Updated Jul. 31, 2021, at 11:56 PM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Phillies have a 15% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1500, down 8 points from last week.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
MetsMets55-4857%55%
BravesBraves52-534.030%27%
PhilliesPhillies51-534.515%14%
NationalsNationals48-567.54%4%
MarlinsMarlins44-6011.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1500+12+0=151259%
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
143210+24=144641%
8/2Monday, Aug. 27 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
1500402=145841%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15079+24=152259%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1500+46+0=154655%
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
150718+24=151345%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150027+0=147342%
WSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
15074+24=152758%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 54:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1500+19+0=151948%
WSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
1507+3+24=153452%
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1530+43=153149%
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1500+12+22=153451%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 74:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
15304+0=152656%
PHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
150040+24=148444%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153011+0=151943%
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1500+46+24=157057%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1590+272=161566%
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150027+26=149934%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1590+20+0=161059%
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1500+19+24=154341%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 121:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1590+1+0=159159%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152541%
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1505+23=150447%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152553%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 144:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+0=150747%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152553%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 151:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+0=150747%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152553%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 179:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+12=149953%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1444+8+26=147847%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 189:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150154%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1444+8+24=147646%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 193:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150154%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1444+8+24=147646%
8/20Friday, Aug. 2010:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+12=149939%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
15511+23=157361%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 218:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150140%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
15511+24=157460%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 223:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150140%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
15511+24=157460%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
156061=155354%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+22=152346%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155454%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152546%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1444+82=145039%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152561%
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1444+8+0=145240%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152560%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 286:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1444+8+0=145240%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152560%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1444+8+0=145240%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152560%
8/30Monday, Aug. 307:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+12=149947%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15079+22=152053%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 317:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150147%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15079+24=152253%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 17:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150147%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15079+24=152253%
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+11=150051%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+21=149849%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 46:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150150%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+24=150150%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150150%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+24=150150%
9/6Monday, Sept. 62:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+13=149840%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+24=156560%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150141%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+24=156559%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150141%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+24=156559%
9/9Thursday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1459+04=145540%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+21=152260%
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1459+0+0=145941%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152559%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 116:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1459+0+0=145941%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152559%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1459+0+0=145941%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152559%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1491+21=149245%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+26=152755%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 157:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1491+2+0=149345%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152555%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 166:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1491+2+0=149345%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152555%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+11=150042%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15301+26=155558%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150143%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15301+24=155357%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150143%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15301+24=155357%
9/20Monday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+72=144038%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+23=152462%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144238%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152562%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144238%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152562%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
143212=142936%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152564%
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14321+0=143137%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152563%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 254:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14321+0=143137%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152563%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 261:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14321+0=143137%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152563%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+11=150043%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+22=155157%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150143%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+24=155357%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150143%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+24=155357%
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+13=149850%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+21=149850%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 26:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150150%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+24=150150%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 31:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150150%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+24=150150%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
7/31Saturday, July 317:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1501+18+0=151958%2
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1431+10+24=146542%3
7/30Friday, July 307:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1505232=148056%0
PITPITPirates
Crowe, Wil
Crowe
142715+24=143644%7
7/29Thursday, July 292:50 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
150915+0=149448%8
PHIPHIPhillies
Sanchez, Cristopher
Sanchez
150322+24=150552%11
7/29Thursday, July 2912:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1508+40+2=155046%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1504+45+26=157554%1
7/27Tuesday, July 277:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
150619+0=148749%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
150638+24=149251%4
7/26Monday, July 267:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
1508+41=151150%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Howard, Spencer
Howard
150518+24=151150%6
7/25Sunday, July 251:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Toussaint, Touki
Toussaint
153031+0=149944%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1504+9+24=153756%2
7/24Saturday, July 246:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
152617+0=150949%15
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150819+24=151351%3
7/23Friday, July 237:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15273+0=152443%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1506+43+24=157357%5
7/22Thursday, July 227:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1525+173=153957%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
150837+23=149443%2
7/21Wednesday, July 217:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Howard, Spencer
Howard
150923+0=148642%5
NYYNYYYankees
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
154934+24=153958%6
7/20Tuesday, July 207:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1510+11+1=152245%4
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
154820+26=155455%6
7/18Sunday, July 181:55 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
147928+0=145132%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1509+45+24=157868%7
7/17Saturday, July 176:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1481+2+0=148346%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150823+24=150954%4
7/16Friday, July 167:25 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Detwiler, Ross
Detwiler
147733+0=144437%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15112+24=153363%0
7/16Friday, July 164:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1479+13+4=149650%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
151040+29=149950%5
7/11Sunday, July 111:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Kintzler, Brandon
Kintzler
150923+0=148640%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1528+2+24=155460%4
7/10Saturday, July 104:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
150442+0=146238%11
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
153211+24=154562%2
7/9Friday, July 97:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1507163=148844%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
153021+22=153156%11
7/8Thursday, July 88 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15037+0=149645%8
CHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
1500+9+24=153355%0
7/7Wednesday, July 78:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1506+48+0=155453%3
CHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
1498+11+24=153347%8
7/6Tuesday, July 68:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1503+8+0=151152%15
CHCCHCCubs
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
150025+24=149948%10
7/5Monday, July 58:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
1499453=145138%13
CHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1505+11+22=153862%3
7/4Sunday, July 41:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
15608+0=155256%11
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150214+24=151244%1
7/3Saturday, July 34:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1562+37+0=159962%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150011+24=151338%4
7/2Friday, July 26:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1562222=153846%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1499+43+26=156854%4
6/30Wednesday, June 307:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Holloway, Jordan
Holloway
147429+0=144537%11
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1502+14+24=154063%6
6/29Tuesday, June 297:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1475+191=149348%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150119+22=150452%4
6/28Monday, June 286:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Howard, Spencer
Howard
1504253=147643%4
CINCINReds
Miley, Wade
Miley
1498+2+24=152457%12
6/27Sunday, June 271:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1502+42+0=154448%4
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15405+24=155952%2
6/26Saturday, June 264:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150310+0=149332%3
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1539+56+24=161968%4
6/25Friday, June 257:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
150147+0=145439%2
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154131+24=153461%1
6/25Friday, June 254:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1502+13+1=151643%1
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
15402+26=156457%2
6/23Wednesday, June 231:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
151413+0=150149%13
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150318+24=150951%12
6/22Tuesday, June 227:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1513+38+0=155147%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1504+47+22=157353%2
6/20Sunday, June 204:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15074+0=150347%2
SFSFGiants
Long, Sammy
Long
151918+24=152553%11
6/19Saturday, June 194:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1504+19+0=152348%13
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15228+24=153852%6
6/18Friday, June 189:45 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150620+0=148644%3
SFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
152117+24=152856%5
6/16Wednesday, June 1610:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1504+44+0=154839%2
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1594+10+24=162861%0
6/15Tuesday, June 1510:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15055+0=150035%3
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
15939+24=160865%5
6/14Monday, June 1410:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Howard, Spencer
Howard
1506264=147633%1
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
159216+24=160067%3
6/13Sunday, June 131:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15498+0=154150%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1503+13+24=154050%7
6/12Saturday, June 124:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1550111=153854%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150219+26=150946%8
6/10Thursday, June 101:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1525+11+0=153646%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1501+40+24=156554%4
6/9Wednesday, June 97:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
152624+0=150247%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15004+24=152053%2
6/8Tuesday, June 87:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1524251=149843%9
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1502+18+26=154657%5
6/6Sunday, June 61:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Voth, Austin
Voth
150725+0=148247%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150018+24=150653%12
6/5Saturday, June 54:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
150818+0=149049%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Howard, Spencer
Howard
149825+24=149751%5
6/4Friday, June 47:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1507+423=154647%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1499+39+27=156553%1
6/1Tuesday, June 17:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1495+22+0=151747%17
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1493+24+24=154153%3
5/31Monday, May 312:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1498133=148246%1
CINCINReds
Miley, Wade
Miley
14893+22=150854%11
5/30Sunday, May 301:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
14993+0=149639%2
TBTBRays
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
15524+24=157261%6
5/29Saturday, May 291:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1500+35+0=153546%3
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
155116+26=156154%5
5/27Thursday, May 2712:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Howard, Spencer
Howard
149929+0=147044%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1480+11+24=151556%2
5/26Wednesday, May 266:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1501+20+0=152157%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Neidert, Nick
Neidert
147831+24=147143%4
5/25Tuesday, May 256:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
149915+0=148446%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1480+10+24=151454%0
5/24Monday, May 246:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150113=149747%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1478+19+24=152153%9
5/23Sunday, May 231:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1521+11+0=153247%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1499+32+24=155553%6
5/22Saturday, May 227:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1520+3+0=152354%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Howard, Spencer
Howard
150029+24=149546%3
5/21Friday, May 217:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
1516122=150243%11
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1503+24+24=155157%3
5/20Thursday, May 207:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1473+8+0=148146%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Hale, David
Hale
150623+24=150754%0
5/19Wednesday, May 197:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1471+18+0=148944%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15081+24=153156%1
5/18Tuesday, May 187:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Poteet, Cody
Poteet
147392=146236%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1506+30+24=156064%8
5/16Sunday, May 161:07 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
150716+0=149140%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1532+4+24=156060%10
5/15Saturday, May 157:37 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1509+24+0=153348%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Kay, Anthony
Kay
153011+24=154352%4
5/14Friday, May 147:37 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1507182=148742%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
153210+21=154358%1
5/13Thursday, May 131:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1509+0+0=150949%1
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
151116+24=151951%5
5/12Wednesday, May 127:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1507+28+0=153553%5
WSHWSHNationals
Lester, Jon
Lester
151220+24=151647%2
5/11Tuesday, May 117:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1505181=148646%6
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
151526+24=151354%2
5/9Sunday, May 97 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1507+29+0=153648%1
ATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
15252+24=154752%6
5/8Saturday, May 87:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150822+0=148639%7
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1524+17+24=156561%8
5/7Friday, May 77:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150423=149940%12
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1528+17+21=156660%2
5/6Thursday, May 61:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1518+39+0=155751%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1502+22+24=154849%2
5/5Wednesday, May 57:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15195+0=151451%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
150114+24=151149%5
5/4Tuesday, May 47:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
152028+0=149241%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1500+30+24=155459%6
5/3Monday, May 37:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1521193=149950%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
149922+24=150150%4
5/2Sunday, May 27 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153128+0=150347%8
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1500+0+24=152453%7
5/1Saturday, May 16:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153014+0=151645%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1502+23+24=154955%4
4/30Friday, April 307:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15316+1=152653%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
150115+21=150747%2
4/29Thursday, April 291:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1502+31+0=153351%3
STLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1504+1+24=152949%4
4/28Wednesday, April 287:45 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150020+0=148046%5
STLSTLCardinals
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
150524+24=150554%3
4/27Tuesday, April 277:45 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1502+0+0=150249%2
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
150417+24=151151%5
4/26Monday, April 267:45 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1501+183=151648%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1505+3+24=153252%1
4/25Sunday, April 253:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
150411+0=149352%2
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1446+10+24=148048%12
4/24Saturday, April 248:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1503+32+0=153560%7
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14479+24=146240%5
4/23Friday, April 238:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1504192=148349%4
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1446+21+26=149351%5
4/21Wednesday, April 211:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1488+5+0=149345%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15031+24=152655%6
4/20Tuesday, April 207:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
148615+0=147139%10
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1505+21+24=155061%7
4/19Monday, April 197:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1485+143=149647%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
150712+24=151953%0
4/18Sunday, April 181:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
15014+0=149742%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1506+25+24=155558%2
4/17Saturday, April 174:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1499+4+0=150351%9
PHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
150838+24=149449%4
4/16Friday, April 167:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
1501161=148444%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15064+25=152756%9
4/14Wednesday, April 147:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1508+24+0=153250%1
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153929+24=153450%5
4/13Tuesday, April 138 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1509+25+0=153447%0
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15377+24=155453%4
4/13Tuesday, April 134:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1510101=149943%3
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153614+29=155157%4
4/11Sunday, April 117:08 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
150936+0=147340%7
ATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
153516+24=154360%6
4/10Saturday, April 107:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15104+0=150642%4
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1534+7+24=156558%5
4/9Friday, April 97:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1512+271=153845%1
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1532+15+23=157055%8
4/7Wednesday, April 74:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154020+0=152045%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1510+24+24=155855%8
4/6Tuesday, April 67:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15389+0=152951%8
PHIPHIPhillies
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
151214+24=152249%4
4/5Monday, April 57:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1540+381=157761%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
151037+24=149739%5
4/4Sunday, April 41:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1531+5+0=153652%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15099+24=152448%2
4/3Saturday, April 34:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1533+16+2=155149%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1507+22+26=155551%4
4/1Thursday, April 13:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
153413=153046%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1506+26+24=155654%3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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