Updated Oct. 21, 2018 at 4:13 AM

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Pirates are done for the season.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BrewersBrewers96-67
CubsCubs95-681.0
CardinalsCardinals88-747.5
PiratesPirates82-7913.0
RedsReds67-9528.5

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Holmes, Clay
Holmes
150229+0=147350%6
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14537+24=147050%5
9/29Saturday, Sept. 294 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1504+25+0=152959%0
CINCINReds
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
14505+24=146941%3
9/28Friday, Sept. 286:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1502352=146547%8
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1453+10+26=148953%4
9/27Thursday, Sept. 278:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1504+21+0=152545%0
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15424+24=156255%3
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 268:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
15057+0=149840%6
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1541+2+24=156760%7
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
15012+0=149940%6
CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
15453+24=156660%0
9/24Monday, Sept. 248:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1497+232=151842%5
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1548+5+23=157658%1
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Miley, Wade
Miley
15325+0=152754%13
PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
150125+24=150046%6
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15355+0=153049%0
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1498+16+24=153851%3
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1532+11+0=154353%8
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
15017+26=152047%3
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
143210+0=142236%1
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
15005+24=151964%2
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Skoglund, Eric
Skoglund
143221+0=141132%1
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1500+19+24=154368%2
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1433+193=144940%6
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14982+22=151860%7
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1497+15+0=151242%3
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1530+12+24=156658%2
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14957+0=148841%3
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15336+24=155159%1
9/14Friday, Sept. 148:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
14961+0=149544%4
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
153116+25=154056%7
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 121:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1495+18+0=151344%4
STLSTLCardinals
Poncedeleon, Daniel
Poncedeleon
154411+24=155756%3
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14971+0=149639%5
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1542+6+24=157261%11
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1498+161=151347%7
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
154125+22=153853%8
9/8Saturday, Sept. 81:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1434+7+0=144140%1
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
149612+24=150860%5
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
143531=143137%3
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1495+2+26=152363%5
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
146525+0=144036%2
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1494+21+24=153964%3
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Reed, Cody
Reed
146732+0=143539%3
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14922+24=151461%7
9/3Monday, Sept. 31:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1469+03=146641%1
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1490+15+22=152759%5
9/2Sunday, Sept. 25:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
149222+0=147040%1
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
15183+24=153960%5
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1494+0+0=149442%3
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1517+8+24=154958%5
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1492+232=151346%3
ATLATLBraves
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
15182+24=154054%2
8/30Thursday, Aug. 307:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1495+2+0=149742%0
STLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
154210+24=155658%5
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 298:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1492+13+0=150540%2
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1544+8+24=157660%0
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 288:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14944+0=149038%2
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1543+12+23=157862%5
8/26Sunday, Aug. 262:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1496+5+0=150144%4
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1512+5+24=154156%7
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1491+19+0=151044%9
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1516+13+24=155356%1
8/24Friday, Aug. 248:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1493+4+0=149746%6
MILMILBrewers
Miley, Wade
Miley
151519+26=152254%7
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
15185+0=151348%2
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1494+10+24=152852%1
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1515+2+0=151750%6
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14977+24=151450%1
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1513162=149545%1
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1499+6+24=152955%0
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:35 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1544+1+0=154551%1
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1497+19+24=154049%2
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
154618+0=152851%1
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1495+2+24=152149%3
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1545+9+0=155453%1
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1496+9+24=152947%0
8/16Thursday, Aug. 167:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1544122=153053%1
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14987+21=151247%0
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 151:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1499+8+0=150746%4
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1493+19+24=153654%6
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 148:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1502+222=152252%2
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
14914+23=151048%5
8/12Sunday, Aug. 124 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1503+4+0=150744%3
SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1495+30+24=154956%4
8/11Saturday, Aug. 119:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1500+7+0=150751%4
SFSFGiants
Blach, Ty
Blach
149821+24=150149%0
8/10Friday, Aug. 1010:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Holmes, Clay
Holmes
15025+0=149747%10
SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
14965+24=151553%13
8/9Thursday, Aug. 910:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1499103=148645%10
SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
14992+26=152355%5
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 83:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1497+6+0=150347%4
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
15076+24=152553%3
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1494+18+0=151250%10
COLCOLRockies
Bettis, Chad
Bettis
151124+24=151150%2
8/6Monday, Aug. 68:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
149513=149144%0
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1510+3+21=153456%2
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:35 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1517+4+0=152149%2
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1496+9+24=152951%1
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
151410+0=150448%8
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14995+24=151852%4
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
1515133=149945%6
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1498+11+26=153555%7
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 17:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
15542+0=155256%9
PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
150113+24=151244%2
7/31Tuesday, July 317:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1556+71=156253%4
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1500+18+26=154447%5
7/29Sunday, July 291:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
14687+0=146142%1
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
15016+24=151958%0
7/28Saturday, July 287:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1471+49+0=152049%0
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1498+6+24=152851%5
7/27Friday, July 277:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
147230+0=144239%4
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14973+24=151861%5
7/26Thursday, July 267:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
146862=146041%12
PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1502+1+22=152559%6
7/25Wednesday, July 251:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1503+15+0=151840%0
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1548+20+24=159260%4
7/24Tuesday, July 247:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
150010+0=149041%9
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
155124+24=155159%4
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1495+12=149435%7
CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1556+23+21=160065%0
7/22Sunday, July 221:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14915+0=148648%9
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1476+2+24=150252%2
7/21Saturday, July 217:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1488+0+0=148846%6
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1479+15+24=151854%2
7/20Friday, July 207:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1483+16+5=150448%12
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1484+6+29=151952%1
7/15Sunday, July 151:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1521+2+0=152353%6
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14827+24=149947%7
7/14Saturday, July 144:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Suter, Brent
Suter
15247+0=151754%2
PITPITPirates
Holmes, Clay
Holmes
147910+24=149346%6
7/14Saturday, July 1412:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1525+7+0=153255%1
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14774+24=149745%2
7/13Friday, July 137:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
1528+5+0=153355%3
PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1474+0+24=149845%7
7/12Thursday, July 127:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Miley, Wade
Miley
1531363=149247%3
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1472+15+24=151153%6
7/11Wednesday, July 1112:35 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
152511+0=151452%0
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1470+3+24=149748%2
7/10Tuesday, July 107:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
152223+0=149951%5
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14736+24=149149%1
7/9Monday, July 97 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
1524322=149050%3
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14702+24=149250%6
7/8Sunday, July 81:35 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Anderson, Drew
Anderson
151120+0=149150%1
PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
14683+24=148950%4
7/7Saturday, July 74:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15104+0=150650%3
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1470+14+24=150850%2
7/6Friday, July 67:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150418+0=148647%17
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1475+10+22=150753%5
7/4Wednesday, July 48:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Holmes, Clay
Holmes
14763+0=147335%4
LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1558+2+24=158465%6
7/3Tuesday, July 310:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1478+5+0=148333%3
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1556+24+24=160467%8
7/2Monday, July 210:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1482+91=149038%1
LADLADDodgers
Wood, Alex
Wood
15523+24=157362%17
7/1Sunday, July 14:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1480+12+0=149249%7
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1457+17+24=149851%5
6/30Saturday, June 3010:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1482+7+0=148951%3
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1455+3+24=148249%4
6/29Friday, June 2910:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1479152=146249%6
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14588+23=147351%3
6/27Wednesday, June 277:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1478+2+0=148050%5
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
147115+24=148050%3
6/26Tuesday, June 267:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14797+0=147248%3
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
14707+24=148752%4
6/25Monday, June 257:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1477+112=148650%6
NYMNYMMets
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
14717+24=148850%4
6/24Sunday, June 241:35 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
15392+0=153754%3
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1479+7+24=151046%0
6/23Saturday, June 234:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1536+13+0=154958%7
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
148212+24=149442%2
6/22Friday, June 227:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1535+11+0=154656%2
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14835+24=150244%1
6/21Thursday, June 217:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
153282=152251%9
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1486+3+26=151549%3
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
152810+0=151849%3
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1487+12+24=152351%2
6/18Monday, June 187:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1530+82=153654%0
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1486+0+24=151046%1
6/17Sunday, June 171:35 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1450+26+0=147646%8
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14888+24=150454%6
6/16Saturday, June 164:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1452+19+0=147146%2
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14868+24=150254%6
6/15Friday, June 157:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1453151=143740%2
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1485+2+22=150960%3
6/13Wednesday, June 133:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1483+12+0=149538%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1536+19+24=157962%4
6/12Tuesday, June 129:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1485+5+0=149040%8
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1534+2+24=156060%13
6/11Monday, June 119:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1487114=147237%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1532+14+21=156763%9
6/10Sunday, June 102:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
148211+0=147132%7
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1569+9+24=160268%1
6/9Saturday, June 92:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1483+4+0=148735%0
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1567+6+24=159765%2
6/8Friday, June 82:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1484+42=148636%1
CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
15663+24=158764%3
6/7Thursday, June 712:35 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Hudson, Daniel
Hudson
155019+0=153151%8
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1485+14+24=152349%7
6/6Wednesday, June 67:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Ferguson, Caleb
Ferguson
155220+0=153252%9
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1483+10+24=151748%11
6/5Tuesday, June 57:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1550+01=154957%5
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14869+23=150043%0
6/3Sunday, June 32:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1488+3+0=149142%0
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1522+2+24=154858%5
6/2Saturday, June 22:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1489+1+0=149043%2
STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15217+24=153857%3
6/1Friday, June 18:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1486+7+0=149340%4
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1524+15+24=156360%0
5/31Thursday, May 317:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1488+153=150044%8
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
15223+22=154156%10
5/30Wednesday, May 307:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1562+19+0=158162%1
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
148611+24=149938%2
5/29Tuesday, May 297:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1560+5+0=156557%8
PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1487+7+24=151843%6
5/28Monday, May 281:35 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
155792=154654%7
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1491+1+24=151646%0
5/27Sunday, May 271:35 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1521+15+0=153652%6
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1492+5+24=152148%4
5/26Saturday, May 264:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
15186+0=151246%4
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1495+19+24=153854%1
5/25Friday, May 257:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
1522271=149450%1
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
149116+22=149750%8
5/24Thursday, May 2412:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14926+0=148648%4
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1453+23+24=150052%5
5/23Wednesday, May 237:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14911+0=149054%5
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145414+24=146446%4
5/22Tuesday, May 227:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1495+8+0=150356%2
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
145116+26=146144%7
5/20Sunday, May 201:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14549+0=144536%8
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1498+20+24=154264%5
5/19Saturday, May 197:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
14514+0=144738%6
PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1501+7+24=153262%2
5/18Friday, May 187:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1449+17+0=146642%3
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
15037+24=152058%2
5/17Thursday, May 177:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1450172=143137%4
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1502+1+24=152763%5
5/16Wednesday, May 1612:35 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Santiago, Hector
Santiago
143210+0=142234%2
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1501+9+24=153466%3
5/15Tuesday, May 157:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1434+11+0=144536%0
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1499+17+26=154264%7
5/13Sunday, May 131:35 p.m.SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
149131+0=146041%5
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
15025+24=152159%0
5/12Saturday, May 127:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1493+4+0=149745%5
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1501+3+24=152855%6
5/11Friday, May 117:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
1496+02=149445%2
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1497+8+24=152955%11
5/9Wednesday, May 92:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1496+21+0=151757%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1435+7+24=146643%5
5/8Tuesday, May 88:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14941+1=149454%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1438+3+26=146746%6
5/6Sunday, May 62:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14894+0=148540%9
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1514+16+24=155460%0
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1490+7+0=149746%3
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
15128+24=152854%5
5/4Friday, May 48:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1488+103=149543%6
MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
1515+6+24=154557%4
5/3Thursday, May 31:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1490+22+0=151248%1
WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
154038+24=152652%3
5/2Wednesday, May 27:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1492+7+0=149937%3
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1538+29+24=159163%9
5/1Tuesday, May 17:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14941+0=149335%4
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1535+40+24=159965%12
4/30Monday, April 307:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1496+42=149844%2
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
153417+24=154156%3
4/29Sunday, April 291:35 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15321+0=153153%0
PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
14926+24=151047%5
4/28Saturday, April 287:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
153417+0=151748%2
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1490+20+24=153452%6
4/27Friday, April 277:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
153623=153154%5
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
148810+24=150246%6
4/26Thursday, April 2612:35 p.m.DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
1453+25+0=147845%0
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1487+3+24=151455%1
4/25Wednesday, April 258:35 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1456+11+0=146744%3
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1485+1+24=151056%8
4/25Wednesday, April 254:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
145318+3=143837%13
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1488+14+27=152963%10
4/22Sunday, April 221:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1489+18+0=150748%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150410+24=151852%3
4/21Saturday, April 214:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
149113+0=147840%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1502+23+24=154960%6
4/20Friday, April 207:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1492+0+0=149248%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Lively, Ben
Lively
150115+24=151052%2
4/19Thursday, April 197:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1496+212=151548%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1497+13+21=153152%7
4/18Wednesday, April 1812:35 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
150511+0=149447%2
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14921+24=151553%10
4/17Tuesday, April 177:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Bettis, Chad
Bettis
1503+4+0=150746%2
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1494+17+24=153554%0
4/16Monday, April 167:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
150032=149548%6
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
149711+21=150752%2
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14943+0=149154%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1435+3+24=146246%3
4/14Saturday, April 147:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1493+21+0=151458%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14375+24=145642%0
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1497+33=149758%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Peters, Dillon
Peters
143316+26=144342%7
4/12Thursday, April 122:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1493+16+0=150938%6
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1560+12+24=159662%1
4/11Wednesday, April 118:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
14968+0=148838%5
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15574+24=157762%13
4/10Tuesday, April 102:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14934+0=148937%8
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
15608+25=157763%5
4/8Sunday, April 81:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1459+10+0=146942%0
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1490+14+24=152858%5
4/7Saturday, April 77:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14562+0=145440%7
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1493+5+24=152260%4
4/6Friday, April 67:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1460+28+0=148844%3
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1489+19+24=153256%14
4/5Thursday, April 57:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
14625+3=146044%2
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
14878+24=150356%5
4/4Wednesday, April 46:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1514+5+2=152151%7
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14901+26=151549%3
4/2Monday, April 21:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
151512=151249%4
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1488+12+22=152251%5
4/1Sunday, April 16:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1487+6+0=149353%8
DETDETTigers
Carpenter, Ryan
Carpenter
1445+0+24=146947%6
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1485+17+2=150450%1
DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
1447+31+26=150450%0
3/30Friday, March 301:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1483+02=148153%13
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
144915+24=145847%10

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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