Updated Oct. 18, 2018 at 1:42 AM

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Reds are done for the season.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BrewersBrewers96-67
CubsCubs95-681.0
CardinalsCardinals88-747.5
PiratesPirates82-7913.0
RedsReds67-9528.5

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Holmes, Clay
Holmes
150229+0=147350%6
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14537+24=147050%5
9/29Saturday, Sept. 294 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1504+25+0=152959%0
CINCINReds
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
14505+24=146941%3
9/28Friday, Sept. 286:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1502352=146547%8
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1453+10+26=148953%4
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 266:40 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
14326+0=142645%6
CINCINReds
Reed, Cody
Reed
145621+24=145955%1
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 256:40 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Skoglund, Eric
Skoglund
143114+0=141741%4
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1458+1+23=148259%3
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1462+4+0=146653%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14296+24=144747%6
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:10 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1464+9+0=147352%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1427+9+24=146048%5
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1466+26+0=149256%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1425+2+24=145144%1
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Reed, Cody
Reed
1464273=143449%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Brigham, Jeff
Brigham
142711+26=144251%2
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1467+6+0=147341%0
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
152917+24=153659%7
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1464+0+0=146437%3
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1532+3+24=155963%1
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:40 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1467+141=148041%0
MILMILBrewers
Miley, Wade
Miley
15298+24=154559%8
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1466+25+0=149138%2
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1548+7+24=157962%1
9/15Saturday, Sept. 154:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Reed, Cody
Reed
146635+0=143132%0
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15478+24=156368%1
9/14Friday, Sept. 148:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1467+3+0=147035%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1546+13+21=158065%3
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 1212:35 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15556+0=154955%8
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1470+19+24=151345%1
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 116:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
155712+0=154554%1
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1468+24+24=151646%3
9/10Monday, Sept. 106:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Wood, Alex
Wood
156043=155364%6
CINCINReds
Reed, Cody
Reed
146535+24=145436%10
9/9Sunday, Sept. 94:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Nix, Jacob
Nix
1445+9+0=145446%7
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
14667+24=148354%6
9/8Saturday, Sept. 83:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
1447+4+0=145145%2
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1464+1+24=148955%7
9/7Friday, Sept. 76:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Kennedy, Brett
Kennedy
14504+0=144641%6
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1461+24+24=150959%12
9/6Thursday, Sept. 66:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
144642=144040%6
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1464+26+22=151260%2
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
146525+0=144036%2
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1494+21+24=153964%3
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Reed, Cody
Reed
146732+0=143539%3
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14922+24=151461%7
9/3Monday, Sept. 31:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1469+03=146641%1
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1490+15+22=152759%5
9/2Sunday, Sept. 22:15 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1467+23+0=149042%6
STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
154321+24=154658%4
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1464+20+0=148439%4
STLSTLCardinals
Poncedeleon, Daniel
Poncedeleon
15469+24=156161%0
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1466212=144333%5
STLSTLCardinals
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
15445+24=156367%12
8/30Thursday, Aug. 3012:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Miley, Wade
Miley
151316+0=149756%2
CINCINReds
Reed, Cody
Reed
146737+24=145444%1
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1512+8+0=152053%13
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1468+4+24=149647%12
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
151413+0=150148%7
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1467+24+24=151552%9
8/26Sunday, Aug. 262:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
146919+0=145032%0
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1548+9+24=158168%9
8/25Saturday, Aug. 252:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1471+23+0=149439%6
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1547+0+24=157161%10
8/24Friday, Aug. 242:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1472+0+0=147238%2
CHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
154613+24=155762%3
8/23Thursday, Aug. 238:05 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1474+261=149939%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1543+12+22=157761%7
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 222:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Stephenson, Robert
Stephenson
1476+2+0=147842%0
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15133+24=153458%4
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 218 p.m.CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14745+0=146941%9
MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
151510+24=152959%7
8/20Monday, Aug. 208:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1475222=145138%2
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1514+2+22=153862%5
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
1495+0+0=149547%4
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1472+19+24=151553%11
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1499+29+0=152856%1
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
14685+24=148744%7
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Kelly, Casey
Kelly
1500272=147144%1
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1467+24+26=151756%2
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
156427+0=153756%4
CINCINReds
Stephenson, Robert
Stephenson
1468+6+24=149844%3
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1561+18+0=157962%8
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1471+2+24=149738%1
8/13Monday, Aug. 137:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
155952=155260%10
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
147419+24=147940%3
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
15265+0=152150%9
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1477+21+24=152250%2
8/11Saturday, Aug. 116:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
15295+0=152455%3
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
147510+24=148945%6
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
153142=152552%0
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1472+16+23=151148%3
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 812:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Stephenson, Robert
Stephenson
1476+8+0=148443%0
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1460+50+24=153457%8
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1473+1+0=147453%6
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
146231+24=145547%1
8/6Monday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1474112=146143%4
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1461+25+24=151057%6
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1476+23+0=149943%1
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15297+24=154657%2
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
14785+0=147342%2
WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
152719+24=153258%6
8/4Saturday, Aug. 41:05 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1474+12+2=148842%7
WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
153111+26=154658%1
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
147552=146832%4
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1529+50+24=160368%10
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 11:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1477+0+0=147749%4
DETDETTigers
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1450+7+24=148151%7
7/31Tuesday, July 317:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
147918+0=146147%1
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1449+5+26=148053%2
7/29Sunday, July 291:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150914+0=149547%0
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1476+18+24=151853%4
7/28Saturday, July 286:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1511+4+0=151553%2
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
14746+24=149247%6
7/27Friday, July 277:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151318+0=149548%4
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1472+14+24=151052%6
7/26Thursday, July 267 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
1510202=148848%9
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1475+2+24=150152%4
7/25Wednesday, July 2512:35 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1512+4+0=151653%3
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1472+0+24=149647%7
7/24Tuesday, July 247 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
151117+0=149452%4
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
147421+24=147748%2
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Poncedeleon, Daniel
Poncedeleon
1512162=149447%1
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1473+16+24=151353%2
7/22Sunday, July 221:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14915+0=148648%9
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1476+2+24=150252%2
7/21Saturday, July 217:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1488+0+0=148846%6
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1479+15+24=151854%2
7/20Friday, July 207:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1483+16+5=150448%12
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1484+6+29=151952%1
7/15Sunday, July 152:15 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1486+20+0=150644%4
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1506+20+24=155056%6
7/14Saturday, July 144:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1482+12+0=149444%8
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1510+0+24=153456%2
7/13Friday, July 138:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
14772+0=147540%9
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
1515+9+24=154860%1
7/11Wednesday, July 117:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1481+12+0=149339%4
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
15501+24=157361%19
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14783+0=147533%7
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1554+18+24=159667%4
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1476+172=149138%7
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
15561+24=157962%5
7/8Sunday, July 82:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1477+13+0=149034%5
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1564+15+24=160366%6
7/7Saturday, July 72:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
14783+0=147536%7
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
156314+24=157364%8
7/6Friday, July 62:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1476+10+0=148635%3
CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1565+2+26=159365%2
7/4Wednesday, July 47 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
144118+0=142340%4
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14741+24=149760%7
7/3Tuesday, July 37:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14386+0=143237%12
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1477+21+24=152263%8
7/2Monday, July 27:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1439+93=144541%3
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1476+10+24=151059%5
7/1Sunday, July 11:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1528+10+0=153857%2
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
14728+24=148843%8
6/30Saturday, June 304:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
15332+0=153154%3
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1468+10+24=150246%12
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1530+3+0=153355%8
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1470+1+24=149545%2
6/28Thursday, June 287:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
1528+52=153152%6
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1472+24+22=151848%4
6/27Wednesday, June 2712:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1470+14+0=148441%6
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
1510+11+24=154559%5
6/26Tuesday, June 267:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
146811+0=145740%5
ATLATLBraves
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
15128+24=152860%3
6/25Monday, June 257:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1469+112=147840%4
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1511+16+24=155160%5
6/24Sunday, June 241:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1556+2+0=155859%6
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1467+3+24=149441%8
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Farrell, Luke
Farrell
156034+0=152652%2
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1463+24+24=151148%11
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1563+2+0=156560%3
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1460+14+24=149840%6
6/21Thursday, June 217:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1567+52=157065%2
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
145614+24=146635%6
6/20Wednesday, June 2012:35 p.m.DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
1462+19+0=148149%3
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1454+12+24=149051%5
6/19Tuesday, June 197:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1464+12+0=147650%5
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1452+1+24=147750%9
6/17Sunday, June 171:35 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1450+26+0=147646%8
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14888+24=150454%6
6/16Saturday, June 164:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1452+19+0=147146%2
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14868+24=150254%6
6/15Friday, June 157:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1453151=143740%2
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1485+2+22=150960%3
6/13Wednesday, June 138:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1450+10+0=146052%7
KCKCRoyals
Hammel, Jason
Hammel
14285+24=144748%0
6/12Tuesday, June 128:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
144721=144451%5
KCKCRoyals
Kennedy, Ian
Kennedy
143116+22=143749%1
6/10Sunday, June 101:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
1519+16+0=153555%3
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1445+29+24=149845%6
6/9Saturday, June 94:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1518+8+0=152655%6
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1446+21+24=149145%4
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
151672=150757%7
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
144812+24=146043%6
6/7Thursday, June 712:35 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1496+0+0=149652%5
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1446+10+24=148048%7
6/6Wednesday, June 67:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1494+8+0=150255%6
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14482+24=147045%3
6/5Tuesday, June 57:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1492+31=149449%9
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1450+31+22=150351%6
6/3Sunday, June 36:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1452+24+0=147646%3
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1458+21+24=150354%6
6/2Saturday, June 28:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
145511+0=144448%2
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
145519+24=146052%8
6/1Friday, June 110:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1452+8+0=146046%7
SDSDPadres
Lockett, Walker
Lockett
1458+4+24=148654%2
5/30Wednesday, May 303:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14491+0=144834%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1525+16+24=156566%4
5/29Tuesday, May 299:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1450+26+0=147642%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
152311+24=153658%5
5/28Monday, May 284:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1453163=143437%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Koch, Matt
Koch
152114+21=152863%12
5/27Sunday, May 273:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
145512+0=144340%2
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
14958+24=151160%8
5/26Saturday, May 269:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1454+5+0=145941%6
COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1496+2+24=152259%5
5/25Friday, May 258:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
145513=145139%4
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1495+10+23=152861%5
5/24Thursday, May 2412:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14926+0=148648%4
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1453+23+24=150052%5
5/23Wednesday, May 237:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14911+0=149054%5
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145414+24=146446%4
5/22Tuesday, May 227:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1495+8+0=150356%2
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
145116+26=146144%7
5/20Sunday, May 201:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15596+0=155360%6
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1453+8+24=148540%1
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15563+0=155360%10
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1457+3+24=148440%0
5/19Saturday, May 191:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1558+18+0=157661%4
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1455+23+24=150239%5
5/18Friday, May 187:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1555+0+0=155562%8
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145710+22=146938%1
5/16Wednesday, May 163:45 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
145518+0=143739%6
SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
14986+24=151661%3
5/15Tuesday, May 1510:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1456+13+0=146944%3
SFSFGiants
Blach, Ty
Blach
149711+24=151056%5
5/14Monday, May 1410:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1458+62=146242%7
SFSFGiants
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
1495+3+20=151858%10
5/13Sunday, May 134:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1455+19+0=147437%5
LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1538+3+24=156563%3
5/12Saturday, May 129:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145310+0=144335%5
LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
154112+24=155365%3
5/11Friday, May 1110:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
144925+0=142432%6
LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
154513+24=155668%2
5/10Thursday, May 1010:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1445+114=145234%4
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
15485+24=156766%1
5/9Wednesday, May 912:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
148821+0=146749%1
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1444+3+24=147151%2
5/8Tuesday, May 87:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
149022+0=146848%2
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1441+18+24=148352%7
5/7Monday, May 77:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Conlon, P.J.
Conlon
148973=147952%7
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
14433+24=146448%6
5/6Sunday, May 64:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
144210+0=143245%8
CINCINReds
Finnegan, Brandon
Finnegan
14453+24=146655%5
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1439+11+0=145045%6
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1449+10+24=148355%0
5/4Friday, May 47:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1441+101=145047%1
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1447+1+26=147453%4
5/2Wednesday, May 27:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Miley, Wade
Miley
151333+0=148049%3
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1449+17+24=149051%1
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1512+19+0=153158%7
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1450+0+24=147442%6
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
151072=150154%6
CINCINReds
Finnegan, Brandon
Finnegan
14511+21=147146%5
4/29Sunday, April 292:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1447+3+0=145038%8
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1498+14+24=153662%2
4/28Saturday, April 282:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1447+2+0=144940%1
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
14982+24=152060%3
4/27Friday, April 278:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1443+243=146445%15
MINMINTwins
Hughes, Phil
Hughes
150224+21=149955%9
4/26Thursday, April 2612:35 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
14902+0=148852%7
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1445+2+24=147148%4
4/25Wednesday, April 256:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Wisler, Matt
Wisler
14898+0=148152%5
CINCINReds
Finnegan, Brandon
Finnegan
14461+24=146948%4
4/24Tuesday, April 246:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
McCarthy, Brandon
McCarthy
1491+6+0=149755%7
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
14444+24=146445%9
4/23Monday, April 236:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
14943+0=149154%4
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14412+22=146146%10
4/22Sunday, April 222:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1443+27+0=147039%2
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
15317+24=154861%9
4/21Saturday, April 212:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1444+4+0=144832%3
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
1530+23+24=157768%4
4/20Friday, April 208:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Finnegan, Brandon
Finnegan
1445+2+0=144736%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15296+22=154564%4
4/18Wednesday, April 181:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
14473+0=144439%0
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15032+24=152561%2
4/17Tuesday, April 177:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14485+0=144339%0
MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
15021+24=152561%2
4/16Monday, April 167:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1444+262=146842%10
MILMILBrewers
Suter, Brent
Suter
15065+21=152258%4
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
1528+19+0=154761%3
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1445+1+24=147039%2
4/14Saturday, April 141:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
152511+0=151455%6
CINCINReds
Finnegan, Brandon
Finnegan
1448+7+24=147945%1
4/13Friday, April 136:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1524+9+0=153358%5
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1449+1+24=147442%3
4/12Thursday, April 126:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
152042=151456%13
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14533+22=147244%4
4/11Wednesday, April 117:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1454+25+0=147947%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
148912+24=150153%4
4/10Tuesday, April 107:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
14566+0=145038%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1487+23+24=153462%6
4/9Monday, April 97:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Reed, Cody
Reed
1457412=141437%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Lively, Ben
Lively
14866+24=150463%6
4/8Sunday, April 81:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1459+10+0=146942%0
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1490+14+24=152858%5
4/7Saturday, April 77:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14562+0=145440%7
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1493+5+24=152260%4
4/6Friday, April 67:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1460+28+0=148844%3
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1489+19+24=153256%14
4/5Thursday, April 57:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
14625+3=146044%2
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
14878+24=150356%5
4/2Monday, April 24:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
155573=154559%0
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
14611+24=148441%1
4/1Sunday, April 14:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15507+0=154358%6
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14621+24=148542%5
3/31Saturday, March 312:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1547+37+0=158459%13
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1464+33+24=152141%7
3/30Friday, March 304:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1546+342=157863%2
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
14657+24=148237%0

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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