Updated Jun. 15, 2019 at 3:56 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Red Sox have a 57% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1550, down 4 points from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees41-2785%48%
RaysRays42-2881%37%
Red SoxRed Sox37-345.557%15%
Blue JaysBlue Jays25-4416.5<1%<1%
OriolesOrioles21-4820.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/15Saturday, June 154:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1550+47+0=159771%
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1402+15+24=144129%
6/16Sunday, June 161:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155163%
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1402+33+24=145937%
6/17Monday, June 178:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
1550113=153643%
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1547+13+24=158457%
6/18Tuesday, June 188:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1550+13+0=156351%
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
154712+24=155949%
6/19Wednesday, June 198:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15503+0=154746%
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1547+5+24=157654%
6/21Friday, June 217:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1458+72=146329%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1550+47+23=162071%
6/22Saturday, June 224:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
145827+0=143132%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155011+24=156368%
6/23Sunday, June 231:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1458+17+0=147534%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1550+13+24=158766%
6/24Monday, June 247:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1468124=145234%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15503+24=157166%
6/25Tuesday, June 257:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1468+36+0=150434%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1550+47+24=162166%
6/26Wednesday, June 261:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
14682+0=146635%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157565%
6/29Saturday, June 291:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15641+3=156651%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+5=155649%
6/30Sunday, June 3010 a.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156352%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155148%
7/2Tuesday, July 27:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155160%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148040%
7/3Wednesday, July 37:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155160%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148040%
7/4Thursday, July 47:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155160%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148040%
7/5Friday, July 57:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+12=154964%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14251+22=144636%
7/6Saturday, July 64:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155164%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14251+24=144836%
7/7Sunday, July 71:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155164%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14251+24=144836%
7/12Friday, July 127:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1583+1+3=158751%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+28=157949%
7/13Saturday, July 137:15 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1583+1+0=158451%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157549%
7/14Sunday, July 147 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1583+1+0=158451%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157549%
7/15Monday, July 157:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
145822=145433%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157567%
7/16Tuesday, July 167:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14582+0=145633%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157567%
7/17Wednesday, July 177:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14582+0=145633%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157567%
7/18Thursday, July 181:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14582+0=145633%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157567%
7/19Friday, July 197:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+12=154966%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1402+3+26=143134%
7/20Saturday, July 207:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155167%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1402+3+24=142933%
7/21Sunday, July 211:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155167%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1402+3+24=142933%
7/22Monday, July 227:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+13=154847%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1545+0+24=156953%
7/23Tuesday, July 237:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155147%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1545+0+24=156953%
7/24Wednesday, July 2412:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155147%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1545+0+24=156953%
7/25Thursday, July 257:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
156413=156048%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+21=157252%
7/26Friday, July 267:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156348%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157552%
7/27Saturday, July 274:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156348%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157552%
7/28Sunday, July 287 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156348%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157552%
7/30Tuesday, July 307:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1545+0+0=154545%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+26=157755%
7/31Wednesday, July 317:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1545+0+0=154546%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157554%
8/1Thursday, Aug. 17:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1545+0+0=154546%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157554%
8/2Friday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+12=154944%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15641+26=158956%
8/3Saturday, Aug. 31:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155145%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158755%
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155145%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158755%
8/4Sunday, Aug. 47 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155145%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158755%
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+23=143831%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+22=157369%
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144132%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157568%
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 77:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1439+2+0=144132%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157568%
8/8Thursday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1504+31=150640%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157560%
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1504+3+0=150740%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157560%
8/10Saturday, Aug. 104:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1504+3+0=150740%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157560%
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1504+3+0=150740%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157560%
8/12Monday, Aug. 127:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+13=154849%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1533+2+21=155651%
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155149%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1533+2+24=155951%
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 141:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155149%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1533+2+24=155951%
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1402+3+0=140527%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+23=157473%
8/17Saturday, Aug. 177:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1402+3+0=140527%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157573%
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1402+3+0=140527%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157573%
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+0=152242%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+26=157758%
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+0=152242%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157558%
8/23Friday, Aug. 2310:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+12=154957%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
14801+22=150143%
8/24Saturday, Aug. 248:40 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155157%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
14801+24=150343%
8/25Sunday, Aug. 254:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155157%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
14801+24=150343%
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 278:40 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+11=155052%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1516+0+24=154048%
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 288:40 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155152%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1516+0+24=154048%
8/30Friday, Aug. 3010:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+11=155052%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1504+3+26=153348%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 319:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155153%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1504+3+24=153147%
9/1Sunday, Sept. 14:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155153%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1504+3+24=153147%
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1547+03=154446%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+22=157354%
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 47:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1547+0+0=154746%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157554%
9/5Thursday, Sept. 57:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1547+0+0=154746%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157554%
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156348%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157552%
9/7Saturday, Sept. 74:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156348%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157552%
9/8Sunday, Sept. 88 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156348%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157552%
9/9Monday, Sept. 97:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156348%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157552%
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 107:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+12=154960%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14582+23=147940%
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 117:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155160%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148040%
9/12Thursday, Sept. 127:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155160%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148040%
9/14Saturday, Sept. 147:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155150%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+26=154850%
9/15Sunday, Sept. 151:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155151%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+24=154649%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1454+02=145233%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157567%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1454+0+0=145433%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157567%
9/19Thursday, Sept. 191:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1454+0+0=145433%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157567%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+13=154847%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1545+0+22=156753%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 216:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155147%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1545+0+24=156953%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155147%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1545+0+24=156953%
9/23Monday, Sept. 237:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155147%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1545+0+24=156953%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 248:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+13=154855%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1489+2+22=151345%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 258:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155155%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1489+2+24=151545%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 262:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+0=155155%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1489+2+24=151545%
9/27Friday, Sept. 277:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1402+3+0=140528%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+20=157172%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 281:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1402+3+0=140527%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157573%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1402+3+0=140527%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1550+1+24=157573%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/14Friday, June 147:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
154852=154166%13
BALBALOrioles
Ortiz, Luis
Ortiz
14053+24=142634%2
6/13Thursday, June 137:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
1487+0+0=148735%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1547+19+24=159065%7
6/12Wednesday, June 124:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1488+14+0=150242%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154616+24=155458%4
6/11Tuesday, June 117:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
14858+0=147741%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hernandez, Darwinzon
Hernandez
154932+24=154159%5
6/10Monday, June 107:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1484+364=151636%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1550+43+24=161764%3
6/9Sunday, June 91:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1547+24+0=157150%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15524+24=157250%1
6/8Saturday, June 86:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154821+0=152741%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1551+18+24=159359%5
6/8Saturday, June 81:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
154625+0=152148%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Smith, Josh
Smith
155440+24=153852%2
6/7Friday, June 77:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
1543103=153046%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155615+21=156254%1
6/6Thursday, June 61:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Weber, Ryan
Weber
155544+0=151155%7
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1441+13+24=147845%5
6/5Wednesday, June 58:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1553+36+0=158966%8
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1443+7+24=147434%0
6/4Tuesday, June 48 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
155141=154661%8
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
1444+2+24=147039%3
6/2Sunday, June 27 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1550+18+0=156846%8
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
157811+24=159154%5
6/1Saturday, June 17:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155111+0=154043%3
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
157714+24=158757%5
5/31Friday, May 317:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1552+37+0=158949%1
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15756+26=159551%4
5/29Wednesday, May 296:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1531+2+0=153348%14
BOSBOSRed Sox
Weber, Ryan
Weber
155535+24=154452%9
5/28Tuesday, May 287:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
152935+0=149436%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1556+12+24=159264%5
5/27Monday, May 274 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
1531433=148539%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155410+20=156461%12
5/26Sunday, May 262:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15529+0=154335%4
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1585+40+24=164965%1
5/25Saturday, May 257:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1553+14+0=156745%3
HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
15858+24=160155%4
5/24Friday, May 248:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1554+383=158950%3
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
158315+24=159250%4
5/23Thursday, May 2312:37 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Weber, Ryan
Weber
155242+0=151056%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Richard, Clayton
Richard
147327+24=147044%2
5/22Wednesday, May 227:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155112+0=153956%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14741+24=149744%5
5/21Tuesday, May 217:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15542+0=155257%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1471+10+24=150543%10
5/20Monday, May 201:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1552+142=156462%12
TORTORBlue Jays
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
147314+22=148138%2
5/19Sunday, May 191:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
158915+0=157444%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1551+40+24=161556%4
5/18Saturday, May 187:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Martin, Corbin
Martin
158832+0=155651%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
155330+24=154749%3
5/17Friday, May 177:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1587+191=160556%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155416+26=156444%1
5/15Wednesday, May 157:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1513+32+0=154546%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15532+24=157554%6
5/14Tuesday, May 147:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1511+102=151936%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1554+36+26=161664%4
5/12Sunday, May 121:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1492+16+0=150845%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
155231+24=154555%11
5/11Saturday, May 111:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
149319+0=147438%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155017+24=155762%9
5/10Friday, May 107:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
149692=148538%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15485+24=156762%14
5/8Wednesday, May 87:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1547+32+0=157970%2
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14175+24=143630%1
5/7Tuesday, May 77:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
154627+0=151961%8
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
14193+24=144039%5
5/6Monday, May 67:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Smith, Josh
Smith
1548333=151259%1
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1417+7+26=145041%4
5/5Sunday, May 52:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154617+0=152959%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
145310+24=146741%2
5/4Saturday, May 47:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15436+0=153757%15
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Banuelos, Manny
Banuelos
1456+6+24=148643%2
5/3Friday, May 38:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1541+28+0=156960%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1458+13+24=149540%1
5/2Thursday, May 28:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1543+203=156062%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14564+24=147638%6
5/1Wednesday, May 11:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1510+4+0=151447%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
154130+24=153553%7
4/30Tuesday, April 307:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
15111+0=151046%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
153923+24=154054%5
4/29Monday, April 297 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1513+72=151844%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15373+24=155856%9
4/28Sunday, April 281:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
153516+0=151940%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1539+30+24=159360%2
4/27Saturday, April 274:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1534+11+2=154744%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1541+21+26=158856%1
4/25Thursday, April 257:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14489+0=143936%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
153923+24=154064%7
4/24Wednesday, April 247:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Ross, Tyson
Ross
14491+0=144835%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15385+24=155765%11
4/23Tuesday, April 237:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1448+7+0=145539%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
153927+24=153661%2
4/23Tuesday, April 231:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1445+161=146031%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1542+31+23=159669%4
4/21Sunday, April 212:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1541+21+0=156253%4
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
153717+24=154447%3
4/20Saturday, April 206:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154024+0=151642%6
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1539+10+24=157358%5
4/19Friday, April 197:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
153841=153348%6
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154018+24=154652%4
4/17Wednesday, April 176:30 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15399+0=153043%3
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
156310+24=157757%5
4/16Tuesday, April 166:35 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1542+352=157548%0
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1560+3+26=158952%8
4/15Monday, April 1511:05 a.m.BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1421+1+0=142233%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
154627+24=154367%1
4/14Sunday, April 141:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
14221+0=142128%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1545+17+24=158672%4
4/13Saturday, April 131:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
141912+0=140730%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154820+24=155270%5
4/12Friday, April 127:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1420+72=142531%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15476+24=156569%6
4/11Thursday, April 117:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14792+2=147937%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15474+26=156963%7
4/9Tuesday, April 92 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1477+171=149334%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1548+40+22=161066%5
4/7Sunday, April 74:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
154733+0=151450%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
150012+24=151250%0
4/6Saturday, April 68:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1549+17+0=156658%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
149914+24=150942%5
4/5Friday, April 57:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
1552153=153453%8
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
14968+24=151247%15
4/4Thursday, April 43:37 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15544+0=155051%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15224+24=154249%7
4/3Wednesday, April 310:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15526+0=154651%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
152410+24=153849%3
4/2Tuesday, April 210:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1553+38+0=159155%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1522+11+24=155745%1
4/1Monday, April 110:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1556+163=156954%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
15193+24=154046%7
3/31Sunday, March 314:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15589+0=154953%8
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1497+5+24=152647%10
3/30Saturday, March 309:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15591+0=155855%5
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1496+2+24=152245%6
3/29Friday, March 2910:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15583+0=155555%7
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1497+0+24=152145%6
3/28Thursday, March 287 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1562+424=160060%4
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1493+8+28=152940%12

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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