Updated Jun. 23, 2018 at 1:19 AM

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Marlins have a <1% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1433, down 5 points from last week.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
NationalsNationals40-343.058%40%
BravesBraves43-3156%36%
PhilliesPhillies40-332.539%23%
MetsMets31-4211.52%<1%
MarlinsMarlins29-4715.0<1%<1%

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/23Saturday, June 233:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14331+0=143238%
COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1487+5+24=151662%
6/24Sunday, June 243:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1433+18+0=145142%
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
14876+24=150558%
6/25Monday, June 257:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Miller, Shelby
Miller
1536183=151560%
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14339+20=144440%
6/26Tuesday, June 267:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
15368+0=152860%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145940%
6/27Wednesday, June 277:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1536+16+0=155264%
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14335+24=145236%
6/28Thursday, June 2812:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1536+13+0=154963%
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14331+24=145637%
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1475+471=152157%
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1433+18+24=147543%
6/30Saturday, June 304:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
147530+0=144550%
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14339+24=144850%
7/1Sunday, July 11:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
14758+0=146751%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145949%
7/2Monday, July 27:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1500+12=149957%
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14335+24=145243%
7/3Tuesday, July 37:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150157%
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14331+24=145643%
7/4Wednesday, July 41:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1500+26+0=152657%
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1433+18+24=147543%
7/5Thursday, July 57:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
143393=142136%
WSHWSHNationals
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
153638+24=152264%
7/6Friday, July 67:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143534%
WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
153611+24=154966%
7/7Saturday, July 77:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14335+0=142826%
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1536+47+24=160774%
7/8Sunday, July 81:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14331+0=143235%
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
153619+24=154165%
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1535+13=153361%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+21=145639%
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1535+1+0=153661%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145939%
7/11Wednesday, July 117:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1535+1+0=153661%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145939%
7/13Friday, July 137:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+03=150256%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+26=146144%
7/14Saturday, July 144:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150557%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145943%
7/15Sunday, July 151:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150557%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145943%
7/20Friday, July 207:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+5=144037%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+28=152963%
7/21Saturday, July 216:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143537%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152563%
7/22Sunday, July 221:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143537%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152563%
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1512+03=150957%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+22=145743%
7/24Tuesday, July 2412:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1512+0+0=151258%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145942%
7/26Thursday, July 267:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
153663=152759%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+26=146141%
7/27Friday, July 277:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+0=153060%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145940%
7/28Saturday, July 287:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+0=153060%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145940%
7/29Sunday, July 291:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+0=153060%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145940%
7/30Monday, July 307:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+23=143235%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1512+0+24=153665%
7/31Tuesday, July 317:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143536%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1512+0+24=153664%
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 17:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143536%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1512+0+24=153664%
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+23=143236%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152964%
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143537%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152963%
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143537%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152963%
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143537%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152963%
8/6Monday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1505+23=150457%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+21=145643%
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+0=150757%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145943%
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+0=150757%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145943%
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
147511=147352%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+26=146148%
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147452%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145948%
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147452%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145948%
8/13Monday, Aug. 137:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+23=143235%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1512+0+24=153665%
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143536%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1512+0+24=153664%
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143536%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1512+0+24=153664%
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+21=143434%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+21=155166%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143533%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+24=155467%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143533%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+24=155467%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
159031=158668%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+23=145832%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15903+0=158768%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145932%
8/23Thursday, Aug. 237:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1512+03=150957%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145943%
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1512+0+0=151258%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145942%
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1512+0+0=151258%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145942%
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1512+0+0=151258%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145942%
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+21=143428%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+23=159972%
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 296:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143528%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160072%
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1487+21=148855%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+23=145845%
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+0=148955%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145945%
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+0=148955%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145945%
9/3Monday, Sept. 31:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+03=150256%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145944%
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150557%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145943%
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150557%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145943%
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+21=143439%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1482+0+26=150861%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 81:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143540%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1482+0+24=150660%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143540%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1482+0+24=150660%
9/10Monday, Sept. 107:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+22=143341%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149859%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143541%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149859%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 127:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143541%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149859%
9/13Thursday, Sept. 137:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143541%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149859%
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+21=143436%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+26=153164%
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143537%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152963%
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143537%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152963%
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
153663=152760%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+21=145640%
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+0=153060%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145940%
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+43=146450%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+26=146150%
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146751%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145949%
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146751%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145949%
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146751%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145949%
9/24Monday, Sept. 247:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+23=143233%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+24=155467%
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143533%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+24=155467%
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 264:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143533%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+24=155467%
9/28Friday, Sept. 287:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143541%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149859%
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143541%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149859%
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143541%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149859%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/22Friday, June 228:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
143521=143238%3
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1484+7+24=151562%11
6/20Wednesday, June 203:45 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1437+15+0=145242%5
SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
150116+24=150958%6
6/19Tuesday, June 1910:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14385+0=143338%3
SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
15006+24=151862%6
6/18Monday, June 1810:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1436+194=145140%5
SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
15021+22=152360%4
6/17Sunday, June 171:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1439+4+0=144345%4
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1429+27+24=148055%10
6/16Saturday, June 164:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14384+0=143448%5
BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
14316+24=144952%4
6/15Friday, June 157:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1436+63=143945%2
BALBALOrioles
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1433+15+26=147455%0
6/14Thursday, June 1412:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
14998+0=149155%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14386+24=145645%3
6/13Wednesday, June 137:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
15011+0=150053%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1436+20+24=148047%5
6/12Tuesday, June 127:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
1503+0+0=150356%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1434+1+24=145944%3
6/11Monday, June 117:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1505+353=153762%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1432+0+24=145638%7
6/10Sunday, June 101:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1461+6+0=146750%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1433+7+24=146450%1
6/9Saturday, June 94:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1459+20+0=147953%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14352+24=145747%4
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1462152=144546%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1432+18+21=147154%4
6/7Thursday, June 71:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1434+1+0=143534%1
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1515+14+24=155366%4
6/6Wednesday, June 68:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1428+0+0=142835%11
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
15218+24=153765%3
6/5Tuesday, June 58:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1425+91=143331%7
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
1524+18+26=156869%4
6/3Sunday, June 34:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14274+0=142335%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Koch, Matt
Koch
152621+24=152965%6
6/2Saturday, June 210:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1428+23+0=145134%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1524+18+24=156666%6
6/1Friday, June 19:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
1430+52=143334%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
15222+26=154666%9
5/31Thursday, May 319:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1433+2+0=143546%3
SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145614+24=146654%8
5/30Wednesday, May 3010:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1434+4+0=143844%2
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
14541+24=147756%3
5/29Tuesday, May 2910:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14364+0=143241%5
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1452+22+24=149859%9
5/28Monday, May 284:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1433+194=144847%7
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
145612+23=146753%2
5/27Sunday, May 271:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1548+20+0=156865%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
1435+4+24=146335%2
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
154614+0=153260%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14361+24=145940%1
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1544+391=158266%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1438+6+23=146734%5
5/23Wednesday, May 237:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14364+0=143234%2
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1490+37+24=155166%1
5/22Tuesday, May 227:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1433+14+0=144743%5
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
149323+24=149457%1
5/21Monday, May 217:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
1434+43=143542%0
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
149223+24=149358%2
5/20Sunday, May 201:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14351+0=143435%9
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1510+7+24=154165%10
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1437+7+0=144436%1
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
1508+11+24=154364%8
5/18Friday, May 187:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
143573=142536%2
ATLATLBraves
Wisler, Matt
Wisler
151014+26=152264%0
5/17Thursday, May 1712:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
153116+0=151555%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1438+21+24=148345%0
5/16Wednesday, May 167:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1533+0+0=153360%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
1436+3+24=146340%6
5/15Tuesday, May 157:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Wood, Alex
Wood
1536+102=154462%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14342+26=145838%4
5/13Sunday, May 131:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
1506+9+0=151557%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1435+9+24=146843%3
5/12Saturday, May 127:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Michael
Soroka
15039+0=149453%10
MIAMIAMarlins
Garcia, Jarlin
Garcia
1438+11+24=147347%5
5/11Friday, May 117:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
McCarthy, Brandon
McCarthy
15067+0=149957%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14358+24=145143%6
5/10Thursday, May 107:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
150242=149652%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1439+22+21=148248%2
5/9Wednesday, May 92:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1441+6+0=144731%4
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1556+3+24=158369%13
5/8Tuesday, May 88:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1442+5+0=144735%3
CHCCHCCubs
Tseng, Jen-Ho
Tseng
155528+24=155165%4
5/7Monday, May 78:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Garcia, Jarlin
Garcia
1445+212=146432%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1552+17+22=159168%14
5/6Sunday, May 64:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
144210+0=143245%8
CINCINReds
Finnegan, Brandon
Finnegan
14453+24=146655%5
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1439+11+0=145045%6
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1449+10+24=148355%0
5/4Friday, May 47:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1441+101=145047%1
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1447+1+26=147453%4
5/2Wednesday, May 27:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1492+28+0=152057%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1443+2+24=146943%0
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
149331+0=146247%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Garcia, Jarlin
Garcia
1442+19+24=148553%2
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1496+213=151458%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14394+24=145942%8
4/29Sunday, April 291:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Bettis, Chad
Bettis
1497+6+0=150356%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
14361+24=145944%3
4/28Saturday, April 287:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
14995+0=149454%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1434+11+24=146946%4
4/27Friday, April 277:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1498+102=150657%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1435+0+22=145743%0
4/25Wednesday, April 257:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14317+0=142425%8
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1559+31+24=161475%6
4/24Tuesday, April 2410:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Peters, Dillon
Peters
142915+0=141429%3
LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
156114+24=157171%2
4/23Monday, April 2310:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Garcia, Jarlin
Garcia
1430+184=144433%1
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
156121+24=156467%2
4/22Sunday, April 222:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
14316+0=142534%2
MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
1511+2+24=153766%4
4/21Saturday, April 217:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1432+4+0=143637%5
MILMILBrewers
Suter, Brent
Suter
15107+24=152763%6
4/20Friday, April 208:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1435+5+0=144039%0
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
150710+24=152161%8
4/19Thursday, April 198:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Peters, Dillon
Peters
1437131=142333%3
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1504+21+24=154967%12
4/17Tuesday, April 176:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Garcia, Jarlin
Garcia
1431+14+0=144529%9
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1560+15+24=159971%1
4/16Monday, April 166:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1433+13=143127%1
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1558+16+27=160173%12
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14943+0=149154%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1435+3+24=146246%3
4/14Saturday, April 147:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1493+21+0=151458%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14375+24=145642%0
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1497+33=149758%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Peters, Dillon
Peters
143316+26=144342%7
4/11Wednesday, April 117:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
150722+0=148553%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Garcia, Jarlin
Garcia
1435+6+24=146547%1
4/10Tuesday, April 107:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1506+24+0=153060%8
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1437+2+24=146340%6
4/9Monday, April 97:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1505+293=153160%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1438+5+21=146440%2
4/8Sunday, April 81:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1435+0+0=143537%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1489+17+24=153063%3
4/7Saturday, April 76:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Peters, Dillon
Peters
1440+1+2=144342%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
148313+26=149658%20
4/5Thursday, April 53:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1443+31=144544%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
148117+23=148756%5
4/3Tuesday, April 36:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1553+32+0=158567%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14442+24=146633%2
4/2Monday, April 27:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
1551262=152357%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1446+3+24=147343%3
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1560+11+0=157165%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Peters, Dillon
Peters
14424+24=146235%6
3/31Saturday, March 317:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1558+2+0=156062%10
MIAMIAMarlins
Despaigne, Odrisamer
Despaigne
1443+6+24=147338%6
3/30Friday, March 307:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1560+16+0=157665%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1441+1+24=146635%2
3/29Thursday, March 2912:30 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
155863=154961%8
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1443+3+24=147039%4

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

Comments