Updated Sep. 6, 2018 at 1:17 AM

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

Avg. Simulated SeasonAvg. SimulationPostseason Chances
Team
Division
Team rating
1-Week Change
RecordProj.
rec.
Run Diff.
Make PlayoffsMake
Play-
offs
Win
Division
Win
Div.
Win World SeriesWin
W.S.
AL West1596
+3
101-61+263>99%93%21%
AL East1596
+1
110-52+247>99%>99%28%
AL East1562
-8
99-63+159>99%<1%6%
NL West1558
-3
88-74+14255%41%7%
AL Central1557
-3
92-70+158>99%>99%7%
AL West1556
+1
96-66+10696%7%4%
NL Central1550
+2
95-67+130>99%84%10%
NL Central1543
+1
90-72+8577%8%4%
AL East1535
+4
88-74+522%<1%<1%
NL West1530
-2
87-75+8731%20%3%
NL Central1523
+10
90-72+4581%9%2%
NL West1519
+3
88-74-1053%39%3%
NL East1517
-7
81-81+732%2%<1%
NL East1514
-6
87-75+9176%75%3%
AL West1511
+6
79-83+29<1%<1%<1%
AL West1506
+1
89-73-513%<1%<1%
NL Central1495
80-82-3<1%<1%<1%
NL East1491
-6
84-78-924%22%<1%
NL West1490
-5
78-84-53<1%<1%<1%
AL West1488
+2
71-91-78
NL East1487
+4
74-88-52<1%<1%<1%
AL Central1476
-11
75-87-72<1%<1%<1%
AL East1469
72-90-118<1%<1%
NL Central1464
-3
69-93-104<1%<1%
AL Central1452
-1
66-96-155
NL West1446
+3
64-98-149
AL Central1441
+12
66-96-133<1%<1%<1%
NL East1435
-1
65-97-207<1%<1%<1%
AL Central1426
+9
56-106-217
AL East1415
-7
48-114-256
Forecast from

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/6Thursday, Sept. 66:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
144642=144040%
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1464+26+22=151260%
9/6Thursday, Sept. 67:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1550+123=155949%
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1517+24+24=156551%
9/6Thursday, Sept. 67:07 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1557302=152555%
TORTORBlue Jays
Gaviglio, Sam
Gaviglio
14695+24=148845%
9/6Thursday, Sept. 69:30 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
151424=150841%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1530+16+26=157259%
9/7Friday, Sept. 76:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Kennedy, Brett
Kennedy
14463+0=144340%
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1464+23+24=151160%
9/7Friday, Sept. 77 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1557+6+0=156361%
TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
14696+24=148739%
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
143531=143137%
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1495+2+26=152363%
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15509+0=154152%
WSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
151716+24=152548%
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1596+102=160446%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1596+15+23=163454%
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
15433+0=154061%
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
14412+24=146339%
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1491+461=153656%
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
148718+22=149144%
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
141512=141226%
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1535+39+23=159774%
9/7Friday, Sept. 78:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
1511+61=151650%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1452+38+26=151650%
9/7Friday, Sept. 78:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
149041=148540%
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1523+4+26=155360%
9/7Friday, Sept. 78:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
142631=142243%
MINMINTwins
Gonsalves, Stephen
Gonsalves
147625+23=147457%
9/7Friday, Sept. 78:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1558+231=158054%
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1519+4+26=154946%
9/7Friday, Sept. 79:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1514+7+0=152142%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1530+22+24=157658%
9/7Friday, Sept. 710:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Gallardo, Yovani
Gallardo
148872=147937%
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
15568+26=157463%
9/7Friday, Sept. 710:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1562+151=157652%
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1506+28+26=156048%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 81:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1435+7+0=144241%
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
149512+24=150759%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 84:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Morton, Charlie
Morton
15965+0=159144%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1596+11+24=163156%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 84:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Mendez, Yohander
Mendez
1488+3+0=149139%
OAKOAKAthletics
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
155613+24=156761%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 84:07 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
155741+0=151653%
TORTORBlue Jays
Reid-Foley, Sean
Reid-Foley
1469+0+24=149347%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 84:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
1446+4+0=145045%
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1464+0+24=148855%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 86:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1543+15+0=155861%
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1441+18+24=148339%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 86:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1415+0+0=141531%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15354+24=155569%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1550+14+0=156445%
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1517+57+24=159855%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1511+13+0=152457%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1452+2+24=147843%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
149010+0=148043%
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
152320+24=152757%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14264+0=142237%
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1476+17+24=151763%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
149120+0=147142%
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1487+18+24=152958%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 88 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1558+15+0=157353%
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1519+12+24=155547%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 88:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
15141+0=151344%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1530+3+24=155756%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 89:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
156219+0=154355%
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
150622+24=150845%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:07 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
15571+0=155659%
TORTORBlue Jays
Borucki, Ryan
Borucki
14691+24=149241%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Nix, Jacob
Nix
1446+8+0=145450%
CINCINReds
Reed, Cody
Reed
146436+24=145250%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
15437+0=153658%
DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
1441+13+24=147842%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1491+2+0=149340%
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1487+50+24=156160%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1415+17+0=143233%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15354+24=155567%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Brigham, Jeff
Brigham
143511+0=142434%
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1495+17+24=153666%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:35 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
15504+0=154656%
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
151736+24=150544%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 92:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+7+0=151856%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1452+0+24=147644%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 92:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1490+21+0=151145%
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15234+24=154355%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 92:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1426+16+0=144244%
MINMINTwins
Littell, Zack
Littell
147615+24=148556%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 93:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Wood, Alex
Wood
15584+0=155453%
COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
15197+24=153647%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 94 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
1562+2+0=156456%
SEASEAMariners
Ramirez, Erasmo
Ramirez
15067+24=152344%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 94:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
148810+0=147836%
OAKOAKAthletics
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
1556+1+24=158164%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 94:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
151415+0=149943%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
15305+24=154957%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 98 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
15968+0=158846%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15967+24=161354%
9/10Monday, Sept. 106:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1596+153=160872%
DETDETTigers
Liriano, Francisco
Liriano
144120+24=144528%
9/10Monday, Sept. 106:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
155813=155463%
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
146423+24=146537%
9/10Monday, Sept. 107:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
151752=151050%
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
14912+23=151250%
9/10Monday, Sept. 107:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1435+52=143844%
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
148734+24=147756%
9/10Monday, Sept. 107:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1557+223=157653%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15354+24=155547%
9/10Monday, Sept. 108 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Miley, Wade
Miley
152371=151542%
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1550+3+21=157458%
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1562+63=156557%
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1476+13+24=151343%
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
145212=144949%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1426+6+22=145451%
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1495+03=149243%
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
154325+22=154057%
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
1530113=151644%
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1519+16+24=155956%
9/10Monday, Sept. 1010:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1488+332=151948%
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1511+5+20=153652%
9/10Monday, Sept. 1010:15 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1514+143=152548%
SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1490+28+20=153852%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 116:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
155813+0=154554%
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1464+26+24=151446%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 116:40 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
159631+0=156564%
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14412+24=146336%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
155692=154564%
BALBALOrioles
Rogers, Josh
Rogers
1415+5+23=144336%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1517+24+0=154155%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
149112+24=150345%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1469+5+0=147432%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
159617+26=160568%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1435+0+0=143538%
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1487+10+24=152162%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
155730+0=152751%
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
153539+24=152049%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1562+8+0=157062%
MINMINTwins
Stewart, Kohl
Stewart
147612+24=148838%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1523+11+0=153443%
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1550+12+24=158657%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
14529+0=144347%
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1426+16+24=146653%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1495+20+0=151542%
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1543+5+24=157258%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1530+16+0=154653%
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
151921+24=152247%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 1110:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Colon, Bartolo
Colon
148816+0=147240%
LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1511+9+24=154460%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 1110:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1446+222=146640%
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1506+5+26=153760%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 1110:15 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
15142+0=151250%
SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
14902+24=151250%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 1212:35 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1558+23+0=158160%
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1464+23+24=151140%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 121:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1596+10+0=160670%
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
14412+24=146330%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 121:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1557+6+0=156345%
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1535+39+24=159855%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 121:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1495+2+0=149740%
STLSTLCardinals
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
15433+24=156460%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 123:45 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1514+7+0=152152%
SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
14904+24=151048%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 126:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14464+0=144238%
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1506+0+24=153062%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 127 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
151716+0=150141%
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1491+46+24=156159%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 127:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1556+10+0=156668%
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14154+24=143532%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 127:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Gaviglio, Sam
Gaviglio
14695+0=146434%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
159641+24=157966%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 127:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1435+4+0=143942%
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
148718+24=149358%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 128 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1523+4+0=152744%
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15509+24=156556%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 128:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1562+15+0=157760%
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1476+10+24=151040%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 128:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1452+38+0=149056%
KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
14263+24=144744%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 128:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1530+22+0=155251%
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1519+4+24=154749%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 1210:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Gallardo, Yovani
Gallardo
14887+0=148141%
LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
1511+6+24=154159%
9/13Thursday, Sept. 133:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1530+3+0=153347%
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1519+12+24=155553%
9/13Thursday, Sept. 137 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
14696+0=146327%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1596+15+24=163573%
9/13Thursday, Sept. 137:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15563+0=155366%
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14151+24=143834%
9/13Thursday, Sept. 137:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14353+0=143236%
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1487+18+24=152964%
9/13Thursday, Sept. 137:15 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1558+152=157149%
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1543+15+24=158251%
9/13Thursday, Sept. 138:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gonsalves, Stephen
Gonsalves
1476252=144950%
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14264+24=144650%
9/13Thursday, Sept. 1310:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1506+283=153148%
LAALAAAngels
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1511+13+24=154852%
9/14Friday, Sept. 142:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1464+0+0=146433%
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1550+14+26=159067%
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1452+21=145352%
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1415+0+24=143948%

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 510:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1416+0+0=141634%2
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1505+0+24=152966%5
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 510:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1565+13+0=157849%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1552+9+24=158551%8
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58:40 p.m.SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
14911+0=149046%3
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
151820+24=152254%5
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1479+13+0=149237%1
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
159331+24=158663%9
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14366+0=143042%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1457+5+24=148658%2
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1508+6+0=151452%9
TEXTEXRangers
Colon, Bartolo
Colon
149115+24=150048%3
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1548+1+0=154948%6
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1525+14+24=156352%4
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1484+10+0=149438%7
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
156211+24=157562%3
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
149312+0=148154%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14344+24=145446%2
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
153934+0=150552%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1465+5+24=149448%10
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1542+7+0=154951%7
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15191+24=154249%6
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
146525+0=144036%2
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1494+21+24=153964%3
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 51:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1427+15+0=144229%1
CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1557+19+24=160071%3
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 512:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
159439+0=155551%9
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1515+12+24=155149%8
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 410:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1414+15+0=142935%5
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1507+3+24=153465%3
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 410:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
148630+0=145632%4
LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1560+1+24=158568%11
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 410:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1563+3+0=156650%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Hendriks, Liam
Hendriks
155513+24=156650%1
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 49:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1449+20+0=146940%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
15289+24=154360%6
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:40 p.m.SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1493+25+0=151845%2
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1516+14+24=155455%6
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
15534+0=154952%1
MILMILBrewers
Miley, Wade
Miley
152111+24=153448%11
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
May, Trevor
May
14806+0=147429%2
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1592+12+24=162871%5
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Liriano, Francisco
Liriano
143220+0=141240%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1460+1+24=148560%3
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1509+7+0=151646%2
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1490+32+24=154654%4
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:35 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
159210+0=158258%5
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
151713+24=152842%1
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
14902+0=148853%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1436+8+24=146847%4
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1429+12+0=144131%3
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
15552+24=157769%9
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153713+0=152456%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Borucki, Ryan
Borucki
14676+24=148544%0
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
15407+0=153354%11
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
152139+24=150646%8
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Reed, Cody
Reed
146732+0=143539%3
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14922+24=151461%7
9/3Monday, Sept. 39:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Rogers, Josh
Rogers
1414+24=141235%1
SEASEAMariners
Ramirez, Erasmo
Ramirez
15069+21=151865%2
9/3Monday, Sept. 38:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1484+492=153143%4
LADLADDodgers
Wood, Alex
Wood
15624+24=158257%2
9/3Monday, Sept. 38:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Mitchell, Bryan
Mitchell
144532=144036%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
15319+22=154464%2
9/3Monday, Sept. 38:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1508+102=151650%3
TEXTEXRangers
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1491+2+24=151750%1
9/3Monday, Sept. 37:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
1534142=151851%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1471+17+21=150949%1
9/3Monday, Sept. 34:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1425+93=143134%5
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
155838+24=154466%1
9/3Monday, Sept. 34 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
1565+64=156748%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
1553+2+24=157952%6
9/3Monday, Sept. 33:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1494+263=151749%8
COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
15149+21=152651%9
9/3Monday, Sept. 32:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1555+143=156655%3
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15196+21=153445%4
9/3Monday, Sept. 32:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1481+102=148934%1
HOUHOUAstros
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
15919+24=160666%4
9/3Monday, Sept. 32:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
1434+123=144345%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
14596+24=147755%4
9/3Monday, Sept. 31:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1469+03=146641%1
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1490+15+22=152759%5
9/3Monday, Sept. 31:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1492+23=149155%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1434+1+24=145945%3
9/3Monday, Sept. 31:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1541+153=155343%3
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1519+55+24=159857%4
9/3Monday, Sept. 31 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1589183=156855%8
ATLATLBraves
Toussaint, Touki
Toussaint
152013+24=153145%2
9/2Sunday, Sept. 28 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1509+16+0=152536%2
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1589+11+24=162464%4
9/2Sunday, Sept. 25:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
149222+0=147040%1
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
15183+24=153960%5
9/2Sunday, Sept. 24:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1512+15+0=152756%7
SDSDPadres
Nix, Jacob
Nix
1447+11+24=148244%3
9/2Sunday, Sept. 24:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1532+4+0=153641%2
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1561+11+24=159659%3
9/2Sunday, Sept. 24:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Castillo, Diego
Castillo
153118+0=151338%6
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1561+11+24=159662%4
9/2Sunday, Sept. 24:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1481+12+0=149348%4
SFSFGiants
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
149713+24=150852%1
9/2Sunday, Sept. 24:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
150921+0=148840%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
155015+24=155960%8
9/2Sunday, Sept. 23:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Moya, Gabriel
Moya
14866+0=148046%4
TEXTEXRangers
Mendez, Yohander
Mendez
14865+24=150554%18
9/2Sunday, Sept. 22:15 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1467+23+0=149042%6
STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
154321+24=154658%4
9/2Sunday, Sept. 22:15 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1418+3+0=142148%1
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
142110+24=143552%9
9/2Sunday, Sept. 22:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
159519+0=157664%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
14535+24=147236%8
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
151620+0=149647%9
WSHWSHNationals
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
152327+24=152053%4
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:35 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
155111+0=154046%8
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1496+49+24=156954%1
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Reid-Foley, Sean
Reid-Foley
146810+0=145850%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Brigham, Jeff
Brigham
14376+24=145550%1
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1430+19+0=144933%11
NYYNYYYankees
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
156917+24=157667%7
9/1Saturday, Sept. 19:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1533+22+0=155543%2
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1560+23+24=160757%3
9/1Saturday, Sept. 19:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1507+29+0=153646%8
OAKOAKAthletics
Hendriks, Liam
Hendriks
155211+24=156554%7
9/1Saturday, Sept. 18:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1510+7+0=151755%4
SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
1449+7+24=148045%2
9/1Saturday, Sept. 18:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1488+19+0=150751%4
TEXTEXRangers
Gallardo, Yovani
Gallardo
14846+24=150249%7
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1464+20+0=148439%4
STLSTLCardinals
Poncedeleon, Daniel
Poncedeleon
15469+24=156161%0
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:15 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14192+0=141747%4
KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
14203+24=144153%5
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
1511+3+0=151442%3
HOUHOUAstros
James, Josh
James
158739+24=157258%7
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
1470+1+0=147152%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1435+1+24=146048%6
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1530+37+0=156751%5
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
156229+24=155749%3
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1593+6+0=159961%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1456+40+24=152039%1
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1494+0+0=149442%3
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1517+8+24=154958%5
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1517+3+0=152043%4
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1521+21+24=156657%5
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1548+13+0=156158%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
149921+24=150242%1
9/1Saturday, Sept. 14:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
148021+0=145942%2
SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
14995+24=151858%1
9/1Saturday, Sept. 14:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
14314+0=142727%1
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1568+11+24=160373%2
8/31Friday, Aug. 3110:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1483+82=148946%0
SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
14956+26=151554%7
8/31Friday, Aug. 3110:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
151522+0=149354%0
SDSDPadres
Kennedy, Brett
Kennedy
14457+24=146246%7
8/31Friday, Aug. 3110:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1535+19+0=155448%2
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
155813+24=156952%3
8/31Friday, Aug. 3110:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1509+7+0=151639%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1551+16+24=159161%7
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1466212=144333%5
STLSTLCardinals
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
15445+24=156367%12
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:15 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1422+41=142545%2
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1417+14+26=145755%9
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1508+3+0=151140%3
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
159034+24=158060%0
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
159716+0=158164%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1452+2+24=147836%6
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gonsalves, Stephen
Gonsalves
1486213=146245%10
TEXTEXRangers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
148615+26=149755%7
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1492+232=151346%3
ATLATLBraves
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
15182+24=154054%2
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1469+91=147754%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14367+23=145246%5
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1531391=149135%0
CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1561+14+24=159965%3
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1514+132=152547%4
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1524+1+24=154953%1
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
155013=154655%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
149714+26=150945%2
8/31Friday, Aug. 317 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14315+0=142627%5
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1567+12+24=160373%7
8/30Thursday, Aug. 3010:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1516+9+1=152659%2
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14435+24=146241%3
8/30Thursday, Aug. 3010:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1532112=151941%3
LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1561+3+21=158559%1
8/30Thursday, Aug. 3010:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
150522=150141%7
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
155510+20=156559%1
8/30Thursday, Aug. 308:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1505+51=150933%5
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1593+12+24=162967%2
8/30Thursday, Aug. 308:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
159593=158365%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14532+21=147235%4
8/30Thursday, Aug. 307:35 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1548+03=154548%5
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1520+15+24=155952%4
8/30Thursday, Aug. 307:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1495+2+0=149742%0
STLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
154210+24=155658%5
8/30Thursday, Aug. 307:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Liriano, Francisco
Liriano
1429163=141025%8
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1570+8+24=160275%7
8/30Thursday, Aug. 301:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1487+9+0=149638%3
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
15605+24=157962%5
8/30Thursday, Aug. 3012:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Miley, Wade
Miley
151316+0=149756%2
CINCINReds
Reed, Cody
Reed
146737+24=145444%1
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 2910:15 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
153012+0=151845%3
SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1497+31+24=155255%1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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