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UPDATED May 22, 2022, at 4:06 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

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The Dallas Wings have a 5%
 chance of winning the WNBA Finals
79%

chance of making the playoffs
12%

chance of making the Finals
5%

chance of winning the Finals
Probabilities by final position
make playoffs
miss playoffs
Team rating
Wings Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings
Historical team rating
Wings Elo rating after every game since {year}

Upcoming games


Tuesday, May 24

7 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.
Wings24%
Sun-776%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
811648

Thursday, May 26

7 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Wings24%
Sun-776%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
811749

Tuesday, May 31

10:30 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Wings43%
Sparks-257%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
397657

Completed games


Saturday, May 21

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Lynx39%78
Wings-361%94

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
397858

Thursday, May 19

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Wings29%94
Mercury-5.571%84

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
495552

Tuesday, May 17

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Mystics40%84
Wings-2.560%68

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
436654
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