Updated May 21, 2019 at 1:42 AM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Twins have an 87% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1537, up 10 points from last week.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
TwinsTwins31-1687%71%
IndiansIndians25-215.559%28%
White SoxWhite Sox21-259.51%<1%
TigersTigers18-2611.5<1%<1%
RoyalsRoyals16-3115.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/21Tuesday, May 2110:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
153716+0=152150%
LAALAAAngels
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
15018+24=151750%
5/22Wednesday, May 229:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
153712+0=152551%
LAALAAAngels
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
15015+24=152049%
5/24Friday, May 248:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1456+153=146835%
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1537+13+22=157265%
5/25Saturday, May 252:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145635%
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1537+3+24=156465%
5/26Sunday, May 262:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
145610+0=144632%
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1537+16+24=157768%
5/27Monday, May 277:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1538+02=153649%
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
153716+24=154551%
5/28Tuesday, May 288:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1538+12+0=155050%
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
153712+24=154950%
5/30Thursday, May 307:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1537+131=154948%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156152%
5/31Friday, May 317:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1537+3+0=154047%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156153%
6/1Saturday, June 11:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153747%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156153%
6/2Sunday, June 21:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153747%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156153%
6/4Tuesday, June 47:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+01=153647%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+24=155953%
6/5Wednesday, June 57:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153747%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+24=155953%
6/6Thursday, June 67:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153747%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+24=155953%
6/7Friday, June 77:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+01=153661%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+24=145739%
6/8Saturday, June 84:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153761%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+24=145739%
6/9Sunday, June 91:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153761%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+24=145739%
6/11Tuesday, June 118:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+12=148339%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+23=156061%
6/12Wednesday, June 128:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148539%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156161%
6/13Thursday, June 131:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148539%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156161%
6/14Friday, June 148:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
144912=144634%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156166%
6/15Saturday, June 157:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+0=144834%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156166%
6/16Sunday, June 162:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+0=144834%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156166%
6/17Monday, June 178:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+03=155149%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156151%
6/18Tuesday, June 188:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155449%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156151%
6/19Wednesday, June 198:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155449%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156151%
6/20Thursday, June 208:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+02=153559%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+20=146841%
6/21Friday, June 218:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153759%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+24=147241%
6/22Saturday, June 222:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153759%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+24=147241%
6/23Sunday, June 232:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153759%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+24=147241%
6/25Tuesday, June 258:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+12=153546%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156154%
6/26Wednesday, June 268:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153746%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156154%
6/27Thursday, June 271:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153746%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156154%
6/28Friday, June 288:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+02=153558%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+23=147942%
6/29Saturday, June 294:12 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153758%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148042%
6/30Sunday, June 302:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153758%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148042%
7/2Tuesday, July 210:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+02=153549%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154151%
7/3Wednesday, July 39:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153749%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154151%
7/4Thursday, July 44:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153749%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154151%
7/5Friday, July 58:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+13=147338%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+20=155762%
7/6Saturday, July 62:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+0=147638%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156162%
7/7Sunday, July 72:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+0=147638%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156162%
7/12Friday, July 127:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+4=154147%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+29=156453%
7/13Saturday, July 137:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153747%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+24=155953%
7/14Sunday, July 141:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153747%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+24=155953%
7/16Tuesday, July 168:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+22=150943%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+23=156057%
7/17Wednesday, July 171:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+0=151143%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156157%
7/18Thursday, July 188:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+14=151343%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156157%
7/19Friday, July 198:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+0=151744%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156156%
7/20Saturday, July 207:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+0=151744%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156156%
7/21Sunday, July 212:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+0=151744%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156156%
7/22Monday, July 228:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
157123=156651%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156149%
7/23Tuesday, July 238:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156951%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156149%
7/24Wednesday, July 248:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156951%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156149%
7/25Thursday, July 258:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+02=153558%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148042%
7/26Friday, July 268:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153758%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148042%
7/27Saturday, July 277:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153758%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148042%
7/28Sunday, July 282:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153758%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148042%
7/30Tuesday, July 307:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+01=153662%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144838%
7/31Wednesday, July 317:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153762%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144838%
8/1Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153762%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144838%
8/2Friday, Aug. 28:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+0=144835%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+20=155765%
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+0=144834%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156166%
8/4Sunday, Aug. 42:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+0=144834%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156166%
8/5Monday, Aug. 58:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+33=151844%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156156%
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 68:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+0=152144%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156156%
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 71:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+0=152144%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156156%
8/8Thursday, Aug. 88:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
153943=153246%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156154%
8/9Friday, Aug. 98:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+0=153546%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156154%
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+0=153546%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156154%
8/11Sunday, Aug. 112:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+0=153546%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156154%
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 138:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153746%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+26=156654%
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 142:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153746%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156454%
8/15Thursday, Aug. 158:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+03=153455%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+21=149745%
8/16Friday, Aug. 168:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153755%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+24=150045%
8/17Saturday, Aug. 178:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153755%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+24=150045%
8/18Sunday, Aug. 183:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153755%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+24=150045%
8/19Monday, Aug. 198:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+04=145235%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+21=155865%
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 208:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145635%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156165%
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 211:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145635%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156165%
8/23Friday, Aug. 238:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+23=143032%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+26=156368%
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+0=143332%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156168%
8/25Sunday, Aug. 252:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+0=143332%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156168%
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 278:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153758%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+26=148242%
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 288:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153758%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148042%
8/29Thursday, Aug. 292:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153758%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148042%
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+02=153561%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+24=145739%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 316:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153761%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+24=145739%
9/1Sunday, Sept. 11:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153761%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+24=145739%
9/2Monday, Sept. 21:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153761%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+24=145739%
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+03=153444%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+22=157656%
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 47:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153744%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157856%
9/5Thursday, Sept. 57:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153744%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157856%
9/6Friday, Sept. 68:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
153943=153246%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+21=155854%
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+0=153546%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156154%
9/8Sunday, Sept. 82:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+0=153546%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156154%
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 107:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
151611=151443%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+26=156357%
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 117:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+0=151543%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156157%
9/12Thursday, Sept. 127:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+0=151543%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156157%
9/13Friday, Sept. 137:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+03=153447%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+22=155753%
9/14Saturday, Sept. 147:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153747%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+24=155953%
9/15Sunday, Sept. 151:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153747%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+24=155953%
9/16Monday, Sept. 167:40 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+03=145335%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+21=155865%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:40 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145635%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156165%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:40 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145635%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156165%
9/19Thursday, Sept. 197:40 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
144914=144434%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156166%
9/20Friday, Sept. 208:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+0=144834%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156166%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+0=144834%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156166%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 222:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+0=144834%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156166%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 246:40 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+01=153661%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+26=145939%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 256:40 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153761%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+24=145739%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 261:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153761%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+24=145739%
9/27Friday, Sept. 278:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+03=153458%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+26=147442%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 287:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153759%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+24=147241%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153759%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+24=147241%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/20Monday, May 2010:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1536+133=154655%3
LAALAAAngels
Cole, Taylor
Cole
150214+24=151245%1
5/19Sunday, May 194:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1537+6+0=154352%4
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1483+21+24=152848%7
5/18Saturday, May 1810:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1534+15+0=154955%18
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1487+6+24=151745%4
5/17Friday, May 1710:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
153115+0=151648%7
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1489+16+24=152952%1
5/16Thursday, May 1610 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1529173=150951%11
SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
149113+26=150449%6
5/15Wednesday, May 151:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
15034+0=149940%7
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1528+17+24=156960%8
5/14Tuesday, May 147:40 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Bedrosian, Cam
Bedrosian
15042+0=150242%3
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1527+5+24=155658%4
5/13Monday, May 137:40 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1503+43=150440%5
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1529+22+24=157560%4
5/12Sunday, May 122:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1440+1+0=144136%5
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
153016+24=153864%3
5/11Saturday, May 118:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Soto, Gregory
Soto
14424+0=143839%3
MINMINTwins
Stewart, Kohl
Stewart
152935+24=151861%8
5/11Saturday, May 112:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1440+23+0=146340%5
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
153019+24=153560%3
5/10Friday, May 108:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1441103=142832%0
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1529+10+23=156268%6
5/8Wednesday, May 87:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1526+0+0=152653%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1477+8+24=150947%1
5/7Tuesday, May 77:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1525+20+0=154556%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14783+24=149944%0
5/6Monday, May 67:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
1522202=150048%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1481+12+21=151452%0
5/5Sunday, May 54:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
152314+0=150941%1
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156414+24=157459%4
5/4Saturday, May 41 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1521+9+0=153042%7
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15675+24=158658%3
5/3Friday, May 37:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1522+63=152539%3
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1565+14+22=160161%6
5/2Thursday, May 21 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
157814+0=156450%2
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1520+20+24=156450%8
5/1Wednesday, May 18 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
158011+0=156958%2
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
151726+24=151542%6
4/30Tuesday, April 307:40 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1577+13+0=159058%11
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
15209+24=153542%0
4/29Monday, April 297:40 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1579+333=160959%0
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1519+4+24=154741%1
4/28Sunday, April 282:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14182+0=141632%1
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1518+5+24=154768%4
4/27Saturday, April 272:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1419+5+0=142431%2
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1517+22+24=156369%9
4/26Friday, April 268:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1421+81=142838%1
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
151528+23=151062%6
4/24Wednesday, April 248:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Stewart, Kohl
Stewart
151721+0=149631%1
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1578+31+24=163369%7
4/23Tuesday, April 238:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
15185+0=151340%4
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
157714+24=158760%10
4/22Monday, April 228:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1516+63=151940%9
HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
157912+22=158960%5
4/21Sunday, April 211:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1515+2+0=151761%4
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14212+24=144339%3
4/20Saturday, April 208 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
151228+0=148453%16
BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1424+19+24=146747%7
4/20Saturday, April 204:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1511+261=153662%6
BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1424+6+23=145338%5
4/18Thursday, April 181:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1477+23+0=150045%7
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1513+0+24=153755%4
4/17Wednesday, April 177:40 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
147910+0=146940%1
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1512+2+24=153860%4
4/16Tuesday, April 167:40 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14772+0=147541%6
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1513+1+24=153859%5
4/15Monday, April 157:40 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1476+163=148948%5
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
151533+24=150652%3
4/14Sunday, April 142:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14481+0=144734%4
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1514+25+24=156366%6
4/13Saturday, April 132:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1448+31=145038%3
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1513+1+26=154062%4
4/10Wednesday, April 107:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1515+3+0=151844%6
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1523+14+24=156156%9
4/9Tuesday, April 97:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1511+4+1=151637%14
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1526+58+26=161063%8
4/7Sunday, April 71:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1512+23+0=153549%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152610+24=154051%2
4/6Saturday, April 62:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1510+0+0=151044%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15281+24=155156%2
4/5Friday, April 57:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1512+81=151947%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152611+24=153953%10
4/3Wednesday, April 31:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1512+5+0=151761%7
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145132+24=144339%6
4/2Tuesday, April 28:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1511+22+0=153354%5
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1452+24+26=150246%4
3/31Sunday, March 312:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1552+9+0=156155%3
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
15085+24=152745%9
3/30Saturday, March 302:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1551+15+2=156854%2
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1509+4+26=153946%1
3/28Thursday, March 284:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1553+73=155751%0
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1508+18+24=155049%2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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