Updated May 21, 2019 at 1:42 AM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rays have a 66% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1536, the same as last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees29-1788%56%
RaysRays27-171.066%22%
Red SoxRed Sox25-224.566%22%
Blue JaysBlue Jays19-2810.5<1%<1%
OriolesOrioles15-3214.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/21Tuesday, May 217:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1573+31=157557%
TBTBRays
Wood, Hunter
Wood
153629+23=153043%
5/22Wednesday, May 227:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1573+0+0=157352%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156148%
5/23Thursday, May 236:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1536+373=157051%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+24=155949%
5/24Friday, May 247:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1536+11+0=154748%
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
15395+24=155852%
5/25Saturday, May 254:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153745%
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1539+7+24=157055%
5/26Sunday, May 261:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153745%
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1539+10+24=157355%
5/27Monday, May 271:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
147113=146737%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+21=155863%
5/28Tuesday, May 287:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147032%
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1536+37+24=159768%
5/29Wednesday, May 297:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1471+5+0=147637%
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1536+11+24=157163%
5/30Thursday, May 307:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1537+131=154948%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156152%
5/31Friday, May 317:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1537+3+0=154047%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156153%
6/1Saturday, June 11:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153747%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156153%
6/2Sunday, June 21:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153747%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156153%
6/4Tuesday, June 47:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+11=153661%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+23=145639%
6/5Wednesday, June 57:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153761%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+24=145739%
6/6Thursday, June 61:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153761%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+24=145739%
6/7Friday, June 77:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+13=153444%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+21=157556%
6/8Saturday, June 81:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153744%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157856%
6/8Saturday, June 86:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153744%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157856%
6/9Sunday, June 91:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153744%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157856%
6/10Monday, June 107:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+13=151444%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+21=155856%
6/11Tuesday, June 117:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+0=151744%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156156%
6/12Wednesday, June 1212:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+0=151744%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156156%
6/13Thursday, June 137:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+02=149941%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156159%
6/14Friday, June 147:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150142%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156158%
6/15Saturday, June 151:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150142%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156158%
6/16Sunday, June 161:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150142%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156158%
6/17Monday, June 177:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+13=153442%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+21=159058%
6/18Tuesday, June 187:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153742%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159358%
6/19Wednesday, June 191:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153742%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159358%
6/20Thursday, June 2010:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+14=153349%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154151%
6/21Friday, June 2110:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153749%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154151%
6/22Saturday, June 224:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153749%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154151%
6/23Sunday, June 234:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153749%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154151%
6/25Tuesday, June 258:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+12=153546%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156154%
6/26Wednesday, June 268:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153746%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156154%
6/27Thursday, June 271:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153746%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156154%
6/28Friday, June 287:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+13=147338%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+21=155862%
6/29Saturday, June 294:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+0=147638%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156162%
6/30Sunday, June 301:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+0=147638%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156162%
7/1Monday, July 17:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+13=141030%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156170%
7/2Tuesday, July 27:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141330%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156170%
7/3Wednesday, July 37:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141330%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156170%
7/4Thursday, July 45:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
157123=156651%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156149%
7/5Friday, July 57:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156951%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156149%
7/6Saturday, July 64:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156951%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156149%
7/7Sunday, July 71:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156951%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156149%
7/12Friday, July 127:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+4=154164%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+29=144236%
7/13Saturday, July 131 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153764%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143736%
7/13Saturday, July 137:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153764%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143736%
7/14Sunday, July 141:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153764%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143736%
7/15Monday, July 157:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+12=153542%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159358%
7/16Tuesday, July 167:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153742%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159358%
7/17Wednesday, July 177:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153742%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159358%
7/18Thursday, July 187:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153742%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159358%
7/19Friday, July 197:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+03=145335%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+21=155865%
7/20Saturday, July 206:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145635%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156165%
7/21Sunday, July 211:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145635%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156165%
7/22Monday, July 227:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+03=155149%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156151%
7/23Tuesday, July 237:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155449%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156151%
7/24Wednesday, July 2412:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155449%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156151%
7/26Friday, July 267:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+11=153656%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+26=149644%
7/27Saturday, July 273:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153756%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149444%
7/28Sunday, July 281:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153756%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149444%
7/30Tuesday, July 307:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153744%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+26=158056%
7/31Wednesday, July 317:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153744%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157856%
8/1Thursday, Aug. 17:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153744%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157856%
8/3Saturday, Aug. 36:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142432%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+23=156068%
8/4Sunday, Aug. 41:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142431%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156169%
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
147113=146737%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156163%
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147037%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156163%
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 71:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147037%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156163%
8/9Friday, Aug. 910:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+12=153553%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+26=151147%
8/10Saturday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153754%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150946%
8/11Sunday, Aug. 114:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153754%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150946%
8/12Monday, Aug. 1210:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+13=153453%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150847%
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 1310:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153754%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150846%
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 143:40 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153754%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150846%
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+23=143032%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+22=155968%
8/17Saturday, Aug. 176:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+0=143332%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156168%
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+0=143332%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156168%
8/19Monday, Aug. 197:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+13=148239%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156161%
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148539%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156161%
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 211:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148539%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156161%
8/22Thursday, Aug. 227:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+13=153463%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143737%
8/23Friday, Aug. 237:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153764%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143736%
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153764%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143736%
8/25Sunday, Aug. 251:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153764%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143736%
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 278:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+11=153639%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+26=161561%
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 288:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153739%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+24=161361%
8/29Thursday, Aug. 292:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153739%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+24=161361%
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
153943=153246%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+21=155854%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 316:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+0=153546%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156154%
9/1Sunday, Sept. 11:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+0=153546%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156154%
9/2Monday, Sept. 21:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+13=141030%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156170%
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141330%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156170%
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 41:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141330%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156170%
9/5Thursday, Sept. 57:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147037%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156163%
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147037%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156163%
9/7Saturday, Sept. 76:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147037%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156163%
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147037%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156163%
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 108:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+11=153655%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+23=149945%
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 118:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153755%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+24=150045%
9/12Thursday, Sept. 128:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153755%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+24=150045%
9/13Friday, Sept. 1310:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+13=153451%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+26=152749%
9/14Saturday, Sept. 149:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153752%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152548%
9/15Sunday, Sept. 154:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153752%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152548%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 1710:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+1=153842%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+22=159658%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 188:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153741%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159859%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+03=155149%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+22=155951%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 216:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155449%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156151%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155449%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156151%
9/23Monday, Sept. 237:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155449%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156151%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 247:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
157121=156851%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156149%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 257:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156951%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156149%
9/27Friday, Sept. 277:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+11=153656%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+26=149644%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 283:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153756%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149444%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153756%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149444%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/19Sunday, May 191:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1538+15+0=155350%5
NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
156736+24=155550%13
5/18Saturday, May 181:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1537+35+0=157246%2
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1568+8+24=160054%1
5/17Friday, May 177 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
1538201=151741%3
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
156712+26=158159%4
5/15Wednesday, May 157:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153719+0=151861%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1419+0+24=144339%0
5/14Tuesday, May 147:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1536+13+0=154961%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1420+24+26=147039%0
5/12Sunday, May 121:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1563+6+0=156946%7
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1539+34+24=159754%1
5/11Saturday, May 116:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15669+0=155752%2
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153619+24=154148%7
5/10Friday, May 107:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1564113=155049%4
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
15376+26=155751%3
5/8Wednesday, May 81:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1511+11+0=152242%3
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1539+15+24=157858%2
5/7Tuesday, May 77:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
151317+0=149644%3
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153721+24=154056%6
5/6Monday, May 67:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1515124=149937%1
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1535+31+23=158963%12
5/4Saturday, May 47:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
153712+0=152562%0
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1414+0+24=143838%3
5/3Friday, May 37:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1535113=152160%7
BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1416+8+23=144740%0
5/2Thursday, May 22:15 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1534+15+0=154960%3
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1451+3+24=147840%1
5/1Wednesday, May 15:15 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1537+42+0=157965%2
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
14484+24=146835%8
5/1Wednesday, May 11:15 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153916+2=152557%2
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1447+6+26=147943%3
4/29Monday, April 298:15 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
1537173=151753%8
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1448+21+24=149347%5
4/28Sunday, April 281:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
153516+0=151940%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1539+30+24=159360%2
4/27Saturday, April 274:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1534+11+2=154744%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1541+21+26=158856%1
4/24Wednesday, April 241:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1444+3+0=144728%10
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1539+47+24=161072%2
4/23Tuesday, April 237:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144517+0=142834%2
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153816+24=154666%5
4/22Monday, April 227:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1447+233=146738%3
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
15368+24=155262%6
4/21Sunday, April 212:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1541+21+0=156253%4
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
153717+24=154447%3
4/20Saturday, April 206:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154024+0=151642%6
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1539+10+24=157358%5
4/19Friday, April 197:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
153841=153348%6
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154018+24=154652%4
4/18Thursday, April 187:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
142311+0=141233%6
TBTBRays
Wood, Hunter
Wood
154228+24=153867%5
4/17Wednesday, April 177:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1424+6+0=143034%1
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154019+24=154566%8
4/16Tuesday, April 167:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
142573=141532%2
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
153920+23=154268%4
4/14Sunday, April 141:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1538+11+0=154956%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1478+5+24=150744%4
4/13Saturday, April 133:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1539+44+0=158359%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1476+21+24=152141%3
4/12Friday, April 127:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153819+0=151953%11
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1478+1+22=150147%7
4/10Wednesday, April 102:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
153524+0=151154%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1452+9+24=148546%1
4/9Tuesday, April 92:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1533+14+0=154760%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Santana, Ervin
Santana
1454+2+24=148040%5
4/8Monday, April 82:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1532+454=157361%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1455+19+24=149839%1
4/7Sunday, April 74:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
153010+0=152056%3
SFSFGiants
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
146410+24=147844%0
4/6Saturday, April 64:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153218+0=151455%4
SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
14627+24=147945%6
4/5Friday, April 54:35 p.m.TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1530282=150050%5
SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1464+14+24=150250%2
4/3Wednesday, April 31:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1510+22+0=153245%1
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1532+14+24=157055%0
4/2Tuesday, April 27:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1511+24+0=153541%0
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1530+43+24=159759%4
4/1Monday, April 17:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Bettis, Chad
Bettis
1513252=148643%1
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
152816+24=153657%7
3/31Sunday, March 311:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
157517+0=155853%1
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
152616+24=153447%3
3/30Saturday, March 306:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
15777+0=157057%1
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
152526+24=152343%3
3/29Friday, March 297:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1579+20+0=159955%2
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1523+15+24=156245%4
3/28Thursday, March 284 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1577+313=160551%5
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1525+51+24=160049%1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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