Updated Oct. 22, 2018 at 6:38 PM

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Padres are done for the season.

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
DodgersDodgers92-71
RockiesRockies91-721.0
DbacksDiamondbacks82-809.5
GiantsGiants73-8918.5
PadresPadres66-9625.5

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1512+5+0=151754%3
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1449+13+24=148646%4
9/29Saturday, Sept. 298:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
151118+0=149354%5
SDSDPadres
Nix, Jacob
Nix
145110+24=146546%4
9/28Friday, Sept. 2810:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1512+19+0=153157%2
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1449+6+24=147943%3
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 2610:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Perdomo, Luis
Perdomo
144714+0=143345%3
SFSFGiants
Kelly, Casey
Kelly
147531+24=146855%2
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 2510:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
1449+2+0=145145%4
SFSFGiants
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
147410+24=148855%5
9/24Monday, Sept. 2410:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Mitchell, Bryan
Mitchell
1445+22=144543%5
SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
14782+20=149657%0
9/23Sunday, Sept. 234:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1449+21+0=147034%0
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
156811+24=158166%14
9/22Saturday, Sept. 229:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Nix, Jacob
Nix
1450+0+0=145031%2
LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
15661+24=158969%7
9/21Friday, Sept. 2110:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1447+4+1=145232%5
LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15699+26=158668%3
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 199:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
14856+0=147951%4
SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
1444+2+24=147049%8
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 1810:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
14841+0=148349%5
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1446+21+24=149151%4
9/17Monday, Sept. 1710:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
148262=147450%4
SDSDPadres
Mitchell, Bryan
Mitchell
1448+3+24=147550%2
9/16Sunday, Sept. 164:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1487+35+0=152257%3
SDSDPadres
Nix, Jacob
Nix
1445+2+24=147143%7
9/15Saturday, Sept. 158:40 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
148410+0=147450%6
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1447+1+24=147250%3
9/14Friday, Sept. 1410:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Sadzeck, Connor
Sadzeck
1482+2+1=148552%4
SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
14501+23=147248%0
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 126:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1448+23+0=147141%5
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1502+5+24=153159%4
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 1110:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Mitchell, Bryan
Mitchell
1446+22=144639%2
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15047+26=152361%1
9/9Sunday, Sept. 94:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Nix, Jacob
Nix
1445+9+0=145446%7
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
14667+24=148354%6
9/8Saturday, Sept. 83:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
1447+4+0=145145%2
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1464+1+24=148955%7
9/7Friday, Sept. 76:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Kennedy, Brett
Kennedy
14504+0=144641%6
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1461+24+24=150959%12
9/6Thursday, Sept. 66:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
144642=144040%6
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1464+26+22=151260%2
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 49:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1449+20+0=146940%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
15289+24=154360%6
9/3Monday, Sept. 38:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Mitchell, Bryan
Mitchell
144532=144036%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
15319+22=154464%2
9/2Sunday, Sept. 24:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1512+15+0=152756%7
SDSDPadres
Nix, Jacob
Nix
1447+11+24=148244%3
9/1Saturday, Sept. 18:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1510+7+0=151755%4
SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
1449+7+24=148045%2
8/31Friday, Aug. 3110:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
151522+0=149354%0
SDSDPadres
Kennedy, Brett
Kennedy
14457+24=146246%7
8/30Thursday, Aug. 3010:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1516+9+1=152659%2
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14435+24=146241%3
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 293:40 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Ramirez, Erasmo
Ramirez
15081+0=150753%3
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1440+19+24=148347%8
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 2810:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
150926+0=148352%1
SDSDPadres
Nix, Jacob
Nix
1438+9+25=147248%2
8/26Sunday, Aug. 264:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
1440+12+0=145234%3
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
155610+24=157066%7
8/25Saturday, Aug. 259:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Kennedy, Brett
Kennedy
14416+0=143528%4
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1555+24+24=160372%5
8/24Friday, Aug. 2410:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1443+13=144131%1
LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1553+0+26=157969%11
8/23Thursday, Aug. 233:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1444+15+0=145936%3
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1519+12+24=155564%4
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 228:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Nix, Jacob
Nix
1445+5+0=145036%2
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1517+10+24=155164%6
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 218:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
1444+101=145338%4
COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
15191+23=154162%3
8/19Sunday, Aug. 194:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1532+22+0=155463%4
SDSDPadres
Kennedy, Brett
Kennedy
14455+24=146437%3
8/18Saturday, Aug. 188:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
15343+0=153158%6
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1443+5+24=147242%7
8/17Friday, Aug. 1710:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
15316+0=152555%9
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1446+21+24=149145%4
8/16Thursday, Aug. 1610:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
152951=152355%5
SDSDPadres
Nix, Jacob
Nix
1448+16+24=148845%1
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 159 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
15157+0=150854%3
SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
1449+6+24=147946%2
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 1410:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1513+2+0=151556%7
SDSDPadres
Kennedy, Brett
Kennedy
14512+24=147344%3
8/13Monday, Aug. 1310:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1511+71=151756%6
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
14531+24=147644%3
8/12Sunday, Aug. 123:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1513+4+0=151754%3
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1450+16+24=149046%9
8/11Saturday, Aug. 118:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1511+35+0=154660%5
SDSDPadres
Lockett, Walker
Lockett
14522+24=147440%1
8/10Friday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151317+0=149652%0
SDSDPadres
Nix, Jacob
Nix
1450+12+20=148248%2
8/9Thursday, Aug. 92 p.m.SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
1446+8+0=145438%8
MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
15213+24=154262%4
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Kennedy, Brett
Kennedy
1448+10+0=145838%4
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1519+2+24=154562%8
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1443+1+1=144534%11
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1523+8+26=155766%5
8/5Sunday, Aug. 52:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1439+12+0=145132%10
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1554+3+24=158168%6
8/4Saturday, Aug. 42:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lockett, Walker
Lockett
1440+3+0=144330%4
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1553+11+24=158870%5
8/3Friday, Aug. 32:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1441+8+0=144932%4
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1553+5+24=158268%5
8/2Thursday, Aug. 28:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
1436+22=143630%6
CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1557+1+22=158070%1
7/31Tuesday, July 314:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1499+14+0=151357%3
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1438+2+24=146443%2
7/30Monday, July 3010:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
149882=148854%5
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14396+24=145746%3
7/29Sunday, July 294:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1531+1+0=153257%5
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1440+19+24=148343%4
7/28Saturday, July 288:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1529+20+0=154960%9
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1443+10+24=147740%4
7/27Friday, July 2710:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1527+274=155064%6
SDSDPadres
Perdomo, Luis
Perdomo
144414+22=145236%2
7/25Wednesday, July 2512:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1446+2+0=144846%4
NYMNYMMets
Oswalt, Corey
Oswalt
146615+24=147554%6
7/24Tuesday, July 247:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14485+0=144345%3
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
14649+24=147955%6
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1446+141=145938%3
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1466+49+25=154062%2
7/22Sunday, July 226:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Perdomo, Luis
Perdomo
144818+0=143037%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15042+24=152663%5
7/22Sunday, July 2212:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1443+7+2=145241%10
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150918+26=151759%2
7/20Friday, July 207:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1446+7+3=145639%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1507+0+28=153561%11
7/15Sunday, July 154:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1566+13+0=157965%7
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14471+24=147035%4
7/14Saturday, July 1410:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1564+8+0=157266%11
SDSDPadres
Perdomo, Luis
Perdomo
144917+24=145634%6
7/13Friday, July 1310 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
156319+0=154459%5
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1450+6+24=148041%4
7/12Thursday, July 1210 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1558+3+0=156162%3
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1451+2+24=147738%2
7/11Wednesday, July 1110:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
15573+0=155459%4
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1453+14+24=149141%2
7/10Tuesday, July 1010:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1560+0+0=156063%1
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14499+24=146437%4
7/9Monday, July 910:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1558+221=157966%8
SDSDPadres
Perdomo, Luis
Perdomo
145113+22=146034%2
7/8Sunday, July 84:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1449+8+0=145733%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1531+22+24=157767%3
7/7Saturday, July 710 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1453+9+0=146237%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1528+5+24=155763%20
7/6Friday, July 69:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1455+9+0=146440%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
152616+24=153460%3
7/5Thursday, July 59:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1452133=143637%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Miller, Shelby
Miller
152926+24=152763%3
7/4Wednesday, July 44:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Perdomo, Luis
Perdomo
145316+0=143734%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1512+16+24=155266%4
7/3Tuesday, July 39:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1455+11+0=146640%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1510+0+26=153660%6
7/1Sunday, July 14:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1480+12+0=149249%7
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1457+17+24=149851%5
6/30Saturday, June 3010:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1482+7+0=148951%3
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1455+3+24=148249%4
6/29Friday, June 2910:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1479152=146249%6
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14588+23=147351%3
6/27Wednesday, June 278:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1459+9+0=146842%2
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1485+13+24=152258%5
6/26Tuesday, June 268:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1458+17+0=147545%3
TEXTEXRangers
Bibens-Dirkx, Austin
Bibens-Dirkx
1487+2+24=151355%2
6/25Monday, June 258:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
145944=145138%4
TEXTEXRangers
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1485+32+21=153862%7
6/24Sunday, June 244:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
146011+0=144940%2
SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
15026+24=152060%3
6/23Saturday, June 234:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
146118+0=144338%3
SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
1501+3+24=152862%5
6/22Friday, June 2210:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1458+7+0=146541%6
SFSFGiants
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
1504+3+24=153159%2
6/21Thursday, June 2110:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1460+172=147539%0
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1502+27+24=155361%3
6/20Wednesday, June 203:40 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1500+0+0=150051%12
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1464+7+24=149549%4
6/19Tuesday, June 1910:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
14999+0=149053%4
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
146618+22=147047%2
6/17Sunday, June 171:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1467+5+0=147242%1
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
15118+24=152758%4
6/16Saturday, June 165:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
146821+0=144737%0
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
1510+6+24=154063%1
6/15Friday, June 157:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1464+9+0=147343%9
ATLATLBraves
McCarthy, Brandon
McCarthy
151414+24=152457%3
6/14Thursday, June 147:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1466+172=148144%2
ATLATLBraves
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
151211+24=152556%4
6/13Wednesday, June 138:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
146318+0=144538%4
STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15169+24=153162%2
6/12Tuesday, June 128:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1461+1+0=146236%4
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1518+20+24=156264%2
6/11Monday, June 118:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1463183=144238%2
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
151713+22=152662%5
6/10Sunday, June 101:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1461+6+0=146750%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1433+7+24=146450%1
6/9Saturday, June 94:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1459+20+0=147953%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14352+24=145747%4
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1462152=144546%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1432+18+21=147154%4
6/6Wednesday, June 63:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1512+14+0=152656%1
SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1460+1+24=148544%3
6/5Tuesday, June 510:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
1508+10+0=151856%14
SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
146410+24=147844%1
6/4Monday, June 410:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1512+14=150953%4
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1460+2+24=148647%11
6/3Sunday, June 36:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1452+24+0=147646%3
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1458+21+24=150354%6
6/2Saturday, June 28:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
145511+0=144448%2
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
145519+24=146052%8
6/1Friday, June 110:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1452+8+0=146046%7
SDSDPadres
Lockett, Walker
Lockett
1458+4+24=148654%2
5/31Thursday, May 319:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1433+2+0=143546%3
SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145614+24=146654%8
5/30Wednesday, May 3010:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1434+4+0=143844%2
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
14541+24=147756%3
5/29Tuesday, May 2910:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14364+0=143241%5
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1452+22+24=149859%9
5/28Monday, May 284:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1433+194=144847%7
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
145612+23=146753%2
5/27Sunday, May 274:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
14572+0=145535%1
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
15431+24=156665%6
5/26Saturday, May 2610:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145511+0=144432%7
LADLADDodgers
Wood, Alex
Wood
1545+8+24=157768%5
5/25Friday, May 2510:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
145622=145235%1
LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15448+26=156265%4
5/23Wednesday, May 234:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1454+17+0=147144%3
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
154758+24=151356%1
5/22Tuesday, May 227:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
145517+0=143836%1
WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
154630+24=154064%2
5/21Monday, May 217:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
145712=145435%2
WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15438+24=155965%10
5/20Sunday, May 201:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14549+0=144536%8
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1498+20+24=154264%5
5/19Saturday, May 197:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
14514+0=144738%6
PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1501+7+24=153262%2
5/18Friday, May 187:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1449+17+0=146642%3
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
15037+24=152058%2
5/17Thursday, May 177:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1450172=143137%4
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1502+1+24=152763%5
5/15Tuesday, May 153:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
150112+0=148955%0
SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
144716+24=145545%4
5/14Monday, May 1410:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1499+73=150352%6
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1449+14+24=148748%4
5/13Sunday, May 134:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
152814+0=151458%3
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
14469+24=146142%5
5/12Saturday, May 128:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15304+0=152656%1
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1445+16+24=148544%2
5/11Friday, May 1110:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15285+0=152357%9
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1447+1+24=147243%5
5/10Thursday, May 1010:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1527+82=153361%2
SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
144818+24=145439%1
5/9Wednesday, May 99:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15465+0=154158%1
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1446+14+24=148442%2
5/8Tuesday, May 810:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
154435+0=150957%4
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
144814+24=145843%0
5/7Monday, May 710:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1542+264=156460%8
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1450+18+24=149240%5
5/6Sunday, May 64 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
155215+0=153763%0
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14473+0=144437%3
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
155513+0=154264%4
SDSDPadres
Mitchell, Bryan
Mitchell
14443+0=144136%7
5/4Friday, May 49:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1553142=153760%4
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1446+19+0=146540%0
5/2Wednesday, May 23:45 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
144810+0=143843%4
SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
149735+24=148657%9
5/1Tuesday, May 110:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1447+14+0=146142%3
SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
14989+24=151358%2
4/30Monday, April 3010:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
144852=144138%5
SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1497+7+24=152862%6
4/29Sunday, April 294:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
150018+0=148251%14
SDSDPadres
Mitchell, Bryan
Mitchell
14532+24=147549%2
4/28Saturday, April 288:40 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
15059+0=149651%2
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1448+17+24=148949%12
4/27Friday, April 2710:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1503+274=152659%5
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
145010+23=146341%1
4/25Wednesday, April 253:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1452+14+0=146642%2
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1496+4+24=152458%5
4/24Tuesday, April 248:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1455+3+0=145843%0
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
149313+24=150457%8
4/23Monday, April 238:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Mitchell, Bryan
Mitchell
1450+03=144738%13
COLCOLRockies
Bettis, Chad
Bettis
1498+9+24=153162%5
4/22Sunday, April 224:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1451+20+0=147136%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1540+6+24=157064%4
4/21Saturday, April 218:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
145213+0=143933%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
1539+3+24=156667%6
4/20Friday, April 209:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1449+6+0=145536%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Koch, Matt
Koch
154112+24=155364%1
4/18Wednesday, April 1810:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
155713+0=154461%13
SDSDPadres
Perdomo, Luis
Perdomo
14538+24=146939%4
4/17Tuesday, April 1710:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Wood, Alex
Wood
1555+7+0=156262%7
SDSDPadres
Mitchell, Bryan
Mitchell
1454+0+24=147838%3
4/16Monday, April 1610:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1552131=153858%10
SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
1457+2+24=148342%3
4/15Sunday, April 154:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Beede, Tyler
Beede
149510+0=148549%1
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1453+14+24=149151%10
4/14Saturday, April 148:40 p.m.SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
149632+0=146450%4
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
145210+24=146650%5
4/13Friday, April 1310:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Blach, Ty
Blach
149918+0=148151%1
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1449+2+24=147549%5
4/12Thursday, April 1210:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
1495+02=149352%7
SDSDPadres
Mitchell, Bryan
Mitchell
1453+5+21=147948%0
4/11Wednesday, April 113:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Perdomo, Luis
Perdomo
145412+0=144240%4
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
14946+24=151260%6
4/10Tuesday, April 108:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1451+6+0=145739%5
COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1497+12+24=153361%2
4/9Monday, April 98:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
144993=143735%7
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1499+19+24=154265%6
4/8Sunday, April 82:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1450+2+0=145230%1
HOUHOUAstros
Morton, Charlie
Morton
15815+24=160070%4
4/7Saturday, April 77:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Mitchell, Bryan
Mitchell
1451+4+0=145531%0
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
158010+24=159469%1
4/6Friday, April 68:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Perdomo, Luis
Perdomo
1447133=143127%4
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
158411+26=159973%1
4/5Thursday, April 53:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1502+8+0=151055%3
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1449+0+24=147345%1
4/4Wednesday, April 410:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1500+16+0=151657%5
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
14515+24=147043%2
4/3Tuesday, April 310:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
15037+0=149653%4
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1448+3+24=147547%8
4/2Monday, April 210:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Bettis, Chad
Bettis
1501+1+0=150252%7
SDSDPadres
Mitchell, Bryan
Mitchell
1450+14+26=149048%4
3/31Saturday, March 318:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Suter, Brent
Suter
15135+0=150856%7
SDSDPadres
Perdomo, Luis
Perdomo
145312+24=146544%3
3/30Friday, March 3010:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
15111+0=151055%8
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1454+0+24=147845%6
3/29Thursday, March 294:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1510+204=152658%2
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
145510+24=146942%1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

Comments