Updated Jul. 31, 2021, at 11:56 PM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Tigers have a <1% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1464, down 2 points from last week.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
White SoxWhite Sox61-4495%95%
IndiansIndians51-508.08%5%
TigersTigers50-5712.0<1%<1%
TwinsTwins44-6117.0<1%<1%
RoyalsRoyals45-5815.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
1435+9+0=144446%
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
146416+24=147254%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
1527211=150553%
DETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14645+26=148547%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1527+7+0=153454%
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1464+16+24=150446%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 51:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
152718+0=150953%
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1464+0+24=148847%
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
1464141=144940%
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15006+22=151660%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
146416+0=144840%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+24=151960%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14645+0=145938%
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1500+18+24=154262%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1464+16+0=148053%
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Alexander
Wells
1435+0+26=146147%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1464+0+0=146450%
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Hunter
Harvey
1435+4+24=146350%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 124:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+0=146249%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146651%
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
150051=149451%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+22=148449%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 146:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+0=149551%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148649%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 151:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+0=149551%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148649%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+32=150052%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+26=148848%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 187:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+3+0=150252%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148648%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 191:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+3+0=150252%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148648%
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
146422=146035%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+24=156765%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 213:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+0=146235%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+24=156765%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+0=146235%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+24=156765%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:45 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
146421=146142%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14945+26=151558%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 251:15 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+0=146243%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14945+24=151357%
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+82=154158%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148642%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 286:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+0=154358%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148642%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+0=154358%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148642%
8/30Monday, Aug. 302:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
149123=148650%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148650%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
152432=151955%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148645%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152155%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148645%
9/2Thursday, Sept. 21:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152155%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148645%
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
146422=146040%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+26=153360%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 47:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+0=146240%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+24=153160%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+0=146240%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+24=153160%
9/6Monday, Sept. 61:35 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
146422=146051%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14321+22=145349%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 76:35 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+0=146251%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14321+24=145549%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 86:35 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+0=146251%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14321+24=145549%
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
156061=155360%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148640%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 116:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155460%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148640%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155460%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148640%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 146:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+1=154258%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+26=148842%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 151:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+0=154158%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148642%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
146423=145934%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+21=157566%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+0=146234%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157866%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 184:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+0=146234%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157866%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+0=146234%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157866%
9/20Monday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+13=153457%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+21=148343%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153757%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148643%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 221:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153757%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148643%
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+1=145445%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+26=148855%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 256:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+0=145345%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148655%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 261:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+0=145345%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148655%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
146421=146142%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
14912+26=151558%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+0=146243%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
14912+24=151357%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+0=146243%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
14912+24=151357%
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
146422=146036%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+26=156364%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+0=146236%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156164%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+0=146236%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156164%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
7/31Saturday, July 316:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1434+44+0=147850%5
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
146612+24=147850%2
7/30Friday, July 307:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
14326+0=142640%4
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1467+2+24=149360%3
7/29Thursday, July 297:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Alexander
Wells
1434+62=143841%2
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1466+13+21=150059%6
7/28Wednesday, July 281:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
1464+0+0=146446%17
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
149221+24=149554%14
7/27Tuesday, July 278:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
146314+0=144938%6
MINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1493+15+24=153262%5
7/26Monday, July 268:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
1463142=144739%5
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1493+11+24=152861%6
7/25Sunday, July 252:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1466+4+0=147053%1
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
145225+24=145147%6
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1467+11+0=147853%8
KCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
145114+24=146147%9
7/23Friday, July 238:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
1468+13=146652%3
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
145018+24=145648%5
7/22Thursday, July 221:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
14459+0=143645%5
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
146718+24=147355%7
7/21Wednesday, July 217:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
144613+0=143345%2
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
146619+24=147155%4
7/20Tuesday, July 207:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1448+13+0=146146%1
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1464+1+24=148954%4
7/19Monday, July 197:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1452+322=148248%0
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1460+10+24=149452%14
7/18Sunday, July 181:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
149713+0=148450%0
DETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14581+24=148150%7
7/17Saturday, July 176:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1499+15+0=151457%4
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
145715+24=146643%5
7/17Saturday, July 171:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Barnes, Charlie
Barnes
150016+4=148855%0
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
145527+28=145645%1
7/11Sunday, July 112:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14562+0=145436%9
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1499+28+24=155164%12
7/10Saturday, July 102:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Funkhouser, Kyle
Funkhouser
14586+0=145241%4
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
14977+24=151459%9
7/9Friday, July 98:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
145921+0=143837%2
MINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1496+12+24=153263%4
7/8Thursday, July 88:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1460+53=146244%3
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
149514+24=150556%5
7/7Wednesday, July 72:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1459+14+0=147344%5
TEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1460+29+24=151356%3
7/6Tuesday, July 68:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
146024+0=143643%5
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1458+4+24=148657%10
7/5Monday, July 58:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
145893=144646%7
TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
14606+20=147454%3
7/4Sunday, July 41:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1536+12+0=154862%5
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
145719+24=146238%6
7/3Saturday, July 34:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153917+0=152255%5
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1454+7+24=148545%11
7/2Friday, July 27:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1537+242=155959%8
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1456+14+25=149541%2
6/30Wednesday, June 3010:15 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
145313+0=144043%7
CLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
150945+24=148857%1
6/30Wednesday, June 304:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
145020+2=143238%9
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
151220+26=151862%4
6/28Monday, June 287:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
145381=144441%5
CLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
151025+21=150659%13
6/27Sunday, June 271:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
157710+0=156763%1
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14511+24=147437%2
6/26Saturday, June 266:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
15764+0=157266%3
DETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
145217+24=145934%2
6/26Saturday, June 261:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15781+2=157963%1
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1450+12+26=148837%3
6/24Thursday, June 247:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1576+62=158067%12
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
145216+24=146033%3
6/23Wednesday, June 231:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
14948+0=148653%2
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
14506+24=146847%6
6/22Tuesday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
1497201=147651%2
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14472+22=146749%8
6/20Sunday, June 204:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1446+13+0=145941%5
LAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15068+24=152259%3
6/19Saturday, June 1910:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
144715+0=143238%3
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
150512+24=151762%8
6/18Friday, June 189:38 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
144912+0=143737%3
LAALAAAngels
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1503+0+24=152763%11
6/17Thursday, June 179:38 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
1450123=143536%5
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1502+13+22=153764%7
6/16Wednesday, June 162:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14494+0=144542%6
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1466+9+24=149958%5
6/15Tuesday, June 158:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1448+11+0=145942%4
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1467+22+24=151358%3
6/14Monday, June 148:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1445+03=144243%10
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1470+1+20=149157%3
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1542+2+0=154462%4
DETDETTigers
Funkhouser, Kyle
Funkhouser
144612+24=145838%1
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153919+0=152057%15
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
14494+24=146943%2
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1538+122=154861%5
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14505+24=146939%4
6/10Thursday, June 101:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1469+2+0=147153%3
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
144718+24=145347%8
6/9Wednesday, June 97:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
146725+0=144244%9
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1449+9+24=148256%6
6/8Tuesday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1469+272=149454%3
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
14484+24=146846%5
6/6Sunday, June 62:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
14494+0=144537%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153622+24=153863%3
6/5Saturday, June 52:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14478+0=143931%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1537+17+24=157869%3
6/4Friday, June 48:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1448+20+0=146839%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153718+24=154361%9
6/3Thursday, June 38:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1449+9+1=145932%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1536+30+24=159068%4
6/1Tuesday, June 17:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1447+2+0=144942%10
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
151633+24=150758%7
5/31Monday, May 312:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
1448182=142831%2
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1515+27+21=156369%3
5/30Sunday, May 301:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
King, Michael
King
155946+0=151358%2
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
144515+24=145442%6
5/29Saturday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Garcia, Deivi
Garcia
156137+0=152456%1
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1443+18+24=148544%6
5/28Friday, May 287:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1563+482=160969%2
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1441+8+24=147331%3
5/27Thursday, May 271:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1512+39+0=155161%5
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1442+6+24=147239%2
5/26Wednesday, May 267:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
151424+0=149054%0
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
14414+24=146146%1
5/25Tuesday, May 257:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1512+10+0=152260%4
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
144216+24=145040%1
5/24Monday, May 247:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Hentges, Sam
Hentges
1511271=148350%6
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1443+20+21=148450%5
5/23Sunday, May 232:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1444+3+0=144744%2
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14695+24=148856%3
5/22Saturday, May 224:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1445+11+0=145644%5
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1467+9+24=150056%7
5/21Friday, May 218:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
144412=144141%7
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1469+12+26=150759%5
5/19Wednesday, May 1910:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
144118+0=142341%6
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
14717+24=148859%2
5/18Tuesday, May 1810:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1439+13+0=145243%5
SEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1473+5+24=150257%0
5/17Monday, May 1710:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
143714=143240%4
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1475+5+24=150460%1
5/16Sunday, May 161:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1502+15+0=151756%5
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1438+14+24=147644%1
5/15Saturday, May 154:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Williams, Trevor
Williams
150322+0=148152%8
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
1437+5+24=146648%9
5/14Friday, May 147:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15022+1=150158%4
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
143816+24=144642%2
5/13Thursday, May 131:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
146331+0=143244%3
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1437+11+24=147256%4
5/12Wednesday, May 127:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1465+17+0=148254%2
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
14365+24=145546%4
5/11Tuesday, May 117:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1466+131=147851%7
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1435+11+29=147549%8
5/8Saturday, May 84:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1523+9+0=153259%3
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
1432+9+24=146541%7
5/7Friday, May 77:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1521203=149859%7
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
143418+21=143741%3
5/6Thursday, May 61:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1435+14+0=144937%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1510+4+24=153863%12
5/5Wednesday, May 57:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
143410+0=142437%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
151117+24=151863%5
5/4Tuesday, May 47:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
14359+0=142636%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15109+22=152364%11
5/2Sunday, May 21:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
1436+4+0=144031%0
NYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
156211+24=157569%2
5/1Saturday, May 11:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1436+16+0=145233%4
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15626+24=158067%6
4/30Friday, April 307:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1437103=142423%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1561+54+22=163777%10
4/29Thursday, April 298:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1440+13+0=145341%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
152130+24=151559%11
4/29Thursday, April 295:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
144116+2=142734%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
15205+26=154166%3
4/27Tuesday, April 278:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
1439+12=143832%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1523+19+26=156868%2
4/26Monday, April 261:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14773+0=147449%3
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1440+15+24=147951%2
4/25Sunday, April 251:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1475+7+0=148254%4
DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
144110+24=145546%0
4/24Saturday, April 241:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1474+8+0=148251%2
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1442+10+24=147649%1
4/23Friday, April 237:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1472+111=148253%6
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
14445+24=146347%2
4/22Thursday, April 221:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14388+0=143044%4
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
14461+24=146956%2
4/21Wednesday, April 216:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Yajure, Miguel
Yajure
14401+0=143944%2
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1444+14+24=148256%5
4/21Wednesday, April 212:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1439+8+3=145048%3
DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
144510+25=146052%2
4/18Sunday, April 184:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1446+8+0=145436%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1513+15+24=155264%3
4/17Saturday, April 174:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1448+3+0=145140%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
151116+24=151960%7
4/16Friday, April 169:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
14492+0=144738%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15092+24=153162%3
4/15Thursday, April 159:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
145074=143936%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1508+9+23=154064%8
4/14Wednesday, April 147:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
144811+0=143731%6
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1551+4+24=157969%4
4/13Tuesday, April 138:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1445+5+0=145032%8
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1554+4+24=158268%2
4/12Monday, April 128:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
144153=143328%6
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1557+17+26=160072%2
4/11Sunday, April 111:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
14431+0=144242%2
CLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
151437+24=150158%5
4/10Saturday, April 106:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1445+5+0=145038%3
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
15122+24=153462%11
4/9Friday, April 97:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
144613+1=143434%1
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1511+15+26=155266%4
4/7Wednesday, April 71:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1542+13+0=155562%3
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1446+2+24=147238%2
4/6Tuesday, April 61:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15436+0=153761%3
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
14458+24=146139%4
4/5Monday, April 51:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
154172=153258%15
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
1448+3+24=147542%6
4/4Sunday, April 41:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
15102+0=150855%9
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1450+2+24=147645%3
4/3Saturday, April 31:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1512+16+2=153060%2
DETDETTigers
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
144813+26=146140%5
4/1Thursday, April 11:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1513+441=155662%2
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
14461+24=146938%3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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