Updated Jul. 20, 2019 at 1:28 AM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The White Sox have a <1% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1456, down 8 points from last week.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
TwinsTwins59-3791%72%
IndiansIndians56-403.068%28%
White SoxWhite Sox43-5115.0<1%<1%
RoyalsRoyals36-6324.5<1%<1%
TigersTigers29-6428.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
7/20Saturday, July 206:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1456+33+0=148943%
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
153518+24=154157%
7/21Sunday, July 211:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
14564+0=145234%
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1535+9+24=156866%
7/22Monday, July 228:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
144484=143245%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14568+21=146955%
7/23Tuesday, July 238:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1444+7+0=145146%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148254%
7/24Wednesday, July 248:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
14448+0=143643%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1456+6+24=148657%
7/25Thursday, July 258:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1537+122=154755%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1456+33+24=151345%
7/26Friday, July 268:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1537+0+0=153759%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
14564+24=147641%
7/27Saturday, July 277:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
153717+0=152057%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14568+24=147243%
7/28Sunday, July 282:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1537+2+0=153958%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148242%
7/30Tuesday, July 308:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1504+81=151153%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1456+6+26=148847%
7/31Wednesday, July 318:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15044+0=150053%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148247%
8/1Thursday, Aug. 12:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15044+0=150053%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148247%
8/2Friday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+23=145538%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1512+1+24=153762%
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145839%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1512+1+24=153761%
8/4Sunday, Aug. 41:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145839%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1512+1+24=153761%
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+22=145653%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1407+5+21=143347%
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 61:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145853%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1407+5+24=143647%
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145853%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1407+5+24=143647%
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 71:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145853%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1407+5+24=143647%
8/9Friday, Aug. 93:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15411+1=154158%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148242%
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15411+0=154058%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148242%
8/11Sunday, Aug. 112:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15411+0=154058%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148242%
8/12Monday, Aug. 128:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
157113=156762%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148238%
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 138:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15711+0=157062%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148238%
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 142:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15711+0=157062%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148238%
8/15Thursday, Aug. 1510:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+24=145438%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1508+4+24=153662%
8/16Friday, Aug. 1610:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145839%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1508+4+24=153661%
8/17Saturday, Aug. 179:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145839%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1508+4+24=153661%
8/18Sunday, Aug. 184:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145839%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1508+4+24=153661%
8/19Monday, Aug. 198:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+24=145436%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+21=155864%
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 208:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145836%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156164%
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 211:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145836%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156164%
8/22Thursday, Aug. 228:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1481+33=148150%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+22=148050%
8/23Friday, Aug. 238:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1481+3+0=148450%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148250%
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1481+3+0=148450%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148250%
8/25Sunday, Aug. 252:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1481+3+0=148450%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148250%
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 278:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153758%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+26=148442%
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 288:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153758%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148242%
8/29Thursday, Aug. 292:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153758%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148242%
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:20 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+23=145536%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+23=155864%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 317:20 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145836%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155964%
9/1Sunday, Sept. 15:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145836%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155964%
9/2Monday, Sept. 27:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+23=145535%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15423+21=156065%
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145835%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15423+24=156365%
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 47:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145835%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15423+24=156365%
9/5Thursday, Sept. 51:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145835%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15423+24=156365%
9/6Friday, Sept. 68:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1508+44=150854%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+22=148046%
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1508+4+0=151254%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148246%
9/8Sunday, Sept. 82:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1508+4+0=151254%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148246%
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 108:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1446+41=144945%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+26=148455%
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 118:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1446+4+0=145045%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148255%
9/12Thursday, Sept. 122:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1446+4+0=145045%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148255%
9/13Friday, Sept. 1310:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+24=145445%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1465+2+24=149155%
9/14Saturday, Sept. 149:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145845%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1465+2+24=149155%
9/15Sunday, Sept. 154:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145845%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1465+2+24=149155%
9/16Monday, Sept. 167:40 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+23=145535%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+21=155865%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:40 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145836%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156164%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:40 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145836%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156164%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+21=145753%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1407+5+23=143547%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 216:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145853%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1407+5+24=143647%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145853%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1407+5+24=143647%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 248:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15423+0=153958%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148242%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 258:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15423+0=153958%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148242%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 268:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15423+0=153958%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148242%
9/27Friday, Sept. 274:40 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1407+52=141040%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148260%
9/27Friday, Sept. 278:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1407+5+0=141240%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148260%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 287:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1407+5+0=141240%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148260%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1407+5+0=141240%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+24=148260%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
7/19Friday, July 197:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1453+33=145337%9
TBTBRays
McKay, Brendan
McKay
153914+21=154663%2
7/18Thursday, July 181:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Detwiler, Ross
Detwiler
14546+0=144844%5
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1446+17+24=148756%6
7/17Wednesday, July 178:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14556+0=144947%5
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1445+4+24=147353%7
7/16Tuesday, July 168:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
14583+0=145551%0
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
144115+24=145049%11
7/15Monday, July 158:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1460+314=148753%2
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1440+6+24=147047%5
7/14Sunday, July 144:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
14614+0=145736%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15363+24=155764%3
7/13Saturday, July 134:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
14637+0=145636%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
15343+24=155564%13
7/12Friday, July 1210:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14644+3=146334%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1533+17+28=157866%5
7/7Sunday, July 72:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1532+18+0=155060%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14638+24=147940%3
7/6Saturday, July 67:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15305+0=152550%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1464+35+26=152550%3
7/4Thursday, July 42:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1414+25+0=143943%11
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
14672+24=148957%5
7/3Wednesday, July 38:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14151+0=141440%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Detwiler, Ross
Detwiler
14667+24=148360%9
7/3Wednesday, July 32:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1416+3+3=142240%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
14653+29=149160%7
6/30Sunday, June 302 p.m.MINMINTwins
Thorpe, Lewis
Thorpe
154225+0=151750%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1464+30+24=151850%4
6/29Saturday, June 294:12 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
154010+0=153057%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14669+24=148143%3
6/28Friday, June 288:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1541+202=155961%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Detwiler, Ross
Detwiler
14648+23=147939%6
6/26Wednesday, June 261:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
14631+0=146229%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1553+42+24=161971%7
6/25Tuesday, June 257:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Fulmer, Carson
Fulmer
146325+0=143829%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1552+15+24=159171%6
6/24Monday, June 247:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1464+324=149239%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15515+24=157061%6
6/23Sunday, June 233:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14668+0=145844%4
TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
148611+24=149956%7
6/22Saturday, June 229:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Despaigne, Odrisamer
Despaigne
146620+0=144638%5
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1485+23+24=153262%6
6/21Friday, June 218:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
146521=146245%5
TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
148615+24=149555%4
6/19Wednesday, June 198:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1467+37+0=150444%3
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153413+24=154556%7
6/18Tuesday, June 188 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
146511+1=145534%3
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1536+15+22=157366%1
6/16Sunday, June 162:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1566+10+0=157664%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Despaigne, Odrisamer
Despaigne
146617+24=147336%3
6/15Saturday, June 157:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
156424+0=154057%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
14683+24=148943%4
6/14Friday, June 148:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15688+0=156055%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1465+35+24=152445%10
6/13Thursday, June 138:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1569+21=157063%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
146313+26=147637%5
6/11Tuesday, June 118:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1525+3+0=152860%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Banuelos, Manny
Banuelos
146228+24=145840%7
6/10Monday, June 108:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1522134=150555%12
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Despaigne, Odrisamer
Despaigne
146517+22=147045%1
6/9Sunday, June 92:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
14636+0=145748%5
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
1440+8+24=147252%2
6/8Saturday, June 82:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1462+31+0=149352%2
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1441+17+24=148248%0
6/7Friday, June 78:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1463111=145151%4
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144019+24=144549%6
6/5Wednesday, June 51:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
14648+0=145639%4
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
152115+24=153061%6
6/4Tuesday, June 47:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1465+01=146436%5
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1519+21+24=156464%9
6/2Sunday, June 22:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
152926+0=150348%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1464+26+24=151452%2
6/1Saturday, June 12:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
152744+0=148351%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
146611+24=147949%2
5/31Friday, May 318:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1530+14+0=154459%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
146310+24=147741%6
5/30Thursday, May 308:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1533+73=153761%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Banuelos, Manny
Banuelos
146026+24=145839%10
5/29Wednesday, May 298:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
1448+11+0=145946%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1459+5+24=148854%8
5/28Tuesday, May 287:40 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1449+16+0=146544%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1458+21+24=150356%4
5/27Monday, May 272:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1450222=142644%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
145713+22=146656%2
5/26Sunday, May 262:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
145912+0=144731%0
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1545+15+24=158469%7
5/25Saturday, May 252:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Banuelos, Manny
Banuelos
146025+0=143531%1
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1544+3+24=157169%8
5/24Friday, May 248:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1462+143=147335%4
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1542+14+20=157665%11
5/23Thursday, May 238:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1459+13+0=147236%4
HOUHOUAstros
Martin, Corbin
Martin
158636+24=157464%0
5/22Wednesday, May 228:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
145514+0=144125%9
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1590+19+24=163375%4
5/21Tuesday, May 218:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
145610+0=144624%1
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1589+36+24=164976%5
5/20Monday, May 208:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Burr, Ryan
Burr
1457+13=145531%0
HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
158912+20=159769%3
5/19Sunday, May 192:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
14712+0=146946%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1458+15+24=149754%2
5/18Saturday, May 182:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Feierabend, Ryan
Feierabend
14739+0=146446%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1457+12+24=149354%4
5/17Friday, May 178:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14701+0=146948%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14604+24=148052%2
5/16Thursday, May 168:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1471+94=147651%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
145913+26=147249%4
5/14Tuesday, May 142:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1537+8+0=154561%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Banuelos, Manny
Banuelos
146121+24=146439%0
5/13Monday, May 138:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1539104=152555%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1459+9+22=149045%5
5/12Sunday, May 121:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1457+5+0=146245%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1472+1+24=149755%1
5/11Saturday, May 113:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14543+0=145142%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1475+9+24=150858%2
5/10Friday, May 107:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
145592=144443%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Hudson, Daniel
Hudson
14749+26=149157%4
5/9Thursday, May 91:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Banuelos, Manny
Banuelos
145611+0=144533%0
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1538+4+24=156667%5
5/8Wednesday, May 86:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1457+9+0=146638%3
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
15389+24=155362%5
5/7Tuesday, May 76:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14562+0=145441%2
CLECLEIndians
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
153943+24=152059%0
5/6Monday, May 66:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
145172=144230%9
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1544+22+24=159070%1
5/5Sunday, May 52:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154617+0=152959%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
145310+24=146741%2
5/4Saturday, May 47:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15436+0=153757%15
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Banuelos, Manny
Banuelos
1456+6+24=148643%2
5/3Friday, May 38:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1541+28+0=156960%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1458+13+24=149540%1
5/2Thursday, May 28:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1543+203=156062%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14564+24=147638%6
5/1Wednesday, May 18:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14172+0=141542%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14557+24=147258%7
5/1Wednesday, May 14:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
14161+2=141739%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1457+14+26=149761%4
4/29Monday, April 298:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1417+122=142742%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Banuelos, Manny
Banuelos
1456+3+24=148358%5
4/28Sunday, April 282:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1446+18+2=146647%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1454+8+26=148853%4
4/26Friday, April 268:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1447+13=144542%11
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1453+25+23=150158%12
4/24Wednesday, April 247:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Santana, Ervin
Santana
14546+0=144850%3
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1420+6+24=145050%4
4/23Tuesday, April 237:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1458+2+0=146054%1
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14177+24=143446%9
4/22Monday, April 227:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Banuelos, Manny
Banuelos
145442=144851%12
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1420+1+24=144549%2
4/21Sunday, April 211:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1455+2+2=145949%3
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
14442+26=146851%4
4/19Friday, April 197:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1453+22+0=147552%7
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14466+24=146448%3
4/18Thursday, April 181:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1455+52=145848%7
DETDETTigers
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1445+3+24=147252%9
4/17Wednesday, April 172:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1445+24+0=146950%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
145610+24=147050%3
4/16Tuesday, April 168:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144611+0=143544%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1454+1+24=147956%5
4/15Monday, April 158:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
144762=143946%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Santana, Ervin
Santana
14535+21=146954%5
4/14Sunday, April 141:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1451+19+0=147032%5
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1563+18+24=160568%2
4/13Saturday, April 131:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1452+3+0=145533%0
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15617+24=157867%4
4/12Friday, April 127:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
144971=144131%9
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15643+23=158469%6
4/10Wednesday, April 102:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
153524+0=151154%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1452+9+24=148546%1
4/9Tuesday, April 92:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1533+14+0=154760%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Santana, Ervin
Santana
1454+2+24=148040%5
4/8Monday, April 82:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1532+454=157361%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1455+19+24=149839%1
4/7Sunday, April 72:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1503+1+0=150453%12
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1457+3+24=148447%5
4/6Saturday, April 62:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1500+4+0=150454%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14609+24=147546%2
4/5Friday, April 52:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1502+1+1=150452%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1458+10+24=149248%10
4/3Wednesday, April 31:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1455+12+2=146934%8
CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1550+8+26=158466%3
4/1Monday, April 14 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
145613=145233%3
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1549+4+21=157467%5
3/31Sunday, March 312:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
145413+0=144147%6
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
145318+24=145953%3
3/30Saturday, March 302:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1456+17+2=147548%6
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1452+7+26=148552%8
3/28Thursday, March 284:15 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1457+112=146646%3
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1451+19+24=149454%5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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