Updated Jul. 31, 2021, at 11:56 PM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Royals have a <1% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1457, up 5 points from last week.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
White SoxWhite Sox61-4495%95%
IndiansIndians51-508.08%5%
TigersTigers50-5712.0<1%<1%
TwinsTwins44-6117.0<1%<1%
RoyalsRoyals45-5815.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1457+1+0=145832%
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1535+28+24=158768%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 38:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
145716+0=144135%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153616+26=154665%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 48:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
145714+0=144332%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1536+14+24=157468%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
145715+0=144232%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1536+9+24=156968%
8/6Friday, Aug. 68:15 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1457+112=146645%
STLSTLCardinals
Woodford, Jake
Woodford
149420+24=149855%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:15 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1457+1+0=145838%
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1494+24+24=154262%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 82:15 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
145716+0=144138%
STLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1494+7+24=152562%
8/9Monday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
154743=154061%
KCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
145714+22=146539%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
154713+0=153460%
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
145715+24=146640%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15471+0=154658%
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1457+11+24=149242%
8/13Friday, Aug. 138:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
149453=148651%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+26=147949%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14945+0=148952%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147748%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 152:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14945+0=148952%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147748%
8/16Monday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+03=156763%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147737%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157063%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147737%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 188:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157063%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147737%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 192:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157063%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147737%
8/20Friday, Aug. 202:20 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
145742=145140%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1491+2+24=151760%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 212:20 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+0=145341%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1491+2+24=151759%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 222:20 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+0=145341%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1491+2+24=151759%
8/23Monday, Aug. 238:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
145743=145030%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159470%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+0=145331%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159469%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 252:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+0=145331%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159469%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 2610:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
145744=144941%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1482+8+23=151359%
8/27Friday, Aug. 2710:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+0=145341%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1482+8+24=151459%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 284:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+0=145341%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1482+8+24=151459%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 294:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+0=145341%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1482+8+24=151459%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
150051=149453%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+22=147547%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+0=149553%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147747%
9/2Thursday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+0=149553%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147747%
9/3Friday, Sept. 38:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153759%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147741%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 47:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153759%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147741%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 52:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153759%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147741%
9/6Monday, Sept. 61:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
145743=145048%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+22=146452%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+0=145348%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146652%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+0=145348%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146652%
9/9Thursday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+0=145348%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146652%
9/10Friday, Sept. 108:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
145743=145041%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
14912+21=151059%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+0=145341%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
14912+24=151359%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 122:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+0=145341%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
14912+24=151359%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 148:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
152432=151956%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147744%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152156%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147744%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 162:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152156%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147744%
9/17Friday, Sept. 178:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1482+82=148852%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147748%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1482+8+0=149052%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147748%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 192:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1482+8+0=149052%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147748%
9/20Monday, Sept. 205:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
145743=145040%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+22=151760%
9/20Monday, Sept. 208:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+0=145340%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+24=151960%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 216:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+0=145340%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+24=151960%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 226:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+0=145340%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+24=151960%
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+1=145445%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+26=148855%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 256:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+0=145345%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148655%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 261:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+0=145345%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148655%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 288:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
150051=149453%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+23=147647%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+0=149553%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147747%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+0=149553%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147747%
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
149122=148752%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147748%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
14912+0=148952%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147748%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
14912+0=148952%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147748%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
7/31Saturday, July 313:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1458+10+0=146836%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1534+7+24=156564%4
7/30Friday, July 307:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
1459163=144036%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
153316+22=153964%6
7/29Thursday, July 292:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1539+13+0=155263%0
KCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
145623+24=145737%5
7/28Wednesday, July 288:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1541+11+0=155263%2
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
145418+24=146037%3
7/27Tuesday, July 278:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
154019+0=152156%5
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1456+0+24=148044%3
7/26Monday, July 268:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1541222=151754%3
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1454+9+24=148746%4
7/25Sunday, July 252:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1466+4+0=147053%1
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
145225+24=145147%6
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1467+11+0=147853%8
KCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
145114+24=146147%9
7/23Friday, July 238:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
1468+13=146652%3
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
145018+24=145648%5
7/21Wednesday, July 212:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1447+0+0=144739%6
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153232+24=152461%3
7/20Tuesday, July 204:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1445+9+0=145439%5
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
153525+24=153461%2
7/18Sunday, July 182:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
142620+0=140643%5
KCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
144817+24=145557%0
7/17Saturday, July 177:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14243+0=142141%8
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1450+11+24=148559%4
7/16Friday, July 168:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Akin, Keegan
Akin
14258+4=142139%2
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1448+20+28=149661%9
7/10Saturday, July 106:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1451+13+0=146444%6
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
150018+24=150656%14
7/9Friday, July 97:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14516+0=144540%1
CLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
14998+24=151560%2
7/8Thursday, July 87:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1453+203=147040%4
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1498+23+21=154260%7
7/7Wednesday, July 72:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1504+19+0=152355%5
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1454+9+24=148745%2
7/6Tuesday, July 68:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1505+5+0=151057%6
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
145314+24=146343%7
7/5Monday, July 58:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
1503273=147347%6
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1455+14+24=149353%2
7/4Sunday, July 42:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1495+8+0=150355%6
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14578+24=147345%2
7/3Saturday, July 34:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
149713+0=148448%3
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1455+22+24=150152%6
7/2Friday, July 28:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
149882=148851%4
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1453+10+21=148449%7
7/1Thursday, July 11:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
145610+0=144633%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1528+16+24=156867%15
6/30Wednesday, June 307:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1457+17+0=147441%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
152610+24=154059%6
6/29Tuesday, June 297:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14586+0=145236%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1526+2+24=155264%7
6/28Monday, June 287:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1459+244=147942%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
152517+24=153258%6
6/27Sunday, June 272:35 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1460+8+0=146851%1
TEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145518+24=146149%4
6/26Saturday, June 264:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Zimmer, Kyle
Zimmer
14635+0=145843%0
TEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1453+28+24=150557%8
6/25Friday, June 258:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1465+223=148450%4
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1450+6+24=148050%9
6/24Thursday, June 241:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14674+0=146336%1
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
155113+24=156264%8
6/23Wednesday, June 237:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1467+21+0=148844%5
NYYNYYYankees
King, Michael
King
155041+24=153356%6
6/22Tuesday, June 227:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1466+91=147429%6
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1551+47+26=162471%5
6/20Sunday, June 202:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1522+13+0=153554%3
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1464+20+24=150846%7
6/19Saturday, June 194:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
152013+0=150753%7
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14663+24=148747%1
6/18Friday, June 188:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152141=151655%3
KCKCRoyals
Zimmer, Kyle
Zimmer
146511+26=148045%5
6/16Wednesday, June 162:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14494+0=144542%6
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1466+9+24=149958%5
6/15Tuesday, June 158:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1448+11+0=145942%4
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1467+22+24=151358%3
6/14Monday, June 148:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1445+03=144243%10
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1470+1+20=149157%3
6/13Sunday, June 134:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
147111+0=146035%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1521+23+24=156865%6
6/12Saturday, June 124:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Kowar, Jackson
Kowar
147321+0=145238%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
15188+24=153462%11
6/11Friday, June 119:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1474+5+0=147942%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15186+24=153658%4
6/10Thursday, June 109:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1472+162=148643%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15209+24=153557%1
6/9Wednesday, June 99:30 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1474+3+0=147744%1
LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
15004+24=152056%6
6/8Tuesday, June 89:38 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14763+0=147342%1
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1498+7+24=152958%8
6/7Monday, June 79:38 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Kowar, Jackson
Kowar
1477163=145841%3
LAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14961+24=151959%8
6/6Sunday, June 62:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
150620+0=148647%2
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1479+3+24=150653%1
6/5Saturday, June 54:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1505+18+0=152351%5
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1480+15+24=151949%4
6/4Friday, June 48:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
150811+0=149750%5
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1476+0+24=150050%14
6/3Thursday, June 38:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
150923=150450%5
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14751+26=150050%6
6/1Tuesday, June 18:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Crowe, Wil
Crowe
142921+0=140837%5
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1474+3+24=150163%10
5/31Monday, May 318 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
143083=141938%3
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1473+13+22=150862%7
5/30Sunday, May 302:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1471+0+0=147142%6
MINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
151411+24=152758%3
5/29Saturday, May 292:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Santana, Ervin
Santana
147120+0=145138%5
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15143+24=153562%6
5/28Friday, May 288:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
146963=146040%8
MINMINTwins
Dobnak, Randy
Dobnak
151610+26=153260%3
5/27Thursday, May 273:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1470+9+0=147939%2
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
154914+24=155961%7
5/26Wednesday, May 267:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1471+10+0=148135%1
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1549+17+24=159065%2
5/25Tuesday, May 257:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
146931=146533%2
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1550+14+21=158567%1
5/23Sunday, May 232:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1444+3+0=144744%2
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14695+24=148856%3
5/22Saturday, May 224:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1445+11+0=145644%5
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1467+9+24=150056%7
5/21Friday, May 218:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
144412=144141%7
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1469+12+26=150759%5
5/19Wednesday, May 198:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1511+29+0=154057%4
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14682+24=149043%6
5/18Tuesday, May 188:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1512+42+0=155461%0
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
146613+24=147739%2
5/16Sunday, May 162:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1467+9+0=147641%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153118+24=153759%4
5/15Saturday, May 157:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1464+9+0=147338%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1533+0+24=155762%1
5/14Friday, May 148:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
146511+0=145440%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
153231+24=152560%3
5/14Friday, May 143:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
146222=145834%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1535+11+24=157066%2
5/13Thursday, May 131:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
146331+0=143244%3
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1437+11+24=147256%4
5/12Wednesday, May 127:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1465+17+0=148254%2
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
14365+24=145546%4
5/11Tuesday, May 117:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1466+131=147851%7
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1435+11+29=147549%8
5/9Sunday, May 92:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1527+11+0=153856%9
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1468+7+24=149944%3
5/8Saturday, May 87:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1525+25+0=155061%9
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
147019+24=147539%1
5/7Friday, May 78:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
152441=151955%3
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14717+24=148845%0
5/6Thursday, May 62:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
151618+0=149848%4
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1473+15+24=151252%0
5/5Wednesday, May 58:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1515+51+0=156658%5
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1474+11+24=150942%4
5/4Tuesday, May 48:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Maton, Phil
Maton
151322+0=149148%7
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1476+6+24=150652%3
5/3Monday, May 38:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1512+72=151755%8
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
147718+22=148145%6
5/2Sunday, May 22:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14803+0=147738%4
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1523+11+24=155862%13
5/1Saturday, May 12:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1476+11+0=148742%11
MINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
152711+24=154058%3
4/30Friday, April 308:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1478+131=149041%1
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1525+6+23=155459%9
4/28Wednesday, April 286:35 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1477+10+0=148754%9
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14459+24=146046%6
4/27Tuesday, April 276:35 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1478182=145847%1
PITPITPirates
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1444+8+23=147553%2
4/26Monday, April 261:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14773+0=147449%3
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1440+15+24=147951%2
4/25Sunday, April 251:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1475+7+0=148254%4
DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
144110+24=145546%0
4/24Saturday, April 241:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1474+8+0=148251%2
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1442+10+24=147649%1
4/23Friday, April 237:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1472+111=148253%6
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
14445+24=146347%2
4/21Wednesday, April 218:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
153116+0=151555%8
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
147114+24=148145%9
4/20Tuesday, April 208:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1529+6+0=153555%14
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1473+3+24=150045%7
4/19Monday, April 198:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
152883=151752%4
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1475+5+24=150448%1
4/18Sunday, April 182:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
15212+0=151953%0
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1474+3+24=150147%2
4/17Saturday, April 176:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Milone, Tommy
Milone
152223+0=149954%2
KCKCRoyals
Santana, Ervin
Santana
147322+24=147546%3
4/17Saturday, April 172:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
15206+2=151650%5
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1474+14+26=151450%1
4/15Thursday, April 158:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kay, Anthony
Kay
152133=151555%5
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
147316+24=148145%7
4/14Wednesday, April 142:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1512+6+0=151853%1
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1471+2+24=149747%6
4/13Tuesday, April 138:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1513+16+0=152954%2
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1469+5+24=149846%3
4/12Monday, April 128:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
151151=150551%10
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1472+4+22=149849%3
4/11Sunday, April 112:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1471+16+5=149247%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
151932+29=151653%3
4/8Thursday, April 84:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1473+72=147838%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1517+27+20=156462%6
4/7Wednesday, April 71:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
147320+2=145533%2
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1510+42+26=157867%4
4/5Monday, April 54:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1472+23=147146%3
CLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
151237+23=149854%0
4/4Sunday, April 42:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145611+0=144541%7
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1474+12+24=151059%3
4/3Saturday, April 32:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
14582+2=145842%4
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1472+16+26=151458%11
4/1Thursday, April 14:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1460+02=145842%10
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1470+16+24=151058%14

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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