Updated Jul. 31, 2021, at 11:56 PM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rangers have a <1% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1441, down 1 point from last week.

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros64-4198%92%
AthleticsAthletics59-475.544%7%
MarinersMariners56-498.09%<1%
AngelsAngels52-5211.52%<1%
RangersRangers37-6726.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/1Sunday, Aug. 12:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1482+10+0=149256%
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
144114+24=145144%
8/2Monday, Aug. 28:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+33=149953%
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1441+14+24=147947%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 38:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
149949+0=145049%
TEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14417+24=145851%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 48:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+3+0=150257%
TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
144112+24=145343%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 52:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1499+2+0=150157%
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
144114+24=145143%
8/6Friday, Aug. 69:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1441144=142331%
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1524+14+26=156469%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 74:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1441+14+0=145537%
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15244+24=154463%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 84:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14417+0=143435%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154565%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
1441121=142836%
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1482+23+22=152764%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 1110:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
144114+0=142737%
SEASEAMariners
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1482+14+24=152063%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143739%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1482+8+24=151461%
8/13Friday, Aug. 138:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
152433=151859%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+20=145741%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152159%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+24=146141%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 152:35 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152159%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+24=146141%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 178:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1482+82=148854%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+26=146346%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 188:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1482+8+0=149054%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+24=146146%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 192:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1482+8+0=149054%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+24=146146%
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
144144=143333%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+24=155467%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 217:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143734%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+24=155466%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143734%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+24=155466%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
144141=143638%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+26=152162%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143738%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+24=151962%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143738%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+24=151962%
8/27Friday, Aug. 278:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157066%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+21=145834%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157065%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+24=146135%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 292:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157065%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+24=146135%
8/30Monday, Aug. 308:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1459+03=145649%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+24=146151%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 318:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1459+0+0=145950%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+24=146150%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 12:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1459+0+0=145950%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+24=146150%
9/3Friday, Sept. 39:38 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
144141=143637%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+3+26=152863%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 49:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143737%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+3+24=152663%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 54:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143737%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+3+24=152663%
9/6Monday, Sept. 69:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143737%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+3+24=152663%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 79:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
144142=143544%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1444+8+26=147856%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 83:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143744%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1444+8+24=147656%
9/10Friday, Sept. 109:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
144141=143635%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154565%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 114:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143735%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154565%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 124:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143735%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154565%
9/13Monday, Sept. 138:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+02=156865%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+20=145735%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 148:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157065%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+24=146135%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 158:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157065%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+24=146135%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 168:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157065%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+24=146135%
9/17Friday, Sept. 178:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+13=153460%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+24=146140%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153761%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+24=146139%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 192:35 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153761%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+24=146139%
9/20Monday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
144143=143431%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156869%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143732%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156868%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143732%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156868%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
144142=143546%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+23=146554%
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143746%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146654%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143746%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146654%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 261:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143746%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146654%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 288:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+31=150156%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+23=146044%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 298:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+3+0=150256%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+24=146144%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 302:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+3+0=150256%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+24=146144%
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
150052=149355%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+24=146145%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+0=149555%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+24=146145%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+0=149555%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+24=146145%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
7/31Saturday, July 317:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1483+14+0=149757%4
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
144016+24=144843%5
7/30Friday, July 308:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1481+262=150556%9
TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
14417+26=146044%5
7/28Wednesday, July 288:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1444+8+0=145250%3
TEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
144212+24=145450%2
7/27Tuesday, July 278:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
1445+41=144846%4
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1442+13+24=147954%5
7/25Sunday, July 252:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
144223+0=141927%1
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1568+1+24=159373%3
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1443+27+0=147034%1
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15679+24=158266%4
7/23Friday, July 238:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
144423=143931%3
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
156610+26=158269%7
7/22Thursday, July 221:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
14459+0=143645%5
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
146718+24=147355%7
7/21Wednesday, July 217:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
144613+0=143345%2
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
146619+24=147155%4
7/20Tuesday, July 207:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1448+13+0=146146%1
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1464+1+24=148954%4
7/19Monday, July 197:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1452+322=148248%0
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1460+10+24=149452%14
7/18Sunday, July 183:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
14541+0=145338%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
153317+24=154062%10
7/18Sunday, July 181:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
14556+2=145133%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1532+16+26=157467%5
7/16Friday, July 167:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145712+4=144932%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1530+18+28=157668%10
7/11Sunday, July 112:35 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1519+17+0=153659%4
TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
14587+24=147541%1
7/10Saturday, July 104:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
1518+4+0=152256%8
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
14604+24=148044%4
7/9Friday, July 98:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
151952=151256%2
TEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145915+26=147044%3
7/7Wednesday, July 72:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1459+14+0=147344%5
TEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1460+29+24=151356%3
7/6Tuesday, July 68:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
146024+0=143643%5
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1458+4+24=148657%10
7/5Monday, July 58:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
145893=144646%7
TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
14606+20=147454%3
7/4Sunday, July 44:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
14623+0=145945%1
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
148012+24=149255%4
7/3Saturday, July 310:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145915+0=144439%7
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1483+19+24=152661%3
7/2Friday, July 210:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1460+313=148847%4
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1482+10+20=151253%5
7/1Thursday, July 13:37 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1457+3+0=146036%8
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1524+13+24=156164%3
6/30Wednesday, June 309:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
14587+0=145134%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1523+21+24=156866%3
6/29Tuesday, June 299:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
145752=145036%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
15252+25=154864%4
6/27Sunday, June 272:35 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1460+8+0=146851%1
TEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145518+24=146149%4
6/26Saturday, June 264:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Zimmer, Kyle
Zimmer
14635+0=145843%0
TEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1453+28+24=150557%8
6/25Friday, June 258:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1465+223=148450%4
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1450+6+24=148050%9
6/24Thursday, June 242:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1524+22+0=154660%5
TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
14524+24=147240%1
6/23Wednesday, June 238:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
1525+0+0=152558%3
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
14505+24=146942%5
6/22Tuesday, June 228:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15239+0=151458%13
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
145222+24=145442%6
6/21Monday, June 218:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
152543=151852%3
TEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1450+29+24=150348%8
6/20Sunday, June 202:35 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1502+10+0=151254%4
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1451+9+24=148446%2
6/19Saturday, June 194:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Dobnak, Randy
Dobnak
150118+0=148352%3
TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
14528+24=146848%2
6/18Friday, June 188:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1500+222=152057%7
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
14535+24=147243%5
6/16Wednesday, June 168:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145412+0=144230%4
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1564+5+24=159370%8
6/15Tuesday, June 158:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1455+271=148135%3
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1563+0+23=158665%6
6/13Sunday, June 134:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1456+12+0=146829%3
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1591+11+24=162671%5
6/12Saturday, June 1210:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
144912+0=143723%12
LADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1598+22+24=164477%1
6/11Friday, June 1110:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1451+21=145227%1
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1597+6+20=162373%12
6/9Wednesday, June 92:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Littell, Zack
Littell
151729+0=148849%3
TEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1450+24+24=149851%4
6/8Tuesday, June 88:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
151582=150556%9
TEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145215+26=146344%4
6/6Sunday, June 62:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
155621+0=153557%7
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1453+8+24=148543%1
6/5Saturday, June 54:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1555+16+0=157165%3
TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
145416+24=146235%0
6/4Friday, June 48:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
1556+13=155458%4
TEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1453+24+21=149842%5
6/3Thursday, June 33:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1455+9+0=146450%6
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14455+24=146450%11
6/2Wednesday, June 28:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145713+0=144447%3
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14435+24=146253%6
6/1Tuesday, June 18:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1458+71=146447%2
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1442+19+23=148453%3
5/30Sunday, May 304:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Yang, Hyeon-Jong
Yang
145915+0=144442%2
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1469+7+24=150058%4
5/29Saturday, May 2910:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1460+8+0=146845%2
SEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1468+10+24=150255%3
5/28Friday, May 2810:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
146115+0=144643%2
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1467+4+24=149557%3
5/27Thursday, May 2710:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
1463163=144448%0
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
146529+21=145752%5
5/26Wednesday, May 264:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1464+14+0=147844%8
LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1495+4+24=152356%9
5/25Tuesday, May 259:38 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Yang, Hyeon-Jong
Yang
146661=145940%5
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1493+7+26=152660%11
5/23Sunday, May 232:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1556+4+0=156060%2
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1464+0+24=148840%3
5/22Saturday, May 224:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1558+7+0=156564%4
TEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
146217+24=146936%8
5/21Friday, May 218:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Ivey, Tyler
Ivey
1559274=152854%5
TEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1460+18+24=150246%7
5/20Thursday, May 202:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156117+0=154457%2
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1461+9+24=149443%0
5/19Wednesday, May 198:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15605+0=155561%2
TEXTEXRangers
Yang, Hyeon-Jong
Yang
14627+24=147939%0
5/18Tuesday, May 188 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15599+0=155058%7
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1464+5+24=149342%4
5/17Monday, May 178:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1561+563=161470%2
TEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
146119+22=146430%5
5/16Sunday, May 162:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1462+18+0=148035%2
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1555+6+24=158565%6
5/15Saturday, May 157:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1463+16+0=147937%5
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15547+24=157163%6
5/14Friday, May 148:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Benjamin, Wes
Benjamin
146412+0=145233%4
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1553+2+24=157967%10
5/13Thursday, May 138:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1465+72=147035%3
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1552+5+24=158165%4
5/11Tuesday, May 113:45 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
146622+0=144442%2
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
149516+24=150358%4
5/10Monday, May 109:45 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1467+164=147945%1
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
14941+24=151755%3
5/9Sunday, May 92:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1476+11+0=148748%2
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1465+14+24=150352%10
5/8Saturday, May 87:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
147719+0=145848%8
TEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
146415+24=147352%9
5/7Friday, May 78:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1476252=144944%5
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1465+7+21=149356%4
5/6Thursday, May 61:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
146323+0=144034%4
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1523+8+24=155566%3
5/5Wednesday, May 57:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Yang, Hyeon-Jong
Yang
146210+0=145242%3
MINMINTwins
Thorpe, Lewis
Thorpe
152437+24=151158%1
5/4Tuesday, May 47:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1460+13+0=147338%6
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1526+6+24=155662%3
5/3Monday, May 37:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1460+123=146939%5
MINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
15251+24=154861%6
5/2Sunday, May 22:35 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
151113+0=149851%3
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1459+8+24=149149%5
5/1Saturday, May 17:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1513+22+0=153560%6
TEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145820+24=146240%8
4/30Friday, April 308:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1511+2+0=151355%6
TEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
14593+24=148045%1
4/29Thursday, April 298:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
1512203=148950%1
TEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1458+9+24=149150%4
4/28Wednesday, April 288:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
15057+0=149851%4
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1459+10+24=149349%3
4/27Tuesday, April 278:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
150715+0=149251%1
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1457+5+24=148649%6
4/26Monday, April 268:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
150542=149955%9
TEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145913+21=146745%4
4/25Sunday, April 252:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
1460+8+0=146844%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
152133+24=151256%8
4/24Saturday, April 247:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1461+5+0=146640%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
152010+24=153460%2
4/23Friday, April 238:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1462+172=147744%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
151929+27=151756%9
4/21Wednesday, April 214:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1460+2+0=146242%7
LAALAAAngels
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
151218+24=151858%4
4/20Tuesday, April 209:38 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
146117+0=144438%2
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
15106+24=152862%6
4/19Monday, April 199:38 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
1460+03=145736%6
LAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1512+17+29=155864%4
4/18Sunday, April 182:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1441+32+0=147349%0
TEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
14592+24=148151%1
4/17Saturday, April 177:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1439+0+0=143941%6
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1461+13+24=149859%1
4/16Friday, April 168:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
1436243=140938%5
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1463+8+21=149262%2
4/15Thursday, April 157:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
146115+0=144634%6
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1523+14+24=156166%4
4/14Wednesday, April 147:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
14596+0=145337%5
TBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
15257+24=154263%1
4/13Tuesday, April 137:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
14563+0=145336%8
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
1528+2+24=155464%3
4/12Monday, April 127:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1456+103=146335%0
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1528+19+24=157165%1
4/11Sunday, April 112:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Morejon, Adrian
Morejon
156337+0=152655%2
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1457+7+24=148845%0
4/10Saturday, April 107:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
156228+0=153459%7
TEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145910+24=147341%4
4/9Friday, April 98:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1561+21=156261%3
TEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
14605+26=148139%0
4/7Wednesday, April 72:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1521+35+0=155661%1
TEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
14586+24=147639%2
4/6Tuesday, April 68:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Roark, Tanner
Roark
152314+0=150953%4
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1457+6+24=148747%7
4/5Monday, April 54:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
1521153=150352%6
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1458+10+22=149048%2
4/4Sunday, April 42:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145611+0=144541%7
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1474+12+24=151059%3
4/3Saturday, April 32:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
14582+2=145842%4
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1472+16+26=151458%11
4/1Thursday, April 14:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1460+02=145842%10
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1470+16+24=151058%14

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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