Rangers | 2021 MLB Predictions

The Rangers have a <1% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1441, down 1 point from last week.

AL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Astros Astros64-41	—	98%	92%
Athletics Athletics59-47	5.5	44%	7%
Mariners Mariners56-49	8.0	9%	<1%
Angels Angels52-52	11.5	2%	<1%
Rangers Rangers37-67	26.5	<1%	<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
8/1Sunday, Aug. 12:35 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1482	+10	+0	=1492	56%
8/1Sunday, Aug. 12:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1441	–14	+24	=1451	44%
8/2Monday, Aug. 28:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1499	+3	–3	=1499	53%
8/2Monday, Aug. 28:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1441	+14	+24	=1479	47%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 38:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1499	–49	+0	=1450	49%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 38:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1441	–7	+24	=1458	51%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 48:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1499	+3	+0	=1502	57%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 48:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1441	–12	+24	=1453	43%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 52:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1499	+2	+0	=1501	57%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 52:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1441	–14	+24	=1451	43%
8/6Friday, Aug. 69:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1441	–14	–4	=1423	31%
8/6Friday, Aug. 69:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1524	+14	+26	=1564	69%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 74:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1441	+14	+0	=1455	37%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 74:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1524	–4	+24	=1544	63%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 84:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1441	–7	+0	=1434	35%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 84:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1524	–3	+24	=1545	65%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1441	–12	–1	=1428	36%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1482	+23	+22	=1527	64%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1441	–14	+0	=1427	37%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Anderson	1482	+14	+24	=1520	63%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+0	=1437	39%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1482	+8	+24	=1514	61%
8/13Friday, Aug. 138:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1524	–3	–3	=1518	59%
8/13Friday, Aug. 138:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+20	=1457	41%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1524	–3	+0	=1521	59%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+24	=1461	41%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 152:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1524	–3	+0	=1521	59%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 152:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+24	=1461	41%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 178:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1482	+8	–2	=1488	54%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 178:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+26	=1463	46%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 188:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1482	+8	+0	=1490	54%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 188:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+24	=1461	46%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 192:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1482	+8	+0	=1490	54%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 192:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+24	=1461	46%
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	–4	=1433	33%
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1527	+3	+24	=1554	67%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 217:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+0	=1437	34%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 217:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1527	+3	+24	=1554	66%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+0	=1437	34%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1527	+3	+24	=1554	66%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	–1	=1436	38%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1500	–5	+26	=1521	62%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+0	=1437	38%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1500	–5	+24	=1519	62%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+0	=1437	38%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1500	–5	+24	=1519	62%
8/27Friday, Aug. 278:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1570	+0	+0	=1570	66%
8/27Friday, Aug. 278:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+21	=1458	34%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1570	+0	+0	=1570	65%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+24	=1461	35%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 292:35 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1570	+0	+0	=1570	65%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 292:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+24	=1461	35%
8/30Monday, Aug. 308:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1459	+0	–3	=1456	49%
8/30Monday, Aug. 308:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+24	=1461	51%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 318:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1459	+0	+0	=1459	50%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 318:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+24	=1461	50%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 12:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1459	+0	+0	=1459	50%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 12:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+24	=1461	50%
9/3Friday, Sept. 39:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	–1	=1436	37%
9/3Friday, Sept. 39:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1499	+3	+26	=1528	63%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 49:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+0	=1437	37%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 49:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1499	+3	+24	=1526	63%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 54:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+0	=1437	37%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 54:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1499	+3	+24	=1526	63%
9/6Monday, Sept. 69:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+0	=1437	37%
9/6Monday, Sept. 69:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1499	+3	+24	=1526	63%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 79:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	–2	=1435	44%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 79:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1444	+8	+26	=1478	56%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 83:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+0	=1437	44%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 83:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1444	+8	+24	=1476	56%
9/10Friday, Sept. 109:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	–1	=1436	35%
9/10Friday, Sept. 109:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1524	–3	+24	=1545	65%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 114:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+0	=1437	35%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 114:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1524	–3	+24	=1545	65%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 124:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+0	=1437	35%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 124:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1524	–3	+24	=1545	65%
9/13Monday, Sept. 138:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1570	+0	–2	=1568	65%
9/13Monday, Sept. 138:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+20	=1457	35%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 148:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1570	+0	+0	=1570	65%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 148:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+24	=1461	35%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 158:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1570	+0	+0	=1570	65%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 158:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+24	=1461	35%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 168:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1570	+0	+0	=1570	65%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 168:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+24	=1461	35%
9/17Friday, Sept. 178:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1536	+1	–3	=1534	60%
9/17Friday, Sept. 178:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+24	=1461	40%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1536	+1	+0	=1537	61%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+24	=1461	39%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 192:35 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1536	+1	+0	=1537	61%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 192:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+24	=1461	39%
9/20Monday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	–3	=1434	31%
9/20Monday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1547	–3	+24	=1568	69%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+0	=1437	32%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1547	–3	+24	=1568	68%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+0	=1437	32%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1547	–3	+24	=1568	68%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	–2	=1435	46%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1435	+7	+23	=1465	54%
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+0	=1437	46%
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1435	+7	+24	=1466	54%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+0	=1437	46%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1435	+7	+24	=1466	54%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 261:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+0	=1437	46%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 261:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1435	+7	+24	=1466	54%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 288:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1499	+3	–1	=1501	56%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 288:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+23	=1460	44%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 298:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1499	+3	+0	=1502	56%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 298:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+24	=1461	44%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 302:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1499	+3	+0	=1502	56%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 302:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+24	=1461	44%
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1500	–5	–2	=1493	55%
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+24	=1461	45%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1500	–5	+0	=1495	55%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+24	=1461	45%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1500	–5	+0	=1495	55%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1441	–4	+24	=1461	45%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
7/31Saturday, July 317:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Anderson	1483	+14	+0	=1497	57%	4
7/31Saturday, July 317:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1440	–16	+24	=1448	43%	5
7/30Friday, July 308:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1481	+26	–2	=1505	56%	9
7/30Friday, July 308:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1441	–7	+26	=1460	44%	5
7/28Wednesday, July 288:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1444	+8	+0	=1452	50%	3
7/28Wednesday, July 288:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1442	–12	+24	=1454	50%	2
7/27Tuesday, July 278:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Widener	1445	+4	–1	=1448	46%	4
7/27Tuesday, July 278:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1442	+13	+24	=1479	54%	5
7/25Sunday, July 252:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1442	–23	+0	=1419	27%	1
7/25Sunday, July 252:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Greinke	1568	+1	+24	=1593	73%	3
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1443	+27	+0	=1470	34%	1
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1567	–9	+24	=1582	66%	4
7/23Friday, July 238:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1444	–2	–3	=1439	31%	3
7/23Friday, July 238:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Odorizzi	1566	–10	+26	=1582	69%	7
7/22Thursday, July 221:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1445	–9	+0	=1436	45%	5
7/22Thursday, July 221:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Alexander	1467	–18	+24	=1473	55%	7
7/21Wednesday, July 217:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1446	–13	+0	=1433	45%	2
7/21Wednesday, July 217:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Manning	1466	–19	+24	=1471	55%	4
7/20Tuesday, July 207:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1448	+13	+0	=1461	46%	1
7/20Tuesday, July 207:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Skubal	1464	+1	+24	=1489	54%	4
7/19Monday, July 197:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1452	+32	–2	=1482	48%	0
7/19Monday, July 197:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Mize	1460	+10	+24	=1494	52%	14
7/18Sunday, July 183:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1454	–1	+0	=1453	38%	0
7/18Sunday, July 183:40 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Matz	1533	–17	+24	=1540	62%	10
7/18Sunday, July 181:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1455	–6	+2	=1451	33%	0
7/18Sunday, July 181:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Ryu	1532	+16	+26	=1574	67%	5
7/16Friday, July 167:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1457	–12	+4	=1449	32%	2
7/16Friday, July 167:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Ray	1530	+18	+28	=1576	68%	10
7/11Sunday, July 112:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1519	+17	+0	=1536	59%	4
7/11Sunday, July 112:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1458	–7	+24	=1475	41%	1
7/10Saturday, July 104:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1518	+4	+0	=1522	56%	8
7/10Saturday, July 104:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1460	–4	+24	=1480	44%	4
7/9Friday, July 98:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1519	–5	–2	=1512	56%	2
7/9Friday, July 98:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1459	–15	+26	=1470	44%	3
7/7Wednesday, July 72:05 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Mize	1459	+14	+0	=1473	44%	5
7/7Wednesday, July 72:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1460	+29	+24	=1513	56%	3
7/6Tuesday, July 68:05 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Urena	1460	–24	+0	=1436	43%	5
7/6Tuesday, July 68:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1458	+4	+24	=1486	57%	10
7/5Monday, July 58:05 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Peralta	1458	–9	–3	=1446	46%	7
7/5Monday, July 58:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1460	–6	+20	=1474	54%	3
7/4Sunday, July 44:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1462	–3	+0	=1459	45%	1
7/4Sunday, July 44:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Flexen	1480	–12	+24	=1492	55%	4
7/3Saturday, July 310:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1459	–15	+0	=1444	39%	7
7/3Saturday, July 310:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1483	+19	+24	=1526	61%	3
7/2Friday, July 210:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1460	+31	–3	=1488	47%	4
7/2Friday, July 210:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1482	+10	+20	=1512	53%	5
7/1Thursday, July 13:37 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1457	+3	+0	=1460	36%	8
7/1Thursday, July 13:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1524	+13	+24	=1561	64%	3
6/30Wednesday, June 309:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1458	–7	+0	=1451	34%	1
6/30Wednesday, June 309:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1523	+21	+24	=1568	66%	3
6/29Tuesday, June 299:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1457	–5	–2	=1450	36%	5
6/29Tuesday, June 299:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1525	–2	+25	=1548	64%	4
6/27Sunday, June 272:35 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Singer	1460	+8	+0	=1468	51%	1
6/27Sunday, June 272:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1455	–18	+24	=1461	49%	4
6/26Saturday, June 264:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Zimmer	1463	–5	+0	=1458	43%	0
6/26Saturday, June 264:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1453	+28	+24	=1505	57%	8
6/25Friday, June 258:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Minor	1465	+22	–3	=1484	50%	4
6/25Friday, June 258:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1450	+6	+24	=1480	50%	9
6/24Thursday, June 242:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1524	+22	+0	=1546	60%	5
6/24Thursday, June 242:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1452	–4	+24	=1472	40%	1
6/23Wednesday, June 238:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1525	+0	+0	=1525	58%	3
6/23Wednesday, June 238:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1450	–5	+24	=1469	42%	5
6/22Tuesday, June 228:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1523	–9	+0	=1514	58%	13
6/22Tuesday, June 228:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1452	–22	+24	=1454	42%	6
6/21Monday, June 218:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1525	–4	–3	=1518	52%	3
6/21Monday, June 218:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1450	+29	+24	=1503	48%	8
6/20Sunday, June 202:35 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Maeda	1502	+10	+0	=1512	54%	4
6/20Sunday, June 202:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1451	+9	+24	=1484	46%	2
6/19Saturday, June 194:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Dobnak	1501	–18	+0	=1483	52%	3
6/19Saturday, June 194:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1452	–8	+24	=1468	48%	2
6/18Friday, June 188:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Berrios	1500	+22	–2	=1520	57%	7
6/18Friday, June 188:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1453	–5	+24	=1472	43%	5
6/16Wednesday, June 168:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1454	–12	+0	=1442	30%	4
6/16Wednesday, June 168:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Greinke	1564	+5	+24	=1593	70%	8
6/15Tuesday, June 158:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1455	+27	–1	=1481	35%	3
6/15Tuesday, June 158:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1563	+0	+23	=1586	65%	6
6/13Sunday, June 134:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1456	+12	+0	=1468	29%	3
6/13Sunday, June 134:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1591	+11	+24	=1626	71%	5
6/12Saturday, June 1210:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1449	–12	+0	=1437	23%	12
6/12Saturday, June 1210:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Bauer	1598	+22	+24	=1644	77%	1
6/11Friday, June 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1451	+2	–1	=1452	27%	1
6/11Friday, June 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1597	+6	+20	=1623	73%	12
6/9Wednesday, June 92:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Littell	1517	–29	+0	=1488	49%	3
6/9Wednesday, June 92:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1450	+24	+24	=1498	51%	4
6/8Tuesday, June 88:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1515	–8	–2	=1505	56%	9
6/8Tuesday, June 88:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1452	–15	+26	=1463	44%	4
6/6Sunday, June 62:35 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Wacha	1556	–21	+0	=1535	57%	7
6/6Sunday, June 62:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1453	+8	+24	=1485	43%	1
6/5Saturday, June 54:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Hill	1555	+16	+0	=1571	65%	3
6/5Saturday, June 54:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1454	–16	+24	=1462	35%	0
6/4Friday, June 48:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Fleming	1556	+1	–3	=1554	58%	4
6/4Friday, June 48:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1453	+24	+21	=1498	42%	5
6/3Thursday, June 33:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1455	+9	+0	=1464	50%	6
6/3Thursday, June 33:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1445	–5	+24	=1464	50%	11
6/2Wednesday, June 28:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1457	–13	+0	=1444	47%	3
6/2Wednesday, June 28:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1443	–5	+24	=1462	53%	6
6/1Tuesday, June 18:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1458	+7	–1	=1464	47%	2
6/1Tuesday, June 18:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1442	+19	+23	=1484	53%	3
5/30Sunday, May 304:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Yang	1459	–15	+0	=1444	42%	2
5/30Sunday, May 304:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kikuchi	1469	+7	+24	=1500	58%	4
5/29Saturday, May 2910:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1460	+8	+0	=1468	45%	2
5/29Saturday, May 2910:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Dunn	1468	+10	+24	=1502	55%	3
5/28Friday, May 2810:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1461	–15	+0	=1446	43%	2
5/28Friday, May 2810:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Sheffield	1467	+4	+24	=1495	57%	3
5/27Thursday, May 2710:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1463	–16	–3	=1444	48%	0
5/27Thursday, May 2710:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Flexen	1465	–29	+21	=1457	52%	5
5/26Wednesday, May 264:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1464	+14	+0	=1478	44%	8
5/26Wednesday, May 264:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1495	+4	+24	=1523	56%	9
5/25Tuesday, May 259:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Yang	1466	–6	–1	=1459	40%	5
5/25Tuesday, May 259:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Heaney	1493	+7	+26	=1526	60%	11
5/23Sunday, May 232:35 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1556	+4	+0	=1560	60%	2
5/23Sunday, May 232:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1464	+0	+24	=1488	40%	3
5/22Saturday, May 224:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1558	+7	+0	=1565	64%	4
5/22Saturday, May 224:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1462	–17	+24	=1469	36%	8
5/21Friday, May 218:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Ivey	1559	–27	–4	=1528	54%	5
5/21Friday, May 218:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1460	+18	+24	=1502	46%	7
5/20Thursday, May 202:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	German	1561	–17	+0	=1544	57%	2
5/20Thursday, May 202:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1461	+9	+24	=1494	43%	0
5/19Wednesday, May 198:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Kluber	1560	–5	+0	=1555	61%	2
5/19Wednesday, May 198:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Yang	1462	–7	+24	=1479	39%	0
5/18Tuesday, May 188 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Taillon	1559	–9	+0	=1550	58%	7
5/18Tuesday, May 188 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1464	+5	+24	=1493	42%	4
5/17Monday, May 178:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1561	+56	–3	=1614	70%	2
5/17Monday, May 178:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1461	–19	+22	=1464	30%	5
5/16Sunday, May 162:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1462	+18	+0	=1480	35%	2
5/16Sunday, May 162:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1555	+6	+24	=1585	65%	6
5/15Saturday, May 157:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1463	+16	+0	=1479	37%	5
5/15Saturday, May 157:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Garcia	1554	–7	+24	=1571	63%	6
5/14Friday, May 148:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Benjamin	1464	–12	+0	=1452	33%	4
5/14Friday, May 148:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Greinke	1553	+2	+24	=1579	67%	10
5/13Thursday, May 138:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1465	+7	–2	=1470	35%	3
5/13Thursday, May 138:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1552	+5	+24	=1581	65%	4
5/11Tuesday, May 113:45 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1466	–22	+0	=1444	42%	2
5/11Tuesday, May 113:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1495	–16	+24	=1503	58%	4
5/10Monday, May 109:45 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1467	+16	–4	=1479	45%	1
5/10Monday, May 109:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1494	–1	+24	=1517	55%	3
5/9Sunday, May 92:35 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Sheffield	1476	+11	+0	=1487	48%	2
5/9Sunday, May 92:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1465	+14	+24	=1503	52%	10
5/8Saturday, May 87:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Swanson	1477	–19	+0	=1458	48%	8
5/8Saturday, May 87:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Arihara	1464	–15	+24	=1473	52%	9
5/7Friday, May 78:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Flexen	1476	–25	–2	=1449	44%	5
5/7Friday, May 78:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1465	+7	+21	=1493	56%	4
5/6Thursday, May 61:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1463	–23	+0	=1440	34%	4
5/6Thursday, May 61:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Pineda	1523	+8	+24	=1555	66%	3
5/5Wednesday, May 57:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Yang	1462	–10	+0	=1452	42%	3
5/5Wednesday, May 57:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Thorpe	1524	–37	+24	=1511	58%	1
5/4Tuesday, May 47:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1460	+13	+0	=1473	38%	6
5/4Tuesday, May 47:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Happ	1526	+6	+24	=1556	62%	3
5/3Monday, May 37:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1460	+12	–3	=1469	39%	5
5/3Monday, May 37:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Maeda	1525	–1	+24	=1548	61%	6
5/2Sunday, May 22:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Richards	1511	–13	+0	=1498	51%	3
5/2Sunday, May 22:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1459	+8	+24	=1491	49%	5
5/1Saturday, May 17:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1513	+22	+0	=1535	60%	6
5/1Saturday, May 17:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1458	–20	+24	=1462	40%	8
4/30Friday, April 308:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1511	+2	+0	=1513	55%	6
4/30Friday, April 308:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Arihara	1459	–3	+24	=1480	45%	1
4/29Thursday, April 298:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Perez	1512	–20	–3	=1489	50%	1
4/29Thursday, April 298:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1458	+9	+24	=1491	50%	4
4/28Wednesday, April 288:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Cobb	1505	–7	+0	=1498	51%	4
4/28Wednesday, April 288:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1459	+10	+24	=1493	49%	3
4/27Tuesday, April 278:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Quintana	1507	–15	+0	=1492	51%	1
4/27Tuesday, April 278:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1457	+5	+24	=1486	49%	6
4/26Monday, April 268:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1505	–4	–2	=1499	55%	9
4/26Monday, April 268:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1459	–13	+21	=1467	45%	4
4/25Sunday, April 252:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Arihara	1460	+8	+0	=1468	44%	4
4/25Sunday, April 252:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1521	–33	+24	=1512	56%	8
4/24Saturday, April 247:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1461	+5	+0	=1466	40%	1
4/24Saturday, April 247:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1520	–10	+24	=1534	60%	2
4/23Friday, April 238:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1462	+17	–2	=1477	44%	7
4/23Friday, April 238:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1519	–29	+27	=1517	56%	9
4/21Wednesday, April 214:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1460	+2	+0	=1462	42%	7
4/21Wednesday, April 214:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Quintana	1512	–18	+24	=1518	58%	4
4/20Tuesday, April 209:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1461	–17	+0	=1444	38%	2
4/20Tuesday, April 209:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1510	–6	+24	=1528	62%	6
4/19Monday, April 199:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Arihara	1460	+0	–3	=1457	36%	6
4/19Monday, April 199:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Bundy	1512	+17	+29	=1558	64%	4
4/18Sunday, April 182:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Means	1441	+32	+0	=1473	49%	0
4/18Sunday, April 182:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1459	–2	+24	=1481	51%	1
4/17Saturday, April 177:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1439	+0	+0	=1439	41%	6
4/17Saturday, April 177:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1461	+13	+24	=1498	59%	1
4/16Friday, April 168:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Lopez	1436	–24	–3	=1409	38%	5
4/16Friday, April 168:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1463	+8	+21	=1492	62%	2
4/15Thursday, April 157:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1461	–15	+0	=1446	34%	6
4/15Thursday, April 157:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Hill	1523	+14	+24	=1561	66%	4
4/14Wednesday, April 147:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Arihara	1459	–6	+0	=1453	37%	5
4/14Wednesday, April 147:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Fleming	1525	–7	+24	=1542	63%	1
4/13Tuesday, April 137:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1456	–3	+0	=1453	36%	8
4/13Tuesday, April 137:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Yarbrough	1528	+2	+24	=1554	64%	3
4/12Monday, April 127:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1456	+10	–3	=1463	35%	0
4/12Monday, April 127:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Glasnow	1528	+19	+24	=1571	65%	1
4/11Sunday, April 112:35 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Morejon	1563	–37	+0	=1526	55%	2
4/11Sunday, April 112:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1457	+7	+24	=1488	45%	0
4/10Saturday, April 107:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Paddack	1562	–28	+0	=1534	59%	7
4/10Saturday, April 107:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1459	–10	+24	=1473	41%	4
4/9Friday, April 98:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1561	+2	–1	=1562	61%	3
4/9Friday, April 98:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Arihara	1460	–5	+26	=1481	39%	0
4/7Wednesday, April 72:05 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Ryu	1521	+35	+0	=1556	61%	1
4/7Wednesday, April 72:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1458	–6	+24	=1476	39%	2
4/6Tuesday, April 68:05 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Roark	1523	–14	+0	=1509	53%	4
4/6Tuesday, April 68:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1457	+6	+24	=1487	47%	7
4/5Monday, April 54:05 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Matz	1521	–15	–3	=1503	52%	6
4/5Monday, April 54:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1458	+10	+22	=1490	48%	2
4/4Sunday, April 42:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1456	–11	+0	=1445	41%	7
4/4Sunday, April 42:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Singer	1474	+12	+24	=1510	59%	3
4/3Saturday, April 32:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Arihara	1458	–2	+2	=1458	42%	4
4/3Saturday, April 32:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Minor	1472	+16	+26	=1514	58%	11
4/1Thursday, April 14:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1460	+0	–2	=1458	42%	10
4/1Thursday, April 14:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Keller	1470	+16	+24	=1510	58%	14

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL West standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL West standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments