Updated Sep. 19, 2019 at 11:20 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Twins have a >99% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1544, up 3 points from last week.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
TwinsTwins94-59>99%99%
IndiansIndians90-634.051%1%
White SoxWhite Sox66-8627.5
RoyalsRoyals56-9838.5
TigersTigers45-10748.5

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/20Friday, Sept. 208:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Skoglund, Eric
Skoglund
142810+0=141831%
MINMINTwins
Dobnak, Randy
Dobnak
154410+24=155869%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
142822+0=140627%
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1544+13+24=158173%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 222:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
142813+0=141532%
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154424+24=154468%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 246:40 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1544+151=155868%
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1390+9+26=142532%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 256:40 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
154414+0=153064%
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1390+13+24=142736%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 261:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
15441+0=154368%
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
13903+24=141132%
9/27Friday, Sept. 278:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1544+133=155465%
KCKCRoyals
Skoglund, Eric
Skoglund
142810+26=144435%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 287:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154424+0=152063%
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
142822+24=143037%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1544+15+0=155967%
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
142813+24=143933%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/19Thursday, Sept. 197:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1429+54=143033%5
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
154311+24=155667%8
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:40 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14522+0=145032%3
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1545+13+24=158268%1
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:40 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Detwiler, Ross
Detwiler
145312+0=144135%8
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154423+24=154565%9
9/16Monday, Sept. 167:40 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1453+63=145633%3
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1543+10+21=157467%5
9/15Sunday, Sept. 151:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Dobnak, Randy
Dobnak
154413+0=153141%5
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1552+18+24=159459%7
9/14Saturday, Sept. 147:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Thorpe, Lewis
Thorpe
154215+0=152749%9
CLECLEIndians
Clippard, Tyler
Clippard
155444+24=153451%5
9/14Saturday, Sept. 141:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
154181=153240%2
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1556+24+25=160560%0
9/12Thursday, Sept. 127:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1554+13+0=156751%12
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15437+24=156049%6
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 117:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1552+19+0=157154%6
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154524+24=154546%2
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 107:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1554201=153345%0
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1543+2+26=157155%5
9/8Sunday, Sept. 82:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1549+25+0=157453%5
MINMINTwins
Dobnak, Randy
Dobnak
154413+24=155547%2
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
155113+0=153844%3
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1543+10+24=157756%5
9/6Friday, Sept. 68:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
1548333=151241%6
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1546+11+21=157859%2
9/5Thursday, Sept. 57:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154425+0=151943%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15474+24=156757%1
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 47:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1546+8+0=155446%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1545+16+24=158554%6
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Dobnak, Randy
Dobnak
1545153=152745%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15469+22=155955%5
9/2Monday, Sept. 21:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1545+12+0=155769%4
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
1395+0+24=141931%3
9/1Sunday, Sept. 11:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1543+10+0=155367%8
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1396+9+24=142933%3
8/31Saturday, Aug. 316:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154519+0=152663%7
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1394+19+24=143737%10
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
154432=153969%13
DETDETTigers
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
139621+24=139931%5
8/29Thursday, Aug. 292:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1542+6+0=154861%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
145815+24=146739%5
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 288:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1541+9+0=155061%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Detwiler, Ross
Detwiler
146015+24=146939%2
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 278:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1539+6+0=154553%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1461+35+26=152247%1
8/25Sunday, Aug. 252:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1400+21+0=142133%4
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
153821+24=154167%7
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
140120+0=138126%5
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1538+0+24=156274%8
8/23Friday, Aug. 238:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
VerHagen, Drew
VerHagen
1398253=137023%9
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1541+11+26=157877%6
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 211:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1455+30+0=148537%4
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1543+10+24=157763%0
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 208:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1457+5+0=146235%4
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1541+6+24=157165%14
8/19Monday, Aug. 198:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1456+124=146436%6
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1543+0+21=156464%4
8/18Sunday, Aug. 183:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154125+0=151647%6
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1473+41+24=153853%3
8/17Saturday, Aug. 178:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1540+16+0=155661%12
TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
147518+24=148139%7
8/16Friday, Aug. 168:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1539+7+0=154651%4
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1476+40+24=154049%3
8/15Thursday, Aug. 158:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1537+53=153959%13
TEXTEXRangers
Payano, Pedro
Payano
147821+21=147841%6
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 142:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1538+1+0=153949%5
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1513+9+24=154651%6
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 138:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
153628+0=150843%7
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1515+14+26=155557%5
8/11Sunday, Aug. 112:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
155324+0=152943%7
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1538+16+24=157857%3
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
155437+0=151743%1
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1537+6+24=156757%4
8/9Friday, Aug. 98:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1552+20+0=157252%6
MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
15396+24=155748%2
8/8Thursday, Aug. 88:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1551+153=156349%7
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1540+5+24=156951%5
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 71:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1531+3+0=153449%11
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154225+24=154151%7
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 68:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
15282+0=152641%12
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1545+20+24=158959%7
8/5Monday, Aug. 58:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1530+263=155348%3
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
15441+24=156752%5
8/4Sunday, Aug. 42:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1438+20+0=145837%0
MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
154218+24=154863%3
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1440+10+0=145034%3
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1541+2+24=156766%11
8/2Friday, Aug. 28:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
144016+0=142434%9
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154022+20=153866%11
8/1Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1541+1+0=154261%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
14452+24=146739%5
7/31Wednesday, July 317:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1540+17+0=155764%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
144613+24=145736%4
7/30Tuesday, July 307:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1539+01=153859%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1447+4+24=147541%1
7/28Sunday, July 282:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1537+1+0=153860%11
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
145414+24=146440%1
7/27Saturday, July 277:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
153920+0=151957%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14523+24=147343%5
7/26Friday, July 268:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1538+2+0=154060%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
14537+24=147040%2
7/25Thursday, July 258:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1535+172=155056%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1456+32+24=151244%3
7/24Wednesday, July 248 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15851+0=158452%10
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1537+7+24=156848%7
7/23Tuesday, July 238:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1584+2+0=158653%14
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1538+2+24=156447%12
7/22Monday, July 228:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
158643=157955%6
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
153718+24=154345%8
7/21Sunday, July 212:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
15423+0=153947%6
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
15361+24=155953%7
7/20Saturday, July 207:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15414+0=153745%5
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1537+12+24=157355%4
7/19Friday, July 198:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
15391+0=153846%5
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1538+7+24=156954%3
7/18Thursday, July 188:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1541+174=155449%3
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15371+24=156051%6
7/17Wednesday, July 171:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
150210+0=149242%14
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154119+24=154658%4
7/16Tuesday, July 168:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
1501252=147437%3
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
15421+23=156463%2
7/14Sunday, July 141:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1543+14+0=155748%3
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1535+13+24=157252%4
7/13Saturday, July 137:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1541+8+0=154947%6
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1537+11+24=157253%2
7/12Friday, July 127:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1539+1+4=154445%5
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1539+14+29=158255%3
7/7Sunday, July 72:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Leclerc, Jose
Leclerc
148511+0=147437%4
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1542+1+24=156763%1
7/6Saturday, July 62:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez
148611+0=147538%4
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
15404+24=156062%7
7/5Friday, July 58:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
1489103=147641%6
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
153819+20=153959%15
7/4Thursday, July 44:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1541+18+0=155954%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Tanner
Anderson
152921+24=153246%7
7/3Wednesday, July 39:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1539+2+0=154146%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1530+15+24=156954%3
7/2Tuesday, July 210:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1541+132=155250%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
15293+24=155050%8
6/30Sunday, June 302 p.m.MINMINTwins
Thorpe, Lewis
Thorpe
154225+0=151750%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1464+30+24=151850%4
6/29Saturday, June 294:12 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
154010+0=153057%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14669+24=148143%3
6/28Friday, June 288:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1541+202=155961%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Detwiler, Ross
Detwiler
14648+23=147939%6
6/27Thursday, June 271:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153917+0=152247%5
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154326+24=154153%2
6/26Wednesday, June 268:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1540+25+0=156548%4
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1542+15+24=158152%6
6/25Tuesday, June 258:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1542+142=155448%4
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1540+1+24=156552%9
6/23Sunday, June 232:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
15427+0=153561%1
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144410+24=145839%6
6/22Saturday, June 222:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1542+20+0=156262%5
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1445+5+24=147438%3
6/21Friday, June 218:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154123+0=151856%8
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1446+2+24=147244%7
6/20Thursday, June 208:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1543+182=155963%1
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
1444+1+20=146537%4
6/19Wednesday, June 198:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15535+0=154846%9
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1545+4+24=157354%4
6/18Tuesday, June 188:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1554+12+0=156651%3
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
154413+24=155549%4
6/17Monday, June 178:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
1552113=153844%2
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1546+13+24=158356%0
6/16Sunday, June 162:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1439+3+0=144235%8
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154725+24=154665%6
6/15Saturday, June 157:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
1439+3+0=144230%4
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1547+22+24=159370%5
6/14Friday, June 148:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1440+172=145534%0
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15461+24=156966%2
6/13Thursday, June 131:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
147412+0=146237%5
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
154514+24=155563%10
6/12Wednesday, June 128:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Bautista, Gerson
Bautista
1472+4+0=147635%9
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1547+14+24=158565%6
6/11Tuesday, June 118:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1473+122=148341%5
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154622+23=154759%6
6/9Sunday, June 91:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1544+23+0=156768%12
DETDETTigers
Carpenter, Ryan
Carpenter
143120+24=143532%2
6/8Saturday, June 84:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1548+5+0=155367%3
DETDETTigers
Farmer, Buck
Farmer
142726+24=142533%9
6/7Friday, June 77:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1547141=153257%6
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1429+31+24=148443%3
6/6Thursday, June 67 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1546+11+0=155749%5
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1530+12+24=156651%4
6/5Wednesday, June 57:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154721+0=152652%7
CLECLEIndians
Clippard, Tyler
Clippard
152940+24=151348%9
6/4Tuesday, June 47:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
1549121=153648%2
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
15272+24=154952%5
6/2Sunday, June 21:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1547+17+0=156452%9
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
154421+24=154748%7
6/1Saturday, June 11:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1545+4+0=154948%6
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
15469+24=156152%2
5/31Friday, May 317:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1544+10+0=155450%5
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154819+24=155350%3
5/30Thursday, May 307:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
1547171=152943%3
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1545+12+24=158157%14
5/28Tuesday, May 288:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1537+5+0=154249%3
MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
154523+24=154651%5
5/27Monday, May 277:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1535+12=153447%5
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
154717+24=155453%4
5/26Sunday, May 262:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
145912+0=144731%0
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1545+15+24=158469%7
5/25Saturday, May 252:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Banuelos, Manny
Banuelos
146025+0=143531%1
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1544+3+24=157169%8
5/24Friday, May 248:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1462+143=147335%4
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1542+14+20=157665%11
5/23Thursday, May 234 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
153912+2=152951%16
LAALAAAngels
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
14996+26=151949%7
5/21Tuesday, May 2110:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
153716+0=152150%8
LAALAAAngels
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
15018+24=151750%3
5/20Monday, May 2010:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1536+133=154655%3
LAALAAAngels
Cole, Taylor
Cole
150214+24=151245%1
5/19Sunday, May 194:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1537+6+0=154352%4
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1483+21+24=152848%7
5/18Saturday, May 1810:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1534+15+0=154955%18
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1487+6+24=151745%4
5/17Friday, May 1710:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
153115+0=151648%7
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1489+16+24=152952%1
5/16Thursday, May 1610 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1529173=150951%11
SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
149113+26=150449%6
5/15Wednesday, May 151:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
15034+0=149940%7
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1528+17+24=156960%8
5/14Tuesday, May 147:40 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Bedrosian, Cam
Bedrosian
15042+0=150242%3
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1527+5+24=155658%4
5/13Monday, May 137:40 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1503+43=150440%5
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1529+22+24=157560%4
5/12Sunday, May 122:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1440+1+0=144136%5
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
153016+24=153864%3
5/11Saturday, May 118:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Soto, Gregory
Soto
14424+0=143839%3
MINMINTwins
Stewart, Kohl
Stewart
152935+24=151861%8
5/11Saturday, May 112:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1440+23+0=146340%5
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
153019+24=153560%3
5/10Friday, May 108:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1441103=142832%0
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1529+10+23=156268%6
5/8Wednesday, May 87:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1526+0+0=152653%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1477+8+24=150947%1
5/7Tuesday, May 77:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1525+20+0=154556%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14783+24=149944%0
5/6Monday, May 67:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
1522202=150048%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1481+12+21=151452%0
5/5Sunday, May 54:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
152314+0=150941%1
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156414+24=157459%4
5/4Saturday, May 41 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1521+9+0=153042%7
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15675+24=158658%3
5/3Friday, May 37:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1522+63=152539%3
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1565+14+22=160161%6
5/2Thursday, May 21 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
157814+0=156450%2
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1520+20+24=156450%8
5/1Wednesday, May 18 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
158011+0=156958%2
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
151726+24=151542%6
4/30Tuesday, April 307:40 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1577+13+0=159058%11
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
15209+24=153542%0
4/29Monday, April 297:40 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1579+333=160959%0
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1519+4+24=154741%1
4/28Sunday, April 282:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14182+0=141632%1
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1518+5+24=154768%4
4/27Saturday, April 272:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1419+5+0=142431%2
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1517+22+24=156369%9
4/26Friday, April 268:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1421+81=142838%1
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
151528+23=151062%6
4/24Wednesday, April 248:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Stewart, Kohl
Stewart
151721+0=149631%1
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1578+31+24=163369%7
4/23Tuesday, April 238:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
15185+0=151340%4
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
157714+24=158760%10
4/22Monday, April 228:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1516+63=151940%9
HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
157912+22=158960%5
4/21Sunday, April 211:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1515+2+0=151761%4
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14212+24=144339%3
4/20Saturday, April 208 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
151228+0=148453%16
BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1424+19+24=146747%7
4/20Saturday, April 204:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1511+261=153662%6
BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1424+6+23=145338%5
4/18Thursday, April 181:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1477+23+0=150045%7
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1513+0+24=153755%4
4/17Wednesday, April 177:40 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
147910+0=146940%1
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1512+2+24=153860%4
4/16Tuesday, April 167:40 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14772+0=147541%6
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1513+1+24=153859%5
4/15Monday, April 157:40 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1476+163=148948%5
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
151533+24=150652%3
4/14Sunday, April 142:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14481+0=144734%4
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1514+25+24=156366%6
4/13Saturday, April 132:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1448+31=145038%3
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1513+1+26=154062%4
4/10Wednesday, April 107:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1515+3+0=151844%6
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1523+14+24=156156%9
4/9Tuesday, April 97:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1511+4+1=151637%14
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1526+58+26=161063%8
4/7Sunday, April 71:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1512+23+0=153549%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152610+24=154051%2
4/6Saturday, April 62:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1510+0+0=151044%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15281+24=155156%2
4/5Friday, April 57:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1512+81=151947%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152611+24=153953%10
4/3Wednesday, April 31:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1512+5+0=151761%7
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145132+24=144339%6
4/2Tuesday, April 28:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1511+22+0=153354%5
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1452+24+26=150246%4
3/31Sunday, March 312:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1552+9+0=156155%3
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
15085+24=152745%9
3/30Saturday, March 302:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1551+15+2=156854%2
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1509+4+26=153946%1
3/28Thursday, March 284:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1553+73=155751%0
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1508+18+24=155049%2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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