shoe gif

UPDATED May 15, 2022, at 5:19 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

shoe gif
The Las Vegas Aces have a 24%
 chance of winning the WNBA Finals
97%

chance of making the playoffs
43%

chance of making the Finals
24%

chance of winning the Finals
Probabilities by final position
make playoffs
miss playoffs
Team rating
Aces Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings
Historical team rating
Aces Elo rating after every game since {year}

Upcoming games


Tuesday, May 17

10 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.
Mercury31%
Aces-569%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
881551

Thursday, May 19

10 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Lynx24%
Aces-7.576%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
723151

Saturday, May 21

3 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Mercury31%
Aces-569%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
881752

Completed games


Friday, May 13

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Aces-2.559%96
Dream41%73

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
554349

Tuesday, May 10

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Aces-154%76
Mystics46%89

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
773556

Sunday, May 8

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Storm32%74
Aces-4.568%85

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
861952
🏀 More WNBA coverage 🏀