Updated Aug. 4, 2021, at 1:37 AM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Cardinals have a 3% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1493, down 4 points from last week.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BrewersBrewers64-4493%90%
RedsReds56-517.520%8%
CardinalsCardinals53-5310.03%2%
CubsCubs51-5713.0<1%<1%
PiratesPirates41-6622.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 48 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
153519+0=151653%
STLSTLCardinals
Happ, J.A.
Happ
149325+24=149247%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 58:15 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Muller, Kyle
Muller
15355+0=153055%
STLSTLCardinals
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
149321+24=149645%
8/6Friday, Aug. 68:15 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1454+112=146341%
STLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1493+8+24=152559%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:15 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14541+0=145337%
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1493+25+24=154263%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 82:15 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
145414+0=144044%
STLSTLCardinals
Lester, Jon
Lester
149333+24=148456%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1493251=146750%
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1430+15+24=146950%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
149321+0=147254%
PITPITPirates
Crowe, Wil
Crowe
143010+24=144446%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 1212:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1493+8+0=150155%
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1430+13+24=146745%
8/13Friday, Aug. 138:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1493+253=151555%
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14541+26=147945%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Lester, Jon
Lester
149333+0=146049%
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
145414+24=146451%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 152:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+0=148752%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14544+24=147448%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+31=154154%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+24=151146%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 187:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+3+0=154254%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+24=151146%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 197:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+3+0=154254%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+24=151146%
8/20Friday, Aug. 208:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1430+12=142939%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+24=151161%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 217:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1430+1+0=143139%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+24=151161%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 222:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1430+1+0=143139%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+24=151161%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:45 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
146721=146443%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+26=151357%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 251:15 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14672+0=146543%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+24=151157%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
149363=148454%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1430+1+24=145546%
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+0=148755%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1430+1+24=145545%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+0=148755%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1430+1+24=145545%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+0=148755%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1430+1+24=145545%
8/30Monday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
149362=148544%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1506+2+21=152956%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 316:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+0=148744%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1506+2+24=153256%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 16:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+0=148744%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1506+2+24=153256%
9/3Friday, Sept. 38:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+0=148739%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+3+20=156261%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 47:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+0=148739%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+3+24=156661%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 52:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+0=148739%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+3+24=156661%
9/6Monday, Sept. 64:15 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1590+14=158761%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+22=150939%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:45 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1590+1+0=159161%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+24=151139%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:45 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1590+1+0=159161%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+24=151139%
9/9Thursday, Sept. 91:15 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1590+1+0=159161%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+24=151139%
9/10Friday, Sept. 108:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1506+2+0=150850%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+24=151150%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1506+2+0=150850%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+24=151150%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 122:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1506+2+0=150850%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+24=151150%
9/13Monday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
149363=148441%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15231+24=154659%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+0=148742%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15231+24=154658%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 157:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+0=148742%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15231+24=154658%
9/17Friday, Sept. 178:15 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1556+14=155356%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+23=151044%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:15 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1556+1+0=155756%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+24=151144%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 192:15 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1556+1+0=155756%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+24=151144%
9/20Monday, Sept. 207:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
149362=148539%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+3+24=156661%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+0=148739%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+3+24=156661%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 227:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+0=148739%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+3+24=156661%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 232:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+0=148739%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+3+24=156661%
9/24Friday, Sept. 242:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
149361=148646%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+26=151554%
9/24Friday, Sept. 248:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+0=148746%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+24=151354%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 252:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+0=148746%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+24=151354%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 262:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+0=148746%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+24=151354%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+3+0=154254%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+24=151146%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+3+0=154254%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+24=151146%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 301:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+3+0=154254%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+24=151146%
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1487+23=148646%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+24=151154%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+0=148947%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+24=151153%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+0=148947%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14936+24=151153%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 38:15 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15332+0=153156%6
STLSTLCardinals
Lester, Jon
Lester
149530+26=149144%1
8/1Sunday, Aug. 12:15 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1491+13+0=150445%3
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1494+24+24=154255%7
7/31Saturday, July 317:15 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
14888+0=148046%8
STLSTLCardinals
Woodford, Jake
Woodford
149711+24=151054%1
7/30Friday, July 308:15 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
149017+0=147347%1
STLSTLCardinals
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
149526+24=149353%5
7/28Wednesday, July 281:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1497+13+0=151046%2
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1498+17+24=153954%7
7/27Tuesday, July 277:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1496+20+0=151650%4
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
149911+26=151450%2
7/25Sunday, July 251:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
149326+0=146739%10
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1500+18+24=154261%6
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Woodford, Jake
Woodford
149410+0=148443%3
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1499+13+24=153657%5
7/23Friday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1495272=146641%5
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1498+5+26=152959%6
7/22Thursday, July 227:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
1495+8+0=150346%2
STLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1494+10+24=152854%3
7/21Wednesday, July 218 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1496+28+0=152449%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1493+17+24=153451%3
7/20Tuesday, July 208:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Williams, Trevor
Williams
149516+0=147949%7
STLSTLCardinals
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
149430+24=148851%6
7/19Monday, July 198 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
1497+123=150650%3
STLSTLCardinals
Woodford, Jake
Woodford
149213+24=150350%8
7/18Sunday, July 182:15 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
153121+0=151053%1
STLSTLCardinals
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
149127+24=148847%2
7/17Saturday, July 177:15 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1533+13+0=154653%1
STLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1489+9+24=152247%3
7/16Friday, July 168:15 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
153010+3=152348%7
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1492+20+29=154152%2
7/10Saturday, July 107:15 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1489+6+0=149544%6
CHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1499+11+24=153456%0
7/9Friday, July 92:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1490232=146538%5
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1497+27+24=154862%10
7/7Wednesday, July 79:45 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
149229+0=146339%2
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
152511+24=153861%5
7/6Tuesday, July 69:45 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1490+22+0=151247%6
SFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
152617+24=153353%5
7/5Monday, July 56:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1488+13=148636%5
SFSFGiants
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1528+35+21=158464%3
7/4Sunday, July 43:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
148921+0=146845%2
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1447+32+24=150355%3
7/3Saturday, July 39:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
149027+0=146352%2
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
144623+24=144748%3
7/2Friday, July 28:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
148830+0=145852%9
COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
144929+24=144448%3
7/1Thursday, July 18:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1490+223=150957%2
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14478+24=146343%5
6/30Wednesday, June 301:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Riley
Smith
144919+0=143038%4
STLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1489+1+24=151462%7
6/29Tuesday, June 298:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1450+5+0=145545%2
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
148822+24=149055%3
6/28Monday, June 288:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Faria, Jake
Faria
1452+04=144845%1
STLSTLCardinals
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
148627+24=148355%7
6/27Sunday, June 272:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Kranick, Max
Kranick
1431+0+0=143142%7
STLSTLCardinals
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
148825+24=148758%2
6/26Saturday, June 262:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1432+21+0=145339%1
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1487+22+24=153361%3
6/25Friday, June 258:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Crowe, Wil
Crowe
143122+0=140935%5
STLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1489+4+24=151765%4
6/24Thursday, June 248:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
142763=141839%8
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
149219+22=149561%2
6/23Wednesday, June 231:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
14948+0=148653%2
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
14506+24=146847%6
6/22Tuesday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
1497201=147651%2
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14472+22=146749%8
6/20Sunday, June 207 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1498+1+0=149947%0
ATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
152025+24=151953%1
6/20Sunday, June 202:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1494+14+2=151048%9
ATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
152424+26=152652%1
6/18Friday, June 187:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
149713+0=148442%1
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15213+24=154258%9
6/17Thursday, June 177:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
1498102=148640%0
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1520+9+24=155360%4
6/16Wednesday, June 161:15 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1471+13+0=148449%0
STLSTLCardinals
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
149729+24=149251%1
6/15Tuesday, June 158:15 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1472+19+0=149146%1
STLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
14961+24=151954%2
6/14Monday, June 148:15 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
1472283=144137%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1495+13+22=153063%4
6/13Sunday, June 137 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
149616+0=148040%0
CHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1523+7+24=155460%2
6/12Saturday, June 127:15 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
14983+0=149541%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1522+16+24=156259%7
6/11Friday, June 112:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
149929+0=147042%5
CHCCHCCubs
Stewart, Kohl
Stewart
152015+22=152758%8
6/9Wednesday, June 98:15 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Mejia, J.C.
Mejia
151015+0=149545%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1497+9+24=153055%8
6/8Tuesday, June 88:15 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1507+451=155156%10
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
150014+26=151244%1
6/6Sunday, June 62:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Miley, Wade
Miley
14933+0=149045%8
STLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
1501+3+24=152855%7
6/5Saturday, June 52:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1491+8+0=149951%5
STLSTLCardinals
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
150332+24=149549%2
6/4Friday, June 48:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
14907+0=148343%6
STLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1504+0+24=152857%4
6/3Thursday, June 38:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
148814+0=147442%4
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1506+6+20=153258%2
6/2Wednesday, June 29:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
15087+0=150133%3
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1594+9+24=162767%14
6/1Tuesday, June 110:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
15072+0=150536%3
LADLADDodgers
Price, David
Price
159516+24=160364%2
5/31Monday, May 319:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1508+272=153334%4
LADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1594+26+24=164466%9
5/30Sunday, May 304:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1511+3+0=151455%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Peacock, Matt
Peacock
146711+24=148045%9
5/29Saturday, May 2910:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1510+6+0=151655%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Frankoff, Seth
Frankoff
146914+24=147945%4
5/28Friday, May 289:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
150833+0=147546%8
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1470+9+24=150354%6
5/27Thursday, May 279:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
1507114=149252%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Duplantier, Jon
Duplantier
147113+24=148248%4
5/26Wednesday, May 262:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
15055+0=150041%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1535+2+24=156159%0
5/25Tuesday, May 258:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1507+32+0=153946%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1533+12+24=156954%8
5/24Monday, May 248 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1508+22=150840%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1532+25+21=157860%5
5/23Sunday, May 237 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1509+1+0=151047%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15092+24=153153%1
5/22Saturday, May 227:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
1510+11+0=152147%1
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1508+11+24=154353%2
5/21Friday, May 218:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1507+192=152450%12
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
151111+26=152650%3
5/19Wednesday, May 197:45 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
14355+0=143031%5
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1511+36+24=157169%8
5/18Tuesday, May 187:45 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1437+141=145039%2
STLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
15095+22=152661%5
5/16Sunday, May 167 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1511+8+0=151942%3
SDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
156214+24=157258%5
5/15Saturday, May 158:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1514+6+0=152045%3
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
155927+24=155655%13
5/14Friday, May 1410:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
1514284=148236%4
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1558+3+23=158464%5
5/13Thursday, May 131:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1513+31+0=154446%2
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1516+28+24=156854%0
5/12Wednesday, May 127:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
15149+0=150540%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1515+40+24=157960%4
5/11Tuesday, May 117:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1512+3+0=151547%6
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15187+23=153453%1
5/9Sunday, May 92:15 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1445+17+0=146239%0
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1511+3+24=153861%2
5/8Saturday, May 82:15 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
144519+0=142636%8
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
15108+24=152664%9
5/7Friday, May 78:15 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
144781=143833%0
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1509+29+24=156267%5
5/6Thursday, May 61:15 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153212+0=152049%4
STLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
15106+24=152851%1
5/5Wednesday, May 58:25 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Castro, Miguel
Castro
153046+0=148446%7
STLSTLCardinals
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
151322+24=151554%2
5/5Wednesday, May 55:15 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15312+2=153149%1
STLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1511+2+26=153951%4
5/3Monday, May 37:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1532313=149845%5
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1510+4+21=153555%6
5/2Sunday, May 21:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
150913+0=149658%3
PITPITPirates
Crowe, Wil
Crowe
144021+24=144342%0
5/1Saturday, May 16:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1507+29+0=153660%12
PITPITPirates
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
14422+24=146440%5
4/30Friday, April 306:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
150563=149651%7
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1444+18+26=148849%3
4/29Thursday, April 291:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1502+31+0=153351%3
STLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1504+1+24=152949%4
4/28Wednesday, April 287:45 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150020+0=148046%5
STLSTLCardinals
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
150524+24=150554%3
4/27Tuesday, April 277:45 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1502+0+0=150249%2
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
150417+24=151151%5
4/26Monday, April 267:45 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1501+183=151648%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1505+3+24=153252%1
4/25Sunday, April 252:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1501+11+0=151244%2
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1504+29+24=155756%5
4/24Saturday, April 242:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Miley, Wade
Miley
150211+0=149146%0
STLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
15027+24=151954%2
4/23Friday, April 238:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1503+232=152450%4
STLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1501+1+23=152550%5
4/21Wednesday, April 214:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
150217+0=148538%0
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1513+35+24=157262%1
4/20Tuesday, April 207:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1503+3+0=150648%2
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
151215+24=152152%3
4/19Monday, April 197:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1500+342=153250%12
WSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
15144+24=153450%5
4/18Sunday, April 181:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
15014+0=149742%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1506+25+24=155558%2
4/17Saturday, April 174:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1499+4+0=150351%9
PHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
150838+24=149449%4
4/16Friday, April 167:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
1501161=148444%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15064+25=152756%9
4/14Wednesday, April 141:15 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
15149+0=150546%6
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1504+4+24=153254%0
4/13Tuesday, April 137:45 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1517+35+0=155249%3
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1501+31+24=155651%14
4/12Monday, April 127:45 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1515384=147343%5
STLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
15034+24=152357%2
4/11Sunday, April 112:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15189+0=150948%9
STLSTLCardinals
Ponce de Leon, Daniel
Ponce de Leon
15055+24=152452%3
4/10Saturday, April 102:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151616+2=150248%9
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
150717+26=151652%5
4/8Thursday, April 84:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1517+202=153551%1
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1506+0+21=152749%3
4/7Wednesday, April 74:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1503+26+0=152955%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1461+10+24=149545%0
4/6Tuesday, April 66:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
15026+0=149649%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1463+18+24=150551%2
4/5Monday, April 56:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Ponce de Leon, Daniel
Ponce de Leon
150073=149052%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
146414+26=147648%1
4/4Sunday, April 41:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
150416+0=148848%1
CINCINReds
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
150222+24=150452%12
4/3Saturday, April 34:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1505+7+2=151449%6
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
15004+26=152251%9
4/1Thursday, April 14:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1503+312=153247%11
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1503+24+24=155153%6

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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