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UPDATED Sep. 18, 2022, at 6:18 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

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The Connecticut Sun lost in the 2022 WNBA Finals
100%

chance of making the playoffs
100%

chance of making the finals
0%

chance of winning the finals
Probabilities by final position
make playoffs
miss playoffs
Team rating
Sun Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings
Historical team rating
Sun Elo rating after every game since {year}

Completed games


Sunday, Sept. 18Finals

Game 4FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Aces3-134%78
Sun-466%71

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
100100100

Thursday, Sept. 15Finals

Game 3FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Aces2-142%76
Sun-258%105

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
1009597

Tuesday, Sept. 13Finals

Game 2FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Sun34%71
Aces2-0-466%85

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
100100100
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