Updated Apr. 11, 2021, at 10:17 PM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Yankees have an 80% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1569, down 1 point from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees4-52.080%58%
RaysRays4-52.043%18%
Blue JaysBlue Jays4-52.034%13%
Red SoxRed Sox6-328%10%
OriolesOrioles4-52.01%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/12Monday, April 127:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1569+493=161560%
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
15192+26=154340%
4/13Tuesday, April 137:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1569+1+0=157049%
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1519+36+24=157951%
4/14Wednesday, April 143:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15699+0=156054%
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15199+24=153446%
4/16Friday, April 167:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1528223=150338%
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15697+24=158662%
4/17Saturday, April 171:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1528+19+0=154737%
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1569+49+24=164263%
4/18Sunday, April 181:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
1528+3+0=153141%
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1569+1+24=159459%
4/20Tuesday, April 206:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1533+181=155045%
NYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15699+26=158655%
4/21Wednesday, April 216:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1533+4+0=153743%
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15697+24=158657%
4/22Thursday, April 226:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+02=156754%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153946%
4/23Friday, April 237:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156954%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153946%
4/24Saturday, April 246:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156954%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153946%
4/25Sunday, April 251:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156954%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153946%
4/26Monday, April 267:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+02=156765%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146335%
4/27Tuesday, April 277:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156965%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146335%
4/28Wednesday, April 287:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156965%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146335%
4/29Thursday, April 291:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156965%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146335%
4/30Friday, April 307:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+03=143829%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+22=159171%
5/1Saturday, May 11:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+0=144130%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159370%
5/2Sunday, May 21:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+0=144130%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159370%
5/4Tuesday, May 47 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+01=155645%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+26=159555%
5/5Wednesday, May 57:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+0=155745%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159355%
5/6Thursday, May 61:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+0=155745%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159355%
5/7Friday, May 77:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+02=151339%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159361%
5/8Saturday, May 81:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151539%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159361%
5/9Sunday, May 91:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151539%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159361%
5/11Tuesday, May 117:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+01=156853%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+22=155047%
5/12Wednesday, May 127:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156952%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155248%
5/13Thursday, May 137:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156952%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155248%
5/14Friday, May 147:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+03=156664%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146336%
5/15Saturday, May 157:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156965%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146335%
5/16Sunday, May 161:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156965%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146335%
5/17Monday, May 178:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+03=156662%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+22=147838%
5/18Tuesday, May 188:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156962%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148038%
5/19Wednesday, May 198:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156962%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148038%
5/20Thursday, May 202:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156962%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148038%
5/21Friday, May 217:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+01=151640%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+21=159060%
5/22Saturday, May 221:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151739%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159361%
5/23Sunday, May 231:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151739%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159361%
5/25Tuesday, May 257:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+02=151739%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+26=159561%
5/26Wednesday, May 267:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+0=151940%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159360%
5/27Thursday, May 277:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+0=151940%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159360%
5/28Friday, May 287:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+02=156764%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+24=146536%
5/29Saturday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156964%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+24=146536%
5/30Sunday, May 301:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156964%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+24=146536%
5/31Monday, May 311:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+03=152541%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+22=159159%
6/1Tuesday, June 17:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152841%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159359%
6/2Wednesday, June 27:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152841%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159359%
6/3Thursday, June 31:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152841%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159359%
6/4Friday, June 47:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+03=150538%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159362%
6/5Saturday, June 57:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150838%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159362%
6/6Sunday, June 61:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150838%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159362%
6/8Tuesday, June 88:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+01=156850%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156550%
6/9Wednesday, June 98:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156950%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156550%
6/10Thursday, June 108:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156950%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156550%
6/12Saturday, June 124:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+01=156854%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+26=153646%
6/13Sunday, June 131:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156955%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153445%
6/15Tuesday, June 157:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156954%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+22=154146%
6/16Wednesday, June 167:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156954%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+24=154346%
6/17Thursday, June 177:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156954%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+24=154346%
6/18Friday, June 187:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+02=150338%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+22=159162%
6/19Saturday, June 191:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150538%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159362%
6/20Sunday, June 201:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150538%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159362%
6/22Tuesday, June 227:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+01=147133%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+26=159567%
6/23Wednesday, June 237:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147233%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159367%
6/24Thursday, June 241:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147233%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159367%
6/25Friday, June 257:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+02=156755%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+21=152945%
6/26Saturday, June 267:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156955%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153245%
6/27Sunday, June 27NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156955%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153245%
6/28Monday, June 287:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+03=150838%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159362%
6/29Tuesday, June 297:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+0=151138%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159362%
6/30Wednesday, June 307:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+0=151138%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159362%
7/1Thursday, July 11:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+0=151138%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159362%
7/2Friday, July 27:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+03=153342%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159358%
7/3Saturday, July 31:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153642%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159358%
7/4Sunday, July 47:08 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153642%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159358%
7/6Tuesday, July 610:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+02=156760%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+26=149540%
7/7Wednesday, July 710:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156961%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149339%
7/8Thursday, July 84:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156961%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149339%
7/9Friday, July 98:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+04=156548%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158152%
7/10Saturday, July 107:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156948%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158152%
7/11Sunday, July 112:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156948%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158152%
7/15Thursday, July 157:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+5=151338%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+28=159762%
7/16Friday, July 167:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150838%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159362%
7/17Saturday, July 177:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150838%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159362%
7/18Sunday, July 187:08 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150838%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159362%
7/20Tuesday, July 207:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+1=151138%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+26=159562%
7/21Wednesday, July 217:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151038%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159362%
7/22Thursday, July 227:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+02=156755%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+22=153045%
7/23Friday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156955%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153245%
7/24Saturday, July 244:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156955%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153245%
7/25Sunday, July 25NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156955%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153245%
7/27Tuesday, July 277:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+2=157153%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+23=155147%
7/28Wednesday, July 287:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156952%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155248%
7/29Thursday, July 291:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156952%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155248%
7/30Friday, July 307:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+02=156762%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+23=148438%
7/31Saturday, July 316:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156962%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148538%
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156962%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148538%
8/2Monday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+02=143729%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+21=159071%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143929%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159371%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143929%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159371%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 57:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+03=146633%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159367%
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146933%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159367%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 71:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146933%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159367%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146933%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159367%
8/9Monday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+03=156660%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+22=149440%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156960%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149640%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156960%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149640%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 127:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+02=156757%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+02=151543%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+2=157154%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+26=154346%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 152:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156954%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154146%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150838%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+23=159262%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150838%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159362%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+03=153842%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159358%
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154143%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159357%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 211:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154143%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159357%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154143%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159357%
8/23Monday, Aug. 237:20 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+03=156652%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+21=155448%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:20 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156952%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+24=155748%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 269:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+02=156755%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+26=153145%
8/27Friday, Aug. 279:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156956%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152944%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 284:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156956%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152944%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 294:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156956%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152944%
8/30Monday, Aug. 309:38 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+02=156754%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+26=153746%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 319:38 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156955%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+24=153545%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 14:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156955%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+24=153545%
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143929%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+22=159171%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 41:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143929%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159371%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143929%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159371%
9/6Monday, Sept. 61:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+02=151739%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159361%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+0=151940%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159360%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+0=151940%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159360%
9/9Thursday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+0=151940%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159360%
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+01=156852%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+21=155748%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156951%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156049%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 128:08 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156951%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156049%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156965%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+26=146535%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 157:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156965%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146335%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 165:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156965%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146335%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+01=151439%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+22=159161%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 181:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151539%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159361%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151539%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159361%
9/20Monday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+03=145331%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159369%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145631%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159369%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145631%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159369%
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156955%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+26=153445%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 254:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156955%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153245%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 26NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156955%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153245%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+3=157254%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+23=154246%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156954%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+24=154346%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156954%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+24=154346%
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+03=152541%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+22=159159%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 21:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152841%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159359%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152841%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159359%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/11Sunday, April 111:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15674+0=156353%8
TBTBRays
Honeywell Jr., Brent
Honeywell Jr.
153014+24=154047%4
4/10Saturday, April 101:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156924+0=154550%0
TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
15284+24=154850%4
4/9Friday, April 93:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
157161=156450%5
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1525+15+23=156350%10
4/7Wednesday, April 76:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1442+34+0=147634%4
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15723+24=159366%3
4/6Tuesday, April 66:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1442+7+0=144925%2
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1572+43+24=163975%7
4/5Monday, April 56:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
1444232=141928%0
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15709+24=158572%7
4/4Sunday, April 41:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Zeuch, T.J.
Zeuch
1519+6+0=152543%3
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
157221+24=157557%1
4/3Saturday, April 31:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15205+2=151739%3
NYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15713+26=159461%5
4/1Thursday, April 11:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1519+352=155238%3
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1572+44+24=164062%2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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