Updated Apr. 13, 2021, at 1:14 AM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Nationals have a 32% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1517, down 3 points from last week.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
MetsMets2-32.049%33%
BravesBraves4-62.543%27%
PhilliesPhillies6-333%19%
NationalsNationals2-53.032%19%
MarlinsMarlins3-63.03%2%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/13Tuesday, April 137:45 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1517+35+0=155249%
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1501+31+24=155651%
4/14Wednesday, April 141:15 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
151711+0=150647%
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1501+4+24=152953%
4/15Thursday, April 157:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1485+72=149044%
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
15177+21=153156%
4/16Friday, April 167:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
14855+0=148038%
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1517+25+24=156662%
4/17Saturday, April 171:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1485+8+0=149343%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154157%
4/18Sunday, April 181:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
148511+0=147436%
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1517+35+24=157664%
4/19Monday, April 197:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1501+312=153050%
WSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
151711+24=153050%
4/20Tuesday, April 207:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1501+4+0=150546%
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
15177+24=153454%
4/21Wednesday, April 214:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
150116+0=148538%
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1517+25+24=156662%
4/23Friday, April 237:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151748%
NYMNYMMets
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
153627+21=153052%
4/24Saturday, April 244:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151744%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156056%
4/25Sunday, April 251:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151744%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156056%
4/27Tuesday, April 276:37 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151746%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+23=154254%
4/28Wednesday, April 286:37 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151746%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154354%
4/30Friday, April 307:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+01=146239%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154161%
5/1Saturday, May 11:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+0=146339%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154161%
5/2Sunday, May 21:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+0=146339%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154161%
5/4Tuesday, May 47:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+0=153248%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+26=154352%
5/5Wednesday, May 57:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+0=153249%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154151%
5/6Thursday, May 64:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+0=153249%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154151%
5/7Friday, May 77:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+02=151539%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159461%
5/8Saturday, May 81:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151739%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159461%
5/9Sunday, May 91:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151739%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159461%
5/11Tuesday, May 117:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+01=150945%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154155%
5/12Wednesday, May 127:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151046%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154154%
5/13Thursday, May 131:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151046%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154154%
5/14Friday, May 149:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+04=151351%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150949%
5/15Saturday, May 158:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151751%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150949%
5/16Sunday, May 164:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151751%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150949%
5/17Monday, May 177:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+04=151349%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+22=152051%
5/18Tuesday, May 187:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151749%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152251%
5/19Wednesday, May 197:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151749%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152251%
5/20Thursday, May 202:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151749%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152251%
5/21Friday, May 217:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+01=143836%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+21=153864%
5/22Saturday, May 224:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143936%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154164%
5/23Sunday, May 231:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143936%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154164%
5/25Tuesday, May 257:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150845%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+26=154355%
5/26Wednesday, May 267:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150845%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154155%
5/27Thursday, May 277:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150845%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154155%
5/28Friday, May 287:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+03=151947%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154153%
5/29Saturday, May 297:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+0=152247%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154153%
5/30Sunday, May 301:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+0=152247%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154153%
5/31Monday, May 315:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+03=151445%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+21=155355%
6/1Tuesday, June 17:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151745%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+24=155655%
6/2Wednesday, June 27:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151745%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+24=155655%
6/3Thursday, June 312:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151745%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+24=155655%
6/4Friday, June 47:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+03=151447%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153453%
6/5Saturday, June 54:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151748%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153452%
6/6Sunday, June 61:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151748%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153452%
6/8Tuesday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+01=151645%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+23=155155%
6/9Wednesday, June 97:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151745%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155255%
6/10Thursday, June 107:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1483+03=148042%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+21=153858%
6/11Friday, June 117:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1483+0+0=148342%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154158%
6/12Saturday, June 127:15 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1483+0+0=148342%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154158%
6/13Sunday, June 131:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1483+0+0=148342%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154158%
6/14Monday, June 147:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+03=142934%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154166%
6/15Tuesday, June 157:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+0=143235%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154165%
6/16Wednesday, June 164:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+0=143235%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154165%
6/18Friday, June 187:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+02=153449%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+26=154351%
6/19Saturday, June 191:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153649%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154151%
6/19Saturday, June 196:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153649%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154151%
6/20Sunday, June 201:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153649%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154151%
6/22Tuesday, June 227:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151748%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+22=153252%
6/23Wednesday, June 231:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151748%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153452%
6/24Thursday, June 247:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+03=151454%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+24=148746%
6/25Friday, June 257:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151754%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+24=148746%
6/26Saturday, June 264:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151754%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+24=148746%
6/27Sunday, June 271:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151754%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+24=148746%
6/28Monday, June 287:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+02=153449%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+21=153851%
6/29Tuesday, June 297:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+01=152748%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154152%
6/30Wednesday, June 304:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152848%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154152%
7/1Thursday, July 17:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+02=160259%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154141%
7/2Friday, July 27:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160459%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154141%
7/3Saturday, July 37:15 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160459%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154141%
7/4Sunday, July 411:05 a.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160459%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154141%
7/5Monday, July 510:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+04=151340%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+20=158560%
7/6Tuesday, July 610:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151740%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158960%
7/7Wednesday, July 710:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151740%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158960%
7/8Thursday, July 89:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151740%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158960%
7/9Friday, July 99:45 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+02=151551%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1483+0+26=150949%
7/10Saturday, July 104:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151751%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1483+0+24=150749%
7/11Sunday, July 114:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151751%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1483+0+24=150749%
7/16Friday, July 167:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+3=156853%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+27=154447%
7/17Saturday, July 177:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156553%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154147%
7/18Sunday, July 181:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156553%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154147%
7/19Monday, July 197:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+02=146139%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154161%
7/20Tuesday, July 207:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+0=146339%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154161%
7/21Wednesday, July 217:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+0=146339%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154161%
7/23Friday, July 237:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+1=151858%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+23=146242%
7/24Saturday, July 247:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151758%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146342%
7/25Sunday, July 251:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151758%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146342%
7/26Monday, July 267:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+01=151647%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153453%
7/27Tuesday, July 277:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151748%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153452%
7/28Wednesday, July 287:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151748%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153452%
7/29Thursday, July 291:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151748%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153452%
7/30Friday, July 307:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+03=149544%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+22=153956%
7/31Saturday, July 317:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149844%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154156%
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149844%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154156%
8/2Monday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+02=150845%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154155%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151046%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154154%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151046%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154154%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 54:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151046%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154154%
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+03=151444%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+22=155456%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151745%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+24=155655%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151745%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+24=155655%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+01=151644%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+25=156156%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151744%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156056%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 1212:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151744%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156056%
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+03=152949%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+22=153951%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+0=153249%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154151%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 151:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+0=153249%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154151%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+12=151746%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+26=154354%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 184:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151947%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154153%
8/20Friday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+01=151646%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+22=154454%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 214:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151746%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+24=154654%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 222:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151746%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+24=154654%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+01=151654%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+23=148646%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151754%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+24=148746%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151754%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+24=148746%
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+03=151443%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156057%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151744%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156056%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151744%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156056%
8/30Monday, Aug. 307:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+02=150846%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+22=153954%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 317:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151046%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154154%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 17:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151046%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154154%
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+02=153449%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+26=154351%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 41:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153649%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154151%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 46:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153649%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154151%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153649%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154151%
9/6Monday, Sept. 61:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153649%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154151%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+03=151444%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+23=155556%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151745%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+24=155655%
9/9Thursday, Sept. 97:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151745%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+24=155655%
9/10Friday, Sept. 106:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+02=151558%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+26=145842%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 116:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151759%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+24=145641%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151759%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+24=145641%
9/13Monday, Sept. 137:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+03=146039%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+22=153961%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+0=146339%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154161%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 151:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+0=146339%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154161%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+03=144036%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+26=154364%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 184:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144336%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154164%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144336%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154164%
9/20Monday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+03=151454%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+24=148746%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151754%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+24=148746%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151754%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+24=148746%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 236:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+03=151447%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153253%
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151748%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153252%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151748%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153252%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 261:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151748%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153252%
9/27Monday, Sept. 278:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+03=151457%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146743%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 288:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151757%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146743%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 293:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151757%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146743%
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+01=150745%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+22=153955%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 24:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150845%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154155%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 31:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150845%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154155%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/12Monday, April 127:45 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1515384=147343%5
STLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
15034+24=152357%2
4/11Sunday, April 114:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1516+24+0=154037%0
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1603+7+24=163463%3
4/10Saturday, April 109:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
15182+0=151637%5
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
160216+24=161063%9
4/9Friday, April 94:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
1518142=150232%0
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1601+7+24=163268%1
4/7Wednesday, April 73:45 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
153035+0=149538%2
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1520+33+24=157762%0
4/7Wednesday, April 712:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1529+0+0=152952%7
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
152132+24=151348%6
4/6Tuesday, April 64:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
153018+0=151242%5
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1520+26+24=157058%6

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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