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UPDATED May 22, 2022, at 4:59 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

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The Connecticut Sun have a 25%
 chance of winning the WNBA Finals
98%

chance of making the playoffs
45%

chance of making the Finals
25%

chance of winning the Finals
Probabilities by final position
make playoffs
miss playoffs
Team rating
Sun Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings
Historical team rating
Sun Elo rating after every game since {year}

Upcoming games


Tuesday, May 24

7 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.
Wings24%
Sun-776%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
811849

Thursday, May 26

7 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Wings24%
Sun-776%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
811648

Saturday, May 28

7 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Mystics26%
Sun-6.574%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
841348

Completed games


Sunday, May 22

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Sun-5.572%92
Fever28%70

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
331524

Friday, May 20

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Fever14%85
Sun-1186%94

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
33921

Tuesday, May 17

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Sun-466%92
Liberty34%65

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
372832
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