Updated Jul. 20, 2019 at 1:28 AM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rays have a 53% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1535, down 3 points from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees63-33>99%96%
RaysRays56-449.053%2%
Red SoxRed Sox53-4511.032%2%
Blue JaysBlue Jays37-6227.5<1%<1%
OriolesOrioles30-6633.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
7/20Saturday, July 206:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1456+33+0=148943%
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
153518+24=154157%
7/21Sunday, July 211:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
14564+0=145234%
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1535+9+24=156866%
7/22Monday, July 227 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1543+63=154648%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155952%
7/23Tuesday, July 237:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1543+37+0=158050%
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1535+23+24=158250%
7/24Wednesday, July 2412:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1543+12+0=155549%
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
1535+1+24=156051%
7/26Friday, July 267:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+01=153456%
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1465+3+26=149444%
7/27Saturday, July 273:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153557%
TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
14651+24=148843%
7/28Sunday, July 281:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1535+9+0=154456%
TORTORBlue Jays
Borucki, Ryan
Borucki
1465+17+24=150644%
7/30Tuesday, July 307:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153543%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1543+12+26=158157%
7/31Wednesday, July 317:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153545%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1543+3+24=157055%
8/1Thursday, Aug. 17:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153545%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1543+3+24=157055%
8/3Saturday, Aug. 36:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14441+0=144334%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+23=155866%
8/4Sunday, Aug. 41:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14441+0=144334%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155966%
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1465+43=146637%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155963%
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1465+4+0=146937%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155963%
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 71:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1465+4+0=146937%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155963%
8/9Friday, Aug. 910:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+02=153356%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1465+2+26=149344%
8/10Saturday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153556%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1465+2+24=149144%
8/11Sunday, Aug. 114:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153556%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1465+2+24=149144%
8/12Monday, Aug. 1210:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+03=153254%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1476+6+24=150646%
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 1310:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153554%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1476+6+24=150646%
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 143:40 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153554%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1476+6+24=150646%
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1407+53=140930%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+22=155770%
8/17Saturday, Aug. 176:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1407+5+0=141230%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155970%
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1407+5+0=141230%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155970%
8/19Monday, Aug. 197:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1465+23=146437%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155963%
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1465+2+0=146737%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155963%
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 211:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1465+2+0=146737%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155963%
8/22Thursday, Aug. 227:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+03=153264%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1408+3+24=143536%
8/23Friday, Aug. 237:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153564%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1408+3+24=143536%
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153564%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1408+3+24=143536%
8/25Sunday, Aug. 251:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153564%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1408+3+24=143536%
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 278:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+01=153441%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15711+26=159659%
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 288:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153542%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15711+24=159458%
8/29Thursday, Aug. 292:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153542%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15711+24=159458%
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
154233=153647%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+21=155653%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 316:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15423+0=153947%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155953%
9/1Sunday, Sept. 11:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15423+0=153947%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155953%
9/2Monday, Sept. 21:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1408+33=140830%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155970%
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1408+3+0=141130%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155970%
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 41:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1408+3+0=141130%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155970%
9/5Thursday, Sept. 57:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1465+4+0=146937%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155963%
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1465+4+0=146937%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155963%
9/7Saturday, Sept. 76:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1465+4+0=146937%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155963%
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1465+4+0=146937%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155963%
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 108:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+01=153454%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1481+3+23=150746%
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 118:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153554%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1481+3+24=150846%
9/12Thursday, Sept. 128:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153554%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1481+3+24=150846%
9/13Friday, Sept. 1310:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+03=153249%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1508+4+26=153851%
9/14Saturday, Sept. 149:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153550%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1508+4+24=153650%
9/15Sunday, Sept. 154:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153550%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1508+4+24=153650%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 1710:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+1=153640%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1586+1+22=160960%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 188:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153539%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1586+1+24=161161%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1543+33=154348%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+22=155752%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 216:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1543+3+0=154648%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155952%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1543+3+0=154648%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155952%
9/23Monday, Sept. 237:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1543+3+0=154648%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155952%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 247:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1587+01=158654%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155946%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 257:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+0=158754%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155946%
9/27Friday, Sept. 277:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+01=153456%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1465+4+26=149544%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 283:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153556%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1465+4+24=149344%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153556%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1465+4+24=149344%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
7/19Friday, July 197:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1453+33=145337%9
TBTBRays
McKay, Brendan
McKay
153914+21=154663%2
7/18Thursday, July 188 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1540+25+0=156546%1
NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
158415+24=159354%5
7/18Thursday, July 183 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
1542+2+2=154641%2
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15822+26=160659%6
7/16Tuesday, July 167:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154319+0=152439%3
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15816+24=159961%8
7/15Monday, July 157:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1542+62=154641%5
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1582+4+24=161059%4
7/14Sunday, July 141:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154121+0=152063%4
BALBALOrioles
Eshelman, Thomas
Eshelman
1403+4+24=143137%1
7/13Saturday, July 137:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1539+25+0=156464%12
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1405+38+24=146736%4
7/13Saturday, July 131:05 p.m.TBTBRays
McKay, Brendan
McKay
154122+0=151963%1
BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
14043+24=142537%2
7/12Friday, July 127:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
1538+0+4=154264%16
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1406+11+29=144636%4
7/7Sunday, July 71:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1583+4+0=158750%1
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1537+25+24=158650%2
7/6Saturday, July 64:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15845+0=157952%3
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1536+8+24=156848%4
7/5Friday, July 57:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1583+15+0=159858%8
TBTBRays
McKay, Brendan
McKay
153721+24=154042%4
7/4Thursday, July 45:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
158173=157151%8
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
15391+24=156249%4
7/3Wednesday, July 37:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1400+39+0=143935%9
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154219+24=154765%6
7/2Tuesday, July 27:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
140121+0=138023%3
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1541+23+24=158877%6
7/1Monday, July 17:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Eshelman, Thomas
Eshelman
1402+43=140330%3
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154018+24=154670%6
6/30Sunday, June 301:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez
149213+0=147937%2
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1539+6+24=156963%6
6/29Saturday, June 294:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
149310+0=148343%2
TBTBRays
McKay, Brendan
McKay
153828+24=153457%5
6/28Friday, June 287:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1491+193=150742%5
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
1540+3+21=156458%0
6/27Thursday, June 271:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153917+0=152247%5
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154326+24=154153%2
6/26Wednesday, June 268:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1540+25+0=156548%4
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1542+15+24=158152%6
6/25Tuesday, June 258:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1542+142=155448%4
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1540+1+24=156552%9
6/23Sunday, June 234:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153918+0=152147%8
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15224+24=154253%2
6/22Saturday, June 224:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
1540+1+0=154148%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1521+9+24=155452%4
6/21Friday, June 2110:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Kittredge, Andrew
Kittredge
153930+0=150945%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Tanner
Anderson
15236+24=154155%3
6/20Thursday, June 2010:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1540+234=155950%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1522+13+24=155950%5
6/19Wednesday, June 191:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1543+21+0=156448%1
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
157016+24=157852%12
6/18Tuesday, June 187:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154520+0=152541%3
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15692+24=159159%6
6/17Monday, June 177:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
154613=154241%0
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1567+14+21=160259%3
6/16Sunday, June 161:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1504+17+0=152146%5
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154520+24=154954%6
6/15Saturday, June 151 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
15036+0=149736%5
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1547+23+24=159464%3
6/14Friday, June 147:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1504+9+0=151338%4
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1545+25+24=159462%9
6/13Thursday, June 137:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1502+12=150143%5
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
154718+24=155357%3
6/12Wednesday, June 1212:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15184+0=151442%6
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
15493+24=157058%2
6/11Tuesday, June 117:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1517+9+0=152646%4
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
155022+24=155254%3
6/10Monday, June 107 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Tanner
Anderson
151993=150739%2
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1549+17+21=158761%6
6/9Sunday, June 91:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1547+24+0=157150%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15524+24=157250%1
6/8Saturday, June 86:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154821+0=152741%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1551+18+24=159359%5
6/8Saturday, June 81:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
154625+0=152148%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Smith, Josh
Smith
155440+24=153852%2
6/7Friday, June 77:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
1543103=153046%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155615+21=156254%1
6/6Thursday, June 61:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154218+0=152460%6
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
14303+24=145140%1
6/5Wednesday, June 57:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1541+17+0=155862%4
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1432+17+24=147338%0
6/4Tuesday, June 47:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1543+331=157570%6
DETDETTigers
Carpenter, Ryan
Carpenter
142926+23=142630%9
6/2Sunday, June 21:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1547+17+0=156452%9
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
154421+24=154748%7
6/1Saturday, June 11:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1545+4+0=154948%6
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
15469+24=156152%2
5/31Friday, May 317:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1544+10+0=155450%5
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154819+24=155350%3
5/30Thursday, May 307:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
1547171=152943%3
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1545+12+24=158157%14
5/29Wednesday, May 297:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1465+6+0=147132%3
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1544+35+24=160368%4
5/28Tuesday, May 287:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Richard, Clayton
Richard
146622+0=144435%1
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154319+24=154865%3
5/27Monday, May 271:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1468+23=146739%3
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
154215+21=154861%8
5/26Sunday, May 261:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154019+0=152143%6
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1533+12+24=156957%3
5/25Saturday, May 254:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1538+9+0=154747%6
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1535+10+24=156953%2
5/24Friday, May 247:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1539+36+0=157553%1
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
15331+24=155647%3
5/23Thursday, May 236:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
1537273=150748%7
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
153637+24=152352%2
5/22Wednesday, May 227:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1574+0+0=157455%1
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153419+24=153945%8
5/21Tuesday, May 217:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1573+31=157557%7
TBTBRays
Wood, Hunter
Wood
153629+23=153043%3
5/19Sunday, May 191:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1538+15+0=155350%5
NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
156736+24=155550%13
5/18Saturday, May 181:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1537+35+0=157246%2
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1568+8+24=160054%1
5/17Friday, May 177 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
1538201=151741%3
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
156712+26=158159%4
5/15Wednesday, May 157:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153719+0=151861%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1419+0+24=144339%0
5/14Tuesday, May 147:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1536+13+0=154961%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1420+24+26=147039%0
5/12Sunday, May 121:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1563+6+0=156946%7
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1539+34+24=159754%1
5/11Saturday, May 116:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15669+0=155752%2
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153619+24=154148%7
5/10Friday, May 107:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1564113=155049%4
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
15376+26=155751%3
5/8Wednesday, May 81:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1511+11+0=152242%3
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1539+15+24=157858%2
5/7Tuesday, May 77:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
151317+0=149644%3
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153721+24=154056%6
5/6Monday, May 67:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1515124=149937%1
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1535+31+23=158963%12
5/4Saturday, May 47:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
153712+0=152562%0
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1414+0+24=143838%3
5/3Friday, May 37:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1535113=152160%7
BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1416+8+23=144740%0
5/2Thursday, May 22:15 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1534+15+0=154960%3
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1451+3+24=147840%1
5/1Wednesday, May 15:15 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1537+42+0=157965%2
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
14484+24=146835%8
5/1Wednesday, May 11:15 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153916+2=152557%2
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1447+6+26=147943%3
4/29Monday, April 298:15 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
1537173=151753%8
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1448+21+24=149347%5
4/28Sunday, April 281:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
153516+0=151940%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1539+30+24=159360%2
4/27Saturday, April 274:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1534+11+2=154744%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1541+21+26=158856%1
4/24Wednesday, April 241:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1444+3+0=144728%10
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1539+47+24=161072%2
4/23Tuesday, April 237:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144517+0=142834%2
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153816+24=154666%5
4/22Monday, April 227:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1447+233=146738%3
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
15368+24=155262%6
4/21Sunday, April 212:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1541+21+0=156253%4
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
153717+24=154447%3
4/20Saturday, April 206:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154024+0=151642%6
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1539+10+24=157358%5
4/19Friday, April 197:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
153841=153348%6
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154018+24=154652%4
4/18Thursday, April 187:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
142311+0=141233%6
TBTBRays
Wood, Hunter
Wood
154228+24=153867%5
4/17Wednesday, April 177:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1424+6+0=143034%1
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154019+24=154566%8
4/16Tuesday, April 167:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
142573=141532%2
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
153920+23=154268%4
4/14Sunday, April 141:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1538+11+0=154956%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1478+5+24=150744%4
4/13Saturday, April 133:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1539+44+0=158359%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1476+21+24=152141%3
4/12Friday, April 127:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153819+0=151953%11
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1478+1+22=150147%7
4/10Wednesday, April 102:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
153524+0=151154%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1452+9+24=148546%1
4/9Tuesday, April 92:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1533+14+0=154760%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Santana, Ervin
Santana
1454+2+24=148040%5
4/8Monday, April 82:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1532+454=157361%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1455+19+24=149839%1
4/7Sunday, April 74:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
153010+0=152056%3
SFSFGiants
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
146410+24=147844%0
4/6Saturday, April 64:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153218+0=151455%4
SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
14627+24=147945%6
4/5Friday, April 54:35 p.m.TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1530282=150050%5
SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1464+14+24=150250%2
4/3Wednesday, April 31:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1510+22+0=153245%1
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1532+14+24=157055%0
4/2Tuesday, April 27:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1511+24+0=153541%0
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1530+43+24=159759%4
4/1Monday, April 17:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Bettis, Chad
Bettis
1513252=148643%1
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
152816+24=153657%7
3/31Sunday, March 311:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
157517+0=155853%1
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
152616+24=153447%3
3/30Saturday, March 306:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
15777+0=157057%1
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
152526+24=152343%3
3/29Friday, March 297:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1579+20+0=159955%2
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1523+15+24=156245%4
3/28Thursday, March 284 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1577+313=160551%5
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1525+51+24=160049%1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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