2018 MLB Predictions

The Cubs are done for the season.

NL Central standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Brewers Brewers96-67	—	✓	✓
Cubs Cubs95-68	1.0	✓	—
Cardinals Cardinals88-74	7.5	—	—
Pirates Pirates82-79	13.0	—	—
Reds Reds67-95	28.5	—	—

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
10/2Tuesday, Oct. 28 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1533	+17	–4	=1546	46%	2
10/2Tuesday, Oct. 28 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Lester	1545	–4	+24	=1565	54%	1
10/1Monday, Oct. 11 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1548	+11	–1	=1558	48%	3
10/1Monday, Oct. 11 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1547	+0	+24	=1571	52%	1
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:20 p.m.	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1538	+12	+0	=1550	48%	5
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1544	–8	+24	=1560	52%	10
9/29Saturday, Sept. 291:05 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1536	+14	+0	=1550	47%	2
9/29Saturday, Sept. 291:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hamels	1546	+5	+24	=1575	53%	1
9/28Friday, Sept. 282:20 p.m.	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1538	–19	+0	=1519	40%	4
9/28Friday, Sept. 282:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1544	+20	+24	=1588	60%	8
9/27Thursday, Sept. 278:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1504	+21	+0	=1525	45%	0
9/27Thursday, Sept. 278:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1542	–4	+24	=1562	55%	3
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 268:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1505	–7	+0	=1498	40%	6
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 268:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1541	+2	+24	=1567	60%	7
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Archer	1501	–2	+0	=1499	40%	6
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1545	–3	+24	=1566	60%	0
9/24Monday, Sept. 248:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1497	+23	–2	=1518	42%	5
9/24Monday, Sept. 248:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hamels	1548	+5	+23	=1576	58%	1
9/23Sunday, Sept. 232:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1546	+17	+0	=1563	59%	6
9/23Sunday, Sept. 232:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1446	+28	+24	=1498	41%	1
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1544	–3	+0	=1541	61%	8
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1448	–6	+24	=1466	39%	3
9/21Friday, Sept. 214:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1548	+5	–2	=1551	60%	4
9/21Friday, Sept. 214:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1444	+12	+22	=1478	40%	10
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 199:40 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hamels	1552	+9	+0	=1561	53%	0
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 199:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Ray	1512	+1	+24	=1537	47%	9
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 189:40 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1549	–6	+0	=1543	54%	9
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 189:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Andriese	1516	–24	+24	=1516	46%	1
9/17Monday, Sept. 179:40 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1546	+10	–4	=1552	48%	5
9/17Monday, Sept. 179:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Corbin	1518	+25	+21	=1564	52%	1
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:20 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1466	+25	+0	=1491	38%	2
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1548	+7	+24	=1579	62%	1
9/15Saturday, Sept. 154:05 p.m.	CINReds	Reed	1466	–35	+0	=1431	32%	0
9/15Saturday, Sept. 154:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1547	–8	+24	=1563	68%	1
9/14Friday, Sept. 148:05 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1467	+3	+0	=1470	35%	2
9/14Friday, Sept. 148:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hamels	1546	+13	+21	=1580	65%	3
9/13Thursday, Sept. 134:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1545	–4	–3	=1538	51%	4
9/13Thursday, Sept. 134:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Ross	1526	–18	+22	=1530	49%	3
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 128 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1528	+2	+0	=1530	42%	5
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 128 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1548	+11	+24	=1583	58%	1
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1529	+10	+0	=1539	45%	0
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1546	+4	+24	=1574	55%	3
9/10Monday, Sept. 108 p.m.	MILBrewers	Miley	1528	–7	–1	=1520	44%	3
9/10Monday, Sept. 108 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1548	–8	+23	=1563	56%	2
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hamels	1550	+16	+0	=1566	59%	5
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Rodriguez	1518	–38	+24	=1504	41%	6
9/8Saturday, Sept. 83:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Garcia	1552	–30	+2	=1524	40%	3
9/8Saturday, Sept. 83:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1515	+57	+26	=1598	60%	10
9/6Thursday, Sept. 67:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1550	+12	–3	=1559	49%	6
9/6Thursday, Sept. 67:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1517	+24	+24	=1565	51%	4
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1548	+1	+0	=1549	48%	6
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1525	+14	+24	=1563	52%	4
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1553	–4	+0	=1549	52%	1
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Miley	1521	–11	+24	=1534	48%	11
9/3Monday, Sept. 32:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hamels	1555	+14	–3	=1566	55%	3
9/3Monday, Sept. 32:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1519	–6	+21	=1534	45%	4
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:35 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1551	–11	+0	=1540	46%	8
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1496	+49	+24	=1569	54%	1
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1548	+13	+0	=1561	58%	7
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1499	–21	+24	=1502	42%	1
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1550	–1	–3	=1546	55%	1
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1497	–14	+26	=1509	45%	2
8/30Thursday, Aug. 307:35 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1548	+0	–3	=1545	48%	5
8/30Thursday, Aug. 307:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1520	+15	+24	=1559	52%	4
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 292:30 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1478	–29	+0	=1449	33%	10
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 292:30 p.m.	CHCCubs	Mills	1554	–7	+24	=1571	67%	3
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 288:05 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1479	+52	+0	=1531	42%	1
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 288:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hamels	1552	+13	+24	=1589	58%	2
8/27Monday, Aug. 278:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1480	+18	–3	=1495	40%	4
8/27Monday, Aug. 278:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1551	–9	+24	=1566	60%	7
8/26Sunday, Aug. 262:20 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1469	–19	+0	=1450	32%	0
8/26Sunday, Aug. 262:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1548	+9	+24	=1581	68%	9
8/25Saturday, Aug. 252:20 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1471	+23	+0	=1494	39%	6
8/25Saturday, Aug. 252:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1547	+0	+24	=1571	61%	10
8/24Friday, Aug. 242:20 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1472	+0	+0	=1472	38%	2
8/24Friday, Aug. 242:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Mills	1546	–13	+24	=1557	62%	3
8/23Thursday, Aug. 238:05 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1474	+26	–1	=1499	39%	1
8/23Thursday, Aug. 238:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hamels	1543	+12	+22	=1577	61%	7
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1541	–8	+0	=1533	62%	8
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1444	–17	+24	=1451	38%	2
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1543	+12	+0	=1555	64%	1
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1442	–9	+23	=1456	36%	2
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:35 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1544	+1	+0	=1545	51%	1
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1497	+19	+24	=1540	49%	2
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1546	–18	+0	=1528	51%	1
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1495	+2	+24	=1521	49%	3
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hamels	1545	+9	+0	=1554	53%	1
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1496	+9	+24	=1529	47%	0
8/16Thursday, Aug. 167:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1544	–12	–2	=1530	53%	1
8/16Thursday, Aug. 167:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1498	–7	+21	=1512	47%	0
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 152:20 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1518	–3	+0	=1515	41%	4
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 152:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1542	+13	+24	=1579	59%	8
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 142:20 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1514	+4	–1	=1517	41%	7
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 142:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1546	+5	+26	=1577	59%	0
8/12Sunday, Aug. 128 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1532	+50	+0	=1582	51%	3
8/12Sunday, Aug. 128 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hamels	1545	+4	+24	=1573	49%	4
8/11Saturday, Aug. 114:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1529	–5	+0	=1524	43%	9
8/11Saturday, Aug. 114:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1548	–3	+24	=1569	57%	4
8/10Friday, Aug. 102:20 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1530	–19	–3	=1508	40%	2
8/10Friday, Aug. 102:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1547	+11	+24	=1582	60%	3
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:15 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1553	+7	+0	=1560	67%	0
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1411	–1	+24	=1434	33%	9
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:15 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1551	+2	+0	=1553	65%	5
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1413	+11	+24	=1448	35%	0
8/6Monday, Aug. 68:15 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hamels	1550	+1	–2	=1549	66%	3
8/6Monday, Aug. 68:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1414	–1	+22	=1435	34%	1
8/5Sunday, Aug. 52:20 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1439	+12	+0	=1451	32%	10
8/5Sunday, Aug. 52:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1554	+3	+24	=1581	68%	6
8/4Saturday, Aug. 42:20 p.m.	SDPadres	Lockett	1440	+3	+0	=1443	30%	4
8/4Saturday, Aug. 42:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1553	+11	+24	=1588	70%	5
8/3Friday, Aug. 32:20 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1441	+8	+0	=1449	32%	4
8/3Friday, Aug. 32:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1553	+5	+24	=1582	68%	5
8/2Thursday, Aug. 28:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Erlin	1436	+2	–2	=1436	30%	6
8/2Thursday, Aug. 28:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1557	+1	+22	=1580	70%	1
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 17:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hamels	1554	–2	+0	=1552	56%	9
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 17:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1501	–13	+24	=1512	44%	2
7/31Tuesday, July 317:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1556	+7	–1	=1562	53%	4
7/31Tuesday, July 317:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1500	+18	+26	=1544	47%	5
7/29Sunday, July 298 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1554	+8	+0	=1562	55%	5
7/29Sunday, July 298 p.m.	STLCardinals	Gant	1515	–11	+24	=1528	45%	2
7/28Saturday, July 284:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1556	+11	+0	=1567	52%	2
7/28Saturday, July 284:05 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1512	+16	+24	=1552	48%	6
7/27Friday, July 278:15 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1559	+4	–2	=1561	56%	2
7/27Friday, July 278:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1510	–13	+24	=1521	44%	5
7/26Thursday, July 262:20 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Godley	1528	–13	+0	=1515	43%	6
7/26Thursday, July 262:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1558	–16	+24	=1566	57%	7
7/25Wednesday, July 252:20 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Ray	1529	–4	+0	=1525	42%	1
7/25Wednesday, July 252:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1557	+2	+24	=1583	58%	2
7/24Tuesday, July 248:05 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Buchholz	1526	+1	+0	=1527	41%	5
7/24Tuesday, July 248:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1560	+6	+24	=1590	59%	1
7/23Monday, July 238 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Corbin	1523	+18	–4	=1537	46%	7
7/23Monday, July 238 p.m.	CHCCubs	Farrell	1564	–25	+24	=1563	54%	1
7/22Sunday, July 222:20 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1514	+18	+0	=1532	41%	2
7/22Sunday, July 222:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1561	+8	+24	=1593	59%	7
7/21Saturday, July 217:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Gant	1511	–12	+0	=1499	37%	6
7/21Saturday, July 217:15 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1564	+2	+24	=1590	63%	3
7/21Saturday, July 211:05 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1514	–8	+0	=1506	41%	2
7/21Saturday, July 211:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1562	–17	+24	=1569	59%	7
7/20Friday, July 202:20 p.m.	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1506	+4	+0	=1510	37%	18
7/20Friday, July 202:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1569	+11	+24	=1604	63%	5
7/19Thursday, July 197 p.m.	STLCardinals	Martinez	1508	+7	+5	=1520	38%	6
7/19Thursday, July 197 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1568	+7	+27	=1602	62%	9
7/15Sunday, July 154:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1566	+13	+0	=1579	65%	7
7/15Sunday, July 154:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1447	–1	+24	=1470	35%	4
7/14Saturday, July 1410:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1564	+8	+0	=1572	66%	11
7/14Saturday, July 1410:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Perdomo	1449	–17	+24	=1456	34%	6
7/13Friday, July 1310 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1563	–19	+0	=1544	59%	5
7/13Friday, July 1310 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1450	+6	+24	=1480	41%	4
7/11Wednesday, July 113:45 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1565	+1	+0	=1566	53%	4
7/11Wednesday, July 113:45 p.m.	SFGiants	Cueto	1502	+16	+24	=1542	47%	5
7/10Tuesday, July 1010 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1563	+1	+0	=1564	58%	2
7/10Tuesday, July 1010 p.m.	SFGiants	Holland	1504	–16	+24	=1512	42%	0
7/9Monday, July 910:15 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1565	+2	–4	=1563	54%	1
7/9Monday, July 910:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Suarez	1502	+12	+24	=1538	46%	2
7/8Sunday, July 82:20 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1477	+13	+0	=1490	34%	5
7/8Sunday, July 82:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1564	+15	+24	=1603	66%	6
7/7Saturday, July 72:20 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1478	–3	+0	=1475	36%	7
7/7Saturday, July 72:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1563	–14	+24	=1573	64%	8
7/6Friday, July 62:20 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1476	+10	+0	=1486	35%	3
7/6Friday, July 62:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1565	+2	+26	=1593	65%	2
7/4Wednesday, July 42:20 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1450	–4	+0	=1446	30%	2
7/4Wednesday, July 42:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1564	+2	+24	=1590	70%	5
7/3Tuesday, July 32:20 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1451	+18	–2	=1467	33%	3
7/3Tuesday, July 32:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1563	+2	+26	=1591	67%	5
7/1Sunday, July 12:20 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1491	–2	+0	=1489	34%	10
7/1Sunday, July 12:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1562	+17	+24	=1603	66%	11
6/30Saturday, June 302:20 p.m.	MINTwins	Mejia	1493	–12	+0	=1481	37%	9
6/30Saturday, June 302:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1560	–12	+24	=1572	63%	14
6/29Friday, June 295:05 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1495	+25	–1	=1519	41%	6
6/29Friday, June 295:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1558	+3	+20	=1581	59%	10
6/28Thursday, June 283:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1554	+1	+0	=1555	42%	11
6/28Thursday, June 283:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1560	+24	+24	=1608	58%	5
6/27Wednesday, June 2710 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1556	+6	+0	=1562	47%	5
6/27Wednesday, June 2710 p.m.	LADDodgers	Wood	1558	–2	+24	=1580	53%	7
6/26Tuesday, June 2610 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1552	+13	+0	=1565	46%	9
6/26Tuesday, June 2610 p.m.	LADDodgers	Stripling	1562	+6	+24	=1592	54%	4
6/25Monday, June 2510 p.m.	CHCCubs	Underwood Jr.	1554	–23	–4	=1527	44%	1
6/25Monday, June 2510 p.m.	LADDodgers	Maeda	1560	–11	+20	=1569	56%	2
6/24Sunday, June 241:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1556	+2	+0	=1558	59%	6
6/24Sunday, June 241:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1467	+3	+24	=1494	41%	8
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Farrell	1560	–34	+0	=1526	52%	2
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1463	+24	+24	=1511	48%	11
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1563	+2	+0	=1565	60%	3
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1460	+14	+24	=1498	40%	6
6/21Thursday, June 217:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1567	+5	–2	=1570	65%	2
6/21Thursday, June 217:10 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1456	–14	+24	=1466	35%	6
6/20Wednesday, June 202:20 p.m.	LADDodgers	Stripling	1557	+7	+0	=1564	45%	0
6/20Wednesday, June 202:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1564	+9	+24	=1597	55%	4
6/19Tuesday, June 198:05 p.m.	LADDodgers	Hill	1559	–1	+0	=1558	46%	1
6/19Tuesday, June 198:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1563	+0	+24	=1587	54%	2
6/19Tuesday, June 191:05 p.m.	LADDodgers	Maeda	1557	–9	–2	=1546	46%	4
6/19Tuesday, June 191:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1565	–18	+24	=1571	54%	3
6/17Sunday, June 178 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1568	+3	+0	=1571	56%	0
6/17Sunday, June 178 p.m.	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1508	–4	+24	=1528	44%	5
6/16Saturday, June 168:15 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1566	+9	+0	=1575	54%	6
6/16Saturday, June 168:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Martinez	1510	+14	+24	=1548	46%	3
6/15Friday, June 158:15 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1562	+10	+0	=1572	53%	13
6/15Friday, June 158:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Wacha	1513	+10	+26	=1549	47%	5
6/13Wednesday, June 132:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1564	–3	+0	=1561	50%	0
6/13Wednesday, June 132:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1529	+5	+24	=1558	50%	1
6/12Tuesday, June 128:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1567	–18	+0	=1549	49%	0
6/12Tuesday, June 128:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1527	+2	+24	=1553	51%	4
6/11Monday, June 118:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1564	+3	–1	=1566	51%	7
6/11Monday, June 118:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1529	+7	+21	=1557	49%	2
6/10Sunday, June 102:20 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1482	–11	+0	=1471	32%	7
6/10Sunday, June 102:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1569	+9	+24	=1602	68%	1
6/9Saturday, June 92:20 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1483	+4	+0	=1487	35%	0
6/9Saturday, June 92:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1567	+6	+24	=1597	65%	2
6/8Friday, June 82:20 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1484	+4	–2	=1486	36%	1
6/8Friday, June 82:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1566	–3	+24	=1587	64%	3
6/7Thursday, June 72:20 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1504	–7	+0	=1497	39%	3
6/7Thursday, June 72:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1565	–16	+24	=1573	61%	4
6/6Wednesday, June 68:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1505	+32	+0	=1537	43%	5
6/6Wednesday, June 68:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1564	+2	+24	=1590	57%	7
6/5Tuesday, June 58:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1501	–35	–2	=1464	31%	6
6/5Tuesday, June 58:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1568	+14	+23	=1605	69%	1
6/3Sunday, June 31:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1567	+3	+0	=1570	61%	2
6/3Sunday, June 31:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1482	–11	+24	=1495	39%	0
6/2Saturday, June 27:15 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1564	–4	+0	=1560	52%	7
6/2Saturday, June 27:15 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1485	+39	+24	=1548	48%	1
6/1Friday, June 17:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1562	–14	+0	=1548	58%	7
6/1Friday, June 17:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1487	–21	+24	=1490	42%	4
5/31Thursday, May 317:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1560	+0	–2	=1558	58%	5
5/31Thursday, May 317:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Lugo	1489	–7	+21	=1503	42%	1
5/30Wednesday, May 307:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1562	+19	+0	=1581	62%	1
5/30Wednesday, May 307:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1486	–11	+24	=1499	38%	2
5/29Tuesday, May 297:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1560	+5	+0	=1565	57%	8
5/29Tuesday, May 297:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1487	+7	+24	=1518	43%	6
5/28Monday, May 281:35 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1557	–9	–2	=1546	54%	7
5/28Monday, May 281:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1491	+1	+24	=1516	46%	0
5/27Sunday, May 278 p.m.	SFGiants	Blach	1493	–13	+0	=1480	38%	3
5/27Sunday, May 278 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1555	–10	+24	=1569	62%	8
5/26Saturday, May 267:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Stratton	1491	–1	+0	=1490	37%	5
5/26Saturday, May 267:15 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1557	+1	+24	=1582	63%	4
5/25Friday, May 252:20 p.m.	SFGiants	Holland	1493	–22	–1	=1470	33%	2
5/25Friday, May 252:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1555	+15	+26	=1596	67%	6
5/23Wednesday, May 238:05 p.m.	CLEIndians	Plutko	1560	–37	+0	=1523	41%	1
5/23Wednesday, May 238:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1557	+3	+24	=1584	59%	0
5/22Tuesday, May 227 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1555	+2	–1	=1556	46%	10
5/22Tuesday, May 227 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1562	–4	+24	=1582	54%	1
5/20Sunday, May 201:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Darvish	1559	–6	+0	=1553	60%	6
5/20Sunday, May 201:10 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1453	+8	+24	=1485	40%	1
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1556	–3	+0	=1553	60%	10
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1457	+3	+24	=1484	40%	0
5/19Saturday, May 191:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1558	+18	+0	=1576	61%	4
5/19Saturday, May 191:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1455	+23	+24	=1502	39%	5
5/18Friday, May 187:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1555	+0	+0	=1555	62%	8
5/18Friday, May 187:10 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1457	–10	+22	=1469	38%	1
5/16Wednesday, May 167:35 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1558	–2	+0	=1556	55%	1
5/16Wednesday, May 167:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	McCarthy	1507	–13	+24	=1518	45%	4
5/15Tuesday, May 157:35 p.m.	CHCCubs	Darvish	1556	–5	–3	=1548	53%	3
5/15Tuesday, May 157:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1509	+0	+21	=1530	47%	2
5/14Monday, May 142:20 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1507	+11	–3	=1515	40%	6
5/14Monday, May 142:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1558	+4	+24	=1586	60%	5
5/13Sunday, May 132:20 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1431	+1	+0	=1432	27%	5
5/13Sunday, May 132:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1561	+19	+24	=1604	73%	3
5/12Saturday, May 122:20 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1432	+0	+0	=1432	30%	4
5/12Saturday, May 122:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1560	–3	+24	=1581	70%	8
5/11Friday, May 112:20 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Fulmer	1434	–6	+1	=1429	30%	2
5/11Friday, May 112:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1558	–4	+26	=1580	70%	11
5/9Wednesday, May 92:20 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1441	+6	+0	=1447	31%	4
5/9Wednesday, May 92:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1556	+3	+24	=1583	69%	13
5/8Tuesday, May 88:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1442	+5	+0	=1447	35%	3
5/8Tuesday, May 88:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Tseng	1555	–28	+24	=1551	65%	4
5/7Monday, May 78:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Garcia	1445	+21	–2	=1464	32%	2
5/7Monday, May 78:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1552	+17	+22	=1591	68%	14
5/6Sunday, May 68 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1553	–1	+0	=1552	50%	3
5/6Sunday, May 68 p.m.	STLCardinals	Wacha	1533	–4	+24	=1553	50%	4
5/5Saturday, May 52:15 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1555	–2	+0	=1553	50%	6
5/5Saturday, May 52:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1532	–3	+24	=1553	50%	8
5/4Friday, May 48:15 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1557	+5	+0	=1562	51%	2
5/4Friday, May 48:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1530	+2	+26	=1558	49%	3
5/2Wednesday, May 22:20 p.m.	COLRockies	Anderson	1496	+7	+0	=1503	38%	11
5/2Wednesday, May 22:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Darvish	1562	–2	+24	=1584	62%	2
5/1Tuesday, May 18:05 p.m.	COLRockies	Gray	1493	+9	+0	=1502	36%	3
5/1Tuesday, May 18:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1565	+15	+24	=1604	64%	1
4/30Monday, April 307 p.m.	COLRockies	Freeland	1494	–8	–3	=1483	36%	2
4/30Monday, April 307 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1564	–4	+24	=1584	64%	3
4/29Sunday, April 292:20 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1512	–1	+0	=1511	40%	0
4/29Sunday, April 292:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1562	–8	+24	=1578	60%	2
4/28Saturday, April 282:20 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1513	+3	+0	=1516	40%	0
4/28Saturday, April 282:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1561	+0	+24	=1585	60%	3
4/27Friday, April 272:20 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1514	–11	+0	=1503	39%	2
4/27Friday, April 272:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Darvish	1560	–2	+24	=1582	61%	3
4/26Thursday, April 268:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1516	+19	–2	=1533	41%	0
4/26Thursday, April 268:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1559	+14	+22	=1595	59%	1
4/25Wednesday, April 257 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1561	+0	+0	=1561	46%	1
4/25Wednesday, April 257 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1570	–7	+24	=1587	54%	4
4/24Tuesday, April 246:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1557	–6	–1	=1550	49%	10
4/24Tuesday, April 246:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Tomlin	1573	–38	+22	=1557	51%	3
4/22Sunday, April 223:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1555	+3	+0	=1558	55%	9
4/22Sunday, April 223:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Marquez	1500	+0	+24	=1524	45%	7
4/21Saturday, April 218:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Darvish	1558	+0	+0	=1558	54%	2
4/21Saturday, April 218:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Anderson	1497	+10	+24	=1531	46%	5
4/20Friday, April 208:40 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1554	+13	–3	=1564	54%	16
4/20Friday, April 208:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Gray	1502	+10	+23	=1535	46%	5
4/19Thursday, April 192:20 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1531	+8	+2	=1541	45%	5
4/19Thursday, April 192:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1552	–4	+26	=1574	55%	8
4/17Tuesday, April 178:05 p.m.	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1529	–13	+0	=1516	41%	5
4/17Tuesday, April 178:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1554	–6	+29	=1577	59%	3
4/14Saturday, April 142:20 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1492	+1	+0	=1493	37%	10
4/14Saturday, April 142:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1552	+12	+24	=1588	63%	14
4/13Friday, April 132:20 p.m.	ATLBraves	Sanchez	1488	–11	–1	=1476	35%	4
4/13Friday, April 132:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Darvish	1556	+4	+24	=1584	65%	0
4/12Thursday, April 122:20 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1493	+16	+0	=1509	38%	6
4/12Thursday, April 122:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1560	+12	+24	=1596	62%	1
4/11Wednesday, April 118:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Brault	1496	–8	+0	=1488	38%	5
4/11Wednesday, April 118:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1557	–4	+24	=1577	62%	13
4/10Tuesday, April 102:20 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1493	–4	+0	=1489	37%	8
4/10Tuesday, April 102:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1560	–8	+25	=1577	63%	5
4/8Sunday, April 82:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1558	+7	+0	=1565	52%	3
4/8Sunday, April 82:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1506	+20	+24	=1550	48%	0
4/7Saturday, April 74:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Darvish	1556	+0	+0	=1556	53%	5
4/7Saturday, April 74:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1508	+3	+24	=1535	47%	2
4/6Friday, April 68:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1557	+18	+0	=1575	58%	4
4/6Friday, April 68:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1507	–12	+24	=1519	42%	5
4/5Thursday, April 58:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1554	–9	+3	=1548	53%	8
4/5Thursday, April 58:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1510	–5	+24	=1529	47%	0
4/2Monday, April 24:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1555	–7	–3	=1545	59%	0
4/2Monday, April 24:10 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1461	–1	+24	=1484	41%	1
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1560	+11	+0	=1571	65%	0
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Peters	1442	–4	+24	=1462	35%	6
3/31Saturday, March 317:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Darvish	1558	+2	+0	=1560	62%	10
3/31Saturday, March 317:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Despaigne	1443	+6	+24	=1473	38%	6
3/30Friday, March 307:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1560	+16	+0	=1576	65%	1
3/30Friday, March 307:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1441	+1	+24	=1466	35%	2
3/29Thursday, March 2912:30 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1558	–6	–3	=1549	61%	8
3/29Thursday, March 2912:30 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1443	+3	+24	=1470	39%	4

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL Central standings

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL Central standings

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments