UPDATED May 22, 2022, at 4:06 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

The

Dallas Wings have a 5%
chance of winning the WNBA Finals

79%

chance of making the playoffs

12%

chance of making the Finals

5%

chance of winning the Finals

Probabilities by final position

make playoffs

miss playoffs

Team rating

Wings Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings

Historical team rating

Wings Elo rating after every game since {year}

7 p.m. Eastern	elo spread	win prob.
Wings		24%
Sun	-7	76%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	81			16			48

7 p.m.	elo spread	win prob.
Wings		24%
Sun	-7	76%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	81			17			49

10:30 p.m.	elo spread	win prob.
Wings		43%
Sparks	-2	57%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	39			76			57

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Lynx		39%	78
Wings	-3	61%	✓94

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	39			78			58

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Wings		29%	✓94
Mercury	-5.5	71%	84

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	49			55			52

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Mystics		40%	✓84
Wings	-2.5	60%	68

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	43			66			54

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