Updated Oct. 24, 2021, at 1:44 PM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Tigers are done for the season.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
White SoxWhite Sox93-69
IndiansIndians80-8213.0
TigersTigers77-8516.0
RoyalsRoyals74-8819.0
TwinsTwins73-8920.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
1473+0+0=147337%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1544+0+24=156863%2
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
147420+0=145432%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1543+16+24=158368%5
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
1475+02=147334%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1541+19+26=158666%8
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1473+8+0=148143%10
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1495+13+24=153257%7
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1475+9+0=148443%2
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1493+14+24=153157%5
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
147643=146945%2
MINMINTwins
Barnes, Charlie
Barnes
149317+26=150255%3
9/27Monday, Sept. 271:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1537401=149652%8
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
147716+24=148548%7
9/26Sunday, Sept. 2612:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
147012+0=145844%2
DETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
1478+0+24=150256%1
9/25Saturday, Sept. 256:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jon
Heasley
147113+0=145843%1
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1476+5+24=150557%5
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
1470+2+4=147644%3
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1478+9+29=151656%1
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 211:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153738+0=149950%3
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14764+24=149650%5
9/20Monday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1538+183=155361%3
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
147517+21=147939%4
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14733+0=147031%2
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1570+13+24=160769%0
9/18Saturday, Sept. 184:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1472+7+0=147935%4
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
157110+24=158565%3
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1473+9+0=148236%4
TBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
157016+24=157864%7
9/16Thursday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
147433=146836%2
TBTBRays
Head, Louis
Head
156921+21=156964%5
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 151:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1552+15+0=156763%1
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
147223+24=147337%4
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 146:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15532+1=155259%0
DETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14707+26=148941%1
9/12Sunday, Sept. 1212:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
157314+0=155958%7
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1469+6+24=149942%8
9/11Saturday, Sept. 116:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
15717+0=156458%7
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1471+14+24=150942%2
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1574171=155659%4
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14682+24=149041%10
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 86:35 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
146623+0=144350%5
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14212+24=144350%1
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 76:35 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14676+0=146154%2
PITPITPirates
Peters, Dillon
Peters
14207+24=143746%3
9/6Monday, Sept. 61:35 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1469+72=147454%3
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1418+10+22=145046%6
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1467+11+0=147840%4
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1512+11+24=154760%1
9/4Saturday, Sept. 47:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1468+2+0=147040%4
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1511+9+24=154460%7
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
146442=145840%15
CINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
151513+26=152860%5
9/2Thursday, Sept. 21:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1525+18+0=154359%8
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
146512+24=147741%6
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
15267+0=151956%6
DETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14637+24=148044%8
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1524102=151252%9
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1466+10+24=150048%3
8/30Monday, Aug. 302:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1492+123=150150%3
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1467+8+24=149950%2
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1530+13+0=154357%2
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1467+0+24=149143%1
8/28Saturday, Aug. 286:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1529+6+0=153559%3
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
146824+24=146841%2
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
1530122=151656%1
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
146720+24=147144%2
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 251:15 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1468+11+0=147949%2
STLSTLCardinals
Lester, Jon
Lester
149737+24=148451%3
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:45 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1467+71=147338%4
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1498+31+26=155562%3
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
146534+0=143134%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
153314+24=154366%3
8/21Saturday, Aug. 213:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14667+0=145935%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1532+11+24=156765%3
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
146382=145332%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1535+22+24=158168%1
8/19Thursday, Aug. 191:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
150120+0=148152%13
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
146519+24=147048%10
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 187:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1500+22+0=152253%3
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1466+11+24=150147%1
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
149892=148747%8
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1469+10+26=150553%2
8/15Sunday, Aug. 151:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
14952+0=149354%11
DETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
147228+24=146846%0
8/14Saturday, Aug. 146:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Hentges, Sam
Hentges
149629+0=146747%4
DETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14716+24=148953%6
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1495+81=150252%7
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14729+22=148548%4
8/12Thursday, Aug. 124:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
147120+0=145144%6
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1425+44+24=149356%4
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1469+5+0=147454%5
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
14272+24=144946%2
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1467+12+0=147956%9
BALBALOrioles
Akin, Keegan
Akin
142819+26=143544%4
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14685+0=146340%5
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1498+11+24=153360%7
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
146714+0=145341%2
CLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
14999+24=151459%1
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
1469141=145441%1
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
14972+22=151759%6
8/5Thursday, Aug. 51:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
152618+0=150852%1
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1466+1+24=149148%8
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1525+8+0=153354%4
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1467+16+24=150746%1
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
1526211=150452%2
DETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14665+26=148748%4
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
1435+9+0=144446%2
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
146416+24=147254%6
7/31Saturday, July 316:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1434+44+0=147850%5
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
146612+24=147850%2
7/30Friday, July 307:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
14326+0=142640%4
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1467+2+24=149360%3
7/29Thursday, July 297:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Alexander
Wells
1434+62=143841%2
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1466+13+21=150059%6
7/28Wednesday, July 281:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
1464+0+0=146446%17
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
149221+24=149554%14
7/27Tuesday, July 278:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
146314+0=144938%6
MINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1493+15+24=153262%5
7/26Monday, July 268:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
1463142=144739%5
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1493+11+24=152861%6
7/25Sunday, July 252:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1466+4+0=147053%1
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
145225+24=145147%6
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1467+11+0=147853%8
KCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
145114+24=146147%9
7/23Friday, July 238:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
1468+13=146652%3
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
145018+24=145648%5
7/22Thursday, July 221:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
14459+0=143645%5
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
146718+24=147355%7
7/21Wednesday, July 217:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
144613+0=143345%2
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
146619+24=147155%4
7/20Tuesday, July 207:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1448+13+0=146146%1
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1464+1+24=148954%4
7/19Monday, July 197:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1452+322=148248%0
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1460+10+24=149452%14
7/18Sunday, July 181:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
149713+0=148450%0
DETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14581+24=148150%7
7/17Saturday, July 176:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1499+15+0=151457%4
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
145715+24=146643%5
7/17Saturday, July 171:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Barnes, Charlie
Barnes
150016+4=148855%0
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
145527+28=145645%1
7/11Sunday, July 112:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14562+0=145436%9
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1499+28+24=155164%12
7/10Saturday, July 102:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Funkhouser, Kyle
Funkhouser
14586+0=145241%4
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
14977+24=151459%9
7/9Friday, July 98:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
145921+0=143837%2
MINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1496+12+24=153263%4
7/8Thursday, July 88:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1460+53=146244%3
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
149514+24=150556%5
7/7Wednesday, July 72:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1459+14+0=147344%5
TEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1460+29+24=151356%3
7/6Tuesday, July 68:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
146024+0=143643%5
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1458+4+24=148657%10
7/5Monday, July 58:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
145893=144646%7
TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
14606+20=147454%3
7/4Sunday, July 41:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1536+12+0=154862%5
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
145719+24=146238%6
7/3Saturday, July 34:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153917+0=152255%5
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1454+7+24=148545%11
7/2Friday, July 27:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1537+242=155959%8
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1456+14+25=149541%2
6/30Wednesday, June 3010:15 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
145313+0=144043%7
CLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
150945+24=148857%1
6/30Wednesday, June 304:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
145020+2=143238%9
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
151220+26=151862%4
6/28Monday, June 287:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
145381=144441%5
CLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
151025+21=150659%13
6/27Sunday, June 271:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
157710+0=156763%1
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14511+24=147437%2
6/26Saturday, June 266:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
15764+0=157266%3
DETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
145217+24=145934%2
6/26Saturday, June 261:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15781+2=157963%1
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1450+12+26=148837%3
6/24Thursday, June 247:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1576+62=158067%12
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
145216+24=146033%3
6/23Wednesday, June 231:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
14948+0=148653%2
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
14506+24=146847%6
6/22Tuesday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
1497201=147651%2
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14472+22=146749%8
6/20Sunday, June 204:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1446+13+0=145941%5
LAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15068+24=152259%3
6/19Saturday, June 1910:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
144715+0=143238%3
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
150512+24=151762%8
6/18Friday, June 189:38 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
144912+0=143737%3
LAALAAAngels
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1503+0+24=152763%11
6/17Thursday, June 179:38 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
1450123=143536%5
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1502+13+22=153764%7
6/16Wednesday, June 162:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14494+0=144542%6
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1466+9+24=149958%5
6/15Tuesday, June 158:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1448+11+0=145942%4
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1467+22+24=151358%3
6/14Monday, June 148:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1445+03=144243%10
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1470+1+20=149157%3
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1542+2+0=154462%4
DETDETTigers
Funkhouser, Kyle
Funkhouser
144612+24=145838%1
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153919+0=152057%15
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
14494+24=146943%2
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1538+122=154861%5
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14505+24=146939%4
6/10Thursday, June 101:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1469+2+0=147153%3
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
144718+24=145347%8
6/9Wednesday, June 97:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
146725+0=144244%9
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1449+9+24=148256%6
6/8Tuesday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1469+272=149454%3
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
14484+24=146846%5
6/6Sunday, June 62:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
14494+0=144537%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153622+24=153863%3
6/5Saturday, June 52:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14478+0=143931%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1537+17+24=157869%3
6/4Friday, June 48:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1448+20+0=146839%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153718+24=154361%9
6/3Thursday, June 38:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1449+9+1=145932%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1536+30+24=159068%4
6/1Tuesday, June 17:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1447+2+0=144942%10
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
151633+24=150758%7
5/31Monday, May 312:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
1448182=142831%2
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1515+27+21=156369%3
5/30Sunday, May 301:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
King, Michael
King
155946+0=151358%2
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
144515+24=145442%6
5/29Saturday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Garcia, Deivi
Garcia
156137+0=152456%1
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1443+18+24=148544%6
5/28Friday, May 287:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1563+482=160969%2
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1441+8+24=147331%3
5/27Thursday, May 271:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1512+39+0=155161%5
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1442+6+24=147239%2
5/26Wednesday, May 267:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
151424+0=149054%0
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
14414+24=146146%1
5/25Tuesday, May 257:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1512+10+0=152260%4
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
144216+24=145040%1
5/24Monday, May 247:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Hentges, Sam
Hentges
1511271=148350%6
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1443+20+21=148450%5
5/23Sunday, May 232:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1444+3+0=144744%2
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14695+24=148856%3
5/22Saturday, May 224:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1445+11+0=145644%5
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1467+9+24=150056%7
5/21Friday, May 218:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
144412=144141%7
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1469+12+26=150759%5
5/19Wednesday, May 1910:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
144118+0=142341%6
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
14717+24=148859%2
5/18Tuesday, May 1810:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1439+13+0=145243%5
SEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1473+5+24=150257%0
5/17Monday, May 1710:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
143714=143240%4
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1475+5+24=150460%1
5/16Sunday, May 161:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1502+15+0=151756%5
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1438+14+24=147644%1
5/15Saturday, May 154:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Williams, Trevor
Williams
150322+0=148152%8
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
1437+5+24=146648%9
5/14Friday, May 147:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15022+1=150158%4
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
143816+24=144642%2
5/13Thursday, May 131:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
146331+0=143244%3
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1437+11+24=147256%4
5/12Wednesday, May 127:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1465+17+0=148254%2
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
14365+24=145546%4
5/11Tuesday, May 117:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1466+131=147851%7
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1435+11+29=147549%8
5/8Saturday, May 84:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1523+9+0=153259%3
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
1432+9+24=146541%7
5/7Friday, May 77:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1521203=149859%7
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
143418+21=143741%3
5/6Thursday, May 61:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1435+14+0=144937%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1510+4+24=153863%12
5/5Wednesday, May 57:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
143410+0=142437%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
151117+24=151863%5
5/4Tuesday, May 47:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
14359+0=142636%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15109+22=152364%11
5/2Sunday, May 21:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
1436+4+0=144031%0
NYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
156211+24=157569%2
5/1Saturday, May 11:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1436+16+0=145233%4
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15626+24=158067%6
4/30Friday, April 307:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1437103=142423%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1561+54+22=163777%10
4/29Thursday, April 298:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1440+13+0=145341%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
152130+24=151559%11
4/29Thursday, April 295:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
144116+2=142734%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
15205+26=154166%3
4/27Tuesday, April 278:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
1439+12=143832%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1523+19+26=156868%2
4/26Monday, April 261:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14773+0=147449%3
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1440+15+24=147951%2
4/25Sunday, April 251:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1475+7+0=148254%4
DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
144110+24=145546%0
4/24Saturday, April 241:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1474+8+0=148251%2
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1442+10+24=147649%1
4/23Friday, April 237:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1472+111=148253%6
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
14445+24=146347%2
4/22Thursday, April 221:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14388+0=143044%4
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
14461+24=146956%2
4/21Wednesday, April 216:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Yajure, Miguel
Yajure
14401+0=143944%2
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1444+14+24=148256%5
4/21Wednesday, April 212:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1439+8+3=145048%3
DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
144510+25=146052%2
4/18Sunday, April 184:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1446+8+0=145436%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1513+15+24=155264%3
4/17Saturday, April 174:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1448+3+0=145140%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
151116+24=151960%7
4/16Friday, April 169:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
14492+0=144738%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15092+24=153162%3
4/15Thursday, April 159:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
145074=143936%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1508+9+23=154064%8
4/14Wednesday, April 147:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
144811+0=143731%6
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1551+4+24=157969%4
4/13Tuesday, April 138:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1445+5+0=145032%8
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1554+4+24=158268%2
4/12Monday, April 128:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
144153=143328%6
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1557+17+26=160072%2
4/11Sunday, April 111:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
14431+0=144242%2
CLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
151437+24=150158%5
4/10Saturday, April 106:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1445+5+0=145038%3
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
15122+24=153462%11
4/9Friday, April 97:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
144613+1=143434%1
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1511+15+26=155266%4
4/7Wednesday, April 71:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1542+13+0=155562%3
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1446+2+24=147238%2
4/6Tuesday, April 61:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15436+0=153761%3
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
14458+24=146139%4
4/5Monday, April 51:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
154172=153258%15
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
1448+3+24=147542%6
4/4Sunday, April 41:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
15102+0=150855%9
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1450+2+24=147645%3
4/3Saturday, April 31:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1512+16+2=153060%2
DETDETTigers
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
144813+26=146140%5
4/1Thursday, April 11:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1513+441=155662%2
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
14461+24=146938%3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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