Updated Jun. 23, 2018 at 1:19 AM

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

Avg. Simulated SeasonAvg. SimulationPostseason Chances
Team
Division
Team rating
1-Week Change
RecordProj.
rec.
Run Diff.
Make PlayoffsMake
Play-
offs
Win
Division
Win
Div.
Win World SeriesWin
W.S.
AL West1608
+1
105-57+280>99%92%25%
AL East1590
+1
105-57+211>99%62%16%
AL East1575
+1
102-60+19398%38%11%
NL Central1560
-6
95-67+16787%55%10%
AL Central1559
+6
94-68+13892%91%8%
NL West1557
-1
89-73+11264%44%8%
NL East1536
-11
88-74+7858%40%4%
NL West1536
-1
90-72+9167%47%6%
NL Central1535
93-69+9780%40%4%
AL West1528
-8
90-72+2363%6%2%
AL West1519
-1
84-78+3220%1%<1%
NL East1512
+2
88-74+8056%36%2%
AL West1506
+10
81-81-39%<1%<1%
NL Central1505
-5
82-80+120%4%<1%
NL East1505
+12
86-76+2739%23%2%
AL Central1502
+1
80-82+111%8%<1%
NL West1501
+1
80-82-2914%6%<1%
AL East1500
+3
78-84-194%<1%<1%
AL East1487
-2
75-87-561%<1%<1%
NL West1487
-1
77-85-767%3%<1%
AL West1484
+12
72-90-94<1%<1%<1%
NL Central1482
-4
76-86-345%<1%<1%
NL East1475
+5
72-90-742%<1%<1%
NL Central1463
+11
68-94-102<1%<1%<1%
NL West1461
-7
70-92-116<1%<1%<1%
AL Central1457
-3
73-89-971%1%<1%
AL East1436
+5
56-106-203<1%<1%<1%
AL Central1435
-9
60-102-189<1%<1%<1%
NL East1433
-5
63-99-199<1%<1%<1%
AL Central1418
-6
56-106-242<1%<1%<1%
Forecast from

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/23Saturday, June 232:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
1506+4+0=151058%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
14355+24=145442%
6/23Saturday, June 232:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Gallardo, Yovani
Gallardo
148423+0=146142%
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
15028+24=151858%
6/23Saturday, June 233:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14331+0=143238%
COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1487+5+24=151662%
6/23Saturday, June 234:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1536+13+0=154958%
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
148212+24=149442%
6/23Saturday, June 234:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
146118+0=144338%
SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
1501+3+24=152862%
6/23Saturday, June 234:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1505+30+0=153553%
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
153648+24=151247%
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1436+24+0=146040%
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
15122+24=153460%
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Farrell, Luke
Farrell
156034+0=152652%
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1463+24+24=151148%
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1505+18+0=152345%
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1535+0+24=155955%
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Gray, Sonny
Gray
159014+0=157659%
TBTBRays
Font, Wilmer
Font
15008+24=151641%
6/23Saturday, June 236:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Liriano, Francisco
Liriano
1457+0+0=145731%
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1559+10+24=159369%
6/23Saturday, June 237:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15287+0=152139%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1575+2+24=160161%
6/23Saturday, June 237:15 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Kennedy, Ian
Kennedy
141810+0=140823%
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
160817+24=161577%
6/23Saturday, June 237:15 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1557+28+0=158556%
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1475+47+24=154644%
6/23Saturday, June 239:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
14872+0=148543%
LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
15198+24=153557%
6/24Sunday, June 241:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15289+0=151934%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1575+38+24=163766%
6/24Sunday, June 241:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
156016+0=154458%
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1463+4+24=149142%
6/24Sunday, June 241:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1457+9+0=146640%
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
155948+24=153560%
6/24Sunday, June 241:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1557+3+0=156063%
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
147530+24=146937%
6/24Sunday, June 241:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
159015+0=157554%
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1500+26+24=155046%
6/24Sunday, June 241:35 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
14368+0=142837%
ATLATLBraves
McCarthy, Brandon
McCarthy
151216+24=152063%
6/24Sunday, June 241:35 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
15361+0=153553%
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1482+6+24=151247%
6/24Sunday, June 242:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
150610+0=149652%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1435+25+24=148448%
6/24Sunday, June 242:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Hammel, Jason
Hammel
14184+0=141422%
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1608+4+24=163678%
6/24Sunday, June 242:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
150511+0=149440%
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1535+7+24=156660%
6/24Sunday, June 242:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Colon, Bartolo
Colon
148414+0=147039%
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1502+19+24=154561%
6/24Sunday, June 243:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1433+18+0=145142%
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
14876+24=150558%
6/24Sunday, June 244:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
146112+0=144940%
SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
15016+24=151960%
6/24Sunday, June 244:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+0=148944%
LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
151913+24=153056%
6/24Sunday, June 248 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15056+0=149947%
WSHWSHNationals
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
153638+24=152253%
6/25Monday, June 253:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1506+22=150656%
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
145715+23=146544%
6/25Monday, June 254:15 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+03=151659%
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1418+10+21=144941%
6/25Monday, June 257:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1528112=151558%
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14361+21=145642%
6/25Monday, June 257:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Loaisiga, Jonathan
Loaisiga
1590283=155956%
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15058+22=151944%
6/25Monday, June 257:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Miller, Shelby
Miller
1536183=151560%
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14339+20=144440%
6/25Monday, June 257:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1482+112=149150%
NYMNYMMets
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
14758+24=149150%
6/25Monday, June 257:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1536113=152250%
TBTBRays
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15002+24=152250%
6/25Monday, June 257:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1463+112=147239%
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1512+14+24=155061%
6/25Monday, June 258:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
146144=145338%
TEXTEXRangers
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1484+33+21=153862%
6/25Monday, June 258:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1487+293=151329%
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1608+40+24=167271%
6/25Monday, June 258:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
155912=155654%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+22=152946%
6/25Monday, June 2510 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1560+14=155749%
LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
155712+20=156551%
6/26Tuesday, June 2612:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1536+47+0=158358%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152542%
6/26Tuesday, June 267:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1528+28+0=155661%
BALBALOrioles
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1436+15+24=147539%
6/26Tuesday, June 267:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1590+32+0=162263%
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1505+0+24=152937%
6/26Tuesday, June 267:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Lamb, John
Lamb
1519323=148433%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1575+3+26=160467%
6/26Tuesday, June 267:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+0=150751%
DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
1457+19+24=150049%
6/26Tuesday, June 267:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
15368+0=152860%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145940%
6/26Tuesday, June 267:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14827+0=147548%
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
14758+24=149152%
6/26Tuesday, June 267:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
146311+0=145239%
ATLATLBraves
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
15129+24=152761%
6/26Tuesday, June 268:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1461+18+0=147946%
TEXTEXRangers
Bibens-Dirkx, Austin
Bibens-Dirkx
1484+2+24=151054%
6/26Tuesday, June 268:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
15022+0=150054%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1435+9+26=147046%
6/26Tuesday, June 268:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+0=148931%
HOUHOUAstros
Morton, Charlie
Morton
16087+24=162569%
6/26Tuesday, June 268:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1418+02=141630%
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15352+26=155970%
6/26Tuesday, June 268:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1559+37+0=159659%
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
1505+4+24=153341%
6/26Tuesday, June 2610 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1560+12+0=157248%
LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1557+7+24=158852%
6/26Tuesday, June 2610:15 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Bettis, Chad
Bettis
1487101=147645%
SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
150115+26=151255%
6/27Wednesday, June 2712:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1463+15+0=147840%
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
1512+10+24=154660%
6/27Wednesday, June 272:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
1487+8+0=149534%
HOUHOUAstros
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
160819+24=161366%
6/27Wednesday, June 272:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1418+8+0=142632%
MILMILBrewers
Suter, Brent
Suter
15353+24=155668%
6/27Wednesday, June 277:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
15288+0=152059%
BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
14362+24=145841%
6/27Wednesday, June 277:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15907+0=158360%
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150518+24=151140%
6/27Wednesday, June 277:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
15191+0=151839%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15754+24=159561%
6/27Wednesday, June 277:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
15063+0=150354%
DETDETTigers
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
14579+24=147246%
6/27Wednesday, June 277:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1536+16+0=155264%
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14335+24=145236%
6/27Wednesday, June 277:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1482+2+0=148450%
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
147515+24=148450%
6/27Wednesday, June 278:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1461+10+0=147143%
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1484+14+24=152257%
6/27Wednesday, June 278:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1502+11+0=151359%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14359+24=145041%
6/27Wednesday, June 278:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
155930+0=152948%
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1505+11+24=154052%
6/27Wednesday, June 2710 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1560+6+0=156648%
LADLADDodgers
Wood, Alex
Wood
15572+24=157952%
6/27Wednesday, June 2710:15 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1487+7+0=149441%
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1501+31+24=155659%
6/28Thursday, June 2812:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1536+13+0=154963%
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14331+24=145637%
6/28Thursday, June 281:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1506+17+0=152356%
DETDETTigers
Liriano, Francisco
Liriano
1457+0+24=148144%
6/28Thursday, June 282:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Romero, Fernando
Romero
150214+0=148854%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1435+3+24=146246%
6/28Thursday, June 283:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15287+0=152155%
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1436+24+24=148445%
6/28Thursday, June 283:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15601+0=155943%
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1557+28+24=160957%
6/28Thursday, June 283:45 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1487+11+0=149846%
SFSFGiants
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
1501+2+24=152754%
6/28Thursday, June 287 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
15198+0=151141%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wright, Steven
Wright
157525+24=157459%
6/28Thursday, June 287:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1536191=151644%
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1505+30+24=155956%
6/28Thursday, June 287:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
1535+42=153754%
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1463+24+22=150946%
6/28Thursday, June 287:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1608173=158859%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+26=152741%
6/29Friday, June 295:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
150281=149340%
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
156016+20=156460%
6/29Friday, June 297:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
1519132=150457%
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
14368+24=145243%
6/29Friday, June 297:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1575+22=157546%
NYYNYYYankees
Gray, Sonny
Gray
159014+25=160154%
6/29Friday, June 297:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
153648+0=148845%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15056+24=152355%
6/29Friday, June 297:07 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1457+92=146444%
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
14872+23=150856%
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1535+0+0=153556%
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1463+4+24=149144%
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1475+471=152157%
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1433+18+24=147543%
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1608+4+0=161259%
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1500+26+24=155041%
6/29Friday, June 298:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
143553=142741%
TEXTEXRangers
Gallardo, Yovani
Gallardo
148423+26=148759%
6/29Friday, June 298:15 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
15122+0=151044%
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1505+18+26=154956%
6/29Friday, June 299:40 p.m.SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
1501+33=150142%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
15361+20=155558%
6/29Friday, June 2910:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1559+102=156756%
OAKOAKAthletics
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
1506+4+20=153044%
6/29Friday, June 2910:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1487+52=149037%
LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1557+3+24=158463%
6/29Friday, June 2910:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1482122=146850%
SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
146118+23=146650%
6/29Friday, June 2910:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Kennedy, Ian
Kennedy
1418102=140632%
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15289+20=153968%
6/30Saturday, June 301:07 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
145715+0=144240%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+24=151360%
6/30Saturday, June 302:20 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1502+19+0=152141%
CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1560+1+24=158559%
6/30Saturday, June 304:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+0=151958%
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14361+24=145942%
6/30Saturday, June 304:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
155948+0=151149%
OAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
150610+24=152051%

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/22Friday, June 2210:15 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1458+7+0=146541%6
SFSFGiants
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
1504+3+24=153159%2
6/22Friday, June 2210:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
1489+4+0=149343%1
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
15183+24=153957%2
6/22Friday, June 228:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
143521=143238%3
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1484+7+24=151562%11
6/22Friday, June 228:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1480+10+0=149046%8
MINMINTwins
Romero, Fernando
Romero
150515+24=151454%1
6/22Friday, June 228:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1506+4+0=151043%1
MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
1533+3+24=156057%2
6/22Friday, June 228:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1416+41=141924%1
HOUHOUAstros
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
161020+26=161676%0
6/22Friday, June 228 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
15082+0=150658%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
143310+24=144742%6
6/22Friday, June 227:35 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
143373=142333%10
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
1515+9+23=154767%7
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
159263=158359%1
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
14986+23=151541%2
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Wood, Alex
Wood
155531=155160%5
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
147716+20=148140%2
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
14608+0=145237%0
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
155641+26=154163%10
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1563+2+0=156560%3
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1460+14+24=149840%6
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
153052=152342%10
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wright, Steven
Wright
157316+21=157858%14
6/22Friday, June 227:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
149919+0=148040%12
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
154215+24=155160%2
6/22Friday, June 227:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1535+11+0=154656%2
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14835+24=150244%1
6/22Friday, June 224:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1504+132=151557%11
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1436+7+24=146743%2
6/21Thursday, June 2110:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1460+172=147539%0
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1502+27+24=155361%3
6/21Thursday, June 2110:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1491+54=149247%5
LAALAAAngels
Lamb, John
Lamb
151630+26=151253%8
6/21Thursday, June 218:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
1510+113=151846%3
MILMILBrewers
Suter, Brent
Suter
15306+24=154854%11
6/21Thursday, June 217:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1567+52=157065%2
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
145614+24=146635%6
6/21Thursday, June 217:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1434+16+0=145028%2
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1541+47+24=161272%4
6/21Thursday, June 217:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
153282=152251%9
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1486+3+26=151549%3
6/21Thursday, June 213:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
14787+0=147144%4
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1483+8+24=151556%6
6/21Thursday, June 211:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
157012+0=155852%9
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1509+11+24=154448%2
6/21Thursday, June 211:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1531+30+0=156138%3
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1591+35+24=165062%4
6/20Wednesday, June 208:40 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
14795+0=147446%8
COLCOLRockies
Bettis, Chad
Bettis
14814+24=150154%10
6/20Wednesday, June 208:15 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Bibens-Dirkx, Austin
Bibens-Dirkx
14792+0=147753%3
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1417+12+24=145347%2
6/20Wednesday, June 208:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1572+4+0=157657%1
MINMINTwins
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
15064+24=152643%4
6/20Wednesday, June 208:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1500+0+0=150033%1
HOUHOUAstros
Morton, Charlie
Morton
16097+24=162667%5
6/20Wednesday, June 207:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14312+0=142932%3
WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
154511+24=155868%0
6/20Wednesday, June 207:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
153215+0=151740%5
NYYNYYYankees
Loaisiga, Jonathan
Loaisiga
158927+24=158660%7
6/20Wednesday, June 203:45 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1437+15+0=145242%5
SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
150116+24=150958%6
6/20Wednesday, June 203:40 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1500+0+0=150051%12
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1464+7+24=149549%4
6/20Wednesday, June 202:20 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1557+7+0=156445%0
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1564+9+24=159755%4
6/20Wednesday, June 201:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1438+11+0=144928%0
CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1553+35+24=161272%12
6/20Wednesday, June 201:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1511+2+0=151349%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1498+1+24=152351%4
6/20Wednesday, June 2012:37 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
15168+0=150845%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1489+29+24=154255%5
6/20Wednesday, June 2012:35 p.m.DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
1462+19+0=148149%3
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1454+12+24=149051%5
6/19Tuesday, June 1910:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14385+0=143338%3
SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
15006+24=151862%6
6/19Tuesday, June 1910:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
14999+0=149053%4
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
146618+22=147047%2
6/19Tuesday, June 1910 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Koch, Matt
Koch
153312+0=152150%4
LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
151516+24=152350%5
6/19Tuesday, June 198:40 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
148125+0=145644%8
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
14807+24=149756%10
6/19Tuesday, June 198:15 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1477+32+0=150960%4
KCKCRoyals
Hammel, Jason
Hammel
14181+24=144140%1
6/19Tuesday, June 198:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1575+341=160859%2
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1503+18+23=154441%6
6/19Tuesday, June 198:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1498+24+0=152229%2
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1611+41+24=167671%1
6/19Tuesday, June 198:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
15591+0=155846%1
CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1563+0+24=158754%2
6/19Tuesday, June 197:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1440+23+0=146334%3
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
15522+24=157466%6
6/19Tuesday, June 197:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1464+12+0=147650%5
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1452+1+24=147750%9
6/19Tuesday, June 197:07 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Michael
Soroka
1513101=150250%11
TORTORBlue Jays
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
149320+26=149950%4
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
14321+1=143236%7
WSHWSHNationals
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
154336+24=153164%9
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
152810+0=151849%3
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1487+12+24=152351%2
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15108+0=150248%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
14998+24=151552%6
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
153582=152542%2
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
158726+22=158358%7
6/19Tuesday, June 191:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
155792=154646%4
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
156518+24=157154%3
6/18Monday, June 1810:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1436+194=145140%5
SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
15021+22=152360%4
6/18Monday, June 1810 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1531+152=154451%7
LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1517+0+22=153949%4
6/18Monday, June 188:40 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1476+413=151450%12
COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1484+7+21=151250%2
6/18Monday, June 188:15 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Colon, Bartolo
Colon
1475122=146154%6
KCKCRoyals
Kennedy, Ian
Kennedy
14209+24=143546%3
6/18Monday, June 188:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
149893=148629%4
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1610+6+21=163771%5
6/18Monday, June 187:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
144132=143630%2
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1551+10+24=158570%6
6/18Monday, June 187:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1530+82=153654%0
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1486+0+24=151046%1
6/18Monday, June 187:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1511+213=152953%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
149810+21=150947%6
6/18Monday, June 186:45 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1585152=156858%4
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
154551+22=151642%2
6/17Sunday, June 178 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1568+3+0=157156%0
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
15084+24=152844%5
6/17Sunday, June 174:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1572+1+0=157353%9
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15386+24=155647%3
6/17Sunday, June 174:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
1499+2+0=150142%4
LADLADDodgers
Ferguson, Caleb
Ferguson
156026+24=155858%1
6/17Sunday, June 174:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
147422+0=145236%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
15342+24=155664%3
6/17Sunday, June 174:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
15188+0=151047%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
1497+8+24=152953%6
6/17Sunday, June 173:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1486+7+0=149352%12
TEXTEXRangers
Gallardo, Yovani
Gallardo
147420+24=147848%13
6/17Sunday, June 172:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
160916+0=159370%7
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1421+1+24=144630%4
6/17Sunday, June 172:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1496+37+0=153346%10
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1532+6+24=156254%9
6/17Sunday, June 172:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Hardy, Blaine
Hardy
1462+9+0=147150%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1443+7+24=147450%1
6/17Sunday, June 172:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Font, Wilmer
Font
149612+0=148433%3
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15907+24=160767%1
6/17Sunday, June 171:35 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1450+26+0=147646%8
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14888+24=150454%6
6/17Sunday, June 171:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1467+5+0=147242%1
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
15118+24=152758%4
6/17Sunday, June 171:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
15057+0=149845%1
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
154941+24=153255%4
6/17Sunday, June 171:07 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
154513+0=153254%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Gaviglio, Sam
Gaviglio
149111+24=150446%8
6/17Sunday, June 171:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1439+4+0=144345%4
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1429+27+24=148055%10
6/16Saturday, June 1610:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
147010+0=146034%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1537+13+24=157466%1
6/16Saturday, June 168:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1566+9+0=157554%6
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
1510+14+24=154846%3
6/16Saturday, June 168:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Wright, Steven
Wright
157416+0=155852%0
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
153614+24=154648%1
6/16Saturday, June 168:15 p.m.SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1500+32+0=153243%1
LADLADDodgers
Wood, Alex
Wood
15584+24=157857%3
6/16Saturday, June 165:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
146821+0=144737%0
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
1510+6+24=154063%1
6/16Saturday, June 164:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
149323+0=147037%4
MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
1535+6+24=156563%1
6/16Saturday, June 164:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Romero, Fernando
Romero
150111+0=149037%9
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1553+8+24=158563%3
6/16Saturday, June 164:07 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1547+44+0=159161%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
14891+24=151239%2
6/16Saturday, June 164:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1488+5+0=149349%2
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1472+4+24=150051%5
6/16Saturday, June 164:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1452+19+0=147146%2
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14868+24=150254%6
6/16Saturday, June 164:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Lamb, John
Lamb
152032+0=148844%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1496+12+24=153256%6
6/16Saturday, June 164:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14384+0=143448%5
BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
14316+24=144952%4
6/16Saturday, June 162:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
160722+0=158568%10
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1424+6+24=145432%2
6/16Saturday, June 162:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
146017+0=144348%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
144410+24=145852%5
6/16Saturday, June 161:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
149711+0=148629%1
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1589+32+24=164571%4
6/15Friday, June 1510:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
157510+0=156545%6
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1535+38+24=159755%7
6/15Friday, June 1510:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
1501154=148235%2
LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1557+6+26=158965%3
6/15Friday, June 159:40 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
14722+0=147039%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
153511+24=154861%7
6/15Friday, June 159:35 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1517+71=152350%8
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1498+3+24=152550%4
6/15Friday, June 158:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1562+10+0=157253%13
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1513+10+26=154947%5
6/15Friday, June 158:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Morton, Charlie
Morton
160684=159468%7
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1425+15+26=146632%3
6/15Friday, June 158:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1497+83=150243%2
MILMILBrewers
Suter, Brent
Suter
15318+26=154957%13

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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