UPDATED May 21, 2022, at 10:07 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

The

Los Angeles Sparks have a 3%
chance of winning the WNBA Finals

56%

chance of making the playoffs

7%

chance of making the Finals

3%

chance of winning the Finals

Probabilities by final position

make playoffs

miss playoffs

Team rating

Sparks Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings

Historical team rating

Sparks Elo rating after every game since {year}

10 p.m. Eastern	elo spread	win prob.
Sparks		20%
Aces	-8.5	80%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	76			22			49

10:30 p.m.	elo spread	win prob.
Mercury		43%
Sparks	-1.5	57%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	41			79			60

7 p.m.	elo spread	win prob.
Sparks	-1	54%
Fever		46%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	7			60			33

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Sparks		34%	80
Storm	-4	66%	✓83

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	46			68			57

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Lynx		38%	✓87
Sparks	-3	62%	84

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	37			78			57

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Sparks		29%	60
Sun	-5.5	71%	✓77

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	69			32			50

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