Updated Sep. 15, 2019 at 10:22 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Tigers have a 0% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1391, down 3 points from last week.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
TwinsTwins91-58>99%98%
IndiansIndians87-634.541%2%
White SoxWhite Sox65-8426.0
RoyalsRoyals55-9536.5
TigersTigers44-10446.5

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/16Monday, Sept. 164:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1413+35+0=144854%
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
1391+2+24=141746%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1391+191=140931%
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
155333+26=154669%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1391+6+0=139727%
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
155312+24=156573%
9/19Thursday, Sept. 197:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
13912+0=138922%
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1553+28+24=160578%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1453101=144252%
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1391+13+23=142748%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 216:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14533+0=145059%
DETDETTigers
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
139129+24=138641%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1453+6+0=145954%
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1391+19+24=143446%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 246:40 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1543+131=155568%
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1391+6+26=142332%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 256:40 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
154311+0=153267%
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
13912+24=141333%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 261:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
15434+0=153966%
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1391+13+24=142834%
9/27Friday, Sept. 274:40 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1391+82=139738%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1453+5+24=148262%
9/27Friday, Sept. 278:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1391+8+0=139938%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1453+5+24=148262%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 287:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1391+8+0=139938%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1453+5+24=148262%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1391+8+0=139938%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1453+5+24=148262%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/15Sunday, Sept. 151:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
1410+1+0=141153%8
DETDETTigers
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
139329+24=138847%2
9/14Saturday, Sept. 146:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Ynoa, Gabriel
Ynoa
14129+0=140347%4
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1391+10+24=142553%8
9/13Friday, Sept. 137:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
1410132=139547%6
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
1393+0+24=141753%2
9/12Thursday, Sept. 125:20 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
158612+0=157470%6
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1394+5+24=142330%4
9/12Thursday, Sept. 121:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1584+0+2=158670%10
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1395+21+26=144230%4
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 106:40 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Cortes Jr., Nestor
Cortes Jr.
1586183=156573%11
DETDETTigers
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
139425+22=139127%12
9/8Sunday, Sept. 84:07 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1394+7+0=140126%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1551+5+24=158074%3
9/7Saturday, Sept. 79:07 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
1395+2+0=139726%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1550+2+24=157674%10
9/6Friday, Sept. 610:07 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1394+74=139728%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
155212+24=156472%4
9/5Thursday, Sept. 51:15 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1393+19+0=141247%6
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
143018+24=143653%4
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 48:15 p.m.DETDETTigers
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
139425+0=136936%4
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1429+13+24=146664%5
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 38:15 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1394+83=139941%5
KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1429+10+26=146559%6
9/2Monday, Sept. 21:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1545+12+0=155769%4
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
1395+0+24=141931%3
9/1Sunday, Sept. 11:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1543+10+0=155367%8
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1396+9+24=142933%3
8/31Saturday, Aug. 316:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154519+0=152663%7
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1394+19+24=143737%10
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:15 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
154432=153969%13
DETDETTigers
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
139621+24=139931%5
8/29Thursday, Aug. 291:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1556+18+0=157470%2
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1396+5+24=142530%0
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
155511+0=154468%4
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
13975+24=141632%2
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
155334+1=152062%10
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1399+10+23=143238%1
8/25Sunday, Aug. 252:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1400+21+0=142133%4
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
153821+24=154167%7
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
140120+0=138126%5
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1538+0+24=156274%8
8/23Friday, Aug. 238:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
VerHagen, Drew
VerHagen
1398253=137023%9
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1541+11+26=157877%6
8/22Thursday, Aug. 228:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
13988+0=139019%3
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1581+32+24=163781%6
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 218:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1396+3+0=139919%2
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1583+39+24=164681%1
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 208:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1397+16+0=141329%3
HOUHOUAstros
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
158240+24=156671%6
8/19Monday, Aug. 198:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
1397193=137522%4
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
15828+20=159478%5
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1397+17+0=141433%4
TBTBRays
Richards, Trevor
Richards
154126+24=153967%5
8/17Saturday, Aug. 176:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
139813+0=138525%0
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
1541+8+24=157375%1
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1395+33=139524%2
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1544+25+22=159176%0
8/15Thursday, Aug. 151:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Wisler, Matt
Wisler
1460+7+0=146754%7
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1397+18+24=143946%2
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 147:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1461+22+0=148361%2
DETDETTigers
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
139617+24=140339%3
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1459162=144149%11
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1398+25+26=144951%6
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1438+13+0=145153%10
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1401+6+24=143147%2
8/10Saturday, Aug. 106:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1436+3+0=143949%7
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1404+15+24=144351%0
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1438+24+0=146258%2
DETDETTigers
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
140222+24=140442%5
8/8Thursday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
1439223=141444%8
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1401+33+24=145856%10
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 71:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1452+3+0=145553%8
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
1403+6+24=143347%1
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Santiago, Hector
Santiago
145417+0=143756%6
DETDETTigers
VerHagen, Drew
VerHagen
140129+24=139644%10
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 61:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
14539+0=144451%5
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1402+8+24=143449%3
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1451+302=147956%7
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1403+14+21=143844%4
8/4Sunday, Aug. 43:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
140518+0=138735%4
TEXTEXRangers
Payano, Pedro
Payano
148213+24=149365%9
8/3Saturday, Aug. 38:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1406+31+0=143743%4
TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
148119+24=148657%5
8/2Friday, Aug. 28:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
1406+91=141432%4
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1481+36+26=154368%5
7/31Wednesday, July 314:07 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1402+5+0=140734%9
LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
15067+24=152366%1
7/30Tuesday, July 3010:07 p.m.DETDETTigers
VerHagen, Drew
VerHagen
140326+0=137728%1
LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1505+9+24=153872%6
7/29Monday, July 2910:07 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
1399203=137628%7
LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1509+9+24=154272%2
7/28Sunday, July 284:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1400+29+0=142941%2
SEASEAMariners
Wisler, Matt
Wisler
1466+3+24=149359%3
7/27Saturday, July 274:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
1402+12+0=141437%1
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1464+17+24=150563%8
7/26Friday, July 2610:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1403+4+0=140741%2
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
146314+24=147359%3
7/25Thursday, July 2510:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
VerHagen, Drew
VerHagen
1405174=138438%2
SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
146119+24=146662%10
7/24Wednesday, July 241:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15129+0=150363%4
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
140617+24=141337%0
7/23Tuesday, July 237:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1511+36+0=154762%3
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1407+27+26=146038%2
7/21Sunday, July 211:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
1466+0+0=146655%3
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
1406+5+24=143545%4
7/20Saturday, July 206:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1465+3+0=146855%7
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1407+2+24=143345%5
7/19Friday, July 197:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1462+263=148559%12
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
141012+23=142141%1
7/18Thursday, July 187:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1410+29+0=143932%3
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1539+9+24=157268%6
7/17Wednesday, July 177:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1412+15+0=142730%2
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1538+15+24=157770%7
7/16Tuesday, July 167:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Carpenter, Ryan
Carpenter
141335+0=137829%0
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
153728+24=153371%8
7/15Monday, July 157:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1414+33=141434%6
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
153635+24=152566%8
7/14Sunday, July 142:15 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14129+0=140344%12
KCKCRoyals
Flynn, Brian
Flynn
144223+24=144356%8
7/13Saturday, July 137:15 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1413+26+0=143944%1
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1440+13+24=147756%4
7/12Friday, July 128:15 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1414+18+4=143644%5
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1439+11+28=147856%8
7/7Sunday, July 71:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1550+20+0=157069%6
DETDETTigers
Soto, Gregory
Soto
141512+24=142731%3
7/6Saturday, July 64:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154913+0=153664%10
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14165+24=143536%6
7/5Friday, July 57:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
154822=154470%9
DETDETTigers
Carpenter, Ryan
Carpenter
141741+22=139830%6
7/4Thursday, July 42:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1414+25+0=143943%11
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
14672+24=148957%5
7/3Wednesday, July 38:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14151+0=141440%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Detwiler, Ross
Detwiler
14667+24=148360%9
7/3Wednesday, July 32:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1416+3+3=142240%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
14653+29=149160%7
6/30Sunday, June 301:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1528+46+0=157469%2
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
141710+24=143131%1
6/29Saturday, June 294:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Voth, Austin
Voth
153032+0=149860%5
DETDETTigers
Soto, Gregory
Soto
141513+24=142640%7
6/28Friday, June 287:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1529113=151560%3
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1416+3+24=144340%1
6/27Thursday, June 271:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
149017+0=147352%3
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1418+17+24=145948%1
6/26Wednesday, June 267:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1488+40+0=152859%4
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1419+25+24=146841%1
6/25Tuesday, June 257 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez
1487141=147255%5
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14209+25=143645%3
6/23Sunday, June 231 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1421+2+0=142333%3
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
153914+24=154967%8
6/22Saturday, June 224:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1422+17+0=143938%0
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
153834+24=152862%2
6/21Friday, June 217:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1423+29+0=145233%6
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1537+16+21=157467%7
6/19Wednesday, June 197:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
142310+0=141333%7
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1484+30+24=153867%8
6/18Tuesday, June 187:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1422+0+0=142241%5
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
148622+23=148759%4
6/16Sunday, June 161:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1534+12+0=154661%8
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1424+22+24=147039%0
6/15Saturday, June 156:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
15334+0=152964%4
DETDETTigers
Soto, Gregory
Soto
142518+24=143136%2
6/14Friday, June 147:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
153036+1=149561%13
DETDETTigers
Carpenter, Ryan
Carpenter
142731+21=141739%4
6/13Thursday, June 138 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1429+31+0=146056%3
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
143819+0=141944%7
6/12Wednesday, June 128 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
14284+0=142443%3
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1439+8+24=147157%2
6/11Tuesday, June 118:15 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1429+171=144547%2
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1438+4+26=146853%3
6/9Sunday, June 91:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1544+23+0=156768%12
DETDETTigers
Carpenter, Ryan
Carpenter
143120+24=143532%2
6/8Saturday, June 84:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1548+5+0=155367%3
DETDETTigers
Farmer, Buck
Farmer
142726+24=142533%9
6/7Friday, June 77:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1547141=153257%6
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1429+31+24=148443%3
6/6Thursday, June 61:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154218+0=152460%6
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
14303+24=145140%1
6/5Wednesday, June 57:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1541+17+0=155862%4
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1432+17+24=147338%0
6/4Tuesday, June 47:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1543+331=157570%6
DETDETTigers
Carpenter, Ryan
Carpenter
142926+23=142630%9
6/2Sunday, June 21:20 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1430+32+0=146238%4
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1514+12+24=155062%7
6/1Saturday, June 14:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1431+1+0=143232%5
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1513+29+24=156668%10
5/31Friday, May 317:20 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1428+161=144336%8
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1516+5+26=154764%2
5/29Wednesday, May 297:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Carpenter, Ryan
Carpenter
142629+0=139742%4
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1410+18+24=145258%2
5/28Tuesday, May 287:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1425+30+0=145551%3
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1412+12+24=144849%0
5/27Monday, May 271:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1426+32=142748%3
BALBALOrioles
Ynoa, Gabriel
Ynoa
1411+8+20=143952%5
5/26Sunday, May 261:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1427+17+0=144436%3
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1513+10+24=154764%4
5/25Saturday, May 254:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Carpenter, Ryan
Carpenter
142735+0=139233%4
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
151220+24=151667%5
5/24Friday, May 247:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Soto, Gregory
Soto
1426122=141231%9
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1514+12+24=155069%8
5/23Thursday, May 231:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14275+0=142242%5
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1428+27+24=147958%2
5/22Wednesday, May 227:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14251+0=142445%6
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1429+3+24=145655%3
5/21Tuesday, May 217:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1424+211=144445%5
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1431+21+26=147855%4
5/19Sunday, May 191:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1551+12+0=156371%7
DETDETTigers
Soto, Gregory
Soto
139411+24=140729%3
5/18Saturday, May 184:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
15135+0=150854%4
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1432+27+24=148346%1
5/17Friday, May 177:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1511+5+0=151658%7
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1434+5+24=146342%2
5/16Thursday, May 161:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1508+92=151554%17
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1438+27+24=148946%3
5/15Wednesday, May 157:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1586+35+0=162173%5
DETDETTigers
Soto, Gregory
Soto
143812+24=145027%1
5/14Tuesday, May 147:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
158413+0=157169%11
DETDETTigers
Carpenter, Ryan
Carpenter
144028+24=143631%4
5/13Monday, May 137:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
1582133=156661%8
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1442+27+21=149039%1
5/12Sunday, May 122:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1440+1+0=144136%5
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
153016+24=153864%3
5/11Saturday, May 118:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Soto, Gregory
Soto
14424+0=143839%3
MINMINTwins
Stewart, Kohl
Stewart
152935+24=151861%8
5/11Saturday, May 112:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1440+23+0=146340%5
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
153019+24=153560%3
5/10Friday, May 108:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1441103=142832%0
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1529+10+23=156268%6
5/9Thursday, May 91:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Bard, Luke
Bard
14984+0=149457%13
DETDETTigers
Carpenter, Ryan
Carpenter
144425+24=144343%0
5/8Wednesday, May 87:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1501+8+0=150953%3
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1442+23+24=148947%10
5/7Tuesday, May 77:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
149942=149354%5
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
14431+26=146846%2
5/5Sunday, May 51 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1454+16+0=147048%2
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1441+17+24=148252%5
5/4Saturday, May 44:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145021+0=142945%15
DETDETTigers
Ross, Tyson
Ross
14463+24=146755%3
5/3Friday, May 37:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
1450153=143242%3
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1445+19+24=148858%4
5/1Wednesday, May 17:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
14463+0=144332%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1519+28+24=157168%7
4/30Tuesday, April 307:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1444+121=145537%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15211+26=154663%1
4/28Sunday, April 282:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1446+18+2=146647%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1454+8+26=148853%4
4/26Friday, April 268:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1447+13=144542%11
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1453+25+23=150158%12
4/25Thursday, April 257:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14489+0=143936%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
153923+24=154064%7
4/24Wednesday, April 247:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Ross, Tyson
Ross
14491+0=144835%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15385+24=155765%11
4/23Tuesday, April 237:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1448+7+0=145539%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
153927+24=153661%2
4/23Tuesday, April 231:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1445+161=146031%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1542+31+23=159669%4
4/21Sunday, April 211:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1455+2+2=145949%3
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
14442+26=146851%4
4/19Friday, April 197:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1453+22+0=147552%7
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14466+24=146448%3
4/18Thursday, April 181:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1455+52=145848%7
DETDETTigers
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1445+3+24=147252%9
4/17Wednesday, April 176:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1504+14+0=151857%3
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1446+1+24=147143%2
4/16Tuesday, April 166:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1503+0+0=150352%5
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1447+15+23=148548%3
4/14Sunday, April 142:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14481+0=144734%4
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1514+25+24=156366%6
4/13Saturday, April 132:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1448+31=145038%3
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1513+1+26=154062%4
4/11Thursday, April 111:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
155119+0=153258%4
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1450+4+24=147842%0
4/10Wednesday, April 101:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1553+22+0=157563%1
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1448+11+24=148337%4
4/9Tuesday, April 91:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15511+1=155160%8
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
1450+3+26=147940%2
4/7Sunday, April 71:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1448+23+0=147150%1
DETDETTigers
Ross, Tyson
Ross
14482+24=147050%3
4/6Saturday, April 61:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144921+2=143047%4
DETDETTigers
Moore, Matt
Moore
144720+26=145353%7
4/4Thursday, April 41:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1450+73=145448%4
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1446+2+22=147052%5
4/3Wednesday, April 34:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1444+12+0=145634%2
NYYNYYYankees
Loaisiga, Jonathan
Loaisiga
156416+24=157266%1
4/2Tuesday, April 26:35 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
1442+1+0=144328%3
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1566+13+24=160372%1
4/1Monday, April 16:35 p.m.DETDETTigers
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1443+12=144234%1
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156629+24=156166%3
3/31Sunday, March 311:07 p.m.DETDETTigers
Moore, Matt
Moore
144225+0=141739%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
148411+24=149761%3
3/30Saturday, March 303:07 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1443+4+0=144742%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14826+24=150058%3
3/29Friday, March 297:07 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1445+14+0=145942%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1480+8+24=151258%6
3/28Thursday, March 283:37 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
144342=143740%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1482+2+24=150860%0

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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