Updated Oct. 18, 2018 at 1:42 AM

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Cubs are done for the season.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BrewersBrewers96-67
CubsCubs95-681.0
CardinalsCardinals88-747.5
PiratesPirates82-7913.0
RedsReds67-9528.5

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/2Tuesday, Oct. 28 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1533+174=154646%2
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15454+24=156554%1
10/1Monday, Oct. 11 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1548+111=155848%3
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1547+0+24=157152%1
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1538+12+0=155048%5
CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
15448+24=156052%10
9/29Saturday, Sept. 291:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1536+14+0=155047%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1546+5+24=157553%1
9/28Friday, Sept. 282:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
153819+0=151940%4
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1544+20+24=158860%8
9/27Thursday, Sept. 278:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1504+21+0=152545%0
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15424+24=156255%3
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 268:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
15057+0=149840%6
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1541+2+24=156760%7
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
15012+0=149940%6
CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
15453+24=156660%0
9/24Monday, Sept. 248:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1497+232=151842%5
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1548+5+23=157658%1
9/23Sunday, Sept. 232:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1546+17+0=156359%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1446+28+24=149841%1
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15443+0=154161%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14486+24=146639%3
9/21Friday, Sept. 214:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1548+52=155160%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1444+12+22=147840%10
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 199:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1552+9+0=156153%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1512+1+24=153747%9
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 189:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
15496+0=154354%9
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Andriese, Matt
Andriese
151624+24=151646%1
9/17Monday, Sept. 179:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1546+104=155248%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1518+25+21=156452%1
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1466+25+0=149138%2
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1548+7+24=157962%1
9/15Saturday, Sept. 154:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Reed, Cody
Reed
146635+0=143132%0
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15478+24=156368%1
9/14Friday, Sept. 148:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1467+3+0=147035%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1546+13+21=158065%3
9/13Thursday, Sept. 134:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
154543=153851%4
WSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
152618+22=153049%3
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 128 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1528+2+0=153042%5
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1548+11+24=158358%1
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1529+10+0=153945%0
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1546+4+24=157455%3
9/10Monday, Sept. 108 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Miley, Wade
Miley
152871=152044%3
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15488+23=156356%2
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1550+16+0=156659%5
WSHWSHNationals
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
151838+24=150441%6
9/8Saturday, Sept. 83:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
155230+2=152440%3
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1515+57+26=159860%10
9/6Thursday, Sept. 67:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1550+123=155949%6
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1517+24+24=156551%4
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1548+1+0=154948%6
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1525+14+24=156352%4
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
15534+0=154952%1
MILMILBrewers
Miley, Wade
Miley
152111+24=153448%11
9/3Monday, Sept. 32:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1555+143=156655%3
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15196+21=153445%4
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:35 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
155111+0=154046%8
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1496+49+24=156954%1
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1548+13+0=156158%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
149921+24=150242%1
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
155013=154655%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
149714+26=150945%2
8/30Thursday, Aug. 307:35 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1548+03=154548%5
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1520+15+24=155952%4
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 292:30 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
147829+0=144933%10
CHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
15547+24=157167%3
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 288:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1479+52+0=153142%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1552+13+24=158958%2
8/27Monday, Aug. 278:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1480+183=149540%4
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15519+24=156660%7
8/26Sunday, Aug. 262:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
146919+0=145032%0
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1548+9+24=158168%9
8/25Saturday, Aug. 252:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1471+23+0=149439%6
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1547+0+24=157161%10
8/24Friday, Aug. 242:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1472+0+0=147238%2
CHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
154613+24=155762%3
8/23Thursday, Aug. 238:05 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1474+261=149939%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1543+12+22=157761%7
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15418+0=153362%8
DETDETTigers
Liriano, Francisco
Liriano
144417+24=145138%2
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1543+12+0=155564%1
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14429+23=145636%2
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:35 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1544+1+0=154551%1
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1497+19+24=154049%2
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
154618+0=152851%1
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1495+2+24=152149%3
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1545+9+0=155453%1
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1496+9+24=152947%0
8/16Thursday, Aug. 167:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1544122=153053%1
PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14987+21=151247%0
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 152:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
15183+0=151541%4
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1542+13+24=157959%8
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 142:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1514+41=151741%7
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1546+5+26=157759%0
8/12Sunday, Aug. 128 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1532+50+0=158251%3
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1545+4+24=157349%4
8/11Saturday, Aug. 114:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15295+0=152443%9
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15483+24=156957%4
8/10Friday, Aug. 102:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
1530193=150840%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1547+11+24=158260%3
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1553+7+0=156067%0
KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
14111+24=143433%9
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1551+2+0=155365%5
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1413+11+24=144835%0
8/6Monday, Aug. 68:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1550+12=154966%3
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
14141+22=143534%1
8/5Sunday, Aug. 52:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1439+12+0=145132%10
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1554+3+24=158168%6
8/4Saturday, Aug. 42:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lockett, Walker
Lockett
1440+3+0=144330%4
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1553+11+24=158870%5
8/3Friday, Aug. 32:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1441+8+0=144932%4
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1553+5+24=158268%5
8/2Thursday, Aug. 28:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
1436+22=143630%6
CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1557+1+22=158070%1
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 17:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
15542+0=155256%9
PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
150113+24=151244%2
7/31Tuesday, July 317:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1556+71=156253%4
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1500+18+26=154447%5
7/29Sunday, July 298 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1554+8+0=156255%5
STLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
151511+24=152845%2
7/28Saturday, July 284:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1556+11+0=156752%2
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1512+16+24=155248%6
7/27Friday, July 278:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1559+42=156156%2
STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
151013+24=152144%5
7/26Thursday, July 262:20 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
152813+0=151543%6
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
155816+24=156657%7
7/25Wednesday, July 252:20 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
15294+0=152542%1
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1557+2+24=158358%2
7/24Tuesday, July 248:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1526+1+0=152741%5
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1560+6+24=159059%1
7/23Monday, July 238 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1523+184=153746%7
CHCCHCCubs
Farrell, Luke
Farrell
156425+24=156354%1
7/22Sunday, July 222:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1514+18+0=153241%2
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1561+8+24=159359%7
7/21Saturday, July 217:15 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
151112+0=149937%6
CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1564+2+24=159063%3
7/21Saturday, July 211:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15148+0=150641%2
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
156217+24=156959%7
7/20Friday, July 202:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1506+4+0=151037%18
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1569+11+24=160463%5
7/19Thursday, July 197 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
1508+7+5=152038%6
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1568+7+27=160262%9
7/15Sunday, July 154:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1566+13+0=157965%7
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14471+24=147035%4
7/14Saturday, July 1410:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1564+8+0=157266%11
SDSDPadres
Perdomo, Luis
Perdomo
144917+24=145634%6
7/13Friday, July 1310 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
156319+0=154459%5
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1450+6+24=148041%4
7/11Wednesday, July 113:45 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1565+1+0=156653%4
SFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1502+16+24=154247%5
7/10Tuesday, July 1010 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1563+1+0=156458%2
SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
150416+24=151242%0
7/9Monday, July 910:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1565+24=156354%1
SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
1502+12+24=153846%2
7/8Sunday, July 82:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1477+13+0=149034%5
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1564+15+24=160366%6
7/7Saturday, July 72:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
14783+0=147536%7
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
156314+24=157364%8
7/6Friday, July 62:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1476+10+0=148635%3
CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1565+2+26=159365%2
7/4Wednesday, July 42:20 p.m.DETDETTigers
Liriano, Francisco
Liriano
14504+0=144630%2
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1564+2+24=159070%5
7/3Tuesday, July 32:20 p.m.DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
1451+182=146733%3
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1563+2+26=159167%5
7/1Sunday, July 12:20 p.m.MINMINTwins
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
14912+0=148934%10
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1562+17+24=160366%11
6/30Saturday, June 302:20 p.m.MINMINTwins
Mejia, Adalberto
Mejia
149312+0=148137%9
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
156012+24=157263%14
6/29Friday, June 295:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1495+251=151941%6
CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1558+3+20=158159%10
6/28Thursday, June 283:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1554+1+0=155542%11
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1560+24+24=160858%5
6/27Wednesday, June 2710 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1556+6+0=156247%5
LADLADDodgers
Wood, Alex
Wood
15582+24=158053%7
6/26Tuesday, June 2610 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1552+13+0=156546%9
LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1562+6+24=159254%4
6/25Monday, June 2510 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Underwood Jr., Duane
Underwood Jr.
1554234=152744%1
LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
156011+20=156956%2
6/24Sunday, June 241:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1556+2+0=155859%6
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1467+3+24=149441%8
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Farrell, Luke
Farrell
156034+0=152652%2
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1463+24+24=151148%11
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1563+2+0=156560%3
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1460+14+24=149840%6
6/21Thursday, June 217:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1567+52=157065%2
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
145614+24=146635%6
6/20Wednesday, June 202:20 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1557+7+0=156445%0
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1564+9+24=159755%4
6/19Tuesday, June 198:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
15591+0=155846%1
CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1563+0+24=158754%2
6/19Tuesday, June 191:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
155792=154646%4
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
156518+24=157154%3
6/17Sunday, June 178 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1568+3+0=157156%0
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
15084+24=152844%5
6/16Saturday, June 168:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1566+9+0=157554%6
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
1510+14+24=154846%3
6/15Friday, June 158:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1562+10+0=157253%13
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1513+10+26=154947%5
6/13Wednesday, June 132:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
15643+0=156150%0
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1529+5+24=155850%1
6/12Tuesday, June 128:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
156718+0=154949%0
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1527+2+24=155351%4
6/11Monday, June 118:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1564+31=156651%7
MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
1529+7+21=155749%2
6/10Sunday, June 102:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
148211+0=147132%7
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1569+9+24=160268%1
6/9Saturday, June 92:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1483+4+0=148735%0
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1567+6+24=159765%2
6/8Friday, June 82:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1484+42=148636%1
CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
15663+24=158764%3
6/7Thursday, June 72:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15047+0=149739%3
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
156516+24=157361%4
6/6Wednesday, June 68:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1505+32+0=153743%5
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1564+2+24=159057%7
6/5Tuesday, June 58:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1501352=146431%6
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1568+14+23=160569%1
6/3Sunday, June 31:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1567+3+0=157061%2
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
148211+24=149539%0
6/2Saturday, June 27:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
15644+0=156052%7
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1485+39+24=154848%1
6/1Friday, June 17:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
156214+0=154858%7
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
148721+24=149042%4
5/31Thursday, May 317:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1560+02=155858%5
NYMNYMMets
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
14897+21=150342%1
5/30Wednesday, May 307:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1562+19+0=158162%1
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
148611+24=149938%2
5/29Tuesday, May 297:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1560+5+0=156557%8
PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1487+7+24=151843%6
5/28Monday, May 281:35 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
155792=154654%7
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1491+1+24=151646%0
5/27Sunday, May 278 p.m.SFSFGiants
Blach, Ty
Blach
149313+0=148038%3
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
155510+24=156962%8
5/26Saturday, May 267:15 p.m.SFSFGiants
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
14911+0=149037%5
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1557+1+24=158263%4
5/25Friday, May 252:20 p.m.SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
1493221=147033%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1555+15+26=159667%6
5/23Wednesday, May 238:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
156037+0=152341%1
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1557+3+24=158459%0
5/22Tuesday, May 227 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1555+21=155646%10
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
15624+24=158254%1
5/20Sunday, May 201:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15596+0=155360%6
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1453+8+24=148540%1
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15563+0=155360%10
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1457+3+24=148440%0
5/19Saturday, May 191:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1558+18+0=157661%4
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1455+23+24=150239%5
5/18Friday, May 187:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1555+0+0=155562%8
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145710+22=146938%1
5/16Wednesday, May 167:35 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
15582+0=155655%1
ATLATLBraves
McCarthy, Brandon
McCarthy
150713+24=151845%4
5/15Tuesday, May 157:35 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
155653=154853%3
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1509+0+21=153047%2
5/14Monday, May 142:20 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1507+113=151540%6
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1558+4+24=158660%5
5/13Sunday, May 132:20 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1431+1+0=143227%5
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1561+19+24=160473%3
5/12Saturday, May 122:20 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1432+0+0=143230%4
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15603+24=158170%8
5/11Friday, May 112:20 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Fulmer, Carson
Fulmer
14346+1=142930%2
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
15584+26=158070%11
5/9Wednesday, May 92:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
1441+6+0=144731%4
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1556+3+24=158369%13
5/8Tuesday, May 88:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1442+5+0=144735%3
CHCCHCCubs
Tseng, Jen-Ho
Tseng
155528+24=155165%4
5/7Monday, May 78:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Garcia, Jarlin
Garcia
1445+212=146432%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1552+17+22=159168%14
5/6Sunday, May 68 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15531+0=155250%3
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15334+24=155350%4
5/5Saturday, May 52:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
15552+0=155350%6
STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15323+24=155350%8
5/4Friday, May 48:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1557+5+0=156251%2
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1530+2+26=155849%3
5/2Wednesday, May 22:20 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1496+7+0=150338%11
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15622+24=158462%2
5/1Tuesday, May 18:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1493+9+0=150236%3
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1565+15+24=160464%1
4/30Monday, April 307 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
149483=148336%2
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15644+24=158464%3
4/29Sunday, April 292:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15121+0=151140%0
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
15628+24=157860%2
4/28Saturday, April 282:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
1513+3+0=151640%0
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1561+0+24=158560%3
4/27Friday, April 272:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Suter, Brent
Suter
151411+0=150339%2
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15602+24=158261%3
4/26Thursday, April 268:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1516+192=153341%0
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1559+14+22=159559%1
4/25Wednesday, April 257 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1561+0+0=156146%1
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
15707+24=158754%4
4/24Tuesday, April 246:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
155761=155049%10
CLECLEIndians
Tomlin, Josh
Tomlin
157338+22=155751%3
4/22Sunday, April 223:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1555+3+0=155855%9
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1500+0+24=152445%7
4/21Saturday, April 218:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1558+0+0=155854%2
COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1497+10+24=153146%5
4/20Friday, April 208:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1554+133=156454%16
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1502+10+23=153546%5
4/19Thursday, April 192:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1531+8+2=154145%5
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15524+26=157455%8
4/17Tuesday, April 178:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
152913+0=151641%5
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
15546+29=157759%3
4/14Saturday, April 142:20 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
1492+1+0=149337%10
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1552+12+24=158863%14
4/13Friday, April 132:20 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1488111=147635%4
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1556+4+24=158465%0
4/12Thursday, April 122:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1493+16+0=150938%6
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1560+12+24=159662%1
4/11Wednesday, April 118:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
14968+0=148838%5
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15574+24=157762%13
4/10Tuesday, April 102:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14934+0=148937%8
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
15608+25=157763%5
4/8Sunday, April 82:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1558+7+0=156552%3
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1506+20+24=155048%0
4/7Saturday, April 74:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1556+0+0=155653%5
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1508+3+24=153547%2
4/6Friday, April 68:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1557+18+0=157558%4
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
150712+24=151942%5
4/5Thursday, April 58:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15549+3=154853%8
MILMILBrewers
Suter, Brent
Suter
15105+24=152947%0
4/2Monday, April 24:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
155573=154559%0
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
14611+24=148441%1
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1560+11+0=157165%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Peters, Dillon
Peters
14424+24=146235%6
3/31Saturday, March 317:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1558+2+0=156062%10
MIAMIAMarlins
Despaigne, Odrisamer
Despaigne
1443+6+24=147338%6
3/30Friday, March 307:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1560+16+0=157665%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1441+1+24=146635%2
3/29Thursday, March 2912:30 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
155863=154961%8
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1443+3+24=147039%4

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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