Updated Sep. 15, 2019 at 10:22 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Orioles have a 0% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1413, up 4 points from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees98-53>99%
RaysRays89-629.063%<1%
Red SoxRed Sox79-7018.0<1%
Blue JaysBlue Jays59-9138.5
OriolesOrioles49-10048.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/16Monday, Sept. 164:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1413+35+0=144854%
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
1391+2+24=141746%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
14663+0=146352%
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1413+14+22=144948%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1466+19+0=148559%
BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
141313+24=142441%
9/19Thursday, Sept. 197:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Kay, Anthony
Kay
1466+0+0=146653%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1413+7+24=144447%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1462132=144751%
BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
1413+1+24=143849%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1462+4+0=146649%
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1413+35+24=147251%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1462+18+0=148054%
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1413+14+24=145146%
9/23Monday, Sept. 237:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
1413132=139835%
TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1466+19+22=150765%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 247:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1413+7+0=142040%
TORTORBlue Jays
Kay, Anthony
Kay
1466+0+24=149060%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 257:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
1413+1+0=141439%
TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
14662+24=148861%
9/27Friday, Sept. 277:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1413+7+0=142031%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15422+20=156069%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 281:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1413+7+0=142030%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15422+24=156470%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1413+7+0=142030%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15422+24=156470%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/15Sunday, Sept. 151:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
1410+1+0=141153%8
DETDETTigers
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
139329+24=138847%2
9/14Saturday, Sept. 146:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Ynoa, Gabriel
Ynoa
14129+0=140347%4
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1391+10+24=142553%8
9/13Friday, Sept. 137:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
1410132=139547%6
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
1393+0+24=141753%2
9/12Thursday, Sept. 127:15 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1586+0+0=158669%4
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1411+12+24=144731%2
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 117:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
158913+0=157666%3
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1408+33+24=146534%7
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 107:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1588+152=160174%7
BALBALOrioles
Blach, Ty
Blach
140917+26=141826%3
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1473+40+0=151361%10
BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
1411+4+24=143939%4
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Hernandez, Jonathan
Hernandez
147111+0=146055%9
BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
14128+24=142845%4
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Burke, Brock
Burke
1470+6+0=147654%7
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1413+12+24=144946%6
9/5Thursday, Sept. 57:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
146942=146350%3
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1415+28+23=146650%1
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 36:40 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Ynoa, Gabriel
Ynoa
141513+0=140231%0
TBTBRays
Kittredge, Andrew
Kittredge
153622+24=153869%2
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 33:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Blach, Ty
Blach
141320+0=139330%4
TBTBRays
Richards, Trevor
Richards
153820+24=154270%2
9/2Monday, Sept. 21:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
1414+23=141328%4
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
1538+19+24=158172%5
9/1Sunday, Sept. 12:15 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
14156+0=140943%4
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1427+3+24=145457%6
8/31Saturday, Aug. 317:15 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1416+14+0=143050%5
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
142622+24=142850%7
8/30Friday, Aug. 308:15 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1412+271=143848%14
KCKCRoyals
Skoglund, Eric
Skoglund
14305+24=144952%2
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 287:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
1413+4+0=141724%4
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1555+42+24=162176%8
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
141014+1=139724%2
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1558+12+23=159376%0
8/25Sunday, Aug. 251:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Castillo, Diego
Castillo
153720+0=151760%3
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1408+17+24=144940%8
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Alvarado, Jose
Alvarado
154027+0=151359%1
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1405+24+24=145341%7
8/23Friday, Aug. 237:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Richards, Trevor
Richards
153826+0=151263%7
BALBALOrioles
Blach, Ty
Blach
140613+24=141737%1
8/22Thursday, Aug. 227:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
1537+173=155166%5
BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
1407+6+24=143734%2
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 217:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1437+8+0=144555%1
BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
140416+24=141245%8
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1438+17+0=145552%1
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1403+14+24=144148%4
8/19Monday, Aug. 197:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
1437303=140443%5
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1404+24+22=145057%4
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Blach, Ty
Blach
140512+0=139327%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1543+1+24=156873%13
8/17Saturday, Aug. 177:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
1406+7+0=141328%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1542+10+24=157672%4
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
140716+0=139129%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154115+23=154971%9
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 141:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1407+15+0=142226%5
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15889+24=160374%6
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1408+30+0=143827%3
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1587+1+24=161273%8
8/12Monday, Aug. 127:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Blach, Ty
Blach
140911+0=139823%8
NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
15863+24=160777%11
8/12Monday, Aug. 121:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Ynoa, Gabriel
Ynoa
140982=139922%5
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1586+7+22=161578%8
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1590+36+0=162675%7
BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
1407+2+24=143325%8
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
158741+0=154666%23
BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
14116+24=142934%2
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
158731=158369%3
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1411+8+26=144531%2
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 77:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1586+4+0=159067%14
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1413+30+24=146733%2
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Holder, Jonathan
Holder
158512+0=157368%9
BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
1415+6+24=144532%4
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1584+32=158571%9
BALBALOrioles
Ynoa, Gabriel
Ynoa
141510+24=142929%6
8/4Sunday, Aug. 41:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Reid-Foley, Sean
Reid-Foley
1471+0+0=147154%5
BALBALOrioles
Yacabonis, Jimmy
Yacabonis
1414+6+24=144446%6
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pannone, Thomas
Pannone
14738+0=146553%4
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1413+6+24=144347%6
8/2Friday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Font, Wilmer
Font
1471+4+0=147556%5
BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
14145+24=143344%2
8/1Thursday, Aug. 17:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
146813=146452%11
BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
1417+10+22=144948%2
7/30Tuesday, July 303:40 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Eshelman, Tom
Eshelman
14159+0=140635%8
SDSDPadres
Lamet, Dinelson
Lamet
1479+8+24=151165%5
7/29Monday, July 2910:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1416181=139732%1
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1477+25+24=152668%8
7/28Sunday, July 284:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1417+5+0=142234%4
LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
1508+9+24=154166%5
7/27Saturday, July 279:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
14155+0=141034%8
LAALAAAngels
Peters, Dillon
Peters
151011+24=152366%7
7/26Friday, July 2610:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
1412+1+0=141333%9
LAALAAAngels
Tropeano, Nick
Tropeano
15133+24=153467%3
7/25Thursday, July 2510:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Yacabonis, Jimmy
Yacabonis
1410+42=141234%10
LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
151512+23=152666%8
7/24Wednesday, July 243:40 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1411+32+0=144342%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
151340+24=149758%5
7/23Tuesday, July 239:40 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1408+3+0=141132%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1517+1+24=154268%2
7/22Monday, July 229:40 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
1409+34=140831%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1516+8+24=154869%6
7/21Sunday, July 211:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
154513+0=153266%0
BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
140615+24=141534%5
7/20Saturday, July 207:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154317+0=152663%17
BALBALOrioles
Eshelman, Tom
Eshelman
1408+3+24=143537%6
7/19Friday, July 197:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1547+182=156364%2
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1404+31+26=146136%11
7/17Wednesday, July 177:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
153545+0=149059%2
BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
1400+3+24=142741%9
7/16Tuesday, July 167:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Voth, Austin
Voth
153340+1=149462%8
BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
140220+26=140838%1
7/14Sunday, July 141:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154121+0=152063%4
BALBALOrioles
Eshelman, Tom
Eshelman
1403+4+24=143137%1
7/13Saturday, July 137:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1539+25+0=156464%12
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1405+38+24=146736%4
7/13Saturday, July 131:05 p.m.TBTBRays
McKay, Brendan
McKay
154122+0=151963%1
BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
14043+24=142537%2
7/12Friday, July 127:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
1538+0+4=154264%16
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1406+11+29=144636%4
7/7Sunday, July 71:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
140822+0=138636%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1460+5+24=148964%6
7/6Saturday, July 63:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1405+14+0=141943%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Richard, Clayton
Richard
146316+24=147157%1
7/5Friday, July 57:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1403+91=141141%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
146515+24=147459%1
7/3Wednesday, July 37:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1400+39+0=143935%9
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154219+24=154765%6
7/2Tuesday, July 27:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
140121+0=138023%3
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1541+23+24=158877%6
7/1Monday, July 17:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Eshelman, Tom
Eshelman
1402+43=140330%3
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154018+24=154670%6
6/30Sunday, June 301:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1529+4+0=153367%2
BALBALOrioles
Ynoa, Gabriel
Ynoa
140215+24=141133%0
6/29Saturday, June 294:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
153410+0=152463%0
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1397+11+24=143237%13
6/28Friday, June 287:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1539+19+0=155865%0
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1392+35+26=145335%13
6/26Wednesday, June 263:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1483+2+0=148557%10
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1393+17+24=143443%5
6/25Tuesday, June 257:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Allen, Logan
Allen
1481+6+0=148758%8
BALBALOrioles
Yacabonis, Jimmy
Yacabonis
1395+16+22=143342%3
6/23Sunday, June 234:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Ynoa, Gabriel
Ynoa
13974+0=139337%3
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
147113+24=148263%13
6/22Saturday, June 224:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1395+7+0=140237%8
SEASEAMariners
Milone, Tommy
Milone
14742+24=149663%4
6/21Friday, June 2110:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Gilmartin, Sean
Gilmartin
13953+0=139233%9
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1473+16+24=151367%10
6/20Thursday, June 2010:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1397+153=140938%2
SEASEAMariners
Scott, Tayler
Scott
14721+24=149562%5
6/19Wednesday, June 193:37 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Yacabonis, Jimmy
Yacabonis
1398+11+0=140931%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1520+2+24=154669%8
6/18Tuesday, June 1810:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Ynoa, Gabriel
Ynoa
1400+2+0=140231%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15184+24=153869%16
6/17Monday, June 1710:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1400+34=139929%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1518+9+24=155171%3
6/16Sunday, June 161:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
155130+0=152159%8
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1401+33+24=145841%6
6/15Saturday, June 154:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1550+47+0=159771%7
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1402+15+24=144129%2
6/14Friday, June 147:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
154852=154166%13
BALBALOrioles
Ortiz, Luis
Ortiz
14053+24=142634%2
6/13Thursday, June 137 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1457+14+0=147155%12
BALBALOrioles
Ynoa, Gabriel
Ynoa
1407+5+24=143645%3
6/12Wednesday, June 127:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Law, Derek
Law
14562+0=145455%8
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
140917+24=141645%6
6/11Tuesday, June 117:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1457+7+0=146450%2
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1407+31+23=146150%4
6/9Sunday, June 92:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1408+12+0=142027%0
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
158313+24=159473%4
6/8Saturday, June 84:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14051+0=140427%4
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
158631+24=157973%1
6/7Friday, June 78:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Ynoa, Gabriel
Ynoa
1405+62=140923%3
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1586+15+20=162177%4
6/6Thursday, June 68:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
140615+0=139135%3
TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
14827+24=149965%4
6/5Wednesday, June 58:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1407+27+0=143435%1
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1481+36+24=154165%2
6/4Tuesday, June 48:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1405+151=141937%12
TEXTEXRangers
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1483+1+26=151063%11
6/2Sunday, June 21:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1448+3+0=145151%8
BALBALOrioles
Ynoa, Gabriel
Ynoa
1408+9+24=144149%1
6/1Saturday, June 14:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Anderson, Shaun
Anderson
14463+0=144353%8
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
141011+24=142347%2
5/31Friday, May 317 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
144783=143650%6
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1409+4+26=143950%9
5/29Wednesday, May 297:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Carpenter, Ryan
Carpenter
142629+0=139742%4
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1410+18+24=145258%2
5/28Tuesday, May 287:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1425+30+0=145551%3
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1412+12+24=144849%0
5/27Monday, May 271:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1426+32=142748%3
BALBALOrioles
Ynoa, Gabriel
Ynoa
1411+8+20=143952%5
5/26Sunday, May 263 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
141111+0=140027%7
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1509+38+24=157173%8
5/25Saturday, May 259:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1409+6+0=141532%9
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1511+7+24=154268%6
5/24Friday, May 248:40 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1410+194=142538%6
COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
151019+21=151262%8
5/23Thursday, May 2312:35 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1573+15+0=158870%6
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1410+11+24=144530%5
5/22Wednesday, May 227:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15729+0=156368%7
BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
14113+24=143232%5
5/21Tuesday, May 217:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15717+0=156468%11
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
14126+24=143032%4
5/20Monday, May 207 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
157052=156367%10
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1413+3+22=143833%7
5/19Sunday, May 191:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Ramirez, Yefry
Ramirez
14159+0=140630%0
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
153913+24=155070%10
5/18Saturday, May 184:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1416+19+0=143538%1
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
153844+24=151862%4
5/17Friday, May 177:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1413+4+0=141735%5
CLECLEIndians
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
154139+24=152665%1
5/16Thursday, May 166:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
141422=141027%7
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1540+18+24=158273%14
5/15Wednesday, May 156:30 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14151+0=141428%1
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156612+24=157872%3
5/15Wednesday, May 153:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
14165+3=141427%3
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15663+26=158973%5
5/12Sunday, May 121 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1505+1+0=150657%1
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1413+17+24=145443%5
5/11Saturday, May 114:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
15036+0=149758%7
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1415+5+24=144442%2
5/10Friday, May 107:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
150182=149157%8
BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1417+1+26=144443%3
5/8Wednesday, May 87:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1547+32+0=157970%2
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14175+24=143630%1
5/7Tuesday, May 77:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
154627+0=151961%8
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
14193+24=144039%5
5/6Monday, May 67:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Smith, Josh
Smith
1548333=151259%1
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1417+7+26=145041%4
5/4Saturday, May 47:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
153712+0=152562%0
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1414+0+24=143838%3
5/3Friday, May 37:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1535113=152160%7
BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1416+8+23=144740%0
5/1Wednesday, May 18:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14172+0=141542%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14557+24=147258%7
5/1Wednesday, May 14:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
14161+2=141739%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1457+14+26=149761%4
4/29Monday, April 298:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1417+122=142742%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Banuelos, Manny
Banuelos
1456+3+24=148358%5
4/28Sunday, April 282:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14182+0=141632%1
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1518+5+24=154768%4
4/27Saturday, April 272:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1419+5+0=142431%2
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1517+22+24=156369%9
4/26Friday, April 268:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1421+81=142838%1
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
151528+23=151062%6
4/24Wednesday, April 247:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Santana, Ervin
Santana
14546+0=144850%3
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1420+6+24=145050%4
4/23Tuesday, April 237:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1458+2+0=146054%1
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14177+24=143446%9
4/22Monday, April 227:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Banuelos, Manny
Banuelos
145442=144851%12
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1420+1+24=144549%2
4/21Sunday, April 211:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1515+2+0=151761%4
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14212+24=144339%3
4/20Saturday, April 208 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
151228+0=148453%16
BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1424+19+24=146747%7
4/20Saturday, April 204:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1511+261=153662%6
BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1424+6+23=145338%5
4/18Thursday, April 187:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
142311+0=141233%6
TBTBRays
Wood, Hunter
Wood
154228+24=153867%5
4/17Wednesday, April 177:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1424+6+0=143034%1
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154019+24=154566%8
4/16Tuesday, April 167:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
142573=141532%2
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
153920+23=154268%4
4/15Monday, April 1511:05 a.m.BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1421+1+0=142233%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
154627+24=154367%1
4/14Sunday, April 141:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
14221+0=142128%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1545+17+24=158672%4
4/13Saturday, April 131:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
141912+0=140730%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154820+24=155270%5
4/12Friday, April 127:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1420+72=142531%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15476+24=156569%6
4/11Thursday, April 1112:35 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
1521+1+0=152261%8
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14213+24=144239%5
4/10Wednesday, April 107:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1519+0+0=151959%10
BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1423+6+24=145341%3
4/9Tuesday, April 97:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15172+0=151559%13
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1426+2+24=145241%2
4/8Monday, April 87:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
152063=151161%4
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
142212+24=143439%12
4/7Sunday, April 71:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156525+0=154062%15
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1425+7+24=145638%3
4/6Saturday, April 67:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15643+2=156366%6
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14263+26=144934%4
4/4Thursday, April 43:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1563+92=157065%8
BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1427+16+22=146535%4
4/3Wednesday, April 34:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Karns, Nate
Karns
1428+21+0=144940%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1480+12+24=151660%5
4/2Tuesday, April 27:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
142616+0=141036%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1481+4+24=150964%1
4/1Monday, April 17:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1425+12=142440%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Reid-Foley, Sean
Reid-Foley
14829+24=149760%5
3/31Sunday, March 311:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14231+0=142227%7
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1568+1+24=159373%5
3/30Saturday, March 301:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Karns, Nate
Karns
1421+24+2=144729%5
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1570+8+26=160471%3
3/28Thursday, March 281 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1421122=140724%2
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1569+13+24=160676%7

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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