Updated Jun. 17, 2018 at 11:35 PM

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Blue Jays have a 2% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1493, up 3 points from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees46-2199%59%
Red SoxRed Sox49-2498%41%
RaysRays33-3815.02%<1%
Blue JaysBlue Jays33-3815.02%<1%
OriolesOrioles20-5027.5<1%<1%

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/19Tuesday, June 197:07 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Soroka, Michael
Soroka
1513101=150250%
TORTORBlue Jays
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
149320+26=149950%
6/20Wednesday, June 2012:37 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
15138+0=150544%
TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1493+28+24=154556%
6/21Thursday, June 2110:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1493+44=149342%
LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1517+8+26=155158%
6/22Friday, June 2210:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
1493+3+0=149643%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1517+2+24=154357%
6/23Saturday, June 239:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Gaviglio, Sam
Gaviglio
149311+0=148242%
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
15174+24=153758%
6/24Sunday, June 244:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
149320+0=147340%
LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1517+0+24=154160%
6/25Monday, June 258:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1493+283=151829%
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1610+41+24=167571%
6/26Tuesday, June 268:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1493+4+0=149732%
HOUHOUAstros
Morton, Charlie
Morton
16107+24=162768%
6/27Wednesday, June 272:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
1493+3+0=149634%
HOUHOUAstros
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
161020+24=161466%
6/29Friday, June 297:07 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1464+12=146344%
TORTORBlue Jays
Gaviglio, Sam
Gaviglio
149311+23=150556%
6/30Saturday, June 301:07 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1464+12+0=147647%
TORTORBlue Jays
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
149320+24=149753%
7/1Sunday, July 11:07 p.m.DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
1464+18+0=148241%
TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1493+28+24=154559%
7/2Monday, July 21:07 p.m.DETDETTigers
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
14649+0=145541%
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1493+4+24=152159%
7/3Tuesday, July 37:07 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
147681=146742%
TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
1493+3+24=152058%
7/4Wednesday, July 47:07 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14761+0=147544%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151756%
7/6Friday, July 67:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15883+0=158559%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+26=151941%
7/7Saturday, July 74:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15883+0=158560%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151740%
7/8Sunday, July 81:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15883+0=158560%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151740%
7/10Tuesday, July 107:35 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+01=149244%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+23=153656%
7/11Wednesday, July 117:35 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149344%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153756%
7/12Thursday, July 127:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+03=149035%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160065%
7/13Friday, July 137:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149335%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160065%
7/14Saturday, July 141:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149335%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160065%
7/15Sunday, July 151:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149335%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160065%
7/20Friday, July 207:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1432+3+5=144038%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+29=152262%
7/21Saturday, July 211:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1432+3+0=143538%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151762%
7/22Sunday, July 221:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1432+3+0=143538%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151762%
7/23Monday, July 237:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1503+03=150048%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151752%
7/24Tuesday, July 247:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+0=150348%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151752%
7/25Wednesday, July 254:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+0=150348%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151752%
7/27Friday, July 278:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149354%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1441+2+20=146346%
7/28Saturday, July 287:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149354%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1441+2+24=146746%
7/29Sunday, July 292:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149354%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1441+2+24=146746%
7/30Monday, July 3010:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+04=148946%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+21=152154%
7/31Tuesday, July 3110:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149346%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+24=152454%
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 13:35 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149346%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+24=152454%
8/2Thursday, Aug. 210:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+03=149040%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15351+24=155860%
8/3Friday, Aug. 310:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149341%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15351+24=155859%
8/4Saturday, Aug. 410:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149341%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15351+24=155859%
8/5Sunday, Aug. 54:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149341%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
15351+24=155859%
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157659%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+22=151541%
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157658%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151742%
8/9Thursday, Aug. 97:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157658%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151742%
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
149813=149447%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151753%
8/11Saturday, Aug. 114:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
14981+0=149747%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151753%
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
14981+0=149747%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151753%
8/13Monday, Aug. 138:15 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+03=149057%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1420+0+24=144443%
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 148:15 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149357%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1420+0+24=144443%
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 158:15 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149357%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1420+0+24=144443%
8/16Thursday, Aug. 168:15 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149357%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1420+0+24=144443%
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+03=149034%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15883+24=160966%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 181:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149334%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15883+24=160966%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149334%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15883+24=160966%
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1432+32=143338%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+22=151562%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1432+3+0=143538%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151762%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 2212:37 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1432+3+0=143538%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151762%
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:07 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1498+02=149646%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+26=151954%
8/25Saturday, Aug. 254:07 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149847%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151753%
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:07 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149847%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151753%
8/27Monday, Aug. 277:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+02=149155%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1432+3+24=145945%
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149355%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1432+3+24=145945%
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149355%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1432+3+24=145945%
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+01=149255%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1436+2+23=146145%
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149354%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1436+2+24=146246%
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149354%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1436+2+24=146246%
9/3Monday, Sept. 37:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
149812=149547%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+21=151453%
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
14981+0=149747%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151753%
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
14981+0=149747%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151753%
9/6Thursday, Sept. 67:07 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1551+02=154955%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151745%
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:07 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1551+0+0=155155%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151745%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 84:07 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1551+0+0=155155%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151745%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:07 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1551+0+0=155155%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151745%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149334%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+29=160566%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 127:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149335%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160065%
9/13Thursday, Sept. 137:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149335%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160065%
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+02=149134%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15883+23=160866%
9/15Saturday, Sept. 154:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149334%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15883+24=160966%
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149334%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15883+24=160966%
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+02=149155%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1432+3+24=145945%
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149355%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1432+3+24=145945%
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149355%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1432+3+24=145945%
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
149813=149447%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+22=151553%
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
14981+0=149747%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151753%
9/22Saturday, Sept. 224:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
14981+0=149747%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151753%
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
14981+0=149747%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151753%
9/24Monday, Sept. 247:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1610+03=160763%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151737%
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1610+0+0=161063%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151737%
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 264:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1610+0+0=161063%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151737%
9/28Friday, Sept. 287:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+01=149246%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
14981+24=152154%
9/29Saturday, Sept. 296:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149346%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
14981+24=152154%
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149346%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
14981+24=152154%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/17Sunday, June 171:07 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
154513+0=153254%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Gaviglio, Sam
Gaviglio
149111+24=150446%8
6/16Saturday, June 164:07 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1547+44+0=159161%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
14891+24=151239%2
6/15Friday, June 157:07 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15497+0=154254%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1487+4+23=151446%6
6/13Wednesday, June 131:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1489+28+0=151751%0
TBTBRays
Font, Wilmer
Font
149813+24=150949%1
6/12Tuesday, June 127:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
149117+0=147445%1
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
149614+24=150655%4
6/11Monday, June 117:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Gaviglio, Sam
Gaviglio
149353=148548%4
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
149416+24=150252%8
6/10Sunday, June 101:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1440+3+0=144340%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
14903+24=151160%13
6/9Saturday, June 91:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1441+14+0=145541%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1489+3+24=151659%4
6/8Friday, June 87:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14421+0=144137%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1487+24+24=153563%5
6/7Thursday, June 77:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1443+42=144544%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
148620+24=149056%5
6/6Wednesday, June 67:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Gray, Sonny
Gray
158416+0=156859%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Gaviglio, Sam
Gaviglio
14889+24=150341%0
6/5Tuesday, June 57:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
158292=157159%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
14904+24=151041%2
6/3Sunday, June 31:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1487+4+0=149149%8
DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
1459+14+24=149751%4
6/2Saturday, June 24:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1490+29+0=151954%4
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1456+13+24=149346%7
6/1Friday, June 17:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
1492141=147749%2
DETDETTigers
Hardy, Blaine
Hardy
1454+6+24=148451%5
5/30Wednesday, May 301:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Gaviglio, Sam
Gaviglio
14938+0=148534%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1573+1+24=159866%6
5/29Tuesday, May 297:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
14954+0=149137%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15719+24=158663%8
5/28Monday, May 281:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1496+62=150037%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1569+4+24=159763%8
5/27Sunday, May 271:35 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1495+26+0=152149%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15084+24=152851%3
5/26Saturday, May 264:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
149619+0=147738%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1507+27+24=155862%2
5/25Friday, May 257:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Gaviglio, Sam
Gaviglio
1494102=148246%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150926+26=150954%5
5/24Thursday, May 2412:37 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Tropeano, Nick
Tropeano
15178+0=150948%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
1498+0+24=152252%1
5/23Wednesday, May 237:07 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1515+4+0=151949%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1499+6+24=152951%4
5/22Tuesday, May 227:07 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Richards, Garrett
Richards
1517+132=152847%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1498+25+26=154953%5
5/20Sunday, May 201:07 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
1505+8+0=151352%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Biagini, Joe
Biagini
150124+24=150148%2
5/19Saturday, May 191:07 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1503+24+0=152752%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Gaviglio, Sam
Gaviglio
150215+24=151148%4
5/18Friday, May 187:07 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
150129+0=147242%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
1504+0+24=152858%1
5/17Thursday, May 177:07 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Triggs, Andrew
Triggs
149832=149343%10
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1508+9+22=153957%5
5/16Wednesday, May 161:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1503+20+0=152354%12
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
149117+24=149846%1
5/15Tuesday, May 157:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
150714+0=149343%2
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1487+33+25=154557%12
5/13Sunday, May 131:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
157011+0=155957%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Biagini, Joe
Biagini
150923+24=151043%3
5/12Saturday, May 124:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
15687+0=156154%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
1510+0+24=153446%2
5/11Friday, May 117:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1570+342=160258%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1508+11+24=154342%5
5/10Thursday, May 107:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
151411+0=150341%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1512+27+24=156359%3
5/9Wednesday, May 97:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
151615+0=150148%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
151017+24=151752%5
5/8Tuesday, May 87:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1513+332=154451%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1513+3+23=153949%0
5/6Sunday, May 61:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
15125+0=150748%2
TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
15003+24=152152%1
5/5Saturday, May 56:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1513+12+0=152551%3
TBTBRays
Faria, Jacob
Faria
14981+24=152149%5
5/4Friday, May 47:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1516+283=154155%2
TBTBRays
Kittredge, Andrew
Kittredge
149513+23=150545%6
5/3Thursday, May 38:30 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Biagini, Joe
Biagini
152024+0=149643%4
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
156038+24=154657%13
5/3Thursday, May 31:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
1517163=149836%13
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1562+14+24=160064%11
5/2Wednesday, May 21:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15201+0=151952%0
MINMINTwins
Romero, Fernando
Romero
149010+24=150448%4
5/1Tuesday, May 18:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
15186+0=151249%7
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1493+6+24=152351%4
4/30Monday, April 308:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1516+113=152452%7
MINMINTwins
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
14948+24=151048%5
4/29Sunday, April 291:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
148616+0=147037%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1514+24+24=156263%7
4/28Saturday, April 284:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Colon, Bartolo
Colon
148313+0=147042%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
151713+24=152858%4
4/27Friday, April 277:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1481+111=149142%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1519+1+24=154458%4
4/26Thursday, April 267:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1575+31+0=160659%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
15205+24=153941%4
4/25Wednesday, April 257:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15745+0=156952%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1521+8+24=155348%3
4/24Tuesday, April 247:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
157582=156551%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1520+18+24=156249%4
4/22Sunday, April 221:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
152212+0=151037%1
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1556+23+24=160363%5
4/21Saturday, April 211:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1525+6+0=153144%1
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15534+24=157356%9
4/20Friday, April 207:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
15221+0=152143%8
NYYNYYYankees
Gray, Sonny
Gray
155510+24=156957%5
4/19Thursday, April 196:35 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1524+82=153043%3
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15542+26=157857%4
4/18Wednesday, April 184:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Kennedy, Ian
Kennedy
14455+0=144033%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1521+17+24=156267%15
4/17Tuesday, April 177:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1446+12+0=145841%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Biagini, Joe
Biagini
152026+24=151859%5
4/17Tuesday, April 173:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Skoglund, Eric
Skoglund
144837+2=141333%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
151812+29=153567%11
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1515+6+0=152140%8
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
15747+24=159160%4
4/11Wednesday, April 117:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
1516+0+0=151652%3
BALBALOrioles
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1471+7+24=150248%5
4/10Tuesday, April 107:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1515+3+0=151853%2
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1472+4+24=150047%1
4/9Monday, April 97:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1512+153=152451%7
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1475+22+22=151949%1
4/8Sunday, April 83:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
151013+0=149744%7
TEXTEXRangers
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1494+23+24=154156%4
4/7Saturday, April 78:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1512+10+0=152251%1
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1492+2+24=151849%5
4/6Friday, April 68:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
151021=150751%8
TEXTEXRangers
Moore, Matt
Moore
149415+20=149949%5
4/4Wednesday, April 47:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Fulmer, Carson
Fulmer
1458+1+0=145939%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1512+3+24=153961%3
4/3Tuesday, April 37:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Gonzalez, Miguel
Gonzalez
1461+8+0=146938%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1509+17+24=155062%14
4/2Monday, April 27:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1462101=145141%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
150716+24=151559%4
4/1Sunday, April 11:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Gray, Sonny
Gray
15679+0=155852%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1505+11+24=154048%7
3/31Saturday, March 314:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15692+0=156756%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
15032+24=152544%5
3/30Friday, March 307:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1567+17+0=158457%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1505+6+24=153543%2
3/29Thursday, March 293:37 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1565+122=157554%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1507+18+24=154946%1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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