Updated Oct. 20, 2019 at 12:49 AM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Royals are done for the season.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
TwinsTwins101-61
IndiansIndians93-698.0
White SoxWhite Sox72-8928.5
RoyalsRoyals59-10342.0
TigersTigers47-11453.5

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:15 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154629+0=151762%4
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
142919+24=143438%5
9/28Saturday, Sept. 282:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Stashak, Cody
Stashak
154516+0=152964%4
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
143021+24=143336%3
9/27Friday, Sept. 278:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1544+103=155164%6
KCKCRoyals
Skoglund, Eric
Skoglund
14316+26=145136%2
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 258:15 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Tomlin, Josh
Tomlin
154524+0=152159%10
KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1433+3+24=146041%2
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 248:15 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1547+21=154860%6
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1431+19+24=147440%9
9/22Sunday, Sept. 222:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
143213+0=141933%8
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154024+24=154067%12
9/21Saturday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
142823+0=140527%12
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1544+12+24=158073%5
9/20Friday, Sept. 208:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Skoglund, Eric
Skoglund
142810+0=141831%3
MINMINTwins
Dobnak, Randy
Dobnak
154410+24=155869%4
9/19Thursday, Sept. 197:40 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1429+54=143033%5
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
154311+24=155667%8
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 183:37 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1430+11+0=144131%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
15594+24=157969%1
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 1710:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
143016+0=141428%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15597+24=157672%2
9/16Monday, Sept. 1610:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
1429204=140526%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1561+3+20=158474%5
9/15Sunday, Sept. 152:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
158831+0=155763%12
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1431+10+24=146537%3
9/14Saturday, Sept. 147:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1587+9+0=159668%6
KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1432+6+24=146232%1
9/13Friday, Sept. 138:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1586+423=162572%4
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1433+7+22=146228%1
9/12Thursday, Sept. 122:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
143016+0=141435%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1456+43+24=152365%3
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 118:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
142821+0=140738%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1458+10+24=149262%6
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 108:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1430+141=144344%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1456+0+26=148256%7
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1433+11+0=144448%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1430+5+24=145952%9
9/7Saturday, Sept. 76:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1431+3+0=143446%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1433+3+24=146054%2
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
1429213=140542%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1435+5+21=146158%0
9/5Thursday, Sept. 51:15 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1393+19+0=141247%6
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
143018+24=143653%4
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 48:15 p.m.DETDETTigers
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
139425+0=136936%4
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1429+13+24=146664%5
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 38:15 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1394+83=139941%5
KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1429+10+26=146559%6
9/1Sunday, Sept. 12:15 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
14156+0=140943%4
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1427+3+24=145457%6
8/31Saturday, Aug. 317:15 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1416+14+0=143050%5
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
142622+24=142850%7
8/30Friday, Aug. 308:15 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1412+271=143848%14
KCKCRoyals
Skoglund, Eric
Skoglund
14305+24=144952%2
8/29Thursday, Aug. 291:15 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1545+7+0=155266%9
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
143116+24=143934%8
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 288:15 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1547+2+0=154962%4
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1429+12+24=146538%6
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 278:15 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1546+17+0=156365%2
KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1430+5+24=145935%1
8/26Monday, Aug. 268:15 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1543154=152457%19
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1433+22+21=147643%4
8/25Sunday, Aug. 251:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Skoglund, Eric
Skoglund
14317+0=142427%9
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1555+17+24=159673%8
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
143215+0=141726%2
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1554+18+24=159674%4
8/23Friday, Aug. 237:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1433+14+0=144736%1
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
155325+22=155064%4
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 217:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1437+8+0=144555%1
BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
140416+24=141245%8
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1438+17+0=145552%1
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1403+14+24=144148%4
8/19Monday, Aug. 197:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
1437303=140443%5
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1404+24+22=145057%4
8/18Sunday, Aug. 182:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1521+0+0=152161%11
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
143916+24=144739%5
8/17Saturday, Aug. 177:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1520+41+0=156162%4
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1440+12+24=147638%1
8/16Friday, Aug. 168:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1522+113=153058%1
KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1438+7+26=147142%4
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 148:15 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
152319+0=150453%6
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1440+18+24=148247%0
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 138:15 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1522+28+0=155065%2
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
144118+23=144635%0
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1438+13+0=145153%10
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1401+6+24=143147%2
8/10Saturday, Aug. 106:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1436+3+0=143949%7
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1404+15+24=144351%0
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1438+24+0=146258%2
DETDETTigers
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
140222+24=140442%5
8/8Thursday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
1439223=141444%8
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1401+33+24=145856%10
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 77:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
143414+0=142028%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1541+16+24=158172%5
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1436+10+0=144635%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
154212+24=155465%2
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1437+23=143635%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154118+22=154565%7
8/4Sunday, Aug. 42:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1438+20+0=145837%0
MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
154218+24=154863%3
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1440+10+0=145034%3
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1541+2+24=156766%11
8/2Friday, Aug. 28:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
144016+0=142434%9
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154022+20=153866%11
7/31Wednesday, July 311:15 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
14673+0=146448%4
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1442+10+24=147652%1
7/30Tuesday, July 308:15 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Reid-Foley, Sean
Reid-Foley
14642+0=146249%9
KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1445+3+24=147251%2
7/29Monday, July 298:15 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pannone, Thomas
Pannone
1462103=144944%7
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1447+20+24=149156%3
7/28Sunday, July 282:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1548+10+0=155861%6
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1445+11+24=148039%9
7/27Saturday, July 277:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1546+13+0=155964%9
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
144710+24=146136%1
7/26Friday, July 268:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
154424+0=152055%8
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1449+11+24=148445%3
7/25Thursday, July 258:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
1543373=150355%5
KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1450+0+21=147145%4
7/24Wednesday, July 247:20 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1448+14+0=146236%2
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1528+12+24=156464%0
7/23Tuesday, July 237:20 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1446+61=145134%5
ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1530+10+26=156666%4
7/21Sunday, July 211:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
14474+0=144337%4
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
154025+24=153963%5
7/20Saturday, July 207:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1446+8+0=145440%1
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
154239+24=152760%0
7/19Friday, July 197:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1447+63=145032%5
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1540+16+24=158068%10
7/18Thursday, July 181:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Detwiler, Ross
Detwiler
14546+0=144844%5
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1446+17+24=148756%6
7/17Wednesday, July 178:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14556+0=144947%5
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1445+4+24=147353%7
7/16Tuesday, July 168:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
14583+0=145551%0
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
144115+24=145049%11
7/15Monday, July 158:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1460+314=148753%2
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1440+6+24=147047%5
7/14Sunday, July 142:15 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14129+0=140344%12
KCKCRoyals
Flynn, Brian
Flynn
144223+24=144356%8
7/13Saturday, July 137:15 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1413+26+0=143944%1
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1440+13+24=147756%4
7/12Friday, July 128:15 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1414+18+4=143644%5
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1439+11+28=147856%8
7/7Sunday, July 71:35 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1440+3+0=144334%2
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1530+4+24=155866%5
7/6Saturday, July 64:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
144113+0=142827%0
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1529+47+24=160073%6
7/5Friday, July 57:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1439+133=144940%7
WSHWSHNationals
Voth, Austin
Voth
153136+24=151960%4
7/4Thursday, July 41:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
153223+0=150957%8
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
14405+24=145943%4
7/3Wednesday, July 38:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1531+11+0=154259%4
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1442+11+24=147741%0
7/2Tuesday, July 28:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1529+141=154260%9
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1443+5+21=146940%5
7/1Monday, July 11:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
1446+1+0=144747%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Richard, Clayton
Richard
146320+24=146753%11
6/30Sunday, June 301:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1445+16+0=146148%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
146412+24=147652%6
6/29Saturday, June 294:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
14466+0=144040%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1463+24+24=151160%7
6/28Friday, June 287:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1447+6+0=145346%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Reid-Foley, Sean
Reid-Foley
14616+24=147954%6
6/26Wednesday, June 261:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1448+3+0=145133%3
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1539+8+24=157167%5
6/25Tuesday, June 257:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
1446+6+0=145234%8
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1541+2+24=156766%6
6/24Monday, June 247:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1447+133=145740%2
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
154037+24=152760%3
6/23Sunday, June 232:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
15427+0=153561%1
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144410+24=145839%6
6/22Saturday, June 222:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1542+20+0=156262%5
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1445+5+24=147438%3
6/21Friday, June 218:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154123+0=151856%8
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1446+2+24=147244%7
6/20Thursday, June 208:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1543+182=155963%1
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
1444+1+20=146537%4
6/19Wednesday, June 196:40 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1446+22+0=146845%2
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1470+10+24=150455%8
6/18Tuesday, June 1810:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144215+0=142741%9
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
14749+24=148959%0
6/17Monday, June 1710:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1441+93=144742%6
SEASEAMariners
Scott, Tayler
Scott
1476+3+21=150058%4
6/16Sunday, June 162:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1439+3+0=144235%8
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154725+24=154665%6
6/15Saturday, June 157:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
1439+3+0=144230%4
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1547+22+24=159370%5
6/14Friday, June 148:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1440+172=145534%0
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15461+24=156966%2
6/13Thursday, June 138 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1429+31+0=146056%3
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
143819+0=141944%7
6/12Wednesday, June 128 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
14284+0=142443%3
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1439+8+24=147157%2
6/11Tuesday, June 118:15 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1429+171=144547%2
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1438+4+26=146853%3
6/9Sunday, June 92:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
14636+0=145748%5
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
1440+8+24=147252%2
6/8Saturday, June 82:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1462+31+0=149352%2
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1441+17+24=148248%0
6/7Friday, June 78:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1463111=145151%4
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144019+24=144549%6
6/6Thursday, June 61:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Weber, Ryan
Weber
155544+0=151155%7
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1441+13+24=147845%5
6/5Wednesday, June 58:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1553+36+0=158966%8
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1443+7+24=147434%0
6/4Tuesday, June 48 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
155141=154661%8
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
1444+2+24=147039%3
6/2Sunday, June 23:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1446+15+0=146147%1
TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
148120+24=148553%5
6/1Saturday, June 14:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144718+0=142938%2
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1480+11+24=151562%6
5/31Friday, May 318:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1449+15+0=146446%2
TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
147810+24=149254%6
5/30Thursday, May 308:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1447+53=144937%4
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1480+39+20=153963%2
5/29Wednesday, May 298:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
1448+11+0=145946%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1459+5+24=148854%8
5/28Tuesday, May 287:40 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1449+16+0=146544%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1458+21+24=150356%4
5/27Monday, May 272:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1450222=142644%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
145713+22=146656%2
5/26Sunday, May 262:15 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15757+0=156862%7
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1448+14+24=148638%8
5/25Saturday, May 258:15 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
157537+0=153862%6
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144919+24=145438%5
5/25Saturday, May 252:15 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1573111=156162%7
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1451+2+27=148038%3
5/22Wednesday, May 227:45 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145218+0=143436%3
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15239+24=153864%10
5/22Wednesday, May 221:15 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1449+13+1=146339%8
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15268+26=154461%2
5/19Sunday, May 194:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1447+11+0=145840%5
LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1505+1+24=153060%1
5/18Saturday, May 1810:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1448+3+0=145140%3
LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
15044+24=152460%6
5/17Friday, May 1710:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1449+153=146142%2
LAALAAAngels
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
15024+22=152058%5
5/16Thursday, May 161:15 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1469+6+0=147552%16
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145314+24=146348%1
5/15Wednesday, May 158 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1468+43+0=151157%6
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
145519+24=146043%1
5/14Tuesday, May 148:15 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Shelby
Miller
1470221=144744%5
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1453+10+26=148956%11
5/12Sunday, May 122:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
152619+0=150754%6
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1455+2+24=148146%1
5/11Saturday, May 117:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15247+0=151753%7
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1457+17+24=149847%0
5/10Friday, May 108:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15261+0=152559%1
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145518+23=146041%5
5/8Wednesday, May 88:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
145711+0=144631%0
HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
157617+24=158369%9
5/7Tuesday, May 78:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1452+6+0=145831%12
HOUHOUAstros
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
15819+24=159669%2
5/6Monday, May 68:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1452+53=145428%4
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1580+20+21=162172%6
5/5Sunday, May 51 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1454+16+0=147048%2
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1441+17+24=148252%5
5/4Saturday, May 44:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145021+0=142945%15
DETDETTigers
Ross, Tyson
Ross
14463+24=146755%3
5/3Friday, May 37:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
1450153=143242%3
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1445+19+24=148858%4
5/2Thursday, May 22:15 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1534+15+0=154960%3
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1451+3+24=147840%1
5/1Wednesday, May 15:15 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1537+42+0=157965%2
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
14484+24=146835%8
5/1Wednesday, May 11:15 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153916+2=152557%2
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1447+6+26=147943%3
4/29Monday, April 298:15 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
1537173=151753%8
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1448+21+24=149347%5
4/28Sunday, April 282:15 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
149811+0=148755%7
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145020+24=145445%3
4/27Saturday, April 277:15 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Bedrosian, Cam
Bedrosian
15015+0=149655%4
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144710+24=146145%9
4/26Friday, April 268:15 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1499+33=149953%5
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1449+5+23=147747%1
4/24Wednesday, April 241:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1444+3+0=144728%10
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1539+47+24=161072%2
4/23Tuesday, April 237:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144517+0=142834%2
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153816+24=154666%5
4/22Monday, April 227:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1447+233=146738%3
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
15368+24=155262%6
4/21Sunday, April 211:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144713+0=143428%6
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1563+9+24=159672%7
4/20Saturday, April 201:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
14485+0=144329%2
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1562+11+24=159771%9
4/19Friday, April 197:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1449+3+0=145232%2
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15614+24=158168%6
4/18Thursday, April 186:35 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1446253=141830%6
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156420+24=156870%1
4/17Wednesday, April 172:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1445+24+0=146950%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
145610+24=147050%3
4/16Tuesday, April 168:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144611+0=143544%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1454+1+24=147956%5
4/15Monday, April 158:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
144762=143946%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Santana, Ervin
Santana
14535+21=146954%5
4/14Sunday, April 142:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1547+2+0=154961%8
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1446+4+24=147439%9
4/13Saturday, April 137:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
154960+0=148958%0
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144433+24=143542%3
4/12Friday, April 128:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1552+23=155159%1
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1441+23+24=148841%8
4/11Thursday, April 111:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1510+3+0=151359%7
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144216+24=145041%6
4/10Wednesday, April 108:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
15093+0=150656%6
KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
1443+1+24=146844%5
4/9Tuesday, April 98:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1507+12+0=151956%6
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1444+8+24=147644%3
4/8Monday, April 88:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1505192=148457%13
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144630+21=143743%5
4/7Sunday, April 71:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1448+23+0=147150%1
DETDETTigers
Ross, Tyson
Ross
14482+24=147050%3
4/6Saturday, April 61:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144921+2=143047%4
DETDETTigers
Moore, Matt
Moore
144720+26=145353%7
4/4Thursday, April 41:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1450+73=145448%4
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1446+2+22=147052%5
4/3Wednesday, April 31:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1512+5+0=151761%7
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145132+24=144339%6
4/2Tuesday, April 28:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1511+22+0=153354%5
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1452+24+26=150246%4
3/31Sunday, March 312:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
145413+0=144147%6
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
145318+24=145953%3
3/30Saturday, March 302:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1456+17+2=147548%6
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1452+7+26=148552%8
3/28Thursday, March 284:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1457+112=146646%3
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1451+19+24=149454%5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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