Updated Sep. 15, 2019 at 10:22 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Yankees have a 100% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1585, up 1 point from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees98-53>99%
RaysRays89-629.063%<1%
Red SoxRed Sox79-7018.0<1%
Blue JaysBlue Jays59-9138.5
OriolesOrioles49-10048.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 176:35 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
1477302=144526%
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1585+17+24=162674%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 186:35 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Peters, Dillon
Peters
147715+0=146231%
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
158511+24=159869%
9/19Thursday, Sept. 196:35 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1477+17+0=149434%
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15852+24=160766%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
146622=146230%
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1585+3+24=161270%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 211:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1466+4+0=147029%
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1585+21+24=163071%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
14663+0=146328%
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1585+17+24=162672%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 247:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
1585111=157355%
TBTBRays
McKay, Brendan
McKay
154329+24=153845%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 257:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15852+0=158349%
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1543+24+24=159151%
9/27Friday, Sept. 278:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1585+71=159162%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1472+12+24=150838%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 288:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1585+7+0=159262%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1472+12+24=150838%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1585+7+0=159262%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1472+12+24=150838%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/15Sunday, Sept. 151:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
158711+0=157660%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Font, Wilmer
Font
1464+16+24=150440%6
9/14Saturday, Sept. 143:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1585+20+0=160566%13
TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
1466+1+24=149134%3
9/13Friday, Sept. 137:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1586+52=158964%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Kay, Anthony
Kay
1465+2+24=149136%6
9/12Thursday, Sept. 125:20 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
158612+0=157470%6
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1394+5+24=142330%4
9/12Thursday, Sept. 121:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1584+0+2=158670%10
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1395+21+26=144230%4
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 106:40 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Cortes Jr., Nestor
Cortes Jr.
1586183=156573%11
DETDETTigers
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
139425+22=139127%12
9/9Monday, Sept. 97:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1584+14+0=159852%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1544+19+24=158748%0
9/8Sunday, Sept. 88 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1582+7+0=158955%10
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154616+24=155445%5
9/7Saturday, Sept. 74:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15807+0=157353%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Lakins, Travis
Lakins
154818+24=155447%1
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15831+0=158254%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
154518+24=155146%6
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 46:35 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1470+33+0=150337%1
NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
158212+24=159463%4
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 36:35 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Volquez, Edinson
Volquez
147117+0=145429%1
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1580+9+24=161371%10
9/2Monday, Sept. 21 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1467+353=149933%7
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1584+11+24=161967%0
9/1Sunday, Sept. 11:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1548+0+0=154843%4
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
158310+24=159757%5
8/31Saturday, Aug. 311:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
154915+0=153440%3
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1583+1+24=160860%4
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
154683=153541%8
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
158610+22=159859%2
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 284:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1584+11+0=159564%7
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1468+1+24=149336%3
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 2710:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1583+8+0=159165%7
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
147012+24=148235%0
8/26Monday, Aug. 2610 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
158293=157060%5
SEASEAMariners
Wisler, Matt
Wisler
1471+6+24=150140%4
8/25Sunday, Aug. 257 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1579+1+0=158043%5
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1592+10+24=162657%1
8/24Saturday, Aug. 244:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15818+0=157348%1
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
159129+24=158652%2
8/23Friday, Aug. 2310:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1577+92=158443%10
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1595+15+24=163457%2
8/22Thursday, Aug. 229:37 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1578+11+0=158953%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1545+0+24=156947%5
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 2110 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15806+0=157448%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1544+18+24=158652%6
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 2010 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1582+52=158555%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
154218+26=155045%6
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1557+16+0=157346%8
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15847+24=160154%4
8/17Saturday, Aug. 171:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
155721+0=153639%5
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1583+7+24=161461%6
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
155814+0=154440%2
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1583+7+24=161460%3
8/15Thursday, Aug. 157:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
1553382=151336%19
NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
15883+24=160964%5
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 141:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1407+15+0=142226%5
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15889+24=160374%6
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1408+30+0=143827%3
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1587+1+24=161273%8
8/12Monday, Aug. 127:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Blach, Ty
Blach
140911+0=139823%8
NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
15863+24=160777%11
8/12Monday, Aug. 121:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Ynoa, Gabriel
Ynoa
140982=139922%5
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1586+7+22=161578%8
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1585+1+0=158663%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
14766+24=149437%0
8/10Saturday, Aug. 103:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
15862+0=158461%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Font, Wilmer
Font
1474+11+24=150939%5
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15903+0=158763%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Reid-Foley, Sean
Reid-Foley
14712+24=149337%8
8/8Thursday, Aug. 87:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1588+52=159164%12
TORTORBlue Jays
Pannone, Thomas
Pannone
14735+21=148936%6
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 77:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1586+4+0=159067%14
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1413+30+24=146733%2
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Holder, Jonathan
Holder
158512+0=157368%9
BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
1415+6+24=144532%4
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1584+32=158571%9
BALBALOrioles
Ynoa, Gabriel
Ynoa
141510+24=142929%6
8/4Sunday, Aug. 48:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1542+13+0=155543%4
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15833+24=160457%7
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
154316+0=152740%4
NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
15826+24=160060%6
8/3Saturday, Aug. 31:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1545+36+0=158147%2
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1579+2+24=160553%9
8/2Friday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1547+122=155743%2
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1578+1+26=160557%4
7/31Wednesday, July 311:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1513+39+0=155242%5
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1577+5+24=160658%7
7/30Tuesday, July 307:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
1511333=147532%4
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15791+24=160268%2
7/28Sunday, July 287 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1577+0+0=157745%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1554+37+24=161555%6
7/27Saturday, July 274:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15793+0=157649%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1552+10+24=158651%9
7/26Friday, July 267:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1582+6+0=158854%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
155016+24=155846%10
7/25Thursday, July 257:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1587+143=159858%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154423+21=154242%19
7/24Wednesday, July 248 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15851+0=158452%10
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1537+7+24=156848%7
7/23Tuesday, July 238:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1584+2+0=158653%14
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1538+2+24=156447%12
7/22Monday, July 228:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
158643=157955%6
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
153718+24=154345%8
7/21Sunday, July 211:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1499+17+0=151636%8
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1588+4+24=161664%4
7/20Saturday, July 201:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
150015+0=148531%5
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1587+11+24=162269%11
7/19Friday, July 197:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1501+02=149935%2
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15865+24=160565%8
7/18Thursday, July 188 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1540+25+0=156546%1
NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
158415+24=159354%5
7/18Thursday, July 183 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
1542+2+2=154641%2
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15822+26=160659%6
7/16Tuesday, July 167:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154319+0=152439%3
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15816+24=159961%8
7/15Monday, July 157:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1542+62=154641%5
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1582+4+24=161059%4
7/14Sunday, July 141:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1462+23+0=148532%2
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1581+10+24=161568%4
7/13Saturday, July 131:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Richard, Clayton
Richard
146018+0=144229%2
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15836+24=160171%1
7/12Friday, July 127:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
146114+5=145229%0
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15826+28=160471%4
7/7Sunday, July 71:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1583+4+0=158750%1
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1537+25+24=158650%2
7/6Saturday, July 64:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15845+0=157952%3
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1536+8+24=156848%4
7/5Friday, July 57:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1583+15+0=159858%8
TBTBRays
McKay, Brendan
McKay
153721+24=154042%4
7/4Thursday, July 45:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
158173=157151%8
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
15391+24=156249%4
7/3Wednesday, July 37 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15798+0=157157%5
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
15066+24=152443%1
7/2Tuesday, July 27:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1581+5+0=158657%2
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1505+7+26=153843%4
6/30Sunday, June 3010 a.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tarpley, Stephen
Tarpley
157921+0=155852%12
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15506+0=154448%8
6/29Saturday, June 291:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1577+22+3=160258%17
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15518+5=154842%13
6/26Wednesday, June 261:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1461+16+0=147732%7
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1577+10+24=161168%8
6/25Tuesday, June 257:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Richard, Clayton
Richard
146222+0=144031%3
NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
157618+24=158269%4
6/24Monday, June 247 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1463112=145031%8
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
157611+24=158969%10
6/23Sunday, June 232:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1572+38+0=161052%9
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15783+24=159948%4
6/22Saturday, June 227:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
157312+0=156142%5
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1577+19+24=162058%7
6/21Friday, June 217:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
157410+0=156444%1
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1575+7+24=160656%4
6/20Thursday, June 207:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1576203=155347%6
NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
157323+24=157453%10
6/19Wednesday, June 191:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1543+21+0=156448%1
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
157016+24=157852%12
6/18Tuesday, June 187:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154520+0=152541%3
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15692+24=159159%6
6/17Monday, June 177:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
154613=154241%0
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1567+14+21=160259%3
6/16Sunday, June 162:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1566+10+0=157664%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Despaigne, Odrisamer
Despaigne
146617+24=147336%3
6/15Saturday, June 157:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
156424+0=154057%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
14683+24=148943%4
6/14Friday, June 148:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15688+0=156055%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1465+35+24=152445%10
6/13Thursday, June 138:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1569+21=157063%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
146313+26=147637%5
6/11Tuesday, June 117 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
151012+0=149834%10
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1572+15+24=161166%4
6/11Tuesday, June 111:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1512+7+1=152038%5
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1570+11+24=160562%12
6/9Sunday, June 91:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
156931+0=153847%7
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1533+0+24=155753%6
6/8Saturday, June 84:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15729+0=156357%4
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
153143+24=151243%8
6/7Friday, June 77:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1573142=155754%2
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
152920+24=153346%5
6/6Thursday, June 67 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15723+0=156965%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
146528+24=146135%2
6/5Wednesday, June 57:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1575+18+0=159364%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1462+5+24=149136%11
6/4Tuesday, June 47:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1576+14+0=159068%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Richard, Clayton
Richard
146120+23=146432%4
6/2Sunday, June 27 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1550+18+0=156846%8
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
157811+24=159154%5
6/1Saturday, June 17:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155111+0=154043%3
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
157714+24=158757%5
5/31Friday, May 317:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1552+37+0=158949%1
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15756+26=159551%4
5/29Wednesday, May 291:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1490+27+0=151736%0
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1574+15+24=161364%7
5/28Tuesday, May 286:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14888+0=148031%5
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1575+18+24=161769%4
5/27Monday, May 271:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1489+142=150142%2
NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
157436+21=155958%5
5/26Sunday, May 262:15 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15757+0=156862%7
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1448+14+24=148638%8
5/25Saturday, May 258:15 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
157537+0=153862%6
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144919+24=145438%5
5/25Saturday, May 252:15 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1573111=156162%7
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1451+2+27=148038%3
5/23Thursday, May 2312:35 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1573+15+0=158870%6
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1410+11+24=144530%5
5/22Wednesday, May 227:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15729+0=156368%7
BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
14113+24=143232%5
5/21Tuesday, May 217:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15717+0=156468%11
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
14126+24=143032%4
5/20Monday, May 207 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
157052=156367%10
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1413+3+22=143833%7
5/19Sunday, May 191:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1538+15+0=155350%5
NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
156736+24=155550%13
5/18Saturday, May 181:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1537+35+0=157246%2
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1568+8+24=160054%1
5/17Friday, May 177 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
1538201=151741%3
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
156712+26=158159%4
5/15Wednesday, May 156:30 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14151+0=141428%1
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156612+24=157872%3
5/15Wednesday, May 153:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
14165+3=141427%3
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15663+26=158973%5
5/12Sunday, May 121:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1563+6+0=156946%7
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1539+34+24=159754%1
5/11Saturday, May 116:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15669+0=155752%2
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153619+24=154148%7
5/10Friday, May 107:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1564113=155049%4
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
15376+26=155751%3
5/9Thursday, May 96:35 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
14978+0=148937%1
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15647+24=158163%3
5/8Wednesday, May 86:30 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1493+9+0=150239%10
NYYNYYYankees
Loaisiga, Jonathan
Loaisiga
156815+24=157761%1
5/7Tuesday, May 76:35 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1494+13+0=150737%4
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1567+4+24=159563%5
5/6Monday, May 66:35 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1495132=148036%3
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15668+24=158264%7
5/5Sunday, May 54:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
152314+0=150941%1
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156414+24=157459%4
5/4Saturday, May 41 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1521+9+0=153042%7
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15675+24=158658%3
5/3Friday, May 37:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1522+63=152539%3
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1565+14+22=160161%6
5/1Wednesday, May 13:40 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1567+6+0=157357%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
151113+24=152243%3
4/30Tuesday, April 309:40 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
156881=155950%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1510+26+26=156250%3
4/28Sunday, April 284:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156615+0=155157%11
SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1465+14+24=150343%5
4/27Saturday, April 274:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15658+0=155760%6
SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
14665+24=148540%4
4/26Friday, April 2610:15 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1563+152=157660%7
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1467+15+22=150440%3
4/25Thursday, April 259:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1566+11+0=157758%5
LAALAAAngels
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
1496+2+24=152242%11
4/24Wednesday, April 2410:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15655+0=156054%6
LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
1497+12+24=153346%5
4/23Tuesday, April 2310:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156421+0=154355%7
LAALAAAngels
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
149812+24=151045%5
4/22Monday, April 2210:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1563124=154755%4
LAALAAAngels
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
149913+24=151045%3
4/21Sunday, April 211:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144713+0=143428%6
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1563+9+24=159672%7
4/20Saturday, April 201:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
14485+0=144329%2
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1562+11+24=159771%9
4/19Friday, April 197:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1449+3+0=145232%2
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15614+24=158168%6
4/18Thursday, April 186:35 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1446253=141830%6
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156420+24=156870%1
4/17Wednesday, April 176:30 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15399+0=153043%3
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
156310+24=157757%5
4/16Tuesday, April 166:35 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1542+352=157548%0
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1560+3+26=158952%8
4/14Sunday, April 141:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1451+19+0=147032%5
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1563+18+24=160568%2
4/13Saturday, April 131:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1452+3+0=145533%0
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15617+24=157867%4
4/12Friday, April 127:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
144971=144131%9
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15643+23=158469%6
4/10Wednesday, April 107:40 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1565+7+0=157246%6
HOUHOUAstros
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
15763+24=159754%8
4/9Tuesday, April 98 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Loaisiga, Jonathan
Loaisiga
156713+0=155441%3
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1575+20+24=161959%6
4/8Monday, April 87 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1567+153=157943%3
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1574+27+24=162557%4
4/7Sunday, April 71:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156525+0=154062%15
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1425+7+24=145638%3
4/6Saturday, April 67:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15643+2=156366%6
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14263+26=144934%4
4/4Thursday, April 43:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1563+92=157065%8
BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1427+16+22=146535%4
4/3Wednesday, April 34:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1444+12+0=145634%2
NYYNYYYankees
Loaisiga, Jonathan
Loaisiga
156416+24=157266%1
4/2Tuesday, April 26:35 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
1442+1+0=144328%3
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1566+13+24=160372%1
4/1Monday, April 16:35 p.m.DETDETTigers
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1443+12=144234%1
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156629+24=156166%3
3/31Sunday, March 311:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14231+0=142227%7
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1568+1+24=159373%5
3/30Saturday, March 301:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Karns, Nate
Karns
1421+24+2=144729%5
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1570+8+26=160471%3
3/28Thursday, March 281 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1421122=140724%2
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1569+13+24=160676%7

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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