Updated Jun. 17, 2018 at 11:35 PM

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Pirates have an 8% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1486, up 4 points from last week.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
CubsCubs40-280.589%64%
BrewersBrewers42-2971%28%
CardinalsCardinals37-324.031%7%
PiratesPirates35-367.08%1%
RedsReds26-4516.0<1%<1%

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/18Monday, June 187:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1530+82=153654%
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1486+0+24=151046%
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15309+0=152150%
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1486+13+24=152350%
6/20Wednesday, June 207:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Suter, Brent
Suter
15305+0=152552%
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1486+4+24=151448%
6/21Thursday, June 217:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
153192=152052%
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14866+24=150448%
6/22Friday, June 227:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1531+10+0=154156%
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
148611+24=149944%
6/23Saturday, June 234:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1531+0+0=153153%
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1486+0+24=151047%
6/24Sunday, June 241:35 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1531+15+0=154653%
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1486+13+24=152347%
6/25Monday, June 257:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1486+42=148849%
NYMNYMMets
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
14766+24=149451%
6/26Tuesday, June 267:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14866+0=148048%
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
14768+24=149252%
6/27Wednesday, June 277:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
148611+0=147549%
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
147618+24=148251%
6/29Friday, June 2910:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1486+02=148449%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+23=148951%
6/30Saturday, June 3010:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1486+13+0=149954%
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
146618+24=147246%
7/1Sunday, July 14:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1486+4+0=149048%
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1466+17+24=150752%
7/2Monday, July 210:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
148661=147936%
LADLADDodgers
Wood, Alex
Wood
15572+24=157964%
7/3Tuesday, July 310:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
148611+0=147535%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158165%
7/4Wednesday, July 48:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148637%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158163%
7/6Friday, July 67:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149848%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+22=150852%
7/7Saturday, July 74:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149848%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151052%
7/8Sunday, July 81:35 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149848%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151052%
7/9Monday, July 97:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
154312=154054%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151046%
7/10Tuesday, July 107:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154255%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151045%
7/11Wednesday, July 1112:35 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154255%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151045%
7/12Thursday, July 127:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+03=152752%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151048%
7/13Friday, July 137:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+0+0=153053%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151047%
7/14Saturday, July 144:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+0+0=153053%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151047%
7/15Sunday, July 151:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+0+0=153053%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151047%
7/20Friday, July 207:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+5=149151%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1452+4+29=148549%
7/21Saturday, July 217:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148651%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1452+4+24=148049%
7/22Sunday, July 221:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148651%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1452+4+24=148049%
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+02=148438%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1551+0+21=157262%
7/24Tuesday, July 247:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148637%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1551+0+24=157563%
7/25Wednesday, July 251:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148637%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1551+0+24=157563%
7/26Thursday, July 267:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
147612=147345%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+22=150855%
7/27Friday, July 277:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14761+0=147545%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151055%
7/28Saturday, July 287:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14761+0=147545%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151055%
7/29Sunday, July 291:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14761+0=147545%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151055%
7/31Tuesday, July 317:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+01=156457%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+26=151243%
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 17:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156558%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151042%
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+23=151050%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+26=151250%
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+0=151350%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151050%
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:35 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+0=151350%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151050%
8/6Monday, Aug. 68:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+03=148347%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+21=150653%
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148647%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150953%
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 83:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148647%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150953%
8/9Thursday, Aug. 910:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+03=148343%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1502+1+26=152957%
8/10Friday, Aug. 1010:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148644%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1502+1+24=152756%
8/11Saturday, Aug. 119:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148644%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1502+1+24=152756%
8/12Sunday, Aug. 124:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148644%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1502+1+24=152756%
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 148:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+02=148444%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+23=152656%
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 151:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148644%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152756%
8/16Thursday, Aug. 167:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+02=156358%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+21=150742%
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156558%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151042%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156558%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151042%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:35 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156558%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151042%
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1513+02=151150%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151050%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151350%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151050%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151350%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151050%
8/24Friday, Aug. 248:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148640%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+0+26=155660%
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148640%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+0+24=155460%
8/26Sunday, Aug. 262:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148640%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+0+24=155460%
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 288:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148643%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+23=153657%
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 298:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148643%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+24=153757%
8/30Thursday, Aug. 307:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148643%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+24=153757%
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+02=148442%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153758%
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148643%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153757%
9/2Sunday, Sept. 25:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148643%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153757%
9/3Monday, Sept. 31:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1452+43=145342%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+22=150858%
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1452+4+0=145642%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151058%
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1452+4+0=145642%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151058%
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1436+21=143739%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+26=151261%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 81:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1436+2+0=143840%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151060%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1436+2+0=143840%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151060%
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+03=148343%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+22=153557%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148643%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+24=153757%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 121:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148643%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+24=153757%
9/14Friday, Sept. 148:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148640%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+0+25=155560%
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148640%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+0+24=155460%
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148640%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+0+24=155460%
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1420+03=141737%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+22=150863%
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1420+0+0=142037%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151063%
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1420+0+0=142037%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151063%
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+0+0=153053%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+26=151247%
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+0+0=153053%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151047%
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+0+0=153053%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151047%
9/24Monday, Sept. 248:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+02=148435%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+23=158865%
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148636%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158964%
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 268:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148636%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158964%
9/27Thursday, Sept. 278:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148636%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158964%
9/28Friday, Sept. 286:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+02=148450%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1452+4+26=148250%
9/29Saturday, Sept. 294:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148651%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1452+4+24=148049%
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+0=148651%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1452+4+24=148049%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/17Sunday, June 171:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1450+26+0=147646%8
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14888+24=150454%6
6/16Saturday, June 164:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1452+19+0=147146%2
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14868+24=150254%6
6/15Friday, June 157:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1453151=143740%2
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1485+2+22=150960%3
6/13Wednesday, June 133:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1483+12+0=149538%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1536+19+24=157962%4
6/12Tuesday, June 129:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1485+5+0=149040%8
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1534+2+24=156060%13
6/11Monday, June 119:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1487114=147237%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1532+14+21=156763%9
6/10Sunday, June 102:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
148211+0=147132%7
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1569+9+24=160268%1
6/9Saturday, June 92:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1483+4+0=148735%0
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1567+6+24=159765%2
6/8Friday, June 82:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1484+42=148636%1
CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
15663+24=158764%3
6/7Thursday, June 712:35 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Hudson, Daniel
Hudson
155019+0=153151%8
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1485+14+24=152349%7
6/6Wednesday, June 67:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Ferguson, Caleb
Ferguson
155220+0=153252%9
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1483+10+24=151748%11
6/5Tuesday, June 57:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1550+01=154957%5
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14869+23=150043%0
6/3Sunday, June 32:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1488+3+0=149142%0
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1522+2+24=154858%5
6/2Saturday, June 22:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1489+1+0=149043%2
STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15217+24=153857%3
6/1Friday, June 18:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1486+7+0=149340%4
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1524+15+24=156360%0
5/31Thursday, May 317:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1488+153=150044%8
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
15223+22=154156%10
5/30Wednesday, May 307:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1562+19+0=158162%1
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
148611+24=149938%2
5/29Tuesday, May 297:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1560+5+0=156557%8
PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1487+7+24=151843%6
5/28Monday, May 281:35 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
155792=154654%7
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1491+1+24=151646%0
5/27Sunday, May 271:35 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1521+15+0=153652%6
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1492+5+24=152148%4
5/26Saturday, May 264:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
15186+0=151246%4
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1495+19+24=153854%1
5/25Friday, May 257:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
1522271=149450%1
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
149116+22=149750%8
5/24Thursday, May 2412:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14926+0=148648%4
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1453+23+24=150052%5
5/23Wednesday, May 237:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14911+0=149054%5
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145414+24=146446%4
5/22Tuesday, May 227:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1495+8+0=150356%2
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
145116+26=146144%7
5/20Sunday, May 201:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14549+0=144536%8
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1498+20+24=154264%5
5/19Saturday, May 197:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
14514+0=144738%6
PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1501+7+24=153262%2
5/18Friday, May 187:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1449+17+0=146642%3
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
15037+24=152058%2
5/17Thursday, May 177:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1450172=143137%4
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1502+1+24=152763%5
5/16Wednesday, May 1612:35 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Santiago, Hector
Santiago
143210+0=142234%2
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1501+9+24=153466%3
5/15Tuesday, May 157:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1434+11+0=144536%0
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1499+17+26=154264%7
5/13Sunday, May 131:35 p.m.SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
149131+0=146041%5
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
15025+24=152159%0
5/12Saturday, May 127:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1493+4+0=149745%5
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1501+3+24=152855%6
5/11Friday, May 117:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
1496+02=149445%2
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1497+8+24=152955%11
5/9Wednesday, May 92:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1496+21+0=151757%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1435+7+24=146643%5
5/8Tuesday, May 88:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14941+1=149454%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1438+3+26=146746%6
5/6Sunday, May 62:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14894+0=148540%9
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1514+16+24=155460%0
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1490+7+0=149746%3
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
15128+24=152854%5
5/4Friday, May 48:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1488+103=149543%6
MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
1515+6+24=154557%4
5/3Thursday, May 31:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1490+22+0=151248%1
WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
154038+24=152652%3
5/2Wednesday, May 27:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1492+7+0=149937%3
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1538+29+24=159163%9
5/1Tuesday, May 17:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14941+0=149335%4
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1535+40+24=159965%12
4/30Monday, April 307:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1496+42=149844%2
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
153417+24=154156%3
4/29Sunday, April 291:35 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15321+0=153153%0
PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
14926+24=151047%5
4/28Saturday, April 287:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
153417+0=151748%2
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1490+20+24=153452%6
4/27Friday, April 277:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
153623=153154%5
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
148810+24=150246%6
4/26Thursday, April 2612:35 p.m.DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
1453+25+0=147845%0
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1487+3+24=151455%1
4/25Wednesday, April 258:35 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1456+11+0=146744%3
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1485+1+24=151056%8
4/25Wednesday, April 254:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
145318+3=143837%13
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1488+14+27=152963%10
4/22Sunday, April 221:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1489+18+0=150748%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150410+24=151852%3
4/21Saturday, April 214:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
149113+0=147840%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1502+23+24=154960%6
4/20Friday, April 207:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1492+0+0=149248%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Lively, Ben
Lively
150115+24=151052%2
4/19Thursday, April 197:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1496+212=151548%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1497+13+21=153152%7
4/18Wednesday, April 1812:35 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
150511+0=149447%2
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14921+24=151553%10
4/17Tuesday, April 177:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Bettis, Chad
Bettis
1503+4+0=150746%2
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1494+17+24=153554%0
4/16Monday, April 167:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
150032=149548%6
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
149711+21=150752%2
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14943+0=149154%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1435+3+24=146246%3
4/14Saturday, April 147:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1493+21+0=151458%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14375+24=145642%0
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1497+33=149758%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Peters, Dillon
Peters
143316+26=144342%7
4/12Thursday, April 122:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1493+16+0=150938%6
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1560+12+24=159662%1
4/11Wednesday, April 118:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
14968+0=148838%5
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15574+24=157762%13
4/10Tuesday, April 102:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14934+0=148937%8
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
15608+25=157763%5
4/8Sunday, April 81:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1459+10+0=146942%0
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1490+14+24=152858%5
4/7Saturday, April 77:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14562+0=145440%7
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1493+5+24=152260%4
4/6Friday, April 67:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1460+28+0=148844%3
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1489+19+24=153256%14
4/5Thursday, April 57:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
14625+3=146044%2
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
14878+24=150356%5
4/4Wednesday, April 46:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1514+5+2=152151%7
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14901+26=151549%3
4/2Monday, April 21:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
151512=151249%4
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1488+12+22=152251%5
4/1Sunday, April 16:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1487+6+0=149353%8
DETDETTigers
Carpenter, Ryan
Carpenter
1445+0+24=146947%6
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1485+17+2=150450%1
DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
1447+31+26=150450%0
3/30Friday, March 301:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1483+02=148153%13
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
144915+24=145847%10

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

Comments