Updated Aug. 4, 2021, at 1:37 AM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Marlins have a <1% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1478, down 1 point from last week.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
MetsMets55-5137%36%
BravesBraves53-542.533%31%
PhilliesPhillies54-531.530%29%
NationalsNationals49-586.53%3%
MarlinsMarlins46-619.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1523+14+0=153755%
MIAMIAMarlins
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1478+4+24=150645%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 512:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Hill, Rich
Hill
15232+0=152153%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150347%
8/6Friday, Aug. 68:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1478+174=149151%
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1460+0+24=148449%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 78:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
147820+0=145846%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148454%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 83:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147950%
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
14608+24=147650%
8/9Monday, Aug. 910:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1478+43=147936%
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
15565+24=157564%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1478+20+0=149836%
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1556+17+24=159764%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 114:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1478+17+0=149542%
SDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
155626+24=155458%
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1487+23=148651%
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
147820+22=148049%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 146:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
1487+8+0=149549%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150351%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 151:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+0=148948%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150352%
8/16Monday, Aug. 167:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
153553=152754%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150346%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15355+0=153054%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150346%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 187:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15355+0=153054%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150346%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+13=147642%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1506+2+24=153258%
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147942%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1506+2+24=153258%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 216:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147942%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1506+2+24=153258%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147942%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1506+2+24=153258%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
150571=149749%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+23=150251%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15057+0=149849%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150351%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15057+0=149849%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150351%
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1506+23=150550%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150350%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 286:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1506+2+0=150851%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150349%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1506+2+0=150851%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150349%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+11=147840%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15231+26=154860%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147940%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15231+24=154660%
9/2Thursday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147940%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15231+24=154660%
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+31=150751%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+21=150049%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 46:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+3+0=150851%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150349%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+3+0=150851%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150349%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 76:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
152313=151952%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+26=150548%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 86:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15231+0=152253%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150347%
9/9Thursday, Sept. 96:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15231+0=152253%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150347%
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+13=147639%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15355+24=155461%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147939%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15355+24=155461%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147939%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15355+24=155461%
9/13Monday, Sept. 137:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+13=147644%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15057+22=152056%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147944%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15057+24=152256%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 151:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147944%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15057+24=152256%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1430+13=142840%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+23=150260%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 186:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1430+1+0=143140%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150360%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1430+1+0=143140%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150360%
9/20Monday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
150573=149549%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150351%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15057+0=149849%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150351%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15057+0=149849%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150351%
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147936%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15566+26=157664%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 256:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147937%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15566+24=157463%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 261:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147937%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15566+24=157463%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+11=147840%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15231+23=154560%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147940%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15231+24=154660%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147940%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15231+24=154660%
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+33=150551%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+21=150049%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 26:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+3+0=150851%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150349%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 31:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+3+0=150851%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150349%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
152410+0=151455%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Neidert, Nick
Neidert
147622+24=147845%5
8/2Monday, Aug. 27:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
152643=151956%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
147420+24=147844%6
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15471+0=154655%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1476+12+24=151245%1
7/31Saturday, July 316:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
154613+0=153351%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1477+24+24=152549%2
7/30Friday, July 307:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
154562=153755%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1478+3+23=150445%1
7/28Wednesday, July 287:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Holloway, Jordan
Holloway
147930+0=144949%7
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14333+24=145451%8
7/27Tuesday, July 277:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1477+111=148752%7
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
1435+17+26=147848%3
7/25Sunday, July 251:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1561+30+0=159166%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Curtiss, John
Curtiss
147423+24=147534%9
7/24Saturday, July 246:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
156217+0=154561%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
147328+24=146939%3
7/23Friday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1561+8+0=156959%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1474+5+24=150341%2
7/22Thursday, July 227:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
156043=155361%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Bender, Anthony
Bender
147518+21=147839%2
7/21Wednesday, July 217:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Neidert, Nick
Neidert
147327+0=144640%3
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
151422+24=151660%1
7/20Tuesday, July 207:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1474+25+0=149946%3
WSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
151313+24=152454%6
7/19Monday, July 197:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Detwiler, Ross
Detwiler
1478312=144543%1
WSHWSHNationals
Lester, Jon
Lester
150939+24=149457%18
7/18Sunday, July 181:55 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
147928+0=145132%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1509+45+24=157868%7
7/17Saturday, July 176:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1481+2+0=148346%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150823+24=150954%4
7/16Friday, July 167:25 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Detwiler, Ross
Detwiler
147733+0=144437%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15112+24=153363%0
7/16Friday, July 164:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1479+13+4=149650%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
151040+29=149950%5
7/11Sunday, July 111:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1526+14+0=154053%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1477+15+24=151647%7
7/10Saturday, July 104:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15255+0=152049%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1478+23+24=152551%4
7/9Friday, July 97:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1523+151=153758%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Bass, Anthony
Bass
148022+24=148242%0
7/8Thursday, July 812:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
159514+0=158158%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1481+16+24=152142%1
7/7Wednesday, July 77 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Reed, Jake
Reed
159738+0=155962%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Detwiler, Ross
Detwiler
147931+24=147238%9
7/6Tuesday, July 67:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
159813+0=158560%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1478+11+24=151340%2
7/5Monday, July 56:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1600+173=161463%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1476+20+21=151737%5
7/4Sunday, July 41:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
14772+0=147537%7
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1526+16+24=156663%8
7/3Saturday, July 34:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1476+15+0=149143%3
ATLATLBraves
Muller, Kyle
Muller
152714+24=153757%2
7/2Friday, July 27:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1477+141=149044%0
ATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
152620+24=153056%1
6/30Wednesday, June 307:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Holloway, Jordan
Holloway
147429+0=144537%11
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1502+14+24=154063%6
6/29Tuesday, June 297:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1475+191=149348%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150119+22=150452%4
6/27Sunday, June 271:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1513+40+0=155355%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1476+19+24=151945%1
6/26Saturday, June 264:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
151412+0=150252%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
14759+24=149048%3
6/25Friday, June 257:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Lester, Jon
Lester
151725+0=149248%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1472+13+24=150952%11
6/24Thursday, June 247:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
1515143=149852%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Poteet, Cody
Poteet
147417+24=148148%3
6/23Wednesday, June 237:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1528+9+0=153753%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1476+18+24=151847%1
6/22Tuesday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
152781=151850%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1477+15+23=151550%1
6/20Sunday, June 202:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
147814+0=146439%0
CHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
1515+6+24=154561%2
6/19Saturday, June 192:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1474+7+0=148143%11
CHCCHCCubs
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
151914+24=152957%1
6/18Friday, June 188:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Poteet, Cody
Poteet
147011+0=145936%10
CHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1522+12+21=155564%2
6/16Wednesday, June 161:15 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1471+13+0=148449%0
STLSTLCardinals
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
149729+24=149251%1
6/15Tuesday, June 158:15 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1472+19+0=149146%1
STLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
14961+24=151954%2
6/14Monday, June 148:15 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
1472283=144137%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1495+13+22=153063%4
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
152127+0=149448%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1474+13+24=151152%4
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15231+0=152257%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
147220+24=147643%4
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1524+113=153253%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1471+13+24=150847%4
6/10Thursday, June 107:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
144520+0=142538%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1469+18+24=151162%11
6/9Wednesday, June 97:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1444+2+0=144647%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
147026+24=146853%3
6/8Tuesday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
144532=144042%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1469+11+21=150158%6
6/7Monday, June 75:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1470202=144837%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15244+22=154263%5
6/6Sunday, June 61:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1468+11+0=147954%3
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14335+24=145246%1
6/5Saturday, June 54:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1470+19+0=148957%7
PITPITPirates
De Jong, Chase
De Jong
143214+24=144243%8
6/4Friday, June 47:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Poteet, Cody
Poteet
14731+0=147254%2
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14297+24=144646%9
6/3Thursday, June 37:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
1474102=146250%3
PITPITPirates
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1428+10+23=146150%5
6/2Wednesday, June 27:07 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1475+12+0=148740%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1533+0+24=155760%6
6/1Tuesday, June 17:07 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1476+13+3=149241%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1531+2+24=155759%5
5/29Saturday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1477+17+0=149442%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1521+3+24=154858%3
5/28Friday, May 287:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Poteet, Cody
Poteet
1479+13=147741%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
15199+26=153659%5
5/27Thursday, May 2712:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Howard, Spencer
Howard
149929+0=147044%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1480+11+24=151556%2
5/26Wednesday, May 266:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1501+20+0=152157%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Neidert, Nick
Neidert
147831+24=147143%4
5/25Tuesday, May 256:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
149915+0=148446%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1480+10+24=151454%0
5/24Monday, May 246:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150113=149747%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1478+19+24=152153%9
5/23Sunday, May 231:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
153539+0=149650%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Poteet, Cody
Poteet
14766+24=149450%5
5/22Saturday, May 224:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
153636+0=150049%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1475+9+24=150851%3
5/21Friday, May 217:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
153581=152657%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Curtiss, John
Curtiss
147617+21=148043%5
5/20Thursday, May 207:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1473+8+0=148146%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Hale, David
Hale
150623+24=150754%0
5/19Wednesday, May 197:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1471+18+0=148944%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15081+24=153156%1
5/18Tuesday, May 187:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Poteet, Cody
Poteet
147392=146236%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1506+30+24=156064%8
5/16Sunday, May 164:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1471+12+0=148335%3
LADLADDodgers
Nelson, Jimmy
Nelson
159428+24=159065%2
5/15Saturday, May 159:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Holloway, Jordan
Holloway
147218+0=145425%0
LADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1593+25+24=164275%7
5/14Friday, May 1410:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1473+182=148931%6
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1592+9+26=162769%9
5/13Thursday, May 139:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1471+13+0=148446%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1487+1+24=151254%1
5/12Wednesday, May 129:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Poteet, Cody
Poteet
147014+0=145644%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Peacock, Matt
Peacock
148814+24=149856%2
5/11Tuesday, May 119:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1473+15+0=148846%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1486+5+24=151554%11
5/10Monday, May 109:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Holloway, Jordan
Holloway
1474164=145444%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
14848+20=149656%5
5/9Sunday, May 91:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
151612+0=150448%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1475+17+24=151652%1
5/8Saturday, May 86:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151517+0=149852%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Castano, Daniel
Castano
147719+24=148248%2
5/7Friday, May 77:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Suter, Brent
Suter
1517103=150449%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1475+10+24=150951%6
5/6Thursday, May 66:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1489+3+0=149247%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1474+14+24=151253%3
5/5Wednesday, May 56:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
14924+0=148853%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Detwiler, Ross
Detwiler
147025+24=146947%8
5/4Tuesday, May 46:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Riley
Smith
1494112=148146%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1468+17+23=150854%9
5/2Sunday, May 21:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1469+12+0=148137%1
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1517+30+24=157163%3
5/1Saturday, May 11:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Campbell, Paul
Campbell
147116+0=145540%2
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
151516+24=152360%7
4/30Friday, April 307:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1472+111=148245%1
WSHWSHNationals
Lester, Jon
Lester
151421+24=151755%2
4/28Wednesday, April 281:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1470+16+0=148648%6
MILMILBrewers
Godley, Zack
Godley
152246+24=150052%2
4/27Tuesday, April 277:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Castano, Daniel
Castano
147012+0=145841%4
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152121+24=152459%5
4/26Monday, April 267:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1466+64=146834%8
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1526+33+23=158266%0
4/25Sunday, April 254:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Detwiler, Ross
Detwiler
146725+0=144243%3
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
148819+24=149357%4
4/24Saturday, April 249:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1465+8+0=147342%5
SFSFGiants
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1490+14+24=152858%2
4/23Friday, April 239:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1466+18+0=148447%3
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
14895+24=150853%5
4/22Thursday, April 229:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Castano, Daniel
Castano
1468114=145344%0
SFSFGiants
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
148711+20=149656%3
4/21Wednesday, April 211:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14426+0=143642%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
14662+24=148858%3
4/20Tuesday, April 206:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1440201=141942%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Neidert, Nick
Neidert
146816+26=147858%5
4/18Sunday, April 181:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
14838+0=147547%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1469+5+24=149853%0
4/17Saturday, April 176:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
148412+0=147244%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1468+19+24=151156%7
4/16Friday, April 167:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1486+42=148852%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Castano, Daniel
Castano
146713+21=147548%4
4/15Thursday, April 1512:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
14674+0=146337%6
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1527+6+24=155763%7
4/14Wednesday, April 147:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Neidert, Nick
Neidert
146613+0=145333%6
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1529+20+24=157367%5
4/13Tuesday, April 137:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1463+11+0=147439%14
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15327+24=154961%8
4/12Monday, April 127:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1461+171=147742%5
ATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
153326+24=153158%3
4/10Saturday, April 101:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
145814+2=144629%3
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1539+40+26=160571%0
4/8Thursday, April 81:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Neidert, Nick
Neidert
1459133=144335%2
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153814+23=154765%3
4/7Wednesday, April 74:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1503+26+0=152955%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1461+10+24=149545%0
4/6Tuesday, April 66:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
15026+0=149649%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1463+18+24=150551%2
4/5Monday, April 56:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Ponce de Leon, Daniel
Ponce de Leon
150073=149052%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
146414+26=147648%1
4/3Saturday, April 36:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1535+18+0=155360%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
14622+24=148440%12
4/2Friday, April 27:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
1534+8+0=154257%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1463+8+24=149543%4
4/1Thursday, April 14:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1533+112=154256%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1464+15+24=150344%0

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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