Rockies | 2021 MLB Predictions

The Rockies are done for the season.

NL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Giants Giants107-55	—	✓	✓
Dodgers Dodgers106-56	1.0	✓	—
Padres Padres79-83	28.0	—	—
Rockies Rockies74-87	32.5	—	—
Dbacks Diamondbacks52-110	55.0	—	—

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Goudeau	1473	–21	+0	=1452	52%	4
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Mejia	1438	–23	+24	=1439	48%	5
10/2Saturday, Oct. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1476	+17	+0	=1493	51%	2
10/2Saturday, Oct. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1435	+28	+24	=1487	49%	11
10/1Friday, Oct. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1475	+7	–1	=1481	54%	9
10/1Friday, Oct. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Castellanos	1436	–7	+21	=1450	46%	7
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 293:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Espino	1482	–1	+0	=1481	54%	5
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 293:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Lambert	1472	–44	+24	=1452	46%	10
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 288:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1484	–14	+0	=1470	46%	1
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 288:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1471	+0	+24	=1495	54%	3
9/27Monday, Sept. 278:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1482	–18	–3	=1461	43%	5
9/27Monday, Sept. 278:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1473	+11	+24	=1508	57%	4
9/26Sunday, Sept. 263:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Gausman	1558	+7	+0	=1565	58%	6
9/26Sunday, Sept. 263:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1474	+14	+24	=1512	42%	2
9/25Saturday, Sept. 258:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1556	+11	+0	=1567	59%	7
9/25Saturday, Sept. 258:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1476	+8	+24	=1508	41%	2
9/24Friday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1555	–6	–3	=1546	63%	7
9/24Friday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Lambert	1477	–44	+24	=1457	37%	2
9/23Thursday, Sept. 233:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Scherzer	1606	+40	+0	=1646	70%	7
9/23Thursday, Sept. 233:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1478	–2	+24	=1500	30%	5
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 228:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1609	+15	+0	=1624	65%	5
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 228:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1475	+15	+24	=1514	35%	10
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 218:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1609	+1	–1	=1609	64%	5
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 218:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1475	+13	+22	=1510	36%	4
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1477	+8	+0	=1485	48%	0
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Espino	1480	–3	+24	=1501	52%	3
9/18Saturday, Sept. 184:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1474	–5	+0	=1469	47%	6
9/18Saturday, Sept. 184:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1483	–14	+24	=1493	53%	0
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1473	+22	–1	=1494	51%	9
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1484	–24	+26	=1486	49%	8
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 157:20 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1472	+12	+0	=1484	38%	3
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 157:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Ynoa	1545	+0	+24	=1569	62%	2
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:20 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1471	+8	–1	=1478	41%	5
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Toussaint	1547	–31	+26	=1542	59%	4
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1469	–32	+0	=1437	35%	5
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Nola	1505	+14	+24	=1543	65%	4
9/11Saturday, Sept. 116:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1471	–5	+0	=1466	36%	1
9/11Saturday, Sept. 116:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1503	+39	+24	=1566	64%	6
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1467	+20	+0	=1487	47%	11
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Coonrod	1507	–24	+24	=1507	53%	2
9/9Thursday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1466	+12	–4	=1474	43%	4
9/9Thursday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1508	–4	+21	=1525	57%	3
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 83:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1546	+7	+0	=1553	58%	7
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 83:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1467	+7	+24	=1498	42%	4
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 78:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1544	+18	+0	=1562	63%	12
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 78:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gonzalez	1469	–27	+24	=1466	37%	3
9/6Monday, Sept. 64 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Gausman	1542	+17	–3	=1556	59%	10
9/6Monday, Sept. 64 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1471	+2	+24	=1497	41%	5
9/5Sunday, Sept. 53:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Morton	1545	+22	+0	=1567	63%	9
9/5Sunday, Sept. 53:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1473	–26	+24	=1471	37%	2
9/4Saturday, Sept. 48:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Anderson	1546	+5	+0	=1551	55%	6
9/4Saturday, Sept. 48:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1471	+17	+24	=1512	45%	7
9/3Friday, Sept. 38:40 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Ynoa	1547	–4	+0	=1543	56%	3
9/3Friday, Sept. 38:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1470	+7	+24	=1501	44%	4
9/2Thursday, Sept. 28:40 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Toussaint	1546	–28	–3	=1515	57%	6
9/2Thursday, Sept. 28:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gonzalez	1471	–29	+21	=1463	43%	5
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 12:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1469	+2	+0	=1471	54%	9
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 12:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Arihara	1441	–20	+24	=1445	46%	5
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 318:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1471	–7	+0	=1464	53%	3
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 318:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1440	–19	+24	=1445	47%	4
8/30Monday, Aug. 308:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1472	+21	–3	=1490	55%	3
8/30Monday, Aug. 308:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Alexy	1439	–8	+24	=1455	45%	4
8/29Sunday, Aug. 294:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1468	–1	+0	=1467	33%	5
8/29Sunday, Aug. 294:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	White	1603	–36	+24	=1591	67%	0
8/28Saturday, Aug. 289:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1469	+4	+0	=1473	34%	2
8/28Saturday, Aug. 289:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Knebel	1602	–39	+24	=1587	66%	5
8/27Friday, Aug. 2710:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1467	+0	–2	=1465	33%	4
8/27Friday, Aug. 2710:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Graterol	1605	–39	+23	=1589	67%	2
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 256:30 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1466	+27	+0	=1493	51%	13
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 256:30 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Steele	1465	–1	+24	=1488	49%	10
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 252:20 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1467	–3	+2	=1466	47%	2
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 252:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Davies	1464	–1	+26	=1489	53%	5
8/23Monday, Aug. 238:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1468	–4	–3	=1461	43%	4
8/23Monday, Aug. 238:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1463	+24	+24	=1511	57%	6
8/22Sunday, Aug. 223:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Widener	1448	–7	+0	=1441	42%	8
8/22Sunday, Aug. 223:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1471	+3	+24	=1498	58%	4
8/21Saturday, Aug. 218:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1449	+17	+0	=1466	47%	2
8/21Saturday, Aug. 218:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1469	–6	+24	=1487	53%	5
8/20Friday, Aug. 208:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gilbert	1451	+10	–3	=1458	45%	4
8/20Friday, Aug. 208:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1467	–1	+26	=1492	55%	9
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 183:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Arrieta	1542	–43	+0	=1499	56%	5
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 183:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gonzalez	1466	–33	+24	=1457	44%	7
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 178:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Strahm	1544	–11	+0	=1533	53%	3
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 178:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1464	+28	+24	=1516	47%	7
8/16Monday, Aug. 168:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Weathers	1545	–38	–3	=1504	54%	5
8/16Monday, Aug. 168:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1463	–8	+21	=1476	46%	6
8/15Sunday, Aug. 154:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1464	+6	+0	=1470	39%	2
8/15Sunday, Aug. 154:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1540	–13	+24	=1551	61%	5
8/14Saturday, Aug. 149:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1462	–8	+0	=1454	37%	4
8/14Saturday, Aug. 149:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Long	1542	–23	+24	=1543	63%	1
8/13Friday, Aug. 139:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1462	+5	+0	=1467	35%	4
8/13Friday, Aug. 139:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1541	+9	+24	=1574	65%	5
8/12Thursday, Aug. 129:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1464	+34	–4	=1494	40%	0
8/12Thursday, Aug. 129:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1539	+1	+24	=1564	60%	7
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1466	–10	+0	=1456	32%	1
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1567	–1	+24	=1590	68%	5
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1467	+5	–1	=1471	36%	0
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Odorizzi	1565	–17	+26	=1574	64%	5
8/8Sunday, Aug. 83:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Hess	1473	–40	+0	=1433	44%	8
8/8Sunday, Aug. 83:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1465	–11	+24	=1478	56%	13
8/7Saturday, Aug. 78:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Luzardo	1475	–17	+0	=1458	46%	4
8/7Saturday, Aug. 78:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1464	–2	+24	=1486	54%	7
8/6Friday, Aug. 68:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1478	+17	–4	=1491	47%	2
8/6Friday, Aug. 68:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1460	+31	+24	=1515	53%	14
8/5Thursday, Aug. 53:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Arrieta	1488	–27	+0	=1461	48%	5
8/5Thursday, Aug. 53:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1459	–8	+24	=1475	52%	6
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 48:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Mills	1487	+8	+0	=1495	51%	3
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 48:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1460	+7	+24	=1491	49%	2
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 38:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Davies	1490	+7	–2	=1495	54%	6
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 38:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1458	–11	+23	=1470	46%	13
8/1Sunday, Aug. 14:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1459	+5	+0	=1464	37%	1
8/1Sunday, Aug. 14:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Knehr	1551	–18	+24	=1557	63%	8
7/31Saturday, July 318:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1457	+32	+0	=1489	34%	5
7/31Saturday, July 318:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1553	+30	+24	=1607	66%	3
7/30Friday, July 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1454	+6	+0	=1460	35%	9
7/30Friday, July 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Weathers	1557	–13	+24	=1568	65%	4
7/29Thursday, July 2910:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1455	–13	–1	=1441	30%	0
7/29Thursday, July 2910:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1556	+10	+24	=1590	70%	3
7/28Wednesday, July 289:38 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gilbreath	1456	–29	+0	=1427	36%	7
7/28Wednesday, July 289:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Heaney	1500	+1	+24	=1525	64%	8
7/27Tuesday, July 279:38 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1452	+4	+0	=1456	46%	12
7/27Tuesday, July 279:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1504	–44	+24	=1484	54%	3
7/26Monday, July 269:38 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1454	+34	–1	=1487	43%	2
7/26Monday, July 269:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1502	+15	+20	=1537	57%	6
7/25Sunday, July 254:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1455	+8	+0	=1463	34%	2
7/25Sunday, July 254:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gray	1590	–38	+24	=1576	66%	3
7/24Saturday, July 249:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1455	–17	+0	=1438	29%	0
7/24Saturday, July 249:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1589	–17	+24	=1596	71%	1
7/23Friday, July 2310:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gonzalez	1452	–33	–1	=1418	26%	9
7/23Friday, July 2310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Price	1592	–14	+24	=1602	74%	6
7/21Wednesday, July 213:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Middleton	1483	–5	+0	=1478	50%	3
7/21Wednesday, July 213:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1451	+4	+24	=1479	50%	6
7/20Tuesday, July 208:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1481	+7	–1	=1487	46%	6
7/20Tuesday, July 208:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1452	+36	+26	=1514	54%	4
7/18Sunday, July 183:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Price	1599	–16	+0	=1583	64%	5
7/18Sunday, July 183:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1450	+5	+24	=1479	36%	6
7/17Saturday, July 178:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1598	+17	+0	=1615	71%	9
7/17Saturday, July 178:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1452	–20	+24	=1456	29%	2
7/16Friday, July 168:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1597	–12	+4	=1589	69%	10
7/16Friday, July 168:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gonzalez	1453	–29	+28	=1452	31%	4
7/11Sunday, July 114:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1451	+2	+0	=1453	34%	3
7/11Sunday, July 114:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Weathers	1557	–16	+24	=1565	66%	1
7/10Saturday, July 1010:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1448	+34	+0	=1482	34%	3
7/10Saturday, July 1010:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1559	+12	+24	=1595	66%	0
7/9Friday, July 910:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1449	–19	–2	=1428	32%	2
7/9Friday, July 910:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Knehr	1559	–20	+24	=1563	68%	4
7/8Thursday, July 83:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gonzalez	1446	–27	+0	=1419	43%	9
7/8Thursday, July 83:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Faria	1446	+0	+24	=1470	57%	3
7/7Wednesday, July 79:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1447	–7	+0	=1440	46%	4
7/7Wednesday, July 79:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Castellanos	1445	–3	+24	=1466	54%	6
7/6Tuesday, July 69:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1448	+2	–1	=1449	44%	3
7/6Tuesday, July 69:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1444	+21	+26	=1491	56%	4
7/4Sunday, July 43:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Martinez	1489	–21	+0	=1468	45%	2
7/4Sunday, July 43:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1447	+32	+24	=1503	55%	3
7/3Saturday, July 39:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	LeBlanc	1490	–27	+0	=1463	52%	2
7/3Saturday, July 39:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1446	–23	+24	=1447	48%	3
7/2Friday, July 28:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Oviedo	1488	–30	+0	=1458	52%	9
7/2Friday, July 28:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gonzalez	1449	–29	+24	=1444	48%	3
7/1Thursday, July 18:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1490	+22	–3	=1509	57%	2
7/1Thursday, July 18:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1447	–8	+24	=1463	43%	5
6/30Wednesday, June 303:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Kuhl	1430	–3	+0	=1427	44%	2
6/30Wednesday, June 303:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1445	+3	+24	=1472	56%	6
6/29Tuesday, June 298:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	De Jong	1432	–19	+0	=1413	38%	0
6/29Tuesday, June 298:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1443	+28	+24	=1495	62%	8
6/28Monday, June 285:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Anderson	1434	+8	–3	=1439	50%	0
6/28Monday, June 285:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1442	–25	+21	=1438	50%	2
6/27Sunday, June 272:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gonzalez	1444	–26	+0	=1418	38%	0
6/27Sunday, June 272:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1519	–41	+24	=1502	62%	5
6/26Saturday, June 264:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1445	–3	+0	=1442	39%	4
6/26Saturday, June 264:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Houser	1517	–24	+24	=1517	61%	10
6/25Friday, June 254:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1446	+3	–2	=1447	34%	4
6/25Friday, June 254:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1517	+25	+22	=1564	66%	5
6/23Wednesday, June 234:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1444	+26	+0	=1470	47%	5
6/23Wednesday, June 234:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Sheffield	1477	–11	+24	=1490	53%	2
6/22Tuesday, June 2210:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1445	–27	–1	=1417	40%	1
6/22Tuesday, June 2210:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Flexen	1476	–16	+26	=1486	60%	2
6/20Sunday, June 203:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1515	–41	+0	=1474	54%	7
6/20Sunday, June 203:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gonzalez	1446	–23	+24	=1447	46%	6
6/19Saturday, June 199:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Houser	1514	–22	+0	=1492	51%	6
6/19Saturday, June 199:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1447	+15	+24	=1486	49%	5
6/18Friday, June 188:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1515	+27	+0	=1542	61%	5
6/18Friday, June 188:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1446	–2	+24	=1468	39%	6
6/17Thursday, June 178:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1518	+45	–3	=1560	60%	3
6/17Thursday, June 178:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1443	+23	+24	=1490	40%	7
6/16Wednesday, June 163:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1557	–5	+0	=1552	65%	7
6/16Wednesday, June 163:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1442	–23	+24	=1443	35%	8
6/15Tuesday, June 158:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1560	+34	+0	=1594	71%	4
6/15Tuesday, June 158:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gonzalez	1439	–25	+24	=1438	29%	8
6/14Monday, June 148:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Lamet	1561	+4	–4	=1561	63%	2
6/14Monday, June 148:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1438	+8	+21	=1467	37%	3
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1439	+1	+0	=1440	42%	2
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Santillan	1496	–22	+24	=1498	58%	6
6/12Saturday, June 124:15 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1441	+31	+0	=1472	44%	3
6/12Saturday, June 124:15 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Miley	1493	–1	+24	=1516	56%	10
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1443	–15	–3	=1425	36%	5
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Mahle	1492	+8	+24	=1524	64%	11
6/10Thursday, June 107:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gonzalez	1445	–20	+0	=1425	38%	4
6/10Thursday, June 107:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Rogers	1469	+18	+24	=1511	62%	11
6/9Wednesday, June 97:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1444	+2	+0	=1446	47%	4
6/9Wednesday, June 97:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Garrett	1470	–26	+24	=1468	53%	3
6/8Tuesday, June 87:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1445	–3	–2	=1440	42%	2
6/8Tuesday, June 87:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1469	+11	+21	=1501	58%	6
6/6Sunday, June 63:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1519	–9	+0	=1510	53%	1
6/6Sunday, June 63:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1444	+24	+24	=1492	47%	3
6/5Saturday, June 59:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1518	–8	+0	=1510	58%	6
6/5Saturday, June 59:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1445	–13	+24	=1456	42%	3
6/4Friday, June 48:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1516	–8	–1	=1507	55%	9
6/4Friday, June 48:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1447	+5	+24	=1476	45%	5
6/3Thursday, June 33:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1455	+9	+0	=1464	50%	6
6/3Thursday, June 33:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1445	–5	+24	=1464	50%	11
6/2Wednesday, June 28:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1457	–13	+0	=1444	47%	3
6/2Wednesday, June 28:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1443	–5	+24	=1462	53%	6
6/1Tuesday, June 18:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1458	+7	–1	=1464	47%	2
6/1Tuesday, June 18:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1442	+19	+23	=1484	53%	3
5/30Sunday, May 301:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1441	–8	+0	=1433	50%	4
5/30Sunday, May 301:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	De Jong	1431	–21	+24	=1434	50%	3
5/29Saturday, May 294:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1443	–1	+0	=1442	50%	0
5/29Saturday, May 294:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Keller	1429	–11	+24	=1442	50%	4
5/29Saturday, May 2912:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1446	+10	+0	=1456	49%	0
5/29Saturday, May 2912:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Brubaker	1427	+11	+26	=1464	51%	7
5/27Thursday, May 272:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1447	–5	+0	=1442	38%	2
5/27Thursday, May 272:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Lucchesi	1533	–31	+24	=1526	62%	4
5/27Thursday, May 2712:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1448	+16	+2	=1466	38%	0
5/27Thursday, May 2712:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Stroman	1532	–6	+26	=1552	62%	1
5/25Tuesday, May 257:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1448	–10	+0	=1438	27%	1
5/25Tuesday, May 257:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	deGrom	1531	+52	+24	=1607	73%	3
5/24Monday, May 247:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1447	–5	–4	=1438	37%	3
5/24Monday, May 247:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Peterson	1533	–21	+21	=1533	63%	2
5/23Sunday, May 233:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Widener	1475	–3	+0	=1472	49%	3
5/23Sunday, May 233:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1446	+9	+24	=1479	51%	4
5/22Saturday, May 223:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1477	+11	+0	=1488	53%	6
5/22Saturday, May 223:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1445	–4	+24	=1465	47%	7
5/21Friday, May 218:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Frankoff	1479	–11	–3	=1465	48%	1
5/21Friday, May 218:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1443	+12	+23	=1478	52%	7
5/19Wednesday, May 194:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gonzalez	1443	–19	+0	=1424	28%	0
5/19Wednesday, May 194:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1565	+1	+24	=1590	72%	3
5/18Tuesday, May 1810:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1444	–5	+0	=1439	30%	1
5/18Tuesday, May 1810:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1564	–1	+24	=1587	70%	2
5/17Monday, May 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1445	+17	–3	=1459	28%	0
5/17Monday, May 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1563	+36	+24	=1623	72%	7
5/16Sunday, May 163:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Hoffman	1499	–19	+0	=1480	53%	7
5/16Sunday, May 163:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1446	–8	+24	=1462	47%	6
5/15Saturday, May 158:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Mahle	1498	+5	+0	=1503	58%	6
5/15Saturday, May 158:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Chacin	1447	–25	+24	=1446	42%	5
5/14Friday, May 148:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Miley	1500	+2	+0	=1502	53%	6
5/14Friday, May 148:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1445	+14	+24	=1483	47%	9
5/13Thursday, May 138:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Castillo	1502	+2	–3	=1501	58%	8
5/13Thursday, May 138:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gonzalez	1443	–24	+24	=1443	42%	13
5/12Wednesday, May 127:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1560	–1	+0	=1559	64%	2
5/12Wednesday, May 127:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1441	–8	+24	=1457	36%	3
5/12Wednesday, May 123:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1559	+35	+0	=1594	65%	5
5/12Wednesday, May 123:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1442	+19	+24	=1485	35%	3
5/11Tuesday, May 118:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Lamet	1557	+7	–1	=1563	64%	8
5/11Tuesday, May 118:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1444	–5	+23	=1462	36%	1
5/9Sunday, May 92:15 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1445	+17	+0	=1462	39%	0
5/9Sunday, May 92:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1511	+3	+24	=1538	61%	2
5/8Saturday, May 82:15 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gonzalez	1445	–19	+0	=1426	36%	8
5/8Saturday, May 82:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Martinez	1510	–8	+24	=1526	64%	9
5/7Friday, May 78:15 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1447	–8	–1	=1438	33%	0
5/7Friday, May 78:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1509	+29	+24	=1562	67%	5
5/5Wednesday, May 53:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1495	–15	+0	=1480	49%	5
5/5Wednesday, May 53:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1446	+15	+24	=1485	51%	6
5/4Tuesday, May 49:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1496	–3	+0	=1493	57%	6
5/4Tuesday, May 49:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Castellani	1444	–27	+24	=1441	43%	8
5/4Tuesday, May 45:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Sanchez	1493	–13	–1	=1479	48%	12
5/4Tuesday, May 45:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1447	+23	+23	=1493	52%	4
5/2Sunday, May 24:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gonzalez	1448	–19	+0	=1429	37%	4
5/2Sunday, May 24:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1493	+4	+24	=1521	63%	8
5/1Saturday, May 18:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1444	–9	+0	=1435	33%	14
5/1Saturday, May 18:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1497	+36	+24	=1557	67%	6
4/30Friday, April 309:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1446	+15	+0	=1461	42%	2
4/30Friday, April 309:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1495	–1	+24	=1518	58%	7
4/29Thursday, April 299:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1447	–7	–3	=1437	39%	3
4/29Thursday, April 299:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Weaver	1494	–2	+24	=1516	61%	5
4/28Wednesday, April 289:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1449	+24	+0	=1473	45%	3
4/28Wednesday, April 289:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1490	–5	+24	=1509	55%	7
4/27Tuesday, April 279:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gonzalez	1447	–20	+0	=1427	39%	7
4/27Tuesday, April 279:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Sanchez	1492	–13	+24	=1503	61%	5
4/26Monday, April 269:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1450	–3	–3	=1444	40%	0
4/26Monday, April 269:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1489	+0	+24	=1513	60%	12
4/25Sunday, April 253:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Anderson	1504	–11	+0	=1493	52%	2
4/25Sunday, April 253:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1446	+10	+24	=1480	48%	12
4/24Saturday, April 248:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Nola	1503	+32	+0	=1535	60%	7
4/24Saturday, April 248:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1447	–9	+24	=1462	40%	5
4/23Friday, April 238:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1504	–19	–2	=1483	49%	4
4/23Friday, April 238:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1446	+21	+26	=1493	51%	5
4/21Wednesday, April 213:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1543	+6	+0	=1549	62%	3
4/21Wednesday, April 213:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1444	–6	+24	=1462	38%	6
4/20Tuesday, April 208:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Garcia	1545	–15	–1	=1529	58%	2
4/20Tuesday, April 208:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1442	+7	+26	=1475	42%	6
4/18Sunday, April 183:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Stroman	1539	–5	+0	=1534	61%	2
4/18Sunday, April 183:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1443	–10	+24	=1457	39%	1
4/17Saturday, April 178:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Lucchesi	1541	–30	+0	=1511	54%	2
4/17Saturday, April 178:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1440	+19	+24	=1483	46%	7
4/17Saturday, April 175:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	deGrom	1541	+41	+1	=1583	69%	4
4/17Saturday, April 175:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gonzalez	1441	–20	+23	=1444	31%	3
4/15Thursday, April 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1442	–3	+0	=1439	27%	5
4/15Thursday, April 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1606	–19	+24	=1611	73%	7
4/14Wednesday, April 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1442	+13	+0	=1455	30%	2
4/14Wednesday, April 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1605	–27	+24	=1602	70%	4
4/13Tuesday, April 1310:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1443	–3	+0	=1440	23%	0
4/13Tuesday, April 1310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Bauer	1604	+23	+26	=1653	77%	7
4/11Sunday, April 114:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1445	+21	+0	=1466	44%	0
4/11Sunday, April 114:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1483	+2	+24	=1509	56%	4
4/10Saturday, April 104:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gonzalez	1446	–24	+0	=1422	39%	3
4/10Saturday, April 104:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1483	–9	+24	=1498	61%	4
4/9Friday, April 94:35 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1447	–8	–3	=1436	41%	1
4/9Friday, April 94:35 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cueto	1482	–3	+24	=1503	59%	3
4/8Thursday, April 83:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1485	+11	+0	=1496	53%	3
4/8Thursday, April 83:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1445	+7	+24	=1476	47%	7
4/7Wednesday, April 78:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1488	–6	+0	=1482	54%	0
4/7Wednesday, April 78:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1442	–8	+24	=1458	46%	8
4/6Tuesday, April 68:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Weaver	1487	–1	–1	=1485	49%	10
4/6Tuesday, April 68:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1443	+23	+26	=1492	51%	8
4/4Sunday, April 43:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1598	–19	+0	=1579	66%	4
4/4Sunday, April 43:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1444	–5	+24	=1463	34%	2
4/3Saturday, April 38:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1597	+9	+0	=1606	68%	6
4/3Saturday, April 38:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1444	+5	+24	=1473	32%	5
4/2Friday, April 28:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Bauer	1597	+26	+0	=1623	71%	11
4/2Friday, April 28:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1445	–4	+24	=1465	29%	6
4/1Thursday, April 14:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1599	+10	–3	=1606	66%	5
4/1Thursday, April 14:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1443	+25	+24	=1492	34%	8

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL West standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL West standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments