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The Yankees are done for the season.
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | RaysRays40-20 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
![]() | YankeesYankees33-27 | 7.0 | ✓ | — | ||
![]() | Blue JaysBlue Jays32-28 | 8.0 | ✓ | — | ||
![]() | OriolesOrioles25-35 | 15.0 | — | — | ||
![]() | Red SoxRed Sox24-36 | 16.0 | — | — |
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/9Friday, Oct. 97:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1564 | +44 | +0 | =1608 | 58% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1561 | +3 | +0 | =1564 | 42% | 2 | |
10/8Thursday, Oct. 87:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1563 | –26 | +0 | =1537 | 47% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1561 | –11 | +0 | =1550 | 53% | 5 | |
10/7Wednesday, Oct. 77:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1561 | +13 | +0 | =1574 | 54% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –11 | +0 | =1553 | 46% | 4 | |
10/6Tuesday, Oct. 68:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1566 | –29 | +0 | =1537 | 45% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1559 | +4 | +0 | =1563 | 55% | 7 | |
10/5Monday, Oct. 58:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1563 | +46 | +7 | =1616 | 57% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1562 | +9 | +7 | =1578 | 43% | 3 | |
9/30Wednesday, Sept. 307 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1561 | –8 | +0 | =1553 | 53% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | –1 | +10 | =1539 | 47% | 9 | |
9/29Tuesday, Sept. 297 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1557 | +44 | +0 | =1601 | 55% | 12 |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | +29 | +12 | =1575 | 45% | 3 | |
9/27Sunday, Sept. 273:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –6 | +0 | =1459 | 40% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1560 | –36 | +10 | =1534 | 60% | 0 | |
9/26Saturday, Sept. 261:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1467 | –15 | +0 | =1452 | 38% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1558 | –33 | +10 | =1535 | 62% | 11 | |
9/25Friday, Sept. 257:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +15 | –3 | =1478 | 39% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1559 | –8 | +8 | =1559 | 61% | 3 | |
9/24Thursday, Sept. 246:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1561 | –14 | +0 | =1547 | 53% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1488 | +32 | +10 | =1530 | 47% | 4 | |
9/23Wednesday, Sept. 236:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1566 | –3 | +0 | =1563 | 62% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1483 | –12 | +10 | =1481 | 38% | 14 | |
9/22Tuesday, Sept. 226:30 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +42 | +0 | =1607 | 68% | 12 |
![]() | ![]() | 1484 | –21 | +10 | =1473 | 32% | 1 | |
9/21Monday, Sept. 216:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1567 | –40 | –2 | =1525 | 53% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1482 | +13 | +8 | =1503 | 47% | 11 | |
9/20Sunday, Sept. 201:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1571 | –26 | +0 | =1545 | 57% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +5 | +10 | =1499 | 43% | 10 | |
9/19Saturday, Sept. 197:30 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1568 | –18 | +0 | =1550 | 58% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1486 | –1 | +10 | =1495 | 42% | 0 | |
9/18Friday, Sept. 187:30 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1567 | –15 | –2 | =1550 | 58% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1487 | –2 | +7 | =1492 | 42% | 5 | |
9/17Thursday, Sept. 177:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1486 | –6 | +0 | =1480 | 37% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1566 | –4 | +10 | =1572 | 63% | 10 | |
9/16Wednesday, Sept. 167:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1488 | –16 | +0 | =1472 | 31% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1564 | +39 | +10 | =1613 | 69% | 13 | |
9/15Tuesday, Sept. 157:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +5 | +0 | =1497 | 43% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1561 | –25 | +12 | =1548 | 57% | 20 | |
9/13Sunday, Sept. 131:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +14 | +0 | =1447 | 35% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1560 | –19 | +10 | =1551 | 65% | 3 | |
9/12Saturday, Sept. 121:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +8 | +0 | =1441 | 35% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1560 | –18 | +10 | =1552 | 65% | 2 | |
9/11Friday, Sept. 116:55 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1435 | +9 | +0 | =1444 | 33% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1558 | –4 | +10 | =1564 | 67% | 10 | |
9/11Friday, Sept. 114:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1436 | –1 | +1 | =1436 | 28% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1557 | +37 | +10 | =1604 | 72% | 6 | |
9/9Wednesday, Sept. 96:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1555 | –28 | +0 | =1527 | 56% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1494 | –17 | +10 | =1487 | 44% | 2 | |
9/8Tuesday, Sept. 86:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1556 | –19 | +0 | =1537 | 54% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +4 | +10 | =1507 | 46% | 2 | |
9/7Monday, Sept. 76:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1558 | –14 | –2 | =1542 | 52% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1490 | +31 | +8 | =1529 | 48% | 12 | |
9/6Sunday, Sept. 61:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1561 | –1 | +0 | =1560 | 67% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1430 | –2 | +10 | =1438 | 33% | 5 | |
9/5Saturday, Sept. 57:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +38 | +0 | =1603 | 72% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1426 | +3 | +10 | =1439 | 28% | 6 | |
9/4Friday, Sept. 49:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1567 | –27 | +0 | =1540 | 67% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1424 | –18 | +10 | =1416 | 33% | 6 | |
9/4Friday, Sept. 45:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1566 | –36 | –2 | =1528 | 65% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1425 | –13 | +12 | =1424 | 35% | 5 | |
9/3Thursday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1568 | –19 | –1 | =1548 | 58% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1519 | –36 | +8 | =1491 | 42% | 9 | |
9/2Wednesday, Sept. 27:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +13 | +0 | =1567 | 50% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1570 | –11 | +10 | =1569 | 50% | 2 | |
9/1Tuesday, Sept. 17:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1555 | –29 | +0 | =1526 | 43% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1569 | –6 | +10 | =1573 | 57% | 5 | |
8/31Monday, Aug. 317:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1554 | –4 | –3 | =1547 | 39% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1570 | +41 | +9 | =1620 | 61% | 3 | |
8/30Sunday, Aug. 305:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1569 | –38 | –1 | =1530 | 52% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | –14 | +9 | =1518 | 48% | 2 | |
8/30Sunday, Aug. 301:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –17 | +0 | =1507 | 46% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1568 | –39 | +10 | =1539 | 54% | 8 | |
8/29Saturday, Aug. 291:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1525 | –41 | –1 | =1483 | 41% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1567 | –27 | +9 | =1549 | 59% | 2 | |
8/28Friday, Aug. 287:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1568 | –31 | –1 | =1536 | 52% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –11 | +9 | =1522 | 48% | 4 | |
8/28Friday, Aug. 284:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | –23 | +1 | =1500 | 40% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1570 | –11 | +9 | =1568 | 60% | 4 | |
8/26Wednesday, Aug. 267 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1571 | –8 | +0 | =1563 | 50% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +18 | +10 | =1565 | 50% | 2 | |
8/26Wednesday, Aug. 264:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1573 | +50 | +4 | =1627 | 63% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –11 | +15 | =1538 | 37% | 5 | |
8/20Thursday, Aug. 201:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | –30 | +0 | =1516 | 41% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1576 | –8 | +10 | =1578 | 59% | 5 | |
8/19Wednesday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –10 | +0 | =1535 | 35% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1578 | +51 | +10 | =1639 | 65% | 2 | |
8/18Tuesday, Aug. 187 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1543 | +11 | +0 | =1554 | 45% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1580 | –3 | +10 | =1587 | 55% | 3 | |
8/17Monday, Aug. 177:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1494 | –4 | +0 | =1490 | 38% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1579 | –14 | +10 | =1575 | 62% | 6 | |
8/16Sunday, Aug. 167 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1495 | +0 | +0 | =1495 | 41% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1578 | –30 | +10 | =1558 | 59% | 4 | |
8/15Saturday, Aug. 157:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1497 | +10 | +0 | =1507 | 40% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1576 | –7 | +10 | =1579 | 60% | 11 | |
8/14Friday, Aug. 147:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | –2 | –2 | =1494 | 31% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +49 | +12 | =1635 | 69% | 10 | |
8/12Wednesday, Aug. 127:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –12 | +0 | =1522 | 41% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1573 | +0 | +10 | =1583 | 59% | 6 | |
8/11Tuesday, Aug. 117 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1535 | –3 | –1 | =1531 | 45% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1572 | –15 | +9 | =1566 | 55% | 9 | |
8/9Sunday, Aug. 91:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1573 | –8 | +0 | =1565 | 51% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1535 | +16 | +10 | =1561 | 49% | 4 | |
8/8Saturday, Aug. 85:30 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | –38 | +0 | =1536 | 54% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –31 | +10 | =1513 | 46% | 5 | |
8/8Saturday, Aug. 82:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1573 | +52 | +0 | =1625 | 62% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1535 | –6 | +10 | =1539 | 38% | 4 | |
8/7Friday, Aug. 76:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | –4 | –3 | =1567 | 53% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | +2 | +12 | =1548 | 47% | 1 | |
8/6Thursday, Aug. 66:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1575 | –11 | +0 | =1564 | 60% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1500 | –17 | +10 | =1493 | 40% | 5 | |
8/5Wednesday, Aug. 57:25 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | –33 | –1 | =1540 | 51% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +25 | +9 | =1535 | 49% | 1 | |
8/5Wednesday, Aug. 54:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +20 | +2 | =1521 | 44% | 11 |
![]() | ![]() | 1576 | –27 | +12 | =1561 | 56% | 7 | |
8/3Monday, Aug. 37:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1500 | –15 | +6 | =1491 | 30% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1575 | +52 | +10 | =1637 | 70% | 6 | |
8/2Sunday, Aug. 27 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1505 | –3 | +0 | =1502 | 39% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1574 | –6 | +10 | =1578 | 61% | 9 | |
8/1Saturday, Aug. 17:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | –15 | +0 | =1491 | 38% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1573 | –6 | +10 | =1577 | 62% | 5 | |
7/31Friday, July 317 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | –31 | –1 | =1475 | 38% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1572 | –15 | +8 | =1565 | 62% | 5 | |
7/30Thursday, July 307:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1571 | –26 | +0 | =1545 | 64% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1414 | +25 | +10 | =1449 | 36% | 6 | |
7/29Wednesday, July 297:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1570 | +52 | +4 | =1626 | 76% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1415 | –1 | +13 | =1427 | 24% | 3 | |
7/26Sunday, July 261:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1569 | –37 | +0 | =1532 | 47% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1550 | –4 | +10 | =1556 | 53% | 2 | |
7/25Saturday, July 257:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1572 | –3 | +2 | =1571 | 60% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | –56 | +12 | =1503 | 40% | 9 | |
7/23Thursday, July 237 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1571 | +51 | –2 | =1620 | 56% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1548 | +19 | +10 | =1577 | 44% | 1 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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