Updated May 21, 2019 at 1:42 AM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Orioles have a <1% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1412, down 4 points from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees29-1788%56%
RaysRays27-171.066%22%
Red SoxRed Sox25-224.566%22%
Blue JaysBlue Jays19-2810.5<1%<1%
OriolesOrioles15-3214.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/21Tuesday, May 217:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15717+0=156468%
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
14126+24=143032%
5/22Wednesday, May 227:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15719+0=156268%
BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
14125+24=143132%
5/23Thursday, May 2312:35 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1571+15+0=158669%
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1412+8+24=144431%
5/24Friday, May 248:40 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1412+174=142535%
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1509+6+21=153665%
5/25Saturday, May 259:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1412+4+0=141634%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153466%
5/26Sunday, May 263 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
14126+0=140629%
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1509+31+24=156471%
5/27Monday, May 271:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1431+22=143150%
BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
14125+20=142750%
5/28Tuesday, May 287:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1431+27+0=145852%
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1412+8+24=144448%
5/29Wednesday, May 297:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Soto, Gregory
Soto
143111+0=142045%
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1412+17+24=145355%
5/31Friday, May 317 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+23=146052%
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1412+4+26=144248%
6/1Saturday, June 14:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+0=146354%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143746%
6/2Sunday, June 21:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+0=146354%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143746%
6/4Tuesday, June 48:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+11=141237%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+26=150263%
6/5Wednesday, June 58:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141338%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+24=150062%
6/6Thursday, June 68:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141338%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+24=150062%
6/7Friday, June 78:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+12=141124%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+20=160976%
6/8Saturday, June 84:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141324%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+24=161376%
6/9Sunday, June 92:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141324%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+24=161376%
6/11Tuesday, June 117:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147055%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+23=143645%
6/12Wednesday, June 127:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147055%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143745%
6/13Thursday, June 137:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147055%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143745%
6/14Friday, June 147:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+02=155266%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143734%
6/15Saturday, June 154:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155466%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143734%
6/16Sunday, June 161:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155466%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143734%
6/17Monday, June 1710:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+14=140932%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154168%
6/18Tuesday, June 1810:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141332%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154168%
6/19Wednesday, June 193:37 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141332%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154168%
6/20Thursday, June 2010:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+13=141036%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150964%
6/21Friday, June 2110:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141337%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150963%
6/22Saturday, June 224:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141337%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150963%
6/23Sunday, June 234:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141337%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150963%
6/25Tuesday, June 257:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148457%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+22=143543%
6/26Wednesday, June 263:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148457%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143743%
6/28Friday, June 287:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+0=153563%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+26=143937%
6/29Saturday, June 294:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+0=153564%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143736%
6/30Sunday, June 301:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+0=153564%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143736%
7/1Monday, July 17:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+13=141030%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156170%
7/2Tuesday, July 27:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141330%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156170%
7/3Wednesday, July 37:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141330%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156170%
7/5Friday, July 57:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+11=141238%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149462%
7/6Saturday, July 63:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141339%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149461%
7/7Sunday, July 71:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141339%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149461%
7/12Friday, July 127:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+4=154164%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+29=144236%
7/13Saturday, July 131 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153764%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143736%
7/13Saturday, July 137:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153764%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143736%
7/14Sunday, July 141:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153764%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143736%
7/16Tuesday, July 167:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+1=151661%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+26=143939%
7/17Wednesday, July 177:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+0=151561%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143739%
7/19Friday, July 197:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+02=155266%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+26=143934%
7/20Saturday, July 207:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155466%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143734%
7/21Sunday, July 211:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155466%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143734%
7/22Monday, July 229:40 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+14=140933%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153467%
7/23Tuesday, July 239:40 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141333%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153467%
7/24Wednesday, July 243:40 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141333%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153467%
7/25Thursday, July 2510:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+12=141134%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+23=152466%
7/26Friday, July 2610:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141334%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152566%
7/27Saturday, July 279:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141334%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152566%
7/28Sunday, July 284:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141334%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152566%
7/29Monday, July 2910:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+11=141236%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150864%
7/30Tuesday, July 303:40 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141337%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150863%
8/1Thursday, Aug. 17:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
147113=146754%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+22=143546%
8/2Friday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147055%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143745%
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147055%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143745%
8/4Sunday, Aug. 41:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147055%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143745%
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
157122=156768%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143732%
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156968%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143732%
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 77:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156968%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143732%
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+01=158870%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+26=143930%
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+0=158971%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143729%
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+0=158971%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143729%
8/12Monday, Aug. 121:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+12=141126%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+22=159174%
8/12Monday, Aug. 127:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141326%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159374%
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141326%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159374%
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 141:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141326%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159374%
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141328%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+23=157772%
8/17Saturday, Aug. 177:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141328%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157872%
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141328%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157872%
8/19Monday, Aug. 197:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
144913=144551%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+22=143549%
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+0=144852%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143748%
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 217:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+0=144852%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143748%
8/22Thursday, Aug. 227:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+13=153463%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143737%
8/23Friday, Aug. 237:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153764%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143736%
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153764%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143736%
8/25Sunday, Aug. 251:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153764%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143736%
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+1=141433%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+23=153867%
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 287:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141333%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+24=153967%
8/30Friday, Aug. 308:15 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+11=141241%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+24=147259%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 317:15 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141342%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+24=147258%
9/1Sunday, Sept. 12:15 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141342%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+24=147258%
9/2Monday, Sept. 21:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+13=141030%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156170%
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141330%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156170%
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 41:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141330%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156170%
9/5Thursday, Sept. 57:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+12=147456%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+21=143444%
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+0=147656%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143744%
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+0=147656%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143744%
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+0=147656%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143744%
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 107:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+12=157268%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+26=143932%
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 117:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157469%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143731%
9/12Thursday, Sept. 127:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157469%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143731%
9/13Friday, Sept. 137:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+12=141144%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+24=145756%
9/14Saturday, Sept. 146:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141344%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+24=145756%
9/15Sunday, Sept. 151:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141344%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+24=145756%
9/16Monday, Sept. 164:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141344%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+24=145756%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147055%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+22=143545%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147055%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143745%
9/19Thursday, Sept. 197:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147055%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143745%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+12=148357%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143743%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148557%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143743%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148557%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143743%
9/23Monday, Sept. 237:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+12=141139%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+22=149261%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 247:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141339%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149461%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 257:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141339%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149461%
9/27Friday, Sept. 277:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141328%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+20=157472%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 281:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141328%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157872%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141328%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157872%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/20Monday, May 207 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
157052=156367%10
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1413+3+22=143833%7
5/19Sunday, May 191:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Ramirez, Yefry
Ramirez
14159+0=140630%0
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
153913+24=155070%10
5/18Saturday, May 184:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1416+19+0=143538%1
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
153844+24=151862%4
5/17Friday, May 177:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1413+4+0=141735%5
CLECLEIndians
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
154139+24=152665%1
5/16Thursday, May 166:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
141422=141027%7
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1540+18+24=158273%14
5/15Wednesday, May 156:30 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14151+0=141428%1
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156612+24=157872%3
5/15Wednesday, May 153:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
14165+3=141427%3
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15663+26=158973%5
5/12Sunday, May 121 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1505+1+0=150657%1
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1413+17+24=145443%5
5/11Saturday, May 114:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
15036+0=149758%7
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1415+5+24=144442%2
5/10Friday, May 107:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
150182=149157%8
BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1417+1+26=144443%3
5/8Wednesday, May 87:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1547+32+0=157970%2
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14175+24=143630%1
5/7Tuesday, May 77:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
154627+0=151961%8
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
14193+24=144039%5
5/6Monday, May 67:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Smith, Josh
Smith
1548333=151259%1
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1417+7+26=145041%4
5/4Saturday, May 47:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
153712+0=152562%0
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1414+0+24=143838%3
5/3Friday, May 37:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1535113=152160%7
BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1416+8+23=144740%0
5/1Wednesday, May 18:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14172+0=141542%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14557+24=147258%7
5/1Wednesday, May 14:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
14161+2=141739%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1457+14+26=149761%4
4/29Monday, April 298:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1417+122=142742%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Banuelos, Manny
Banuelos
1456+3+24=148358%5
4/28Sunday, April 282:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14182+0=141632%1
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1518+5+24=154768%4
4/27Saturday, April 272:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1419+5+0=142431%2
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1517+22+24=156369%9
4/26Friday, April 268:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1421+81=142838%1
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
151528+23=151062%6
4/24Wednesday, April 247:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Santana, Ervin
Santana
14546+0=144850%3
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1420+6+24=145050%4
4/23Tuesday, April 237:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1458+2+0=146054%1
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14177+24=143446%9
4/22Monday, April 227:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Banuelos, Manny
Banuelos
145442=144851%12
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1420+1+24=144549%2
4/21Sunday, April 211:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1515+2+0=151761%4
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14212+24=144339%3
4/20Saturday, April 208 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
151228+0=148453%16
BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1424+19+24=146747%7
4/20Saturday, April 204:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1511+261=153662%6
BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1424+6+23=145338%5
4/18Thursday, April 187:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
142311+0=141233%6
TBTBRays
Wood, Hunter
Wood
154228+24=153867%5
4/17Wednesday, April 177:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1424+6+0=143034%1
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154019+24=154566%8
4/16Tuesday, April 167:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
142573=141532%2
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
153920+23=154268%4
4/15Monday, April 1511:05 a.m.BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1421+1+0=142233%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
154627+24=154367%1
4/14Sunday, April 141:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
14221+0=142128%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1545+17+24=158672%4
4/13Saturday, April 131:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
141912+0=140730%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154820+24=155270%5
4/12Friday, April 127:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1420+72=142531%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15476+24=156569%6
4/11Thursday, April 1112:35 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
1521+1+0=152261%8
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14213+24=144239%5
4/10Wednesday, April 107:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1519+0+0=151959%10
BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1423+6+24=145341%3
4/9Tuesday, April 97:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15172+0=151559%13
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1426+2+24=145241%2
4/8Monday, April 87:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
152063=151161%4
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
142212+24=143439%12
4/7Sunday, April 71:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156525+0=154062%15
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1425+7+24=145638%3
4/6Saturday, April 67:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15643+2=156366%6
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14263+26=144934%4
4/4Thursday, April 43:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1563+92=157065%8
BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1427+16+22=146535%4
4/3Wednesday, April 34:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Karns, Nate
Karns
1428+21+0=144940%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1480+12+24=151660%5
4/2Tuesday, April 27:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
142616+0=141036%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1481+4+24=150964%1
4/1Monday, April 17:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1425+12=142440%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Reid-Foley, Sean
Reid-Foley
14829+24=149760%5
3/31Sunday, March 311:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14231+0=142227%7
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1568+1+24=159373%5
3/30Saturday, March 301:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Karns, Nate
Karns
1421+24+2=144729%5
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1570+8+26=160471%3
3/28Thursday, March 281 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1421122=140724%2
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1569+13+24=160676%7

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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