Updated Jun. 23, 2018 at 1:19 AM

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Reds have a <1% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1463, up 11 points from last week.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
CubsCubs42-312.087%55%
BrewersBrewers45-3080%40%
CardinalsCardinals38-366.520%4%
PiratesPirates36-399.05%<1%
RedsReds30-4515.0<1%<1%

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Farrell, Luke
Farrell
156034+0=152652%
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1463+24+24=151148%
6/24Sunday, June 241:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
156016+0=154458%
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1463+4+24=149142%
6/25Monday, June 257:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1463+112=147239%
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1512+14+24=155061%
6/26Tuesday, June 267:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
146311+0=145239%
ATLATLBraves
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
15129+24=152761%
6/27Wednesday, June 2712:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1463+15+0=147840%
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
1512+10+24=154660%
6/28Thursday, June 287:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
1535+42=153754%
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1463+24+22=150946%
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1535+0+0=153556%
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1463+4+24=149144%
6/30Saturday, June 304:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1535+7+0=154256%
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1463+11+24=149844%
7/1Sunday, July 11:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15352+0=153358%
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
146311+24=147642%
7/2Monday, July 27:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
143593=142339%
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1463+15+24=150261%
7/3Tuesday, July 37:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1435+3+0=143840%
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1463+24+24=151160%
7/4Wednesday, July 47 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
14355+0=143041%
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1463+4+24=149159%
7/6Friday, July 62:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1463+11+0=147436%
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
156016+26=157064%
7/7Saturday, July 72:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
146311+0=145232%
CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1560+1+24=158568%
7/8Sunday, July 82:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1463+15+0=147834%
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1560+12+24=159666%
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+42=146534%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15593+24=158066%
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146734%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15593+24=158066%
7/11Wednesday, July 117:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146734%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15593+24=158066%
7/13Friday, July 138:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146741%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+24=153159%
7/14Saturday, July 144:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146741%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+24=153159%
7/15Sunday, July 152:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146741%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+24=153159%
7/20Friday, July 207:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1482+0+5=148749%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+29=149651%
7/21Saturday, July 217:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1482+0+0=148249%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149151%
7/22Sunday, July 221:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1482+0+0=148249%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149151%
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1505+22=150552%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149148%
7/24Tuesday, July 247:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+0=150752%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149148%
7/25Wednesday, July 2512:35 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+0=150752%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149148%
7/26Thursday, July 267:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+02=150352%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149148%
7/27Friday, July 277:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150552%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149148%
7/28Saturday, July 286:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150552%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149148%
7/29Sunday, July 291:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150552%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149148%
7/31Tuesday, July 317:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146748%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1457+0+26=148352%
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 11:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146748%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1457+0+24=148152%
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+42=146537%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+24=155463%
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146738%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+24=155462%
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146738%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+24=155462%
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146738%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+24=155462%
8/6Monday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+42=146545%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149855%
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146746%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149854%
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 812:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146746%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149854%
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1536+02=153456%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+23=149044%
8/11Saturday, Aug. 116:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153657%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149143%
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153657%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149143%
8/13Monday, Aug. 137:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
155932=155459%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149141%
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15593+0=155659%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149141%
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15593+0=155659%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149141%
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1501+12=150051%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+26=149349%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1501+1+0=150252%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149148%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1501+1+0=150252%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149148%
8/20Monday, Aug. 208:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+42=146537%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1535+1+22=155863%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 218:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146737%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1535+1+24=156063%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 222:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146737%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1535+1+24=156063%
8/23Thursday, Aug. 238:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+41=146634%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+22=158266%
8/24Friday, Aug. 242:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146734%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+24=158466%
8/25Saturday, Aug. 252:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146734%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+24=158466%
8/26Sunday, Aug. 262:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146734%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+24=158466%
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1535+1+0=153656%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149144%
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1535+1+0=153656%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149144%
8/30Thursday, Aug. 3012:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1535+1+0=153656%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149144%
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+42=146540%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+24=153160%
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146741%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+24=153159%
9/2Sunday, Sept. 22:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146741%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+24=153159%
9/3Monday, Sept. 31:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+43=146444%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1482+0+22=150456%
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146744%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1482+0+24=150656%
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146744%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1482+0+24=150656%
9/6Thursday, Sept. 66:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1461+02=145946%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+22=148954%
9/7Friday, Sept. 76:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146146%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149154%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 84:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146146%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149154%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146146%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149154%
9/10Monday, Sept. 106:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1557+23=155659%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149141%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 116:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1557+2+0=155960%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149140%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 1212:35 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1557+2+0=155960%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149140%
9/14Friday, Sept. 142:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146733%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+26=158667%
9/15Saturday, Sept. 154:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146734%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+24=158466%
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146734%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+24=158466%
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+41=146637%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1535+1+24=156063%
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146737%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1535+1+24=156063%
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146737%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1535+1+24=156063%
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+43=146450%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+26=146150%
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146751%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145949%
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146751%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145949%
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146751%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145949%
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 256:40 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1418+0+0=141840%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+23=149060%
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 266:40 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1418+0+0=141840%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149160%
9/28Friday, Sept. 286:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1482+02=148048%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+26=149352%
9/29Saturday, Sept. 294:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1482+0+0=148249%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149151%
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1482+0+0=148249%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+24=149151%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1563+2+0=156560%3
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1460+14+24=149840%6
6/21Thursday, June 217:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1567+52=157065%2
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
145614+24=146635%6
6/20Wednesday, June 2012:35 p.m.DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
1462+19+0=148149%3
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1454+12+24=149051%5
6/19Tuesday, June 197:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1464+12+0=147650%5
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1452+1+24=147750%9
6/17Sunday, June 171:35 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1450+26+0=147646%8
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14888+24=150454%6
6/16Saturday, June 164:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1452+19+0=147146%2
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14868+24=150254%6
6/15Friday, June 157:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1453151=143740%2
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1485+2+22=150960%3
6/13Wednesday, June 138:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1450+10+0=146052%7
KCKCRoyals
Hammel, Jason
Hammel
14285+24=144748%0
6/12Tuesday, June 128:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
144721=144451%5
KCKCRoyals
Kennedy, Ian
Kennedy
143116+22=143749%1
6/10Sunday, June 101:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
1519+16+0=153555%3
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1445+29+24=149845%6
6/9Saturday, June 94:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1518+8+0=152655%6
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1446+21+24=149145%4
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
151672=150757%7
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
144812+24=146043%6
6/7Thursday, June 712:35 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1496+0+0=149652%5
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1446+10+24=148048%7
6/6Wednesday, June 67:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1494+8+0=150255%6
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14482+24=147045%3
6/5Tuesday, June 57:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1492+31=149449%9
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1450+31+22=150351%6
6/3Sunday, June 36:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1452+24+0=147646%3
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1458+21+24=150354%6
6/2Saturday, June 28:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
145511+0=144448%2
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
145519+24=146052%8
6/1Friday, June 110:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1452+8+0=146046%7
SDSDPadres
Lockett, Walker
Lockett
1458+4+24=148654%2
5/30Wednesday, May 303:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14491+0=144834%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1525+16+24=156566%4
5/29Tuesday, May 299:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1450+26+0=147642%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
152311+24=153658%5
5/28Monday, May 284:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1453163=143437%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Koch, Matt
Koch
152114+21=152863%12
5/27Sunday, May 273:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
145512+0=144340%2
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
14958+24=151160%8
5/26Saturday, May 269:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1454+5+0=145941%6
COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1496+2+24=152259%5
5/25Friday, May 258:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
145513=145139%4
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1495+10+23=152861%5
5/24Thursday, May 2412:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14926+0=148648%4
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1453+23+24=150052%5
5/23Wednesday, May 237:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14911+0=149054%5
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145414+24=146446%4
5/22Tuesday, May 227:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1495+8+0=150356%2
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
145116+26=146144%7
5/20Sunday, May 201:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15596+0=155360%6
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1453+8+24=148540%1
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15563+0=155360%10
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1457+3+24=148440%0
5/19Saturday, May 191:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1558+18+0=157661%4
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1455+23+24=150239%5
5/18Friday, May 187:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1555+0+0=155562%8
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145710+22=146938%1
5/16Wednesday, May 163:45 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
145518+0=143739%6
SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
14986+24=151661%3
5/15Tuesday, May 1510:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1456+13+0=146944%3
SFSFGiants
Blach, Ty
Blach
149711+24=151056%5
5/14Monday, May 1410:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1458+62=146242%7
SFSFGiants
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
1495+3+20=151858%10
5/13Sunday, May 134:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1455+19+0=147437%5
LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1538+3+24=156563%3
5/12Saturday, May 129:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145310+0=144335%5
LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
154112+24=155365%3
5/11Friday, May 1110:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
144925+0=142432%6
LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
154513+24=155668%2
5/10Thursday, May 1010:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1445+114=145234%4
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
15485+24=156766%1
5/9Wednesday, May 912:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
148821+0=146749%1
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1444+3+24=147151%2
5/8Tuesday, May 87:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
149022+0=146848%2
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1441+18+24=148352%7
5/7Monday, May 77:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Conlon, P.J.
Conlon
148973=147952%7
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
14433+24=146448%6
5/6Sunday, May 64:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
144210+0=143245%8
CINCINReds
Finnegan, Brandon
Finnegan
14453+24=146655%5
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1439+11+0=145045%6
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1449+10+24=148355%0
5/4Friday, May 47:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1441+101=145047%1
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1447+1+26=147453%4
5/2Wednesday, May 27:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Miley, Wade
Miley
151333+0=148049%3
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1449+17+24=149051%1
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1512+19+0=153158%7
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1450+0+24=147442%6
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
151072=150154%6
CINCINReds
Finnegan, Brandon
Finnegan
14511+21=147146%5
4/29Sunday, April 292:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1447+3+0=145038%8
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1498+14+24=153662%2
4/28Saturday, April 282:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1447+2+0=144940%1
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
14982+24=152060%3
4/27Friday, April 278:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1443+243=146445%15
MINMINTwins
Hughes, Phil
Hughes
150224+21=149955%9
4/26Thursday, April 2612:35 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
14902+0=148852%7
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1445+2+24=147148%4
4/25Wednesday, April 256:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Wisler, Matt
Wisler
14898+0=148152%5
CINCINReds
Finnegan, Brandon
Finnegan
14461+24=146948%4
4/24Tuesday, April 246:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
McCarthy, Brandon
McCarthy
1491+6+0=149755%7
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
14444+24=146445%9
4/23Monday, April 236:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
14943+0=149154%4
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14412+22=146146%10
4/22Sunday, April 222:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1443+27+0=147039%2
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
15317+24=154861%9
4/21Saturday, April 212:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1444+4+0=144832%3
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
1530+23+24=157768%4
4/20Friday, April 208:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Finnegan, Brandon
Finnegan
1445+2+0=144736%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15296+22=154564%4
4/18Wednesday, April 181:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
14473+0=144439%0
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15032+24=152561%2
4/17Tuesday, April 177:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14485+0=144339%0
MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
15021+24=152561%2
4/16Monday, April 167:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1444+262=146842%10
MILMILBrewers
Suter, Brent
Suter
15065+21=152258%4
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
1528+19+0=154761%3
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1445+1+24=147039%2
4/14Saturday, April 141:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
152511+0=151455%6
CINCINReds
Finnegan, Brandon
Finnegan
1448+7+24=147945%1
4/13Friday, April 136:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1524+9+0=153358%5
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1449+1+24=147442%3
4/12Thursday, April 126:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
152042=151456%13
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14533+22=147244%4
4/11Wednesday, April 117:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1454+25+0=147947%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
148912+24=150153%4
4/10Tuesday, April 107:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
14566+0=145038%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1487+23+24=153462%6
4/9Monday, April 97:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Reed, Cody
Reed
1457412=141437%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Lively, Ben
Lively
14866+24=150463%6
4/8Sunday, April 81:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1459+10+0=146942%0
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1490+14+24=152858%5
4/7Saturday, April 77:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14562+0=145440%7
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1493+5+24=152260%4
4/6Friday, April 67:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1460+28+0=148844%3
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1489+19+24=153256%14
4/5Thursday, April 57:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
14625+3=146044%2
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
14878+24=150356%5
4/2Monday, April 24:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
155573=154559%0
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
14611+24=148441%1
4/1Sunday, April 14:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15507+0=154358%6
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14621+24=148542%5
3/31Saturday, March 312:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1547+37+0=158459%13
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1464+33+24=152141%7
3/30Friday, March 304:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1546+342=157863%2
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
14657+24=148237%0

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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