Updated Oct. 21, 2018 at 4:13 AM

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Marlins are done for the season.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BravesBraves90-72
NationalsNationals82-808.0
PhilliesPhillies80-8210.0
MetsMets77-8513.0
MarlinsMarlins63-9826.5

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
143110+0=142135%0
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1497+8+24=152965%1
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1432+2+0=143441%0
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
149624+24=149659%1
9/28Friday, Sept. 287:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1428+13+0=144143%8
NYMNYMMets
Oswalt, Corey
Oswalt
150033+24=149157%1
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 264:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1430+8+0=143837%3
WSHWSHNationals
McGowin, Kyle
McGowin
152521+24=152863%9
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Brigham, Jeff
Brigham
143211+0=142127%4
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1524+49+24=159773%9
9/24Monday, Sept. 247:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1433+03=143031%3
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1522+25+24=157169%7
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1462+4+0=146653%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14296+24=144747%6
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:10 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1464+9+0=147352%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1427+9+24=146048%5
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1466+26+0=149256%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1425+2+24=145144%1
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Reed, Cody
Reed
1464273=143449%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Brigham, Jeff
Brigham
142711+26=144251%2
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1524+25+0=154962%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1428+10+24=146238%2
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1527253=149958%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14253+21=144342%8
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1423+8+0=143140%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
14889+24=150360%4
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
142412+0=141236%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
14871+24=151064%5
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1428+61=143342%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
148323+26=148658%14
9/13Thursday, Sept. 136:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Brigham, Jeff
Brigham
143011+0=141941%2
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
149235+24=148159%5
9/13Thursday, Sept. 133:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1431+5+0=143641%3
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
149118+24=149759%4
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 124:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1435+0+0=143538%0
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1487+10+24=152162%13
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1432+5+3=144032%5
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1490+51+26=156768%3
9/8Saturday, Sept. 81:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1434+7+0=144140%1
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
149612+24=150860%5
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
143531=143137%3
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1495+2+26=152363%5
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
149312+0=148154%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14344+24=145446%2
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
14902+0=148853%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1436+8+24=146847%4
9/3Monday, Sept. 31:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1492+23=149155%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1434+1+24=145945%3
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Reid-Foley, Sean
Reid-Foley
146810+0=145850%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Brigham, Jeff
Brigham
14376+24=145550%1
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
1470+1+0=147152%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1435+1+24=146048%6
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1469+91=147754%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14367+23=145246%5
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 296:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1438+10+0=144826%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1593+15+24=163274%14
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1438+41=144129%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
159321+23=159571%8
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1518+3+0=152157%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1440+5+24=146943%0
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
15205+0=151558%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14381+24=146142%3
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1522+12+0=153462%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
143610+24=145038%1
8/23Thursday, Aug. 237:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
1519103=150657%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
14395+24=145843%0
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
157514+0=156163%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1434+9+24=146737%9
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1575+111=158567%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1435+3+23=146133%1
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1429+0+0=142936%12
WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
152719+24=153264%1
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1426+0+0=142637%7
WSHWSHNationals
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
152933+24=152063%5
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
142761=142026%2
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1528+55+21=160474%8
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1429+0+0=142933%2
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1521+3+24=154867%5
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1430+17+0=144736%6
ATLATLBraves
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1520+3+24=154764%10
8/13Monday, Aug. 137:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Gonzalez, Merandy
Gonzalez
14321+0=143134%1
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1518+7+24=154966%6
8/13Monday, Aug. 131:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1435+73=143938%1
ATLATLBraves
Toussaint, Touki
Toussaint
151514+24=152562%9
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1464+24+0=148854%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14362+24=145846%3
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Oswalt, Corey
Oswalt
146518+0=144750%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14358+24=145150%4
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1463+41=146650%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14371+26=146250%2
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
151817+0=150153%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1440+16+24=148047%1
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1516+17+0=153360%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1441+1+24=146640%2
8/6Monday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1518143=150157%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14406+21=145543%2
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14419+0=143230%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1513+39+24=157670%5
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1443+7+0=145041%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151119+24=151659%8
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1445+15+0=146040%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1509+0+24=153360%5
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
144631=144240%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150720+24=151160%5
7/31Tuesday, July 317:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14492+0=144740%6
ATLATLBraves
Allard, Kolby
Allard
150814+24=151860%11
7/30Monday, July 307:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
145043=144339%3
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
15077+24=152461%5
7/29Sunday, July 291:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
152517+0=150855%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1447+2+24=147345%5
7/28Saturday, July 287:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
152713+0=151455%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1445+9+24=147845%2
7/27Friday, July 277:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1524+48+0=157264%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1447+1+24=147236%1
7/26Thursday, July 267:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Milone, Tommy
Milone
1521413=147750%10
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14511+26=147650%3
7/24Tuesday, July 2412:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1515+2+0=151757%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14473+24=146843%9
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
151143=150453%12
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1452+6+22=148047%1
7/22Sunday, July 221:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1453+1+0=145438%4
TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
1515+0+24=153962%6
7/21Saturday, July 216:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14515+0=144637%3
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
15173+24=153863%2
7/20Friday, July 207:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14493+5=145137%6
TBTBRays
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15193+28=154463%5
7/15Sunday, July 151:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
De Los Santos, Enyel
De Los Santos
151021+0=148951%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1446+12+24=148249%10
7/14Saturday, July 144:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1512+38+0=155062%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14444+24=146438%2
7/13Friday, July 137:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
151043=150355%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14454+26=146745%0
7/11Wednesday, July 117:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1532+11+0=154361%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14435+24=146239%5
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1530+2+0=153259%8
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14452+24=146741%4
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1532+63=153558%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1444+14+21=147942%4
7/8Sunday, July 81:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1438+0+0=143836%10
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
153016+24=153864%2
7/7Saturday, July 77:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1441+0+0=144128%4
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1527+55+24=160672%18
7/6Friday, July 67:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14428+0=143436%2
WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
152612+24=153864%3
7/5Thursday, July 57:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1443+03=144037%12
WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
152519+24=153063%14
7/4Wednesday, July 41:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Andriese, Matt
Andriese
151715+0=150254%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1441+10+24=147546%3
7/3Tuesday, July 37:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
151522+0=149353%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1443+4+24=147147%6
7/2Monday, July 27:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
151612=151358%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14414+24=146142%3
7/1Sunday, July 11:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
14635+0=145850%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14438+24=145950%2
6/30Saturday, June 304:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1466+46+0=151257%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1441+1+24=146643%5
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Oswalt, Corey
Oswalt
1469131=145549%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1437+1+24=146251%8
6/28Thursday, June 2812:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1540+16+0=155662%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1439+8+24=147138%0
6/27Wednesday, June 277:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1539+7+0=154662%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14407+24=145738%1
6/26Tuesday, June 267:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
15379+0=152859%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
14423+24=146341%3
6/25Monday, June 257:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Miller, Shelby
Miller
1541203=151860%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
143810+20=144840%9
6/24Sunday, June 243:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1436+16+0=145243%8
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
14847+24=150157%5
6/23Saturday, June 233:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14331+0=143238%6
COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1487+5+24=151662%2
6/22Friday, June 228:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
143521=143238%3
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1484+7+24=151562%11
6/20Wednesday, June 203:45 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1437+15+0=145242%5
SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
150116+24=150958%6
6/19Tuesday, June 1910:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14385+0=143338%3
SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
15006+24=151862%6
6/18Monday, June 1810:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1436+194=145140%5
SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
15021+22=152360%4
6/17Sunday, June 171:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1439+4+0=144345%4
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1429+27+24=148055%10
6/16Saturday, June 164:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14384+0=143448%5
BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
14316+24=144952%4
6/15Friday, June 157:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1436+63=143945%2
BALBALOrioles
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1433+15+26=147455%0
6/14Thursday, June 1412:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
14998+0=149155%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14386+24=145645%3
6/13Wednesday, June 137:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
15011+0=150053%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1436+20+24=148047%5
6/12Tuesday, June 127:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
1503+0+0=150356%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1434+1+24=145944%3
6/11Monday, June 117:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1505+353=153762%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1432+0+24=145638%7
6/10Sunday, June 101:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1461+6+0=146750%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1433+7+24=146450%1
6/9Saturday, June 94:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1459+20+0=147953%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14352+24=145747%4
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1462152=144546%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1432+18+21=147154%4
6/7Thursday, June 71:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1434+1+0=143534%1
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1515+14+24=155366%4
6/6Wednesday, June 68:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1428+0+0=142835%11
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
15218+24=153765%3
6/5Tuesday, June 58:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1425+91=143331%7
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
1524+18+26=156869%4
6/3Sunday, June 34:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14274+0=142335%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Koch, Matt
Koch
152621+24=152965%6
6/2Saturday, June 210:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1428+23+0=145134%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1524+18+24=156666%6
6/1Friday, June 19:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
1430+52=143334%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
15222+26=154666%9
5/31Thursday, May 319:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1433+2+0=143546%3
SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145614+24=146654%8
5/30Wednesday, May 3010:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1434+4+0=143844%2
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
14541+24=147756%3
5/29Tuesday, May 2910:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14364+0=143241%5
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1452+22+24=149859%9
5/28Monday, May 284:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1433+194=144847%7
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
145612+23=146753%2
5/27Sunday, May 271:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1548+20+0=156865%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
1435+4+24=146335%2
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
154614+0=153260%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14361+24=145940%1
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1544+391=158266%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1438+6+23=146734%5
5/23Wednesday, May 237:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14364+0=143234%2
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1490+37+24=155166%1
5/22Tuesday, May 227:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1433+14+0=144743%5
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
149323+24=149457%1
5/21Monday, May 217:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
1434+43=143542%0
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
149223+24=149358%2
5/20Sunday, May 201:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14351+0=143435%9
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1510+7+24=154165%10
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1437+7+0=144436%1
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
1508+11+24=154364%8
5/18Friday, May 187:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
143573=142536%2
ATLATLBraves
Wisler, Matt
Wisler
151014+26=152264%0
5/17Thursday, May 1712:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
153116+0=151555%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1438+21+24=148345%0
5/16Wednesday, May 167:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1533+0+0=153360%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
1436+3+24=146340%6
5/15Tuesday, May 157:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Wood, Alex
Wood
1536+102=154462%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14342+26=145838%4
5/13Sunday, May 131:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
1506+9+0=151557%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1435+9+24=146843%3
5/12Saturday, May 127:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Michael
Soroka
15039+0=149453%10
MIAMIAMarlins
Garcia, Jarlin
Garcia
1438+11+24=147347%5
5/11Friday, May 117:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
McCarthy, Brandon
McCarthy
15067+0=149957%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14358+24=145143%6
5/10Thursday, May 107:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
150242=149652%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1439+22+21=148248%2
5/9Wednesday, May 92:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1441+6+0=144731%4
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1556+3+24=158369%13
5/8Tuesday, May 88:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1442+5+0=144735%3
CHCCHCCubs
Tseng, Jen-Ho
Tseng
155528+24=155165%4
5/7Monday, May 78:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Garcia, Jarlin
Garcia
1445+212=146432%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1552+17+22=159168%14
5/6Sunday, May 64:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
144210+0=143245%8
CINCINReds
Finnegan, Brandon
Finnegan
14453+24=146655%5
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1439+11+0=145045%6
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1449+10+24=148355%0
5/4Friday, May 47:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1441+101=145047%1
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1447+1+26=147453%4
5/2Wednesday, May 27:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1492+28+0=152057%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1443+2+24=146943%0
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
149331+0=146247%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Garcia, Jarlin
Garcia
1442+19+24=148553%2
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1496+213=151458%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14394+24=145942%8
4/29Sunday, April 291:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Bettis, Chad
Bettis
1497+6+0=150356%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
14361+24=145944%3
4/28Saturday, April 287:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
14995+0=149454%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1434+11+24=146946%4
4/27Friday, April 277:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1498+102=150657%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1435+0+22=145743%0
4/25Wednesday, April 257:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14317+0=142425%8
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1559+31+24=161475%6
4/24Tuesday, April 2410:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Peters, Dillon
Peters
142915+0=141429%3
LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
156114+24=157171%2
4/23Monday, April 2310:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Garcia, Jarlin
Garcia
1430+184=144433%1
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
156121+24=156467%2
4/22Sunday, April 222:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
14316+0=142534%2
MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
1511+2+24=153766%4
4/21Saturday, April 217:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1432+4+0=143637%5
MILMILBrewers
Suter, Brent
Suter
15107+24=152763%6
4/20Friday, April 208:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1435+5+0=144039%0
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
150710+24=152161%8
4/19Thursday, April 198:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Peters, Dillon
Peters
1437131=142333%3
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1504+21+24=154967%12
4/17Tuesday, April 176:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Garcia, Jarlin
Garcia
1431+14+0=144529%9
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1560+15+24=159971%1
4/16Monday, April 166:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1433+13=143127%1
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1558+16+27=160173%12
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14943+0=149154%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1435+3+24=146246%3
4/14Saturday, April 147:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1493+21+0=151458%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14375+24=145642%0
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1497+33=149758%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Peters, Dillon
Peters
143316+26=144342%7
4/11Wednesday, April 117:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
150722+0=148553%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Garcia, Jarlin
Garcia
1435+6+24=146547%1
4/10Tuesday, April 107:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1506+24+0=153060%8
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1437+2+24=146340%6
4/9Monday, April 97:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1505+293=153160%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1438+5+21=146440%2
4/8Sunday, April 81:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1435+0+0=143537%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1489+17+24=153063%3
4/7Saturday, April 76:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Peters, Dillon
Peters
1440+1+2=144342%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
148313+26=149658%20
4/5Thursday, April 53:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1443+31=144544%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
148117+23=148756%5
4/3Tuesday, April 36:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1553+32+0=158567%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14442+24=146633%2
4/2Monday, April 27:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
1551262=152357%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1446+3+24=147343%3
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1560+11+0=157165%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Peters, Dillon
Peters
14424+24=146235%6
3/31Saturday, March 317:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1558+2+0=156062%10
MIAMIAMarlins
Despaigne, Odrisamer
Despaigne
1443+6+24=147338%6
3/30Friday, March 307:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1560+16+0=157665%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1441+1+24=146635%2
3/29Thursday, March 2912:30 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
155863=154961%8
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1443+3+24=147039%4

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

Comments