2018 MLB Predictions

The Yankees are done for the season.

AL East standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Red Sox Red Sox108-54	—	✓	✓
Yankees Yankees100-62	8.0	✓	—
Rays Rays90-72	18.0	—	—
Blue Jays Blue Jays73-89	35.0	—	—
Orioles Orioles47-115	61.0	—	—

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
10/9Tuesday, Oct. 98:07 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1587	–9	+0	=1578	48%	4
10/9Tuesday, Oct. 98:07 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1567	–2	+24	=1589	52%	3
10/8Monday, Oct. 87:40 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1577	–5	+0	=1572	41%	16
10/8Monday, Oct. 87:40 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1578	+15	+24	=1617	59%	1
10/6Saturday, Oct. 68:15 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1573	+15	+0	=1588	44%	6
10/6Saturday, Oct. 68:15 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1581	+13	+24	=1618	56%	2
10/5Friday, Oct. 57:32 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1575	+10	+0	=1585	35%	4
10/5Friday, Oct. 57:32 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1580	+53	+31	=1664	65%	5
10/3Wednesday, Oct. 38:08 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Hendriks	1566	–5	+1	=1562	41%	2
10/3Wednesday, Oct. 38:08 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1571	+13	+27	=1611	59%	7
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Cessa	1575	–25	+0	=1550	44%	2
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1577	–10	+24	=1591	56%	10
9/29Saturday, Sept. 291:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1572	–28	+0	=1544	43%	8
9/29Saturday, Sept. 291:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1579	–7	+24	=1596	57%	5
9/28Friday, Sept. 287 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1569	+9	–3	=1575	49%	11
9/28Friday, Sept. 287 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1582	–25	+26	=1583	51%	6
9/27Thursday, Sept. 271:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1564	–8	+0	=1556	51%	12
9/27Thursday, Sept. 271:10 p.m.	TBRays	Schultz	1547	–21	+24	=1550	49%	1
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 267:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1566	+18	+0	=1584	55%	7
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 267:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1545	–18	+24	=1551	45%	8
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1563	+12	+0	=1575	53%	9
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1549	–16	+24	=1557	47%	2
9/24Monday, Sept. 247 p.m.	NYYYankees	Holder	1560	–25	–3	=1532	46%	4
9/24Monday, Sept. 247 p.m.	TBRays	Castillo	1551	–12	+21	=1560	54%	1
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1404	+22	+0	=1426	27%	6
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1564	+9	+24	=1597	73%	3
9/22Saturday, Sept. 224:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1405	–2	+0	=1403	27%	2
9/22Saturday, Sept. 224:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Lynn	1563	–16	+24	=1571	73%	3
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ramirez	1406	+2	+0	=1408	27%	8
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1562	–9	+24	=1577	73%	10
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1586	+7	+0	=1593	47%	11
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1565	+22	+24	=1611	53%	6
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1590	+22	+0	=1612	53%	1
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1561	+8	+24	=1593	47%	10
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1591	–19	+0	=1572	47%	2
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1560	+7	+26	=1593	53%	3
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Pannone	1468	–2	+0	=1466	36%	3
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Lynn	1562	–19	+24	=1567	64%	2
9/15Saturday, Sept. 154 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Reid-Foley	1466	–8	+0	=1458	32%	8
9/15Saturday, Sept. 154 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1564	–2	+24	=1586	68%	7
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1468	–4	–2	=1462	31%	0
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1561	+20	+23	=1604	69%	11
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 128:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1563	+6	+0	=1569	58%	1
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 128:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1478	+9	+24	=1511	42%	3
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1567	–13	+0	=1554	60%	5
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118 p.m.	MINTwins	Duffey	1474	–12	+24	=1486	40%	10
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1565	+5	–3	=1567	58%	7
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1477	+12	+24	=1513	42%	2
9/9Sunday, Sept. 94 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1566	+0	+0	=1566	57%	2
9/9Sunday, Sept. 94 p.m.	SEAMariners	Ramirez	1502	–6	+24	=1520	43%	3
9/8Saturday, Sept. 89:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Lynn	1565	–21	+0	=1544	55%	4
9/8Saturday, Sept. 89:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1504	–22	+24	=1506	45%	2
9/7Friday, Sept. 710:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1562	+15	–1	=1576	52%	4
9/7Friday, Sept. 710:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1506	+28	+26	=1560	48%	0
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 510:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1565	+13	+0	=1578	49%	2
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 510:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1552	+9	+24	=1585	51%	8
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 410:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1563	+3	+0	=1566	50%	5
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 410:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Hendriks	1555	–13	+24	=1566	50%	1
9/3Monday, Sept. 34 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1565	+6	–4	=1567	48%	3
9/3Monday, Sept. 34 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Cahill	1553	+2	+24	=1579	52%	6
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1430	+19	+0	=1449	33%	11
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Lynn	1569	–17	+24	=1576	67%	7
9/1Saturday, Sept. 14:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1431	–4	+0	=1427	27%	1
9/1Saturday, Sept. 14:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1568	+11	+24	=1603	73%	2
8/31Friday, Aug. 317 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1431	–5	+0	=1426	27%	5
8/31Friday, Aug. 317 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1567	+12	+24	=1603	73%	7
8/30Thursday, Aug. 307:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1429	–16	–3	=1410	25%	8
8/30Thursday, Aug. 307:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1570	+8	+24	=1602	75%	7
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1450	–9	+0	=1441	29%	4
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1573	+3	+24	=1600	71%	1
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1451	–3	+0	=1448	32%	4
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Lynn	1572	–18	+24	=1578	68%	5
8/27Monday, Aug. 277 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1447	+42	–2	=1487	33%	6
8/27Monday, Aug. 277 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1576	+11	+22	=1609	67%	2
8/26Sunday, Aug. 268 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1575	+11	+0	=1586	71%	5
8/26Sunday, Aug. 268 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1412	–3	+24	=1433	29%	3
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1574	–19	+0	=1555	66%	5
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1414	+3	+24	=1441	34%	1
8/25Saturday, Aug. 251 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1572	+7	+0	=1579	69%	10
8/25Saturday, Aug. 251 p.m.	BALOrioles	Yacabonis	1415	+2	+24	=1441	31%	3
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1571	+3	–1	=1573	66%	7
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1416	+17	+24	=1457	34%	5
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Lynn	1575	–14	+0	=1561	63%	3
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1434	+9	+24	=1467	37%	9
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1575	+11	–1	=1585	67%	2
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1435	+3	+23	=1461	33%	1
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1476	+2	+0	=1478	32%	2
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1572	+8	+24	=1604	68%	10
8/18Saturday, Aug. 181 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Reid-Foley	1477	–9	+0	=1468	31%	6
8/18Saturday, Aug. 181 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1571	+11	+24	=1606	69%	11
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1478	+12	–3	=1487	37%	5
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Lynn	1570	–12	+24	=1582	63%	7
8/16Thursday, Aug. 161:05 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1514	+32	+0	=1546	41%	3
8/16Thursday, Aug. 161:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1572	+11	+24	=1607	59%	1
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:05 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1510	–10	+0	=1500	39%	6
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Cessa	1576	–21	+24	=1579	61%	1
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:05 p.m.	TBRays	Wood	1511	–20	+0	=1491	35%	1
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1574	+3	+24	=1601	65%	4
8/13Monday, Aug. 137 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1465	+50	–3	=1512	36%	8
8/13Monday, Aug. 137 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1577	+15	+24	=1616	64%	5
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Perez	1493	–11	+0	=1482	34%	2
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1575	–3	+24	=1596	66%	7
8/11Saturday, Aug. 111:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Hutchison	1494	–16	+0	=1478	35%	3
8/11Saturday, Aug. 111:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Lynn	1574	–14	+24	=1584	65%	5
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1490	+24	+0	=1514	35%	12
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1578	+17	+24	=1619	65%	7
8/9Thursday, Aug. 97:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Jurado	1492	+5	–3	=1494	35%	3
8/9Thursday, Aug. 97:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1577	+1	+21	=1599	65%	7
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1575	+15	+0	=1590	68%	7
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1436	–2	+24	=1458	32%	3
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1575	–6	+0	=1569	66%	4
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1436	–3	+24	=1457	34%	3
8/6Monday, Aug. 68 p.m.	NYYYankees	Lynn	1572	–20	–3	=1549	66%	7
8/6Monday, Aug. 68 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1439	–21	+21	=1439	34%	0
8/5Sunday, Aug. 58 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1574	+19	+0	=1593	47%	4
8/5Sunday, Aug. 58 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1597	–6	+24	=1615	53%	5
8/4Saturday, Aug. 44:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Adams	1575	–24	+0	=1551	42%	1
8/4Saturday, Aug. 44:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1595	–10	+24	=1609	58%	4
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1578	+20	+0	=1598	50%	1
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1593	–18	+24	=1599	50%	4
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1581	–3	–2	=1576	47%	7
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1589	–20	+26	=1595	53%	15
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 11:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1431	–3	+0	=1428	28%	7
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 11:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1584	–13	+24	=1595	72%	5
7/31Tuesday, July 317:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ramirez	1432	+6	+0	=1438	26%	3
7/31Tuesday, July 317:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1583	+14	+26	=1623	74%	6
7/29Sunday, July 291:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Smith	1415	+1	+0	=1416	25%	3
7/29Sunday, July 291:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1582	+0	+24	=1606	75%	6
7/28Saturday, July 287:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1415	+2	+0	=1417	26%	4
7/28Saturday, July 287:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1582	–3	+24	=1603	74%	5
7/28Saturday, July 281 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1410	+10	+2	=1422	22%	10
7/28Saturday, July 281 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1587	+25	+26	=1638	78%	5
7/26Thursday, July 267:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1411	+3	–3	=1411	26%	2
7/26Thursday, July 267:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1586	–15	+21	=1592	74%	7
7/25Wednesday, July 2512:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Cessa	1588	–22	+0	=1566	54%	2
7/25Wednesday, July 2512:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1517	–5	+24	=1536	46%	3
7/24Tuesday, July 247:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1586	+7	+0	=1593	59%	4
7/24Tuesday, July 247:10 p.m.	TBRays	Chirinos	1519	–15	+24	=1528	41%	0
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1588	+34	–1	=1621	64%	6
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.	TBRays	Wood	1517	–19	+24	=1522	36%	7
7/21Saturday, July 211:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1467	–3	+0	=1464	32%	6
7/21Saturday, July 211:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1587	–16	+24	=1595	68%	7
7/20Friday, July 207:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1464	+27	+6	=1497	37%	7
7/20Friday, July 207:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1589	–25	+29	=1593	63%	5
7/15Sunday, July 151:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1591	+4	+0	=1595	49%	2
7/15Sunday, July 151:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1553	+22	+24	=1599	51%	5
7/14Saturday, July 147:15 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1590	–3	+0	=1587	52%	5
7/14Saturday, July 147:15 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1554	–4	+24	=1574	48%	4
7/13Friday, July 137:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1592	–22	+0	=1570	53%	5
7/13Friday, July 137:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bieber	1553	–30	+24	=1547	47%	6
7/12Thursday, July 127:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1590	+38	–2	=1626	53%	7
7/12Thursday, July 127:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1555	+26	+24	=1605	47%	4
7/11Wednesday, July 117:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1587	–23	+0	=1564	64%	9
7/11Wednesday, July 117:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1424	+18	+24	=1466	36%	0
7/10Tuesday, July 107:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1589	+6	+0	=1595	70%	5
7/10Tuesday, July 107:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1421	+4	+24	=1449	30%	6
7/9Monday, July 97:40 p.m.	NYYYankees	Cessa	1587	–29	+0	=1558	65%	10
7/9Monday, July 97:40 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ramirez	1424	+4	+24	=1452	35%	2
7/9Monday, July 94:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1589	+1	–2	=1588	70%	4
7/9Monday, July 94:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Yacabonis	1422	–2	+21	=1441	30%	5
7/8Sunday, July 81:07 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1588	–27	+0	=1561	57%	2
7/8Sunday, July 81:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1488	+0	+24	=1512	43%	1
7/7Saturday, July 74:07 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1586	+42	+0	=1628	63%	8
7/7Saturday, July 74:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1489	+22	+24	=1535	37%	5
7/6Friday, July 67:07 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1589	–20	+0	=1569	59%	2
7/6Friday, July 67:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1486	–9	+26	=1503	41%	6
7/4Wednesday, July 41:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1517	–3	+0	=1514	37%	2
7/4Wednesday, July 41:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1588	–1	+24	=1611	63%	6
7/3Tuesday, July 37:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1519	+7	+0	=1526	42%	5
7/3Tuesday, July 37:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1586	–26	+24	=1584	58%	8
7/2Monday, July 27:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Sanchez	1517	–10	–3	=1504	37%	5
7/2Monday, July 27:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Loaisiga	1588	–18	+24	=1594	63%	3
7/1Sunday, July 18 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1579	+4	+0	=1583	41%	1
7/1Sunday, July 18 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1585	+37	+24	=1646	59%	11
6/30Saturday, June 307:15 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1575	+44	+0	=1619	53%	11
6/30Saturday, June 307:15 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1589	–14	+24	=1599	47%	0
6/29Friday, June 297:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1578	–2	–2	=1574	46%	1
6/29Friday, June 297:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1586	–6	+25	=1605	54%	8
6/27Wednesday, June 277:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Cessa	1589	–29	+0	=1560	57%	0
6/27Wednesday, June 277:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1501	–17	+24	=1508	43%	3
6/26Tuesday, June 267:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1587	+33	+0	=1620	63%	6
6/26Tuesday, June 267:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1503	+0	+24	=1527	37%	0
6/25Monday, June 257:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Loaisiga	1585	–26	–3	=1556	55%	4
6/25Monday, June 257:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1505	–8	+22	=1519	45%	2
6/24Sunday, June 241:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1587	–15	+0	=1572	58%	6
6/24Sunday, June 241:10 p.m.	TBRays	Andriese	1503	–10	+24	=1517	42%	7
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1590	–14	+0	=1576	59%	0
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m.	TBRays	Font	1500	–8	+24	=1516	41%	4
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1592	–6	–3	=1583	59%	1
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1498	–6	+23	=1515	41%	2
6/21Thursday, June 211:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1531	+30	+0	=1561	38%	3
6/21Thursday, June 211:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1591	+35	+24	=1650	62%	4
6/20Wednesday, June 207:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1532	–15	+0	=1517	40%	5
6/20Wednesday, June 207:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Loaisiga	1589	–27	+24	=1586	60%	7
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1535	–8	–2	=1525	42%	2
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1587	–26	+22	=1583	58%	7
6/18Monday, June 186:45 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1585	–15	–2	=1568	58%	4
6/18Monday, June 186:45 p.m.	WSHNationals	Fedde	1545	–51	+22	=1516	42%	2
6/17Sunday, June 172:05 p.m.	TBRays	Font	1496	–12	+0	=1484	33%	3
6/17Sunday, June 172:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1590	–7	+24	=1607	67%	1
6/16Saturday, June 161:05 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1497	–11	+0	=1486	29%	1
6/16Saturday, June 161:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1589	+32	+24	=1645	71%	4
6/15Friday, June 157:05 p.m.	TBRays	Eovaldi	1499	+1	+0	=1500	39%	0
6/15Friday, June 157:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Loaisiga	1587	–30	+24	=1581	61%	5
6/14Thursday, June 147:05 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1500	+28	–3	=1525	42%	3
6/14Thursday, June 147:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1586	–27	+24	=1583	58%	4
6/13Wednesday, June 137 p.m.	WSHNationals	Fedde	1547	–54	+0	=1493	35%	5
6/13Wednesday, June 137 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1588	–11	+24	=1601	65%	4
6/12Tuesday, June 127:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1548	–14	+0	=1534	40%	0
6/12Tuesday, June 127:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1586	–8	+25	=1603	60%	3
6/10Sunday, June 108 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1589	+35	+0	=1624	68%	0
6/10Sunday, June 108 p.m.	NYMMets	Lugo	1475	–8	+24	=1491	32%	2
6/9Saturday, June 97:15 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1588	–30	+0	=1558	60%	4
6/9Saturday, June 97:15 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1476	–10	+24	=1490	40%	3
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1586	+3	+0	=1589	57%	4
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1478	+39	+26	=1543	43%	1
6/6Wednesday, June 67:07 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1584	–16	+0	=1568	59%	3
6/6Wednesday, June 67:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1488	–9	+24	=1503	41%	0
6/5Tuesday, June 57:07 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1582	–9	–2	=1571	59%	7
6/5Tuesday, June 57:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1490	–4	+24	=1510	41%	2
6/4Monday, June 47:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1584	–28	+0	=1556	62%	2
6/4Monday, June 47:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1455	–10	+24	=1469	38%	4
6/4Monday, June 41:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1583	+34	+0	=1617	70%	7
6/4Monday, June 41:10 p.m.	DETTigers	VerHagen	1456	–14	+24	=1466	30%	4
6/2Saturday, June 24:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1582	+9	+0	=1591	65%	8
6/2Saturday, June 24:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1442	+18	+24	=1484	35%	5
6/1Friday, June 17:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1581	–19	+0	=1562	63%	4
6/1Friday, June 17:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1443	+0	+26	=1469	37%	1
5/30Wednesday, May 306:30 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1601	–13	+0	=1588	43%	3
5/30Wednesday, May 306:30 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1579	+32	+24	=1635	57%	5
5/29Tuesday, May 297:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1602	–5	+0	=1597	50%	5
5/29Tuesday, May 297:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1578	–5	+24	=1597	50%	6
5/28Monday, May 281 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1600	+40	–2	=1638	59%	5
5/28Monday, May 281 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1580	–29	+24	=1575	41%	1
5/27Sunday, May 271:05 p.m.	LAAAngels	Richards	1524	+9	+0	=1533	39%	1
5/27Sunday, May 271:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1578	+8	+24	=1610	61%	3
5/26Saturday, May 267:15 p.m.	LAAAngels	Barria	1520	+5	+0	=1525	40%	11
5/26Saturday, May 267:15 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1583	–15	+24	=1592	60%	4
5/25Friday, May 257:05 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1521	–10	–2	=1509	32%	1
5/25Friday, May 257:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1582	+31	+23	=1636	68%	2
5/23Wednesday, May 237:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1584	+1	+0	=1585	61%	10
5/23Wednesday, May 237:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Fister	1479	+8	+24	=1511	39%	12
5/22Tuesday, May 228:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1586	–25	+0	=1561	54%	4
5/22Tuesday, May 228:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Hamels	1477	+29	+24	=1530	46%	6
5/21Monday, May 218:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1584	+8	–2	=1590	63%	10
5/21Monday, May 218:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Colon	1479	–2	+21	=1498	37%	5
5/20Sunday, May 202:15 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1582	–23	+0	=1559	65%	10
5/20Sunday, May 202:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1434	–8	+24	=1450	35%	1
5/19Saturday, May 197:15 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1580	+31	+0	=1611	70%	8
5/19Saturday, May 197:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1436	+1	+24	=1461	30%	3
5/18Friday, May 188:15 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1583	+2	+2	=1587	65%	2
5/18Friday, May 188:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1433	+20	+26	=1479	35%	5
5/15Tuesday, May 157:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1588	+3	+0	=1591	55%	3
5/15Tuesday, May 157:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1543	–10	+22	=1555	45%	5
5/13Sunday, May 131:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Anderson	1496	–29	+0	=1467	27%	2
5/13Sunday, May 131:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1582	+30	+24	=1636	73%	6
5/12Saturday, May 121:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Triggs	1497	+1	+0	=1498	38%	6
5/12Saturday, May 121:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1581	–19	+24	=1586	62%	7
5/11Friday, May 117:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Graveman	1493	–17	–2	=1474	34%	10
5/11Friday, May 117:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1585	–20	+24	=1589	66%	5
5/10Thursday, May 107:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1569	–6	+0	=1563	43%	5
5/10Thursday, May 107:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1587	+4	+24	=1615	57%	4
5/9Wednesday, May 97 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1571	+3	+0	=1574	44%	6
5/9Wednesday, May 97 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1585	+9	+24	=1618	56%	9
5/8Tuesday, May 87:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Pomeranz	1572	–11	–1	=1560	39%	2
5/8Tuesday, May 87:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1584	+24	+26	=1634	61%	3
5/6Sunday, May 61:05 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1560	–3	+0	=1557	48%	4
5/6Sunday, May 61:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1582	–33	+24	=1573	52%	7
5/5Saturday, May 51:05 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1562	+2	+0	=1564	47%	2
5/5Saturday, May 51:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1580	–22	+24	=1582	53%	5
5/4Friday, May 47:05 p.m.	CLEIndians	Tomlin	1563	–44	–2	=1517	38%	6
5/4Friday, May 47:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1579	+1	+21	=1601	62%	7
5/3Thursday, May 32:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1578	+12	+0	=1590	50%	6
5/3Thursday, May 32:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1581	–16	+24	=1589	50%	5
5/2Wednesday, May 28 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1575	+22	+0	=1597	50%	4
5/2Wednesday, May 28 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1583	–13	+24	=1594	50%	0
5/1Tuesday, May 18:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1572	–5	+0	=1567	39%	4
5/1Tuesday, May 18:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1587	+35	+24	=1646	61%	0
4/30Monday, April 308:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1573	–21	–3	=1549	43%	1
4/30Monday, April 308:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1586	–10	+24	=1600	57%	2
4/29Sunday, April 298 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1572	+0	+0	=1572	53%	2
4/29Sunday, April 298 p.m.	LAAAngels	Skaggs	1515	+9	+24	=1548	47%	1
4/28Saturday, April 289:07 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1567	+13	+0	=1580	52%	11
4/28Saturday, April 289:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Richards	1519	+23	+24	=1566	48%	1
4/27Friday, April 2710:07 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1566	+23	–4	=1585	59%	4
4/27Friday, April 2710:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1520	–20	+23	=1523	41%	3
4/26Thursday, April 261:05 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1503	–2	+0	=1501	38%	3
4/26Thursday, April 261:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1565	–3	+24	=1586	62%	4
4/25Wednesday, April 256:35 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1505	–3	+0	=1502	40%	4
4/25Wednesday, April 256:35 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1564	–18	+24	=1570	60%	7
4/24Tuesday, April 246:35 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1507	+17	+0	=1524	42%	3
4/24Tuesday, April 246:35 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1561	–3	+24	=1582	58%	8
4/23Monday, April 237 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1511	–1	–3	=1507	38%	1
4/23Monday, April 237 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1558	+10	+24	=1592	62%	14
4/22Sunday, April 221:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Garcia	1522	–12	+0	=1510	37%	1
4/22Sunday, April 221:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1556	+23	+24	=1603	63%	5
4/21Saturday, April 211:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1525	+6	+0	=1531	44%	1
4/21Saturday, April 211:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1553	–4	+24	=1573	56%	9
4/20Friday, April 207:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1522	–1	+0	=1521	43%	8
4/20Friday, April 207:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1555	–10	+24	=1569	57%	5
4/19Thursday, April 196:35 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1524	+8	–2	=1530	43%	3
4/19Thursday, April 196:35 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1554	–2	+26	=1578	57%	4
4/17Tuesday, April 176:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Garcia	1431	+14	+0	=1445	29%	9
4/17Tuesday, April 176:35 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1560	+15	+24	=1599	71%	1
4/16Monday, April 166:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1433	+1	–3	=1431	27%	1
4/16Monday, April 166:35 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1558	+16	+27	=1601	73%	12
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1557	–5	–3	=1549	62%	8
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1447	–5	+23	=1465	38%	6
4/12Thursday, April 127:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1559	–6	+0	=1553	48%	3
4/12Thursday, April 127:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1561	–16	+24	=1569	52%	6
4/11Wednesday, April 117:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1557	+20	+0	=1577	46%	10
4/11Wednesday, April 117:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1563	+15	+24	=1602	54%	7
4/10Tuesday, April 107 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1561	+18	+0	=1579	45%	1
4/10Tuesday, April 107 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1559	+31	+26	=1616	55%	14
4/8Sunday, April 81:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Wright Jr.	1473	–20	+0	=1453	32%	8
4/8Sunday, April 81:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1563	–4	+24	=1583	68%	7
4/7Saturday, April 71:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Tillman	1474	–41	+0	=1433	31%	3
4/7Saturday, April 71:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1562	–10	+24	=1576	69%	8
4/6Friday, April 67:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1471	+6	+0	=1477	35%	7
4/6Friday, April 67:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1566	–3	+24	=1587	65%	3
4/5Thursday, April 56:35 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1467	+1	–3	=1465	30%	5
4/5Thursday, April 56:35 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1569	+18	+24	=1611	70%	2
4/4Wednesday, April 41:05 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1491	+14	+0	=1505	36%	2
4/4Wednesday, April 41:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1567	+14	+24	=1605	64%	7
4/3Tuesday, April 34 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1493	+8	–1	=1500	38%	4
4/3Tuesday, April 34 p.m.	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1565	–4	+24	=1585	62%	11
4/1Sunday, April 11:07 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1567	–9	+0	=1558	52%	4
4/1Sunday, April 11:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1505	+11	+24	=1540	48%	7
3/31Saturday, March 314:07 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1569	–2	+0	=1567	56%	3
3/31Saturday, March 314:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1503	–2	+24	=1525	44%	5
3/30Friday, March 307:07 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1567	+17	+0	=1584	57%	4
3/30Friday, March 307:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1505	+6	+24	=1535	43%	2
3/29Thursday, March 293:37 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1565	+12	–2	=1575	54%	6
3/29Thursday, March 293:37 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1507	+18	+24	=1549	46%	1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL East standings

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL East standings

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments