Updated May 21, 2019 at 1:42 AM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Padres have an 8% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1483, down 6 points from last week.

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
DodgersDodgers31-1796%89%
DbacksDiamondbacks25-236.030%6%
RockiesRockies20-259.513%3%
PadresPadres24-247.08%1%
GiantsGiants20-2610.01%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/21Tuesday, May 2110:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1510+35+0=154553%
SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1483+16+24=152347%
5/22Wednesday, May 223:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
151017+0=149350%
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
148312+24=149550%
5/24Friday, May 247:07 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1483+12=148248%
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1471+5+24=150052%
5/25Saturday, May 253:07 p.m.SDSDPadres
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
148313+0=147049%
TORTORBlue Jays
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
147115+24=148051%
5/26Sunday, May 261:07 p.m.SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1483+30+0=151351%
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1471+10+24=150549%
5/27Monday, May 271:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1483+162=149738%
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15719+21=158362%
5/28Tuesday, May 286:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
148312+0=147131%
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1571+15+24=161069%
5/29Wednesday, May 291:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1483+1+0=148435%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159365%
5/31Friday, May 3110:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1424+214=144143%
SDSDPadres
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
148313+22=149257%
6/1Saturday, June 110:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142438%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150862%
6/2Sunday, June 26:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142438%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150862%
6/3Monday, June 310:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+01=152652%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150848%
6/4Tuesday, June 410:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152753%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150847%
6/5Wednesday, June 53:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152753%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150847%
6/6Thursday, June 610:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
151614=151150%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150850%
6/7Friday, June 710:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+0=151551%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150849%
6/8Saturday, June 810:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+0=151551%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150849%
6/9Sunday, June 94:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+0=151551%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150849%
6/11Tuesday, June 119:45 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148449%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+26=148951%
6/12Wednesday, June 129:45 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148450%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+24=148750%
6/13Thursday, June 138:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+13=148143%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153457%
6/14Friday, June 148:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148443%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153457%
6/15Saturday, June 158:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148443%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153457%
6/16Sunday, June 163:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148443%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153457%
6/17Monday, June 1710:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+22=153855%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+21=150545%
6/18Tuesday, June 1810:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154055%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150845%
6/19Wednesday, June 193:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154055%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150845%
6/21Friday, June 217:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+12=148244%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+26=152256%
6/22Saturday, June 224:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148445%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152055%
6/23Sunday, June 231:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148445%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152055%
6/25Tuesday, June 257:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148457%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+22=143543%
6/26Wednesday, June 263:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148457%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143743%
6/28Friday, June 2810:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
152612=152353%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+22=150647%
6/29Saturday, June 2910:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+0=152552%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150848%
6/30Sunday, June 304:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+0=152552%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150848%
7/1Monday, July 110:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+22=146143%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150857%
7/2Tuesday, July 210:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+0=146343%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150857%
7/3Wednesday, July 39:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+0=146343%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150857%
7/4Thursday, July 49:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+11=148334%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159866%
7/5Friday, July 510:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148434%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159866%
7/6Saturday, July 610:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148434%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159866%
7/7Sunday, July 74:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148434%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159866%
7/12Friday, July 1210:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+3=152451%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+30=151449%
7/13Saturday, July 138:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+0=152152%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150848%
7/14Sunday, July 144:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+0=152152%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150848%
7/16Tuesday, July 167:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+12=148255%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+26=145045%
7/17Wednesday, July 177:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148455%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144845%
7/18Thursday, July 1812:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148455%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144845%
7/19Friday, July 192:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+13=148138%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+26=156462%
7/20Saturday, July 202:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148439%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156261%
7/21Sunday, July 212:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148439%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156261%
7/23Tuesday, July 237:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+11=148343%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+22=153357%
7/24Wednesday, July 247:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148443%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+24=153557%
7/25Thursday, July 2512:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148443%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+24=153557%
7/26Friday, July 2610:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+0=146344%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+20=150456%
7/27Saturday, July 278:40 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+0=146343%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150857%
7/28Sunday, July 284:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+0=146343%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150857%
7/29Monday, July 2910:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+11=141236%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150864%
7/30Tuesday, July 303:40 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141337%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150863%
8/1Thursday, Aug. 110:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+1=148535%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+21=159565%
8/2Friday, Aug. 210:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148434%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159866%
8/3Saturday, Aug. 39:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148434%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159866%
8/4Sunday, Aug. 44:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148434%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159866%
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 610:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+11=148347%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+22=150753%
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 76:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148446%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150954%
8/8Thursday, Aug. 810:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+13=150750%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+21=150550%
8/9Friday, Aug. 910:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+0=151050%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150850%
8/10Saturday, Aug. 108:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+0=151050%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150850%
8/11Sunday, Aug. 113:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+0=151050%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150850%
8/12Monday, Aug. 1210:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+13=153453%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150847%
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 1310:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153754%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150846%
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 143:40 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153754%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150846%
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+12=148240%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155160%
8/17Saturday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148441%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155159%
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148441%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155159%
8/19Monday, Aug. 197:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+12=148244%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152656%
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148444%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152656%
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 2112:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148444%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152656%
8/23Friday, Aug. 2310:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+02=155257%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+22=150643%
8/24Saturday, Aug. 248:40 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155457%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150843%
8/25Sunday, Aug. 254:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155457%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150843%
8/26Monday, Aug. 2610:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+11=157359%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150841%
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 2710:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157459%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150841%
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 289:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157459%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150841%
8/29Thursday, Aug. 299:45 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+12=148249%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+26=148951%
8/30Friday, Aug. 3010:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148450%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+24=148750%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 319:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148450%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+24=148750%
9/1Sunday, Sept. 14:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148450%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+24=148750%
9/2Monday, Sept. 24:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+13=148143%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153457%
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 39:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148443%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153457%
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 49:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148443%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153457%
9/6Friday, Sept. 610:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+1=151150%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150850%
9/7Saturday, Sept. 78:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+0=151050%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150850%
9/8Sunday, Sept. 84:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+0=151050%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150850%
9/9Monday, Sept. 910:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+04=153454%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150846%
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 1010:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153854%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150846%
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 1110:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153854%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150846%
9/12Thursday, Sept. 123:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153854%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150846%
9/13Friday, Sept. 138:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+13=148143%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153457%
9/14Saturday, Sept. 148:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148443%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153457%
9/15Sunday, Sept. 153:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148443%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153457%
9/16Monday, Sept. 167:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+13=148139%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+22=156261%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148439%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156461%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148439%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156461%
9/19Thursday, Sept. 194:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148439%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156461%
9/20Friday, Sept. 2010:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151051%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+20=150449%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 218:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151050%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150850%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 224:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151050%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150850%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 2410:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+1=157559%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+26=151041%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 2510:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157459%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150841%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 263:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157459%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150841%
9/27Friday, Sept. 279:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+12=148242%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+26=153658%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 288:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148443%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153457%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148443%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153457%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/20Monday, May 2010:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1511+02=150947%1
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1482+26+24=153253%2
5/19Sunday, May 194:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1496+0+0=149649%6
SDSDPadres
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
14845+24=150351%4
5/18Saturday, May 188:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
DuRapau, Montana
DuRapau
149317+0=147646%7
SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
14869+24=150154%2
5/17Friday, May 1710:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
149213+0=147946%5
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
14883+24=150954%3
5/16Thursday, May 1610:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1493+202=151152%3
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
148714+23=149648%4
5/15Wednesday, May 1510:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1488+15+0=150339%0
LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
157015+24=157961%2
5/14Tuesday, May 1410 p.m.SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1489+321=152038%3
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1569+7+26=160262%6
5/12Sunday, May 123:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
14906+0=148445%7
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
151015+24=151955%10
5/11Saturday, May 118:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
14899+0=148042%4
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15111+24=153458%3
5/10Friday, May 108:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
149191=148138%2
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1509+32+24=156562%12
5/8Wednesday, May 83:40 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Font, Wilmer
Font
15136+0=150747%2
SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1490+13+24=152753%3
5/7Tuesday, May 710:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1512+9+0=152152%7
SDSDPadres
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
14916+24=150948%6
5/6Monday, May 610 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1514+444=155453%0
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1489+23+24=153647%4
5/5Sunday, May 54:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
156816+0=155256%5
SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
14872+24=150944%8
5/4Saturday, May 48:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1567+7+0=157460%7
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
148810+24=150240%6
5/3Friday, May 310:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1566+15+0=158162%4
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14899+20=150038%3
5/2Thursday, May 212:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1485+12+0=149742%11
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1515+18+24=155758%2
5/1Wednesday, May 17:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
14867+0=147940%1
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1513+14+24=155160%5
4/30Tuesday, April 307:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1485+20+0=150545%4
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1514+5+24=154355%3
4/29Monday, April 297:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
148613=148242%1
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1513+0+24=153758%3
4/28Sunday, April 281:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
14874+0=148344%6
WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
152827+24=152556%7
4/27Saturday, April 274:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
148411+0=147337%8
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1531+9+24=156463%3
4/26Friday, April 267:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1483+82=148937%4
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1532+29+22=158363%3
4/24Wednesday, April 243:40 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
150418+0=148646%0
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1482+9+24=151554%1
4/23Tuesday, April 2310:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
1506+3+1=151050%3
SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
1480+1+26=150750%6
4/21Sunday, April 214:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149422+0=147246%3
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
14793+24=150054%4
4/20Saturday, April 208:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1493+29+0=152254%4
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14808+24=149646%2
4/19Friday, April 1910:10 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
149210+0=148246%3
SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1482+1+24=150754%2
4/18Thursday, April 1810:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
149051=148445%4
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1483+12+26=152155%1
4/16Tuesday, April 169:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15016+0=149547%8
SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
1486+9+24=151953%2
4/15Monday, April 1510:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1500132=148546%5
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
14881+22=150954%2
4/14Sunday, April 144:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14908+0=148242%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1495+17+24=153658%8
4/13Saturday, April 138:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
14897+0=148245%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
14962+24=151855%4
4/12Friday, April 129:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1487+5+0=149248%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
149715+24=150652%1
4/11Thursday, April 119:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Avila, Pedro
Avila
148623=148145%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
14988+24=151455%6
4/10Wednesday, April 103:45 p.m.SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
1485+8+0=149349%3
SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1463+12+24=149951%1
4/9Tuesday, April 99:45 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1487+6+0=149352%2
SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
14614+24=148148%7
4/8Monday, April 89:45 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
148664=147646%6
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1462+20+24=150654%5
4/7Sunday, April 72:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
14879+0=147843%1
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
152317+24=153057%4
4/6Saturday, April 62:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1486+3+0=148942%6
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15251+24=154858%4
4/5Friday, April 54:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
1484+32=148540%5
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1527+9+23=155960%3
4/3Wednesday, April 33:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1498+17+0=151551%1
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1482+5+24=151149%4
4/2Tuesday, April 210:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1496+20+0=151651%8
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14841+24=150749%5
4/1Monday, April 110:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1493111=148145%10
SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1487+3+24=151455%3
3/31Sunday, March 314:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
14658+0=145743%1
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
14863+24=150757%3
3/30Saturday, March 308:40 p.m.SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1463+14+0=147746%3
SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
14872+24=150954%2
3/29Friday, March 2910:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
14655+0=146043%1
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1486+1+24=151157%4
3/28Thursday, March 284:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1466+202=148447%0
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14843+24=150553%2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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