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UPDATED May 15, 2022, at 5:19 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

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The New York Liberty have a <1%
 chance of winning the WNBA Finals
21%

chance of making the playoffs
2%

chance of making the Finals
<1%

chance of winning the Finals
Probabilities by final position
make playoffs
miss playoffs
Team rating
Liberty Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings
Historical team rating
Liberty Elo rating after every game since {year}

Upcoming games


Tuesday, May 17

7 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.
Sun-466%
Liberty34%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
372832

Tuesday, May 24

8 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Liberty27%
Lynx-673%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
136237

Friday, May 27

10 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Liberty25%
Storm-775%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
175134

Completed games


Sunday, May 15

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Wings48%81
Liberty-0.552%71

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
147645

Friday, May 13

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Fever35%92
Liberty-465%86

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
57037

Wednesday, May 11

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Liberty24%50
Sky-776%83

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
454846
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