UPDATED Sep. 18, 2022, at 6:18 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

The

Connecticut Sun lost in the 2022 WNBA Finals

100%

chance of making the playoffs

100%

chance of making the finals

0%

chance of winning the finals

Probabilities by final position

make playoffs

miss playoffs

Team rating

Sun Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings

Historical team rating

Sun Elo rating after every game since {year}

Game 4 • FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Aces3-1		34%	✓78
Sun	-4	66%	71

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	100			100			100

Game 3 • FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Aces2-1		42%	76
Sun	-2	58%	✓105

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	100			95			97

Game 2 • FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Sun		34%	71
Aces2-0	-4	66%	✓85

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	100			100			100

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