Updated Apr. 11, 2021, at 10:17 PM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Royals have a 10% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1472, the same as last week.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
TwinsTwins5-40.567%49%
IndiansIndians5-342%24%
White SoxWhite Sox4-51.540%22%
RoyalsRoyals4-30.510%4%
TigersTigers3-62.52%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/12Monday, April 128:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
151151=150551%
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1472+4+22=149849%
4/13Tuesday, April 138:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1511+16+0=152754%
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1472+5+24=150146%
4/14Wednesday, April 142:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1511+8+0=151953%
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1472+2+24=149847%
4/15Thursday, April 158:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+03=151655%
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
147215+24=148145%
4/16Friday, April 168:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
15196+0=151350%
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1472+15+24=151150%
4/17Saturday, April 172:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
15192+0=151753%
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1472+4+24=150047%
4/18Sunday, April 182:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1519+36+0=155558%
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1472+5+24=150142%
4/19Monday, April 198:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1528+153=154056%
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1472+2+24=149844%
4/20Tuesday, April 208:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152857%
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
147215+24=148143%
4/21Wednesday, April 218:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
152822+0=150649%
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1472+15+24=151151%
4/23Friday, April 237:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+01=147151%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+24=146549%
4/24Saturday, April 241:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147251%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+24=146549%
4/25Sunday, April 251:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147251%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+24=146549%
4/26Monday, April 261:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147251%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+24=146549%
4/27Tuesday, April 276:35 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+02=147052%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+23=145648%
4/28Wednesday, April 286:35 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147252%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145748%
4/30Friday, April 308:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+01=147137%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+23=156463%
5/1Saturday, May 12:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147237%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156563%
5/2Sunday, May 22:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147237%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156563%
5/3Monday, May 38:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+02=151353%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+22=149447%
5/4Tuesday, May 48:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151553%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149647%
5/5Wednesday, May 58:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151553%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149647%
5/6Thursday, May 62:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151553%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149647%
5/7Friday, May 78:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+01=151653%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149647%
5/8Saturday, May 87:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151753%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149647%
5/9Sunday, May 92:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151753%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149647%
5/11Tuesday, May 117:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+01=147151%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+26=146749%
5/12Wednesday, May 127:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147251%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+24=146549%
5/13Thursday, May 131:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147251%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+24=146549%
5/14Friday, May 142:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+02=147040%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154160%
5/14Friday, May 148:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147240%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154160%
5/15Saturday, May 157:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147240%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154160%
5/16Sunday, May 162:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147240%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154160%
5/18Tuesday, May 188:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152053%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149647%
5/19Wednesday, May 198:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152054%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149646%
5/21Friday, May 218:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+02=143942%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+26=149858%
5/22Saturday, May 224:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+0=144142%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149658%
5/23Sunday, May 232:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+0=144142%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149658%
5/25Tuesday, May 257:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+01=147139%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+21=154961%
5/26Wednesday, May 267:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147239%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155261%
5/27Thursday, May 273:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147239%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155261%
5/28Friday, May 288:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+03=146936%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+26=156764%
5/29Saturday, May 292:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147237%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156563%
5/30Sunday, May 302:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147237%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156563%
5/31Monday, May 318:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+03=143041%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+22=149459%
6/1Tuesday, June 18:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143341%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149659%
6/3Thursday, June 38:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+03=153856%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+26=149844%
6/4Friday, June 48:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154156%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149644%
6/5Saturday, June 54:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154156%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149644%
6/6Sunday, June 62:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154156%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149644%
6/7Monday, June 79:38 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+03=146941%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+24=153559%
6/8Tuesday, June 89:38 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147241%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+24=153559%
6/9Wednesday, June 99:38 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147241%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+24=153559%
6/10Thursday, June 109:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+02=147042%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152958%
6/11Friday, June 119:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147242%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152958%
6/12Saturday, June 124:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147242%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152958%
6/13Sunday, June 134:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147242%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152958%
6/14Monday, June 148:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+03=143842%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+20=149258%
6/15Tuesday, June 158:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+0=144142%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149658%
6/16Wednesday, June 162:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+0=144142%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149658%
6/18Friday, June 188:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+01=150751%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+26=149849%
6/19Saturday, June 194:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150852%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149648%
6/20Sunday, June 202:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150852%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149648%
6/22Tuesday, June 227:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+01=147133%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+26=159567%
6/23Wednesday, June 237:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147233%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159367%
6/24Thursday, June 241:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147233%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159367%
6/25Friday, June 258:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+03=146948%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148052%
6/26Saturday, June 264:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147249%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148051%
6/27Sunday, June 272:35 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147249%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148051%
6/28Monday, June 287:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+04=146841%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+26=153459%
6/29Tuesday, June 297:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147241%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153259%
6/30Wednesday, June 307:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147241%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153259%
7/1Thursday, July 11:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147241%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153259%
7/2Friday, July 28:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+02=153957%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+21=149343%
7/3Saturday, July 34:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154156%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149644%
7/4Sunday, July 42:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154156%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149644%
7/5Monday, July 58:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+03=150451%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149649%
7/6Tuesday, July 68:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150752%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149648%
7/7Wednesday, July 72:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150752%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149648%
7/8Thursday, July 87:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+03=146940%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+21=153660%
7/9Friday, July 97:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147240%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153960%
7/10Saturday, July 106:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147240%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153960%
7/11Sunday, July 111:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147240%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153960%
7/16Friday, July 168:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+4=144342%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+28=150058%
7/17Saturday, July 177:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143942%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149658%
7/18Sunday, July 182:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143942%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149658%
7/20Tuesday, July 208:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147240%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154460%
7/21Wednesday, July 212:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147240%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154460%
7/23Friday, July 238:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+03=143842%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149658%
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+0=144142%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149658%
7/25Sunday, July 252:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+0=144142%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149658%
7/26Monday, July 268:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+02=151553%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149647%
7/27Tuesday, July 278:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151753%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149647%
7/28Wednesday, July 288:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151753%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149647%
7/29Thursday, July 292:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151753%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149647%
7/30Friday, July 307:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+03=146940%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+22=154160%
7/31Saturday, July 313:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147240%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+24=154360%
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147240%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+24=154360%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 38:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147240%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+26=154360%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 48:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147240%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154160%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147240%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154160%
8/6Friday, Aug. 68:15 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+02=147042%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152758%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:15 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147242%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152758%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 82:15 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147242%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152758%
8/9Monday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+03=156660%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+22=149440%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156960%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149640%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156960%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149640%
8/13Friday, Aug. 138:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+03=150050%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+26=149850%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+0=150351%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149649%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 152:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+0=150351%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149649%
8/16Monday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+03=155458%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149642%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+0=155759%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149641%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 188:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+0=155759%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149641%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 192:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+0=155759%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149641%
8/20Friday, Aug. 202:20 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+02=147042%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152358%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 212:20 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147243%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152357%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 222:20 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147243%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152357%
8/23Monday, Aug. 238:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+03=146934%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158166%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147235%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158165%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 252:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147235%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158165%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 2610:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+04=146846%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+23=149254%
8/27Friday, Aug. 2710:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147247%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149353%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 2810:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147247%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149353%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 294:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147247%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149353%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+01=151453%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+22=149447%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151553%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149647%
9/2Thursday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151553%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149647%
9/3Friday, Sept. 38:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151753%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149647%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 47:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151753%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149647%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 52:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151753%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149647%
9/6Monday, Sept. 61:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+03=146951%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+22=146149%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147251%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146349%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147251%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146349%
9/9Thursday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147251%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146349%
9/10Friday, Sept. 108:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+03=146937%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+21=156263%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147237%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156563%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 122:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147237%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156563%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 148:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+02=150351%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149649%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150551%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149649%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 162:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150551%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149649%
9/17Friday, Sept. 178:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+02=146746%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149654%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146946%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149654%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 192:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146946%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149654%
9/20Monday, Sept. 206:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+03=146940%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+22=153760%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 216:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147240%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153960%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 226:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147240%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153960%
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+1=147351%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+26=146749%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 256:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147251%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+24=146549%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 261:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147251%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+24=146549%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 288:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+01=151453%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+23=149547%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151553%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149647%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151553%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149647%
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+02=153956%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149644%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154156%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149644%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154156%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149644%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/11Sunday, April 112:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1471+16+5=149247%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
151932+29=151653%3
4/8Thursday, April 84:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1473+72=147838%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1517+27+20=156462%6
4/7Wednesday, April 71:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
147320+2=145533%2
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1510+42+26=157867%4
4/5Monday, April 54:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1472+23=147146%3
CLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
151237+23=149854%0
4/4Sunday, April 42:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145611+0=144541%7
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1474+12+24=151059%3
4/3Saturday, April 32:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
14582+2=145842%4
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1472+16+26=151458%11
4/1Thursday, April 14:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1460+02=145842%10
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1470+16+24=151058%14

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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