5/4Friday, May 48:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1492	+11	+0	=1503	55%	6
5/4Friday, May 48:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Fulmer	1443	+3	+24	=1470	45%	4
5/3Thursday, May 38:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1493	+1	–2	=1492	53%	5
5/3Thursday, May 38:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1442	+6	+22	=1470	47%	6
5/2Wednesday, May 21:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1442	–1	+0	=1441	31%	2
5/2Wednesday, May 21:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Martinez	1529	+26	+24	=1579	69%	3
5/1Tuesday, May 18:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1443	–12	+0	=1431	34%	2
5/1Tuesday, May 18:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Wacha	1529	–2	+23	=1550	66%	3
4/29Sunday, April 292:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Santiago	1444	–6	+0	=1438	49%	4
4/29Sunday, April 292:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1431	–12	+24	=1443	51%	5
4/28Saturday, April 288:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1447	–31	+0	=1416	49%	2
4/28Saturday, April 288:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1429	–33	+24	=1420	51%	5
4/28Saturday, April 282:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Fulmer	1443	–3	+0	=1440	49%	8
4/28Saturday, April 282:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Oaks	1433	–10	+24	=1447	51%	0
4/27Friday, April 278:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1440	+9	+0	=1449	47%	7
4/27Friday, April 278:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1435	+11	+24	=1470	53%	4
4/26Thursday, April 268:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1438	+0	–2	=1436	44%	6
4/26Thursday, April 268:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1438	+18	+24	=1480	56%	3
4/25Wednesday, April 252:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1505	+1	+0	=1506	58%	4
4/25Wednesday, April 252:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1439	–11	+24	=1452	42%	3
4/24Tuesday, April 245:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1504	–25	+0	=1479	53%	1
4/24Tuesday, April 245:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Volstad	1440	–5	+24	=1459	47%	0
4/23Monday, April 238:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1508	+1	–3	=1506	57%	4
4/23Monday, April 238:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Fulmer	1436	–8	+24	=1452	43%	10
4/22Sunday, April 222:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1586	–20	+0	=1566	63%	7
4/22Sunday, April 222:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1439	+9	+24	=1472	37%	1
4/21Saturday, April 217:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1583	–7	+0	=1576	64%	10
4/21Saturday, April 217:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1441	+14	+24	=1479	36%	1
4/20Friday, April 208:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1581	+35	–4	=1612	71%	10
4/20Friday, April 208:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1443	–9	+22	=1456	29%	0
4/18Wednesday, April 183:35 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Fulmer	1444	–1	+0	=1443	39%	11
4/18Wednesday, April 183:35 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Triggs	1492	+5	+24	=1521	61%	12
4/17Tuesday, April 1710:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Gonzalez	1448	–2	+0	=1446	43%	2
4/17Tuesday, April 1710:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Cahill	1488	–15	+24	=1497	57%	10
4/16Monday, April 1610:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1450	+2	+3	=1455	42%	1
4/16Monday, April 1610:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Mengden	1485	+5	+21	=1511	58%	8
4/12Thursday, April 128:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1452	+11	–2	=1461	38%	0
4/12Thursday, April 128:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1516	+4	+24	=1544	62%	4
4/11Wednesday, April 112:10 p.m.	TBRays	Chirinos	1487	–1	+0	=1486	54%	1
4/11Wednesday, April 112:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1451	–14	+24	=1461	46%	2
4/10Tuesday, April 102:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1486	+11	+0	=1497	53%	6
4/10Tuesday, April 102:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Fulmer	1452	+3	+24	=1479	47%	5
4/9Monday, April 92:30 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1485	+8	–3	=1490	51%	5
4/9Monday, April 92:30 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Gonzalez	1453	+2	+24	=1479	49%	4
4/8Sunday, April 82:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1450	–10	+0	=1440	45%	1
4/8Sunday, April 82:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1455	–4	+24	=1475	55%	0
4/7Saturday, April 72:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1447	+33	+2	=1482	48%	6
4/7Saturday, April 72:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1458	+13	+26	=1497	52%	1
4/5Thursday, April 54:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1445	–14	+0	=1431	45%	9
4/5Thursday, April 54:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1460	–15	+22	=1467	55%	7
4/4Wednesday, April 47:07 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Fulmer	1458	+1	+0	=1459	39%	4
4/4Wednesday, April 47:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1512	+3	+24	=1539	61%	3
4/3Tuesday, April 37:07 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Gonzalez	1461	+8	+0	=1469	38%	5
4/3Tuesday, April 37:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1509	+17	+24	=1550	62%	14
4/2Monday, April 27:07 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1462	–10	–1	=1451	41%	2
4/2Monday, April 27:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Garcia	1507	–16	+24	=1515	59%	4
3/31Saturday, March 317:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1461	+13	+2	=1476	51%	4
3/31Saturday, March 317:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1454	–12	+26	=1468	49%	3
3/29Thursday, March 294:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1457	–15	–2	=1440	41%	14
3/29Thursday, March 294:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1459	+19	+24	=1502	59%	7

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL Central standings

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL Central standings

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments