Updated Jun. 17, 2018 at 11:35 PM

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Padres have a 2% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1466, up 5 points from last week.

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
DodgersDodgers37-331.564%48%
DbacksDiamondbacks39-3257%39%
GiantsGiants35-374.516%9%
RockiesRockies34-375.06%3%
PadresPadres34-406.52%<1%

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/19Tuesday, June 1910:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
14999+0=149053%
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
146618+22=147047%
6/20Wednesday, June 203:40 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1499+0+0=149949%
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1466+17+24=150751%
6/21Thursday, June 2110:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1466+82=147238%
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1502+28+24=155462%
6/22Friday, June 2210:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
146617+0=144938%
SFSFGiants
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
1502+5+24=153162%
6/23Saturday, June 234:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146642%
SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
15021+24=152558%
6/24Sunday, June 244:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
146618+0=144840%
SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
15025+24=152160%
6/25Monday, June 258:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1466+174=147943%
TEXTEXRangers
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1475+32+21=152857%
6/26Tuesday, June 268:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1466+8+0=147447%
TEXTEXRangers
Mendez, Yohander
Mendez
14755+24=149453%
6/27Wednesday, June 278:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
146617+0=144941%
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1475+11+24=151059%
6/29Friday, June 2910:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1486+02=148449%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+23=148951%
6/30Saturday, June 3010:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1486+13+0=149954%
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
146618+24=147246%
7/1Sunday, July 14:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1486+4+0=149048%
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1466+17+24=150752%
7/3Tuesday, July 39:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1466+8+0=147441%
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1499+13+26=153859%
7/4Wednesday, July 44:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146642%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+24=152458%
7/5Thursday, July 59:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+03=146337%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1531+0+24=155563%
7/6Friday, July 69:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146637%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1531+0+24=155563%
7/7Saturday, July 710:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146637%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1531+0+24=155563%
7/8Sunday, July 84:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146637%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1531+0+24=155563%
7/9Monday, July 910:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1557+01=155660%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+22=148840%
7/10Tuesday, July 1010:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+0=155760%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149040%
7/11Wednesday, July 1110:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+0=155760%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149040%
7/12Thursday, July 1210:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+0=155760%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149040%
7/13Friday, July 1310:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156561%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149039%
7/14Saturday, July 1410:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156561%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149039%
7/15Sunday, July 154:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156561%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149039%
7/20Friday, July 207:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+3=146942%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+28=152658%
7/21Saturday, July 217:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146642%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152258%
7/22Sunday, July 221:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146642%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152258%
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+01=146545%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14761+23=149855%
7/24Tuesday, July 247:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146645%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14761+24=149955%
7/25Wednesday, July 2512:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146645%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14761+24=149955%
7/27Friday, July 2710:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1531+04=152756%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+22=148844%
7/28Saturday, July 288:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1531+0+0=153156%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149044%
7/29Sunday, July 294:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1531+0+0=153156%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149044%
7/30Monday, July 3010:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1502+12=150152%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149048%
7/31Tuesday, July 314:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1502+1+0=150352%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149048%
8/2Thursday, Aug. 28:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+02=146433%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+22=158767%
8/3Friday, Aug. 32:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146633%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158967%
8/4Saturday, Aug. 42:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146633%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158967%
8/5Sunday, Aug. 52:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146633%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158967%
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+1=146737%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+0+26=155663%
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146637%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+0+24=155463%
8/9Thursday, Aug. 92:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146637%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+0+24=155463%
8/10Friday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149852%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+20=148648%
8/11Saturday, Aug. 118:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149851%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149049%
8/12Sunday, Aug. 123:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149851%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149049%
8/13Monday, Aug. 1310:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1517+21=151854%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149046%
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 1410:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1517+2+0=151954%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149046%
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 159:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1517+2+0=151954%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149046%
8/16Thursday, Aug. 1610:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1531+01=153056%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149044%
8/17Friday, Aug. 1710:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1531+0+0=153156%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149044%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 188:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1531+0+0=153156%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149044%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 194:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1531+0+0=153156%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149044%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 218:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+01=146544%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+23=150856%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 228:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146644%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150956%
8/23Thursday, Aug. 233:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146644%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150956%
8/24Friday, Aug. 2410:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+03=146333%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+26=158367%
8/25Saturday, Aug. 259:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146634%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158166%
8/26Sunday, Aug. 264:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146634%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158166%
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 2810:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15351+0=153456%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+25=149144%
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 293:40 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15351+0=153456%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149044%
8/30Thursday, Aug. 3010:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+1=148649%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149051%
8/31Friday, Aug. 3110:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148549%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149051%
9/1Saturday, Sept. 18:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148549%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149051%
9/2Sunday, Sept. 24:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148549%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149051%
9/3Monday, Sept. 38:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+02=146437%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1531+0+22=155363%
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 49:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146637%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1531+0+24=155563%
9/6Thursday, Sept. 66:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+02=146448%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1452+4+22=147852%
9/7Friday, Sept. 76:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146648%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1452+4+24=148052%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 84:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146648%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1452+4+24=148052%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146648%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1452+4+24=148052%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 1110:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+02=146436%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15351+26=156064%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 126:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146637%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15351+24=155863%
9/14Friday, Sept. 1410:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+1=147748%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+23=148952%
9/15Saturday, Sept. 158:40 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+0=147648%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149052%
9/16Sunday, Sept. 164:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+0=147648%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149052%
9/17Monday, Sept. 1710:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1502+12=150152%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149048%
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 1810:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1502+1+0=150352%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149048%
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 199:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1502+1+0=150352%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149048%
9/21Friday, Sept. 2110:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+1=146734%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+26=158366%
9/22Saturday, Sept. 229:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146634%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158166%
9/23Sunday, Sept. 234:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146634%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158166%
9/24Monday, Sept. 2410:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+02=146442%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1502+1+20=152358%
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 2510:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146641%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1502+1+24=152759%
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 2610:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146641%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1502+1+24=152759%
9/28Friday, Sept. 2810:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1531+0+0=153156%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149044%
9/29Saturday, Sept. 298:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1531+0+0=153156%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149044%
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1531+0+0=153156%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149044%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/17Sunday, June 171:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1467+5+0=147242%1
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
15118+24=152758%4
6/16Saturday, June 165:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
146821+0=144737%0
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
1510+6+24=154063%1
6/15Friday, June 157:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1464+9+0=147343%9
ATLATLBraves
McCarthy, Brandon
McCarthy
151414+24=152457%3
6/14Thursday, June 147:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1466+172=148144%2
ATLATLBraves
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
151211+24=152556%4
6/13Wednesday, June 138:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
146318+0=144538%4
STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15169+24=153162%2
6/12Tuesday, June 128:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1461+1+0=146236%4
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1518+20+24=156264%2
6/11Monday, June 118:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1463183=144238%2
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
151713+22=152662%5
6/10Sunday, June 101:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1461+6+0=146750%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1433+7+24=146450%1
6/9Saturday, June 94:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1459+20+0=147953%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14352+24=145747%4
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1462152=144546%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1432+18+21=147154%4
6/6Wednesday, June 63:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1512+14+0=152656%1
SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1460+1+24=148544%3
6/5Tuesday, June 510:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
1508+10+0=151856%14
SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
146410+24=147844%1
6/4Monday, June 410:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1512+14=150953%4
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1460+2+24=148647%11
6/3Sunday, June 36:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1452+24+0=147646%3
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1458+21+24=150354%6
6/2Saturday, June 28:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
145511+0=144448%2
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
145519+24=146052%8
6/1Friday, June 110:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1452+8+0=146046%7
SDSDPadres
Lockett, Walker
Lockett
1458+4+24=148654%2
5/31Thursday, May 319:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1433+2+0=143546%3
SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145614+24=146654%8
5/30Wednesday, May 3010:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1434+4+0=143844%2
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
14541+24=147756%3
5/29Tuesday, May 2910:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14364+0=143241%5
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1452+22+24=149859%9
5/28Monday, May 284:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1433+194=144847%7
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
145612+23=146753%2
5/27Sunday, May 274:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
14572+0=145535%1
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
15431+24=156665%6
5/26Saturday, May 2610:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145511+0=144432%7
LADLADDodgers
Wood, Alex
Wood
1545+8+24=157768%5
5/25Friday, May 2510:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
145622=145235%1
LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15448+26=156265%4
5/23Wednesday, May 234:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1454+17+0=147144%3
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
154758+24=151356%1
5/22Tuesday, May 227:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
145517+0=143836%1
WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
154630+24=154064%2
5/21Monday, May 217:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
145712=145435%2
WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15438+24=155965%10
5/20Sunday, May 201:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14549+0=144536%8
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1498+20+24=154264%5
5/19Saturday, May 197:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
14514+0=144738%6
PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1501+7+24=153262%2
5/18Friday, May 187:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1449+17+0=146642%3
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
15037+24=152058%2
5/17Thursday, May 177:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1450172=143137%4
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1502+1+24=152763%5
5/15Tuesday, May 153:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
150112+0=148955%0
SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
144716+24=145545%4
5/14Monday, May 1410:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1499+73=150352%6
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1449+14+24=148748%4
5/13Sunday, May 134:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
152814+0=151458%3
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
14469+24=146142%5
5/12Saturday, May 128:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15304+0=152656%1
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1445+16+24=148544%2
5/11Friday, May 1110:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15285+0=152357%9
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1447+1+24=147243%5
5/10Thursday, May 1010:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1527+82=153361%2
SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
144818+24=145439%1
5/9Wednesday, May 99:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15465+0=154158%1
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1446+14+24=148442%2
5/8Tuesday, May 810:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
154435+0=150957%4
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
144814+24=145843%0
5/7Monday, May 710:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1542+264=156460%8
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1450+18+24=149240%5
5/6Sunday, May 64 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
155215+0=153763%0
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14473+0=144437%3
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
155513+0=154264%4
SDSDPadres
Mitchell, Bryan
Mitchell
14443+0=144136%7
5/4Friday, May 49:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1553142=153760%4
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1446+19+0=146540%0
5/2Wednesday, May 23:45 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
144810+0=143843%4
SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
149735+24=148657%9
5/1Tuesday, May 110:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1447+14+0=146142%3
SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
14989+24=151358%2
4/30Monday, April 3010:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
144852=144138%5
SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1497+7+24=152862%6
4/29Sunday, April 294:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
150018+0=148251%14
SDSDPadres
Mitchell, Bryan
Mitchell
14532+24=147549%2
4/28Saturday, April 288:40 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
15059+0=149651%2
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1448+17+24=148949%12
4/27Friday, April 2710:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1503+274=152659%5
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
145010+23=146341%1
4/25Wednesday, April 253:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1452+14+0=146642%2
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1496+4+24=152458%5
4/24Tuesday, April 248:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1455+3+0=145843%0
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
149313+24=150457%8
4/23Monday, April 238:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Mitchell, Bryan
Mitchell
1450+03=144738%13
COLCOLRockies
Bettis, Chad
Bettis
1498+9+24=153162%5
4/22Sunday, April 224:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1451+20+0=147136%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1540+6+24=157064%4
4/21Saturday, April 218:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
145213+0=143933%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
1539+3+24=156667%6
4/20Friday, April 209:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1449+6+0=145536%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Koch, Matt
Koch
154112+24=155364%1
4/18Wednesday, April 1810:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
155713+0=154461%13
SDSDPadres
Perdomo, Luis
Perdomo
14538+24=146939%4
4/17Tuesday, April 1710:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Wood, Alex
Wood
1555+7+0=156262%7
SDSDPadres
Mitchell, Bryan
Mitchell
1454+0+24=147838%3
4/16Monday, April 1610:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1552131=153858%10
SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
1457+2+24=148342%3
4/15Sunday, April 154:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Beede, Tyler
Beede
149510+0=148549%1
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1453+14+24=149151%10
4/14Saturday, April 148:40 p.m.SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
149632+0=146450%4
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
145210+24=146650%5
4/13Friday, April 1310:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Blach, Ty
Blach
149918+0=148151%1
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1449+2+24=147549%5
4/12Thursday, April 1210:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
1495+02=149352%7
SDSDPadres
Mitchell, Bryan
Mitchell
1453+5+21=147948%0
4/11Wednesday, April 113:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Perdomo, Luis
Perdomo
145412+0=144240%4
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
14946+24=151260%6
4/10Tuesday, April 108:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1451+6+0=145739%5
COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1497+12+24=153361%2
4/9Monday, April 98:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
144993=143735%7
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1499+19+24=154265%6
4/8Sunday, April 82:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1450+2+0=145230%1
HOUHOUAstros
Morton, Charlie
Morton
15815+24=160070%4
4/7Saturday, April 77:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Mitchell, Bryan
Mitchell
1451+4+0=145531%0
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
158010+24=159469%1
4/6Friday, April 68:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Perdomo, Luis
Perdomo
1447133=143127%4
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
158411+26=159973%1
4/5Thursday, April 53:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1502+8+0=151055%3
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1449+0+24=147345%1
4/4Wednesday, April 410:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1500+16+0=151657%5
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
14515+24=147043%2
4/3Tuesday, April 310:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
15037+0=149653%4
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1448+3+24=147547%8
4/2Monday, April 210:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Bettis, Chad
Bettis
1501+1+0=150252%7
SDSDPadres
Mitchell, Bryan
Mitchell
1450+14+26=149048%4
3/31Saturday, March 318:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Suter, Brent
Suter
15135+0=150856%7
SDSDPadres
Perdomo, Luis
Perdomo
145312+24=146544%3
3/30Friday, March 3010:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
15111+0=151055%8
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1454+0+24=147845%6
3/29Thursday, March 294:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1510+204=152658%2
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
145510+24=146942%1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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