Updated Sep. 15, 2019 at 10:22 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rockies have a 0% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1480, up 5 points from last week.

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
DodgersDodgers97-54
DbacksDiamondbacks76-7420.5<1%
GiantsGiants72-7824.5<1%
PadresPadres68-8128.0<1%
RockiesRockies65-8531.5

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/16Monday, Sept. 168:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
1528114=151354%
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
148017+24=148746%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 178:40 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
152810+0=151854%
COLCOLRockies
Melville, Tim
Melville
148014+24=149046%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 183:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1528+2+0=153055%
COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
148011+24=149345%
9/20Friday, Sept. 2010 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
1480231=145628%
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1589+4+26=161972%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 219:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
148011+0=146930%
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1589+6+24=161970%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 224:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
148017+0=146328%
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1589+18+24=163172%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 249:45 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Melville, Tim
Melville
148014+0=146644%
SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1474+14+22=151056%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 259:45 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
148011+0=146942%
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1474+28+24=152658%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 263:45 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
148023+0=145745%
SFSFGiants
Beede, Tyler
Beede
14749+24=148955%
9/27Friday, Sept. 278:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
152013=151654%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
148013+21=148846%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 288:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15201+0=151954%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
148013+24=149146%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15201+0=151954%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
148013+24=149146%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/15Sunday, Sept. 153:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
147412+0=146246%5
COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
147813+24=148954%10
9/14Saturday, Sept. 148:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1475+0+0=147550%10
COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
147723+24=147850%11
9/13Friday, Sept. 138:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1476+143=148750%8
COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
147611+24=148950%10
9/12Thursday, Sept. 123:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1542+2+0=154457%10
COLCOLRockies
Melville, Tim
Melville
14786+24=149643%3
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 118:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15436+0=153758%1
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
147723+24=147842%2
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 108:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1544241=151956%1
COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
147519+23=147944%2
9/8Sunday, Sept. 84:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
147624+0=145244%1
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14754+24=149556%2
9/7Saturday, Sept. 78:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
147810+0=146844%0
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1474+11+24=150956%3
9/6Friday, Sept. 610:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Melville, Tim
Melville
14767+1=147044%3
SDSDPadres
Lamet, Dinelson
Lamet
1475+12+24=151156%2
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 410:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
147720+0=145729%3
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1589+4+24=161771%7
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 310:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
147823+0=145531%3
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
158921+24=159269%5
9/2Monday, Sept. 28:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
1479173=145928%9
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1587+19+22=162872%16
9/1Sunday, Sept. 13:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1480+10+0=149050%6
COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
148112+24=149350%2
8/31Saturday, Aug. 318:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1477+10+0=148747%11
COLCOLRockies
Melville, Tim
Melville
14842+24=150653%4
8/30Friday, Aug. 308:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
14757+0=146847%9
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
148620+24=149053%4
8/29Thursday, Aug. 298:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1473+14=147047%11
COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
148821+24=149153%8
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 288:40 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1546+17+0=156360%7
COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
148918+24=149540%4
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 278:40 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
1544111=153254%10
COLCOLRockies
Garcia, Rico
Garcia
149110+24=150546%6
8/26Monday, Aug. 263:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1538+64=154056%1
COLCOLRockies
Melville, Tim
Melville
148913+21=149744%3
8/25Sunday, Aug. 252:15 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
149118+0=147341%4
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
153320+24=153759%11
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:15 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
149320+0=147340%0
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
153110+24=154560%6
8/23Friday, Aug. 238:15 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
149516+0=147935%3
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1530+32+24=158665%8
8/22Thursday, Aug. 227:45 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1496+273=152044%5
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1529+5+24=155856%6
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 213:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Melville, Tim
Melville
149325+0=146843%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Leake, Mike
Leake
151419+24=151957%2
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 209:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
14945+0=148944%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
151410+24=152856%8
8/19Monday, Aug. 199:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
1495243=146838%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1513+15+24=155262%5
8/18Sunday, Aug. 183:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
14391+0=143841%6
COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
149418+24=150059%7
8/17Saturday, Aug. 178:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Noesi, Hector
Noesi
144117+0=142433%4
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1492+28+24=154467%11
8/16Friday, Aug. 168:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
144284=143035%0
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1491+17+26=153465%3
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 143:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1518+12+0=153053%6
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
14902+24=151247%7
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 138:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1516+15+0=153154%9
COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
149211+24=150546%3
8/12Monday, Aug. 128:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1515123=150051%8
COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
149420+21=149549%6
8/11Sunday, Aug. 113:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1491+28+0=151950%8
SDSDPadres
Lamet, Dinelson
Lamet
1483+12+24=151950%3
8/10Saturday, Aug. 108:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
149320+0=147343%5
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1482+19+24=152557%8
8/9Friday, Aug. 910:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
14954+0=149148%1
SDSDPadres
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1480+1+24=150552%7
8/8Thursday, Aug. 810:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1498+193=151452%3
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1477+1+21=149948%9
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 72:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
15008+0=149230%3
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1585+30+24=163970%14
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 68:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1501+271=152736%6
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1583+16+26=162564%11
8/4Sunday, Aug. 43:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Beede, Tyler
Beede
14836+0=147745%2
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
15008+24=151655%6
8/3Saturday, Aug. 38:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1482+28+0=151045%6
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1501+20+24=154555%5
8/2Friday, Aug. 28:40 p.m.SFSFGiants
Anderson, Shaun
Anderson
1483144=146543%4
COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
150010+26=151657%5
7/31Wednesday, July 313:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1583+15+0=159858%5
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1501+20+24=154542%1
7/30Tuesday, July 308:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
158221+0=156155%9
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
15031+24=152645%4
7/29Monday, July 298:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1585104=157155%1
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1500+14+21=153545%9
7/28Sunday, July 281:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
150110+0=149145%2
CINCINReds
Wood, Alex
Wood
15056+24=152355%3
7/27Saturday, July 277:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
150221+0=148144%1
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
15035+24=152256%3
7/26Friday, July 266:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1498+182=151444%12
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1507+24+24=155556%2
7/25Thursday, July 254:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
149713+0=148433%8
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1538+48+24=161067%7
7/24Wednesday, July 247:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
14982+0=149640%0
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1537+7+24=156860%2
7/24Wednesday, July 241:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1499+16+0=151549%2
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
153642+24=151851%3
7/23Tuesday, July 237:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
15019+0=149239%1
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1534+11+23=156861%11
7/21Sunday, July 211:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1499+17+0=151636%8
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1588+4+24=161664%4
7/20Saturday, July 201:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
150015+0=148531%5
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1587+11+24=162269%11
7/19Friday, July 197:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1501+02=149935%2
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15865+24=160565%8
7/17Wednesday, July 173:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Anderson, Shaun
Anderson
14826+0=147640%11
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1503+20+24=154760%8
7/16Tuesday, July 168:40 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
148019+0=146143%8
COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
150518+24=151157%4
7/15Monday, July 158:40 p.m.SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1479+4+0=148346%2
COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
150723+24=150854%1
7/15Monday, July 152:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1472+83=147738%19
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1513+24+24=156162%2
7/14Sunday, July 143:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150819+0=148946%9
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
151217+24=151954%10
7/13Saturday, July 138:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15051+0=150445%17
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
15151+24=153855%9
7/12Friday, July 128:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1505+7+4=151644%2
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1514+14+28=155656%3
7/7Sunday, July 74:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1515+26+0=154153%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
151416+24=152247%5
7/6Saturday, July 610:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1517+16+0=153349%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1512+6+24=154251%4
7/5Friday, July 59:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1519131=150541%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1510+38+24=157259%8
7/3Wednesday, July 38:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
15697+0=156256%4
COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
152022+24=152244%2
7/2Tuesday, July 28:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1568351=153244%9
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1521+25+26=157256%8
6/30Sunday, June 303:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
158112+0=156957%10
COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
152330+24=151743%5
6/29Saturday, June 298:15 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1582+1+0=158354%3
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1522+13+24=155946%5
6/28Friday, June 288:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1585+18+0=160360%9
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
151910+24=153340%13
6/27Thursday, June 278:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1583+243=160461%12
COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
152116+21=152639%8
6/26Wednesday, June 263:45 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1519+29+0=154859%6
SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1457+4+24=148541%3
6/25Tuesday, June 259:45 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
152130+0=149148%2
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1456+21+24=150152%4
6/24Monday, June 2410 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1520+82=152659%2
SFSFGiants
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
145714+21=146441%0
6/23Sunday, June 234:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
152115+0=150638%3
LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
158617+24=159362%6
6/22Saturday, June 227:15 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
152114+0=150734%4
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1585+16+24=162566%5
6/21Friday, June 2110:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1522+272=154739%2
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1584+19+24=162761%4
6/20Thursday, June 203:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
152118+0=150343%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1516+10+24=155057%4
6/19Wednesday, June 199:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1519+8+0=152743%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1517+37+24=157857%4
6/18Tuesday, June 189:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1516161=149944%8
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1520+2+22=154456%1
6/16Sunday, June 163:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
147921+0=145839%14
COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
15173+24=153861%13
6/15Saturday, June 158:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1480+1+0=148138%8
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1516+30+24=157062%14
6/14Friday, June 148:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
14785+0=147343%16
COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
151822+24=152057%12
6/13Thursday, June 138:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1479+93=148541%6
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1517+6+24=154759%9
6/12Wednesday, June 123:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1535+9+0=154452%10
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
152013+24=153148%1
6/11Tuesday, June 118:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15372+0=153550%3
COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
15179+24=153250%10
6/10Monday, June 108:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1538143=152143%5
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1516+32+20=156857%6
6/9Sunday, June 91:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
151820+0=149844%1
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1510+3+24=153756%6
6/8Saturday, June 87:15 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1520+7+0=152752%3
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
150818+24=151448%5
6/7Friday, June 77:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1517143=150040%5
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1511+37+24=157260%1
6/6Thursday, June 62:20 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
151521+0=149441%3
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15353+24=155659%1
6/5Wednesday, June 58:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1517+37+0=155451%8
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153413+24=154549%9
6/4Tuesday, June 48:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
1518201=149739%3
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1533+21+24=157861%6
6/2Sunday, June 23:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1462+3+0=146542%1
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
151618+24=152258%5
6/1Saturday, June 19:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1463+13+0=147641%2
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1515+3+24=154259%4
5/31Friday, May 318:40 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
1465212=144232%6
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1514+38+24=157668%13
5/30Thursday, May 303:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
151118+0=149344%10
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1513+1+24=153856%11
5/29Wednesday, May 298:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1512+10+0=152251%4
COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
151220+24=151649%5
5/28Tuesday, May 288:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
151427+0=148746%2
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
151018+24=151654%6
5/27Monday, May 273:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1515+353=154752%3
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1509+1+24=153448%4
5/26Sunday, May 263 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
141111+0=140027%7
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1509+38+24=157173%8
5/25Saturday, May 259:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1409+6+0=141532%9
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1511+7+24=154268%6
5/24Friday, May 248:40 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1410+194=142538%6
COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
151019+21=151262%8
5/23Thursday, May 2312:35 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
151312+0=150149%6
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14938+24=150951%14
5/22Wednesday, May 227:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15114+0=150750%9
PITPITPirates
DuRapau, Montana
DuRapau
149515+24=150450%3
5/21Tuesday, May 217 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1509+31+0=154054%5
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
14975+22=151446%0
5/19Sunday, May 191:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1510+10+0=152046%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
15242+24=154654%7
5/18Saturday, May 184:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
151110+0=150140%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1523+24+24=157160%2
5/17Friday, May 177:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15121+0=151146%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15229+24=153754%5
5/15Wednesday, May 157:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1513+32+0=154546%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15532+24=157554%6
5/14Tuesday, May 147:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1511+102=151936%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1554+36+26=161664%4
5/12Sunday, May 123:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
14906+0=148445%7
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
151015+24=151955%10
5/11Saturday, May 118:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
14899+0=148042%4
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15111+24=153458%3
5/10Friday, May 108:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
149191=148138%2
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1509+32+24=156562%12
5/9Thursday, May 93:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
14652+2=146538%11
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1508+14+26=154862%12
5/7Tuesday, May 78:40 p.m.SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1462+233=148243%14
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
151211+26=152757%4
5/5Sunday, May 53:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1516+28+0=154447%7
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1511+33+24=156853%8
5/4Saturday, May 48:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15138+0=150543%9
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1514+19+24=155757%2
5/3Friday, May 38:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1512+121=152350%10
COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
151514+21=152250%9
5/2Thursday, May 21:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15124+0=150844%11
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1528+0+24=155256%6
5/1Wednesday, May 17:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
150912+0=149743%11
MILMILBrewers
Barnes, Jacob
Barnes
153111+24=154457%4
4/30Tuesday, April 307:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1510+30+0=154047%3
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1530+10+24=156453%4
4/29Monday, April 297:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1512+213=153046%1
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1528+9+21=155854%5
4/28Sunday, April 281:20 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
151311+0=150244%7
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1513+10+24=154756%8
4/27Saturday, April 277:20 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15111+0=151043%9
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1515+21+24=156057%5
4/26Friday, April 267:20 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1508141=149341%8
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1517+17+22=155659%4
4/24Wednesday, April 243:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153417+0=151744%5
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1507+27+24=155856%9
4/23Tuesday, April 238:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1533+17+0=155057%6
COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
150831+24=150143%3
4/22Monday, April 228:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
1534254=150548%5
COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
150710+24=152152%7
4/21Sunday, April 213:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
152310+0=151349%1
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15056+24=152351%4
4/20Saturday, April 208:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1522+31+0=155355%8
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
150714+24=151745%5
4/19Friday, April 198:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15233+0=152044%3
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1506+30+24=156056%4
4/18Thursday, April 188:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1524124=150845%2
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1504+14+23=154155%6
4/16Tuesday, April 169:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15016+0=149547%8
SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
1486+9+24=151953%2
4/15Monday, April 1510:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1500132=148546%5
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
14881+22=150954%2
4/14Sunday, April 144:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1498+26+0=152455%4
SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
14663+24=148745%0
4/13Saturday, April 134:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1500+21+0=152152%2
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1464+15+24=150348%5
4/12Friday, April 1210:15 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Bettis, Chad
Bettis
150129+0=147250%2
SFSFGiants
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
146313+24=147450%3
4/11Thursday, April 119:45 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
150261=149552%0
SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
14627+24=147948%1
4/9Tuesday, April 98:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1519+10+0=152946%7
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1504+28+24=155654%1
4/8Monday, April 88:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1517+83=152245%8
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1506+25+24=155555%6
4/7Sunday, April 78:30 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
156917+0=155257%12
COLCOLRockies
Bettis, Chad
Bettis
150827+24=150543%6
4/6Saturday, April 68:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1567+21+0=158859%7
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15098+24=152541%2
4/5Friday, April 54:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1566131=155253%10
COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
15115+22=152847%6
4/3Wednesday, April 31:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1510+22+0=153245%1
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1532+14+24=157055%0
4/2Tuesday, April 27:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1511+24+0=153541%0
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1530+43+24=159759%4
4/1Monday, April 17:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Bettis, Chad
Bettis
1513252=148643%1
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
152816+24=153657%7
3/31Sunday, March 311:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
151511+0=150457%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14374+24=145743%3
3/30Saturday, March 306:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
15181+0=151758%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1434+0+24=145842%7
3/29Friday, March 297:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1516+21+0=153760%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1436+3+24=146340%1
3/28Thursday, March 284:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1515+224=153359%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1437+8+24=146941%3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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