shoe gif

UPDATED May 21, 2022, at 10:07 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

shoe gif
The Los Angeles Sparks have a 3%
 chance of winning the WNBA Finals
56%

chance of making the playoffs
7%

chance of making the Finals
3%

chance of winning the Finals
Probabilities by final position
make playoffs
miss playoffs
Team rating
Sparks Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings
Historical team rating
Sparks Elo rating after every game since {year}

Upcoming games


Monday, May 23

10 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.
Sparks20%
Aces-8.580%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
762249

Wednesday, May 25

10:30 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Mercury43%
Sparks-1.557%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
417960

Friday, May 27

7 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Sparks-154%
Fever46%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
76033

Completed games


Friday, May 20

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Sparks34%80
Storm-466%83

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
466857

Tuesday, May 17

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Lynx38%87
Sparks-362%84

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
377857

Saturday, May 14

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Sparks29%60
Sun-5.571%77

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
693250
🏀 More WNBA coverage 🏀