Updated Jun. 15, 2019 at 3:56 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Royals have a <1% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1439, down 2 points from last week.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
TwinsTwins46-2297%92%
IndiansIndians35-3311.043%8%
White SoxWhite Sox34-3412.03%<1%
TigersTigers25-4120.0<1%<1%
RoyalsRoyals22-4724.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/15Saturday, June 157:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
1439+3+0=144230%
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1547+22+24=159370%
6/16Sunday, June 162:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1439+2+0=144135%
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154725+24=154665%
6/17Monday, June 1710:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1439+93=144542%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1476+2+21=149958%
6/18Tuesday, June 1810:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
143916+0=142340%
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
147610+24=149060%
6/19Wednesday, June 196:40 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1439+22+0=146143%
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1476+8+24=150857%
6/20Thursday, June 208:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1547+222=156764%
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
1439+3+20=146236%
6/21Friday, June 218:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154725+0=152258%
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1439+2+24=146542%
6/22Saturday, June 222:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1547+13+0=156062%
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1439+9+24=147238%
6/23Sunday, June 232:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
154712+0=153562%
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
143916+24=144738%
6/24Monday, June 247:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1439+223=145836%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1533+2+24=155964%
6/25Tuesday, June 257:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
1439+3+0=144235%
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
15334+24=155365%
6/26Wednesday, June 261:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144134%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1533+2+24=155966%
6/28Friday, June 287:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144144%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148056%
6/29Saturday, June 294:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144144%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148056%
6/30Sunday, June 301:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144144%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148056%
7/1Monday, July 11:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144144%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148056%
7/2Tuesday, July 28:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1533+21=153460%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+21=146240%
7/3Wednesday, July 38:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1533+2+0=153560%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146540%
7/4Thursday, July 41:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1533+2+0=153560%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146540%
7/5Friday, July 57:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+23=143835%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+24=154865%
7/6Saturday, July 64:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144135%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+24=154865%
7/7Sunday, July 71:35 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144135%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+24=154865%
7/12Friday, July 128:15 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14251+4=142844%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+28=146956%
7/13Saturday, July 137:15 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14251+0=142444%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146556%
7/14Sunday, July 142:15 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14251+0=142444%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146556%
7/15Monday, July 158:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
146824=146250%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146550%
7/16Tuesday, July 168:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
14682+0=146650%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146550%
7/17Wednesday, July 178:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
14682+0=146650%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146550%
7/18Thursday, July 181:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
14682+0=146650%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146550%
7/19Friday, July 197:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+23=143833%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1533+2+24=155967%
7/20Saturday, July 207:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144134%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1533+2+24=155966%
7/21Sunday, July 211:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144134%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1533+2+24=155966%
7/23Tuesday, July 237:20 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+21=144034%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1522+4+26=155266%
7/24Wednesday, July 247:20 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144135%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1522+4+24=155065%
7/25Thursday, July 258:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1533+23=153260%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+21=146240%
7/26Friday, July 268:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1533+2+0=153560%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146540%
7/27Saturday, July 277:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1533+2+0=153560%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146540%
7/28Sunday, July 282:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1533+2+0=153560%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146540%
7/29Monday, July 298:15 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
145823=145348%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146552%
7/30Tuesday, July 308:15 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14582+0=145649%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146551%
7/31Wednesday, July 311:15 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14582+0=145649%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146551%
8/2Friday, Aug. 28:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144133%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1547+0+20=156767%
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144132%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1547+0+24=157168%
8/4Sunday, Aug. 42:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144132%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1547+0+24=157168%
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+23=143831%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+22=157369%
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144132%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157568%
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 77:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144132%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157568%
8/8Thursday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+23=143849%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14251+24=144851%
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144149%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14251+24=144851%
8/10Saturday, Aug. 106:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144149%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14251+24=144851%
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144149%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14251+24=144851%
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 138:15 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1522+1+0=152358%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+23=146442%
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 148:15 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1522+1+0=152358%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146542%
8/16Friday, Aug. 168:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1510+23=150956%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+26=146744%
8/17Saturday, Aug. 177:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1510+2+0=151257%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146543%
8/18Sunday, Aug. 182:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1510+2+0=151257%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146543%
8/19Monday, Aug. 197:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+23=143851%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1402+3+22=142749%
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144152%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1402+3+24=142948%
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 217:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144152%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1402+3+24=142948%
8/23Friday, Aug. 237:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144134%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1533+2+22=155766%
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144134%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1533+2+24=155966%
8/25Sunday, Aug. 251:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144134%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1533+2+24=155966%
8/26Monday, Aug. 268:15 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1517+24=151558%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+21=146242%
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 278:15 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1517+2+0=151958%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146542%
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 288:15 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1517+2+0=151958%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146542%
8/29Thursday, Aug. 291:15 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1517+2+0=151958%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146542%
8/30Friday, Aug. 308:15 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1402+31=140441%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146559%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 317:15 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1402+3+0=140542%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146558%
9/1Sunday, Sept. 12:15 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1402+3+0=140542%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146558%
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 38:15 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
142513=142143%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+26=146757%
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 48:15 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14251+0=142444%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146556%
9/5Thursday, Sept. 51:15 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14251+0=142444%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146556%
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+23=143847%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14382+21=145753%
9/7Saturday, Sept. 76:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144147%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14382+24=146053%
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144147%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14382+24=146053%
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 108:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+21=144043%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
14682+26=149257%
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 118:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144143%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
14682+24=149057%
9/12Thursday, Sept. 122:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144143%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
14682+24=149057%
9/13Friday, Sept. 138:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1584+13=158267%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+22=146333%
9/14Saturday, Sept. 147:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1584+1+0=158567%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146533%
9/15Sunday, Sept. 152:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1584+1+0=158567%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146533%
9/16Monday, Sept. 1610:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+24=143736%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1517+2+20=153964%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 1710:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144136%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1517+2+24=154364%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 183:37 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144136%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1517+2+24=154364%
9/19Thursday, Sept. 197:40 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+24=143732%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1547+0+24=157168%
9/20Friday, Sept. 208:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144132%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1547+0+24=157168%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144132%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1547+0+24=157168%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 222:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144132%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1547+0+24=157168%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 248:15 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1522+41=152559%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146541%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 258:15 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1522+4+0=152659%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146541%
9/27Friday, Sept. 278:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1547+03=154461%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+26=146739%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 287:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1547+0+0=154762%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146538%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1547+0+0=154762%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+24=146538%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/14Friday, June 148:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1440+172=145534%0
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15461+24=156966%2
6/13Thursday, June 138 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1429+31+0=146056%3
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
143819+0=141944%7
6/12Wednesday, June 128 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
14284+0=142443%3
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1439+8+24=147157%2
6/11Tuesday, June 118:15 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1429+171=144547%2
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1438+4+26=146853%3
6/9Sunday, June 92:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
14636+0=145748%5
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
1440+8+24=147252%2
6/8Saturday, June 82:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1462+31+0=149352%2
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1441+17+24=148248%0
6/7Friday, June 78:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1463111=145151%4
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144019+24=144549%6
6/6Thursday, June 61:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Weber, Ryan
Weber
155544+0=151155%7
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1441+13+24=147845%5
6/5Wednesday, June 58:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1553+36+0=158966%8
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1443+7+24=147434%0
6/4Tuesday, June 48 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
155141=154661%8
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
1444+2+24=147039%3
6/2Sunday, June 23:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1446+15+0=146147%1
TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
148120+24=148553%5
6/1Saturday, June 14:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144718+0=142938%2
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1480+11+24=151562%6
5/31Friday, May 318:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1449+15+0=146446%2
TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
147810+24=149254%6
5/30Thursday, May 308:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1447+53=144937%4
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1480+39+20=153963%2
5/29Wednesday, May 298:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
1448+11+0=145946%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1459+5+24=148854%8
5/28Tuesday, May 287:40 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1449+16+0=146544%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1458+21+24=150356%4
5/27Monday, May 272:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1450222=142644%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
145713+22=146656%2
5/26Sunday, May 262:15 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15757+0=156862%7
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1448+14+24=148638%8
5/25Saturday, May 258:15 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
157537+0=153862%6
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144919+24=145438%5
5/25Saturday, May 252:15 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1573111=156162%7
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1451+2+27=148038%3
5/22Wednesday, May 227:45 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145218+0=143436%3
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15239+24=153864%10
5/22Wednesday, May 221:15 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1449+13+1=146339%8
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15268+26=154461%2
5/19Sunday, May 194:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1447+11+0=145840%5
LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1505+1+24=153060%1
5/18Saturday, May 1810:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1448+3+0=145140%3
LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
15044+24=152460%6
5/17Friday, May 1710:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1449+153=146142%2
LAALAAAngels
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
15024+22=152058%5
5/16Thursday, May 161:15 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1469+6+0=147552%16
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145314+24=146348%1
5/15Wednesday, May 158 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1468+43+0=151157%6
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
145519+24=146043%1
5/14Tuesday, May 148:15 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Shelby
Miller
1470221=144744%5
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1453+10+26=148956%11
5/12Sunday, May 122:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
152619+0=150754%6
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1455+2+24=148146%1
5/11Saturday, May 117:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15247+0=151753%7
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1457+17+24=149847%0
5/10Friday, May 108:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15261+0=152559%1
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145518+23=146041%5
5/8Wednesday, May 88:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
145711+0=144631%0
HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
157617+24=158369%9
5/7Tuesday, May 78:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1452+6+0=145831%12
HOUHOUAstros
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
15819+24=159669%2
5/6Monday, May 68:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1452+53=145428%4
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1580+20+21=162172%6
5/5Sunday, May 51 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1454+16+0=147048%2
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1441+17+24=148252%5
5/4Saturday, May 44:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145021+0=142945%15
DETDETTigers
Ross, Tyson
Ross
14463+24=146755%3
5/3Friday, May 37:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
1450153=143242%3
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1445+19+24=148858%4
5/2Thursday, May 22:15 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1534+15+0=154960%3
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1451+3+24=147840%1
5/1Wednesday, May 15:15 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1537+42+0=157965%2
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
14484+24=146835%8
5/1Wednesday, May 11:15 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153916+2=152557%2
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1447+6+26=147943%3
4/29Monday, April 298:15 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
1537173=151753%8
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1448+21+24=149347%5
4/28Sunday, April 282:15 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
149811+0=148755%7
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145020+24=145445%3
4/27Saturday, April 277:15 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Bedrosian, Cam
Bedrosian
15015+0=149655%4
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144710+24=146145%9
4/26Friday, April 268:15 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1499+33=149953%5
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1449+5+23=147747%1
4/24Wednesday, April 241:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1444+3+0=144728%10
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1539+47+24=161072%2
4/23Tuesday, April 237:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144517+0=142834%2
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153816+24=154666%5
4/22Monday, April 227:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1447+233=146738%3
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
15368+24=155262%6
4/21Sunday, April 211:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144713+0=143428%6
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1563+9+24=159672%7
4/20Saturday, April 201:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
14485+0=144329%2
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1562+11+24=159771%9
4/19Friday, April 197:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1449+3+0=145232%2
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15614+24=158168%6
4/18Thursday, April 186:35 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1446253=141830%6
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156420+24=156870%1
4/17Wednesday, April 172:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1445+24+0=146950%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
145610+24=147050%3
4/16Tuesday, April 168:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144611+0=143544%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1454+1+24=147956%5
4/15Monday, April 158:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
144762=143946%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Santana, Ervin
Santana
14535+21=146954%5
4/14Sunday, April 142:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1547+2+0=154961%8
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1446+4+24=147439%9
4/13Saturday, April 137:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
154960+0=148958%0
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144433+24=143542%3
4/12Friday, April 128:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1552+23=155159%1
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1441+23+24=148841%8
4/11Thursday, April 111:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1510+3+0=151359%7
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144216+24=145041%6
4/10Wednesday, April 108:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
15093+0=150656%6
KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
1443+1+24=146844%5
4/9Tuesday, April 98:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1507+12+0=151956%6
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1444+8+24=147644%3
4/8Monday, April 88:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1505192=148457%13
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144630+21=143743%5
4/7Sunday, April 71:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1448+23+0=147150%1
DETDETTigers
Ross, Tyson
Ross
14482+24=147050%3
4/6Saturday, April 61:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144921+2=143047%4
DETDETTigers
Moore, Matt
Moore
144720+26=145353%7
4/4Thursday, April 41:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1450+73=145448%4
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1446+2+22=147052%5
4/3Wednesday, April 31:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1512+5+0=151761%7
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145132+24=144339%6
4/2Tuesday, April 28:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1511+22+0=153354%5
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1452+24+26=150246%4
3/31Sunday, March 312:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
145413+0=144147%6
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
145318+24=145953%3
3/30Saturday, March 302:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1456+17+2=147548%6
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1452+7+26=148552%8
3/28Thursday, March 284:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1457+112=146646%3
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1451+19+24=149454%5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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