Updated Aug. 15, 2018 at 10:41 PM

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

Avg. Simulated SeasonAvg. SimulationPostseason Chances
Team
Division
Team rating
1-Week Change
RecordProj.
rec.
Run Diff.
Make PlayoffsMake
Play-
offs
Win
Division
Win
Div.
Win World SeriesWin
W.S.
AL East1603
+3
111-51+264>99%97%25%
AL West1583
-14
98-64+23196%74%16%
AL East1572
-3
101-61+181>99%3%9%
AL Central1565
+9
95-67+175>99%>99%9%
NL West1552
-9
88-74+12055%40%7%
AL West1546
+5
94-68+8283%24%4%
NL Central1544
-9
93-69+11693%75%9%
NL Central1530
+12
87-75+5745%10%2%
NL West1529
+1
88-74+8254%38%5%
NL East1528
-2
83-79+8311%4%<1%
NL East1523
+12
90-72+10578%61%5%
NL Central1516
-3
88-74+3457%14%2%
AL West1515
+2
81-81+34<1%<1%<1%
AL East1514
+6
81-81+8<1%<1%<1%
AL West1513
+7
89-73-3020%3%<1%
NL West1512
+5
85-77-1531%18%2%
NL East1511
-5
88-74+3961%35%3%
NL West1501
+2
82-80-289%4%<1%
NL Central1498
+1
81-8106%<1%<1%
AL Central1495
-1
78-84-22<1%<1%<1%
AL West1492
+3
72-90-69<1%<1%<1%
AL East1480
-4
74-88-88<1%<1%<1%
NL East1471
+11
71-91-87<1%<1%<1%
NL Central1467
-9
71-91-92<1%<1%<1%
NL West1449
+1
65-97-141<1%<1%<1%
AL Central1444
-1
67-95-129<1%<1%<1%
AL Central1435
-1
61-101-194<1%<1%<1%
NL East1427
-13
63-99-221<1%<1%<1%
AL East1422
-7
51-111-239<1%<1%
AL Central1411
53-109-255<1%<1%<1%
Forecast from

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 158:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1512+9+0=152137%
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1583+9+24=161663%
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 158:15 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
1480+4+0=148457%
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14111+24=143443%
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 158:15 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
152816+0=151246%
STLSTLCardinals
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
153014+24=154054%
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 159 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
15157+0=150854%
SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
1449+6+24=147946%
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 1510:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
15018+0=149340%
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
155211+24=156560%
8/16Thursday, Aug. 161:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1514+32+0=154641%
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1572+11+24=160759%
8/16Thursday, Aug. 164:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
1471171=145334%
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1511+36+24=157166%
8/16Thursday, Aug. 167:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1544122=153053%
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14987+21=151247%
8/16Thursday, Aug. 167:15 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15283+0=152545%
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1530+7+24=156155%
8/16Thursday, Aug. 167:30 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1512+83=151747%
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
15236+24=154153%
8/16Thursday, Aug. 167:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Oswalt, Corey
Oswalt
147117+0=145441%
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151115+24=152059%
8/16Thursday, Aug. 168:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1515+03=151250%
TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
14924+26=151450%
8/16Thursday, Aug. 168:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Liriano, Francisco
Liriano
144493=143237%
MINMINTwins
Santana, Ervin
Santana
1495+2+24=152163%
8/16Thursday, Aug. 168:15 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Gaviglio, Sam
Gaviglio
148012+0=146855%
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
14111+24=143445%
8/16Thursday, Aug. 1610:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
152951=152355%
SDSDPadres
Nix, Jacob
Nix
1449+16+24=148945%
8/17Friday, Aug. 176:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1471+22+0=149344%
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15111+24=153456%
8/17Friday, Aug. 177 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
151472=150536%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
160325+24=160264%
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1480+113=148836%
NYYNYYYankees
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
157212+24=158464%
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1544+10+0=155453%
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1498+10+24=153247%
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
142761=142026%
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1528+54+21=160374%
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1501+342=153352%
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1467+24+26=151748%
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
142220+0=140225%
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1565+7+24=159675%
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:35 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1512+10+0=152247%
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
15231+24=154653%
8/17Friday, Aug. 178:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151546%
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1492+25+24=154154%
8/17Friday, Aug. 178:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1411+72=141643%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1435+2+24=146157%
8/17Friday, Aug. 178:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1444+15+0=145939%
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1495+15+24=153461%
8/17Friday, Aug. 178:15 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15164+0=151246%
STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
153016+24=153854%
8/17Friday, Aug. 1710:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1583+02=158153%
OAKOAKAthletics
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
154614+26=155847%
8/17Friday, Aug. 1710:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
15295+0=152455%
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1449+19+24=149245%
8/17Friday, Aug. 1710:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1552+71=155853%
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
15132+23=153447%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 181 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14801+0=147932%
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1572+11+24=160768%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 184:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Ramirez, Yefry
Ramirez
14221+0=142133%
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
156543+24=154667%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 184:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
158311+0=157250%
OAKOAKAthletics
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
1546+1+24=157150%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 184:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1471+51+0=152248%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153652%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1544+5+0=154953%
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1498+3+24=152547%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1427+0+0=142738%
WSHWSHNationals
Milone, Tommy
Milone
152842+24=151062%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Bettis, Chad
Bettis
151227+0=148540%
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1523+10+24=155760%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
151441+0=147329%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1603+3+24=163071%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1411+14+0=142549%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
143525+24=143451%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1501+29+0=153056%
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
14674+24=148744%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14443+0=144141%
MINMINTwins
Stewart, Kohl
Stewart
149517+24=150259%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:15 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Miley, Wade
Miley
151618+0=149840%
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1530+15+24=156960%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 188:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1515+9+0=152453%
TEXTEXRangers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
149214+24=150247%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 188:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
15293+0=152657%
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1449+3+24=147643%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 1810:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1552+4+0=155654%
SEASEAMariners
Ramirez, Erasmo
Ramirez
15138+24=152946%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+0=150726%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1603+57+24=168474%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Borucki, Ryan
Borucki
14801+0=147933%
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1572+8+24=160467%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
15011+0=150048%
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1467+21+24=151252%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1422+10+0=143230%
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
15658+24=158170%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:35 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
15123+0=150945%
ATLATLBraves
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1523+0+24=154755%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:35 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1544+2+0=154650%
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1498+21+24=154350%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1427+4+0=143136%
WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
152820+24=153264%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 192:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
1411+3+0=141444%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
14352+24=145756%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 192:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Hardy, Blaine
Hardy
1444+2+0=144640%
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
14951+24=151860%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 192:15 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1516+3+0=151947%
STLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
153011+24=154353%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 193:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1515+2+0=151752%
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
149214+24=150248%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 194:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1583+16+0=159953%
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1546+10+24=158047%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 194:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1529+21+0=155062%
SDSDPadres
Kennedy, Brett
Kennedy
14498+24=146538%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 194:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1552+23+0=157556%
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15133+24=153444%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 197 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
147135+0=143641%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151110+0=150159%
8/20Monday, Aug. 207 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1422+62=142639%
TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
1480+4+22=150661%
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1523+32=152449%
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1498+8+24=153051%
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1565+203=158245%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
160310+24=161755%
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
143552=142835%
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1495+15+24=153465%
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
150183=149049%
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1471+5+23=149951%
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
141113=140733%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+21=152867%
8/20Monday, Aug. 208:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1467192=144636%
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1516+10+22=154864%
8/20Monday, Aug. 2010:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Colon, Bartolo
Colon
149274=148137%
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1546+6+24=157663%
8/20Monday, Aug. 2010:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1530144=151242%
LADLADDodgers
Wood, Alex
Wood
15522+21=157158%
8/20Monday, Aug. 2010:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1583+93=158962%
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
151330+24=150738%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
15236+0=151750%
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14987+24=151550%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15112+0=150946%
WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
152816+26=153854%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1422+4+0=142641%
TORTORBlue Jays
Gaviglio, Sam
Gaviglio
148012+24=149259%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
156531+0=153439%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
160314+24=161361%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1544+13+0=155764%
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
144411+23=145636%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
1572+21=157366%
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1427+11+23=146134%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1501+34+0=153558%
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
147117+24=147842%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1411+12+0=142330%
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1514+32+24=157070%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 218 p.m.CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14672+0=146541%
MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
15169+24=153159%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 218:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Santana, Ervin
Santana
1495+22=149549%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1435+43+22=150051%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 218:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
1449+61=145437%
COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1512+9+23=154463%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 219:40 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
151571=150740%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1529+22+24=157560%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 2110 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1530+7+0=153746%
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
155211+24=156554%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 2110:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Gallardo, Yovani
Gallardo
149211+0=148139%
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
154615+24=155561%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 2110:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1583+0+0=158356%
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1513+5+24=154244%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 2212:37 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
142220+0=140234%
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1480+11+24=151566%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 222:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1495+15+0=151057%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1435+2+24=146143%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 222:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Stephenson, Robert
Stephenson
1467+4+0=147141%
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15164+24=153659%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 223:35 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
14924+0=148840%
OAKOAKAthletics
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
154614+24=155660%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 224 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1583+0+0=158357%
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
15132+24=153543%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
15231+0=152249%
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1498+10+24=153251%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1511+36+0=154750%
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15283+24=154950%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1565+7+0=157246%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
160325+24=160254%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
154412+0=153260%
DETDETTigers
Liriano, Francisco
Liriano
14449+24=145940%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1572+11+0=158368%
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1427+0+24=145132%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1501+29+0=153058%
NYMNYMMets
Oswalt, Corey
Oswalt
147117+24=147842%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1411+7+0=141834%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+24=153166%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 228:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Nix, Jacob
Nix
1449+16+0=146539%
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1512+8+24=154461%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 229:40 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151545%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
15295+24=154855%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 2210 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
153016+0=151440%
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1552+7+24=158360%

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1429+0+0=142933%2
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1521+3+24=154867%5
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
156427+0=153756%4
CINCINReds
Stephenson, Robert
Stephenson
1468+6+24=149844%3
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Faria, Jake
Faria
151010+0=150039%6
NYYNYYYankees
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
157621+24=157961%1
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1466+5+0=147152%16
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1427+8+24=145948%5
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
160514+0=159158%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1508+0+24=153242%7
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 153:35 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15112+0=150944%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
154821+24=155156%0
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 152:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
15183+0=151541%4
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1542+13+24=157959%8
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 151:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1499+8+0=150746%4
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1493+19+24=153654%6
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 151:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1434+42+0=147652%6
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14457+24=146248%5
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 1410:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1513+2+0=151556%7
SDSDPadres
Kennedy, Brett
Kennedy
14512+24=147344%3
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 1410:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
14994+0=149539%2
LADLADDodgers
Wood, Alex
Wood
15543+24=157561%1
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 1410:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1512+30+0=154245%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1547+7+24=157855%3
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 148:15 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
153017+0=151346%4
STLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
152914+24=153954%6
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 148:15 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Borucki, Ryan
Borucki
1479+5+0=148456%6
KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
1412+8+24=144444%5
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 148:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1502+222=152252%2
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
14914+23=151048%5
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 148:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
150971=150132%5
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1587+16+26=162968%1
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 148:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1528+20+0=154856%6
TEXTEXRangers
Gallardo, Yovani
Gallardo
14939+24=150844%4
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1430+17+0=144736%6
ATLATLBraves
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1520+3+24=154764%10
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14315+0=142643%6
DETDETTigers
Hardy, Blaine
Hardy
1447+5+24=147657%3
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1561+18+0=157962%8
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1471+2+24=149738%1
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
160416+1=158960%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150914+22=151740%1
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Wood, Hunter
Wood
151120+0=149135%1
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1574+3+24=160165%4
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
1468362=143047%3
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1425+3+26=145453%6
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 142:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1514+41=151741%7
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1546+5+26=157759%0
8/13Monday, Aug. 1310:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1511+71=151756%6
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
14531+24=147644%3
8/13Monday, Aug. 1310:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1497+322=152740%5
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1557+20+21=159860%2
8/13Monday, Aug. 1310:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1513+04=150941%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1546+9+22=157759%7
8/13Monday, Aug. 138:15 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Reid-Foley, Sean
Reid-Foley
148193=146954%1
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1410+9+24=144346%3
8/13Monday, Aug. 138:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1530+243=155157%3
TEXTEXRangers
Colon, Bartolo
Colon
149110+21=150243%5
8/13Monday, Aug. 138 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Milone, Tommy
Milone
1531422=148739%6
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1528+16+22=156661%7
8/13Monday, Aug. 137:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Gonzalez, Merandy
Gonzalez
14321+0=143134%1
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1518+7+24=154966%6
8/13Monday, Aug. 137:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1434+12=143347%5
DETDETTigers
Lewicki, Artie
Lewicki
144516+24=145353%9
8/13Monday, Aug. 137:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
155952=155260%10
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
147419+24=147940%3
8/13Monday, Aug. 137 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1465+503=151236%8
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1577+15+24=161664%5
8/13Monday, Aug. 131:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1435+73=143938%1
ATLATLBraves
Toussaint, Touki
Toussaint
151514+24=152562%9
8/12Sunday, Aug. 128 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1532+50+0=158251%3
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1545+4+24=157349%4
8/12Sunday, Aug. 124:07 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
1545+4+0=154953%8
LAALAAAngels
Cole, Taylor
Cole
15129+24=152747%7
8/12Sunday, Aug. 124 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1503+4+0=150744%3
SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1495+30+24=154956%4
8/12Sunday, Aug. 123:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1513+4+0=151754%3
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1450+16+24=149046%9
8/12Sunday, Aug. 123:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1559+3+0=156259%3
COLCOLRockies
Bettis, Chad
Bettis
150730+24=150141%4
8/12Sunday, Aug. 122:15 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Ross, Tyson
Ross
152521+0=150459%8
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1412+3+24=143941%2
8/12Sunday, Aug. 122:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Ramirez, Erasmo
Ramirez
151211+0=150136%4
HOUHOUAstros
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
158911+24=160264%3
8/12Sunday, Aug. 122:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1558+3+0=156167%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
143521+24=143833%7
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1515+6+0=152147%7
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
1514+6+24=154453%8
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1464+24+0=148854%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14362+24=145846%3
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Stewart, Kohl
Stewart
149314+0=147950%2
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1443+10+24=147750%4
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
15265+0=152150%9
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1477+21+24=152250%2
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
151246+0=146643%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1480+9+24=151357%2
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
149311+0=148234%2
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15753+24=159666%7
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1604+56+0=166076%4
BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1425+7+24=145624%1
8/11Saturday, Aug. 119:07 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
154117+0=152446%7
LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1516+11+24=155154%0
8/11Saturday, Aug. 119:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1500+7+0=150751%4
SFSFGiants
Blach, Ty
Blach
149821+24=150149%0
8/11Saturday, Aug. 118:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1511+35+0=154660%5
SDSDPadres
Lockett, Walker
Lockett
14522+24=147440%1
8/11Saturday, Aug. 118:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1560+2+0=156253%2
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1506+8+24=153847%3
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:20 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
160329+0=157468%6
BALBALOrioles
Ramirez, Yefry
Ramirez
14265+24=144532%4
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:15 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1523+6+0=152960%8
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1414+17+24=145540%3
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
15102+0=150835%3
HOUHOUAstros
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1591+1+24=161665%2
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Oswalt, Corey
Oswalt
146518+0=144750%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14358+24=145150%4
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1557+21+0=157866%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1436+0+24=146034%1
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Miley, Wade
Miley
151319+0=149445%4
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
151610+24=153055%2
8/11Saturday, Aug. 116:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
15295+0=152455%3
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
147510+24=148945%6
8/11Saturday, Aug. 116:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1491+13+0=150457%4
DETDETTigers
Liriano, Francisco
Liriano
14459+24=146043%3
8/11Saturday, Aug. 114:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
151110+0=150152%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Gaviglio, Sam
Gaviglio
148116+24=148948%1
8/11Saturday, Aug. 114:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15295+0=152443%9
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15483+24=156957%4
8/11Saturday, Aug. 111:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
149416+0=147835%3
NYYNYYYankees
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
157414+24=158465%5
8/11Saturday, Aug. 111 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1601+1+0=160270%5
BALBALOrioles
Yacabonis, Jimmy
Yacabonis
1428+4+24=145630%0
8/10Friday, Aug. 1010:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Holmes, Clay
Holmes
15025+0=149747%10
SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
14965+24=151553%13
8/10Friday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151317+0=149652%0
SDSDPadres
Nix, Jacob
Nix
1450+12+20=148248%2
8/10Friday, Aug. 1010:07 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
154221+0=152148%3
LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
15159+26=153252%4
8/10Friday, Aug. 108:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
15629+0=155352%4
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1504+11+24=153948%5
8/10Friday, Aug. 108:15 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1521171=150360%7
KCKCRoyals
Smith, Burch
Smith
141710+26=143340%0
8/10Friday, Aug. 108:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15063+0=150333%5
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1594+9+24=162767%2
8/10Friday, Aug. 108:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1558342=152254%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1434+37+26=149746%1
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1517+83=152249%1
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
15122+21=153151%10
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1463+41=146650%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14371+26=146250%2
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Santana, Ervin
Santana
1493+41=149656%3
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14439+22=145644%5
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
153142=152552%0
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1472+16+23=151148%3
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1507+293=153353%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
1485+6+24=151547%0
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1490+24+0=151435%12
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1578+17+24=161965%7
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
159922=159568%19
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1430+16+21=146732%12
8/10Friday, Aug. 102:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
1530193=150840%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1547+11+24=158260%3
8/9Thursday, Aug. 910:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1499103=148645%10
SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
14992+26=152355%5
8/9Thursday, Aug. 98:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
156043=155352%8
COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1506+8+24=153848%5
8/9Thursday, Aug. 98:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1504+332=153535%8
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1597+26+22=164565%6
8/9Thursday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
143121+0=141035%4
TBTBRays
Wood, Hunter
Wood
150713+24=151865%5
8/9Thursday, Aug. 97:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
160211+0=159161%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Borucki, Ryan
Borucki
1482+11+24=151739%8
8/9Thursday, Aug. 97:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
1492+53=149435%3
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1577+1+21=159965%7
8/9Thursday, Aug. 92 p.m.SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
1446+8+0=145438%8
MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
15213+24=154262%4
8/9Thursday, Aug. 91:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1494+22+0=151638%4
CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1557+21+24=160262%5
8/9Thursday, Aug. 91:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1514+4+0=151848%3
WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
152718+24=153352%6
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 810:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1561+23+0=158452%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1541+6+24=157148%3
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1553+7+0=156067%0
KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
14111+24=143433%9
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Kennedy, Brett
Kennedy
1448+10+0=145838%4
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1519+2+24=154562%8
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1575+15+0=159068%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14362+24=145832%3
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
151817+0=150153%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1440+16+24=148047%1
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
14966+0=149038%2
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
15565+24=157562%5
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
160025+0=157561%10
TORTORBlue Jays
Hauschild, Mike
Hauschild
148410+24=149839%5
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1511+8+0=151950%8
WSHWSHNationals
Milone, Tommy
Milone
153036+24=151850%3
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1429+1+0=143037%5
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
15087+24=152563%4
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 84:07 p.m.DETDETTigers
Hardy, Blaine
Hardy
1445+13+0=145839%0
LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
15132+24=153561%6

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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