Updated Jul. 31, 2021, at 11:56 PM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Yankees have a 42% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1547, down 1 point from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
RaysRays63-4292%60%
Red SoxRed Sox63-430.579%29%
YankeesYankees55-487.042%6%
Blue JaysBlue Jays53-488.030%4%
OriolesOrioles37-6625.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15471+0=154657%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+24=150143%
8/2Monday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
143592=142431%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+21=156569%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Alexander
Wells
1435+0+0=143528%
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1547+30+24=160172%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
14352+0=143332%
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15474+24=156768%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 57:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1482+143=149341%
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
154713+24=155859%
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1482+10+0=149239%
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15471+24=157061%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 71:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14821+0=148138%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156862%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1482+13+0=149535%
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1547+30+24=160165%
8/9Monday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
154743=154061%
KCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
145714+22=146539%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
154713+0=153460%
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
145715+24=146640%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15471+0=154658%
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1457+11+24=149242%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 127:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
154732=154251%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+12=153549%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+2=154648%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+26=156352%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 152:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154448%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156152%
8/16Monday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+34=149840%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+21=156560%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 171:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+0=153044%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156856%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+0=153044%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156856%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+0=153044%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156856%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
149123=148638%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156862%
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
14912+0=148939%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156861%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 211:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
14912+0=148939%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156861%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
14912+0=148939%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156861%
8/23Monday, Aug. 237:20 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
154733=154149%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+21=155051%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:20 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154449%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+24=155351%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 269:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
154732=154249%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+26=154751%
8/27Friday, Aug. 279:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154450%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154550%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 284:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154450%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154550%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 294:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154450%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154550%
8/30Monday, Aug. 309:38 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
154732=154252%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+3+26=152848%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 319:38 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154453%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+3+24=152647%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 17:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154453%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+3+24=152647%
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144233%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+22=156667%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 41:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144233%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156867%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144233%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156867%
9/6Monday, Sept. 61:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+82=154146%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156854%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+0=154346%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156854%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+0=154346%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156854%
9/9Thursday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+0=154346%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156854%
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
154731=154349%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15301+21=155051%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154449%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15301+24=155351%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 128 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154449%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15301+24=155351%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154461%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+26=146839%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 157:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154461%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146639%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 165:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154461%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146639%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
150051=149440%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+22=156660%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 181:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+0=149540%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156860%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+0=149540%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156860%
9/20Monday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
144143=143431%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156869%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143732%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156868%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143732%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156868%
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154448%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+26=155652%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 254:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154449%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+24=155451%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 26NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154449%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+24=155451%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+3=154747%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+23=156653%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154447%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+24=156753%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154447%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+24=156753%
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
156063=155148%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+22=156652%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 21:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155448%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156852%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155448%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156852%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
7/31Saturday, July 316:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
154613+0=153351%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1477+24+24=152549%2
7/30Friday, July 307:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
154562=153755%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1478+3+23=150445%1
7/29Thursday, July 291:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1550+36+0=158655%0
TBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
155224+24=155245%14
7/28Wednesday, July 287 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
154844+0=150442%3
TBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
155417+24=156158%1
7/27Tuesday, July 277:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
154721=154445%4
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1555+3+23=158155%3
7/25Sunday, July 251:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
154820+0=152848%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
153316+24=154152%5
7/24Saturday, July 244:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15477+0=154045%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1534+19+24=157755%3
7/23Friday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1549+41+0=159053%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1532+11+24=156747%6
7/22Thursday, July 227:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
155042=154449%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1531+0+22=155351%5
7/21Wednesday, July 217:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Howard, Spencer
Howard
150923+0=148642%5
NYYNYYYankees
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
154934+24=153958%6
7/20Tuesday, July 207:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1510+11+1=152245%4
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
154820+26=155455%6
7/18Sunday, July 187 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
152815+0=151343%1
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15459+24=156057%9
7/17Saturday, July 177:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1529+16+0=154541%1
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1544+40+24=160859%3
7/16Friday, July 167:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1526+8+5=153946%4
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15464+28=157054%0
7/11Sunday, July 112:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15479+0=153843%7
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15664+24=158657%8
7/10Saturday, July 107:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1546+35+0=158148%1
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1568+1+24=159352%0
7/9Friday, July 98:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1543464=149337%4
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
15705+24=158963%0
7/8Thursday, July 84:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15462+0=154454%0
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1477+13+24=151446%4
7/7Wednesday, July 710:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Nelson, Nick
Nelson
154434+0=151048%5
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1478+23+24=152552%4
7/6Tuesday, July 610 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1541112=152855%12
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
148214+26=149445%1
7/4Sunday, July 47 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Oswalt, Corey
Oswalt
153839+0=149948%2
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
154052+24=151252%4
7/4Sunday, July 42:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15357+0=152839%10
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1543+42+24=160961%5
7/3Saturday, July 31:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1532+21=153344%8
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15451+29=157356%3
6/30Wednesday, June 307 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1498+18+0=151644%11
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
154715+24=155656%8
6/29Tuesday, June 297:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1500+9+0=150943%5
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15459+24=156057%11
6/28Monday, June 287:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
149883=148744%5
NYYNYYYankees
King, Michael
King
154737+22=153256%3
6/27Sunday, June 271:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1550+46+0=159657%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1522+2+24=154843%9
6/26Saturday, June 267:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15514+0=154749%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1520+11+24=155551%4
6/25Friday, June 257:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1552172=153351%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
151910+21=153049%5
6/24Thursday, June 241:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14674+0=146336%1
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
155113+24=156264%8
6/23Wednesday, June 237:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1467+21+0=148844%5
NYYNYYYankees
King, Michael
King
155041+24=153356%6
6/22Tuesday, June 227:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1466+91=147429%6
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1551+47+26=162471%5
6/20Sunday, June 201:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1526+10+0=153645%1
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15516+24=156955%2
6/19Saturday, June 191:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1527+21+0=154848%5
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
154913+24=156052%7
6/18Friday, June 187:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
152622=152245%5
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
155115+22=155855%3
6/17Thursday, June 177:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
King, Michael
King
154942+0=150744%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Zeuch, T.J.
Zeuch
15315+24=155056%4
6/16Wednesday, June 167:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1548+47+0=159557%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
153212+24=154443%2
6/15Tuesday, June 157:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15474+0=154344%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1533+27+22=158256%5
6/13Sunday, June 131:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15498+0=154150%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1503+13+24=154050%7
6/12Saturday, June 124:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1550111=153854%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150219+26=150946%8
6/10Thursday, June 108:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
King, Michael
King
155246+0=150647%5
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15042+24=152653%7
6/9Wednesday, June 98:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1550+44+0=159461%9
MINMINTwins
Dobnak, Randy
Dobnak
150510+24=151939%6
6/8Tuesday, June 88:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
154971=154150%8
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1507+13+24=154450%4
6/6Sunday, June 67 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
15237+0=151643%6
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
155012+24=156257%5
6/5Saturday, June 57:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1521+1+0=152244%7
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
155211+24=156556%3
6/4Friday, June 47:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1519+53=152149%5
NYYNYYYankees
King, Michael
King
155448+24=153051%2
6/3Thursday, June 31:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
155314+0=153937%9
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1557+48+24=162963%2
6/2Wednesday, June 27:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
15538+0=154546%3
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15569+24=157154%4
6/1Tuesday, June 17 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1555+21+0=157651%3
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
155512+24=156749%5
5/31Monday, May 311:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1554+153=156650%3
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
155611+22=156750%1
5/30Sunday, May 301:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
King, Michael
King
155946+0=151358%2
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
144515+24=145442%6
5/29Saturday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Garcia, Deivi
Garcia
156137+0=152456%1
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1443+18+24=148544%6
5/28Friday, May 287:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1563+482=160969%2
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1441+8+24=147331%3
5/27Thursday, May 277:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1529+5+0=153444%3
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15619+24=157656%5
5/27Thursday, May 274:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
15278+2=152142%2
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156316+26=157358%0
5/25Tuesday, May 257:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
152592=151439%6
NYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15651+26=159061%2
5/23Sunday, May 231:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153312+0=152143%4
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
156517+24=157257%5
5/22Saturday, May 221:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153419+0=151534%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1563+47+24=163466%7
5/21Friday, May 217:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
153541=153045%1
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
156214+21=156955%2
5/20Thursday, May 202:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156117+0=154457%2
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1461+9+24=149443%0
5/19Wednesday, May 198:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15605+0=155561%2
TEXTEXRangers
Yang, Hyeon-Jong
Yang
14627+24=147939%0
5/18Tuesday, May 188 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15599+0=155058%7
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1464+5+24=149342%4
5/17Monday, May 178:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1561+563=161470%2
TEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
146119+22=146430%5
5/16Sunday, May 161:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
156410+0=155464%6
BALBALOrioles
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
14408+24=145636%10
5/15Saturday, May 157:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156221+0=154163%8
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144215+24=145137%2
5/14Friday, May 147:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
156263=155362%5
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14421+24=146538%4
5/13Thursday, May 137:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15659+0=155649%1
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1529+9+24=156251%9
5/12Wednesday, May 127:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1564+52+0=161659%1
TBTBRays
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
15301+24=155341%0
5/11Tuesday, May 117 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1562121=154952%3
TBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
153217+22=153748%1
5/9Sunday, May 91:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
151513+0=150241%2
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156222+24=156459%3
5/8Saturday, May 81:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1516+34+0=155046%3
NYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15615+24=158054%4
5/7Friday, May 77:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1513152=149638%11
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15647+24=158162%4
5/6Thursday, May 61:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1547+3+0=155037%7
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1566+54+24=164463%4
5/5Wednesday, May 57:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15488+0=154045%3
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
156512+24=157755%6
5/4Tuesday, May 47 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1550+91=155849%3
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156322+26=156751%7
5/2Sunday, May 21:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
1436+4+0=144031%0
NYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
156211+24=157569%2
5/1Saturday, May 11:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1436+16+0=145233%4
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15626+24=158067%6
4/30Friday, April 307:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1437103=142423%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1561+54+22=163777%10
4/29Thursday, April 291:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15628+0=155466%3
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
143922+24=144134%4
4/28Wednesday, April 287:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156025+0=153559%7
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1441+3+24=146841%0
4/27Tuesday, April 277:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
155911+0=154863%5
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14428+24=145837%1
4/26Monday, April 267:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Garcia, Deivi
Garcia
1561282=153162%2
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
144119+24=144638%4
4/25Sunday, April 251:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15633+0=156056%3
CLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
150710+24=152144%7
4/24Saturday, April 246:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1562+52+0=161455%2
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1508+50+24=158245%1
4/23Friday, April 237:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15616+0=155558%5
CLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
150935+24=149842%3
4/22Thursday, April 226:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1559262=153149%6
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1511+4+26=154151%3
4/21Wednesday, April 216:30 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1529+4+0=153344%4
NYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
156112+24=157356%1
4/20Tuesday, April 206:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1530+201=154945%1
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15604+26=158255%3
4/18Sunday, April 181:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kittredge, Andrew
Kittredge
152618+0=150832%4
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1562+53+24=163968%2
4/17Saturday, April 171:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1524+25+0=154945%6
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15645+24=158355%3
4/16Friday, April 167:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1521223=149641%8
NYYNYYYankees
Nelson, Nick
Nelson
156731+24=156059%2
4/14Wednesday, April 141:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15688+0=156051%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Zeuch, T.J.
Zeuch
1520+7+24=155149%5
4/13Tuesday, April 137:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1570+0+0=157049%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1518+35+24=157751%7
4/12Monday, April 127:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1569+493=161560%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
15192+26=154340%1
4/11Sunday, April 111:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15674+0=156353%8
TBTBRays
Honeywell Jr., Brent
Honeywell Jr.
153014+24=154047%4
4/10Saturday, April 101:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156924+0=154550%0
TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
15284+24=154850%4
4/9Friday, April 93:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
157161=156450%5
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1525+15+23=156350%10
4/7Wednesday, April 76:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1442+34+0=147634%4
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15723+24=159366%3
4/6Tuesday, April 66:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1442+7+0=144925%2
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1572+43+24=163975%7
4/5Monday, April 56:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
1444232=141928%0
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15709+24=158572%7
4/4Sunday, April 41:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Zeuch, T.J.
Zeuch
1519+6+0=152543%3
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
157221+24=157557%1
4/3Saturday, April 31:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15205+2=151739%3
NYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15713+26=159461%5
4/1Thursday, April 11:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1519+352=155238%3
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1572+44+24=164062%2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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