2020 MLB Predictions

The Athletics are done for the season.

AL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Athletics Athletics36-24	—	✓	✓
Astros Astros29-31	7.0	✓	—
Mariners Mariners27-33	9.0	—	—
Angels Angels26-34	10.0	—	—
Rangers Rangers22-38	14.0	—	—

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
10/8Thursday, Oct. 83:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1530	+4	+0	=1534	43%	6
10/8Thursday, Oct. 83:35 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Greinke	1556	+12	+0	=1568	57%	11
10/7Wednesday, Oct. 73:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1527	–4	+0	=1523	42%	9
10/7Wednesday, Oct. 73:35 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1559	+6	+0	=1565	58%	7
10/6Tuesday, Oct. 64:37 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1556	–12	+0	=1544	51%	5
10/6Tuesday, Oct. 64:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1530	+9	+0	=1539	49%	2
10/5Monday, Oct. 54:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1553	–2	+7	=1558	50%	10
10/5Monday, Oct. 54:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1533	+19	+7	=1559	50%	5
10/1Thursday, Oct. 13 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Dunning	1515	–7	+0	=1508	44%	4
10/1Thursday, Oct. 13 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1531	–2	+10	=1539	56%	6
9/30Wednesday, Sept. 303 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1517	+13	+0	=1530	45%	3
9/30Wednesday, Sept. 303 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1529	+16	+10	=1555	55%	5
9/29Tuesday, Sept. 293 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1515	+37	–2	=1550	51%	4
9/29Tuesday, Sept. 293 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1532	+0	+12	=1544	49%	1
9/27Sunday, Sept. 273:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1456	+31	–3	=1484	43%	2
9/27Sunday, Sept. 273:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1530	–2	+7	=1535	57%	6
9/26Saturday, Sept. 267:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1534	–24	–3	=1507	57%	3
9/26Saturday, Sept. 267:35 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Dunn	1452	+2	+7	=1461	43%	12
9/26Saturday, Sept. 264:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Sheffield	1450	+11	+0	=1461	36%	5
9/26Saturday, Sept. 264:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Minor	1537	+13	+10	=1560	64%	1
9/25Friday, Sept. 259:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kikuchi	1451	–15	–1	=1435	33%	1
9/25Friday, Sept. 259:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1536	+12	+8	=1556	67%	3
9/24Thursday, Sept. 249:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1537	–1	+0	=1536	37%	1
9/24Thursday, Sept. 249:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1599	+16	+10	=1625	63%	5
9/23Wednesday, Sept. 239:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1536	+10	+0	=1546	45%	6
9/23Wednesday, Sept. 239:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kelly	1601	–28	+10	=1583	55%	4
9/22Tuesday, Sept. 229:30 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1537	+3	+0	=1540	42%	2
9/22Tuesday, Sept. 229:30 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1599	–11	+9	=1597	58%	7
9/20Sunday, Sept. 204 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Anderson	1472	–1	+0	=1471	36%	14
9/20Sunday, Sept. 204 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Minor	1543	+16	+10	=1569	64%	2
9/19Saturday, Sept. 194:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Gausman	1474	+6	+0	=1480	41%	0
9/19Saturday, Sept. 194:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1541	–8	+10	=1543	59%	6
9/18Friday, Sept. 189:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1475	–2	–3	=1470	38%	0
9/18Friday, Sept. 189:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1539	+7	+9	=1555	62%	6
9/16Wednesday, Sept. 163:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1538	–4	+0	=1534	53%	3
9/16Wednesday, Sept. 163:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1481	+21	+10	=1512	47%	1
9/15Tuesday, Sept. 158:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1539	+10	–3	=1546	59%	1
9/15Tuesday, Sept. 158:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1479	–10	+12	=1481	41%	3
9/14Monday, Sept. 148:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Minor	1537	+15	+0	=1552	63%	9
9/14Monday, Sept. 148:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Yacabonis	1454	–2	+10	=1462	37%	0
9/14Monday, Sept. 145:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1538	+0	–4	=1534	56%	5
9/14Monday, Sept. 145:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1453	+30	+7	=1490	44%	6
9/13Sunday, Sept. 132:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1540	+7	+0	=1547	54%	3
9/13Sunday, Sept. 132:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lynn	1460	+50	+10	=1520	46%	6
9/12Saturday, Sept. 127:45 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1538	+8	+0	=1546	62%	10
9/12Saturday, Sept. 127:45 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1462	–14	+10	=1458	38%	1
9/12Saturday, Sept. 125:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Jefferies	1540	–15	+0	=1525	60%	2
9/12Saturday, Sept. 125:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Goody	1460	–14	+10	=1456	40%	5
9/11Friday, Sept. 118:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1539	–4	–4	=1531	61%	10
9/11Friday, Sept. 118:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Garcia	1461	–15	+10	=1456	39%	6
9/10Thursday, Sept. 103:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1558	–3	+0	=1555	51%	1
9/10Thursday, Sept. 103:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1537	+4	+10	=1551	49%	3
9/9Wednesday, Sept. 99:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Garcia	1559	–26	+0	=1533	49%	2
9/9Wednesday, Sept. 99:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1536	–6	+10	=1540	51%	3
9/8Tuesday, Sept. 89:20 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	De Jong	1558	–39	–4	=1515	44%	5
9/8Tuesday, Sept. 89:20 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Minor	1537	+16	+6	=1559	56%	4
9/8Tuesday, Sept. 86:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1536	+8	–4	=1540	43%	4
9/8Tuesday, Sept. 86:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Greinke	1559	+22	+6	=1587	57%	2
9/7Monday, Sept. 79 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1562	–11	–2	=1549	50%	0
9/7Monday, Sept. 79 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1533	+4	+10	=1547	50%	6
9/6Sunday, Sept. 64:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Richards	1522	–8	+0	=1514	46%	5
9/6Sunday, Sept. 64:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1535	–1	+10	=1544	54%	3
9/5Saturday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Paddack	1524	–2	+0	=1522	46%	4
9/5Saturday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1533	+4	+10	=1547	54%	8
9/4Friday, Sept. 49:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Davies	1521	+11	–2	=1530	48%	7
9/4Friday, Sept. 49:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1536	–4	+13	=1545	52%	0
8/29Saturday, Aug. 297:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1537	+13	+0	=1550	43%	3
8/29Saturday, Aug. 297:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Greinke	1566	+22	+10	=1598	57%	6
8/29Saturday, Aug. 294:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1539	+9	+3	=1551	47%	2
8/29Saturday, Aug. 294:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1565	–10	+17	=1572	53%	4
8/26Wednesday, Aug. 268:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1538	–6	+0	=1532	60%	3
8/26Wednesday, Aug. 268:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1465	–17	+10	=1458	40%	1
8/25Tuesday, Aug. 258:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1536	+2	+0	=1538	61%	10
8/25Tuesday, Aug. 258:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1467	–16	+10	=1461	39%	3
8/24Monday, Aug. 248:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1537	–7	–4	=1526	50%	2
8/24Monday, Aug. 248:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lynn	1466	+51	+6	=1523	50%	3
8/23Sunday, Aug. 234:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Bundy	1487	+20	+0	=1507	42%	4
8/23Sunday, Aug. 234:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1536	+16	+10	=1562	58%	5
8/22Saturday, Aug. 224:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1486	+5	+0	=1491	41%	4
8/22Saturday, Aug. 224:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1537	+10	+10	=1557	59%	3
8/21Friday, Aug. 219:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Heaney	1487	+10	–1	=1496	44%	3
8/21Friday, Aug. 219:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1536	–6	+10	=1540	56%	5
8/20Thursday, Aug. 209:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Young	1514	–14	+0	=1500	44%	1
8/20Thursday, Aug. 209:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1534	+1	+10	=1545	56%	5
8/19Wednesday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1516	+6	–3	=1519	49%	1
8/19Wednesday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1533	–15	+7	=1525	51%	4
8/18Tuesday, Aug. 186:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1537	+28	+0	=1565	58%	1
8/18Tuesday, Aug. 186:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Weaver	1512	–13	+10	=1509	42%	10
8/17Monday, Aug. 179:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1538	+10	–3	=1545	50%	3
8/17Monday, Aug. 179:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1511	+24	+10	=1545	50%	4
8/16Sunday, Aug. 164:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1535	–8	+0	=1527	60%	15
8/16Sunday, Aug. 164:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1452	–2	+10	=1460	40%	3
8/15Saturday, Aug. 157:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1534	–2	+0	=1532	60%	7
8/15Saturday, Aug. 157:07 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Gausman	1452	–2	+10	=1460	40%	6
8/14Friday, Aug. 149:45 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1533	–6	+0	=1527	59%	8
8/14Friday, Aug. 149:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cueto	1453	+1	+8	=1462	41%	7
8/12Wednesday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1531	+9	+0	=1540	54%	8
8/12Wednesday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1499	+5	+10	=1514	46%	4
8/11Tuesday, Aug. 119:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1534	–4	+0	=1530	51%	0
8/11Tuesday, Aug. 119:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Bundy	1497	+14	+10	=1521	49%	6
8/10Monday, Aug. 109:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1535	+0	–2	=1533	55%	9
8/10Monday, Aug. 109:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Teheran	1496	–4	+7	=1499	45%	10
8/9Sunday, Aug. 94:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1566	–18	+0	=1548	52%	2
8/9Sunday, Aug. 94:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1533	–11	+10	=1532	48%	7
8/8Saturday, Aug. 84:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1567	–38	+0	=1529	46%	1
8/8Saturday, Aug. 84:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1531	+18	+10	=1559	54%	3
8/7Friday, Aug. 79:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Greinke	1568	+14	–3	=1579	55%	2
8/7Friday, Aug. 79:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1530	+5	+10	=1545	45%	3
8/6Thursday, Aug. 63:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Minor	1476	+12	+0	=1488	43%	4
8/6Thursday, Aug. 63:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1529	+0	+10	=1539	57%	6
8/5Wednesday, Aug. 59:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1477	–18	+0	=1459	38%	4
8/5Wednesday, Aug. 59:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1528	+5	+10	=1543	62%	6
8/4Tuesday, Aug. 49:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lynn	1479	+43	+1	=1523	51%	1
8/4Tuesday, Aug. 49:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1526	–16	+7	=1517	49%	5
8/3Monday, Aug. 39:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1524	+16	+0	=1540	62%	11
8/3Monday, Aug. 39:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Sheffield	1446	–3	+10	=1453	38%	1
8/2Sunday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1523	+2	+0	=1525	61%	3
8/2Sunday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Graveman	1447	–9	+10	=1448	39%	2
8/1Saturday, Aug. 19:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1522	+0	+0	=1522	61%	3
8/1Saturday, Aug. 19:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kikuchi	1448	–16	+10	=1442	39%	2
7/31Friday, July 319:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1524	+10	–1	=1533	60%	3
7/31Friday, July 319:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Walker	1446	+12	+7	=1465	40%	5
7/29Wednesday, July 293:30 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1494	+27	+0	=1521	45%	5
7/29Wednesday, July 293:30 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1526	+18	+10	=1554	55%	1
7/28Tuesday, July 289:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1491	–22	–2	=1467	41%	8
7/28Tuesday, July 289:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Mengden	1529	–8	+10	=1531	59%	3
7/27Monday, July 273:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1502	+6	+0	=1508	46%	0
7/27Monday, July 273:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1527	+0	+10	=1537	54%	3
7/26Sunday, July 264:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1503	+6	+0	=1509	46%	4
7/26Sunday, July 264:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1526	+3	+10	=1539	54%	6
7/25Saturday, July 254:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Bundy	1501	+0	+0	=1501	43%	4
7/25Saturday, July 254:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1528	+11	+10	=1549	57%	1
7/24Friday, July 2410 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Heaney	1503	+3	–2	=1504	43%	3
7/24Friday, July 2410 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1527	+17	+10	=1554	57%	7

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2020 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL West standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2020 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL West standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments