2019 MLB Predictions

The White Sox are done for the season.

AL Central standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Twins Twins101-61	—	✓	✓
Indians Indians93-69	8.0	—	—
White Sox White Sox72-89	28.5	—	—
Royals Royals59-103	42.0	—	—
Tigers Tigers47-114	53.5	—	—

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Turnbull	1385	+13	+0	=1398	40%	3
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Detwiler	1461	–14	+24	=1471	60%	5
9/28Saturday, Sept. 287 p.m.	DETTigers	Alexander	1383	+3	+0	=1386	36%	4
9/28Saturday, Sept. 287 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1462	–1	+24	=1485	64%	3
9/28Saturday, Sept. 283:40 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1385	+17	+0	=1402	38%	1
9/28Saturday, Sept. 283:40 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1461	–1	+26	=1486	62%	7
9/26Thursday, Sept. 268:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Civale	1556	–6	+0	=1550	60%	0
9/26Thursday, Sept. 268:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1457	–2	+24	=1479	40%	8
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 258:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bieber	1559	+14	+0	=1573	65%	3
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 258:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Detwiler	1454	–13	+24	=1465	35%	8
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 248 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1557	+27	+0	=1584	67%	11
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 248 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Fulmer	1456	–22	+24	=1458	33%	0
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1458	+4	+0	=1462	54%	3
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1386	+21	+24	=1431	46%	6
9/21Saturday, Sept. 216:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1457	–2	+0	=1455	55%	5
9/21Saturday, Sept. 216:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Alexander	1388	+9	+24	=1421	45%	3
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1454	–9	–1	=1444	55%	10
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1390	–3	+23	=1410	45%	1
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:40 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1452	–2	+0	=1450	32%	3
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:40 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1545	+13	+24	=1582	68%	1
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:40 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Detwiler	1453	–12	+0	=1441	35%	8
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:40 p.m.	MINTwins	Perez	1544	–23	+24	=1545	65%	9
9/16Monday, Sept. 167:40 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1453	+6	–3	=1456	33%	3
9/16Monday, Sept. 167:40 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1543	+10	+21	=1574	67%	5
9/15Sunday, Sept. 154:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1454	+1	+0	=1455	44%	10
9/15Sunday, Sept. 154:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Sheffield	1461	+9	+24	=1494	56%	11
9/14Saturday, Sept. 149:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1455	–14	+0	=1441	46%	1
9/14Saturday, Sept. 149:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1460	–18	+24	=1466	54%	2
9/13Friday, Sept. 1310:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1454	–27	–4	=1423	42%	9
9/13Friday, Sept. 1310:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Kikuchi	1462	–9	+24	=1477	58%	7
9/12Thursday, Sept. 122:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Lopez	1430	–16	+0	=1414	35%	6
9/12Thursday, Sept. 122:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1456	+43	+24	=1523	65%	3
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 118:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Sparkman	1428	–21	+0	=1407	38%	8
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 118:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1458	+10	+24	=1492	62%	6
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 108:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1430	+14	–1	=1443	44%	3
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 108:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1456	+0	+26	=1482	56%	7
9/8Sunday, Sept. 82:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Ramirez	1486	+0	+0	=1486	54%	1
9/8Sunday, Sept. 82:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1454	–18	+24	=1460	46%	5
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1485	+22	+0	=1507	58%	8
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1455	–25	+24	=1454	42%	7
9/6Friday, Sept. 68:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Peters	1484	–10	–4	=1470	43%	5
9/6Friday, Sept. 68:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1456	+38	+22	=1516	57%	4
9/5Thursday, Sept. 51:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1453	+2	+0	=1455	37%	7
9/5Thursday, Sept. 51:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Plesac	1552	–26	+24	=1550	63%	1
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 47:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1453	+7	+0	=1460	32%	6
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 47:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bieber	1551	+17	+24	=1592	68%	8
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1452	–24	+0	=1428	27%	6
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1553	+24	+24	=1601	73%	5
9/2Monday, Sept. 27:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Detwiler	1453	–11	–3	=1439	33%	3
9/2Monday, Sept. 27:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Civale	1551	–9	+21	=1563	67%	11
9/1Sunday, Sept. 15:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1454	+40	+0	=1494	39%	3
9/1Sunday, Sept. 15:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1540	+10	+24	=1574	61%	5
8/31Saturday, Aug. 317:20 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1456	+7	+0	=1463	35%	5
8/31Saturday, Aug. 317:20 p.m.	ATLBraves	Keuchel	1538	+6	+24	=1568	65%	11
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:20 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1457	+10	–3	=1464	36%	7
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:20 p.m.	ATLBraves	Fried	1537	+2	+23	=1562	64%	10
8/29Thursday, Aug. 292:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1542	+6	+0	=1548	61%	10
8/29Thursday, Aug. 292:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1458	–15	+24	=1467	39%	5
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 288:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1541	+9	+0	=1550	61%	8
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 288:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Detwiler	1460	–15	+24	=1469	39%	2
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 278:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Pineda	1539	+6	+0	=1545	53%	3
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 278:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1461	+35	+26	=1522	47%	1
8/25Sunday, Aug. 252:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Burke	1470	+0	+0	=1470	48%	0
8/25Sunday, Aug. 252:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1460	+0	+24	=1484	52%	2
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Allard	1468	–14	+0	=1454	44%	4
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1462	+9	+24	=1495	56%	0
8/23Friday, Aug. 238:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Lynn	1471	+41	+0	=1512	57%	3
8/23Friday, Aug. 238:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1460	–19	+24	=1465	43%	8
8/22Thursday, Aug. 228:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Jurado	1473	–22	–3	=1448	48%	1
8/22Thursday, Aug. 228:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Detwiler	1458	–17	+22	=1463	52%	6
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 211:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1455	+30	+0	=1485	37%	4
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 211:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1543	+10	+24	=1577	63%	0
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 208:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1457	+5	+0	=1462	35%	4
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 208:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Pineda	1541	+6	+24	=1571	65%	14
8/19Monday, Aug. 198:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1456	+12	–4	=1464	36%	6
8/19Monday, Aug. 198:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1543	+0	+21	=1564	64%	4
8/18Sunday, Aug. 184:07 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1457	–13	+0	=1444	38%	2
8/18Sunday, Aug. 184:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Canning	1490	+15	+24	=1529	62%	9
8/17Saturday, Aug. 179:07 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Santiago	1458	–22	+0	=1436	43%	5
8/17Saturday, Aug. 179:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Suarez	1489	–26	+24	=1487	57%	6
8/16Friday, Aug. 1610:07 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1456	+28	+0	=1484	46%	7
8/16Friday, Aug. 1610:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1492	–3	+24	=1513	54%	2
8/15Thursday, Aug. 1510:07 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1457	+8	–4	=1461	40%	7
8/15Thursday, Aug. 1510:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1491	+16	+24	=1531	60%	8
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 142:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Miley	1587	–3	+0	=1584	67%	9
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 142:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Detwiler	1454	–16	+24	=1462	33%	13
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 139 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1589	+30	+0	=1619	69%	1
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 139 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1451	+4	+24	=1479	31%	4
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 134:40 p.m.	HOUAstros	Greinke	1588	+12	–1	=1599	68%	6
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 134:40 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1452	–10	+26	=1468	32%	2
8/11Sunday, Aug. 112:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1537	+4	+0	=1541	55%	2
8/11Sunday, Aug. 112:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1453	+27	+24	=1504	45%	0
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Roark	1539	–1	+0	=1538	58%	2
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1452	+8	+24	=1484	42%	3
8/9Friday, Aug. 93:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1537	+20	+1	=1558	63%	7
8/9Friday, Aug. 93:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Detwiler	1454	–13	+24	=1465	37%	0
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 71:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1452	+3	+0	=1455	53%	8
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 71:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Alexander	1403	+6	+24	=1433	47%	1
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Santiago	1454	–17	+0	=1437	56%	6
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.	DETTigers	VerHagen	1401	–29	+24	=1396	44%	10
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 61:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1453	–9	+0	=1444	51%	5
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 61:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1402	+8	+24	=1434	49%	3
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1451	+30	–2	=1479	56%	7
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1403	+14	+21	=1438	44%	4
8/4Sunday, Aug. 41:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1448	+9	+0	=1457	39%	10
8/4Sunday, Aug. 41:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Smyly	1510	–1	+24	=1533	61%	5
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Detwiler	1449	–16	+0	=1433	31%	2
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1510	+35	+24	=1569	69%	3
8/2Friday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1447	+2	–3	=1446	37%	4
8/2Friday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Vargas	1511	+2	+24	=1537	63%	3
8/1Thursday, Aug. 12:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1513	+0	+0	=1513	57%	4
8/1Thursday, Aug. 12:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1449	–11	+24	=1462	43%	0
7/31Wednesday, July 318:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1512	+41	+0	=1553	58%	4
7/31Wednesday, July 318:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1450	+26	+24	=1500	42%	2
7/30Tuesday, July 308:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1511	+3	–1	=1513	54%	5
7/30Tuesday, July 308:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1452	+10	+26	=1488	46%	2
7/28Sunday, July 282:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1537	+1	+0	=1538	60%	11
7/28Sunday, July 282:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1454	–14	+24	=1464	40%	1
7/27Saturday, July 277:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Perez	1539	–20	+0	=1519	57%	1
7/27Saturday, July 277:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1452	–3	+24	=1473	43%	5
7/26Friday, July 268:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Pineda	1538	+2	+0	=1540	60%	6
7/26Friday, July 268:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1453	–7	+24	=1470	40%	2
7/25Thursday, July 258:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1535	+17	–2	=1550	56%	10
7/25Thursday, July 258:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1456	+32	+24	=1512	44%	3
7/24Wednesday, July 248:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Gallen	1442	–7	+0	=1435	43%	2
7/24Wednesday, July 248:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1457	+4	+24	=1485	57%	0
7/23Tuesday, July 238:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1440	+10	+0	=1450	47%	5
7/23Tuesday, July 238:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1459	–13	+24	=1470	53%	1
7/22Monday, July 228:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1442	–7	–4	=1431	45%	1
7/22Monday, July 228:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1457	–9	+21	=1469	55%	9
7/21Sunday, July 211:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1458	–5	+0	=1453	34%	2
7/21Sunday, July 211:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1534	+9	+24	=1567	66%	4
7/20Saturday, July 206:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1456	+33	+0	=1489	43%	2
7/20Saturday, July 206:10 p.m.	TBRays	Yarbrough	1535	–18	+24	=1541	57%	1
7/19Friday, July 197:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1453	+3	–3	=1453	37%	9
7/19Friday, July 197:10 p.m.	TBRays	McKay	1539	–14	+21	=1546	63%	2
7/18Thursday, July 181:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Detwiler	1454	–6	+0	=1448	44%	5
7/18Thursday, July 181:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1446	+17	+24	=1487	56%	6
7/17Wednesday, July 178:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1455	–6	+0	=1449	47%	5
7/17Wednesday, July 178:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1445	+4	+24	=1473	53%	7
7/16Tuesday, July 168:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1458	–3	+0	=1455	51%	0
7/16Tuesday, July 168:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Sparkman	1441	–15	+24	=1450	49%	11
7/15Monday, July 158:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1460	+31	–4	=1487	53%	2
7/15Monday, July 158:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1440	+6	+24	=1470	47%	5
7/14Sunday, July 144:07 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1461	–4	+0	=1457	36%	2
7/14Sunday, July 144:07 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Anderson	1536	–3	+24	=1557	64%	3
7/13Saturday, July 134:07 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1463	–7	+0	=1456	36%	2
7/13Saturday, July 134:07 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1534	–3	+24	=1555	64%	13
7/12Friday, July 1210:07 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1464	–4	+3	=1463	34%	1
7/12Friday, July 1210:07 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1533	+17	+28	=1578	66%	5
7/7Sunday, July 72:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1532	+18	+0	=1550	60%	1
7/7Sunday, July 72:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1463	–8	+24	=1479	40%	3
7/6Saturday, July 67:15 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1530	–5	+0	=1525	50%	6
7/6Saturday, July 67:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1464	+35	+26	=1525	50%	3
7/4Thursday, July 42:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1414	+25	+0	=1439	43%	11
7/4Thursday, July 42:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1467	–2	+24	=1489	57%	5
7/3Wednesday, July 38:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Alexander	1415	–1	+0	=1414	40%	6
7/3Wednesday, July 38:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Detwiler	1466	–7	+24	=1483	60%	9
7/3Wednesday, July 32:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1416	+3	+3	=1422	40%	5
7/3Wednesday, July 32:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1465	–3	+29	=1491	60%	7
6/30Sunday, June 302 p.m.	MINTwins	Thorpe	1542	–25	+0	=1517	50%	3
6/30Sunday, June 302 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1464	+30	+24	=1518	50%	4
6/29Saturday, June 294:12 p.m.	MINTwins	Pineda	1540	–10	+0	=1530	57%	10
6/29Saturday, June 294:12 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1466	–9	+24	=1481	43%	3
6/28Friday, June 288:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1541	+20	–2	=1559	61%	4
6/28Friday, June 288:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Detwiler	1464	–8	+23	=1479	39%	6
6/26Wednesday, June 261:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1463	–1	+0	=1462	29%	8
6/26Wednesday, June 261:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1553	+42	+24	=1619	71%	7
6/25Tuesday, June 257:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Fulmer	1463	–25	+0	=1438	29%	3
6/25Tuesday, June 257:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1552	+15	+24	=1591	71%	6
6/24Monday, June 247:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1464	+32	–4	=1492	39%	5
6/24Monday, June 247:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1551	–5	+24	=1570	61%	6
6/23Sunday, June 233:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1466	–8	+0	=1458	44%	4
6/23Sunday, June 233:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Sampson	1486	–11	+24	=1499	56%	7
6/22Saturday, June 229:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Despaigne	1466	–20	+0	=1446	38%	5
6/22Saturday, June 229:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Lynn	1485	+23	+24	=1532	62%	6
6/21Friday, June 218:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1465	–2	–1	=1462	45%	5
6/21Friday, June 218:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Jurado	1486	–15	+24	=1495	55%	4
6/19Wednesday, June 198:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1467	+37	+0	=1504	44%	3
6/19Wednesday, June 198:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1534	–13	+24	=1545	56%	7
6/18Tuesday, June 188 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1465	–11	+1	=1455	34%	3
6/18Tuesday, June 188 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hamels	1536	+15	+22	=1573	66%	1
6/16Sunday, June 162:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Paxton	1566	+10	+0	=1576	64%	10
6/16Sunday, June 162:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Despaigne	1466	–17	+24	=1473	36%	3
6/15Saturday, June 157:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Green	1564	–24	+0	=1540	57%	8
6/15Saturday, June 157:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1468	–3	+24	=1489	43%	4
6/14Friday, June 148:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1568	–8	+0	=1560	55%	2
6/14Friday, June 148:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1465	+35	+24	=1524	45%	10
6/13Thursday, June 138:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1569	+2	–1	=1570	63%	4
6/13Thursday, June 138:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1463	–13	+26	=1476	37%	5
6/11Tuesday, June 118:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Corbin	1525	+3	+0	=1528	60%	5
6/11Tuesday, June 118:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Banuelos	1462	–28	+24	=1458	40%	7
6/10Monday, June 108:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Sanchez	1522	–13	–4	=1505	55%	12
6/10Monday, June 108:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Despaigne	1465	–17	+22	=1470	45%	1
6/9Sunday, June 92:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1463	–6	+0	=1457	48%	5
6/9Sunday, June 92:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Sparkman	1440	+8	+24	=1472	52%	2
6/8Saturday, June 82:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1462	+31	+0	=1493	52%	2
6/8Saturday, June 82:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1441	+17	+24	=1482	48%	0
6/7Friday, June 78:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1463	–11	–1	=1451	51%	4
6/7Friday, June 78:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Bailey	1440	–19	+24	=1445	49%	6
6/5Wednesday, June 51:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1464	–8	+0	=1456	39%	4
6/5Wednesday, June 51:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Sanchez	1521	–15	+24	=1530	61%	6
6/4Tuesday, June 47:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1465	+0	–1	=1464	36%	5
6/4Tuesday, June 47:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1519	+21	+24	=1564	64%	9
6/2Sunday, June 22:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Plesac	1529	–26	+0	=1503	48%	0
6/2Sunday, June 22:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1464	+26	+24	=1514	52%	2
6/1Saturday, June 12:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Rodriguez	1527	–44	+0	=1483	51%	5
6/1Saturday, June 12:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1466	–11	+24	=1479	49%	2
5/31Friday, May 318:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1530	+14	+0	=1544	59%	1
5/31Friday, May 318:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1463	–10	+24	=1477	41%	6
5/30Thursday, May 308:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1533	+7	–3	=1537	61%	4
5/30Thursday, May 308:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Banuelos	1460	–26	+24	=1458	39%	10
5/29Wednesday, May 298:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Sparkman	1448	+11	+0	=1459	46%	7
5/29Wednesday, May 298:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1459	+5	+24	=1488	54%	8
5/28Tuesday, May 287:40 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1449	+16	+0	=1465	44%	3
5/28Tuesday, May 287:40 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1458	+21	+24	=1503	56%	4
5/27Monday, May 272:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Bailey	1450	–22	–2	=1426	44%	1
5/27Monday, May 272:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1457	–13	+22	=1466	56%	2
5/26Sunday, May 262:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1459	–12	+0	=1447	31%	0
5/26Sunday, May 262:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1545	+15	+24	=1584	69%	7
5/25Saturday, May 252:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Banuelos	1460	–25	+0	=1435	31%	1
5/25Saturday, May 252:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1544	+3	+24	=1571	69%	8
5/24Friday, May 248:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1462	+14	–3	=1473	35%	4
5/24Friday, May 248:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1542	+14	+20	=1576	65%	11
5/23Thursday, May 238:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1459	+13	+0	=1472	36%	4
5/23Thursday, May 238:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Martin	1586	–36	+24	=1574	64%	0
5/22Wednesday, May 228:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1455	–14	+0	=1441	25%	9
5/22Wednesday, May 228:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1590	+19	+24	=1633	75%	4
5/21Tuesday, May 218:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1456	–10	+0	=1446	24%	1
5/21Tuesday, May 218:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1589	+36	+24	=1649	76%	5
5/20Monday, May 208:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Burr	1457	+1	–3	=1455	31%	0
5/20Monday, May 208:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Peacock	1589	–12	+20	=1597	69%	3
5/19Sunday, May 192:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Thornton	1471	–2	+0	=1469	46%	5
5/19Sunday, May 192:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1458	+15	+24	=1497	54%	2
5/18Saturday, May 182:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Feierabend	1473	–9	+0	=1464	46%	1
5/18Saturday, May 182:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1457	+12	+24	=1493	54%	4
5/17Friday, May 178:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1470	–1	+0	=1469	48%	10
5/17Friday, May 178:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1460	–4	+24	=1480	52%	2
5/16Thursday, May 168:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1471	+9	–4	=1476	51%	2
5/16Thursday, May 168:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1459	–13	+26	=1472	49%	4
5/14Tuesday, May 142:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1537	+8	+0	=1545	61%	9
5/14Tuesday, May 142:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Banuelos	1461	–21	+24	=1464	39%	0
5/13Monday, May 138:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bieber	1539	–10	–4	=1525	55%	2
5/13Monday, May 138:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1459	+9	+22	=1490	45%	5
5/12Sunday, May 121:07 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1457	+5	+0	=1462	45%	5
5/12Sunday, May 121:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1472	+1	+24	=1497	55%	1
5/11Saturday, May 113:07 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1454	–3	+0	=1451	42%	7
5/11Saturday, May 113:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1475	+9	+24	=1508	58%	2
5/10Friday, May 107:07 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1455	–9	–2	=1444	43%	3
5/10Friday, May 107:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Hudson	1474	–9	+26	=1491	57%	4
5/9Thursday, May 91:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Banuelos	1456	–11	+0	=1445	33%	0
5/9Thursday, May 91:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1538	+4	+24	=1566	67%	5
5/8Wednesday, May 86:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1457	+9	+0	=1466	38%	3
5/8Wednesday, May 86:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bieber	1538	–9	+24	=1553	62%	5
5/7Tuesday, May 76:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1456	–2	+0	=1454	41%	2
5/7Tuesday, May 76:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Rodriguez	1539	–43	+24	=1520	59%	0
5/6Monday, May 66:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1451	–7	–2	=1442	30%	9
5/6Monday, May 66:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1544	+22	+24	=1590	70%	1
5/5Sunday, May 52:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1546	–17	+0	=1529	59%	9
5/5Sunday, May 52:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1453	–10	+24	=1467	41%	2
5/4Saturday, May 47:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1543	–6	+0	=1537	57%	15
5/4Saturday, May 47:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Banuelos	1456	+6	+24	=1486	43%	2
5/3Friday, May 38:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1541	+28	+0	=1569	60%	6
5/3Friday, May 38:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1458	+13	+24	=1495	40%	1
5/2Thursday, May 28:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1543	+20	–3	=1560	62%	4
5/2Thursday, May 28:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1456	–4	+24	=1476	38%	6
5/1Wednesday, May 18:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1417	–2	+0	=1415	42%	6
5/1Wednesday, May 18:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1455	–7	+24	=1472	58%	7
5/1Wednesday, May 14:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1416	–1	+2	=1417	39%	5
5/1Wednesday, May 14:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1457	+14	+26	=1497	61%	4
4/29Monday, April 298:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Means	1417	+12	–2	=1427	42%	3
4/29Monday, April 298:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Banuelos	1456	+3	+24	=1483	58%	5
4/28Sunday, April 282:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1446	+18	+2	=1466	47%	1
4/28Sunday, April 282:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1454	+8	+26	=1488	53%	4
4/26Friday, April 268:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1447	+1	–3	=1445	42%	11
4/26Friday, April 268:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1453	+25	+23	=1501	58%	12
4/24Wednesday, April 247:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Santana	1454	–6	+0	=1448	50%	3
4/24Wednesday, April 247:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Means	1420	+6	+24	=1450	50%	4
4/23Tuesday, April 237:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1458	+2	+0	=1460	54%	1
4/23Tuesday, April 237:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1417	–7	+24	=1434	46%	9
4/22Monday, April 227:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Banuelos	1454	–4	–2	=1448	51%	12
4/22Monday, April 227:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1420	+1	+24	=1445	49%	2
4/21Sunday, April 211:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1455	+2	+2	=1459	49%	3
4/21Sunday, April 211:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1444	–2	+26	=1468	51%	4
4/19Friday, April 197:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1453	+22	+0	=1475	52%	7
4/19Friday, April 197:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1446	–6	+24	=1464	48%	3
4/18Thursday, April 181:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1455	+5	–2	=1458	48%	7
4/18Thursday, April 181:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Ross	1445	+3	+24	=1472	52%	9
4/17Wednesday, April 172:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1445	+24	+0	=1469	50%	4
4/17Wednesday, April 172:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1456	–10	+24	=1470	50%	3
4/16Tuesday, April 168:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Lopez	1446	–11	+0	=1435	44%	1
4/16Tuesday, April 168:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1454	+1	+24	=1479	56%	5
4/15Monday, April 158:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1447	–6	–2	=1439	46%	4
4/15Monday, April 158:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Santana	1453	–5	+21	=1469	54%	5
4/14Sunday, April 141:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1451	+19	+0	=1470	32%	5
4/14Sunday, April 141:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1563	+18	+24	=1605	68%	2
4/13Saturday, April 131:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1452	+3	+0	=1455	33%	0
4/13Saturday, April 131:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1561	–7	+24	=1578	67%	4
4/12Friday, April 127:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1449	–7	–1	=1441	31%	9
4/12Friday, April 127:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1564	–3	+23	=1584	69%	6
4/10Wednesday, April 102:10 p.m.	TBRays	Glasnow	1535	–24	+0	=1511	54%	9
4/10Wednesday, April 102:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1452	+9	+24	=1485	46%	1
4/9Tuesday, April 92:10 p.m.	TBRays	Morton	1533	+14	+0	=1547	60%	10
4/9Tuesday, April 92:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Santana	1454	+2	+24	=1480	40%	5
4/8Monday, April 82:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1532	+45	–4	=1573	61%	5
4/8Monday, April 82:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1455	+19	+24	=1498	39%	1
4/7Sunday, April 72:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1503	+1	+0	=1504	53%	12
4/7Sunday, April 72:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1457	+3	+24	=1484	47%	5
4/6Saturday, April 62:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1500	+4	+0	=1504	54%	9
4/6Saturday, April 62:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1460	–9	+24	=1475	46%	2
4/5Friday, April 52:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Kikuchi	1502	+1	+1	=1504	52%	8
4/5Friday, April 52:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1458	+10	+24	=1492	48%	10
4/3Wednesday, April 31:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1455	+12	+2	=1469	34%	8
4/3Wednesday, April 31:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1550	+8	+26	=1584	66%	3
4/1Monday, April 14 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1456	–1	–3	=1452	33%	3
4/1Monday, April 14 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1549	+4	+21	=1574	67%	5
3/31Sunday, March 312:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1454	–13	+0	=1441	47%	6
3/31Sunday, March 312:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Lopez	1453	–18	+24	=1459	53%	3
3/30Saturday, March 302:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1456	+17	+2	=1475	48%	6
3/30Saturday, March 302:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1452	+7	+26	=1485	52%	8
3/28Thursday, March 284:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1457	+11	–2	=1466	46%	3
3/28Thursday, March 284:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1451	+19	+24	=1494	54%	5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL Central standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

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2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL Central standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

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