Updated Jun. 17, 2018 at 11:35 PM

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Nationals have a 69% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1543, down 8 points from last week.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
NationalsNationals37-313.569%49%
BravesBraves42-2959%36%
PhilliesPhillies37-324.026%13%
MetsMets30-3810.53%1%
MarlinsMarlins28-4414.5<1%<1%

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/18Monday, June 187:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1588152=157158%
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
154352+22=151342%
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
14321+1=143232%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156668%
6/20Wednesday, June 207:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14323+0=142932%
WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
154310+24=155768%
6/21Thursday, June 217:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1432+16+0=144828%
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1543+45+24=161272%
6/22Friday, June 227:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
149818+0=148040%
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
154317+24=155060%
6/23Saturday, June 234:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1498+31+0=152945%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156655%
6/24Sunday, June 248 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
149810+0=148839%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156661%
6/25Monday, June 257:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1543103=153048%
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1498+24+24=154652%
6/26Tuesday, June 2612:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1543+45+0=158859%
TBTBRays
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1498+1+24=152341%
6/28Thursday, June 287:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1543171=152546%
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1498+31+24=155354%
6/29Friday, June 297:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154254%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
149810+24=151246%
6/30Saturday, June 306:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154254%
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
14987+24=151546%
7/1Sunday, July 11:35 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
154310+0=153351%
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1498+1+24=152349%
7/2Monday, July 27:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
1575112=156243%
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1543+45+22=161057%
7/3Tuesday, July 36:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Wright, Steven
Wright
157514+0=156152%
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
154317+24=155048%
7/4Wednesday, July 411:05 a.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157652%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156648%
7/5Thursday, July 57:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1436+23=143532%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156668%
7/6Friday, July 67:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1436+2+0=143832%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156668%
7/7Saturday, July 77:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1436+2+0=143832%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156668%
7/8Sunday, July 81:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1436+2+0=143832%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156668%
7/9Monday, July 97:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
154312=154054%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151046%
7/10Tuesday, July 107:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154255%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151045%
7/11Wednesday, July 1112:35 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154255%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1486+0+24=151045%
7/12Thursday, July 127:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
154312=154056%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14761+24=149944%
7/13Friday, July 137:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154256%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14761+24=149944%
7/14Saturday, July 144:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154256%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14761+24=149944%
7/15Sunday, July 151:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154256%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14761+24=149944%
7/20Friday, July 207:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+4=151742%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+29=157158%
7/21Saturday, July 217:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151342%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156658%
7/22Sunday, July 221:35 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151342%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156658%
7/23Monday, July 238:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
154313=153948%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+0+24=155452%
7/24Tuesday, July 248:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154248%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+0+24=155452%
7/25Wednesday, July 252:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154248%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+0+24=155452%
7/26Thursday, July 267:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
154313=153960%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1436+2+26=146440%
7/27Friday, July 277:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154261%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1436+2+24=146239%
7/28Saturday, July 287:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154261%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1436+2+24=146239%
7/29Sunday, July 291:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154261%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1436+2+24=146239%
7/31Tuesday, July 317:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14761+0=147537%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+23=156563%
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 112:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14761+0=147537%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156663%
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1452+42=145434%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156666%
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1452+4+0=145635%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156665%
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1452+4+0=145635%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156665%
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1452+4+0=145635%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156665%
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151342%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+26=156858%
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151342%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156658%
8/9Thursday, Aug. 91:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151342%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156658%
8/10Friday, Aug. 102:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
154313=153943%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158957%
8/11Saturday, Aug. 114:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154243%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158957%
8/12Sunday, Aug. 1212 a.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154243%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158957%
8/13Monday, Aug. 138:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154251%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+22=153549%
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 148:15 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154251%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+24=153749%
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 158:15 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154251%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+24=153749%
8/16Thursday, Aug. 167:15 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154251%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+24=153749%
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1436+21=143733%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+21=156367%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1436+2+0=143832%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156668%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1436+2+0=143832%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156668%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149840%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+26=156860%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149840%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156660%
8/23Thursday, Aug. 231:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149840%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156660%
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
154312=154056%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14761+24=149944%
8/25Saturday, Aug. 254:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154256%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14761+24=149944%
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154256%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14761+24=149944%
8/27Monday, Aug. 277:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
154311=154153%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+22=152047%
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154253%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152247%
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154253%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152247%
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+02=152845%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156655%
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+0+0=153045%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156655%
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+0+0=153045%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156655%
9/3Monday, Sept. 31:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+23=151042%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156658%
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+0=151343%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156657%
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+0=151343%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156657%
9/6Thursday, Sept. 67:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+03=156250%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156650%
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156550%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156650%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156550%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156650%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:35 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156550%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156650%
9/10Monday, Sept. 107:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
154312=154053%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+23=152147%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154253%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152247%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 127:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154253%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152247%
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:35 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
154311=154151%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+22=153549%
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154251%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153749%
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:35 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154251%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153749%
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
154313=153961%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1436+2+21=145939%
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154261%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1436+2+24=146239%
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
147612=147337%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+23=156563%
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14761+0=147537%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156663%
9/22Saturday, Sept. 224:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14761+0=147537%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156663%
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14761+0=147537%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156663%
9/24Monday, Sept. 247:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1436+23=143532%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156668%
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1436+2+0=143832%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156668%
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 264:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1436+2+0=143832%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+24=156668%
9/28Friday, Sept. 288:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
154312=154054%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150946%
9/29Saturday, Sept. 298:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154255%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150945%
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15431+0=154255%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150945%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/17Sunday, June 171:07 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
154513+0=153254%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Gaviglio, Sam
Gaviglio
149111+24=150446%8
6/16Saturday, June 164:07 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1547+44+0=159161%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
14891+24=151239%2
6/15Friday, June 157:07 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15497+0=154254%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1487+4+23=151446%6
6/13Wednesday, June 137 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
154754+0=149335%5
NYYNYYYankees
Gray, Sonny
Gray
158811+24=160165%4
6/12Tuesday, June 127:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
154814+0=153440%0
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15868+25=160360%3
6/10Sunday, June 104:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
150318+0=148532%2
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1551+43+24=161868%0
6/9Saturday, June 912:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1504+0+0=150441%5
WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15503+24=157159%7
6/8Friday, June 87:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
1501+22=150136%9
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1553+18+26=159764%5
6/6Wednesday, June 61:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Venters, Jonny
Venters
149916+0=148339%2
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
155016+24=155861%11
6/5Tuesday, June 57:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1500+12=149934%2
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1549+38+23=161066%4
6/3Sunday, June 31:35 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
155130+0=152151%2
ATLATLBraves
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
151017+24=151749%4
6/2Saturday, June 24:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15495+0=154453%5
ATLATLBraves
McCarthy, Brandon
McCarthy
151212+24=152447%3
6/1Friday, June 17:35 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1552+20+0=157255%0
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1509+7+24=154045%4
5/31Thursday, May 317:35 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1554133=153850%2
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
1507+10+24=154150%4
5/30Wednesday, May 307:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1553+33+0=158666%2
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1444+2+24=147034%0
5/29Tuesday, May 297:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
155229+0=152355%3
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1445+19+24=148845%2
5/28Monday, May 281:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
154973=153960%6
BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
14481+21=146840%0
5/27Sunday, May 271:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1548+20+0=156865%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
1435+4+24=146335%2
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
154614+0=153260%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14361+24=145940%1
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1544+391=158266%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1438+6+23=146734%5
5/23Wednesday, May 234:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1454+17+0=147144%3
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
154758+24=151356%1
5/22Tuesday, May 227:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
145517+0=143836%1
WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
154630+24=154064%2
5/21Monday, May 217:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
145712=145435%2
WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15438+24=155965%10
5/20Sunday, May 201:35 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Wood, Alex
Wood
1539+8+0=154743%7
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1547+23+24=159457%2
5/19Saturday, May 198:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
15371+0=153639%5
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1548+38+24=161061%4
5/19Saturday, May 192:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1535111=152344%4
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
155117+27=156156%1
5/13Sunday, May 138 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
154932+0=151744%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
15413+24=156256%4
5/12Saturday, May 124:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1548+22+0=157054%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Scribner, Troy
Scribner
154225+24=154146%1
5/11Friday, May 119:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1546+38+0=158453%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Koch, Matt
Koch
15444+24=156447%1
5/10Thursday, May 109:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1545192=152442%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1546+12+22=158058%1
5/9Wednesday, May 99:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15465+0=154158%1
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1446+14+24=148442%2
5/8Tuesday, May 810:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
154435+0=150957%4
SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
144814+24=145843%0
5/7Monday, May 710:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1542+264=156460%8
SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1450+18+24=149240%5
5/6Sunday, May 61:35 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1495+15+0=151037%4
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1541+38+24=160363%5
5/5Saturday, May 54:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
149311+0=148240%3
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
154417+24=155160%1
5/4Friday, May 47:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
149571=148740%3
WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15426+24=156060%7
5/3Thursday, May 31:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1490+22+0=151248%1
WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
154038+24=152652%3
5/2Wednesday, May 27:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1492+7+0=149937%3
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1538+29+24=159163%9
5/1Tuesday, May 17:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14941+0=149335%4
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1535+40+24=159965%12
4/30Monday, April 307:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1496+42=149844%2
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
153417+24=154156%3
4/29Sunday, April 291:35 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1548+4+0=155250%1
WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15327+24=154950%3
4/28Saturday, April 284:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1546+10+0=155655%4
WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
153437+24=152145%3
4/27Friday, April 277:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
1545+32=154644%5
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1535+32+22=158956%4
4/25Wednesday, April 253:45 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1531+41+0=157255%15
SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1498+12+24=153445%2
4/24Tuesday, April 2410:15 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
153214+0=151853%3
SFSFGiants
Blach, Ty
Blach
149721+24=150047%4
4/23Monday, April 2310:15 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
153472=152549%2
SFSFGiants
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
1495+11+22=152851%4
4/22Sunday, April 228 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
153541+0=149436%3
LADLADDodgers
Wood, Alex
Wood
1560+9+24=159364%4
4/21Saturday, April 219:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1538+32+0=157050%0
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
155711+24=157050%4
4/20Friday, April 2010:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1535+402=157343%5
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1560+35+25=162057%2
4/18Wednesday, April 187:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
153817+0=152151%5
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
150513+24=151649%11
4/17Tuesday, April 177:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15365+0=153152%5
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
150717+24=151448%2
4/16Monday, April 167:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
1534402=149241%8
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1509+21+24=155459%6
4/15Sunday, April 151:35 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1499+11+0=151038%6
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1536+35+24=159562%5
4/14Saturday, April 141:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1500+12+0=151238%2
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1534+38+24=159662%6
4/13Friday, April 137:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
149911+0=148842%2
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
153618+24=154258%1
4/12Thursday, April 127:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Bettis, Chad
Bettis
1496+24=149441%5
WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15393+24=156059%1
4/11Wednesday, April 111:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
McCarthy, Brandon
McCarthy
1486+8+0=149447%5
WSHWSHNationals
Cole, A.J.
Cole
154146+24=151953%3
4/10Tuesday, April 107:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1488+0+0=148835%1
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1539+32+24=159565%4
4/9Monday, April 97:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
148924=148334%0
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1538+33+24=159566%2
4/8Sunday, April 88:08 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
150328+0=147539%6
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
154013+24=155161%5
4/7Saturday, April 71:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
150115+2=148839%3
WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15422+26=156661%2
4/5Thursday, April 51:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1497+232=151838%8
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1546+37+21=160462%2
4/4Wednesday, April 412:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1550+37+0=158762%1
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
14801+24=150338%7
4/3Tuesday, April 37:35 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Cole, A.J.
Cole
155435+0=151952%6
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1476+7+24=150748%13
4/2Monday, April 27:35 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1551212=152853%8
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
14791+26=150447%1
4/1Sunday, April 14:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15507+0=154358%6
CINCINReds
Romano, Sal
Romano
14621+24=148542%5
3/31Saturday, March 312:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1547+37+0=158459%13
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1464+33+24=152141%7
3/30Friday, March 304:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1546+342=157863%2
CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
14657+24=148237%0

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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