2021-22 NBA Predictions
Updated after every game and depth chart revision.
More NBA:Our preseason player projectionsRAPTOR player ratingsBuild your own team
| Chance of making ... | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current rating | Full-strength rating | Team | Conference | PlayoffsPlayoffs | Conf. SemisMake Conf. Semis | Conf. FinalsMake Conf. Finals | FinalsMake Finals | Chance of Winning FinalsWin Finals | ||
| 1776 | 1789 |  | Celtics4-0, 4-3 | East | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 67% | 42% | |
| 1742 | 1753 |  | Mavericks4-2, 4-3 | West | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 73% | 35% | |
| 1713 | 1713 |  | Heat4-1, 4-2 | East | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 33% | 16% | |
| 1646 | 1624 |  | Warriors4-1, 4-2 | West | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 27% | 7% | |
| 1682 | 1677 |  | Suns4-2, 3-4 | West | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | |
| 1680 | 1704 |  | Bucks4-1, 3-4 | East | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | |
| 1673 | 1687 |  | 76ers4-2, 2-4 | East | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | |
| 1629 | 1690 |  | Grizzlies4-2, 2-4 | West | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | |
| 1676 | 1672 |  | Nets0-4 | East | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1643 | 1635 |  | Pelicans2-4 | West | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1619 | 1619 |  | Jazz2-4 | West | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1595 | 1665 |  | Nuggets1-4 | West | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1592 | 1592 |  | Hawks1-4 | East | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1590 | 1590 |  | Raptors2-4 | East | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1581 | 1581 |  | Timberwolves2-4 | West | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1462 | 1521 |  | Bulls1-4 | East | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1684 | 1684 |  | Clippers | West | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1533 | 1533 |  | Hornets | East | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1526 | 1527 |  | Knicks | East | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1505 | 1502 |  | Cavaliers | East | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1467 | 1467 |  | Spurs | West | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1464 | 1480 |  | Kings | West | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1431 | 1508 |  | Pacers | East | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1408 | 1577 |  | Lakers | West | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1331 | 1352 |  | Pistons | East | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1300 | 1447 |  | Wizards | East | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1297 | 1395 |  | Magic | East | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1279 | 1338 |  | Rockets | West | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1190 | 1550 |  | Trail Blazers | West | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1103 | 1352 |  | Thunder | West | — | — | — | — | — | |
Forecast from
Tuesday, May 17Conference Finals
| Game 1 • 8:30 p.m. Eastern | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | 46% | ||||
| Heat | -1 | 54% | |||
Quality 100 How good are these two teams | Importance 100 How much will this game affect playoff odds | Overall 100 An overall rating for this game |
Wednesday, May 18Conference Finals
| Game 1 • 9 p.m. Eastern | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | 49% | ||||
| Warriors | PK | 51% | |||
Quality 98 | Importance 100 | Overall 99 |
Thursday, May 19Conference Finals
| Game 2 • 8:30 p.m. Eastern | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | 48% | ||||
| Heat | -0.5 | 52% | |||
Quality 100 | Importance 100 | Overall 100 |
Friday, May 20Conference Finals
| Game 2 • 9 p.m. Eastern | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | 49% | ||||
| Warriors | PK | 51% | |||
Quality 98 | Importance 100 | Overall 99 |
Saturday, May 21Conference Finals
| Game 3 • 8:30 p.m. Eastern | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | 27% | ||||
| Celtics | -6 | 73% | |||
Quality 100 | Importance 100 | Overall 100 |
Sunday, May 22Conference Finals
| Game 3 • 9 p.m. Eastern | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | 25% | ||||
| Mavericks | -7 | 75% | |||
Quality 98 | Importance 100 | Overall 99 |
Monday, May 23Conference Finals
| Game 4 • 8:30 p.m. Eastern | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | 27% | ||||
| Celtics | -6 | 73% | |||
Quality 100 | Importance 100 | Overall 100 |
Completed games
Sunday, May 15Conference Semifinals
| Game 7 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | 27% | 81 | |||
| Celtics4-3 | -6.5 | 73% | 109 | ||
Quality 99 How good are these two teams | Importance 100 How much will this game affect playoff odds | Overall 100 An overall rating for this game |
| Game 7 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks4-3 | 31% | 123 | |||
| Suns | -5 | 69% | 90 | ||
Quality 98 | Importance 100 | Overall 99 |
Friday, May 13Conference Semifinals
| Game 6 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics3-3 | 42% | 108 | |||
| Bucks | -2 | 58% | 95 | ||
Quality 99 | Importance 100 | Overall 100 |
| Game 6 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | 41% | 96 | |||
| Warriors4-2 | -2.5 | 59% | 110 | ||
Quality 92 | Importance 100 | Overall 96 |
Thursday, May 12Conference Semifinals
| Game 6 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat4-2 | 30% | 99 | |||
| 76ers | -5 | 70% | 90 | ||
Quality 96 | Importance 100 | Overall 98 |
| Game 6 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns3-3 | 48% | 86 | |||
| Mavericks | -0.5 | 52% | 113 | ||
Quality 98 | Importance 100 | Overall 99 |
Wednesday, May 11Conference Semifinals
| Game 5 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks3-2 | 30% | 110 | |||
| Celtics | -5.5 | 70% | 107 | ||
Quality 99 | Importance 100 | Overall 100 |
| Game 5 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors3-2 | 43% | 95 | |||
| Grizzlies | -2 | 57% | 134 | ||
Quality 93 | Importance 95 | Overall 94 |
Tuesday, May 10Conference Semifinals
| Game 5 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers | 48% | 85 | |||
| Heat3-2 | -0.5 | 52% | 120 | ||
Quality 97 | Importance 100 | Overall 99 |
| Game 5 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | 29% | 80 | |||
| Suns3-2 | -5.5 | 71% | 110 | ||
Quality 98 | Importance 100 | Overall 99 |
Monday, May 9Conference Semifinals
| Game 4 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics2-2 | 41% | 116 | |||
| Bucks | -2.5 | 59% | 108 | ||
Quality 99 | Importance 100 | Overall 100 |
| Game 4 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | 32% | 98 | |||
| Warriors3-1 | -5 | 68% | 101 | ||
Quality 93 | Importance 100 | Overall 97 |
Sunday, May 8Conference Semifinals
| Game 4 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns2-2 | 49% | 101 | |||
| Mavericks | PK | 51% | 111 | ||
Quality 98 | Importance 100 | Overall 99 |
| Game 4 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat2-2 | 36% | 108 | |||
| 76ers | -3.5 | 64% | 116 | ||
Quality 96 | Importance 100 | Overall 98 |
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