Updated Aug. 18, 2019 at 10:34 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Red Sox have a 5% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1544, up 6 points from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees83-43>99%99%
RaysRays73-529.565%1%
Red SoxRed Sox67-5916.05%<1%
Blue JaysBlue Jays52-7531.5<1%<1%
OriolesOrioles39-8543.0<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1507+40+0=154749%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
154416+26=155451%
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
150710+0=149742%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154412+24=155658%
8/23Friday, Aug. 2310:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1544+152=155756%
SDSDPadres
Lamet, Dinelson
Lamet
1481+13+22=151644%
8/24Saturday, Aug. 248:40 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15444+0=154054%
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1481+10+24=151546%
8/25Sunday, Aug. 254:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+0=155157%
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14815+24=150043%
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 278:40 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
1544121=153148%
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1495+28+24=154752%
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 288:40 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1544+15+0=155958%
COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
149515+24=150442%
8/30Friday, Aug. 3010:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+71=155055%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
14921+26=151745%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 319:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+0=155155%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151545%
9/1Sunday, Sept. 14:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+0=155155%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151545%
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1543+03=154045%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+22=157355%
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 47:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1543+0+0=154345%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+24=157555%
9/5Thursday, Sept. 57:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1543+0+0=154345%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+24=157555%
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1582+1+0=158351%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+24=157549%
9/7Saturday, Sept. 74:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1582+1+0=158351%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+24=157549%
9/8Sunday, Sept. 88 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1582+1+0=158351%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+24=157549%
9/9Monday, Sept. 97:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1582+1+0=158351%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+24=157549%
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 107:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+72=154957%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1476+2+23=150143%
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 117:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+0=155157%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1476+2+24=150243%
9/12Thursday, Sept. 127:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+0=155157%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1476+2+24=150243%
9/14Saturday, Sept. 147:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+0=155152%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1507+2+26=153548%
9/15Sunday, Sept. 151:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+0=155152%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1507+2+24=153348%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1484+62=148838%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+24=157562%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1484+6+0=149038%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+24=157562%
9/19Thursday, Sept. 191:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1484+6+0=149038%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+24=157562%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+73=154848%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15421+22=156352%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 216:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+0=155148%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156552%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+0=155148%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156552%
9/23Monday, Sept. 237:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+0=155148%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156552%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 248:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+73=154857%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1472+5+22=149943%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 258:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+0=155157%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1472+5+24=150143%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 262:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+0=155157%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1472+5+24=150143%
9/27Friday, Sept. 277:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1404+3+0=140728%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+20=157172%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 281:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1404+3+0=140728%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+24=157572%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1404+3+0=140728%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1544+7+24=157572%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Blach, Ty
Blach
140512+0=139327%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1543+1+24=156873%13
8/17Saturday, Aug. 177:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
1406+7+0=141328%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1542+10+24=157672%4
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
140716+0=139129%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154115+23=154971%9
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 141:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
153816+0=152239%5
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1555+21+24=160061%1
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1537+41+0=157847%7
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1556+19+24=159953%6
8/12Monday, Aug. 127 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1538+163=155149%5
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
155520+21=155651%6
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
14941+0=149342%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
154017+24=154758%4
8/10Saturday, Aug. 104:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1490+13+0=150343%12
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154316+24=155157%4
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1493+7+0=150043%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
154017+24=154757%16
8/8Thursday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Peters, Dillon
Peters
1494141=147934%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1539+31+26=159666%3
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1436+10+0=144635%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
154212+24=155465%2
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1437+23=143635%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154118+22=154565%7
8/4Sunday, Aug. 48:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1542+13+0=155543%4
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15833+24=160457%7
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
154316+0=152740%4
NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
15826+24=160060%6
8/3Saturday, Aug. 31:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1545+36+0=158147%2
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1579+2+24=160553%9
8/2Friday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1547+122=155743%2
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1578+1+26=160557%4
8/1Thursday, Aug. 17:10 p.m.TBTBRays
McKay, Brendan
McKay
153722+0=151543%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
154911+24=156257%4
7/31Wednesday, July 317:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Kittredge, Andrew
Kittredge
153527+0=150843%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155119+24=155657%5
7/30Tuesday, July 307:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1533+28+0=156146%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1552+13+26=159154%5
7/28Sunday, July 287 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1577+0+0=157745%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1554+37+24=161555%6
7/27Saturday, July 274:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15793+0=157649%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1552+10+24=158651%9
7/26Friday, July 267:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1582+6+0=158854%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
155016+24=155846%10
7/25Thursday, July 257:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1587+143=159858%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154423+21=154242%19
7/24Wednesday, July 2412:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1545+12+0=155747%2
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1532+23+24=157953%3
7/23Tuesday, July 237:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1544+38+0=158254%5
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
1533+1+24=155846%4
7/22Monday, July 227 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1542+83=154754%9
TBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks
153540+24=151946%4
7/21Sunday, July 211:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
154513+0=153266%0
BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
140615+24=141534%5
7/20Saturday, July 207:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154317+0=152663%17
BALBALOrioles
Eshelman, Tom
Eshelman
1408+3+24=143537%6
7/19Friday, July 197:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1547+182=156364%2
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1404+31+26=146136%11
7/18Thursday, July 181:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pannone, Thomas
Pannone
14639+0=145430%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1546+33+24=160370%5
7/17Wednesday, July 177:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
146313+0=145033%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1546+6+24=157667%5
7/16Tuesday, July 167:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
1460+3+0=146336%10
BOSBOSRed Sox
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
154910+24=156364%4
7/15Monday, July 157:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1461+82=146738%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154817+24=155562%10
7/14Sunday, July 147 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1581+12+0=159350%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1550+19+24=159350%4
7/13Saturday, July 137:15 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
157721+0=155642%11
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1553+34+24=161158%2
7/12Friday, July 127:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
15808+3=157549%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1551+0+28=157951%8
7/7Sunday, July 71:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1550+20+0=157069%6
DETDETTigers
Soto, Gregory
Soto
141512+24=142731%3
7/6Saturday, July 64:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154913+0=153664%10
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14165+24=143536%6
7/5Friday, July 57:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
154822=154470%9
DETDETTigers
Carpenter, Ryan
Carpenter
141741+22=139830%6
7/4Thursday, July 47:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
154732+0=151554%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Law, Derek
Law
1466+1+24=149146%7
7/3Wednesday, July 37:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1549+40+0=158964%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
1464+2+24=149036%6
7/2Tuesday, July 27:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1548+16+0=156459%10
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1465+12+24=150141%6
6/30Sunday, June 3010 a.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tarpley, Stephen
Tarpley
157921+0=155852%12
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15506+0=154448%8
6/29Saturday, June 291:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1577+22+3=160258%17
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15518+5=154842%13
6/26Wednesday, June 261:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
14631+0=146229%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1553+42+24=161971%7
6/25Tuesday, June 257:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Fulmer, Carson
Fulmer
146325+0=143829%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1552+15+24=159171%6
6/24Monday, June 247:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1464+324=149239%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15515+24=157061%6
6/23Sunday, June 231:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1460+19+0=147937%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15546+24=157263%1
6/22Saturday, June 224:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Law, Derek
Law
1458+2+0=146038%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
155631+24=154962%7
6/21Friday, June 217:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1459+132=147029%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1555+45+23=162371%7
6/19Wednesday, June 198:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15535+0=154846%9
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1545+4+24=157354%4
6/18Tuesday, June 188:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1554+12+0=156651%3
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
154413+24=155549%4
6/17Monday, June 178:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
1552113=153844%2
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1546+13+24=158356%0
6/16Sunday, June 161:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
155130+0=152159%8
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1401+33+24=145841%6
6/15Saturday, June 154:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1550+47+0=159771%7
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1402+15+24=144129%2
6/14Friday, June 147:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
154852=154166%13
BALBALOrioles
Ortiz, Luis
Ortiz
14053+24=142634%2
6/13Thursday, June 137:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
1487+0+0=148735%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1547+19+24=159065%7
6/12Wednesday, June 124:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1488+14+0=150242%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154616+24=155458%4
6/11Tuesday, June 117:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
14858+0=147741%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hernandez, Darwinzon
Hernandez
154932+24=154159%5
6/10Monday, June 107:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1484+364=151636%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1550+43+24=161764%3
6/9Sunday, June 91:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1547+24+0=157150%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15524+24=157250%1
6/8Saturday, June 86:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154821+0=152741%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1551+18+24=159359%5
6/8Saturday, June 81:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
154625+0=152148%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Smith, Josh
Smith
155440+24=153852%2
6/7Friday, June 77:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
1543103=153046%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155615+21=156254%1
6/6Thursday, June 61:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Weber, Ryan
Weber
155544+0=151155%7
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1441+13+24=147845%5
6/5Wednesday, June 58:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1553+36+0=158966%8
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1443+7+24=147434%0
6/4Tuesday, June 48 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
155141=154661%8
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
1444+2+24=147039%3
6/2Sunday, June 27 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1550+18+0=156846%8
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
157811+24=159154%5
6/1Saturday, June 17:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155111+0=154043%3
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
157714+24=158757%5
5/31Friday, May 317:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1552+37+0=158949%1
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15756+26=159551%4
5/29Wednesday, May 296:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1531+2+0=153348%14
BOSBOSRed Sox
Weber, Ryan
Weber
155535+24=154452%9
5/28Tuesday, May 287:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
152935+0=149436%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1556+12+24=159264%5
5/27Monday, May 274 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
1531433=148539%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155410+20=156461%12
5/26Sunday, May 262:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15529+0=154335%4
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1585+40+24=164965%1
5/25Saturday, May 257:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1553+14+0=156745%3
HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
15858+24=160155%4
5/24Friday, May 248:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1554+383=158950%3
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
158315+24=159250%4
5/23Thursday, May 2312:37 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Weber, Ryan
Weber
155242+0=151056%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Richard, Clayton
Richard
147327+24=147044%2
5/22Wednesday, May 227:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155112+0=153956%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14741+24=149744%5
5/21Tuesday, May 217:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15542+0=155257%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1471+10+24=150543%10
5/20Monday, May 201:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1552+142=156462%12
TORTORBlue Jays
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
147314+22=148138%2
5/19Sunday, May 191:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
158915+0=157444%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1551+40+24=161556%4
5/18Saturday, May 187:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Martin, Corbin
Martin
158832+0=155651%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
155330+24=154749%3
5/17Friday, May 177:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1587+191=160556%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155416+26=156444%1
5/15Wednesday, May 157:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1513+32+0=154546%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15532+24=157554%6
5/14Tuesday, May 147:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1511+102=151936%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1554+36+26=161664%4
5/12Sunday, May 121:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1492+16+0=150845%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
155231+24=154555%11
5/11Saturday, May 111:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
149319+0=147438%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155017+24=155762%9
5/10Friday, May 107:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
149692=148538%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15485+24=156762%14
5/8Wednesday, May 87:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1547+32+0=157970%2
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14175+24=143630%1
5/7Tuesday, May 77:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
154627+0=151961%8
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
14193+24=144039%5
5/6Monday, May 67:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Smith, Josh
Smith
1548333=151259%1
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1417+7+26=145041%4
5/5Sunday, May 52:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154617+0=152959%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
145310+24=146741%2
5/4Saturday, May 47:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15436+0=153757%15
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Banuelos, Manny
Banuelos
1456+6+24=148643%2
5/3Friday, May 38:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1541+28+0=156960%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1458+13+24=149540%1
5/2Thursday, May 28:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1543+203=156062%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14564+24=147638%6
5/1Wednesday, May 11:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1510+4+0=151447%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
154130+24=153553%7
4/30Tuesday, April 307:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
15111+0=151046%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
153923+24=154054%5
4/29Monday, April 297 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1513+72=151844%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15373+24=155856%9
4/28Sunday, April 281:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
153516+0=151940%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1539+30+24=159360%2
4/27Saturday, April 274:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1534+11+2=154744%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1541+21+26=158856%1
4/25Thursday, April 257:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14489+0=143936%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
153923+24=154064%7
4/24Wednesday, April 247:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Ross, Tyson
Ross
14491+0=144835%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15385+24=155765%11
4/23Tuesday, April 237:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1448+7+0=145539%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
153927+24=153661%2
4/23Tuesday, April 231:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1445+161=146031%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1542+31+23=159669%4
4/21Sunday, April 212:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1541+21+0=156253%4
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
153717+24=154447%3
4/20Saturday, April 206:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154024+0=151642%6
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1539+10+24=157358%5
4/19Friday, April 197:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
153841=153348%6
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154018+24=154652%4
4/17Wednesday, April 176:30 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15399+0=153043%3
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
156310+24=157757%5
4/16Tuesday, April 166:35 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1542+352=157548%0
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1560+3+26=158952%8
4/15Monday, April 1511:05 a.m.BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1421+1+0=142233%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
154627+24=154367%1
4/14Sunday, April 141:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
14221+0=142128%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1545+17+24=158672%4
4/13Saturday, April 131:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
141912+0=140730%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154820+24=155270%5
4/12Friday, April 127:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1420+72=142531%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15476+24=156569%6
4/11Thursday, April 117:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14792+2=147937%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15474+26=156963%7
4/9Tuesday, April 92 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1477+171=149334%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1548+40+22=161066%5
4/7Sunday, April 74:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
154733+0=151450%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
150012+24=151250%0
4/6Saturday, April 68:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1549+17+0=156658%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
149914+24=150942%5
4/5Friday, April 57:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
1552153=153453%8
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
14968+24=151247%15
4/4Thursday, April 43:37 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15544+0=155051%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15224+24=154249%7
4/3Wednesday, April 310:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15526+0=154651%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
152410+24=153849%3
4/2Tuesday, April 210:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1553+38+0=159155%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1522+11+24=155745%1
4/1Monday, April 110:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1556+163=156954%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
15193+24=154046%7
3/31Sunday, March 314:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15589+0=154953%8
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1497+5+24=152647%10
3/30Saturday, March 309:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15591+0=155855%5
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1496+2+24=152245%6
3/29Friday, March 2910:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15583+0=155555%7
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1497+0+24=152145%6
3/28Thursday, March 287 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1562+424=160060%4
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1493+8+28=152940%12

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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