Updated Aug. 4, 2021, at 1:37 AM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rockies have a <1% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1460, up 4 points from last week.

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
DodgersDodgers64-443.598%54%
GiantsGiants67-4096%35%
PadresPadres62-476.084%10%
RockiesRockies47-6020.0<1%<1%
DbacksDiamondbacks34-7433.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 48:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
1487+8+0=149551%
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1460+7+24=149149%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 53:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
148727+0=146042%
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1460+31+24=151558%
8/6Friday, Aug. 68:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1478+174=149151%
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1460+0+24=148449%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 78:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
147820+0=145846%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148454%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 83:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147950%
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
14608+24=147650%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1460+71=146633%
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
15709+26=158767%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1460+31+0=149136%
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15703+24=159164%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 129:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1460+04=145636%
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
15323+24=155364%
8/13Friday, Aug. 139:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146035%
SFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1532+9+24=156565%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 149:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
14608+0=145237%
SFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
153212+24=154463%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 154:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146036%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1532+1+24=155764%
8/16Monday, Aug. 168:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1556+13=155460%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+21=148140%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 178:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1556+1+0=155760%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148440%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 183:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1556+1+0=155760%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148440%
8/20Friday, Aug. 208:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1443+73=144744%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+26=148656%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 218:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1443+7+0=145045%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148455%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 223:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1443+7+0=145045%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148455%
8/23Monday, Aug. 238:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+03=145742%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+24=151358%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 248:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146043%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+24=151357%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 252:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146043%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+24=151357%
8/27Friday, Aug. 2710:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+02=145829%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1590+1+23=161471%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 289:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146029%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1590+1+24=161571%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 294:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146029%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1590+1+24=161571%
8/30Monday, Aug. 308:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+03=145749%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14413+24=146251%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 318:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146050%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14413+24=146250%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 12:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146050%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14413+24=146250%
9/2Thursday, Sept. 28:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
153553=152756%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+21=148144%
9/3Friday, Sept. 38:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15355+0=153056%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148444%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 48:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15355+0=153056%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148444%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 53:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15355+0=153056%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148444%
9/6Monday, Sept. 64 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1532+13=153057%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148443%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 78:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1532+1+0=153357%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148443%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 83:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1532+1+0=153357%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148443%
9/9Thursday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+04=145640%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+3+21=152960%
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146040%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+3+24=153260%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 116:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146040%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+3+24=153260%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146040%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+3+24=153260%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+01=145937%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15355+26=155663%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 157:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146037%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15355+24=155463%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 1612:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146037%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15355+24=155463%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+03=145741%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15057+26=152459%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 184:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146041%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15057+24=152259%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146041%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15057+24=152259%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 218:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1590+11=159065%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+22=148235%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 228:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1590+1+0=159165%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148435%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 233:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1590+1+0=159165%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148435%
9/24Friday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1532+13=153057%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148443%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 258:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1532+1+0=153357%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148443%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 263:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1532+1+0=153357%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148443%
9/27Monday, Sept. 278:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
150573=149552%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148448%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 288:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15057+0=149852%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148448%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 293:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15057+0=149852%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148448%
10/1Friday, Oct. 19:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+01=145949%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1443+7+21=147151%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 28:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146048%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1443+7+24=147452%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146048%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1443+7+24=147452%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 38:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1490+72=149554%6
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
145811+23=147046%13
8/1Sunday, Aug. 14:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1459+5+0=146437%1
SDSDPadres
Knehr, Reiss
Knehr
155118+24=155763%8
7/31Saturday, July 318:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1457+32+0=148934%5
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1553+30+24=160766%3
7/30Friday, July 3010:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1454+6+0=146035%9
SDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
155713+24=156865%4
7/29Thursday, July 2910:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1455131=144130%0
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1556+10+24=159070%3
7/28Wednesday, July 289:38 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gilbreath, Lucas
Gilbreath
145629+0=142736%7
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1500+1+24=152564%8
7/27Tuesday, July 279:38 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1452+4+0=145646%12
LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
150444+24=148454%3
7/26Monday, July 269:38 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1454+341=148743%2
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1502+15+20=153757%6
7/25Sunday, July 254:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1455+8+0=146334%2
LADLADDodgers
Gray, Josiah
Gray
159038+24=157666%3
7/24Saturday, July 249:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
145517+0=143829%0
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
158917+24=159671%1
7/23Friday, July 2310:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
1452331=141826%9
LADLADDodgers
Price, David
Price
159214+24=160274%6
7/21Wednesday, July 213:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Middleton, Keynan
Middleton
14835+0=147850%3
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1451+4+24=147950%6
7/20Tuesday, July 208:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1481+71=148746%6
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1452+36+26=151454%4
7/18Sunday, July 183:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Price, David
Price
159916+0=158364%5
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1450+5+24=147936%6
7/17Saturday, July 178:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1598+17+0=161571%9
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
145220+24=145629%2
7/16Friday, July 168:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
159712+4=158969%10
COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
145329+28=145231%4
7/11Sunday, July 114:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1451+2+0=145334%3
SDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
155716+24=156566%1
7/10Saturday, July 1010:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1448+34+0=148234%3
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1559+12+24=159566%0
7/9Friday, July 910:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1449192=142832%2
SDSDPadres
Knehr, Reiss
Knehr
155920+24=156368%4
7/8Thursday, July 83:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
144627+0=141943%9
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Faria, Jake
Faria
1446+0+24=147057%3
7/7Wednesday, July 79:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14477+0=144046%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
14453+24=146654%6
7/6Tuesday, July 69:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1448+21=144944%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1444+21+26=149156%4
7/4Sunday, July 43:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
148921+0=146845%2
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1447+32+24=150355%3
7/3Saturday, July 39:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
149027+0=146352%2
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
144623+24=144748%3
7/2Friday, July 28:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
148830+0=145852%9
COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
144929+24=144448%3
7/1Thursday, July 18:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1490+223=150957%2
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14478+24=146343%5
6/30Wednesday, June 303:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14303+0=142744%2
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1445+3+24=147256%6
6/29Tuesday, June 298:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
De Jong, Chase
De Jong
143219+0=141338%0
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1443+28+24=149562%8
6/28Monday, June 285:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1434+83=143950%0
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
144225+21=143850%2
6/27Sunday, June 272:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
144426+0=141838%0
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
151941+24=150262%5
6/26Saturday, June 264:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14453+0=144239%4
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151724+24=151761%10
6/25Friday, June 254:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1446+32=144734%4
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1517+25+22=156466%5
6/23Wednesday, June 234:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1444+26+0=147047%5
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
147711+24=149053%2
6/22Tuesday, June 2210:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1445271=141740%1
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
147616+26=148660%2
6/20Sunday, June 203:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
151541+0=147454%7
COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
144623+24=144746%6
6/19Saturday, June 199:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151422+0=149251%6
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1447+15+24=148649%5
6/18Friday, June 188:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1515+27+0=154261%5
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14462+24=146839%6
6/17Thursday, June 178:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1518+453=156060%3
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1443+23+24=149040%7
6/16Wednesday, June 163:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
15575+0=155265%7
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
144223+24=144335%8
6/15Tuesday, June 158:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1560+34+0=159471%4
COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
143925+24=143829%8
6/14Monday, June 148:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Lamet, Dinelson
Lamet
1561+44=156163%2
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1438+8+21=146737%3
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1439+1+0=144042%2
CINCINReds
Santillan, Tony
Santillan
149622+24=149858%6
6/12Saturday, June 124:15 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1441+31+0=147244%3
CINCINReds
Miley, Wade
Miley
14931+24=151656%10
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1443153=142536%5
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1492+8+24=152464%11
6/10Thursday, June 107:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
144520+0=142538%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1469+18+24=151162%11
6/9Wednesday, June 97:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1444+2+0=144647%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
147026+24=146853%3
6/8Tuesday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
144532=144042%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1469+11+21=150158%6
6/6Sunday, June 63:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
15199+0=151053%1
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1444+24+24=149247%3
6/5Saturday, June 59:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15188+0=151058%6
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
144513+24=145642%3
6/4Friday, June 48:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
151681=150755%9
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1447+5+24=147645%5
6/3Thursday, June 33:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1455+9+0=146450%6
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14455+24=146450%11
6/2Wednesday, June 28:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145713+0=144447%3
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14435+24=146253%6
6/1Tuesday, June 18:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1458+71=146447%2
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1442+19+23=148453%3
5/30Sunday, May 301:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
14418+0=143350%4
PITPITPirates
De Jong, Chase
De Jong
143121+24=143450%3
5/29Saturday, May 294:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14431+0=144250%0
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
142911+24=144250%4
5/29Saturday, May 2912:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1446+10+0=145649%0
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1427+11+26=146451%7
5/27Thursday, May 272:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14475+0=144238%2
NYMNYMMets
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
153331+24=152662%4
5/27Thursday, May 2712:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1448+16+2=146638%0
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15326+26=155262%1
5/25Tuesday, May 257:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
144810+0=143827%1
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1531+52+24=160773%3
5/24Monday, May 247:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
144754=143837%3
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153321+21=153363%2
5/23Sunday, May 233:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
14753+0=147249%3
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1446+9+24=147951%4
5/22Saturday, May 223:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1477+11+0=148853%6
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14454+24=146547%7
5/21Friday, May 218:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Frankoff, Seth
Frankoff
1479113=146548%1
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1443+12+23=147852%7
5/19Wednesday, May 194:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
144319+0=142428%0
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1565+1+24=159072%3
5/18Tuesday, May 1810:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14445+0=143930%1
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
15641+24=158770%2
5/17Monday, May 1710:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1445+173=145928%0
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1563+36+24=162372%7
5/16Sunday, May 163:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
149919+0=148053%7
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14468+24=146247%6
5/15Saturday, May 158:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1498+5+0=150358%6
COLCOLRockies
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
144725+24=144642%5
5/14Friday, May 148:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Miley, Wade
Miley
1500+2+0=150253%6
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1445+14+24=148347%9
5/13Thursday, May 138:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1502+23=150158%8
COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
144324+24=144342%13
5/12Wednesday, May 127:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
15601+0=155964%2
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14418+24=145736%3
5/12Wednesday, May 123:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1559+35+0=159465%5
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1442+19+24=148535%3
5/11Tuesday, May 118:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Lamet, Dinelson
Lamet
1557+71=156364%8
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14445+23=146236%1
5/9Sunday, May 92:15 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1445+17+0=146239%0
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1511+3+24=153861%2
5/8Saturday, May 82:15 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
144519+0=142636%8
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
15108+24=152664%9
5/7Friday, May 78:15 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
144781=143833%0
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1509+29+24=156267%5
5/5Wednesday, May 53:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
149515+0=148049%5
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1446+15+24=148551%6
5/4Tuesday, May 49:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
14963+0=149357%6
COLCOLRockies
Castellani, Ryan
Castellani
144427+24=144143%8
5/4Tuesday, May 45:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1493131=147948%12
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1447+23+23=149352%4
5/2Sunday, May 24:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
144819+0=142937%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1493+4+24=152163%8
5/1Saturday, May 18:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14449+0=143533%14
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1497+36+24=155767%6
4/30Friday, April 309:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1446+15+0=146142%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14951+24=151858%7
4/29Thursday, April 299:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
144773=143739%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
14942+24=151661%5
4/28Wednesday, April 289:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1449+24+0=147345%3
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
14905+24=150955%7
4/27Tuesday, April 279:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
144720+0=142739%7
SFSFGiants
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
149213+24=150361%5
4/26Monday, April 269:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
145033=144440%0
SFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1489+0+24=151360%12
4/25Sunday, April 253:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
150411+0=149352%2
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1446+10+24=148048%12
4/24Saturday, April 248:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1503+32+0=153560%7
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14479+24=146240%5
4/23Friday, April 238:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1504192=148349%4
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1446+21+26=149351%5
4/21Wednesday, April 213:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1543+6+0=154962%3
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14446+24=146238%6
4/20Tuesday, April 208:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1545151=152958%2
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1442+7+26=147542%6
4/18Sunday, April 183:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15395+0=153461%2
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
144310+24=145739%1
4/17Saturday, April 178:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
154130+0=151154%2
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1440+19+24=148346%7
4/17Saturday, April 175:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1541+41+1=158369%4
COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
144120+23=144431%3
4/15Thursday, April 1510:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14423+0=143927%5
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
160619+24=161173%7
4/14Wednesday, April 1410:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1442+13+0=145530%2
LADLADDodgers
May, Dustin
May
160527+24=160270%4
4/13Tuesday, April 1310:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14433+0=144023%0
LADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1604+23+26=165377%7
4/11Sunday, April 114:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1445+21+0=146644%0
SFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1483+2+24=150956%4
4/10Saturday, April 104:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
144624+0=142239%3
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
14839+24=149861%4
4/9Friday, April 94:35 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
144783=143641%1
SFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
14823+24=150359%3
4/8Thursday, April 83:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1485+11+0=149653%3
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1445+7+24=147647%7
4/7Wednesday, April 78:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14886+0=148254%0
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14428+24=145846%8
4/6Tuesday, April 68:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
148711=148549%10
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1443+23+26=149251%8
4/4Sunday, April 43:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
159819+0=157966%4
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14445+24=146334%2
4/3Saturday, April 38:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1597+9+0=160668%6
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1444+5+24=147332%5
4/2Friday, April 28:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1597+26+0=162371%11
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14454+24=146529%6
4/1Thursday, April 14:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1599+103=160666%5
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1443+25+24=149234%8

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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