Updated Apr. 11, 2021, at 10:17 PM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Phillies have a 34% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1510, the same as last week.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
MetsMets2-32.047%32%
BravesBraves4-52.047%31%
PhilliesPhillies6-334%20%
NationalsNationals1-53.527%15%
MarlinsMarlins2-63.53%1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/13Tuesday, April 137:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1510+251=153448%
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153614+29=155152%
4/14Wednesday, April 147:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1510+24+0=153450%
NYMNYMMets
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
153627+24=153350%
4/15Thursday, April 1512:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15104+0=150636%
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1536+43+24=160364%
4/16Friday, April 167:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
1503161=148649%
PHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
151038+23=149551%
4/17Saturday, April 174:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Ponce de Leon, Daniel
Ponce de Leon
150314+0=148945%
PHIPHIPhillies
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
151010+24=152455%
4/18Sunday, April 181:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
15034+0=149941%
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1510+25+24=155959%
4/19Monday, April 197:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1485+183=150042%
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1510+24+24=155858%
4/20Tuesday, April 207:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1485+2+0=148744%
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15104+24=153056%
4/21Wednesday, April 211:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
148512+0=147347%
PHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
151038+24=149653%
4/23Friday, April 238:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+02=150856%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+26=146944%
4/24Saturday, April 248:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151056%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146744%
4/25Sunday, April 253:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151056%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146744%
4/26Monday, April 267:45 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+03=150747%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152753%
4/27Tuesday, April 277:45 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151048%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152752%
4/28Wednesday, April 287:45 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151048%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152752%
4/29Thursday, April 291:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151048%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152752%
4/30Friday, April 307:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+1=153751%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+21=153149%
5/1Saturday, May 16:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153650%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153450%
5/2Sunday, May 27:08 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153650%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153450%
5/3Monday, May 37:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+03=151748%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153452%
5/4Tuesday, May 47:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152048%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153452%
5/5Wednesday, May 57:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152048%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153452%
5/6Thursday, May 61:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152048%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153452%
5/7Friday, May 77:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+03=150743%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+21=155457%
5/8Saturday, May 87:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151043%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+24=155757%
5/9Sunday, May 97:08 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151043%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+24=155757%
5/11Tuesday, May 117:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+01=150946%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153954%
5/12Wednesday, May 127:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151046%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153954%
5/13Thursday, May 131:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151046%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153954%
5/14Friday, May 146:37 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+02=150845%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+21=154055%
5/15Saturday, May 153:07 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151045%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+24=154355%
5/16Sunday, May 161:07 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151045%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+24=154355%
5/18Tuesday, May 187:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+02=145939%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153461%
5/19Wednesday, May 197:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146140%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153460%
5/20Thursday, May 207:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146140%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153460%
5/21Friday, May 217:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+02=150646%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153454%
5/22Saturday, May 227:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150846%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153454%
5/23Sunday, May 231:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150846%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153454%
5/24Monday, May 246:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+03=150753%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148547%
5/25Tuesday, May 256:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151054%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148546%
5/26Wednesday, May 266:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151054%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148546%
5/27Thursday, May 2712:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151054%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148546%
5/29Saturday, May 291:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151044%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+26=155456%
5/30Sunday, May 301:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151044%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155256%
5/31Monday, May 312:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+03=150747%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+22=152953%
6/1Tuesday, June 17:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151047%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153153%
6/2Wednesday, June 212:35 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151047%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153153%
6/4Friday, June 47:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+03=151247%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153453%
6/5Saturday, June 54:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151547%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153453%
6/6Sunday, June 61:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151547%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153453%
6/8Tuesday, June 87:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+01=153249%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+26=153651%
6/9Wednesday, June 97:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+0=153350%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153450%
6/10Thursday, June 101:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+0=153350%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153450%
6/12Saturday, June 124:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+01=156854%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+26=153646%
6/13Sunday, June 131:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156955%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153445%
6/14Monday, June 1410:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+04=150633%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162867%
6/15Tuesday, June 1510:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151034%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162866%
6/16Wednesday, June 1610:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151034%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162866%
6/18Friday, June 189:45 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151050%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150950%
6/19Saturday, June 194:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151050%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150950%
6/20Sunday, June 204:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151050%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150950%
6/22Tuesday, June 227:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151548%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+22=153252%
6/23Wednesday, June 231:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151547%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153453%
6/25Friday, June 257:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+1=151143%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+26=156257%
6/26Saturday, June 264:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151043%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156057%
6/27Sunday, June 271:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151043%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156057%
6/29Tuesday, June 297:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+01=146039%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+25=153561%
6/30Wednesday, June 307:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146140%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153460%
7/1Thursday, July 16:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146140%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153460%
7/2Friday, July 26:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+02=156254%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153446%
7/3Saturday, July 34:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156454%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153446%
7/4Sunday, July 41:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156454%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153446%
7/5Monday, July 58:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+03=150748%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+22=152152%
7/6Tuesday, July 68:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151048%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152352%
7/7Wednesday, July 78:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151048%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152352%
7/8Thursday, July 88:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151048%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152352%
7/9Friday, July 97:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+03=150747%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+22=153053%
7/10Saturday, July 104:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151047%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153253%
7/11Sunday, July 111:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151047%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153253%
7/16Friday, July 167:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+4=146539%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+29=153961%
7/17Saturday, July 176:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146140%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153460%
7/18Sunday, July 181:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146140%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153460%
7/20Tuesday, July 207:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+1=151138%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+26=159562%
7/21Wednesday, July 217:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151038%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159362%
7/22Thursday, July 227:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+03=153050%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+23=153350%
7/23Friday, July 237:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+0=153350%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153450%
7/24Saturday, July 246:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+0=153350%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153450%
7/25Sunday, July 251:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+0=153350%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153450%
7/26Monday, July 267:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+01=151447%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153453%
7/27Tuesday, July 277:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151547%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153453%
7/28Wednesday, July 287:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151547%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153453%
7/29Thursday, July 291:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151547%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153453%
7/30Friday, July 307:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+02=150857%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145743%
7/31Saturday, July 317:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151058%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145742%
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151058%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145742%
8/2Monday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+02=150846%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153954%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151046%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153954%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151046%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153954%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 54:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151046%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153954%
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+03=153350%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+22=153250%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 74:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153650%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153450%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153650%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153450%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+02=160259%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+26=153641%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160460%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153440%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 121:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160460%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153440%
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+03=150446%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153454%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 144:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150746%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153454%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 151:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150746%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153454%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 179:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+02=150849%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+26=151351%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 189:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151050%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151150%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 193:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151050%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151150%
8/20Friday, Aug. 2010:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+02=150839%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+23=158761%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 218:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151039%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158861%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 223:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151039%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158861%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+01=152749%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+22=153251%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152849%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153451%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+02=148543%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153457%
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148743%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153457%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 286:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148743%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153457%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148743%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153457%
8/30Monday, Aug. 307:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+02=150846%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+22=153754%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 317:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151046%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153954%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 17:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151046%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153954%
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+01=150954%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+21=148246%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 46:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151054%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148546%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151054%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148546%
9/6Monday, Sept. 62:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+03=150745%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154455%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151045%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154455%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151045%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154455%
9/9Thursday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+04=143937%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+21=153163%
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144337%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153463%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 116:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144337%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153463%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144337%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153463%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+01=149845%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+26=153655%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 157:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149945%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153455%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 166:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149945%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153455%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+01=150942%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+26=156258%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151043%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156057%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151043%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156057%
9/20Monday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+02=143736%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+23=153364%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143937%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153463%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143937%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153463%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+02=143135%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153465%
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143336%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153464%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 254:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143336%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153464%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 261:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143336%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153464%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+01=150943%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+22=155557%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151043%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+24=155757%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151043%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+24=155757%
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+03=150754%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+21=148246%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 26:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151054%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148546%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 31:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151054%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148546%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/11Sunday, April 117:08 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
150936+0=147340%7
ATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
153516+24=154360%6
4/10Saturday, April 107:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15104+0=150642%4
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1534+7+24=156558%5
4/9Friday, April 97:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1512+271=153845%1
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1532+15+23=157055%8
4/7Wednesday, April 74:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154020+0=152045%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1510+24+24=155855%8
4/6Tuesday, April 67:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15389+0=152951%8
PHIPHIPhillies
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
151214+24=152249%4
4/5Monday, April 57:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1540+381=157761%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
151037+24=149739%5
4/4Sunday, April 41:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1531+5+0=153652%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15099+24=152448%2
4/3Saturday, April 34:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1533+16+2=155149%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1507+22+26=155551%4
4/1Thursday, April 13:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
153413=153046%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1506+26+24=155654%3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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