UPDATED Sep. 18, 2022, at 6:18 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

The

New York Liberty lost in the first round of the 2022 WNBA Playoffs

100%

chance of making the playoffs

0%

chance of making the finals

0%

chance of winning the finals

Probabilities by final position

make playoffs

miss playoffs

Team rating

Liberty Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings

Historical team rating

Liberty Elo rating after every game since {year}

Game 3 • FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Sky2-1	-1.5	56%	✓90
Liberty		44%	72

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	81			100			90

Game 2 • FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Liberty		24%	62
Sky1-1	-7.5	76%	✓100

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	81			100			90

Game 1 • FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Liberty1-0		18%	✓98
Sky	-9.5	82%	91

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	80			99			89

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