2021 MLB Predictions

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
4/13Tuesday, April 137:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Nola	1510	+25	–1	=1534	48%
	NYMMets	Walker	1536	–14	+29	=1551	52%
4/14Wednesday, April 147:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1510	+24	+0	=1534	50%
	NYMMets	Lucchesi	1536	–27	+24	=1533	50%
4/15Thursday, April 1512:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1510	–4	+0	=1506	36%
	NYMMets	deGrom	1536	+43	+24	=1603	64%
4/16Friday, April 167:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Martinez	1503	–16	–1	=1486	49%
	PHIPhillies	Moore	1510	–38	+23	=1495	51%
4/17Saturday, April 174:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Ponce de Leon	1503	–14	+0	=1489	45%
	PHIPhillies	Anderson	1510	–10	+24	=1524	55%
4/18Sunday, April 181:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Gant	1503	–4	+0	=1499	41%
	PHIPhillies	Nola	1510	+25	+24	=1559	59%
4/19Monday, April 197:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Gausman	1485	+18	–3	=1500	42%
	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1510	+24	+24	=1558	58%
4/20Tuesday, April 207:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cueto	1485	+2	+0	=1487	44%
	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1510	–4	+24	=1530	56%
4/21Wednesday, April 211:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1485	–12	+0	=1473	47%
	PHIPhillies	Moore	1510	–38	+24	=1496	53%
4/23Friday, April 238:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	–2	=1508	56%
	COLRockies	—	1443	+0	+26	=1469	44%
4/24Saturday, April 248:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	56%
	COLRockies	—	1443	+0	+24	=1467	44%
4/25Sunday, April 253:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	56%
	COLRockies	—	1443	+0	+24	=1467	44%
4/26Monday, April 267:45 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	–3	=1507	47%
	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	+24	=1527	53%
4/27Tuesday, April 277:45 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	48%
	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	+24	=1527	52%
4/28Wednesday, April 287:45 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	48%
	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	+24	=1527	52%
4/29Thursday, April 291:15 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	48%
	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	+24	=1527	52%
4/30Friday, April 307:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1536	+0	+1	=1537	51%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+21	=1531	49%
5/1Saturday, May 16:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1536	+0	+0	=1536	50%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	50%
5/2Sunday, May 27:08 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1536	+0	+0	=1536	50%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	50%
5/3Monday, May 37:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	–3	=1517	48%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	52%
5/4Tuesday, May 47:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	+0	=1520	48%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	52%
5/5Wednesday, May 57:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	+0	=1520	48%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	52%
5/6Thursday, May 61:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	+0	=1520	48%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	52%
5/7Friday, May 77:20 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	–3	=1507	43%
	ATLBraves	—	1533	+0	+21	=1554	57%
5/8Saturday, May 87:20 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	43%
	ATLBraves	—	1533	+0	+24	=1557	57%
5/9Sunday, May 97:08 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	43%
	ATLBraves	—	1533	+0	+24	=1557	57%
5/11Tuesday, May 117:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	–1	=1509	46%
	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	+24	=1539	54%
5/12Wednesday, May 127:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	46%
	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	+24	=1539	54%
5/13Thursday, May 131:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	46%
	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	+24	=1539	54%
5/14Friday, May 146:37 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	–2	=1508	45%
	TORBlue Jays	—	1519	+0	+21	=1540	55%
5/15Saturday, May 153:07 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	45%
	TORBlue Jays	—	1519	+0	+24	=1543	55%
5/16Sunday, May 161:07 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	45%
	TORBlue Jays	—	1519	+0	+24	=1543	55%
5/18Tuesday, May 187:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	–2	=1459	39%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	61%
5/19Wednesday, May 197:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+0	=1461	40%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	60%
5/20Thursday, May 207:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+0	=1461	40%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	60%
5/21Friday, May 217:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1508	+0	–2	=1506	46%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	54%
5/22Saturday, May 227:15 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1508	+0	+0	=1508	46%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	54%
5/23Sunday, May 231:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1508	+0	+0	=1508	46%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	54%
5/24Monday, May 246:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	–3	=1507	53%
	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+24	=1485	47%
5/25Tuesday, May 256:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	54%
	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+24	=1485	46%
5/26Wednesday, May 266:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	54%
	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+24	=1485	46%
5/27Thursday, May 2712:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	54%
	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+24	=1485	46%
5/29Saturday, May 291:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	44%
	TBRays	—	1528	+0	+26	=1554	56%
5/30Sunday, May 301:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	44%
	TBRays	—	1528	+0	+24	=1552	56%
5/31Monday, May 312:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	–3	=1507	47%
	CINReds	—	1507	+0	+22	=1529	53%
6/1Tuesday, June 17:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	47%
	CINReds	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	53%
6/2Wednesday, June 212:35 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	47%
	CINReds	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	53%
6/4Friday, June 47:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	–3	=1512	47%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	53%
6/5Saturday, June 54:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	+0	=1515	47%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	53%
6/6Sunday, June 61:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	+0	=1515	47%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	53%
6/8Tuesday, June 87:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1533	+0	–1	=1532	49%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+26	=1536	51%
6/9Wednesday, June 97:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1533	+0	+0	=1533	50%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	50%
6/10Thursday, June 101:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1533	+0	+0	=1533	50%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	50%
6/12Saturday, June 124:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1569	+0	–1	=1568	54%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+26	=1536	46%
6/13Sunday, June 131:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1569	+0	+0	=1569	55%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	45%
6/14Monday, June 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	–4	=1506	33%
	LADDodgers	—	1604	+0	+24	=1628	67%
6/15Tuesday, June 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	34%
	LADDodgers	—	1604	+0	+24	=1628	66%
6/16Wednesday, June 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	34%
	LADDodgers	—	1604	+0	+24	=1628	66%
6/18Friday, June 189:45 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	50%
	SFGiants	—	1485	+0	+24	=1509	50%
6/19Saturday, June 194:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	50%
	SFGiants	—	1485	+0	+24	=1509	50%
6/20Sunday, June 204:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	50%
	SFGiants	—	1485	+0	+24	=1509	50%
6/22Tuesday, June 227:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	+0	=1515	48%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+22	=1532	52%
6/23Wednesday, June 231:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	+0	=1515	47%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	53%
6/25Friday, June 257:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+1	=1511	43%
	NYMMets	—	1536	+0	+26	=1562	57%
6/26Saturday, June 264:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	43%
	NYMMets	—	1536	+0	+24	=1560	57%
6/27Sunday, June 271:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	43%
	NYMMets	—	1536	+0	+24	=1560	57%
6/29Tuesday, June 297:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	–1	=1460	39%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+25	=1535	61%
6/30Wednesday, June 307:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+0	=1461	40%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	60%
7/1Thursday, July 16:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+0	=1461	40%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	60%
7/2Friday, July 26:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1564	+0	–2	=1562	54%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	46%
7/3Saturday, July 34:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1564	+0	+0	=1564	54%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	46%
7/4Sunday, July 41:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1564	+0	+0	=1564	54%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	46%
7/5Monday, July 58:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	–3	=1507	48%
	CHCCubs	—	1499	+0	+22	=1521	52%
7/6Tuesday, July 68:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	48%
	CHCCubs	—	1499	+0	+24	=1523	52%
7/7Wednesday, July 78:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	48%
	CHCCubs	—	1499	+0	+24	=1523	52%
7/8Thursday, July 88:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	48%
	CHCCubs	—	1499	+0	+24	=1523	52%
7/9Friday, July 97:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	–3	=1507	47%
	BOSRed Sox	—	1508	+0	+22	=1530	53%
7/10Saturday, July 104:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	47%
	BOSRed Sox	—	1508	+0	+24	=1532	53%
7/11Sunday, July 111:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	47%
	BOSRed Sox	—	1508	+0	+24	=1532	53%
7/16Friday, July 167:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+4	=1465	39%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+29	=1539	61%
7/17Saturday, July 176:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+0	=1461	40%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	60%
7/18Sunday, July 181:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+0	=1461	40%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	60%
7/20Tuesday, July 207:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+1	=1511	38%
	NYYYankees	—	1569	+0	+26	=1595	62%
7/21Wednesday, July 217:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	38%
	NYYYankees	—	1569	+0	+24	=1593	62%
7/22Thursday, July 227:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1533	+0	–3	=1530	50%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+23	=1533	50%
7/23Friday, July 237:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1533	+0	+0	=1533	50%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	50%
7/24Saturday, July 246:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1533	+0	+0	=1533	50%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	50%
7/25Sunday, July 251:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1533	+0	+0	=1533	50%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	50%
7/26Monday, July 267:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	–1	=1514	47%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	53%
7/27Tuesday, July 277:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	+0	=1515	47%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	53%
7/28Wednesday, July 287:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	+0	=1515	47%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	53%
7/29Thursday, July 291:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	+0	=1515	47%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	53%
7/30Friday, July 307:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	–2	=1508	57%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	43%
7/31Saturday, July 317:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	58%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	42%
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	58%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	42%
8/2Monday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	–2	=1508	46%
	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	+24	=1539	54%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	46%
	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	+24	=1539	54%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	46%
	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	+24	=1539	54%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 54:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	46%
	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	+24	=1539	54%
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1536	+0	–3	=1533	50%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+22	=1532	50%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 74:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1536	+0	+0	=1536	50%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	50%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1536	+0	+0	=1536	50%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	50%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1604	+0	–2	=1602	59%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+26	=1536	41%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1604	+0	+0	=1604	60%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	40%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 121:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1604	+0	+0	=1604	60%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	40%
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:05 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1507	+0	–3	=1504	46%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	54%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 144:05 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	46%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	54%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 151:05 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	46%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	54%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 179:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	–2	=1508	49%
	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1487	+0	+26	=1513	51%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 189:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	50%
	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1487	+0	+24	=1511	50%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 193:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	50%
	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1487	+0	+24	=1511	50%
8/20Friday, Aug. 2010:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	–2	=1508	39%
	SDPadres	—	1564	+0	+23	=1587	61%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 218:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	39%
	SDPadres	—	1564	+0	+24	=1588	61%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 223:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	39%
	SDPadres	—	1564	+0	+24	=1588	61%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1528	+0	–1	=1527	49%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+22	=1532	51%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1528	+0	+0	=1528	49%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	51%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1487	+0	–2	=1485	43%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	57%
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1487	+0	+0	=1487	43%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	57%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 286:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1487	+0	+0	=1487	43%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	57%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1487	+0	+0	=1487	43%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	57%
8/30Monday, Aug. 307:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	–2	=1508	46%
	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	+22	=1537	54%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 317:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	46%
	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	+24	=1539	54%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 17:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	46%
	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	+24	=1539	54%
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	–1	=1509	54%
	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+21	=1482	46%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 46:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	54%
	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+24	=1485	46%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	54%
	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+24	=1485	46%
9/6Monday, Sept. 62:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	–3	=1507	45%
	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	+24	=1544	55%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	45%
	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	+24	=1544	55%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	45%
	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	+24	=1544	55%
9/9Thursday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1443	+0	–4	=1439	37%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+21	=1531	63%
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1443	+0	+0	=1443	37%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	63%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 116:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1443	+0	+0	=1443	37%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	63%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1443	+0	+0	=1443	37%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	63%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1499	+0	–1	=1498	45%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+26	=1536	55%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 157:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1499	+0	+0	=1499	45%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	55%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 166:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1499	+0	+0	=1499	45%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	55%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	–1	=1509	42%
	NYMMets	—	1536	+0	+26	=1562	58%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	43%
	NYMMets	—	1536	+0	+24	=1560	57%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	43%
	NYMMets	—	1536	+0	+24	=1560	57%
9/20Monday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1439	+0	–2	=1437	36%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+23	=1533	64%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1439	+0	+0	=1439	37%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	63%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1439	+0	+0	=1439	37%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	63%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	–2	=1431	35%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	65%
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	36%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	64%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 254:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	36%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	64%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 261:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	36%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	64%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:20 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	–1	=1509	43%
	ATLBraves	—	1533	+0	+22	=1555	57%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:20 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	43%
	ATLBraves	—	1533	+0	+24	=1557	57%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:20 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	43%
	ATLBraves	—	1533	+0	+24	=1557	57%
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	–3	=1507	54%
	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+21	=1482	46%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 26:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	54%
	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+24	=1485	46%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 31:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	54%
	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+24	=1485	46%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
4/11Sunday, April 117:08 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Moore	1509	–36	+0	=1473	40%	7
	ATLBraves	Smyly	1535	–16	+24	=1543	60%	6
4/10Saturday, April 107:20 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1510	–4	+0	=1506	42%	4
	ATLBraves	Anderson	1534	+7	+24	=1565	58%	5
4/9Friday, April 97:20 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1512	+27	–1	=1538	45%	1
	ATLBraves	Morton	1532	+15	+23	=1570	55%	8
4/7Wednesday, April 74:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Peterson	1540	–20	+0	=1520	45%	2
	PHIPhillies	Nola	1510	+24	+24	=1558	55%	8
4/6Tuesday, April 67:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Stroman	1538	–9	+0	=1529	51%	8
	PHIPhillies	Anderson	1512	–14	+24	=1522	49%	4
4/5Monday, April 57:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	deGrom	1540	+38	–1	=1577	61%	3
	PHIPhillies	Moore	1510	–37	+24	=1497	39%	5
4/4Sunday, April 41:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Anderson	1531	+5	+0	=1536	52%	1
	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1509	–9	+24	=1524	48%	2
4/3Saturday, April 34:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Morton	1533	+16	+2	=1551	49%	0
	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1507	+22	+26	=1555	51%	4
4/1Thursday, April 13:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Fried	1534	–1	–3	=1530	46%	2
	PHIPhillies	Nola	1506	+26	+24	=1556	54%	3