Updated May 21, 2019 at 1:42 AM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Yankees have an 88% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1571, up 5 points from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees29-1788%56%
RaysRays27-171.066%22%
Red SoxRed Sox25-224.566%22%
Blue JaysBlue Jays19-2810.5<1%<1%
OriolesOrioles15-3214.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/21Tuesday, May 217:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15717+0=156468%
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
14126+24=143032%
5/22Wednesday, May 227:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15719+0=156268%
BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
14125+24=143132%
5/23Thursday, May 2312:35 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1571+15+0=158669%
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1412+8+24=144431%
5/24Friday, May 248:15 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
157123=156663%
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1449+1+24=147437%
5/25Saturday, May 252:15 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
157111+0=156060%
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1449+13+24=148640%
5/26Sunday, May 262:15 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15717+0=156465%
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144917+24=145635%
5/27Monday, May 271:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1483+162=149738%
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15719+21=158362%
5/28Tuesday, May 286:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
148312+0=147131%
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1571+15+24=161069%
5/29Wednesday, May 291:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1483+1+0=148435%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159365%
5/30Thursday, May 307:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1554+142=156648%
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
157111+24=158452%
5/31Friday, May 317:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15542+0=155245%
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15717+24=158855%
6/1Saturday, June 17:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155445%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159355%
6/2Sunday, June 27 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155445%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159355%
6/4Tuesday, June 47:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156961%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+23=149339%
6/5Wednesday, June 57:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156961%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149439%
6/6Thursday, June 67:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156961%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149439%
6/7Friday, June 77:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
157122=156751%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+24=155949%
6/8Saturday, June 84:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156951%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+24=155949%
6/9Sunday, June 91:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156951%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+24=155949%
6/10Monday, June 107:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+21=151039%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+22=159161%
6/11Tuesday, June 117:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+0=151138%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159362%
6/13Thursday, June 138:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
157121=156862%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+26=148238%
6/14Friday, June 148:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156962%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148038%
6/15Saturday, June 157:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156962%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148038%
6/16Sunday, June 162:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156962%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148038%
6/17Monday, June 177:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+13=153442%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+21=159058%
6/18Tuesday, June 187:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153742%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159358%
6/19Wednesday, June 191:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153742%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159358%
6/20Thursday, June 207:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+03=158649%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159351%
6/21Friday, June 217:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+0=158949%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159351%
6/22Saturday, June 227:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+0=158949%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159351%
6/23Sunday, June 232:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+0=158949%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159351%
6/24Monday, June 247:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
147112=146833%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159367%
6/25Tuesday, June 257:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147033%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159367%
6/26Wednesday, June 261:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147033%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159367%
6/29Saturday, June 291:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+3=157252%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+5=155948%
6/30Sunday, June 3010 a.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156952%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155448%
7/2Tuesday, July 27:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156955%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+26=153745%
7/3Wednesday, July 37:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156955%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+24=153545%
7/4Thursday, July 45:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
157123=156651%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156149%
7/5Friday, July 57:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156951%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156149%
7/6Saturday, July 64:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156951%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156149%
7/7Sunday, July 71:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156951%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156149%
7/12Friday, July 127:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+5=147533%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+28=159767%
7/13Saturday, July 131:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147033%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159367%
7/14Sunday, July 141:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147033%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159367%
7/15Monday, July 157:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+12=153542%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159358%
7/16Tuesday, July 167:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153742%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159358%
7/17Wednesday, July 177:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153742%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159358%
7/18Thursday, July 187:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153742%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159358%
7/19Friday, July 197:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+12=150838%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159362%
7/20Saturday, July 201:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+0=151038%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159362%
7/21Sunday, July 211:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+0=151038%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159362%
7/22Monday, July 228:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
157123=156651%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156149%
7/23Tuesday, July 238:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156951%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156149%
7/24Wednesday, July 248:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156951%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156149%
7/25Thursday, July 257:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
157123=156649%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+21=157551%
7/26Friday, July 267:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156949%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157851%
7/27Saturday, July 274:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156949%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157851%
7/28Sunday, July 287 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156949%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157851%
7/30Tuesday, July 307:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+03=150738%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159362%
7/31Wednesday, July 311:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151038%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159362%
8/2Friday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+02=155244%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+26=159556%
8/3Saturday, Aug. 34:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155445%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159355%
8/4Sunday, Aug. 47 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155445%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159355%
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
157122=156768%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143732%
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156968%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143732%
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 77:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156968%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143732%
8/8Thursday, Aug. 87:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
157122=156761%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+21=149139%
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156961%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149439%
8/10Saturday, Aug. 103:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156961%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149439%
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156961%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149439%
8/12Monday, Aug. 121:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+12=141126%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+22=159174%
8/12Monday, Aug. 127:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141326%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159374%
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141326%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159374%
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 141:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141326%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159374%
8/15Thursday, Aug. 157:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
153942=153342%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159358%
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+0=153542%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159358%
8/17Saturday, Aug. 171:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+0=153542%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159358%
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+0=153542%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159358%
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 2010:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
157122=156753%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+26=154347%
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 2110:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156954%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154146%
8/22Thursday, Aug. 229:37 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156954%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154146%
8/23Friday, Aug. 2310:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
157122=156746%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159854%
8/24Saturday, Aug. 244:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156946%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159854%
8/25Sunday, Aug. 257 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156946%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159854%
8/26Monday, Aug. 2610:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
157123=156658%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150942%
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 2710:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156959%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150941%
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 284:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156959%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150941%
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+13=151439%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+22=159161%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 311:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+0=151739%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159361%
9/1Sunday, Sept. 11:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+0=151739%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159361%
9/2Monday, Sept. 21:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+13=147333%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159367%
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 36:35 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+0=147634%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159366%
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 46:35 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+0=147634%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159366%
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156949%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157851%
9/7Saturday, Sept. 74:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156949%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157851%
9/8Sunday, Sept. 88 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156949%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157851%
9/9Monday, Sept. 97:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156949%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157851%
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 106:40 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
157123=156666%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+22=145534%
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 116:40 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156966%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+24=145734%
9/12Thursday, Sept. 121:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156966%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+24=145734%
9/13Friday, Sept. 137:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
157122=156760%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149440%
9/14Saturday, Sept. 143:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156961%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149439%
9/15Sunday, Sept. 151:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156961%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149439%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 176:35 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+02=149937%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159363%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 186:35 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150137%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159363%
9/19Thursday, Sept. 196:35 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150137%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159363%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
147112=146833%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159367%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 211:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147033%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159367%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147033%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159367%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 247:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
157121=156851%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156149%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 257:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156951%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156149%
9/27Friday, Sept. 278:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
157121=156860%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+24=150040%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 288:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156960%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+24=150040%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156960%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+24=150040%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/20Monday, May 207 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
157052=156367%10
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1413+3+22=143833%7
5/19Sunday, May 191:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1538+15+0=155350%5
NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
156736+24=155550%13
5/18Saturday, May 181:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1537+35+0=157246%2
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1568+8+24=160054%1
5/17Friday, May 177 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
1538201=151741%3
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
156712+26=158159%4
5/15Wednesday, May 156:30 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14151+0=141428%1
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156612+24=157872%3
5/15Wednesday, May 153:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
14165+3=141427%3
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15663+26=158973%5
5/12Sunday, May 121:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1563+6+0=156946%7
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1539+34+24=159754%1
5/11Saturday, May 116:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15669+0=155752%2
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153619+24=154148%7
5/10Friday, May 107:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1564113=155049%4
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
15376+26=155751%3
5/9Thursday, May 96:35 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
14978+0=148937%1
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15647+24=158163%3
5/8Wednesday, May 86:30 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1493+9+0=150239%10
NYYNYYYankees
Loaisiga, Jonathan
Loaisiga
156815+24=157761%1
5/7Tuesday, May 76:35 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1494+13+0=150737%4
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1567+4+24=159563%5
5/6Monday, May 66:35 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1495132=148036%3
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15668+24=158264%7
5/5Sunday, May 54:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
152314+0=150941%1
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156414+24=157459%4
5/4Saturday, May 41 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1521+9+0=153042%7
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15675+24=158658%3
5/3Friday, May 37:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1522+63=152539%3
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1565+14+22=160161%6
5/1Wednesday, May 13:40 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1567+6+0=157357%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
151113+24=152243%3
4/30Tuesday, April 309:40 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
156881=155950%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1510+26+26=156250%3
4/28Sunday, April 284:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156615+0=155157%11
SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1465+14+24=150343%5
4/27Saturday, April 274:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15658+0=155760%6
SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
14665+24=148540%4
4/26Friday, April 2610:15 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1563+152=157660%7
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1467+15+22=150440%3
4/25Thursday, April 259:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1566+11+0=157758%5
LAALAAAngels
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
1496+2+24=152242%11
4/24Wednesday, April 2410:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15655+0=156054%6
LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
1497+12+24=153346%5
4/23Tuesday, April 2310:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156421+0=154355%7
LAALAAAngels
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
149812+24=151045%5
4/22Monday, April 2210:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1563124=154755%4
LAALAAAngels
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
149913+24=151045%3
4/21Sunday, April 211:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144713+0=143428%6
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1563+9+24=159672%7
4/20Saturday, April 201:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
14485+0=144329%2
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1562+11+24=159771%9
4/19Friday, April 197:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1449+3+0=145232%2
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15614+24=158168%6
4/18Thursday, April 186:35 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1446253=141830%6
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156420+24=156870%1
4/17Wednesday, April 176:30 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15399+0=153043%3
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
156310+24=157757%5
4/16Tuesday, April 166:35 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1542+352=157548%0
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1560+3+26=158952%8
4/14Sunday, April 141:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1451+19+0=147032%5
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1563+18+24=160568%2
4/13Saturday, April 131:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1452+3+0=145533%0
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15617+24=157867%4
4/12Friday, April 127:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
144971=144131%9
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15643+23=158469%6
4/10Wednesday, April 107:40 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1565+7+0=157246%6
HOUHOUAstros
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
15763+24=159754%8
4/9Tuesday, April 98 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Loaisiga, Jonathan
Loaisiga
156713+0=155441%3
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1575+20+24=161959%6
4/8Monday, April 87 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1567+153=157943%3
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1574+27+24=162557%4
4/7Sunday, April 71:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156525+0=154062%15
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1425+7+24=145638%3
4/6Saturday, April 67:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15643+2=156366%6
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14263+26=144934%4
4/4Thursday, April 43:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1563+92=157065%8
BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1427+16+22=146535%4
4/3Wednesday, April 34:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1444+12+0=145634%2
NYYNYYYankees
Loaisiga, Jonathan
Loaisiga
156416+24=157266%1
4/2Tuesday, April 26:35 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
1442+1+0=144328%3
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1566+13+24=160372%1
4/1Monday, April 16:35 p.m.DETDETTigers
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1443+12=144234%1
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156629+24=156166%3
3/31Sunday, March 311:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14231+0=142227%7
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1568+1+24=159373%5
3/30Saturday, March 301:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Karns, Nate
Karns
1421+24+2=144729%5
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1570+8+26=160471%3
3/28Thursday, March 281 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1421122=140724%2
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1569+13+24=160676%7

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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