UPDATED May 15, 2022, at 5:19 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

The

New York Liberty have a <1%
chance of winning the WNBA Finals

21%

chance of making the playoffs

2%

chance of making the Finals

<1%

chance of winning the Finals

Probabilities by final position

make playoffs

miss playoffs

Team rating

Liberty Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings

Historical team rating

Liberty Elo rating after every game since {year}

7 p.m. Eastern	elo spread	win prob.
Sun	-4	66%
Liberty		34%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	37			28			32

8 p.m.	elo spread	win prob.
Liberty		27%
Lynx	-6	73%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	13			62			37

10 p.m.	elo spread	win prob.
Liberty		25%
Storm	-7	75%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	17			51			34

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Wings		48%	✓81
Liberty	-0.5	52%	71

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	14			76			45

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Fever		35%	✓92
Liberty	-4	65%	86

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	5			70			37

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Liberty		24%	50
Sky	-7	76%	✓83

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	45			48			46

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