Updated Apr. 13, 2021, at 1:14 AM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Cubs have a 20% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1498, down 10 points from last week.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BrewersBrewers6-41.054%41%
RedsReds7-341%29%
CardinalsCardinals5-52.027%18%
CubsCubs4-63.020%12%
PiratesPirates3-74.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/13Tuesday, April 137:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1498+34+0=153243%
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1522+33+24=157957%
4/14Wednesday, April 141:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
14983+0=149539%
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1522+26+24=157261%
4/16Friday, April 162:20 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1532183=151148%
CHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1498+3+25=152652%
4/17Saturday, April 172:20 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
153219+0=151352%
CHCCHCCubs
Williams, Trevor
Williams
149824+24=149848%
4/18Sunday, April 187:08 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15327+0=152551%
CHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
14984+24=151849%
4/20Tuesday, April 207:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
153671=152846%
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1498+34+26=155854%
4/21Wednesday, April 217:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153629+0=150748%
CHCCHCCubs
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
14983+24=151952%
4/22Thursday, April 227:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1536+43+0=157958%
CHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1498+3+24=152542%
4/23Friday, April 232:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
152292=151152%
CHCCHCCubs
Williams, Trevor
Williams
149824+24=149848%
4/24Saturday, April 242:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+0=152250%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152250%
4/25Sunday, April 252:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+0=152250%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152250%
4/26Monday, April 267:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+03=149541%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+24=155659%
4/27Tuesday, April 277:20 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149842%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+24=155658%
4/28Wednesday, April 287:20 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149842%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+24=155658%
4/29Thursday, April 297:20 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149842%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+24=155658%
4/30Friday, April 307:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+02=149645%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+22=153055%
5/1Saturday, May 14:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149845%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153255%
5/2Sunday, May 24:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149845%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153255%
5/3Monday, May 37:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+01=160362%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+22=152038%
5/4Tuesday, May 47:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160462%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152238%
5/5Wednesday, May 57:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160462%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152238%
5/7Friday, May 72:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+02=143037%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+26=152463%
5/8Saturday, May 82:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+0=143237%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152263%
5/9Sunday, May 92:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+0=143237%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152263%
5/11Tuesday, May 116:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149844%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+26=154056%
5/12Wednesday, May 121:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149844%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153856%
5/14Friday, May 147:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+1=149954%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+24=146946%
5/15Saturday, May 154:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149854%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+24=146946%
5/16Sunday, May 161:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149854%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+24=146946%
5/17Monday, May 177:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+04=151349%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+22=152051%
5/18Tuesday, May 187:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151749%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152251%
5/19Wednesday, May 197:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151749%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152251%
5/20Thursday, May 202:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151749%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152251%
5/21Friday, May 218:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+02=149646%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+26=152754%
5/22Saturday, May 227:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149846%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152554%
5/23Sunday, May 232:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149846%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152554%
5/25Tuesday, May 256:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+01=149756%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+24=145644%
5/26Wednesday, May 266:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149856%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+24=145644%
5/27Thursday, May 2712:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149856%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+24=145644%
5/28Friday, May 282:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
150913=150548%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+22=152052%
5/29Saturday, May 292:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150848%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152252%
5/30Sunday, May 302:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150848%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152252%
5/31Monday, May 312:20 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+03=156256%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152244%
6/1Tuesday, June 18:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156556%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152244%
6/2Wednesday, June 22:20 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156556%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152244%
6/3Thursday, June 39:45 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+04=149448%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1483+0+26=150952%
6/4Friday, June 49:45 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149849%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1483+0+24=150751%
6/5Saturday, June 57:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149849%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1483+0+24=150751%
6/6Sunday, June 64:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149849%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1483+0+24=150751%
6/7Monday, June 710:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+02=149637%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158963%
6/8Tuesday, June 810:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149837%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158963%
6/9Wednesday, June 94:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149837%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158963%
6/11Friday, June 112:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150147%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+22=152053%
6/12Saturday, June 127:15 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150147%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152253%
6/13Sunday, June 132:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150147%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152253%
6/14Monday, June 147:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+03=149541%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156059%
6/15Tuesday, June 157:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149841%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156059%
6/16Wednesday, June 167:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149841%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156059%
6/17Thursday, June 177:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149841%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156059%
6/18Friday, June 182:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+0=146342%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+21=151958%
6/19Saturday, June 192:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+0=146342%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152258%
6/20Sunday, June 202:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+0=146342%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152258%
6/21Monday, June 218:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+02=151249%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152251%
6/22Tuesday, June 228:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+0=151449%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152251%
6/24Thursday, June 2410:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+02=149632%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+23=162768%
6/25Friday, June 2510:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149832%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162868%
6/26Saturday, June 267:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149832%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162868%
6/27Sunday, June 274:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149832%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162868%
6/28Monday, June 288:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+04=149443%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+24=154657%
6/29Tuesday, June 298:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149843%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+24=154657%
6/30Wednesday, June 302:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149843%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+24=154657%
7/2Friday, July 27:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149845%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153255%
7/3Saturday, July 34:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149845%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153255%
7/4Sunday, July 41:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149845%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153255%
7/5Monday, July 58:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+03=150748%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+22=152052%
7/6Tuesday, July 68:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151048%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152252%
7/7Wednesday, July 78:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151048%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152252%
7/8Thursday, July 88:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151048%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152252%
7/9Friday, July 92:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+02=149947%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152253%
7/10Saturday, July 107:15 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150147%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152253%
7/11Sunday, July 112:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150147%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152253%
7/16Friday, July 169:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+3=150148%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+29=151452%
7/17Saturday, July 178:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149848%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150952%
7/18Sunday, July 184:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149848%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150952%
7/19Monday, July 198:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+03=149546%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152554%
7/20Tuesday, July 208:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149846%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152554%
7/21Wednesday, July 218:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149846%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152554%
7/22Thursday, July 227:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149846%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152554%
7/23Friday, July 232:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1485+02=148345%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+22=152055%
7/24Saturday, July 242:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+0=148545%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152255%
7/25Sunday, July 252:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+0=148545%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152255%
7/26Monday, July 268:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
150912=150648%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152252%
7/27Tuesday, July 278:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150848%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152252%
7/28Wednesday, July 288:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150848%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152252%
7/29Thursday, July 292:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150848%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152252%
7/30Friday, July 307:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+03=149544%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+22=153956%
7/31Saturday, July 317:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149844%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154156%
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149844%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154156%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 38:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+02=149654%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+23=146646%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 48:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149854%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146746%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 53:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149854%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146746%
8/6Friday, Aug. 62:20 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+01=151750%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+21=151950%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 72:20 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+0=151849%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152251%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 82:20 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+0=151849%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152251%
8/9Monday, Aug. 98:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+01=152150%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152250%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 108:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+0=152250%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152250%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 118:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+0=152250%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152250%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 122:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+0=152250%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152250%
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+03=149551%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+22=148549%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 146:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149852%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+24=148748%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 151:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149852%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+24=148748%
8/16Monday, Aug. 167:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+03=149545%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+22=153055%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149845%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153255%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 1812:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149845%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153255%
8/20Friday, Aug. 202:20 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+02=146742%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152258%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 212:20 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146943%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152257%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 222:20 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146943%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152257%
8/23Monday, Aug. 238:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+03=144038%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152262%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 248:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144339%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152261%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 252:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144339%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152261%
8/27Friday, Aug. 278:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+1=149944%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+22=154056%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149844%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154256%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 292:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149844%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154256%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149840%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+26=156760%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149840%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156560%
9/2Thursday, Sept. 28:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+01=143137%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+22=152063%
9/3Friday, Sept. 32:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+0=143237%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152263%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 42:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+0=143237%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152263%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 52:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+0=143237%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152263%
9/6Monday, Sept. 62:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
150912=150648%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152252%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150848%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152252%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150848%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152252%
9/10Friday, Sept. 102:20 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1483+01=148244%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+26=152456%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 112:20 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1483+0+0=148344%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152256%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 122:20 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1483+0+0=148344%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152256%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+01=149744%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+26=153656%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 157:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149845%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153455%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 166:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149845%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153455%
9/17Friday, Sept. 178:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+03=149543%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+24=154657%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149843%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+24=154657%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 192:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149843%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+24=154657%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154153%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+25=152347%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 227:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154153%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152247%
9/24Friday, Sept. 242:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+01=150046%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+26=152454%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 252:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150147%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152253%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 262:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150147%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152253%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 286:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149856%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+24=145644%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 296:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149856%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+24=145644%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 306:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149856%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+24=145644%
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+03=149546%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152554%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149846%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152554%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149846%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152554%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/12Monday, April 127:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
149982=148944%3
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
152014+22=152856%6
4/11Sunday, April 111:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Williams, Trevor
Williams
150220+0=148254%1
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1430+3+24=145746%7
4/10Saturday, April 106:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1505+8+2=151559%2
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14273+26=145041%8
4/8Thursday, April 81:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
150462=149655%4
PITPITPirates
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1428+8+22=145845%2
4/7Wednesday, April 72:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1516+30+0=154648%4
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1505+30+24=155952%2
4/6Tuesday, April 67:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
151315+0=149846%4
CHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
15087+24=152554%0
4/5Monday, April 57:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
151541=151051%3
CHCCHCCubs
Williams, Trevor
Williams
150625+24=150549%5
4/4Sunday, April 42:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14343+0=143135%3
CHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1506+9+24=153965%4
4/3Saturday, April 32:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1436+7+2=144539%1
CHCCHCCubs
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15047+26=152361%5
4/1Thursday, April 12:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
143432=142931%5
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1506+35+24=156569%3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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