Updated Jun. 23, 2018 at 1:19 AM

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Mets have a 2% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1475, up 5 points from last week.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
NationalsNationals40-343.058%40%
BravesBraves43-3156%36%
PhilliesPhillies40-332.539%23%
MetsMets31-4211.52%<1%
MarlinsMarlins29-4715.0<1%<1%

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/23Saturday, June 237:15 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1557+28+0=158556%
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1475+47+24=154644%
6/24Sunday, June 241:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1557+3+0=156063%
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
147530+24=146937%
6/25Monday, June 257:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1482+112=149150%
NYMNYMMets
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
14758+24=149150%
6/26Tuesday, June 267:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14827+0=147548%
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
14758+24=149152%
6/27Wednesday, June 277:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1482+2+0=148450%
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
147515+24=148450%
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1475+471=152157%
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1433+18+24=147543%
6/30Saturday, June 304:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
147530+0=144550%
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14339+24=144850%
7/1Sunday, July 11:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
14758+0=146751%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145949%
7/3Tuesday, July 37:07 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
147581=146642%
TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
1487+8+24=151958%
7/4Wednesday, July 47:07 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
147515+0=146043%
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
14872+24=150957%
7/6Friday, July 67:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
150021=149743%
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1475+47+24=154657%
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150155%
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
147530+24=146945%
7/8Sunday, July 81:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150151%
NYMNYMMets
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
14758+24=149149%
7/9Monday, July 94:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+02=150351%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149849%
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150551%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149849%
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150551%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149849%
7/11Wednesday, July 117:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150551%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149849%
7/12Thursday, July 127:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
153662=152854%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149846%
7/13Friday, July 137:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+0=153055%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149845%
7/14Saturday, July 144:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+0=153055%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149845%
7/15Sunday, July 151:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+0=153055%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149845%
7/20Friday, July 207:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+6=148031%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15903+29=161669%
7/21Saturday, July 211:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147431%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15903+24=161169%
7/22Sunday, July 228 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147431%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15903+24=161169%
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1461+01=146045%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+23=149755%
7/24Tuesday, July 247:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146145%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149855%
7/25Wednesday, July 2512:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146145%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149855%
7/26Thursday, July 267:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
147512=147245%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1482+0+22=150455%
7/27Friday, July 277:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147445%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1482+0+24=150655%
7/28Saturday, July 287:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147445%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1482+0+24=150655%
7/29Sunday, July 291:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147445%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1482+0+24=150655%
7/31Tuesday, July 317:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147439%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+23=155361%
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 112:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147439%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+24=155461%
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1512+03=150952%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+22=149648%
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1512+0+0=151252%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149848%
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1512+0+0=151252%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149848%
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1512+0+0=151252%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149848%
8/6Monday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+42=146545%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149855%
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146746%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149854%
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 812:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1463+4+0=146746%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149854%
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
147511=147352%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+26=146148%
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147452%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145948%
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147452%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+24=145948%
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
147511=147351%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1436+3+26=146549%
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147452%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1436+3+24=146348%
8/16Thursday, Aug. 164:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
147511=147342%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152958%
8/16Thursday, Aug. 167:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147442%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152958%
8/17Friday, Aug. 176:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147442%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152958%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 184:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147442%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152958%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 197 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147446%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150554%
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1501+13=149950%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+23=149750%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1501+1+0=150251%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149849%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1501+1+0=150251%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149849%
8/23Thursday, Aug. 231:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1501+1+0=150251%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149849%
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
153662=152854%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149846%
8/25Saturday, Aug. 254:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+0=153055%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149845%
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+0=153055%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149845%
8/27Monday, Aug. 278:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
147513=147134%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+24=158466%
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 288:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147435%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+24=158465%
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 292:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147435%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+24=158465%
8/31Friday, Aug. 3110:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
147512=147242%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1501+1+26=152858%
9/1Saturday, Sept. 14:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147443%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1501+1+24=152657%
9/2Sunday, Sept. 24:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147443%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1501+1+24=152657%
9/3Monday, Sept. 38:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
147512=147235%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1557+2+24=158365%
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 410:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147435%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1557+2+24=158365%
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147435%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1557+2+24=158365%
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+01=150451%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+22=149649%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150551%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149849%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150551%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149849%
9/10Monday, Sept. 107:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+22=143341%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149859%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143541%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149859%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 127:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143541%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149859%
9/13Thursday, Sept. 137:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143541%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149859%
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
147512=147232%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160068%
9/15Saturday, Sept. 154:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147433%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160067%
9/16Sunday, Sept. 1612 a.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147433%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160067%
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147442%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152958%
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147442%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152958%
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 196:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147442%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152958%
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
147512=147239%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+23=155361%
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147439%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+24=155461%
9/22Saturday, Sept. 224:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147439%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+24=155461%
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147439%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15366+24=155461%
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1512+01=151152%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149848%
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 267:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1512+0+0=151252%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149848%
9/27Thursday, Sept. 277:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1512+0+0=151252%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149848%
9/28Friday, Sept. 287:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143541%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149859%
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143541%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149859%
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143541%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+24=149859%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Wood, Alex
Wood
155531=155160%5
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
147716+20=148140%2
6/21Thursday, June 213:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
14787+0=147144%4
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1483+8+24=151556%6
6/20Wednesday, June 208:40 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
14795+0=147446%8
COLCOLRockies
Bettis, Chad
Bettis
14814+24=150154%10
6/19Tuesday, June 198:40 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
148125+0=145644%8
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
14807+24=149756%10
6/18Monday, June 188:40 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1476+413=151450%12
COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1484+7+21=151250%2
6/17Sunday, June 174:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
147422+0=145236%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
15342+24=155664%3
6/16Saturday, June 1610:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
147010+0=146034%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1537+13+24=157466%1
6/15Friday, June 159:40 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
14722+0=147039%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
153511+24=154861%7
6/14Thursday, June 149:40 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
1474234=144737%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Koch, Matt
Koch
153415+24=154363%6
6/13Wednesday, June 1312:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1475+40+0=151550%0
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Michael
Soroka
151116+24=151950%2
6/12Tuesday, June 127:30 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1478181=145938%2
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1508+15+22=154562%8
6/10Sunday, June 108 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1589+35+0=162468%0
NYMNYMMets
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
14758+24=149132%2
6/9Saturday, June 97:15 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
158830+0=155860%4
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
147610+24=149040%3
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1586+3+0=158957%4
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1478+39+26=154343%1
6/6Wednesday, June 61:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1442+16+0=145847%1
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
147921+24=148253%0
6/5Tuesday, June 57:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1440+0+3=144344%2
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
148122+26=148556%1
6/3Sunday, June 31:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1567+3+0=157061%2
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
148211+24=149539%0
6/2Saturday, June 27:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
15644+0=156052%7
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1485+39+24=154848%1
6/1Friday, June 17:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
156214+0=154858%7
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
148721+24=149042%4
5/31Thursday, May 317:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1560+02=155858%5
NYMNYMMets
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
14897+21=150342%1
5/30Wednesday, May 307:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
148723+0=146440%4
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1510+3+24=153760%1
5/29Tuesday, May 297:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
148811+0=147744%6
ATLATLBraves
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
150911+24=152256%7
5/28Monday, May 287:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Conlon, P.J.
Conlon
148513+0=147242%8
ATLATLBraves
McCarthy, Brandon
McCarthy
15118+24=152758%5
5/28Monday, May 281:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1486+393=152251%3
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
151012+21=151949%4
5/27Sunday, May 272:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
148721+0=146637%7
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1529+6+24=155963%8
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
149121+0=147037%6
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1526+10+24=156063%17
5/25Friday, May 258:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1492+31+0=152346%3
MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
1524+2+24=155054%4
5/24Thursday, May 248:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
1488153=147038%5
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15281+24=155162%0
5/23Wednesday, May 237:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14364+0=143234%2
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1490+37+24=155166%1
5/22Tuesday, May 227:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1433+14+0=144743%5
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
149323+24=149457%1
5/21Monday, May 217:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
1434+43=143542%0
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
149223+24=149358%2
5/20Sunday, May 201:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
15298+0=152146%1
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1490+33+24=154754%4
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1531+13+0=154456%4
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
14889+24=150344%5
5/18Friday, May 187:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
153332=152847%1
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1486+35+26=154753%3
5/16Wednesday, May 161:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1503+20+0=152354%12
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
149117+24=149846%1
5/15Tuesday, May 157:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
150714+0=149343%2
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1487+33+25=154557%12
5/13Sunday, May 131:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1489+36+2=152745%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1504+33+26=156355%4
5/11Friday, May 117:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
14869+0=147741%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1506+13+24=154359%1
5/9Wednesday, May 912:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
148821+0=146749%1
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
1444+3+24=147151%2
5/8Tuesday, May 87:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
149022+0=146848%2
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1441+18+24=148352%7
5/7Monday, May 77:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Conlon, P.J.
Conlon
148973=147952%7
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
14433+24=146448%6
5/6Sunday, May 61:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
15048+0=149642%3
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1491+34+24=154958%2
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Bettis, Chad
Bettis
1503+5+0=150851%2
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
149312+24=150549%0
5/4Friday, May 47:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
150171=149349%8
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
149416+24=150251%7
5/3Thursday, May 31:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
15031+0=150250%11
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
149918+24=150550%0
5/2Wednesday, May 27:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
14993+0=149641%7
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1503+31+24=155859%0
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Michael
Soroka
14977+1=149140%3
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1505+35+22=156260%2
4/29Sunday, April 294:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
150018+0=148251%14
SDSDPadres
Mitchell, Bryan
Mitchell
14532+24=147549%2
4/28Saturday, April 288:40 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
15059+0=149651%2
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1448+17+24=148949%12
4/27Friday, April 2710:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1503+274=152659%5
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
145010+23=146341%1
4/26Thursday, April 261:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1504+32+0=153643%3
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
1535+24+24=158357%4
4/25Wednesday, April 258:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
150713+0=149442%1
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15325+24=155158%9
4/24Tuesday, April 248:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
150518+3=149040%6
STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1533+2+26=156160%5
4/21Saturday, April 217:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1507+23+0=153052%3
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
14933+24=151448%4
4/20Friday, April 207:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1505+33+0=153853%5
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
14943+24=151547%3
4/19Thursday, April 197:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1508333=147246%4
ATLATLBraves
Wisler, Matt
Wisler
149113+24=150254%12
4/18Wednesday, April 187:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
153817+0=152151%5
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
150513+24=151649%11
4/17Tuesday, April 177:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15365+0=153152%5
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
150717+24=151448%2
4/16Monday, April 167:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
1534402=149241%8
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1509+21+24=155459%6
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
15079+0=149841%2
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1508+30+24=156259%3
4/14Saturday, April 147:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1504+21+0=152553%5
NYMNYMMets
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
151130+24=150547%1
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1506+41=150948%5
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
150912+23=152052%6
4/11Wednesday, April 117:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
150722+0=148553%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Garcia, Jarlin
Garcia
1435+6+24=146547%1
4/10Tuesday, April 107:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1506+24+0=153060%8
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1437+2+24=146340%6
4/9Monday, April 97:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1505+293=153160%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1438+5+21=146440%2
4/8Sunday, April 88:08 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
150328+0=147539%6
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
154013+24=155161%5
4/7Saturday, April 71:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
150115+2=148839%3
WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15422+26=156661%2
4/5Thursday, April 51:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1497+232=151838%8
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1546+37+21=160462%2
4/4Wednesday, April 41:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1482+26+0=150844%2
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1495+31+24=155056%4
4/3Tuesday, April 37:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Lively, Ben
Lively
14846+2=148049%0
NYMNYMMets
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
149331+26=148851%2
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1517+6+0=152352%5
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
149611+24=150948%1
3/31Saturday, March 311:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1519+1+2=152247%2
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1493+22+26=154153%6
3/29Thursday, March 291:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
1522+193=153848%4
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1491+34+24=154952%9

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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